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Old 10-12-06, 06:23 PM   #2
Hache Man
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Default Re: Fantasy Football News (10/12/06)

Week 6 Rankings

Running backs haven't been difference makers this season. This is what happens when Julius Jones and Tatum Bell are leading the league in rushing yards-per-game, with less than 100. Kevan Barlow is still tied for the league lead in rushing touchdowns (while averaging a Hambrick-like 2.6 yards-per-carry). Three of the yardage leaders (Warrick Dunn, Tiki Barber, and Tatum Bell) haven't scored at all.

The 2006 crop of running backs remind me of last year's quarterbacks. After the top couple, there are 15 players who are roughly the same. Most good fantasy teams have two. The fantasy league x-factors thus far have come at quarterback (Donovan McNabb, The Mannings, and Rex Grossman) and wideouts emerging from the oblivion (Marques Colston, Bernard Berrian, Greg Jennings, Jerricho Cotchery, and Reggie Williams).

The close grouping at running back is partly why I think it's a good idea for Larry Johnson owners to test the trade waters heading into a tough part of his schedule. Something isn't right when the Cardinals and 49ers keep the angry man under three yards-per-carry. The Chiefs simply can't run block like they used to and Damon Huard isn't going to scare good defenses.

I don't want to repeat too much of what I said in my NBCSports.com Fantasy Take, but if you can get a quality second tier running back (Willie Parker, Julius Jones) and a top-ten receiver for Johnson, I'd make the move. Just don't hold a fire sale; he's still a top-five running back.

We handed out awards on Thursday's Fantasy Fix, so keep an eye out for an accompanying column that I'll post, along with my top-ten players at each position moving forward. Now on to the Week 6 rankings and game notes. For detailed stat projections for all these players, check out Season Pass.

Week 6 Quarterbacks































RankPlayer NameOpponentInjury List
1Donovan McNabbat NO-
2Carson Palmerat TB-
3Eli Manningat ATL-
4Matt Hasselbeckat STL-
5Michael Vickvs. NYG-
6Rex Grossmanat ARZ-
7Drew Bledsoevs. HOU-
8Marc Bulgervs. SEA-
Tier 2
9Jon Kitnavs. BUF-
10Philip Riversat SF-
11Mark Brunellvs. TEN-
12Chad Penningtonvs. MIAProbable(calf)
13David Carrat DAL-
14Joey Harringtonat NYJ-
15Drew Breesvs. PHI-
16J.P. Losmanat DET-
17Jake Plummervs. OAK-
18Bruce Gradkowskivs. CIN-
Tier 3
19Ben Roethlisbergervs. KC-
20Jake Delhommeat BAL-
21Damon Huardat PIT-
22Steve McNairvs. CAR-
23Alex Smithvs. SD-
24Matt Leinartvs. CHI-
25Andrew Walterat DEN-
26Vince Youngat WAS-


QB Notes: Matt Leinart looked very composed against an improved Chiefs defense. After the first quarter, Kansas City's D-line harassed him and made him check down all day. I was worried that Leinart wouldn't go deep nearly as much as Kurt Warner, and that fear was partly realized. But Leinart did stretch the defense out with two long bombs, one that went for a score, and another that was dropped in the end zone. It looks like he'll throw deep enough to keep defenses honest and he's comfortable in the two minute drill. After a baptism this Monday night against Chicago, Leinart has top-15 quarterback upside as a rookie.

The Seattle passing attack has been quietly disappointing. I expect the system to bounce back after their bye. They will integrate Deion Branch and Jerramy Stevens into the offense. Look for a big effort against a Rams secondary that is banged-up. Hasselbeck is a good buy-low candidate. … Brett Favre left a lot of plays on the field against the Rams. He could have rushed for a score once and forced a pass instead. Favre still shows flashes of excellence, but he's inconsistent from drive-to-drive, like Drew Bledsoe.

Any interception-free streak like Marc Bulger's takes a lot of luck. Green Bay dropped two easy interceptions last week, one near the end zone that Bulger threw into Al Harris' chest. I own Bulger and am eager to see him against a better defense. His last four opponents: SF, AZ, DET, and GB. His completion percentage and yards-per-attempt is down sharply from his days of Mike Martz, so I'm not quite convinced he'll stick in the top-five fantasy quarterbacks. One good sign for Bulger: Scott Linehan loves throwing in the red zone. Bulger has attempted six more passes inside the ten than any quarterback in the league. The St. Louis offensive line has also kept Bulger's jersey clean more than in the past.

Bruce Gradkowski's confidence was contagious for the whole Bucs offense last week. They were celebrating like crazy after his first touchdown, a beautiful touch pass to Joey Galloway. I expected great things from Chris Simms, but the rookie was easily an upgrade in Week 5. He can put up workmanlike numbers against weak competition. The Bengals defense isn't playing that well.

Week 6 Running Backs



















































RankPlayer NameOpponentInjury List
1LaDainian Tomlinsonat SF-
2Clinton Portisvs. TEN-
3Tiki Barberat ATL-
4Julius Jonesvs. HOU-
5Rudi Johnsonat TB-
6Larry Johnsonat PITProbable(neck)
7Carnell Williamsvs. CIN-
8Warrick Dunnvs. NYG-
9Brian Westbrookat NOQuestionable(knee)
10Ronnie Brownat NYJ-
11Tatum Bellvs. OAK-
12Willis McGaheeat DET-
13Steven Jacksonvs. SEA-
14Willie Parkervs. KC-
15Thomas Jonesat ARZ-
Tier 2
16Maurice Morrisat STL-
17Frank Gorevs. SD-
18Kevin Jonesvs. BUF-
19Reggie Bushvs. PHI-
20Edgerrin Jamesvs. CHI-
21DeShaun Fosterat BAL-
22Deuce McAllistervs. PHI-
23LaMont Jordanat DEN-
Tier 3
24Travis Henryat WAS-
25Michael Turnerat SF-
26Marion Barbervs. HOU-
27Jerious Norwoodvs. NYGQuestionable(shoulder)
28Jamal Lewisvs. CAR-
29Leon Washingtonvs. MIAProbable(hip)
30Michael Pittmanvs. CIN-
31Brandon Jacobsat ATL-
32LenDale Whiteat WASQuestionable(stomach)
33Ron Dayneat DAL-
34Ladell Bettsvs. TEN-
35Kevan Barlowvs. MIAProbable(calf)
36Musa Smithvs. CAR-
37Cedric Bensonat ARZ-
38Samkon Gadoat DAL-
Tier 4
39Correll Buckhalterat NO-
40Mike Bellvs. OAK-
41Michael Robinsonvs. SD-
42Justin Fargasat DEN-
43Najeh Davenportvs. KC-
44Verron Haynesvs. KC-
45Sammy Morrisat NYJ-

RB Notes: Scott Linehan has a well-deserved reputation for throwing in the red zone, as I mentioned above. But Steven Jackson has had plenty of chances near the goal line too. Jackson has 11 rushing attempts inside the ten – only Frank Gore has more. The problem is Jackson has only converted one for a score. Other running backs struggling near the stripe: Willis McGahee (1-of-10), Fred Taylor (1-of-9), and Deshaun Foster (0-of-8). If you look at numbers inside the five-yard line, the same players struggle.

I don't understand why Jackson is struggling to score. He could play more physical, but he's a big back who is tied for the league lead in rushing. Perhaps his tendency to bounce it outside, which is money in the open field, doesn't work near the goal line. Looking back at the last two seasons, he's 10-for-35 scoring inside the ten. That's not great, but it shows his numbers should bounce back.


I went back to watch the last two Larry Johnson tapes. He is getting hit in the backfield so often that it's causing him to lose some patience when he does have holes. At his best, Johnson has exceptional vision. He doesn't appear to trust his blocks enough and is running like he's frustrated. He's working hard for limited yards. This happens when Willie Roaf, John Welbourne, and their replacements get injured. It's also affecting other parts of Johnson's game. He's fumbled twice in three weeks and dropped a wide open pass against Arizona. His blocking last Sunday almost got Damon Huard killed.

Once again, I'm not saying you should dump the guy. I believe he's the best running back (not best fantasy back) in the NFL and his ability to produce despite his surroundings is proof. I'm just not sure Johnson will separate from the rest of the top five-to-ten running backs. The next three weeks (@ Steelers, Chargers, and Seahawks) will show how good he really is.

Travis Henry and LenDale White didn't make people miss against the Colts. They had Corey Simon-sized holes to run through and they ran over a couple tacklers. I think this was more about the Colts than it was Tennessee suddenly finding a running game. … Noah Herron also had big running lanes against the Rams. He didn't look good outside the tackles, but he showed great power while dragging Ryan Pickett a few yards on one tackle. Herron is a logical fit to steal goal-line carries from Ahman Green if Green ever stays healthy. The team will keep Vernand Morency involved, creating a messy situation. The big lanes against the Rams tell me two things: 1. Green Bay's zone blocking scheme is starting to work. 2. Maurice Morris is a good fantasy play this week.

Jamal Lewis is likely to continue losing carries to Rotoworld mascot Musa Smith and Mike Anderson. The Baltimore Sun guessed Lewis may only have one more week as the team's starter if he doesn't play well. … Frank Gore is tied for the league lead in rushing. He asked out near the goal line last week, and Michael Robinson got three cracks at a score. Robinson failed each time, which could mean more goal-line work for Gore in the future. … Carnell Williams' wiggle was back against New Orleans. Expect another huge effort against the soft Cincy rush defense, then look to sell high. Cadillac is great when healthy, but the Bucs have a brutal schedule and a rookie quarterback. … Deuce McAllister is another great sell-high player. His moves against Tampa were impressive, but he's still risky moving forward because of Reggie Bush and New Orleans' schedule, which gets much harder in the second half. He's a top-ten running back right now, so he should have great trade value.

Ronnie Brown may be letting a frustrating season get to him. For the first time all year, he didn't fight through tackles against New England. He lost a fumble and dropped a key pass. Coach Nick Saban called Brown out this week, and he should respond well. He's still a must-start against the Jets.

Week 6 Wide Receivers
























































RankPlayer NameOpponentInjury List
1Andre Johnsonat DAL-
2Santana Mossvs. TEN-
3Torry Holtvs. SEA-
4Chad Johnsonat TB-
5Darrell Jacksonat STL-
6Terrell Owensvs. HOU-
7T.J. Houshmandzadehat TB-
8Steve Smithat BAL-
9Plaxico Burressat ATL-
10Roy Williamsvs. BUFProbable(neck)
11Laveranues Colesvs. MIAQuestionable(calf)
Tier 2
12Terry Glennvs. HOU-
13Anquan Boldinvs. CHI-
14Chris Chambersat NYJ-
15Reggie Brownat NO-
16Lee Evansat DET-
17Bernard Berrianat ARZ-
18Jerricho Cotcheryvs. MIA-
19Marques Colstonvs. PHI-
20Muhsin Muhammadat ARZ-
21Amani Toomerat ATL-
22Antonio Bryantvs. SD-
23Javon Walkervs. OAK-
24Joey Gallowayvs. CIN-
25Derrick Masonvs. CAR-
26Isaac Brucevs. SEA-
Tier 3
27Hines Wardvs. KC-
28Wes Welkerat NYJ-
29Keyshawn Johnsonat BAL-
30Randy Mossat DEN-
31Mike Furreyvs. BUF-
32Deion Branchat STL-
33Joe Hornvs. PHI-
34Eddie Kennisonat PIT-
35Eric Mouldsat DAL-
36Rod Smithvs. OAK-
37Keenan McCardellat SF-
Tier 4
38Mark Claytonvs. CAR-
39Ronald Curryat DEN-
40Eric Parkerat SF-
41Arnaz Battlevs. SD-
42Michael Claytonvs. CIN-
43Drew Bennettat WASQuestionable(ankle)
44Bobby Engramat STLQuestionable(flu)
45Samie Parkerat PIT-
46Michael Jenkinsvs. NYG-
47Brandon Jonesat WAS-
48Ashley Lelievs. NYG-
49Greg Lewisat NO-
50Nate Burlesonat STL-

WR Notes: Donald Driver owners should be concerned. The Packers used him primarily in the slot with Koren Robinson and Greg Jennings on the outside in an effort to get him untracked. It didn't really work. Driver didn't get separation and Brett Favre threw to his other receivers more. Driver may have had fewer snaps this week, but it's hard to tell. On one telling play, Favre had a free play because of a Rams offsides penalty. Both Driver and Jennings went deep. Favre threw a jump ball to Jennings.


Samie Parker is available in most of my leagues. He has great talent and showed it off with a circus TD catch last week after getting pushed on the play. Parker doesn't make the easy catches, though, and has a tough schedule coming up. He's still someone to stash in deep leagues for later in the season. … Anquan Boldin's value is helped by Larry Fitzgerald's injury. It's a tough matchup, but I'd still play him Boldin Chicago, who likes playing top receivers straight up. Lee Evans had a nice game last week because Buffalo was forced to pass all day.

I forgot to mention Brandon Jones in Waiver Wired. I also lost my hard drive (water damage), my IPod (but found it), and locked myself out of my apartment about eight times recently. These things seem to happen more in football season. Anyhow, I went back to watch each of Jones' plays in his three-catch, 40-yard effort against the Colts. He led the team in both categories. Vince Young looked to him more than the rest of Tennessee's wideouts combined. Jones did a nice job getting open and I think he's worth a look in deep leagues. Young still looks pretty rough in the passing game though.

Reggie Brown doesn't have great hands, but Donovan McNabb would help him out by taking a little bit off his fastball on short routes. … Deion Branch is likely to start for the Seahawks. The reporters following the Seahawks say he is coming on strong in practice. Don't give up on him yet, Branch will improve as the season wears on. With Bobby Engram possibly out, Nate Burleson could play in the slot. … Terrell Owens complaining about not being involved in the offense is a joke. He has 14 more targets this season than Terry Glenn (Glenn has more catches). Owens is third in the NFL in targets-per-game behind Torry Holt and Marvin Harrison. Owens is quite possibly starting the decline phase of his career. He can be a good receiver, but he's not getting separation from defenders. Owens is a player who blames everyone else for his problems. The rest of his career will be ugly if he doesn't adjust to the fact he's no longer as explosive as before. Bill Parcells and Drew Bledsoe probably wish they had Keyshawn Johnson, who has quietly been a top-five fantasy wideout.

Week 6 Tight Ends
























RankPlayer NameOpponentInjury List
1Antonio Gatesat SF-
2L.J. Smithat NO-
3Chris Cooleyvs. TEN-
4Jason Wittenvs. HOU-
5Todd Heapvs. CARQuestionable(ankle)
6Alge Crumplervs. NYG-
7Tony Gonzalezat PIT-
8Heath Millervs. KC-
9Randy McMichaelat NYJProbable(ribs)
10Jeremy Shockeyat ATLProbable(ankle)
Tier 2
11Alex Smithvs. CIN-
12Desmond Clarkat ARZProbable(ankle)
13Jerramy Stevensat STL-
14Ben Troupeat WAS-
15Eric Johnsonvs. SD-
16Bo Scaifeat WAS-
17Chris Bakervs. MIA-
18Tony Schefflervs. OAK-
19Joe Klopfensteinvs. SEA-
20Ernie Conwellvs. PHI-
21Matt Schobelat NO-


Week 6 Kickers




























RankPlayer NameOpponentInjury List
1Jeff Wilkinsvs. SEA-
2Nate Kaedingat SF-
3David Akersat NO-
4Robbie Gouldat ARZ-
5Mike Vanderjagtvs. HOU-
6John Carneyvs. PHI-
7Shayne Grahamat TB-
8Josh Brownat STL-
9John Kasayat BAL-
10Matt Stovervs. CAR-
11Jason Elamvs. OAK-
12Neil Rackersvs. CHI-
13Sebastian Janikowskiat DEN-
14Olindo Mareat NYJ-
15Jay Feelyat ATL-
16Jason Hansonvs. BUF-
17Lawrence Tynesat PIT-
18Jeff Reedvs. KC-
19Joe Nedneyvs. SD-
20Morten Andersenvs. NYG-
21Rian Lindellat DET-
22Mike Nugentvs. MIA-
23Rob Bironasat WAS-
24Kris Brownat DAL-
25Matt Bryantvs. CIN-
26Michael Koenenvs. NYG-


Week 6 Team Defense



























RankPlayer NameOpponentInjury List
1Bears Def/Spec Teamat ARZ-
2Chargers Def/Spec Teamat SF-
3Panthers Def/Spec Teamat BAL-
4Broncos Def/Spec Teamvs. OAK-
5Bengals Def/Spec Teamat TB-
6Ravens Def/Spec Teamvs. CAR-
7Cowboys Def/Spec Teamvs. HOU-
8Eagles Def/Spec Teamat NO-
9Steelers Def/Spec Teamvs. KC-
10Seahawks Def/Spec Teamat STL-
11Saints Def/Spec Teamvs. PHI-
12Bills Def/Spec Teamat DET-
13Chiefs Def/Spec Teamat PIT-
14Falcons Def/Spec Teamvs. NYG-
15Lions Def/Spec Teamvs. BUF-
16Redskins Def/Spec Teamvs. TEN-
17Dolphins Def/Spec Teamat NYJ-
18Giants Def/Spec Teamat ATL-
19Raiders Def/Spec Teamat DEN-
20Rams Def/Spec Teamvs. SEA-
21Jets Def/Spec Teamvs. MIA-
22Buccaneers Def/Spec Teamvs. CIN-
23Titans Def/Spec Teamat WAS-
24Cardinals Def/Spec Teamvs. CHI-
25Texans Def/Spec Teamat DAL-
26Fortyniners Def/Spec Teamvs. SD-
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