[YUNGBUCK]

Tuesday, 5/13/08

Spurs ML +170 (1.5 Units)
Spurs/Hornets Over 186.5 (3 Units)
Hornets -4.5 (2 Units)


1. If the Spurs lose by 1,2,3, or 4 and total goes over, I'm [down 0.7 Units]
2. If the Spurs lose by 1,2,3, or 4, AND the score stays under 186.5, I'm TORPEDOED at [down -7 Units]
3. If the Hornets win by >5, and the game stays under, I'm [down 3.8 Units]
4. If the Hornets win by >5 and the game goes over, I'm up [UP 3.5 Units]
5. If the Spurs win and the total stays under, I'm [down 3.45 Units]
6. If the Spurs win and the total goes over, I'm [UP 3.55 Units]


I. This may look bleak to some of you, but I think I've got the symmetry where I want it that I feel strongest that scenarios #6(+3.55), #4(+3.5), or #1(-0.7) will be the most likely to happen! And basically, I'm betting that those will happen more probably than will the other 3!! Does anyone understand my backwards logic here?!?lmao

II. The scenario I'm most afraid will happen is scenario #5(-3.45)!! I feel like if San Antonio wins, the game will be a low-scoring affair!!

III. Scenario #2 is the killer at -7 Units!! But I don't feel like Spurs lose a low-scoring, close game to this bunch! I've got it at the fifth most likely scenario!

IV. In my opinion, the least likely of the six scenarios is #3(-3.8), which has the Hornets winning a low-scoring game by >5!! I don't think so!! I think, if they win at all, it will be like a 110-97 game!!



Anyways, that's hoops for the day!!

:+textin b3
Buck........OUT!!!