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Old 03-12-08, 04:17 PM   #7
Hache Man
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Default Re: Fantasy NASCAR News 2008

The Food City 500
The NASCAR Sprint Cup series moves to Bristol Motor Speedway's half mile oval for the fifth race of the 2008 season, the Food City 500. Race Preview looked at past performances, practice sessions, and season trends to predict how the field should finish on Sunday.


When: Sunday, March 16; 2 p.m./et


Weather: Partly cloudy with a high around 51; wind out of the NW at 11 mph. Chance of precipitation 10%.


The Track: Bristol Motor Speedway

Bristol Motor Speedway is a half mile oval with high-banking around the entire track. The corners are banked 36 degrees with 16 degree banking on the straight-aways. This is a track that very few drivers have been able to dominate. Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, and Jeff Gordon have all had decent success at the track, but that status can change with one nudge to the left rear bumper.


Key to Race: DON'T BRING YOUR BEST CAR

The Bullring in Bristol has been described a flying an airplane in a gymnasium. There will be no cars that escape Sunday's race without damage. This race is one of the most entertaining on the circuit for fans and frustrating for drivers. Expect tempers to flare as the cars bump and bang. The driver that wins the race will have to have excellent pit stops and lots of luck.


Qualifying Procedures:

46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by two lap qualifying runs on Friday, March 14th at 3:45 pm/et. Cars that were in the top 35 in owner's points following the 2007 season are guaranteed a spot in the race.


Fantasy Cheat Sheet:

Top 5

No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards won the August 2007 race at Bristol and has placed in the top 12 the past four races at the track. With his early success in 2008 he is a great pick.
No. 20 Tony Stewart: Stewart led 257 laps during last March's race at Bristol. If he can figure out how to drive on Goodyear tires he should be in the front again on Sunday.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has five career wins at Bristol and has led nearly 2,400 laps at the track. He should be in the top five once again on Sunday.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Busch led 29 laps on his way to winning last March's race at Bristol. He has finished eighth or better in the past four races at the track and is an excellent pick.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne had one of the top cars during last August's race at Bristol. He captured the pole, led 305 laps and finished an impressive second place. This weekend should be a great opportunity for Kahne to get the Bud car into Victory Lane.


6 to 10

No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has nine top 10 finishes in 14 career races at Bristol. He finished fourth during last year's March race and is a great choice on Sunday.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has excelled at Bristol in his career. He has finished 16th or better in his last 13 starts at the track. Look for him to earn another top 10 finish on Sunday.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has nine top 10 finishes in 16 career races at Bristol. He has led 539 laps during the last five races at the track, making him a great option to finish in the top 10.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has finished second in two of the last six races at Bristol. He is a great third or fourth driver in all fantasy leagues.
No. 07 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has cracked the top 10 in his past two starts at Bristol. He should be back into the top 10 once again on Sunday.


11 to 20

No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has never finished worse than 22nd at Bristol in his career and has six top 10 finishes in 10 career starts. He is a great fantasy option on Sunday.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch has won five races at Bristol during his career, but his last three races at the track he has averaged just a 24th place finish. He is still a strong option on Sunday, but we wouldn't anchor our team with him.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has led just one lap in the past five races at Bristol. He is usually a top pick, but we don't recommend him this weekend.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin was a hit-or-miss driver at Bristol in 2007. He blew an engine and finished 43rd in August race and led 177 laps on the way to a 14th place finish in March. We think he should bring a strong enough car to crack the top 15, but we don't think he is predictable to be worthy of a top 10 selection.
No. 1 Martin Truex Jr: Truex Jr has averaged a 26th place finish at Bristol during his career. The success he had at the track while in the Nationwide Series has yet to carry over and we like other drivers much better this weekend.
No. 43 Bobby Labonte: Labonte's average finish during his career at Bristol is 19th. We think that is about where he will finish on Saturday.
No. 12 Ryan Newman: Newman has three finishes in the top 10 and three finishes in the 30s during his last six races at Bristol. His inconsistency makes him a very risky pick.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers continues to be one of the biggest surprises of the 2008 season. Even though he is in the top 10 in points he will have to make Sunday's race during qualifying. He is still worthy of fantasy consideration.
No. 25 Casey Mears: Mears has just one top 10 finish in 10 career starts at Bristol. He isn't a fantasy option.


21 to 30

No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya qualified second last March at Bristol, but we think he will need a few more starts at the tricky track to figure out what is necessary for a strong finish.
No. 26 Jamie McMurray: McMurray looked great at Bristol last March, but then struggled in the August race. We don't recommend using him as much more than a fifth fantasy driver.
No. 41 Reed Sorenson: Sorenson had a tough race last weekend, but with his limited success during his career at Bristol we don't see his luck changing.
No. 28 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil has been decent at Bristol in his career. He is a bit of a sleeper this weekend.
No. 44 Dale Jarrett: Jarrett has a history of doing very well at Bristol. With all his success and experience at the track he isn't a terrible option this weekend.
No. 66 Scott Riggs: We love what Riggs has been able to accomplish so far this year. He is quickly becoming a great value as a fifth driver in all fantasy leagues.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler had a rough outing at Atlanta last weekend. Unfortunately for him and his team his recent runs at Bristol don't point to a change in his luck.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has looked much more consistent so far this season, but we don't think he quite ready to be considered a fantasy option.
No. 55 Michael Waltrip: Waltrip has made 43 career starts at Bristol in his career. It should be good for something, right?
No. 70 Jeremy Mayfield: Mayfield has had some decent success at Bristol in his career. He could be worthy of being used as a fifth fantasy driver this weekend.


31 to 40

No. 15 Paul Menard: Menard finished 24th during last year's August race at Bristol. We predict that is about where he will cross the finish line on Sunday.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: If you are looking for a driver to finish in the low-30s this weekend, Robby is your guy. He won't kill your team, but he won't give it a ton of help.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has never qualified for a race at Bristol. He should make the field this week, but we doubt he will finish decent enough to make much of a fantasy impact.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. continues to show why NASCAR insists rookies have a yellow stripe on their bumpers.
No. 96 J.J. Yeley: Yeley finished 13th at Bristol in August, but that was in a different car racing for a different team.
No. 8 Aric Almirola: Almirola relieves Mark Martin from behind the wheel of the No. 8 car for the next couple weeks. He is not a fantasy option.
No. 38 David Gilliland: Gilliland has been awful at Bristol in his career. He is not an option this weekend.
No. 22 Dave Blaney: Blaney continues to struggle. He isn't an option
No. 40 Dario Franchitti: Dario has finished 33rd in three of his first four Cup starts. We expect he won't do quite so well this weekend.
No. 45 Kyle Petty: Petty seems to have gotten even worse this year…who knew that was possible.
No. 01 Regan Smith: Smith finished 25th in his first career start at Bristol last season. He won't finish anywhere near that well this weekend.


Field Fillers

No. 21 Bill Elliott: "Awesome Bill" will try and get the No. 21 into Sunday's field. We think there is a good chance it will happen.
No. 84 Mike Skinner: Skinner got the No. 84 car in last weekend's race and he should do the same this weekend.
No. 49 Ken Schrader: Schrader has run nearly 19,500 laps at Bristol during his career. All that experience should be good enough to get the No. 49 car into Sunday's race.
No. 78 Joe Nemechek: We expect Nemechek will grab the final spot in the field for Sunday's race.
No. 10 Patrick Carpentier: We have a feeling poor Patrick will look lost this weekend at Bristol.
No. 34 John Andretti: Andretti missed the race in Atlanta and should miss this weekend's race also.


Brownie's Picks

Top Four:

1. Carl Edwards
2. Tony Stewart
3. Jeff Gordon
4. Kyle Busch

Sleepers:

1. Travis Kvapil
2. Brian Vickers

Busts:

1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Denny Hamlin
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