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Hache Man · 03-27-07, 06:11 PM

Collateral Damage
Last week, I took a look at what players have benefited in fantasy leagues by all the free agent movement without moving an inch. This time around, let's look at who suffered collateral damage this month.

Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars
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Re-signing Fred Tayor was the type of move that makes perfect football sense but drives a fantasy owner crazy. Mo-Jo went from a potential top-five pick to some strange zone where we draft backup running backs ahead of starters.

I love Drew's game as much as anyone, but even Larry Johnson struggled to crack the top-25 ADP at running back when he was a backup two years ago. Readers aren't happy I ranked Mo-Jo outside the top 15 in my first running back rankings, but the conditions are such that his rookie season will be difficult to repeat.

The return of Greg Jones also is part of the collateral damage. He could steal some touchdowns. Fantasy Football 2007: Committees aplenty.

Reche Caldwell, Chad Jackson, & Jabar Gaffney, Patriots
www.fantasysportspicks.com
Caldwell must have watched the transaction wire with big eyes after the Patriots added receiver after receiver. Since Wes Welker is a natural in the slot, Caldwell still looks like the favorite to start opposite Donte' Stallworth. Nothing is guaranteed, though, and it will be tough to keep up his momentum from the second half.

It's amazing that Gaffney put up back-to-back 100-yard games in the playoffs and might not make the roster the next season. At this point, he and Kelley Washington could be battling for a roster spot. Gaffney better learn special teams.

Jackson, the team's disappointing second-round pick in 2006, will probably start the season on the PUP list after tearing his ACL in the AFC Championship.

Leon Washington & Cedric Houston, Jets
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Washington still has a chance to grow into a Brian Westbrook-like player, but it won't happen for a few years. Thomas Jones is such a good blocker and receiver that the Jets will have to be diligent in rotating Washington in for a series every once in a while to keep him active. Jones' acquisition makes Washington a RB4 type in fantasy leagues.

Houston is a replacement-level player who got replaced.

Wali Lundy, Samkon Gado, Chris Taylor, Texans
www.sportspickwinners.com
One of these players is getting cut in training camp, if not two. Ron Dayne is the heavy favorite to be Ahman Green's backup. After a promising start to their careers, Lundy and Gado need to show improvement this off-season.

Vince Young, Titans
www.spwsports.com
Vince Young magic is so powerful that the Titans believe he can make the offense work without any receivers. Brandon Jones is promising, but it's a mess after that. David Givens may not be healthy until 2008. Roydell Williams and Courtney Roby haven't shown much as pros.

With Tennessee's top two wideouts from last season moving on (Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade), Young will struggle to post 3,000 yards passing.

Ernest Wilford, Jaguars
www.therx.ws www.therx.info
12 months ago, Wilford looked like a better short-term bet in fantasy leagues than teammates Reggie Williams and Matt Jones. It became clear over the course of last summer that the organization still favored Williams, and then Wilford proceeded to have a disappointing 2007 season.

Now the Jaguars signed Dennis Northcutt to give them more speed out of the slot, so Wilford will backup Matt Jones and Williams on the outside. He's no longer draftable.

Kevin Jones, Lions

Detroit can talk all they want about Jones being ready for the season despite his foot surgery. The acquisitions of Tatum Bell and T.J. Duckett are more meaningful. It's probably a good idea for Jones' career that he takes it easy this season. But with fewer touches, especially near the goal-line, he's not going to be a true RB1 again in 2007.

Mike Bell, Broncos

Don't get up on Mike Bell just yet. Give up on him if the Broncos draft someone on the first day in April.

Bell showed plenty of toughness as a rookie and I'm not sure that Travis Henry is that superior of an option. But it's Henry's job barring disaster and Bell is now just an intriguing handcuff.

Isaac Bruce & Torry Holt, Rams

Bruce may have been the most surprising player I watched on tape after the season. He was the best receiver on the Rams down the stretch with Torry Holt struggling with a knee injury. If Bruce has lost quickness over the last few years, he's figured a way around it. He finished the year with five straight games over 55 yards and made a number of tough grabs.

It will be difficult to repeat that performance in 2007, though. Drew Bennett hits town and threatens to steal more targets than Kevin Curtis used to. Randy McMichael gives Marc Bulger another option in the red zone. Holt will be healthy again, but even he is likely to suffer statistically because of the additions in St. Louis.

Ronald Curry, Raiders

Jerry Porter's back, Randy Moss is still in town, and Calvin Johnson could be on the way. It's impossible to imagine a scenario where Johnson and Moss are on the roster, but Curry will probably be battling Porter for a starting gig either way.

Porter is a natural fit in the slot and Curry has the ability to be a WR3 in fantasy leagues this year, but they will be battling for targets on a moribound offense.

Hank Baskett, Eagles

The undrafted rookie that could nearly had a starting job on one of the best offenses in football. That's not going to happen, barring injury, for a long time now that Kevin Curtis is lining up across from Reggie Brown.

It's probably for the best. Baskett will be an intriguing slot receiver and should be a solid pro, but he isn't someone to look at for a major second-year leap.

Roddy White, Falcons

Coming off a serious sophomore slumber, White will now have to come off the bench in Atlanta. Joe Horn is an injury risk, so White may not stay there for long. White is still the fastest Falcons receiver and coach Bobby Petrino prizes speed in his vertical attack, so there is still some upside here.

Alex Smith, 49ers

Take the 29th-ranked passing attack in the league, subtract it's number one receiver (Antonio Bryant), leading tight end (Eric Johnson), and offensive coordinator/quarterback's best friend (Norv Turner). Add Ashley Lelie and a healthier Vernon Davis.

That's not a recipe for improvement from Alex Smith, who quietly wasn't playing very well in the second half of last season. I have a strong suspicion that the 49ers will make a play for Darrell Jackson, but the Seahawks may not want to trade him inside their division. Smith needs more help to make improve into a solid quarterback.

Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars

I wrote about Lewis at length in my blog, so I won't repeat myself here. He was facing a questionable second season as a fantasy asset and Jermaine Wiggins only adds to the confusion.

03-27-07, 06:11 PM	#7
Hache Man Moderator "Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak" Join Date: Aug 19, 2005 Location: Orlando, Florida Posts: 63,952	Re: Fantasy Football News 2007 Collateral Damage Last week, I took a look at what players have benefited in fantasy leagues by all the free agent movement without moving an inch. This time around, let's look at who suffered collateral damage this month. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars Sports Betting at Eye On Gambling - Discuss Online Sportsbooks; Handicapping; and Free Picks Re-signing Fred Tayor was the type of move that makes perfect football sense but drives a fantasy owner crazy. Mo-Jo went from a potential top-five pick to some strange zone where we draft backup running backs ahead of starters. I love Drew's game as much as anyone, but even Larry Johnson struggled to crack the top-25 ADP at running back when he was a backup two years ago. Readers aren't happy I ranked Mo-Jo outside the top 15 in my first running back rankings, but the conditions are such that his rookie season will be difficult to repeat. The return of Greg Jones also is part of the collateral damage. He could steal some touchdowns. Fantasy Football 2007: Committees aplenty. Reche Caldwell, Chad Jackson, & Jabar Gaffney, Patriots www.fantasysportspicks.com Caldwell must have watched the transaction wire with big eyes after the Patriots added receiver after receiver. Since Wes Welker is a natural in the slot, Caldwell still looks like the favorite to start opposite Donte' Stallworth. Nothing is guaranteed, though, and it will be tough to keep up his momentum from the second half. It's amazing that Gaffney put up back-to-back 100-yard games in the playoffs and might not make the roster the next season. At this point, he and Kelley Washington could be battling for a roster spot. Gaffney better learn special teams. Jackson, the team's disappointing second-round pick in 2006, will probably start the season on the PUP list after tearing his ACL in the AFC Championship. Leon Washington & Cedric Houston, Jets www.eogcontests.com Washington still has a chance to grow into a Brian Westbrook-like player, but it won't happen for a few years. Thomas Jones is such a good blocker and receiver that the Jets will have to be diligent in rotating Washington in for a series every once in a while to keep him active. Jones' acquisition makes Washington a RB4 type in fantasy leagues. Houston is a replacement-level player who got replaced. Wali Lundy, Samkon Gado, Chris Taylor, Texans www.sportspickwinners.com One of these players is getting cut in training camp, if not two. Ron Dayne is the heavy favorite to be Ahman Green's backup. After a promising start to their careers, Lundy and Gado need to show improvement this off-season. Vince Young, Titans www.spwsports.com Vince Young magic is so powerful that the Titans believe he can make the offense work without any receivers. Brandon Jones is promising, but it's a mess after that. David Givens may not be healthy until 2008. Roydell Williams and Courtney Roby haven't shown much as pros. With Tennessee's top two wideouts from last season moving on (Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade), Young will struggle to post 3,000 yards passing. Ernest Wilford, Jaguars www.therx.ws www.therx.info 12 months ago, Wilford looked like a better short-term bet in fantasy leagues than teammates Reggie Williams and Matt Jones. It became clear over the course of last summer that the organization still favored Williams, and then Wilford proceeded to have a disappointing 2007 season. Now the Jaguars signed Dennis Northcutt to give them more speed out of the slot, so Wilford will backup Matt Jones and Williams on the outside. He's no longer draftable. Kevin Jones, Lions Detroit can talk all they want about Jones being ready for the season despite his foot surgery. The acquisitions of Tatum Bell and T.J. Duckett are more meaningful. It's probably a good idea for Jones' career that he takes it easy this season. But with fewer touches, especially near the goal-line, he's not going to be a true RB1 again in 2007. Mike Bell, Broncos Don't get up on Mike Bell just yet. Give up on him if the Broncos draft someone on the first day in April. Bell showed plenty of toughness as a rookie and I'm not sure that Travis Henry is that superior of an option. But it's Henry's job barring disaster and Bell is now just an intriguing handcuff. Isaac Bruce & Torry Holt, Rams Bruce may have been the most surprising player I watched on tape after the season. He was the best receiver on the Rams down the stretch with Torry Holt struggling with a knee injury. If Bruce has lost quickness over the last few years, he's figured a way around it. He finished the year with five straight games over 55 yards and made a number of tough grabs. It will be difficult to repeat that performance in 2007, though. Drew Bennett hits town and threatens to steal more targets than Kevin Curtis used to. Randy McMichael gives Marc Bulger another option in the red zone. Holt will be healthy again, but even he is likely to suffer statistically because of the additions in St. Louis. Ronald Curry, Raiders Jerry Porter's back, Randy Moss is still in town, and Calvin Johnson could be on the way. It's impossible to imagine a scenario where Johnson and Moss are on the roster, but Curry will probably be battling Porter for a starting gig either way. Porter is a natural fit in the slot and Curry has the ability to be a WR3 in fantasy leagues this year, but they will be battling for targets on a moribound offense. Hank Baskett, Eagles The undrafted rookie that could nearly had a starting job on one of the best offenses in football. That's not going to happen, barring injury, for a long time now that Kevin Curtis is lining up across from Reggie Brown. It's probably for the best. Baskett will be an intriguing slot receiver and should be a solid pro, but he isn't someone to look at for a major second-year leap. Roddy White, Falcons Coming off a serious sophomore slumber, White will now have to come off the bench in Atlanta. Joe Horn is an injury risk, so White may not stay there for long. White is still the fastest Falcons receiver and coach Bobby Petrino prizes speed in his vertical attack, so there is still some upside here. Alex Smith, 49ers Take the 29th-ranked passing attack in the league, subtract it's number one receiver (Antonio Bryant), leading tight end (Eric Johnson), and offensive coordinator/quarterback's best friend (Norv Turner). Add Ashley Lelie and a healthier Vernon Davis. That's not a recipe for improvement from Alex Smith, who quietly wasn't playing very well in the second half of last season. I have a strong suspicion that the 49ers will make a play for Darrell Jackson, but the Seahawks may not want to trade him inside their division. Smith needs more help to make improve into a solid quarterback. Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars I wrote about Lewis at length in my blog, so I won't repeat myself here. He was facing a questionable second season as a fantasy asset and Jermaine Wiggins only adds to the confusion.