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Originally Posted by Cobbler So how do you make your own line Jake? |
Lots of factors...
Some of the main ones:
Ballpark depth and info
Weather
Offense last 5-10 games
Pitching last 3-4 starts
Previous pitcher vs. team history (I don't go back more than 2-3 years generally)
Groundball pitcher or flyball pitcher vs. opposing hitters
There's a ton more but that's what I start on.
Figure in homefield and the teams chances of winning. Usually I get over half the lines within 5 cents of the actual line when I handicap. Usually get 2-3 plays on a big day, sometimes more. I generally try to find a line 12-15 cents off from what I handicapped it at before I place a bet.