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09-28-06, 05:51 PM
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Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak 
Join Date: Aug 19, 2005
Location: Orlando, Florida
Posts: 56,748
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Week 4 Rankings
Week 4 Rankings
A few minutes into his Wednesday press conference, a familiar look crept over Bill Parcells' face: T.O fatigue. We've all had it. Exasperated, enthralled, and beaten senseless by non-stop coverage but unable to look away, we could all use a bye week from Mr. Owens. Parcells knows Wednesday was only the beginning. Watching the Big Tuna, his health reportedly not doing great, I can't imagine that both Parcells and Owens will be in Dallas after this season. The coach has one major advantage over his troubled star. Parcells' contract is guaranteed.Before I tire you out with any more T.O. talk, let's get to the Week 4 rankings and notes. For the stat projections to go along with rankings for less than a dollar a week, check out Rotoworld's Season Pass. Week 4 Quarterbacks QB Notes: I'm sticking with Byron Leftwich. Washington's pass rush has been impotent. They couldn't get pressure on David Carr or Drew Bledsoe, two of the easiest quarterbacks to bother. … Charlie Frye initially appears to be a sneaky play this week. I've been impressed with his ability to take big hits and keep on firing. His deep ball is underrated. Oakland's pass defense, however, may also be better than advertised. It's only two games, but they are fifth in the league in yards-per-attempt allowed. The return of Reuben Droughns would help Frye. The second-year player needs to work on his play-action fakes and defenses aren't scared of Jason Wright. Steve McNair didn't get any better in Week 3. Derrick Mason made some big plays for him and McNair did a nice job leading a late comeback, but his accuracy is way too inconsistent. I'd drop him in most leagues. … Marc Bulger isn't confident in the new Rams system. He looks uncomfortable doing play action and has missed a few open receivers down the field. That said, the St. Louis schedule is set up for him to gain confidence. There isn't a secondary playing worse right now than Detroit. Jake Delhomme is usable in fantasy leagues again now that Steve Smith is back in the lineup. Smith was targeted more than any NFL receiver in Week 3. That said, Delhomme is still taking way too many hits because of his offensive line. Carolina was in a very conservative max protect scheme during the second half of their game just to keep Delhomme upright. Eventually, either the hits or the conservative approach will catch up to Delhomme's numbers. … I'd stick with Michael Vick in Week 4. Greater forces were at play with his terrible performance against New Orleans. At home against the Cardinals is a great matchup. … Brett Favre is likely to be playing from behind on Monday Night Football and Philadelphia is still missing key defenders in the secondary. … Don't get too excited about Mark Brunell's record-setting performance. Houston's defense is lost. If Washington can produce against Jacksonville, then he can be taken seriously. ... In the end, his chances of finishing this week's game are very high if he's starting. Dennis Green is only going to yank Warner if he's struggling badly. Warner played excellent in Week 1 and solid in Week 2 against a tough Seattle defense before his mistake-filled effort against the Rams. He should bounce back. In a weak crop of quarterback matchups, I'd gamble on him against an overrated Atlanta secondary. Warner throws for 250 yards even during his off games. Week 4 Running Backs RB Notes: My original lede this week was about the odd fantasy running back rankings through three weeks. The best fantasy runner (Brian Westbrook) gets less than 15 carries a game. Four of the five leading rushers in the NFL (Willis McGahee, Warrick Dunn, Tatum Bell, and Steven Jackson) haven't scored a touchdown. Where have all the studs gone? I get regular emails from Ronnie Brown and Steven Jackson owners wondering when their players are going to come around. Brown has been a top-ten fantasy running back thus far. Jackson, who is averaging 125 total yards a game, is close. My answer for these emails is usually to scale back expectations. 90 rushing yards a game turns into 1,440 by the end of the season. The ridiculous campaigns by Larry Johnson and Shaun Alexander have everyone looking for that one player to carry a team all season. Every player can't be a stud every week … unless it's LaDainian Tomlinson. Evan Silva, the hardest working man in fantasy football, was right about Ron Dayne in Week 3. He was nothing special against the Redskins. If anything, Dayne looks slower and fatter than when we last saw him in Denver. Dayne had decent holes to run through against Washington, though, and dominated the workload. He can be a useful flex play this week gaining four yards a pop. … If I owned Clinton Portis, I'd be concerned he rotated with Ladell Betts throughout Washington's Week 3 win. Betts didn't just work in garbage time. Part of Portis' value in fantasy leagues came from getting 350 carries a season. He'd be lucky to get to 300 this year and could have a rough game against Jacksonville. As long as Tatum Bell is the primary carrier in Denver, he's an every-week fantasy starter. He's quietly third in the league in rushing. … Reuben Droughns is off to a rough start, but he's got an excellent RB 2 matchup against Oakland. He's questionable again this week, but says he'll play. There is a big drop-off after the first 16 running backs this week, but Droughns is one of the best question mark options. … Corey Dillon isn't on the injury report, so he's probably playing. Who knows if he'll finish the game because of his stinger. … Kevin Jones remains one of my favorite buy-low candidates. He already has more receiving yards than he did all of last year. Mike Martz will pay off in the long run and Detroit's schedule gets easier. ... I'm not worried about Michael Robinson's effect on Frank Gore - yet. It's possible Robinson could vulture a touchdown, but he's not likely to see more than five carries. Let's not ignore the fact that Gore has been one of the best offensive players in the NFL just because he's fumbled on the goal line a few times. Week 4 Wide Receivers
WR Notes: Andre Johnson is quietly turning into the top-five mega-stud fantasy heads have been waiting for. Houston may not be a better team this season, but their passing game has improved under Gary Kubiak. David Carr has more time to wait for big plays to develop. Eric Moulds keeps defense honest, but AJ is the one who looks like T.O. gliding down the field. Houston's defense is playing so poorly, Johnson can keep up his fast start while Houston plays catch-up. If an owner in your league tries to sell high, I'd take him. … Maybe torn ACLs just aren't as devastating as they used to be. I projected Javon Walker and Braylon Edwards conservatively because I didn't expect their speed to be all the way back so early in the season. Edwards has been impressive, outrunning Samari Rolle on a go route in Week 3. He'd actually have much bigger numbers this season if not for a handful of drops. Walker's big plays are a little fluky. His deep speed still appears lacking and he makes a good sell-high candidate if you own him. Baltimore's coaching staff made a point to include Mark Clayton in the game plan more in Week 3 and it paid off. Derrick Mason is fantastic, but Clayton is the only offensive starter with big play ability in Baltimore. Clayton can be a useful WR3 if the team continues to feed him the ball. … Roddy White will return to the starting lineup for Atlanta this week. I'd give him a few more weeks on deep league rosters. … Jerricho Cotchery and Laveranues Coles have great matchups against the Colts. The Jets are likely to be trailing most of the game and Indy is missing a few starters at defensive back. … Through three weeks, Marques Colston is tenth in the league with 27 pass targets. "Number One" receiver Joe Horn has 18. We may as well stop treating Colston like a normal rookie. He's a freak. Week 4 Tight Ends TE Notes: I get a lot of emails about Marques Colston's tight end eligibility in yahoo leagues. If you can play him at tight end, he's an every week starter. He'd be in my top-five tight ends every week. If you own him and another starter, trade one. … Alge Crumpler is still working his way back into shape. He appears to have grown sideways after an off-season filled with surgeries. He dropped a touchdown on Monday night, which is rare for him. I'd remain patient. Crumpler is one of the most consistent players in the league. … Todd Heap owners should get used to having him questionable on the injury report every week. He does it every year. They should also expect big numbers as long as he plays. Heap leads all tight ends in targets. In big spots, Steve McNair was locked in on his big guy in Week 3 in the red zone. Kellen Winslow makes a dumb mistake or two per game, but it's usually a taunting penalty or an offsides. That doesn't hurt fantasy leaguers. He's shown great hands and is basically Cleveland's second receiver with Joe Jurevicius out. He's an every-week starter. Week 4 Kickers Week 4 Team Defense |
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