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#1 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,137
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One play I like today:
1. Tulsa -3.5 or ML As always, if line moves against me i'll take the ML, if it stays put I'll play the spread. Will post my bet when I bet it. Tulsa plays good ball. |
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#2 |
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It's Five O'clock Somewhere
Join Date: Dec 25, 2007
Location: Coastal Ga
Posts: 1,716
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GL Tool...I like the play
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#3 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,137
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#4 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,137
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Locked in at Tulsa -165
Spread equivalent of this line is -3.5 +100 compared to -110. |
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#5 |
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EOG Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 28, 2007
Location: Virginia
Posts: 489
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Good Luck tonight Tool - seems to me that there is good value in the M/L in the 3-4 range...
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#6 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,137
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IMO if a game opens at -2 and moves to -3, the money line lags behind most of the time. The moneyline may even be equivalent to -2.5 in same cases and it has happened. I've found that the book I use (Bodog) likes to have the favorite .5 more but this isn't reflected in the ML. Spreads move because of money. ML's move because of money. Sometimes more money comes in on a spread than on a moneyline and visa versa. In the long run it would be beneficial to know whether to take the ML or the spread because value can be found in one or the other. If the books are doing their job right, if you were to play every spread opener and every ML opener for those same games IN THE LONG TERM you should be at about the same + or - although there are bigger swings betting the ML.
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#7 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,137
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Winner
Picked a good night to start drinking this Penn Weizen beer.25-10 71% +12.65 units |
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#8 |
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EOG Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 28, 2007
Location: Virginia
Posts: 489
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#9 |
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EOG Member
Join Date: Mar 04, 2008
Posts: 2
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Thanks! I needed that
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