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Old 03-26-08, 12:39 PM   #1
tool21
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Default 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

One play I like today:

1. Tulsa -3.5 or ML

As always, if line moves against me i'll take the ML, if it stays put I'll play the spread. Will post my bet when I bet it.

Tulsa plays good ball.
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Old 03-26-08, 01:15 PM   #2
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Cool Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

GL Tool...I like the play
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Old 03-26-08, 02:25 PM   #3
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Default Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Quote:
Originally Posted by crazytrain View Post
GL Tool...I like the play
Love this play as well crazytrain. These teams met once this year at houston and houston got the best of them. Not the case this time!
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Old 03-26-08, 02:59 PM   #4
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Default Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Locked in at Tulsa -165

Spread equivalent of this line is -3.5 +100 compared to -110.
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Old 03-26-08, 03:12 PM   #5
Finance
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Default Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Good Luck tonight Tool - seems to me that there is good value in the M/L in the 3-4 range...
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Old 03-26-08, 03:19 PM   #6
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Default Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Quote:
Originally Posted by Finance View Post
Good Luck tonight Tool - seems to me that there is good value in the M/L in the 3-4 range...
IMO if a game opens at -2 and moves to -3, the money line lags behind most of the time. The moneyline may even be equivalent to -2.5 in same cases and it has happened. I've found that the book I use (Bodog) likes to have the favorite .5 more but this isn't reflected in the ML. Spreads move because of money. ML's move because of money. Sometimes more money comes in on a spread than on a moneyline and visa versa. In the long run it would be beneficial to know whether to take the ML or the spread because value can be found in one or the other. If the books are doing their job right, if you were to play every spread opener and every ML opener for those same games IN THE LONG TERM you should be at about the same + or - although there are bigger swings betting the ML.
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Old 03-26-08, 11:06 PM   #7
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Default Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Winner Picked a good night to start drinking this Penn Weizen beer.

25-10 71% +12.65 units
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Old 03-27-08, 11:56 AM   #8
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Old 03-27-08, 12:21 PM   #9
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Default Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Thanks! I needed that
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