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| | #1 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Unranked favorites and lower ranked favorites Marq (WINNER) Maryland (WINNER) California Stanford Hawaii Lower ranked dogs Tenn (WINNER) unranked dogs vs top 25 teams S. Car (LOSER) Iowa St. (WINNER) USC (WINNER) Northwestern (WINNER) Auburn (WINNER) Virgina Tech (WINNER) Wyoming (WINNER) Colorado Southern Miss Georgetown St. Johns Games complete 9-1. Last Saturday it went 12-4. Still some games left to get on. I love this system. |
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| | #2 | |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
| Quote:
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| | #3 | |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
| Quote:
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| | #4 |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 06, 2006
Posts: 201
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What exactly is the system Cannon? |
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| | #5 |
| EOG Consigliere' Join Date: Aug 26, 2005 Location: Jawja
Posts: 62,810
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some good shit here cannon |
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| | #6 |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 06, 2006
Posts: 201
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Is this meant for only Saturdays? |
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| | #7 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Same system as the NCAA football system I play. System as follows Bet any team not in the top 25 that is favored over a team that is in the top 25. (5 units) Bet any team in the top 25 that is ranked lower but they are a favorite over a higher ranked team. (3 1/2 units). Example say a #21 team favored over a #8 team. Bet any team that is in the top 25 and they are a dog to a team ranked higher than them. (2 1/2 units) Example #21 team as a dog to the #8 team Bet any team not in the top 25 and they are a dog playing a team in the top 25. (2 units) I start playing this system Jan 1 each year when football winds down. I try to bet it every day. Saturdays have been huge in the past. Sundays plays Miami over Duke 2 units Oregon over Ariz 2 1/2 units |
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| | #8 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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I have also noticed that if you bet against all home favorites from -1 to - 2 1/2 against the points and bet the road team on the money line it seems to make a profit. |
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| | #9 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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12-4-1 for the day. Needed Hawaii |
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| | #10 |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 06, 2006
Posts: 201
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So have you ever lost playing these systems? |
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| | #11 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Not for the long haul. I won $21,677 from the SuperBowl to the end of the final four last year. |
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| | #12 |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 06, 2006
Posts: 201
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When you bet, is it 1 unit = $100? |
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| | #13 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Aug 11, 2006 Location: Jacksonville
Posts: 4,850
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do you jump on the line right when it opens? |
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| | #14 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Missouri coved easily against Kansas and almost won SU. 1-2 1/2 favorites continue to lose I think if San Fran covers they go 5-0 Monday. I am betting them for $50 a unit now and I will increase them to $100 a unit soon. When I can I bet the first and second half as well like today I won first half on Missouri and I have to look but I think I might have one the second half as well. Might be some value in putting a little on the plays if they are a dog on the moneylines. I usually get busy so I try to put my bets down overnight but since most are dogs and opposite the better teams I think you should bet them late if you can. I have done well playing some small round robin parlays and buying a basket in some 4,5, and 6 game parlays for the fun of it. |
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| | #15 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Missouri covered the second half as well. |
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| | #16 |
| SEC Country Join Date: Oct 15, 2006
Posts: 4,097
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Like your system--Started last night--which Top 25 do you use? |
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| | #17 |
| EOG Member Join Date: Oct 07, 2005 Location: Back home, they would have put me in jail for what I'm doing. But out here, they're givin' me awards
Posts: 77
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have you tracked the record you did last year on this ? not units but % wise.....interesting |
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| | #18 |
| Rookie Join Date: Oct 03, 2006 Location: College Station, TX
Posts: 453
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This is incredibly intriguing, Cannon! I look forward to watching it and jumping in if I can. How long have you used this system? |
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| | #19 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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I go to the ESPN site and pull up the top 25 for the day. It is quick and easy. In the past I have combined the two polls USA and AP you would add Marquette and Kentucky if you combine them. I have bet this system in football for about 10 years and baskets about 5 years. You might want to bet any teams that are 1-2 1/2 point road dogs if they are not in the above systems as they went 5-0 yesterday. |
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| | #20 |
| EOG Member Join Date: Oct 07, 2005 Location: Back home, they would have put me in jail for what I'm doing. But out here, they're givin' me awards
Posts: 77
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can you show us the record of this system ...its interesting...but if you already have a record of tracking this for each type of bet....(pretty sure you probably do only because you already have a unit system )....can you post it........its tideous work trying to track the history of this...but this is what I got from yahoo scores and wagerline lines.......this is if someone was flat betting this system.... So far I have tracked January 2006 86-71 54.77% ...+7.9 units |
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| | #21 |
| EOG Senior Member Join Date: Nov 15, 2006
Posts: 475
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I am correct to say that Virginia -1 tonight is a 5 unit play? Virginia is unraked and playing Maryland who is ranked 22 in ESPN poll. |
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| | #22 |
| EOG Member Join Date: Oct 07, 2005 Location: Back home, they would have put me in jail for what I'm doing. But out here, they're givin' me awards
Posts: 77
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ah i see, all that work for nothing....theres some games missing some games added etc becuase I just used the whatever yahoo had as a ranked team....... please let us know if you have the individual stats for each unit bet Thanks |
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| | #23 | |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 14, 2006
Posts: 179
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#1. Maryland is #22 in the ESPN but unranked in the AP poll. How do you play this one? #2. Assuming you treat Maryland as a top 25 team (see question #1), the play would be Virginia, except that Virginia is also a 1 point home favorite. | |
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| | #24 | |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 14, 2006
Posts: 179
| Quote:
To simplify this, you're just fading the top 25. If a game involves one ranked team and one unranked team, you always play the unranked team, regardless of who is favored. And if the game involves 2 ranked teams, you always play the team with the lower ranking. The amount you wager varies depending on which team is favored, but overall you are just betting on the lower ranked team, without exception. | |
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| | #25 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Yes you usually end up betting against the top teams. Virgina is a 5 star for me. Really don't like it but what do I know the system says it is a play so I play it. |
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| | #26 |
| EOG Consigliere' Join Date: Aug 26, 2005 Location: Jawja
Posts: 62,810
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pretty much across...but the stronger of the systems is the unranked team favored over the ranked team |
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| | #27 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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I think it is about 63% since Jan 1st. Dirty has seen me win with these systems for about 4 years in foots and baskets. They never really have a bad run. I just try make a profit and build my bankroll day by day. |
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| | #28 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Yea Virgina is a 1 point favorite and I usually don't like those but the unranked favorites have been doing well even the small ones. I think 4-0 on Saturday ATS. Taking Virgina and hoping I get lucky. |
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| | #29 |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 06, 2006
Posts: 201
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I'm seeing Virginia +1.5, so Virginia would still be the play, correct? |
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| | #30 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Yea still a play |
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| | #31 |
| EOG Enthusiast Join Date: Dec 06, 2006
Posts: 201
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I'm sorry I'm a bit confused, but why did you put 5 units on Virginia if they were getting points? Was Virginia giving pts at one time? |
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| | #32 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Yes they were a favorite and the line moved before game time. I bet the game last night. Today Hit the 5 unit Virgina and 2 1/2 unit Texas what a game that was so that gives me a 2-0 for + 7 1/2 units. 2 unit plays went 1-2 with Utah winning and Conn barely losing and UAB loser. So for the day 5 units 1-0 2 1/2 units 1-0 2 units 1-2 |
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| | #33 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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Wednesday unranked favorites 5 units Fla St Villan lower ranked dogs 2 1/2 units Clem unranked dogs 2 units Youngstown St. Auburn Miss Northwestern Vandy Purdue |
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| | #34 |
| EOG Dedicated Join Date: Feb 12, 2006
Posts: 11,364
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[quote=Cannon;575167]Wednesday unranked favorites 5 units Fla St (WINNER) Villan (WINNER) lower ranked dogs 2 1/2 units Clem (LOSER) unranked dogs 2 units Youngstown St. (LOSER) Auburn (WINNER) Miss (WINNER) Northwestern (LOSER) Vandy (WINNER) Purdue (WINNER) Wednesdays Results 5 units 2-0 2 1/2 units 0-1 2 units 4-2 Total 6 Winners +18 units 3 Losers -6 1/2 units I think I am wasting my time posting these winners nobody seems to give a shit. ![]() |
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| | #35 |
| SEC Country Join Date: Oct 15, 2006
Posts: 4,097
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Great system Cannon--I'm with you--Had Vill big last night--keep posting brother You Da Bomb![]() |
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