The Chase

[SSI]

Going to give this its own thread and hope things stay profitable. This is a 6 game Chase (Martingale) that fades any teams (O/U) streak that reaches 5 games. Most of this is in my other thread here but if anyone has any questions, ill try and answer them.

The Chase 2008: 8-0 (+8.00 units)
(321-1) since the 2005 season, with only the 07 Reds playing 11 straight Overs.

nothing pending.

This is not for everyone, as a loss will cost you roughly (70 units).

Hopefully the Brewers game will stay Under the total tonight, to give us a (Chase) tomorrow but the last 8 streaks (counting the braves tonight) that have reached 4 games, have ended there.

Ill keep this thread updated as plays occur, hopefully i can keep it going all season without a couple of streaks wiping me out.

[tool21]

I'll be the first in this thread to wish ya good luck!

[SSI]

thanks tool, ive been playing this to win only ($20) this season. Seems small but the last play in the sequence will cost you around ($800). I think this can be proftable in the NHL and NBA as well, as i have 2 years worth of numbers that confirm this.

[SSI]

The Chase 2008: 8-0 (+8.00 units)

play for tuesday april 22

Chase 9
a) Brewers Over 9 (-1.10) to win one unit.


back later on tuesday.

[kayvebear]

I'm new to capping but I don't understand fully how this works ... or what is a martingale? How would one bet cost you 70 units?

[coachp]

Thanks SSI- Keep up the good work!

[SSI]

in the scenario that ive layed out, a team going (O/U) the total 11 times in a row, will cause me to lose (70 units).

your playing to win (1 Unit) and doubling after each loss. playing a max of 6 times, starting after the 5th game. stopping once a win is achieved, thus ending the (O/U) streak.

[SSI]

thanks Coach but let me be the first to caution anyone from playing this. A $20 bet can turn into an $800 bet in less than a week. A $50 bet can turn into a bet for 2 dimes. So most here should not attempt this (maybe me) but im a glutton for punishment and trying different angels.

I know this is very successful since 2005 in baseball and is profitable since 2003, averaging at least (+40 units) over this time span. It is also profitable the last 2 seasons in both the NHL and NBA.

Im going to view this as a way to invest and spend less time on my wagering this summer. I can do this in minutes each day and have action going, sometime alot of it.

Tonight im going to be starting what i call an (Action Chase). this is a 6 game chase by me on (O/U) but done by Handicapping Only. Im only going to have one of these open at a time and this is mostly to have (Action) in the dead times of the regular (Chase).

There is only one play in the 5 game streak chase today and its listed above but here is where ill be headed this evening and probably the remainder of the summer. Ive had and got too many irons in the gambling fire, its time for me to cut back.

Im going to dedicate ($5,000) to playing both of these (Chase Systems) this summer, if i blow that bankroll, im done until football.

Here is where we stand heading into tuesday april 22. Id advise checking in from time to time but not playing. It could be like waiting for a train wreck to happen.

The Chase: 8-0 (+8.00 units) (+$160)

play for tuesday april 22

Chase 9
a) Brewers Over 9 (-1.10) $22 to win $20


Action Chase: 0-0 (0.00 units) ($0)

ill post something for tonight in the "Action Chase"......... this is purely for me to stay in the game but not spend alot of time with it and i dont recommend it for anybody else. As with (The Chase), ill only be playing to win $20.

[SSI]

adding for tuesday night april 22

Action Chase: 0-0 (+0.00 units) ($0)

Action Chase 1
a) Padres Under 8.5 (-1.10) $22 to win $20

this is a chase on the Padres to play One game (Under) the posted total in their next 6. The chase is over, if a win is achieved or if 6 consecutive losses occur.

back on wednesday.

[kayvebear]

So once a team has come over or under 5x in a row, you fade that team's o/u depending on what they did until it hits, doubling your bet daily?

[SSI]

yes, you start with game 6 but only play thru game 11. in other words, if a team goes (O/U) 11 times in a row, you get killed but that has happened only once since 2005 and only 8 times in the last 5 years. basically your hoping you can win about (100) of these before one gets you.

this is not for everyone, i would not advise playing it.

[coachp]

SSI- Thanks again for explaining it- its not for everyone- but if they don't like it just sit back and watch. I don't like watching.

Thanks again- we can't win if we don't play!

[coachp]

Another Chase hits with Brew Crew! I am not hitting it as hard as you are- but a win is win!

Thanks again!

[kayvebear]

Goodluck with this. Seems like something that can definitely pay .. but seems like a lot of risk for a 1 unit reward.

[SSI]

Kayve: as i said, definately not for everyone.

CoachP: thats right, its "one and done" for the brewers 5 straight Unders, provided no rain moves in.

The Chase: 9-0 (+9.00 units) (+$180)
(still only 1 loss since 2005)

a few shots are setting up for tomorrow, off the top of my head, i think we should be pulling for an (Angels Under) tonight.

now i hope that im not screwing things up by playing the (Action Chase). If the 2 chases cross paths, ill play them as 2 separate chases.

On another note, the san antonio spurs have now played 4 straight Overs, they are a team noted for Unders, could be a good situation to get in tonight, with the Unders, as they face the Suns in game 2. Only guaranteed at least 4 shots more to get an Under but i think its a good set up to get a Win.

back wednesday.

[SSI]

Coach, will you be joining me for the (Action Chase)? i may not should be doing it but i hate sitting back and waiting for a few days with no action. Ill only be doing --- one of these at a time.

I plan to ever so slightly to raise my base (Unit) wager. However for this thread and this MLB season, ill only be posting it for ($20).

I plan to run this on into next years (NBA & NHL) seasons, provided we dont get hammered this summer.

[coachp]

Yes- I am on the under with the Padres! If it doesn't work out- so what. Sometimes the journey is as much fun as the destination.

I play some other stuff- some I read about- some I feel good about- but I really like the way this is going. But I am a small time guy- I've been burned the last few years. Where your roll may be 5k, mine is a little over 1.

But yes- I am with you. Thanks for letting me go for the ride. Good luck tonight.

[SSI]

i am sort of in the same boat as you.. my roll is actually quite a bit bigger but its taken me quite a few years to put together. im only allocating (5K) to do this. hopefully i wont burn thru that.

looks like the Angels go Over the total, taking away another play from us and making it (9 of last 10) to end after 4 games.

Hopefully, we can keep this thing going for quite a while, on into the other sports as well.

back on wednesday.

[SSI]

The Chase: 9-0 (+9.00 units) (+$180)
nothing pending

Action Chase: 0-0 (0.00 units) ($0)

(Action Chase 1) is pending and there will be a play tonight on the Padres Under the total.

Ill be back this afternoon to recap tonights action. i dont have time this morning.

[Ego74]

nice job SSI. GL tonight

[coachp]

Thanks SSI- I will check back later. Are we going under in the Padres (action-chase)?

[SSI]

Coach, yes i am but im going to wait until later this evening. the line is running (7 or 7.5)....

there are no plays in (The Chase) tonight but we have 4 teams sitting on 4 game streaks (mets, balt, sea and padres).

so basically im playing the (Padres Under) tonight $46 to win $42.


CoachP, im really into research and today i have been researching all 4 game streaks that end before they reach 9...... basically 4 shots at a win and not 6, with each loss costing you (18.5 units)... i have only researched this season and the record is not good: 19-2 (-18 units). I am going to research the entire (07 season) this afternoon and i have a feeling this could be profitable. basically we need to see a minimum of (20:1) to make a little money. Ill get back to you with the results, if your interested in seeing them.

[SSI]

Coach this is why i do research. I just ran the AL east for all of the 2007 season, here is how they fared in streaks that reached at least 4 and then went to at least 8 (not nine, i mispoke earlier) we are looking at doubling only 4 teams and this is not going to be profitable.

Boston: 10-0
Balt: 11-0
Yanks: 10-1
Toronto: 6-3
Tampa Bay: 12-2
Overall: 49-6 (-62 units)

so that research didnt take long at all.

Ive turned this thing, almost every way imaginable and what is working,,,, is, starting after 5 games and hoping they dont reach 11........... 9-0 on the season and (322-1) since 2005.

off to nap and just play the padres tonight, in the action chase.

later.