[truebluefan]

Solid 3-2 day yesterday and with two straight positive days I am going to stretch in a bit today. Here is my first play:

Seattle (+109)- The Rangers aren't going to keep winning at this rate and today they are without Bradley against a pitcher in Silva who has been very good against this team of late. Feldman has been solid, but he has faced the A's and Jays in his 3 starts. I think the Mariners are going to win this game today and I like them at plus money against a streaky, yet still very suspect team.

YTD- 89-104 -10.81 units

[truebluefan]

Second afternoon play and will be back with night plays later:

Boston -123- I think this is real solid value on the Red Sox now that Lester has righted his ship. The Sox are the far better team and Lester has been very good over his last 3 starts with a 1.08 WHIP. Cabrera is on a roll, but the Red Sox have won the game in 9 of his 10 career starts against them and the Red Sox ability to run up Cabrera's pitch count will run him from the game by the end of the 6th inning.

[Bet_Jester]

i bet on the Red Sox too...they've always handled Cabrera

[truebluefan]

Five plays for tonight:

Atlanta +135- Great value on the Braves tonight as I am not sure how they can get off putting Myers at this price. Myers have a 1.49 WHIP and has given up 12 HR in just 49 innings this season as a starter. Glavine has not been all that great but he has pitched better than his numbers dictate because of a few bad starts. He has a tremendous track record against Philly and the Phils still hit just .246 against LHP. The Braves are the Phil's equal or better and I really like them tonight.

Cleveland -150- I am pretty sure CC will be up for this game after giving up 9 ER in just 3.1 innings at home against Oakland earlier this year. He has been very good of late striking out 32 in his last 4 starts and the A's bats have started this road trip very slow scoring just 4 runs in their 3 losses. The Indians have a nice history against Blanton and I think Blanton's reputation surpasses his true ability and I like CC even at a bit of a lofty price tonight.

Pittsburgh +140-The Cardinals are a in full regression mode right now losing 6 of their last 7 games and I think the Pirates are great value tonight. Wellemeyer has a good chance of joining the regression party tonight as he has survived by giving up just 1 HR in his last 5 starts despite extreme flyball figures. Maholm has been very poor on the road, but his numbers really have been solid with a 1.43 WHIP and he does a very good job of keeping the ball in the park. Going to ride the Bucos hot streak tonight and they are worth a shot at this price.

CWS +120- The White Sox have been money in Game 3's so far this year going 7-2 to close out most of their series. Tonight I think they are worth a shot again in a Game 3. Contreras has been solid all year giving up just 2 HR in 46 innings, but especially of late with a 1.02 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also has a great track record against LAA. Lackey will be protected tonight in his first start back from the DL and he has backed by a team that just isn't hitting right now and I think the Sox will win this game tonight.

Houston -118- Moehler and Misch have all the making of a slug fest tonight, but I think the Astros are far better suited for this type of a game than the Giants. They hit .299 as a team against LHP and Misch has been giving up gopher balls at a extremely high rate with 5 given up in just 16 innings of work. The Astros dropped a game last night, but I think they will rebound tonight in a high-run volume game which should help them with their far more offensive talent.

GL to all!

[Hache Man]

Good call on Seattle!

Best of luck rest of the way......