Fantasy Baseball News 2007

[Hache Man]

Even More Trouble In Toronto
Friday's Daily Dose was titled "More Trouble in Toronto" and within it I wrote that things were "rapidly falling apart for general manager J.P. Ricciardi and the last-place Blue Jays." Amazingly, things have actually gotten even worse since then, with ace Roy Halladay undergoing an emergency appendectomy mere hours after that column was published. Seriously. Halladay is already out of the hospital, but is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

It probably won't matter much in what is now almost certainly a lost season, but the Blue Jays have also decided on a new replacement for injured closer B.J. Ryan. Jeremy Accardo picked up his first save Saturday and manager John Gibbons officially handed him the job Sunday. Jason Frasor's struggles obviously played a factor, but Accardo certainly pitched his way into the gig with a 0.00 ERA and 18-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 16.2 innings. Accardo will come back down to earth as some point, but does have the stuff to be relatively successful at closer.

While Blue Jays fans wonder what they ever did to deserve this, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Josh Beckett's bid to go 8-0 failed Sunday when he left his start against the Orioles with torn skin on his right middle finger. A concerning injury for any pitcher, it's especially worrisome here because Beckett has a long history of significant blister problems dating back to his days with the Marlins. Here's how Beckett described the injury afterward, "My skin broke and it just ripped more and more with each pitch."

Of course, he then followed that gruesome description by saying, "Hopefully, I can make my next start." However, given his track record with similar problems, it seems likely that the Red Sox will play it safe and hold Beckett out for at least one turn through the rotation regardless of whether or not he's cleared to pitch. Kyle Snyder or Devern Hansack could replace Beckett for the short term, in part because Jon Lester isn't ready to return from the disabled list yet.

* After straining his left quadriceps muscle Saturday, Moises Alou sounded convinced that he'll need a trip to the disabled list. However, with Lastings Milledge and Ben Johnson both sidelined at Triple-A with injuries of their own, the Mets called up 21-year-old Carlos Gomez for outfield help instead. Gomez likely isn't quite MLB-ready yet, but was hitting .283 with a solid .363 on-base percentage at Triple-A and has a ton of speed.

Gomez showed off his wheels right away Sunday, going 2-for-4 with a steal and two runs scored in his big-league debut. He'll likely split at-bats with Endy Chavez while Alou is out, but should have fantasy value regardless of how much playing time he receives. Gomez stole 17 bases in 36 games at New Orleans prior to being called up and swiped 41 bases in 120 games at Double-A last season.

* After seven starts and a 6.94 ERA, the Twins cut Sidney Ponson loose Sunday. No replacement has been named yet, which means fantasy owners holding on to one of the Twins' many pitching prospects will have to wait a little while longer to know if their guy's number is being called. It sounds like the Twins are leaning toward Scott Baker, with Glen Perkins remaining in the bullpen, and Matt Garza and Kevin Slowey beating up on Triple-A hitters for a while longer.

Baker was awful last season, going 5-8 with a 6.37 ERA in 16 starts. However, his minor-league track record is good and he tossed 53.2 innings with a 3.35 ERA for the Twins in 2005. Extreme fly-ball tendencies and the homers that come along with that limit his upside to mid-rotation starter, but he could have AL-only value quickly. Ponson's turn in the rotation comes around this weekend, but in the meantime the Twins called up first baseman Garrett Jones from Triple-A.

Jones has some decent-looking power numbers with three straight 20-homer seasons, but is a 26-year-old repeating Triple-A for the third year in a row and has a long history of sub par performances that says he's unlikely to help Minnesota's struggling lineup much. Last and least, Ponson is probably done as a major leaguer after pitching horribly for the Orioles, Cardinals, Yankees, and Twins since 2005.

* Ross Gload is headed to the disabled list with a sore quadriceps muscle, which is a tough break for the Royals given that he's hit .284 with a solid .759 OPS while taking over as the regular first baseman. Angel Berroa is expected to be called up from Triple-A to take his place on the roster, but it's actually Ryan Shealy who figures to benefit most from Gload's injury. Of course, he has to get healthy first himself.

Shealy is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Monday and could return by Wednesday if he can avoid a setback. With Gload out, Shealy has a great opportunity to reclaim his starting job. Berroa could do the same with replacement Tony Pena hitting just .237 with a measly .596 OPS. However, while Berroa's .303 batting average at Triple-A looks good, he's made five errors in 30 games and sports a typically horrendous 17-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

* Perhaps wanting to save manager Fredi Gonzalez from himself after he said last week that he still saw Jorge Julio closing again at some point, the Marlins traded Julio to the Rockies for Byung-Hyun Kim Sunday. Between Brian Fuentes being secure at closer barring a trade and the presence of Coors Field, Julio's potential fantasy value has completely vanished. Kim figures to step into the Marlins' rotation and could eventually have some decent value in NL-only leagues.

AL Quick Hits: Roger Clemens is set to throw a bullpen session Tuesday and is on track to make the first of what's likely to be several minor-league starts Friday at Single-A … After having his scheduled start Sunday night skipped, Jeremy Bonderman (finger) is expected to take the mound Friday against the Cardinals … Jim Thome (ribs) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday, but isn't expected back until next week … There are starting to be some rumblings about the Angels potentially demoting Ervin Santana to Triple-A if he can't solve his road woes soon … Barring a setback, Howie Kendrick (fingers) reportedly could come off the disabled list at some point next week … Manager John Gibbons said Sunday that he hopes Troy Glaus (foot) can avoid the DL … Manny Ramirez left Sunday's game in the eighth inning with hamstring tightness.

NL Quick Hits: Derrek Lee (neck spasms) is day-to-day after leaving Sunday's game … Jon Rauch earned his first save of the season Sunday, but Chad Cordero is due back from bereavement leave Monday … After being removed from Sunday's game, Mike Jacobs (thumb) could be headed to the disabled list … Anthony Reyes fell to 0-6 Sunday in large part because the Cardinals have scored a total of eight runs in his seven starts … Kaz Matsui (back) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Monday … Despite looking terrible during his rehab assignment, Juan Encarnacion (wrist) came off the DL Sunday and immediately resumed starting … Shawn Hill (elbow) is scheduled for an MRI Monday, but it sounds almost certain that he'll end up on the DL … Fred Lewis hit for the cycle Sunday in his third career start … Always a factor for saves if he can simply get healthy, Eddie Guardado (elbow) is scheduled to throw batting practice Monday and could begin a rehab assignment within the next week.

[Hache Man]

Dice-K's Shrinking ERA
Daisuke Matsuzaka entered his start in Toronto last week with an ugly 5.45 ERA, but after back-to-back impressive outings against the Blue Jays and Tigers it's now down to 4.17. Of course, a 4.17 ERA still isn't what the Red Sox were hoping for when they spent over $100 million to acquire Matsuzaka this winter, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest that he's pitched better than the solid but unspectacular ERA shows thus far.

Matsuzaka has racked up 52 strikeouts in 54 innings to rank fifth among AL starters in strikeout rate. Opponents are hitting .225 against him, which ranks eighth in the league, and he's handed out just 18 walks while facing 227 batters. Serving up homers was expected to be a potential problem for Matsuzaka, but he's allowed just four long balls so far. Add it all up and he's performed more like a 3.50 or 3.75 ERA pitcher.

On the other hand, he's among the league's most extreme fly-ball pitchers—which means more homers are likely on the way—and conventional wisdom suggests that Matsuzaka will become easier for big-league hitters to handle the more they see of him. That would certainly offset his ERA coming down to match his current performance, but I don't necessarily buy the "second time around" argument.

I've watched five of Matsuzaka's eight starts and the guy I've seen simply isn't a 4.17 ERA pitcher. On Monday, he allowed a solo homer to Curtis Granderson, but shut the rest of the Tigers' powerful lineup down on the way to his first MLB complete game. Matsuzaka completed 72 games in Japan and was known for racking up huge pitch counts in the process, but it was still noteworthy for him to throw 124 pitches in mid-May.

While Red Sox fans hope Matsuzaka's rubber arm can shake off the high workload so his ERA can continue falling, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* While tagging Austin Kearns in a rundown near the plate Monday, John Smoltz suffered a dislocated pinkie finger on his right hand. He immediately left the game in the seventh inning, but X-rays taken afterward were negative and it's reportedly possible that Smoltz will be able to make his next start. Smoltz called himself "day-to-day" after the game, adding: "I don't need my pinkie for any specific pitches." Somewhere, Carl Pavano is rolling over in his grave after hearing that.

* They may be without Smoltz for a while, but the Braves are expected to get Bob Wickman back from the disabled list Tuesday. Wickman convinced the team that he's able to return without needing a minor-league rehab assignment and manager Bobby Cox said Monday that he'll immediately resume closing. Rafael Soriano and Mike Gonzalez were a perfect 6-for-6 converting saves with Wickman out, and each take a big fantasy hit.

* Activated from the disabled list in the morning, Kevin Millwood left his Monday afternoon start in the second inning after aggravating his hamstring injury. Millwood showed decreased velocity and gave up a first-inning grand slam before leaving, and indicated afterward that the setback could be a serious one. Millwood is almost certainly headed back to the DL, with Bruce Chen and John Koronka the most obvious candidates to replace him in the rotation over the short term.

* Octavio Dotel may finally be close to returning from the oblique injury he suffered during the final week of spring training. Dotel is set to begin a minor-league rehab assignment at Double-A and reportedly could come off the disabled list as soon as early next week if things go smoothly. However, manager Buddy Bell indicated Monday that Dotel may not be handed the closer job immediately, which certainly makes sense given how well Joakim Soria has pitched in the role.

* After experiencing neck soreness Saturday, Derrek Lee was expected to get Sunday off, but talked his way into the lineup and then had to leave the game in the second inning. He spent Monday undergoing a CT scan and MRI, which sounds scary. However, manager Lou Piniella said Monday that Lee merely "had some neck spasms" and considered it "nothing serious." Piniella called Lee "day-to-day" and indicated that he could be back as soon as Tuesday.

AL Quick Hits: All eyes will be on Safeco Field Tuesday night, with Felix Hernandez (forearm) returning from a month-long layoff … Josh Beckett (finger) played catch Monday, but the Boston Globe speculates that he's unlikely to make his scheduled start Friday and could be headed to the disabled list … Instead of heading to the DL himself, Troy Glaus (foot) had a homer and three RBIs Monday … Manager Jim Leyland is "confident" that Jeremy Bonderman (finger) will make his scheduled start Friday, but also said it's "not a slam dunk" … Howie Kendrick (finger) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday … Once Ryan Shealy (hamstring) returns from the DL, it sounds like Billy Butler will be headed back to Triple-A … Casey Kotchman did his best to fight off Kendry Morales for playing time Monday, hitting a first-inning grand slam before drawing three straight walks … With Casey Blake and Ryan Garko playing well, the Indians may choose to option Andy Marte (hamstring) to Triple-A after activating him from the DL.

NL Quick Hits: According to the Los Angeles Times, Chad Billingsley could be close to leaving the bullpen and rejoining the rotation … Mike Jacobs is expected to be placed on the disabled list Tuesday after reveling that he's been playing with a broken thumb since April 20 … Greg Maddux tossed his 109th career complete game Monday—and first since 2005—to pick up career win No. 336 … Chipper Jones was a late scratch from Monday's lineup, missing his third straight game with sore thumbs … Since hitting a pair of homers on May 6, Josh Hamilton is 1-for-23 … Whatever chance Matt Lindstrom had of getting some save opportunities vanished Monday when he coughed up four runs in one inning … Carlos Delgado won Monday's game against the Cubs with a walk-off, bases-loaded walk … J.J. Hardy took over the NL lead with his 12th homer and has 18 RBIs in the past 10 games … Shawn Hill (elbow) was placed on the DL Monday, but an MRI showed no ligament damage.

[Hache Man]

Street Closed
The injuries never stop in Oakland and now they're coming completely out of the blue. The latest casualty is a big one and a major surprise, with closer Huston Street heading to the disabled list Tuesday despite showing no signs of a problem while allowing two runs over his last 13 innings. Street has been diagnosed with an irritated ulnar nerve in his right arm. If that sounds familiar, it's because Josh Johnson has been sidelined all season with the same injury in Florida.

Johnson's initial timetable was 2-3 months, but there's reportedly some hope that Street can come back sooner given that he doesn't need to build back as much arm strength as a starter. What makes Street's injury even harder to swallow for the eternally hobbled A's is that setup man Justin Duchscherer has been complaining about hip problems and was talking about potentially needing a trip to the DL himself. Instead, now he'll be asked to step in for Street at closer.

Duchscherer did a fine job subbing for Street last year, saving nine games, and has the ability to be one of the league's better closers if healthy. Unfortunately, he hasn't looked like himself all year, posting a 4.96 ERA while handing out five non-intentional walks and serving up three homers in 16.1 innings. Duchscherer totaled just nine walks and four homers in 55.2 innings last season, so clearly something isn't right.

If Duchscherer continues to struggle or has to be placed on the DL at some point, the A's will likely turn to some combination of right-hander Kiko Calero and left-hander Alan Embree in the ninth inning, with a little Jay Witasick thrown in. Connor Robertson, who was called up from Triple-A to take Street's place in the bullpen, is a sleeper candidate for saves after following up a dominant season at Double-A with a 1.93 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 18.2 innings at Sacramento.

While the A's ask Jack Cust if he can pitch too, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Felix Hernandez's long-awaited return to the mound Tuesday was a mixed bag. He showed good overall stuff and struck out five of the 21 batters he faced. On the other hand, King Felix reached his pitch count quickly thanks to shaky command after sitting out nearly a month, lasting just 3.2 innings while giving up three runs on seven hits and three walks. Most of the hits were singles that found holes and he kept the ball in the ballpark, so it was encouraging as far as 11-out, three-run starts go.

* A 1-for-40 slump and carrying a .204 batting average into mid-May were bad enough for Rocco Baldelli, but now he's sidelined with more hamstring trouble. Baldelli left Tuesday's game with a strained left hamstring, which is the same injury that delayed his 2006 debut until June. Baldelli and Elijah Dukes had already been splitting time between center field and designated hitter, so Dukes will simply take over as the everyday center fielder if Baldelli heads to the disabled list.

A DL stint for Baldelli might allow Jorge Cantu to remain in the majors once Greg Norton returns from his minor-league rehab assignment. Norton, Cantu, and Jonny Gomes would be fighting for any DH at-bats that open up with Dukes permanently in center field, although from the way they speak about Norton's impending comeback it sounds like the Devil Rays would give him first crack at the regular spot in the lineup if he can get healthy.

* It took five starts, but Randy Johnson finally picked up his first win Tuesday. Johnson held the Rockies to one hit over six scoreless innings, racking up nine strikeouts before leaving after 79 pitches. Given his tendency to fall apart late in games so far, it would have been a good test to see Johnson go a little deeper when he was clearly cruising. His 4.80 ERA and 1-2 record mask the fact that he's pitched very well since coming off the disabled list, with a 37-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio and 1.13 WHIP in 30 innings.

AL Quick Hits: Josh Beckett (finger) may avoid the disabled list, but every indication is that he'll miss his scheduled start Friday … Not only is he running again, Ichiro Suzuki raised his batting average from .286 to .312 Tuesday with his sixth career five-hit game … J.D. Drew (back) could miss some time after running into the outfield wall Tuesday, giving Wily Mo Pena at-bats … Justin Verlander was dominant Tuesday against the Red Sox, but it's worth noting that he threw 120 pitches … Ryan Shealy (hamstring) is expected to return in time for Wednesday's game, with the Royals likely optioning Billy Butler back to Triple-A … As expected, the Rangers placed Kevin Millwood (hamstring) back on the shelf Tuesday … Maicer Izturis (hamstring) started at second base Tuesday after coming off the DL … Joe Kennedy has a 2.53 ERA after another good outing Tuesday, but has just one win thanks to poor lineup and bullpen support … A strained hamstring suffered Tuesday could send Brad Wilkerson to the DL and hasten Frank Catalanotto's (shoulder) return.

NL Quick Hits: John Smoltz (finger) said Tuesday that he's "feeling great" and expects to make his scheduled start Saturday … Derrek Lee has not been cleared to travel after having his injured neck examined by doctors … Chipper Jones described his bruised thumbs as "worse today than yesterday" and missed his fourth straight game Tuesday … With three straight four-hit games, Rafael Furcal has amazingly raised his batting average from .228 to .297 … Chad Tracy once again aggravated his strained oblique Tuesday and indicated afterward that he may finally be headed to the disabled list … Carlos Lee went 4-for-4 Tuesday in his fifth straight multi-hit game, blasting a walk-off homer in the 10th inning … Carlos Zambrano avoided first-inning trouble Tuesday while turning in his longest outing of the year … Brett Myers blew his first career save Tuesday, costing Adam Eaton a win … Called up from Triple-A Tuesday, Hong-Chih Kuo has the strikeout ability to be a fantasy asset out of the bullpen or rotation.

[Hache Man]

A Better Way


Last week, I asked you to send me your suggestions for improving fantasy baseball. Well, the response was overwhelming. Thanks to all of you who took the time to put your ideas down in writing and submit them. I received so many interesting and well-thought-out ideas, I had no choice but to dedicate this entire column to them.
So, let's get to it….
My buddy Scott and I have had this pet peeve for years: Intentional walks should not count against your pitcher's WHIP. Back in the old days when we did our stats by hand, he claims he would subtract out any intentional walk he witnessed one of his pitchers issue.
- Kevin Barhorst, Columbus OH
I think most agree with your point, but I have to say your friend was cheating, if he was the only one doing that!
Perhaps a revised schedule in head-to-head leagues to help eliminate the competitive edge one manager gets when he has six two-start pitchers versus the other guy's two. Maybe make the weeks and matchups only five or six days long. Or something along those lines.
- Frank Palmieri. Southington CT
Love that idea. I think having a five- or –six-day cycle would make it tough for some owners to keep track of which day they need to set their lineups, though. Perhaps just having roster deadlines twice a week would do the trick. Say Sunday and Wednesday.
This suggestion is along the lines of your "one universal league" suggestion: There should be a handicap system like in golf. Each league, like each golf course, could get a rating to determine its difficulty (an open 10-team mixed league with inexperienced players would get a low rating, while a 15-team NL- or AL-only league with experienced or "expert" players only would get a high rating), and then a player's score for that league (for handicap purposes) would be his overall finish multiplied by the league's rating. The player's overall handicap would be created by averaging his handicap scores for his various leagues, perhaps with a weighted system (as in golf's) that makes it easier for a good score to improve your handicap than it is for a bad score to worsen it. Then players could compare relative handicaps, talk trash over handicaps, public leagues could be set up so that players of similar handicaps competed against each other, etc. The system could be set up so that (again like in golf) a lower handicap is better; the hardest leagues would have a rating of 1, and the lowest possible handicap you could have would be 1 (you only played the hardest leagues and you've won every one--pretty much impossible).
- John M. Bellwoar
Now that is well thought out!
One category that we have that as had a major impact in our league is errors. A couple of years back the fourth place team was last in errors. If he had finished 5th he would have won. It's great to just look at the offense, but the errors make you think about those players who are defensively challenged. Sometimes the extra stats great offensive players provide are often offset by their defensive woes. It sucks looking at our daily stats and seeing a number in the error column, especially if there are more than one.
- Jerry Amirault, Rockland, MA
I am down with using defensive stats, but I think errors can be somewhat misleading when it comes to guys with great range who are charged errors for knocking down balls that other guys couldn't get to. I think if you add put outs as well, you might be onto something.
I don't like the idea of a power hitter having so much of an impact--a HR counts as a hit, RBI, and run scored. This affects three scoring categories.
- Kenny
Yes, but a homer actually produces a run and RBI, so why shouldn't that be reflected?
Until 2004, we ran our head-to-head league the old fashioned way (Excel spreadsheets), which allowed us one tweak that I've never seen any web based league offer: automatic lineups (i.e., at the end of the week, your player who made the most points at each position is the one that counts.) Sure it takes away the fun of making lineup decisions, but it also takes away the frustration of a player getting hurt on Monday, of a starter's Sunday start getting rained out, etc. Most of all, if you're watching a game on TV, and a player on your team is having a great outing, it's very frustrating to have him on your bench that particular week! In the end it also makes two good players at one position worth just as much as one stud and it values depth (therefore draft acumen) a lot more. We moved to a web-based commish system in 2005 out of laziness on my part, but all owners in our league miss this feature.
- Anonymous
I like that idea a lot. Why should owners be punished for starting a guy in a week when he goes into a slump or gets hurt?
Get the IRS to allow us… umm YOU to claim entry fees as a deductible expense.
- Bob Witmer, Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
Ooh, I like that!
The rule change I would love to pass along to yahoo would be to make head-to-head a category in rotisserie. So instead of 5x5, you play 5x6, with one of the categories being head-to-head wins. It would allow you to enjoy the excitement of head-to-head without sacrificing the things we love about roto.
- Greg
So a hybrid H2H/roto…interesting concept.
Fantasy baseball would be better if I could draft my favorite players, like Mickey Mantle, Roberto Clemente, and Whitey Ford. No, these HOFers won't show up in tomorrow's box scores, but the data is out there, it can be tied to a random number generator, so on a daily basis, I can compile stats from many bygone eras to simulate a game, and so can my head-to-head or roto opponent. No more rain-outs, season ending injuries, or strikes to kill the fantasy experience….I realize that Bob Gibson never actually pitched to Dante Bichette, but it's fantasy, so I can make the stretch. And here's the kicker - the season never has to end...
- Bob "Strawberry Fielders" Iliff
I don't know. There's something unsatisfying about using randomly generated stats.
Just a simple one, but I would like to see a way to improve the draft (for computer generated drafts). Instead of having to rank individual players, also have a "position round ranker," so that I could just say: Round 1 best available 1st Base, Round 2 best available OF, Round 3 best available OF, etc. That might prevent me from getting four 2nd basemen and three catchers again!
- Greg C., Germany
We should be able to trade spots prior to entering a fantasy draft. Trading a draft spot for several picks later on would make a draft, especially a live draft, more exciting!
- Anonymous
One element that is missing in most leagues is a way to control unfair trades. Giving a league commissioner veto power causes too many conflict of interest problems….Our league has come up with a solution that is working for us. We have HAL. HAL has a formula for assigning a trade value to every player in the league that is based on a combination of player projected performance and current performance. It pays a bonus for players whose salaries are lower than their current values but subtracts from trade value when the player's salary is higher than his value. This allows for protectable players to have a higher trade value than an unprotectable player. HAL issues all owners a spreadsheet each week that includes the trade values. All trades have to be within 25% of the TV to be a sanctioned trade. Trades that don't fit into HAL's 25% rule become unsanctioned trades and are allowed if: (1) Both owners pay their next years franchise fee upfront to the League Treasurer, and (2) All players received in an unsanctioned trade MUST be protected by the new owner next year.
- Anonymous
Guys who pitch and ditch in head to head leagues is another thing. If your team is so bad that you have to pitch and ditch to get W and Ks, find another game. All pitch and ditch is, is a loophole in the rules that guarantees you get Ws and Ks, unless your opponent has a career week or stoops to your level. Come on...have a little integrity for the game. Make a rule that a guy has to be on your roster for one week after you pick him up, or something like that, to stop pitch and ditch guys!
- Cale Tesch
What about winners leagues, where winners of leagues can face off against each other the next year? It would allow for players to play against new, tougher competition.
- AC from Boston
Much like with professional poker, media attention would make a huge difference. I'd like to see an expert's league draft televised (on ESPN14 or whatever). There is certainly enough interest--people follow these drafts via the internet and Lord knows it beats those nights in the sports bar watching WNBA highlights or international curling. Obviously you need to keep it fun, but I'm sure we could get Steve Lyons to drop his pants on camera or someone like David Ortiz or Curt Schilling to comment on why Armando Benitez was a questionable pick at #86.
- Todd Dell
I think it would be cool to try a fantasy baseball league where hitting is based not on player positions in the field, but where they bat in the order. Owners would field a team comprised of 1-9 hitters and one Util slot. Some players would be eligible at more than one spot in the order, depending on how many games they bat in each spot. Hell, you could even let NL pitchers bat in the 9 spot. I think it would be a more accurate reflection of managing a "real life" offense than the traditional system.
- Kirk Miller
Similar to "undroppable" players like Pujols, A-Rod and Reyes, there should be "undraftable" players like Prior, Wood, Harden and Griffey to protect unsuspecting owners from their own stupidity.
- Jules
Replace some of the traditional categories with new categories such as "Charges to the Mound", "Home Plate Collisions", "Sportscenter Highlights" (including highlights for alleged steroid use) and "Caught in Rundown" (obviously a negative stat similar to strikeouts), and pitching categories such as "Batters Hit", "Pick-offs," and "Pitching on less than four days' rest."
- Jules
Make baseball managers draftable players, and include categories such as "Visits to the Mound", "Confrontations with Plate Ump" (bonus points for kicking dirt on ump), "Standing During Game" and "Beanings Authorized." Imagine having the pitcher AND manager in a game where a player gets beaned. NICE.
- Jules
Create a Fantasy Baseball Wife Club. We all need something to entertain our wives with, besides the yapping about how much time we spend playing fantasy baseball...
- Jimmy Vainstein
Fantasy Baseball "Substitute Manager Service." When you are away from home and without a computer, who is going to save your team? Call 1800 WE-SET-YOUR-LINEUP (is the number too long???)
- Jimmy Vainstein
Fantasy Baseball "Debt Collector." He could put some of your best players on the DL if you don't pay your entry fee.
- Jimmy Vainstein
My suggestion would be to allow leagues to set maximums on the pitchers based on appearances rather than innings pitched. This would make those two-inning burnout starts really painful (as they should be). Currently you are punished for having a workhorse like Roy Halladay eat up eight innings to get a win when the same stats can be accomplished by old men like 55-pitch Mike Mussina who will get the win by only going the bare minimum of five innings. This would reflect real baseball much more accurately.
- Arik Kovacs, Toronto, Canada
***
With {your response to SG last week}, you have managed to be both stupid and sexist. Since when does a team name have to be masculine for it to "rate" on the Rotoworld site, which gladly takes both men's and women's money! What drivel. I agree with the guy you chastised, who asked that we might read more real baseball content. Grow up!
Anonymous
I don't want to grow up. I'm a Toys R Us kid.
I have to respectfully disagree on your assessment of head to head. I find head to head leagues the most fun of any format I've played. Here are the reasons I enjoy head to head. (1) Better smack talk opportunities. (2) It more closely mirrors a real game than a year-long points accumulation. Teams aren't measured by runs, RBI, HR, and steals over the course of a year. They are measured by wins and losses. In pro sports, a game is all about beating the team you are facing. (3) I find that H2H keeps losing owners more involved. While I can appreciate you feeling that a team with the 2nd most homers losing isn't fair, that happens in sports all the time. Teams lose 1-0 or 13-12 when they would have beaten every other team that day.
- Jeremy
Solid arguments, Jeremy.
You have some good ideas, but in my opinion the universal league isn't one of them. I am in a hockey league format that ranks ALL participants "overall" as well as in their league/division. I am a pretty good player. But when you look up and see that you are ranked 471 out of 20,453 players (even though it's a great % ranking) it sort of takes the wind out of your sails. I get what you want, but I think it has to be done on a smaller scale with divisional and league rankings too, so if you do well in your league or division you will be "happy" and still compete. I hate to think how many "managers" would drop out if they were in a universal type league that only showed this stat.
- Paul, AKA 3KrazeKatze I disagree. I think most owners would feel good about being in the top two percent or whatever. I mean that's like making fantasy baseball Mensa.

[Hache Man]

Prospects: Davis and Headley
There are many parallels that can be drawn between fantasy sports and the real world, the most popular of which is probably the stock market. It's an apt comparison, given the highly competitive nature, statistical analysis, and constant monitoring. In addition, common fantasy sports terms such as buy-low, sell-high, market value, and market inefficiency all make their way from Wall Street's game to ours. However, in planning my upcoming wedding, I've seen a striking number of similarities between the two events as well.

Weddings always end up costing more than originally hoped, kind of like the consistent stud or the popular sleeper in fantasy auctions. Injuries are bound to strike some of those involved in your wedding/team, with a relatives' fractured leg being the culprit in my experience. Several completely unforeseen issues will also pop up, such as a team demoting one of their best players or a tux rental shop improperly processing your order. And lastly, luck always rears its unbiased head, whether it is randomly inheriting a starter turned closer or being in the right place to catch the garter belt.

All of the above is a thinly veiled segue into my wedding taking place later this week. Since I'll be getting hitched on Friday and on a honeymoon for the week after, Aaron Gleeman will take over the Prospect Report for next week. He'll continue to monitor the week's callups and also provide other insights, so make sure to check it out.


Callups


Carlos Gomez – OF Mets – One of the prizes of the Mets' farm system, Gomez projects as a future All-Star at the big league level. Signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2002, Gomez has never put up the gaudy stat lines that one would expect from a top prospect. However, he's always been young for his leagues, has never embarrassed himself at any level, and, most importantly, Gomez possesses the raw tools necessary to develop into an excellent asset.

Gomez's speed on the bases and in the field rates among the best in the minors, as evidenced by his 139 steals in 333 games. He's also been caught stealing 22 percent of the time, but that's an acceptable rate as is and he should get better with more experience. Gomez has also hit for a respectable average in the minors, although he should be posting better than a .280 mark with his speed. The rest of Gomez's game needs work, as he'll have to improve his plate discipline and translate the raw power that he shows in batting practice into actual games. Still, there's plenty of time for the 21-year-old and the odds of those skills developing seem high.

Gomez was assigned to Triple-A New Orleans to start the season, and he was batting .286 with 17 steals before being promoted. That he had walked 15 times in 36 games was an important improvement. With Moises Alou on the disabled list and Lastings Milledge and Ben Johnson also unavailable, Gomez was promoted to the majors this past week. He'll start against left-handers until Alou returns, and he's fast enough to provide value in NL-only formats in the meantime. Those in keeper leagues will want to pursue Gomez aggressively, even if he's unlikely to have much of an impact until 2008 at the earliest. Recommendation: Claim in NL-only leagues for the short-term, claim in keeper formats.

Mike Fontenot – 2B Cubs – Although he's unlikely to have a career as a regular now, Fontenot was an intriguing prospect back when he was with the Orioles. A first round selection out of LSU in 2001, Fontenot was thought to be an advanced second basemen who would move quickly. The Orioles assigned him to High-A once he was ready to debut in 2002, but Fontenot struggled doing everything from hitting to fielding and baserunning.

The club promoted him to Double-A Bowie the next season anyway, and Fontenot responded with an impressive .325/.399/.481 line in 126 games. His stolen base percentage went up, he showed better control of the strike zone, and Fontenot also improved his power output, breathing life back into his prospect status. That his previous struggles were attributed to correctable vision issues also gave reason for optimism.

Fontenot hasn't done much worse over the last three seasons, but that he's regressed even a little while moving up the ladder means he hasn't been given a chance until now. The 5'8", 160-pound left-hander was off to a dominant start for Triple-A Iowa, batting .364 with 10 doubles, three triples, and six homers in 35 games. He's never shown that much power even in short stretches, so it's an encouraging development for the 26 year-old. That Mark DeRosa is hurting allowed for Fontenot to be recalled, but the team would probably prefer to play Ryan Theriot at second even if he DeRosa went down. Should a starting job open up, Fontenot would have to be considered with how hot he's been even though it's unlikely to continue. Recommendation: Ignore for now in NL-only leagues.

Garrett Jones – 1B Twins – The Twins were short potent bats with both Joe Mauer and Rondell White out, so they're going to give Jones a shot as a bench player for at least a few days. The 25-year-old first basemen was off to a fine start for Triple-A Rochester, batting .305 with nine doubles and five homers in 30 games. However, it's the third season the right-hander has spent at the level, and his plate discipline isn't likely to allow him to succeed in the majors. He does have 20-homer power and could be worth using in AL-only formats should he be given a full-time job. However, that's unlikely to happen even if he does hit well, which I'd bet against at this point. Recommendation: Ignore in AL-only leagues.

Fred Lewis – OF Giants – Lewis was a second round pick out of Southern University in 2002, and he gained momentum as a prospect following an impressive 2004 campaign. That year, Lewis hit .301 with 89 walks and 34 steals in 121 games for mostly High-A San Jose. However, there were downsides, as Lewis didn't show as much power as hoped with just 41 extra-base hits. He also struck out 114 times and was caught stealing 15 times, highlighting how raw he was despite being 23 and in High-A.

Lewis lost most of his luster as a prospect the following two seasons, failing to develop power or improve his baserunning while moving up to Double-A Norwich and Triple-A Fresno. However, Lewis was off to a better start for Fresno this year, hitting 15 extra-base hits and going 7-for-8 in stolen base attempts in just 29 games. With Dave Roberts out at least four weeks, Lewis will take over as the club's right fielder. That he has 30-steal speed and should get on base at a decent clip means he's worth a hard look in NL-only leagues even if he's unlikely to hit for average or power. He's 7-for-15 and has already hit for the cycle since being promoted, but don't expect results that lofty to continue. Recommendation: Claim in NL-only formats.

Jesse Litsch – RHP Blue Jays – The most interesting name for the short-term, Litsch was only a 24th round selection in 2004, but he was an intriguing draft-and-follow and signed with the Blue Jays the following summer. He looked strong in 15 games between short season and rookie ball, displaying impressive command while inducing plenty of ground balls. However, with a fastball that sits in the high-80s or low-90s, he'd have to prove his worth consistently in the minors to get a shot at the big leagues. He continued pitching well for Single-A Dunedin the following season, then struggled once facing the all-important Double-A test. His K/BB ratio was still a solid 54/13, but he surrendered 85 hits in 69 1/3 innings and was left with a 5.06 ERA.

Back in the Eastern League to start the season, opposing batters haven't made hard contact as often again Litsch. He's allowed just 22 hits in 37 2/3 innings and as a result recorded a 0.96 ERA. The right-hander needs to mix in his changeup more often, but he's got a curve and slider to offset his fastballs. He's also a smart pitcher and his ability to induce a ton of ground balls will help considerably.

In his first big league start on Tuesday, Litsch gave up one run in 8 2/3 innings against the Orioles for the win. That he walked three and struck out one doesn't bode so well for the future, but he did induce an impressive 21 ground ball outs. Litsch will serve as the club's fifth starter until Roy Halladay returns, although they can skip his spot again until May 26 if they chose. If they decide not to, Litsch can be claimed in AL-only leagues as he'll get the poor Orioles' offense again next time out. He's not for the risk averse, but there is some potential here. Recommendation: Claim in AL-only leagues.


Prospect Profiles


Wade Davis – RHP Devil Rays – I've written about the strength of the Devil Rays' system at length this season, including profiling a few Devil Ray minor leaguers. While I'm not looking to turn this space into a Devil Rays' prospect blog, the team has so many intriguing players that they command attention early and often. A look at the team's Triple-A rotation a few weeks ago revealed several quality prospects, but two of Tampa's better arms still reside in High-A in the form of Scott Lewis and Davis. We'll check in on Davis this week, with Lewis being a potential profile down the road.

A third round selection out of a Florida high school in 2004, Davis was a raw but talented right-hander that offered plenty of promise. He signed quickly and was assigned to Princeton of the Appalachian League, where he struggled finding the plate and missing bats. Rookie League batters made solid contact off Davis, belting eight homers and 71 hits in 57 2/3 innings of work. It was a disappointing debut, but the 6'5", 220-pounder still had the frame and fastball that interested scouts.

Moved up to Hudson Valley of the New York-Penn League in 2005, Davis looked stronger with a 2.72 ERA and 97/23 K/BB ratio in 86 innings of work. In addition, opposing hitters had a harder time making quality contact against him, and that resulted in the opposition batting just .234 with a .327 slugging percentage. Climbing the ladder one rung at a time, Davis moved up to Single-A Southwest Michigan in 2006 and continued dominating the opposition. Davis maintained strong ratios in most areas, with the exception being that his walks went up to 64 in 146 innings. It wasn't a big problem given that Davis also struck out 165 and yielded just five homers, but it highlighted one area for improvement.

Promoted to Vero Beach at the start of the 2007 campaign, Davis has continued his impressive ways with a 1.71 ERA and 38/12 K/BB ratio in 42 innings of work. That stat line also includes a seven-inning no-hitter that Davis threw two weeks ago, his second such performance in two seasons. That Davis is moving up the ranks so slowly means some caution should be exercised when projecting him to translate to a new level mid-season. A move up to Double-A could come as soon as the middle of June, and it will be interesting to see how the youngster handles it. Still just 21-years-old, there's plenty of time for Davis to get things straightened out if he does struggle initially.

Davis has the low-to-mid-90s fastball that scouts are looking for in a right-hander, and his big frame is certainly a plus as well. Davis also has a quality curve that generates swing-and-misses and he's made progress with his changeup, although there's still work that needs to be done there. Trusting his secondary offerings more often will be key to his development, as Davis tends to throw his fastball more than he should. Command also will an issue that needs to be worked on, but Davis has all of the tools to succeed as he continues learning more about the craft of pitching.

On potential alone, Davis would rank with the Top 10 pitching prospects out there. However, the command issues and the need for further development limit his ranking at this time. Still, he's a possible No. 2 starter who should at least serve as an average innings eater once breaking into the majors. The Devil Rays probably won't give him much opportunity to prove which camp he belongs in until 2009, but a strong performance after a mid-season promotion could alter that timetable. He'll be well worth watching for 2008, and those in keeper leagues should look to roster Davis.

Chase Headley – 3B Padres – The Padres traded promising young second basemen Josh Barfield to the Indians for Kevin Kouzmanoff this winter, then filled their vacancy at second base with Marcus Giles. The club must have felt they would be in better position to contend in 2007 and 2008 with the move, as the Padres were much deeper organizationally at third base than second. Part of that depth was Headley, and that the 22-year-old is looking more like a prospect than ever before might mean the club wishes it could undo the trade. Add in that Kouzmanoff has struggled to hit his way out of a paper bag, and it's a real possibility they'd be better off with Barfield back at second base and a stopgap at third.

Headley started his college career at the University of Pacific, and then transferred to Tennessee after his freshman season. The 6'2", 200-pounder had always hit for a solid average and shown good discipline at the plate, but he exploded in all areas as a junior. That season, Headley hit .387 and slugged .689 to go with an incredible 23/63 K/BB ratio. Those 63 walks were good for second in the nation, and it helped him to a ridiculous .530 on-base percentage. Since he had shown the ability to draw walks in bunches, Headley figured to head to a team that was more routed in statistical analysis. Indeed, he found a home with such a team in the form of the Padres after being selected 66th overall.

The most pressing question relating to Headley was his ability to hit for power, as he had a line drive swing and wasn't the strongest player despite a fairly big frame. His .268/.375/.441 line after debuting with Single-A Eugene was nothing fantastic given the level of play, but it wasn't an embarrassing start to his career either. Promoted to High-A Lake Elsinore to start the 2006 campaign, Headley posted similar numbers over a full season of work. His 33 doubles and 12 homers were less than expected from a third basemen, but his 96/74 K/BB ratio and .389 on-base percentage remained positives.

Continuing to climb the ranks, Headley looked to improve on his weaknesses at Double-A San Antonio in 2007. Thus far, he's done just that with a .348/.434/.574 line that's included 13 doubles and five homers to go with his usual excellent plate discipline. That he's playing in a hitter's league does help, but San Antonio isn't a particularly favorable stadium by itself and his performance should only be discounted so much. That he's generating a little more loft on the ball and still controlling the strike zone so well even while moving up in the minors are very strong signs.

Headley is a switch-hitter who's hit significantly better as a left-handed batter so far in his career, but he's not poor enough versus southpaws to require a platoon. That he has no speed to speak of, will top out at 20 homers if things go right, and will play half his games at Petco Park are all working against him. However, his strong on-base skills should guarantee him a shot when ready, which should be by the middle of next season.

The Padres are going to give Kouzmanoff every opportunity to remain a regular, but it's possible they'll move him to left field at some point. The club would certainly prefer not to given the spacious confines of their home park, but they're going to have to in order to fit both he and Headley in the lineup. 2006 first rounder Matt Antonelli could also be an option at third, but he's athletic enough to move to second base or possibly even center field, so he should be easy to find room for. In the end, the Padres will find a spot for all three, be it in their starting lineup or on another team's. Given his likelihood for a solid career, Headley is someone to target in deeper leagues. He could hit .290 with 15 homers and 80 RBI annually, and his other skills will keep him in the lineup consistently. If your league values walks, he's a much better option.

[Hache Man]

The Middle Finger Blues
Just 48 hours after manager Jim Leyland said he was "confident" that Jeremy Bonderman would be able to make his scheduled start Friday, the Tigers placed Bonderman on the disabled list with a cut on the middle finger of his right hand. Not wanting to give Virgil Vasquez another look after he was knocked around by the punchless Twins Sunday night, the Tigers will instead replace Bonderman by calling up Andrew Miller from Double-A.

The No. 6 overall pick in last June's draft and one of the best long-term prospects in baseball, Miller made his major-league debut pitching out of the bullpen down the stretch last season and struggled with his command. He began this year down at high Single-A and was only recently promoted to Double-A. Between the two levels, the 6-foot-6 left-hander has posted a 2.92 ERA, 35-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .254 opponent's batting average.

Those numbers are certainly plenty good for a 22-year-old, but they also suggest that he's likely not ready to dominate big-league hitters. Friday will be Miller's first major-league start and he has a good matchup against the Cardinals' struggling lineup, but he's a poor bet for immediate success. Toss in the fact that the Tigers hope Bonderman can return to the rotation after missing just a couple starts and Miller's short-term fantasy value is limited.

While Tigers fans get their first real look at the next young flamethrower for their potentially stacked long-term rotation, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* In other middle-finger news, a Bonderman-like situation is also playing out in Boston, with Josh Beckett being scratched from his scheduled start Friday with a cut on his right middle finger. Unlike the Tigers with Miller, the Red Sox don't have an elite pitching prospect to call up as Beckett's replacement—at least not with Jon Lester still coming back from forearm problems—so instead they appear likely to go with Kason Gabbard against the Braves.

While the Tigers are hoping that Bonderman can return from the disabled list after missing just one or two starts, the Red Sox have yet to put Beckett on the DL. In fact, the team is reportedly still holding out some hope that his finger can show enough improvement over the weekend for Beckett to start Monday against the Yankees. However, that seems unnecessarily risky in mid-May, especially for a guy with a history of finger problems, so don't count on it.

* NBCSPORTS.COM VIDEO: Gleeman Report – Aces Going Down

* Cole Hamels was perfect through 18 batters Wednesday night, but Rickie Weeks led off the seventh inning with an eight-pitch walk to ruin his perfect game. Hamels was visibly upset at himself for walking Weeks, but didn't have much time to dwell on it. J.J. Hardy stepped to the plate next and smacked the fourth pitch he saw for a two-run homer, simultaneously ending Hamels' bid for a no-hitter and a shutout.

Hamels recovered to last eight innings, allowing those two runs while racking up 11 strikeouts to improve to 6-1 with a 3.30 ERA. He's had ups and downs since being called up last season, but the 23-year-old left-hander is 15-9 with a 3.83 ERA in 32 career starts, which is essentially one full season. He's thrown 195 total innings over that span, racking up 215 strikeouts while handing out 65 walks and holding opponents to a .241 batting average on the way to a 1.23 WHIP.

* The A's received good news and bad news Wednesday regarding their closer situation. The good news is that Dr. Lewis Yocum examined Huston Street's injured elbow and determined that there was no structural damage. Street was placed on the disabled list Tuesday with an irritated right ulnar nerve, which is something that he could return from within a month barring a setback. The bad news is that the bullpen imploded for the second time in two games without Street.

With hip problems keeping would-be Street replacement Justin Duchscherer unavailable, Kiko Calero relieved Joe Blanton after eight solid innings and promptly coughed up a 4-3 lead to take the loss against the Royals. Calero has struggled all season, but with Street out and Duchscherer at best limited, there A's simply don't have many other options. Alan Embree, Jay Witasick, and recent call-up Connor Robertson could join the mix for saves.

AL Quick Hits: Felix Hernandez said Wednesday that his arm "feels good" after returning to the mound with 78 pitches Tuesday … Billy Butler will play primarily first base at Triple-A after being demoted Wednesday when Ryan Shealy (hamstring) returned from the disabled list … Jake Westbrook (oblique) began playing catch Tuesday, but is still several weeks from returning … Jon Lester (forearm) is scheduled to begin another minor-league rehab assignment Saturday at Triple-A … Now 37 years old, Troy Percival (elbow) is reportedly considering a comeback … Jim Thome (ribs) is unlikely to come off the DL until next week … David Riske picked up the save Wednesday, but Joakim Soria remains the primary closer until Octavio Dotel (oblique) returns … Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) could be headed to the DL pending an MRI Thursday … The Legend of Jack Cust lived on Wednesday, with a homer off left-hander Jimmy Gobble … Chien-Ming Wang looked strong tossing seven innings of one-run ball Wednesday and could come back on short rest to start Sunday.

NL Quick Hits: Manager Lou Piniella said Wednesday that the "chances are better than 50-50" that Derrek Lee (neck) will play Friday … Jose Reyes left Wednesday's game in the eighth inning with hamstring tightness, but said afterward that he expects to play Thursday … Chad Cordero worked as a setup man Wednesday, with Jon Rauch getting ninth-inning duties, but is expected to resume closing Friday … With Ryan Theriot taking over the leadoff spot, Alfonso Soriano will bat second for the first time since his rookie season … After a pain-free bullpen session Wednesday, John Smoltz (finger) is expected to make his scheduled start Saturday … Moises Alou (quadriceps) will be placed on the disabled list Thursday, with Endy Chavez and Carlos Gomez continuing to sub for him … Back in the Marlins' closer mix, Kevin Gregg picked up his second save Wednesday … Mark Reynolds went 2-for-4 with two RBIs in his debut Wednesday, and has NL-only value with Chad Tracy (oblique) out … The Padres are reportedly considering bringing the fences at Petco Park in further, which would have a big fantasy impact.

[Hache Man]

Bullpen Report: Week 7
The news of the week was Athletics' closer Huston Street hitting the disabled list earlier in the week. We at Rotoworld had hyped him as one of the top closers to target this spring, given his typical draft position. He had been cooperating nicely before the injury, posting a 2.50 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and nine saves. However, irritation in his right ulnar nerve caused Street to be put on the shelf. It's an injury that could require just a two-week stint away from action, or it could develop into a larger issue that requires surgery and a three-month absence. On the positive side, an examination showed no structural damage on Wednesday and it seems more likely it will be a short-term injury. Those who have Street should stick with him through the 15 days, and it's not worth panicking and looking to acquire one of the club's setup men at this time.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Secure)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten, Brandon Medders

Another solid week from Valverde, who pitched two scoreless innings and recorded a save. Valverde's ERA is back down to a respectable 3.37, and a further decline back down below 3.00 will make him a good sell-high option again. Pena remains next in line and has given up just three runs in 22 1/3 innings of work.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Soriano, Mike Gonzalez (Injured), Oscar Villarreal, Chad Paronto

Wickman returned from the disabled list this week to throw two scoreless innings in non-save situations. He's still a risk for the back strain that limited him recently to act up again, and additional injuries can't be ruled out as well. Soriano remains next in line given how well he performed with Wickman out of action. Gonzalez is on the disabled list with an elbow strain after seeing his velocity decrease recently. The elbow issue isn't likely to go away any time soon, giving Soriano more job security as Wickman's replacement.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (Locked In)

Key setup men: Danys Baez, Chad Bradford, Jamie Walker

When Ray isn't having a good day, he tends to have really poor days. The right-hander had given up runs in just two outings entering this week, but both involved yielding grand slams. This week, Ray struggled against the Red Sox as the Orioles blew a five run lead in the ninth. He gave up three runs – one earned – and allowed the winning run to score when he dropped a throw to first base that would have ended the game. He remains an excellent bet to improve on last year's numbers, so perhaps his high-profile struggles mean he can be acquired at a discount.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Hideki Okajima, Joel Pineiro, Mike Timlin (Injured)

it was a slow week for Papelbon, who pitched just once and it happened to be in a non-save situation. Okajima continues to look like one of the better eighth inning options in the league. Maybe batters will have an easier time adjusting to his delivery after a while, but it's still going to be a problem even after seeing it several times. I wouldn't expect a sharp drop-off in the second half.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (Locked In)

Key setup men: Bob Howry, Kerry Wood (DL), Scott Eyre, Mike Wuertz

It was a slow week for Dempster as well, who pitched just once but was fortunate enough to record a save. Howry has struggled in his last three outings, giving up a total of six runs and raising his ERA to the mid-4.00s. It's probably nothing to worry about, but Wuertz would become next in line should Howry have extended problems.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Mike MacDougal, David Aardsma, Matt Thornton, Nick Masset

Jenks retired just one batter this week, but it was his only appearance and it was good enough to pick up a save. On Wednesday, manager Ozzie Guillen stuck with Thornton to pick up a four-out save. The left-hander retired Bobby Abreu to end the eighth with the White Sox up two runs, and was left in for the ninth despite only one left-hander being scheduled to bat. It's likely that Guillen went this route since it was the first game of a doubleheader, and he could now use Jenks in case of a lead in the second. MacDougal and Aardsma remain better bets for saves going forward.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Mike Stanton, Todd Coffey, Jon Coutlangus, Eddie Guardado (Injured)

Weathers hadn't been pitching much of late, recording a save in 2 2/3 innings of work this week before pitching three innings of scoreless relief for a win on Tuesday. His ERA is down to 1.89, and he's got plenty of job security right now. Eddie Guardado is currently rehabbing from Tommy John surgery and is due back in June. However, he's unlikely to get any save opportunities in the second half. Weathers hasn't deserved to lose his job yet, and Guardado is no lock to return to form after a quick recovery from the surgery. Maybe he'll get a shot anyway if Weathers goes down, but I don't think he's worth a roster spot as of yet.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Shaky)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Fernando Cabrera, Roberto Hernandez, Tom Mastny

Borowski blew another save and took a loss this week after being charged with four runs in a game against the Athletics. The right-hander entered with a two-run lead, but a two-out single by Eric Chavez and a homer by Milton Bradley tied the game up. Two more singles chased Borowski from the game, with Cabrera giving up a walk-off homer to Jack Cust. Borowski can afford one or two outings like this, but anything more than that in a short period of time and he'll have to be replaced. Cabrera has lost it as of late and his ERA is up to 4.24, meaning Betancourt is locked in as the choice should Borowski get replaced.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Brian Fuentes (Secure)

Key setup men: Manny Corpas, Ramon Ramirez, LaTroy Hawkins (DL)

Fuentes had another strong week, throwing three scoreless innings and recording a pair of saves. He's now gone eight straight appearances without allowing a run, dropping his ERA to 2.37. The Rockies have to love it, as the better he looks the more desirable he'll be in trade talks come July. Corpas continues to look excellent with a 1.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney, Wilfredo Ledezma

Waiting for Jones to get injured or see his performance decline has been like watching paint dry. All he's done is continue to do a solid job in the role, with little reason for the club to worry going forward. His advanced age means he's still a risk, but he's looked better than he did last year. Rodney is doing a fine job in eighth inning duties with Zumaya out. His overall ERA of 4.74 is scary, but he's been much better than that in previous seasons and he's given up only two earned runs in his last eight innings of work. He's well worth utilizing in AL-only formats.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Henry Owens (Injured), Taylor Tankersley (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Matt Lindstrom, Kevin Gregg

Manager Fredi Gonzalez paid lip service to Jorge Julio returning to the closer's role at some point for the Marlins, and the club promptly dealt him as far away as possible. Maybe it was just posturing, or maybe the higher ups didn't want Gonzalez following through with his plan. It's not as if the club has been averse to meddling in a manager's affairs before.

Owens was sent to the disabled list this week with shoulder cuff tendonitis. That means Tankersley is the favorite for saves at the moment despite blowing his first opportunity after a rain delay on Saturday. If Tankersley can't get the job done, Lindstrom will be given a chance. Tankersley has more long-term potential, but he hasn't been great since returning to the majors and is unlikely to be an average closer in the short-term.

Houston Astros

Closer: Dan Wheeler (Secure)

Key setup men: Brad Lidge, Chad Qualls, Trever Miller

Wheeler gave up one run in a non-save situation on Sunday, then rebounded with a scoreless ninth for a save on Wednesday. He's done nothing to hurt his status as closer, but some in the organization will start pushing for Lidge with his ERA back down to 3.38. Wheeler shouldn't have to worry for the short-term, but Lidge could take over again in the second half even if Wheeler has just a few poor outings.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Octavio Dotel (DL), Joakim Soria (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Joel Peralta, David Riske

With Dotel down in the minors on a rehab assignment, Soria's days of having value are numbered. Dotel should be back some time next week, pushing Soria back to a setup role. Since he's done a solid job filling in during the ninth, Soria can't be dropped in most formats. Dotel remains an injury risk and is likely to be dealt at some point, giving Soria plenty of long-term value. Riske picked up a save this week after Soria had pitched the previous two days, and he remains third in line at the moment.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier (DL), Darren Oliver, Dustin Moseley

Shields' struggles early in the season were of some concern, but he's given up just two runs over his last 11 innings of work. Still, even during that stretch he's struck out just seven and walked five, so Shields hasn't been his dominant self. A few more hits dropping in could result in Shields' ERA spiking if he can't control the walks more, but it's only of mild concern for now. If you can get top dollar for him, maybe it's worth shifting the risk to someone else.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Chad Billingsley, Rudy Seanez, Chin-Hui Tsao

It's pretty difficult to beat the 23/2 K/BB ratio that Saito is currently sporting, and his 1.42 ERA and 0.79 WHIP aren't too shabby either. He's a top five closer right now. Broxton continues to compile strikeouts and scoreless innings, and he'll be an excellent closer in his own rite some day.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva

Cordero recorded five saves in five days last week, then didn't make a single appearance this week. It's likely for the best even if his fantasy owners saw no benefit to owning him this week. Turnbow was running well, and then gave up four runs to take a loss on Monday and one run to take a loss on Tuesday. It's too early to write him off as next in line given how dominant he looked prior to those pair of outings, but it's concerning given how quickly he fell from grace in 2006.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Juan Rincon, Jesse Crain (Injured), Pat Neshek

Nathan made just one appearance this week, striking out two and allowing no runs in a non-save situation. Crain is out for the season with a torn labrum and a torn rotator cuff, an unfortunate double-whammy for the young right-hander. Rincon and Neshek will be leaned on for quality innings more often now, meaning both could be up for more vulture wins.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Pedro Feliciano, Joe Smith

The starting pitching is the biggest surprise for the Mets in the early going, but their bullpen has remained a point of strength as well. Wagner has been unhittable, Smith and Feliciano have ERAs that begin with a one, and Heilman has been his normal steady self. It's much more likely that their bullpen remains an asset than their starting pitching, making all of the above worth consideration in NL-only formats.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Kyle Farnsworth, Scott Proctor, Luis Vizcaino

Rivera still has a disappointing three saves on the season, but at least he's thrown three straight scoreless innings. Returning to his Hall of Fame form for the rest of the season doesn't seem likely at this point, but he is still capable of an ERA around 3.00. He's still a fine buy-low option.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Huston Street (Injured), Justin Duchscherer (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Kiko Calero, Alan Embree, Jay Witasik

With Street on the disabled list, manager Bob Geren has chosen to go with Duchscherer in save situations despite the right-hander battling an arthritic hip condition. It seemed as if Duchscherer was headed for the disabled list before Street went down, so expectations should be kept modest. Still, he's talented enough to try and work through it and he's worth a claim in all leagues as a result. That said, Duchscherer has been unavailable the previous two days, resulting in an Embree/Witasik combination getting a chance on Tuesday and Calero one on Wednesday. Both groups blew their opportunities, but Calero remains the favorite should Duchscherer remain unavailable.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Tom Gordon (Injured), Brett Myers (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Ryan Madson (DL), Geoff Geary

Nobody ever doubted Myers' ability to dominate hitters as a reliever, and he's followed through by yielding just two runs in 17 2/3 innings since being removed from the rotation. Given how he's pitched, the club is likely going to try and find an excuse to move Gordon to an eighth inning role when he's back later in the month. Trading Gordon back to the American League could be an option, but that seems more likely to happen after he's proven he's healthy.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Salomon Torres (Secure)

Key setup men: Matt Capps, Damaso Marte, Jonah Bayliss,

Capps appeared ready to overtake Torres for closing duties a few weeks ago, but Torres has now run off six straight scoreless innings. He's pitched well enough to be able to afford a few poor outings, so don't expect Capps to get any save chances in the near future. He's still worth holding onto in NL-only formats, however.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Cla Meredith, Heath Bell

Back-to-back blown saves have set Hoffman off on a roll, as he's thrown eight scoreless innings since the pair of bad outings. Meredith hasn't pitched in a week after giving up seven runs over his last four outings. Perhaps the club just wanted to give him a rest, or perhaps he was being by a nagging injury and the club wanted to avoid a DL stint. Linebrink is back looking like the top-notch setup man that owners invested in this winter.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Armando Benitez (Secure)

Key setup men: Brad Hennessey, Kevin Correia, Steve Kline, Jonathan Sanchez, Vinnie Chulk

Benitez blew a save against the Astros on Tuesday, giving up a game-tying homer to Hunter Pence in the eighth inning. Benitez still hasn't recorded a save since April 26, but that's been largely circumstance and not his own fault. Hennessey remains the least exciting backup option in the majors.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, Chris Reitsma, Julio Mateo

Putz gave up one run in back-to-back outings in mid-April, and has thrown 12 2/3 scoreless innings since. Morrow has a poor 14/12 K/BB ratio, but he hasn't given up a run since April 20 and he has the fastball to weather a few more walks than normally desired. He's the club's eighth inning option at the moment.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Tyler Johnson, Russ Springer

Isringhausen has fully recovered from hip surgery this past off-season, and is hardly worth mentioning as a risk at this point. With Brad Thompson heading to the rotation, Franklin is strangely next in line right now. He wouldn't be a very good bet to be an average closer even with his fast start as a reliever, but he'd be worth claiming should he get an opportunity. He's worth stashing away in NL-only leagues.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Secure)

Key setup men: Chad Orvella, Brian Stokes, Shawn Camp

It's been business as usual for Reyes, who still has a 1.45 ERA and a WHIP hovering around 0.50. Juan Salas' 50-game suspension for using performance-enhancing drugs is a setback for the future. Orvella becomes the second-half and 2008 sleeper for saves given how well he was pitching in Triple-A before being recalled. That he's walked four in two innings since returning gives reason for pause, but he's still worth rostering.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Eric Gagne

Key setup men: Akinori Otsuka, Joaquin Benoit, C.J. Wilson

Gagne has thrown three scoreless innings and picked up a win since returning from the disabled list last week. He remains the short-term favorite for saves, but Otstuka is still worth holding on to given Gagne's injury and performance concerns.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Shaky)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Jason Frasor, Shaun Marcum

B.J. Ryan is out for the year after undergoing Tommy John surgery, and Frasor pitched his way out of ninth inning duties with three straight poor performances. That means the Blue Jays will turn to their third closer of the year in Accardo. The right-hander has done a fine job with three saves in scoreless outings since taking over for Frasor. The club will probably stick with him through a poor outing or two, but Janssen is waiting in the wings should the team look for a fourth option. Accardo is worth claiming in all leagues, and Janssen is worth stashing in AL-only leagues.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome, Ryan Wagner (DL)

Cordero missed nine days after going on the bereavement list, allowing Rauch to pick up two saves in his absence. Cordero will be eased back into the closer's role, but it shouldn't be more than another outing or two before he returns. Rauch has some short-term value in NL-only formats.

[Hache Man]

Closer flops can be costly
There are a lot of irritated B.J. Ryan owners out there.

The season officially came to an end for the Toronto Blue Jays closer last week when he had Tommy John ligament-replacement surgery. Elbow problems had been bothering him since March. The warning signs were there when he pitched only four innings in spring training, but the team said he was being rested because of a bad back.

No problem. Teams are often cautious with their star players when the games don't mean anything. As a reliever, Ryan could afford to take time off and still be ready to pitch the ninth inning once the regular season started.

However, the team knew something that no one else did.

"First of all, it wasn't B.J. Ryan's back that was bothering him," general manager J.P. Ricciardi said recently on a Toronto radio show. "It was his elbow that was bothering him. So we said it was his back so we could have a little bit more time."

Even the experts were stunned by the news. "I didn't see or hear anything regarding the elbow. Every note I have from March said it was his back," says Rick Wilton, publisher of the Baseball Injury Report, which analyzes injuries from a fantasy perspective.

There's a huge difference between a sore back and an elbow problem that eventually leads to season-ending surgery. Fantasy owners who took the Blue Jays at their word in the spring and bid on Ryan now have huge holes in their rosters.

Ricciardi's admission after the fact is no consolation. "It's not lies if we know the truth," he said.

Hopefully, this incident involving deliberate misinformation is an isolated one. But it will put the Blue Jays under increased scrutiny going forward whenever they have an injured player.

The reason the Jays were able to fool the rest of the baseball world stems from new guidelines this season that limit the medical information teams can release without a player's consent. While this might be a positive thing for individual privacy, it makes fantasy decisions much more difficult.

"Injury information is definitely getting harder to get," Wilton says. "In the past we got details regarding the surgery or injury. Now it's a lot more generalized. I think it's going to get worse; I just don't know how much."

It's now extremely tough to tell whether a slumping player is simply going through the ups and downs of a season or whether he has a hidden injury that's affecting his play.

If there's a bright side to all of this, at least Major League Baseball isn't as bad as the NFL, where teams routinely disguise injuries by listing players as "probable" with the same ailments week after week.

At least there are baseball games — and reporters in clubhouses — just about every day to verify the official information from the teams. But as we've seen with Ryan, that still might not be enough interference.

The Ryan situation just adds to a season that's been even more unpredictable than usual for closers.

Francisco Cordero and Todd Jones lead the major leagues in saves. Jose Valverde, Takashi Saito and Salomon Torres are on top in the NL. None of them were projected to be among their league's top five closers.

Let's look back at the Leagues of Alternative Baseball Reality (LABR) draft prices of the top closers, along with their stats through Wednesday:

American League

($29) Joe Nathan … 1-1, 8 saves, 2.70 ERA
($27) Francisco Rodriguez … 0-2, 12 saves, 2.60 ERA
($27) Mariano Rivera … 1-3, 3 saves, 6.59 ERA
($25) B.J. Ryan …0-2, 3 saves, 12.46 ERA
($25) J.J. Putz … 0-0, 9 saves, 1.08 ERA

National League

($24) Billy Wagner … 0-0, 9 saves, 0.53 ERA
($21) Brad Lidge … 2-0, 0 saves, 3.38 ERA
($20) Chad Cordero … 0-0, 4 saves, 4.15 ERA
($20) Takashi Saito … 1-0, 13 saves, 1.42 ERA
($19) Trevor Hoffman … 2-2, 10 saves, 3.45 ERA

While it's still early in the season, it's fair to say at least four of those 10 closers have been major disappointments.

And with the exception of the Milwaukee Brewers' Cordero (major league-leading 15 saves, 0.54 ERA), the closers who have racked up the most saves have been far from dominant. Jones (13 saves) holds opponents to a batting average of below .200, but he rarely strikes anyone out (3.5 K/9). All those balls in play should eventually catch up to him. Torres has 11 saves, but he has also blown three others and owns an untidy 4.76 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Joe Borowski's 12 saves are countered by an ERA of 9.00.

Need more evidence of unpredictability? Dan Wheeler, Al Reyes and Brett Myers are closing games now. Five Atlanta Braves pitchers have at least one save. Four Florida Marlins do — and that doesn't include Jorge Julio, whom the team acquired to close, then traded.

If there's any lesson to be learned, it's that it makes sense to invest sparingly in search of saves.

[Hache Man]

Breakout Season For Blanton?
A review of good advice from last week: recommendations to pick up Jeremy Accardo and John Danks. Not so good: the recommendation to start Anthony Lerew against the Pirates. You win some, you lose some. Let's dive right in for Week 7.

(Sidenote: I refer to BABIP a few times in this column. That refers to Batting Average on Balls In Play. So when the hitter makes contact and the ball doesn't leave the yard, how many drop in for hits? Pitchers can exert some control over this, yes, but there's a lot of luck in there too. So a guy with a very low BABIP, like Jason Bergmann, is likely to see his hit rate and WHIP rise. On the other hand a high BABIP guy like Freddy Garcia will see his hit rate and WHIP fall with regression to the mean.)

American League

Devern Hansack, SP, BOS – Hansack gets the call in place of Josh Beckett and faces the Braves today. The Nicaraguan has decent breaking stuff and could succeed in the bigs if his command is there. He's a risky choice for two starts in AL-only, but there are worse options. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

Matt Thornton, RP, CHA – Yes, Thornton snagged a save Wednesday against the Yanks, but there's no reason to run out and pick him up. Ozzie Guillen was just playing matchups and keeping Bobby Jenks fresh for the second game of the doubleheader. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

Toby Hall, C, CHA – It's been impressive to see Hall recover so rapidly from a labrum injury that could've ended his season. He'll likely start for the Sox against southpaws (today against Ted Lilly for example), and should be picked up if he's available in a two-catcher AL-only league. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

Andrew Miller, SP, DET – The big groundballing lefty with the mid-90s heat and nasty slider steps in today for his first big league start. He'll be sent back down afterwards. His command could still use a little work, and he's got less than 20 innings above A ball. He's a fine gamble against the listless St. Louis offense, and a quality keeper. As far as AL-only value this year, I think it'll be minimal. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Ryan Shealy, 1B, KCA – His hamstring strain healed, Shealy rejoined the Royals' lineup Wednesday with a pair of singles. I don't know why his bat has been anemic this year, but he almost has nowhere to go but up. Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA system, for example, projects a .262/.330/.476 line. Could be a decent buy-low in AL-only. AL: $6, Mixed: No.

Odalis Perez, SP, KCA – Perez's overall numbers don't impress, but he is on a bit of a roll over his last five starts with a 3.48 ERA. While his groundball rate is up from last year (he's added a sinker), it's still well below where it was in his prime. I was thinking about recommending him in a deep AL-only, but with a strikeout rate under 4 per nine I still have to pass. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

David Riske, RP, KCA – The KC closer situation doesn't translate well to fantasy baseball at the moment. Riske picked up the save on Wednesday, as Joakim Soria's been battered in May. Soria's at least whiffed a batter per inning, but the lack of home runs allowed in 18 innings is a major fluke for a flyball pitcher. Neither player comes recommended, and Octavio Dotel may be back any day now. I'd opt for the unknown and take Dotel if possible. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

Scott Baker, SP, MIN – The 25 year-old Baker is getting another shot in the Twins' rotation with the release of Sidney Ponson. He posted a sick 10.25 K/BB in six Triple A starts. Command has never been a problem – he had a 3.88 K/BB in the Majors last year. His hit and home run rates, however, were insanely bad. There's some luck in there, but plenty of it was Baker too. He's still a worthwhile gamble in AL-only. He may be traded if he doesn't stick this time. AL: $5, Mixed: No.

Kiko Calero, RP, OAK – The normally solid Calero has been lousy this year. He got the save chance Wednesday night against the Royals and blew it. Nonetheless, he's probably the best choice for saves when The Duke is indisposed. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Justin Duchscherer, RP, OAK – Speaking of The Duke, he'd make a great pickup in Huston Street's absence if he was healthy. A cortisone shot in his ailing hip probably won't allow him to pitch until Sunday or Monday. AL: $10, Mixed: $2.

Joe Blanton, SP, OAK – Blanton has been a very popular mixed league add this week. In nine starts, he has a 3.32 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 7.1 K/9. Nice to see the improved K rate and control compared to career norms. You do have to be careful on the 7.94 hits per nine, though his BABIP is reasonable. If he keeps it up, his hit rate would probably be top five in baseball at the end of the year. Ultimately the hit rate should settle in between the extremes of 2005 and 2006, maybe a hit per inning or a little better. AL: $24, Mixed: $10.

Greg Norton, 1B/OF, TBA – Norton should come off the DL soon to make his season debut. He's an unheralded source of pop in AL-only, and may be lingering on your waiver wire because of his knee injury. Playing time for both Norton and Jonny Gomes should increase while Rocco Baldelli is out. AL: $9, Mixed: No.

Victor Diaz, OF, TEX – Diaz and Nelson Cruz will gain playing time with Brad Wilkerson out of the outfield picture for two weeks or so. Neither has impressed, though Cruz has been particularly bad. Diaz may be worth a look in the short-term in AL-only. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Jesse Litsch, SP, TOR – The 22 year-old righty burst onto the scene Tuesday night with a near complete game against the Orioles, allowing one run. He's a back-rotation type who will aggressively pitch to contact and put the ball where he wants it. Some nights all the grounders will be caught; other nights eight of them will snake through. Throw done a buck or two in a deep AL-only but don't get too excited. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

National League

Mark Reynolds, 3B, ARI – Reynolds was playing mostly third base but plenty of second at Double A Mobile. He's been called up to replace Chad Tracy at third. He's an all-offense, no glove type infielder, and he could have a Dan Uggla-like bat. He's a good pickup if you're in a deep NL-only and are looking for 6-8 home runs in 150 at-bats. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C, ATL – With the release of Craig Wilson, Salty will stay in the bigs as Scott Thorman's platoon partner at first base. He'll be the half that faces most lefties. It's a curious decision in that it doesn't seem good for his development. If Salty's minor league work determines your position eligibility, he's a nice find at catcher. Of course, he remains a fantastic keeper if he has catcher eligibility. NL: $4, Mixed: No.

Rafael Soriano, RP, ATL – With Mike Gonzalez on the shelf, Soriano is the clear second in line for saves in Atlanta. The Braves don't want Bob Wickman pitching in back-to-back games initially, so Soriano can still get you some saves. NL: $7, Mixed: $1.

Mike Fontenot, 2B, CHN – Fontenot has more pop than former double play partner Ryan Theriot, but less speed. He'll help out while Mark DeRosa is hurting. Lou likes to use his entire bench, but it's still hard to see Fontenot getting much PT unless someone else gets hurt. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Taylor Buchholz, SP, COL - ***DEEP SLEEPER OF THE WEEK*** Looking for a guy likely to be unowned in even the deepest NL-only leagues? Look no further than Buchholz, he of the 7.52 ERA. Buchholz has been victim to the worst Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP) in baseball at .404. If you look at the aspects mostly under his control, however, he fares well. He's got a decent 6.15 K/9, 2.73 BB/9, and 0.68 HR/9.

Buchholz was absolutely tattooed last time out against the Giants. The good news is, things can't get much worse for him. He's the ultimate buy-low in an ultra-deep league. Buchholz draws the Royals at Coors on Saturday, and remains risky. Still, there are some skills here if you squint real hard. Rodrigo Lopez probably won't be back to take his spot until the 29th. For now, pick him up in NL-only and stick him on your bench. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Kevin Gregg, RP, FLA – The last Florida save chance, on Wednesday, went to Gregg. He pitched a perfect ninth against the Bucs and has a 2.63 ERA plus strong peripherals. Taylor Tankersley could sneak in there based on matchups, but Gregg looks like the guy for saves at least until Henry Owens returns. That should be around May 24th. NL: $9, Mixed: $2.

Byung-Hyun Kim, SP, FLA – Kim makes his Marlin debut today against the Devil Rays. I think he can succeed to a degree in Florida, but then again I thought the same about Jorge Julio. Among current D-Rays who've faced him, Kim has mostly held them at bay with the exception of a Greg Norton home run. He can provide some Ks for the mildly desperate NL-only player. NL: $3, Mixed: No.

Randy Wolf, SP, LAN – Wolf is a popular mixed league add this week. I fully support that – his K/BB is among the best in baseball at 4.43. Plus, his K/9 is a very surprising 10.5 per nine so far this year. I don't think any fantasy baseball forecaster thought Wolf could approach 200 strikeouts this year, but it seems possible now. His career high was 177 back in '03. NL: $26, Mixed: $13.

Carlos Gomez, OF, NYN – Gomez is a highly rated multi-tool center fielder, but he finds himself in the corners with Moises Alou's injury. His power is still raw but his stolen base total should reflect his excellent speed. This looks like a two week taste for Gomez until Alou heals up. He's a smart NL-only pickup for steals and a definite keeper. NL: $6, Mixed: No.

Noah Lowry, SP, SFN – Lowry seems to have transformed himself – he was a strikeout pitcher in '05, then the Ks evaporated in '06 but he became more of a flyball pitcher. This year, while the strikeouts are still lacking, Lowry has a career-best 48.1% groundball rate. He's had three solid starts this month, leading to many mixed league pickups. With his walk and strikeout rates looking lousy, and his hit rate screaming fluke, I'm going to pass. NL: $13, Mixed: $2.

Fred Lewis, OF, SFN – Lewis is a great athlete with a 20/20 skillset and patience at the plate. He'll bat second and play right field for the Giants for at least a month while Dave Roberts is out. Decent pickup for steals and runs and a solid keeper. NL: $5, Mixed: No.

Jason Bergmann, SP, WAS – Bergmann was another popular addition this week with a dominant effort to beat John Smoltz and the Braves. I see his WHIP jumping to the 1.40 range once the hits even out. He's good for strikeouts in NL-only, but there's reason for caution. Throw in the elbow tightness and you have a risky pick if he doesn't come cheap. NL: $10, Mixed: No.

Micah Bowie, SP, WAS – Once upon a time, Bowie was a well-regarded southpaw prospect sent from the Braves to the Cubs for Terry Mulholland and Jose Hernandez at the 1999 trading deadline. He was horrible for Chicago in 11 starts (it's not easy to post a 9.96 ERA over 47 innings). The Cubs released him the following year. He hooked on with the A's as a reliever, got a bum elbow, and found himself a Washington farmhand. He's now worked his way all the way back into a starting rotation, this time in place of Jerome Williams. Bowie is an unlikely candidate for NL-only value, but he has a cool name and you have to root for the underdog. NL: No, Mixed: No.

[Hache Man]

Lincecum Dominates Astros
Back when I was in journalism school at the University of Minnesota—learning about the inverted pyramid and practicing obituaries while dreaming about covering baseball—one of the best pieces of advice that anyone gave to me was that you never know who might be reading. It seems simple and obvious, of course, but it's a good way to avoid putting out anything less than your best work.

I was reminded of that lesson earlier this week when Twins pitcher Pat Neshek revealed in an ESPN.com interview that he starts each morning by "checking Rotoworld player news." Curt Schilling has stolen his thunder, but Neshek was actually one of the first professional athletes to take up blogging several years ago. He's also given tons of interviews to other Twins bloggers and places like ESPN.com have recently taken notice of his fan-friendly approach.

In other words, it probably shouldn't have come as a surprise that Neshek is a Rotoworld fan. Actually, as a 26-year-old baseball nut and self-professed "info freak" who admits to spending "about two hours a day on the internet," Neshek fits right into our main demographic. You know, aside from the part about throwing 90 miles per hour from a wacky sidearm delivery and posting a 1.95 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 55.1 career innings.

While Neshek owners join me in thanking him for being one of the top non-closer relievers in fantasy baseball over the past two seasons—and I thank him for reading—here are some other notes from around baseball …

* After constantly hyping Tim Lincecum by the way of "The Lincecum Watch," I received a bunch of annoyed e-mails following his rough big-league debut earlier this month. However, I'm happy to report that Daily Dose's favorite pitching prospect has improved with each start since, turning in a dominant two-hit, 10-strikeout performance Thursday against the Astros. Through three starts, Lincecum is 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA, 21-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.15 WHIP in 18.1 innings.

* Signed this winter to help replace Adam LaRoche, Craig Wilson went 10-for-58 (.172) with just one homer before the Braves released him Thursday. In a corresponding move, the Braves demoted Brayan Pena to Triple-A and decided to keep Jarrod Saltalamacchia in the majors. Salty will take over for Pena as Brian McCann's backup behind the plate, but also figures to see playing time at first base against left-handed pitching.

When facing a southpaw, the Braves can go with McCann at catcher and Salty at first base or Salty at catcher and Scott Thorman at first base. It's not an ideal situation and Wilson is still a capable platoon starter against lefties, but the Braves weren't interested in giving him time to turn things around. Expect Wilson to land somewhere in a bench role and don't be surprised if Saltalamacchia ends up back in the minors if manager Bobby Cox can't find him regular at-bats.

* Just when everyone was ready to write him off after years of frustrating fantasy owners with injuries and poor play, Bobby Crosby is back on the radar. Crosby homered Thursday for the third time this month and is hitting .310 with an .872 OPS in May. Most importantly, he's stayed injury free while playing in 36 of the A's 40 games. Is it time to jump back on the Crosby bandwagon? I remain skeptical, but Tyler Bleszinski of Athletics Nation provided an A's fanatic's point of view on NBCSports.com's "Fantasy Fix" show.

* Don't be fooled by his record: Johan Santana is pitching about as well as ever. Santana has a 3.26 ERA, 67-to-16 strikeout-to-walk ratio, 1.12 WHIP, and .228 opponent's batting average through 58 innings, but has just four wins to show for it because the Twins' lineup has given him very little run support. In Santana's nine starts, the Twins have scored 0, 3, 2, 3, 3, 6, 2, 3, and 7 runs, which works out a measly 3.2-run average. The AL average is 4.7 runs per game.

Santana gave up just two runs while racking up a season-high 11 strikeouts in seven innings Thursday against the league-leading Indians offense, but Fausto Carmona tossed a complete-game shutout against the punchless Twins. Originally put into the rotation as an injury replacement for Cliff Lee and then kept as a starter when Jake Westbrook went down, Carmona is now 5-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in seven starts.

His long-term upside is limited somewhat by a lack of strikeouts, but Carmona looked absolutely overpowering Thursday thanks to a fastball that had ridiculous movement. Two of Carmona's seven starts have come against the Twins, who've made an awful lot of pitchers look like Cy Young contenders already this season, but he's also shut down the Yankees, A's, and Orioles (twice). Since a bad outing against the White Sox on April 13, Carmona is 5-0 with a 1.60 ERA.

* Ichiro Suzuki was thrown out by Jose Molina Thursday, snapping his AL-record streak at 45 straight stolen bases. The streak ends six steals short of Vince Coleman's MLB record, but the good news is that Ichiro is finally running regularly again. Despite being impossible to throw out since last April, Ichiro attempted just two steals through the first 30 games of this season. He's now attempted five steals over the past six games, including a two-steal game last Friday.

AL Quick Hits: With Josh Beckett (finger) officially heading to the disabled list, Devern Hansack will start in his place Friday … Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) is likely looking at another extended absence after being placed on the DL Thursday … Justin Duchscherer (hip) will be unavailable for several days after receiving a cortisone shot Thursday, leaving Alan Embree and Kiko Calero to close … As expected, the Twins will call up Scott Baker to start Saturday and replace Sidney Ponson in the rotation … Manager Ozzie Guillen confirmed Thursday that Jim Thome (ribs) will remain on the DL until Monday … The Yankees are leaning toward Tyler Clippard as their starter Sunday against the Mets … Delmon Young broke out of his slump in a big way Thursday, smacking two homers, including a walk-off shot in the 10th inning … Rather than call someone like Gavin Floyd up from Triple-A, the White Sox will have Jose Contreras start Sunday on three days' rest … It's worth noting that the Devil Rays are riding the oft-injured Al Reyes hard, with five appearances in six days.

NL Quick Hits: Jason Jennings (elbow) threw five scoreless innings Thursday in a minor-league rehab start at Double-A … Derrek Lee (neck) is "questionable" to play in this weekend's series against the White Sox … Since moving to the No. 2 spot in the lineup, Troy Tulowitzki has hit .300 with 12 RBIs and 15 runs in 20 games … Jason Bergmann (elbow) has been scratched from his scheduled start Saturday, but will not be placed on the disabled list at this point … Mike Jacobs (thumb) was placed on the DL Thursday and is expected to miss about a month … With Chris Snyder struggling, manager Bob Melvin said Thursday that Miguel Montero will likely be given more playing time … Ray Durham left Thursday's game with a strained groin and could miss some time … Despite Chad Cordero being available, Jon Rauch picked up his third save Thursday … Ryan Dempster imploded Thursday on the way to blowing a four-run lead, but his job is likely safe for now.

[Hache Man]

Week That Was
Furcal and Roberts started hitting like they should, Beckett, Alou and Blalock go on the shelf plus some thoughts on interleague play from that column cellar dweller himself, Schultz, in this week's Week That Was.

Rafael Furcal: Rafael Furcal lashed two more hits last night to raise his average over. For all of those owners out there who panicked and cut losses on Furcal, shame on you. It is tough to find power, speed and average in the middle infield. At 29, did you really think he lost it? Those of you patient enough to trust your talent, pat yourselves on the back. Rafael remains a centerpiece roto talent. Enjoy watching him play this summer.

Scott Baker: This week, the twins called up Scott Baker from Triple-A to take the roster spot finally vacated by Sidney Ponson. That the Twins somehow thought it wise to leave Baker, Perkins, et al. in the minors while allowing Ponson to poison their pitching staff is enough to make knowledgeable baseball fans put a pillow over their faces and scream as loud as they can. Seriously, if you have a chance to grab Baker, do it. In AAA this year, Baker has a .83 WHIP with a 34/4 K/BB ratio. Do not let last year's high ERA in the bigs fool you. He just has to learn to use all four pitches as he does in the minors and he will succeed. Buy while you still can (and put away the pillow).

Brian Roberts: Brian Roberts stroked four more hits Friday. Roberts, like Furcal, is an example of how one has to avoid panicking. Yes, he started slow. But again, how many prime of their career, power/speed middle infielders are there. Guys like Roberts are worth paying for (all of those grammarians out there should ignore the dangling participle). Pencil in .280+, 25+ SB and 15+ HR from the scarcest of positions – second base – and enjoy.

Boof Bonser: Boof Bonser, he of the best name in the game, blew away 11 Brewers Friday. Boof walked just one to accompany those 11 K's. Thus far this year, Boof has 56 strikeouts in 50 innings and an ERA under 4.00. Given his slow start and a couple of aberrant ugly outings, that is pretty darn good. Look for Boof to settle in and post solid number two starter numbers from here out. If you can, go buy Bonser now. In a couple of weeks, it will be impossible.

Oliver Perez: In some Met news predicted yesterday by my roto partner Rick Wolf, Oliver Perez pitched a very strong game against the Yankees, limiting the Bombers to two runs and five hits. Perez has been huge for the Mets and all of his fantasy owners. Thus far, Oliver has a 2.90 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and nearly a strikeout per inning. Considering that he went for single digits in most drafts, that is an awesome return. I do not think you have a sell high candidate here. Rather, you have a talented pitcher, in a great ballpark on a very good team who should produce all year. You will just have to suffer through those occasional ugly outings.
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Hank Blalock: Texas announced this week that Hank Blalock will undergo surgery for something called "Thoracic Outlet Syndrome" and miss at least ten weeks. At 26, Blalock has plenty of time to recuperate and revive his career. However, it looks like this will be a lost year. Keep him in a keeper league, but assume it will be next year before he produces any type of exciting numbers. IN the meantime, Texas called up Travis Metcalf to take Hank's roster spot. You should not follow suit. Metcalf hit a mere .221 in the minors last year. Do the math – it is not pretty.

Moises Alou: In more Met news, and news that should only surprise those who live under a baseball rock, the Mets placed Moises Alou on the DL this week. According to reports, he should be back in the minimum 15 days. If anyone out there drafted Alou in the hopes of getting more than 400ish at bats, shame on you. 40 year old injury prone players rarely find the fountain of youth. If you expected 400 Abs of a solid average and decreasing power and paid accordingly, then you played it right.

Tim Lincecum: Future superstar Tim Lincecum struck out 10 Astros this week. It looks like the buy low period is already over. Perhaps there is someone in your league who thinks Russ Ortiz should start over Tim when Russ returns from the DL. If there is, pounce. Perhaps that owner wants Ponson too?

Josh Beckett: In what is really good news for Josh Beckett owners, the Sox placed Beckett on the 15 day DL with the cut on his finger. This way, Beckett can return when ready, not try and alter his deliver and grips to compensate for the finger and return to the dominance he showed pre-injury. If you own Beckett, hold, he is still a Cy Young candidate. If there is a Beckett owner in your league panicking, feel free to fleece him or her.

Rocco Baldelli: In another announcement that should surprise very few, the Devil Rays placed Rocco Baldelli on the DL this week (hamstring injury). Baldelli is a serious talent who always seems to get hurt. Winning fantasy sports leagues is largely about avoiding risk. When drafting a player who always finds himself on the DL, one must reduce the price substantially. If you paid full value for Rocco, shame on you.

Last but not least, this week's Schultz Says: "I must say my keyboard is still ringing after being so harshly and savagely edited last week. Such nerve removing a line that would be understood by a dozen people and found funny by less. Despite the rebuke, I shall do my best to carry on.

For long time rotisserie baseball aficionados, the emergence of Jack Cust is akin to a band like R.E.M. or Phish making it big after years of cult hero status. For the newbies amongst us, Jack Cust was once a hot Arizona hitting phenom that set prospect hounds drooling when the D'Backs traded him to the Rockies before the 2002 season. With expectations firmly set at 30-40 home runs per season, Cust promptly fizzled and he became a journeyman hitter with a bad glove, sporadically appearing with the Padres and the Orioles over the next few seasons. A trade and recent insertion into the A's lineup seems to have revitalized Cust. His flashy 6 homers during orientation week looks like it will be the exact jump start Cust needed. Anyone with a long memory knows of Cust's monster potential and that he's well worth acquiring.

Moving from prospects of yore to prospects of now, the Royals recently returned Billy Butler from whence he came, demoting him to AAA in favor of Ryan Shealy. If the choice was solely between these two, it's a wise one. Shealy is too talented of a hitter for Kansas City to cut the cord after a poor start to the season. Something curious to note, the Royals intend to have Butler play 1B upon his return to the minors. Butler has gone through many position shifts in order to complement KC's needs. Butler is a large part of the Royals' future, but this may be a sign that Shealy is not. Under most circumstances, this would be dire news for Shealy owners (those that still exist). However, in this case, any change of scenery for the former Rockies' prospect can only be an upgrade. Keep an eye on this, it could be interesting.

One last thought: I'm not sure what part of Interleague play irks me the most. The fact that players like Jim Thome and Travis Hafner often make themselves unplayable by being unable to field a position or that too many NL teams have such weak benches that the DH makes it possible for increased at-bats for the likes of Todd Walker, Olmedo Saenz and Scott Spiezio.

Well, hopefully all of that made it through Colton's iron-handed blue editing pencil.

Response: If I removed all of the Schultz lines that would be "understood by a dozen people and found funny by less (read fewer)," the Schultz says portion of the column would be a blank page. Ok, just kidding. Seriously, there is some good stuff sprinkled among the complaints and whining. With a glass half full attitude, I say "nicely done."

Final note: On June 14th, the future of fantasy baseball will once again be on the line as the United States Circuit Court of Appeals for the 8th Circuit hears argument on the question of whether fantasy sports companies (and thus fantasy sports fans and players) must pay licensing fees to athletes in order to simply list the athlete's names next to their statistics as part of games or stat services. Stay tuned as the future of the game you love to play is at stake this summer in St. Louis.

[Hache Man]

Week Eight's Cheat sheet
Jake Peavy, Roy Oswalt and A.J. Burnett are some of the best options in this week's two-start hurler list, while Hank Blalock, Josh Beckett and Huston Street are some of the newest additions to the injury report. This edition of the The Week Ahead will get you totally prepped to set your best possible lineup for week eight.

Two-start pitchers:
Great options:
C.C. Sabathia CLE vs. SEA Cha Seung Baek, @ DET Justin Verlander
Jake Peavy SD vs. CHC Rich Hill, vs. MIL Jeff Suppan
Roy Oswalt HOU @ SF Tim Lincecum, @ ARI Livan Hernandez
Brandon Webb ARI vs. COL Aaron Cook, vs. HOU Chris Sampson
John Lackey LAA @ DET Mike Maroth, @ NYY Mike Mussina
Cole Hamels PHI @ FLA Scott Olsen, @ ATL Kyle Davies
Aaron Harang CIN vs. PIT Paul Maholm, vs. PIT Zach Duke
A.J. Burnett TOR @ BAL Daniel Cabrera, @ MIN Carlos Silva
Rich Hill CHC @ SD Jake Peavy, @ LA Brett Tomko
Mike Mussina NYY vs. BOS Julian Tavarez, vs. LAA John Lackey
Joe Blanton OAK @ CHW Jose Contreras, @ BAL Daniel Cabrera
Jeff Suppan MIL @ LA Brett Tomko, @ SD Jake Peavy
Chien-Ming Wang NYY vs. BOS Tim Wakefield, vs. LAA Kelvim Escobar
Jose Contreras CHW vs. OAK Joe Blanton, vs. TB Casey Fossum

More strong options:
Fausto Carmona CLE @ KC Odalis Perez, @ DET Zach Miner
Tim Wakefield BOS @ NYY Chien-Ming Wang, @ TEX Vicente Padilla
Scott Olsen FLA vs. PHI Cole Hamels, vs. NYM Jorge Sosa
Adam Wainwright STL vs. PIT Zach Duke, vs. WAS Matt Chico
Jarrod Washburn SEA @ TB Casey Fossum, @ KC Odalis Perez
Jorge Sosa NYM @ ATL Kyle Davies, @ FLA Scott Olsen
Livan Hernandez ARI vs. COL Josh Fogg, vs. HOU Roy Oswalt
Matt Belisle CIN vs. WAS Mike Bacsik, vs. PIT Tony Armas
Zach Duke PIT @ STL Adam Wainwright, @ CIN Aaron Harang
Noah Lowry SF vs. HOU Chris Sampson, vs. COL Aaron Cook
Daniel Cabrera BAL vs. TOR A.J. Burnett, vs. OAK Joe Blanton

Other two-starters:
Chris Sampson HOU @ SF Noah Lowry, @ ARI Brandon Webb
Carlos Silva MIN @ TEX Vicente Padilla, vs. TOR A.J. Burnett
Vicente Padilla TEX vs. MIN Carlos Silva, vs. BOS Tim Wakefield
Aaron Cook COL @ ARI Brandon Webb, @ SF Noah Lowry
Robinson Tejeda TEX vs. MIN Boof Bonser, vs. BOS Julian Tavarez
Kyle Davies ATL vs. NYM Jorge Sosa, vs. PHI Cole Hamels
Brett Tomko LA vs. MIL Jeff Suppan, vs. CHC Rich Hill
Cha Seung Baek SEA @ CLE C.C. Sabathia, @ KC Brian Bannister
Julian Tavarez BOS @ NYY Mike Mussina, @ TEX Robinson Tejeda
Matt Chico WAS @ CIN TBA, @ STL Adam Wainwright
Casey Fossum TB vs. SEA Jarrod Washburn, @ CHW Jose Contreras
Odalis Perez KC vs. CLE Fausto Carmona, vs. SEA Jarrod Washburn
Levale Speigner WAS @ CIN Bronson Arroyo, @ STL Brad Thompson

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Seven-game schedule: ARI, CIN, CLE, HOU, SEA, WAS
Six-game schedule: ATL, BAL, BOS, CHC, CHW, COL, DET, FLA, KC, LA, LAA, MIL, MIN, NYM, NYY, OAK, PHI, PIT, SD, SF, STL, TB, TEX, TOR
Five-game schedule: none

Rain threatened games:
Tuesday, May 22: MIN @ TEX (40%), PHI @ FLA (60%)
Wednesday, May 23: MIN @ TEX (40%), PHI @ FLA (40%), CLE @ KC (40%)
Thursday, May 24: PIT @ STL (40%), LAA @ DET (40%), PHI @ FLA (40%), WAS @ CIN (40%)
Friday, May 25: PIT @ CIN (40%)
Saturday, May 26: LAA @ NYY (40%), TB @ CHW (40%), SEA @ KC (60%), WAS @ STL (60%), CLE @ DET (60%), NYM @ FLA (40%), PIT @ CIN (60%), OAK @ BAL (40%)
Sunday, May 27: TB @ CHW (60%), LAA @ NYY (60%), NYM @ FLA (60%), SEA @ KC (60%), PIT @ CIN (60%), WAS @ STL (60$), OAK @ BAL (60%), BOS @ TEX (60%), CLE @ DET (60%)

Stadium Factor:
ESPN.com - MLB - Park Factor
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
2. Comerica Park (Tigers) 1.262 runs – 3 vs LAA, 3 vs CLE
3. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.244 runs – 3 vs BOS, 3 vs LAA
5. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.173 runs – 4 vs WAS, 3 vs PIT
7. Dodger Stadium (Dodgers) 1.119 runs – 3 vs MIL, 3 vs CHC
8. Kauffman Stadium (Royals) 1.112 runs – 3 vs CLE, 3 vs SEA

No Games: 1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.500 runs, 4. Shea Stadium (Mets) 1.223 runs, 6. Coors Field (Rockies) 1.122 runs

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
1. Petco Park (Padres) 0.720 runs - 3 vs CHC, 3 vs MIL
3. Turner Field (Braves) 0.762 runs – 3 vs NYM, 3 vs PHI
6. Camden Yards (Orioles) 0.884 runs – 3 vs TOR, 3 vs OAK
7. Metrodome (Twins) 0.886 runs – 3 vs TOR
8. Rangers Ballpark (Rangers) 0.919 runs – 3 vs MIN, 3 vs BOS

No Games: 2. Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) 0.734 runs, 4. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.798 runs, 5. Safeco Field (Mariners) 0.876 runs,

Caught Stealing %:
Toughest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Yadier Molina, STL 6-for-13 (53.8%) - 3 vs PIT, 3 vs WAS
2. Paul Lo Duca, NYM 10-for-20 (50.0%) – 3 @ ATL, 3 @ FLA
3. Ronny Paulino, PIT 15-for-29 (48.3%) – 3 @ STL, 3 @ CIN
4. David Ross, CIN 11-for-19 (42.1%) – 4 vs WAS, 3 vs PIT
5. Gerald Laird, TEX 20-for-31 (35.5%) – 3 vs MIN, 3 vs BOS

Facing these elite catchers is bad news for the following players in the stolen base category: Hanley Ramirez (15-for-19 SB), Chris Duffy (8-for-10 SB), Felipe Lopez (5-for-8 SB), Ryan Freel (8-for-12 SB), Brandon Phillips (8-for-11 SB), Adam Dunn (7-for-7 SB), Torii Hunter (8-for-11 SB)

Easiest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Jason Varitek, BOS 11-for-12 (8.3%) - 3 @ NYY, 3 @ TEX
2. Jorge Posada, NYY 35-for-43 (18.6%) – 3 vs BOS, 3 vs LAA
3T. John Buck, KC 12-for-15 (20.0%) – 3 vs CLE, 3 vs SEA
3T. Johnny Estrada, MIL 16-for-20 (20.0%) – 3 @ LA, 3 @ SD
3T. Ivan Rodriguez, DET 16-for-20 (20.0%) – 3 vs LAA, 3 vs CLE
* Jason Kendall, OAK 32-for-41 (22.0%) - 3 @ CHW, 3 @ BAL

Facing these catchers is good news for Johnny Damon (7-for-7 SB), Bobby Abreu (5-for-7 SB), Kenny Lofton (13-for-14 SB), Grady Sizemore (15-for-15 SB), Ichiro Suzuki (11-for-12 SB), Juan Pierre (15-for-20 SB), Gary Matthews Jr. (7-for-9 SB), Russell Martin (7-for-7 SB), Reggie Willits (10-for-10 SB), Darin Erstad (7-for-8 SB), Brian Roberts (14-for-17 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Cleveland: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Detroit: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Kansas City: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers) note: Thursday vs DET (TBA), Friday vs NYY (TBA)
Minnesota: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Seattle: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Tampa Bay: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Toronto: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)

The Indians, Royals, Athletics, Mariners and Devil Rays face at least three southpaws, while the Yankees, Twins and Blue Jays face just right-handers. That's good news for Jhonny Peralta (.370 vs LHPs), Emil Brown (.350 vs LHPs), Jack Cust (.429 vs LHPs), Travis Buck (.348 vs LHPs), Jose Guillen (.429 vs LHPs), Yuniesky Betancourt (.333 vs LHPs), B.J. Upton (.325 vs LHPs), Josh Paul (.375 vs LHPs), Brendan Harris (.367 vs LHPs), Alex Rodriguez (.345 vs RHPs), Jorge Posada (.354 vs RHPs), Derek Jeter (.375 vs RHPs), Luis Castillo (.386 vs RHPs), Matt Stairs (.354 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Josh Barfield (.147 vs LHPs), David Dellucci (.167 vs LHPs), Trot Nixon (.194 vs LHPs), Grady Sizemore (.220 vs LHPs), Ryan Shealy (.048 vs LHPs), Alex Gordon (.133 vs LHPs), Mark Grudzielanek (.182 vs LHPs), Jason Kendall (.122 vs LHPs), Mark Ellis (.214 vs LHPs), Richie Sexson (.188 vs LHPs), Jose Lopez (.208 vs LHPs), Ben Zobrist (.105 vs LHPs), Dioner Navarro (.148 vs LHPs), Carlos Pena (.133 vs LHPs), Josh Phelps (.167 vs RHPs), Robinson Cano (.211 vs RHPs), Nick Punto (.221 vs RHPs), Jeff Cirillo (.208 vs RHPs), John McDonald (.196 vs RHPs), Lyle Overbay (.196 vs RHPs), Frank Thomas (.211 vs RHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (2 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago Cubs: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers) note: Saturday vs NYM (TBA)
Houston: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers))
San Francisco: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (2 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers) note: Tue vs CIN (TBA)

The Braves, Reds, Astros, Mets and Cardinals play at least three left-handers, while the Giants and Nationals play just righties. That's good news for Edgar Renteria (.371 vs LHPs), Matt Diaz (.340 vs LHPs), Brandon Phillips (.344 vs LHPs), Norris Hopper (.353 vs LHPs), Hunter Pence (.500 vs LHPs), Luke Scott (.429 vs LHPs), Jose Reyes (.417 vs LHPs), Carlos Beltran (.404 vs LHPs), Paul Lo Duca (.417 vs LHPs), Yadier Molina (.321 vs LHPs), Fred Lewis (.379 vs RHPs), Bengie Molina (.348 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Craig Wilson (.209 vs LHPs), Ryan Freel (.183 vs LHPs), Adam Everett (.167 vs LHPs), Jason Lane (.175 vs LHPs), Scott Rolen (.042 vs LHPs), Adam Kennedy (.091 vs LHPs), Jim Edmonds (.154 vs LHPs), Aaron Miles (.200 vs LHPs), Ryan Zimmerman (.198 vs RHPs), Felipe Lopez (.217 vs RHPs), Austin Kearns (.213 vs RHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 9:
Curt Schilling, Andy Pettitte, Cliff Lee, Scott Elarton, Bartolo Colon, Chad Durbin, Boof Bonser, Robinson Tejeda, Chad Gaudin, Jon Garland, Miguel Batista, Scott Kazmir, Dustin McGowan, Steve Trachsel, Ted Lilly, David Wells, Jeff Francis, Doug Davis, Matt Albers, Barry Zito, Chris Capuano, Brad Penny, Oliver Perez, Chuck James, Freddy Garcia, Ian Snell, Kip Wells, Jason Simontacchi, Kyle Lohse

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Moises Alou (quadriceps) – return early June
Garrett Anderson (hip) – return early June
Marlon Anderson (elbow) – return mid-July
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) – return mid-June
Frank Catalanotto (shoulder) – return May 22
Jeff DaVanon (shoulder) – return early June
Chris Denorfia (elbow) – out for the season
Jerry Hairston (shoulder) – return early June
Reed Johnson (back) – return July
Bobby Kielty (calf) – return early July
Mark Kotsay (back) – return early June
Scott Podsednik (groin) – return June
Jason Repko (groin) – might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) – return July/August
Dave Roberts (elbow) – return mid-June
Cody Ross (hamstring) – return late May
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) – return June/July
Rondell White (calf) – return June
Brad Wilkerson (hamstring) – return early June
Preston Wilson (knee) – return late May

Infielders
Willy Aybar (hand) – out indefinitely
Hank Blalock (arm) – return August
Mike Jacobs (thumb) – return early June
Dan Johnson (hip) – return mid-season
Nick Johnson (leg) – return June/July
Ryan Howard (quadriceps) – return late May, likely activated on Friday
Akinori Iwamura (ribs) – return early June
Howie Kendrick (hand) – return late May
Corey Koskie (concussion) – out indefinitely
Kaz Matsui (back) – return late May
Dallas McPherson (back) – return August/September
Chad Tracy (ribs) – return early June
Jose Valentin (knee) – return late May

Catchers:
Joe Mauer (quadriceps) – return late May
Mike Piazza (shoulder) – return mid-June
Gregg Zaun (hand) – return June
Vance Wilson (elbow) – out indefinitely

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) – return August/September
Josh Beckett (finger) – return May 29
Jason Bergmann (elbow) – return early June
Jeremy Bonderman (finger) – return late May
Chris Carpenter (elbow) – return August/September
Matt Clement (shoulder) – return July/August
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) – out indefinitely
Lance Cormier (shoulder) – return late May
Mike Hampton (ribs) – out for the season
Rich Harden (shoulder) – return early June
Clay Hensley (groin) – return mid-May
Orlando Hernandez (shoulder) – return late May
Shawn Hill (elbow) – out indefinitely
Luke Hudson (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Phil Hughes (hamstring) – return June/July
Jason Jennings (elbow) – return late May
Josh Johnson (elbow) – return June
Jeff Karstens (leg) – out indefinitely
Jon Lester (cancer) – return late May
Francisco Liriano (elbow) – out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) – return June
Adam Loewen (elbow) – return September
Rodrigo Lopez (elbow) – return May 29 vs STL
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) – return July/August
Wade Miller (back) – return mid-May
Kevin Millwood (hamstring) – return early June
Eric Milton (elbow) – return late May
Mark Mulder (shoulder) – return July
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) – out indefinitely
Russ Ortiz (elbow) – return by Monday
John Patterson (biceps) – return mid-June
Carl Pavano (elbow) – out for the season
Darrell Rasner (finger) – return August/September
Mark Redman (toe) – out indefinitely
Kenny Rogers (arm) – return July
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) – return late May
Jeff Weaver (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Jake Westbrook (abdomen) – return late May
Jerome Williams (ankle) – out indefinitely
Jaret Wright (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Victor Zambrano (arm) – out indefinitely

Important Relievers:
Kris Benson (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Jesse Crain (shoulder) – out for the season
Octavio Dotel (ribs) – return mid-May
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) – return early June
Tom Gordon (shoulder) return late May
Eddie Guardado (elbow) – return June/July
LaTroy Hawkins (elbow) – return mid-May
Brandon League (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Ryan Madson (ribs) – return late May
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) – out for the season
B.J. Ryan (elbow) – out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) – return July/August
Huston Street (elbow) – return early June
Mike Timlin (shoulder) – return late May
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) – out indefinitely
Kerry Wood (triceps) – return late June
Joel Zumaya (finger) – return August

[Hache Man]

AL Closers of the Future

Up the next two weeks is a look at each team's closing situation for 2008 and beyond. Basically, I'll throw out a bunch of names and try to guess which ones will stick. There's no more volatile role in the majors, so don't expect a high rate of success here. Still, there are too many potential fantasy bargains out there not to try.

Found after each team's writeup is my listing of which pitchers have the best chance of leading the team in saves in 2008, 2009 and 2010, ranked in order.

I'm covering the AL teams this week, with the NL following next Monday. However, there are some weekly notes concerning both leagues at the end of the column.

Editor's Note: There are some great fantasy baseball discussions happening on our Rotoworld Fantasy Baseball Forums. Click here to talk with other fantasy baseball fanactics.
Baltimore - There was talk over the winter that the Orioles might trade Chris Ray for a rotation upgrade after spending so much to improve their pen. The possibility never seemed to be seriously considered by the club, but there are a bunch of fans that wish it happened after the 25-year-old opened 2007 by blowing three of his first 11 save chances, each in ugly fashion. The thing is that those were the only three times through 19 appearances that Ray gave up a run. He projects as a fine closer going forward. Maybe he'll never reach an elite level, but he's good enough to get the job done for several years.

If the club did choose to part with Ray in order to fill a bigger need elsewhere, Danys Baez would be the likely stopgap. However, it'd take a much stronger showing from Baez than what he's done so far before the Orioles would entertain the possibility of moving their closer. James Hoey would then likely be called on to occupy a setup role. Hoey, a 24-year-old who was rushed from Double-A to the majors, has the same fastball-slider repertoire as Ray, but he probably won't be quite as effective against lefties. He might be better off as a setup man for the long-term. The other real sleeper here is Radhames Liz, a starter with a 37/24 K/BB ratio in 34 1/3 innings in Double-A. Liz throws in the mid-90s and has a power curveball, giving him plenty of upside as a starter. However, if improved command doesn't come soon, his future will be in the pen.

2008: Ray, Hoey, Baez, Jeremy Guthrie
2009: Ray, Liz, Hoey, Guthrie
2010: Liz, Ray, Hoey, Luis Lebron

Boston - The move back to the rotation didn't take, so Jonathan Papelbon is probably in the bullpen for good. It just remains to be seen whether his shoulder will hold up. That his mechanics have been off at times this year could be an indication that he's compensating for some soreness. Still, he's showed no sign of any problems in his last few appearances.

A Papelbon breakdown this year would thrust Hideki Okajima into the closer's role. Okajima, who wasn't one of the four candidates to close when it was thought Papelbon would be in the rotation, has been lights out so far, and though it seems likely that the league will catch up to him somewhat, he could be a reliable setup man for a few years.

There are no great bets for saves in the minors. The future was supposed to be in the hands of Craig Hansen or maybe Manny Delcarmen. However, both have taken steps backwards this year. Bryce Cox in Double-A is another disappointment. All three have ERAs around 5.00 and only Delcarmen has a quality K/BB ratio. Edgar Martinez may have a future as a setup man, but probably isn't closer material. Michael Bowden was someone I thought might fare better as a reliever, but he's emerged as one of the AL's top starting pitching prospects this year. Still in A ball are 2006 draft picks Daniel Bard and Justin Masterson. The Red Sox are hoping Bard makes it as a starter, but he's been a bust to date this year. Masterson is also working as a starter at the moment. Hansen is probably the likeliest candidate for saves in the group, but I don't think it will happen in Boston.

2008: Papelbon, Okajima, Delcarmen, Devern Hansack
2009: Papelbon, Hansen, Delcarmen, Cox
2010: Papelbon, Bard, Hansen, Delcarmen

Chicago - The White Sox are another club with no desire to change closers anytime soon. Bobby Jenks is under control through 2011 and could be in line for a long-term deal with another successful season. Still, his history of elbow troubles, not to mention some past problems with alcohol and a history of conditioning issues, means he's hardly a safe bet. As dominant as he is when he's on, he's always going to be someone who should be backed up with his setup man in fantasy leagues.

Fortunately, the White Sox have plenty in reserve if Jenks goes down. Former Royals closer Mike MacDougal is the backup for now, and Matt Thornton has a closer-type fastball from the left side. Both setup men received three-year deals prior to the start of the season. David Aardsma and Nick Masset are potential long-term closers. Aardsma, a former first-round pick of the Giants, has fanned 28 batters in 23 1/3 innings this season. Masset, part of the Brandon McCarthy-John Danks deal, throws in the mid-90s and has a plus curveball. Adam Russell is another hard-thrower that the White Sox are trying to develop as a starter. Matt Long was a college reliever drafted in the second round last year. 26-year-old Dewon Day has 39 strikeouts in 21 innings in Double-A and looks like a potential setup man.

2008: Jenks, MacDougal, Masset, Aardsma
2009: Jenks, Masset, MacDougal, Aardsma
2010: Masset, Jenks, Russell, Aardsma

Cleveland - Keith Foulke was supposed to be the Indians' closer this season, but he didn't even make it to spring training, leaving Joe Borowski to handle those duties. Borowski has converted 13 of his 15 save chances, but he has an 8.44 ERA in the process, suggesting that he's just holding the seat warm for someone else. Rafael Betancourt is the steadiest reliever in the Cleveland pen and should be next in line for closing duties. For that reason, he's worth owning in every format right now. Still, he's probably going to be a setup man in 2008 and beyond, and there's a good chance the Indians will be in the market for a closer again next winter.

In Fernando Cabrera and Fausto Carmona, the Indians have a couple of guys who have looked like potential long-term closers for a couple of years now. Cabrera, a big disappointment last year, got off to a terrific start last month, only to fade again lately. Carmona is currently succeeding in the rotation with his sinker, but the bullpen remains an option if he doesn't get enough strikeouts. My guess is that Carmona lasts as a starter and Cabrera ends up as the closer at some point.

Less likely candidates to close include Edward Mujica and Tom Mastny. Neither can match stuff with Cabrera and Carmona, but both throw strikes and don't wilt under pressure. Mujica, especially, is a sleeper going forward. There's also left-hander Tony Sipp, who has plenty of stuff but may lack the command to hold it together in such a crucial role.

2008: (Free Agent), Betancourt, Cabrera, Carmona, Mujica
2009: Cabrera, Carmona, Betancourt, Mujica
2010: Cabrera, Carmona, Sipp, Mujica

Detroit - The Tigers will remain content with free-agent-to-be Todd Jones for the duration of 2007, but there's little doubt that Joel Zumaya is the future in the closer's role for the club. He should get the job right from the start of next year, even though he'll end up missing half of this season with a ruptured finger tendon. Perhaps there's a chance that the Tigers will attempt to re-sign Jones if Zumaya has further control troubles upon returning in August, but is seems unlikely.

Backing up Jones now and probably serving as Zumaya's caddy next year is Fernando Rodney. At age 30, Rodney is older than most believe. However, he remains under control through 2009.

The Tigers dealt a couple of potential closers in Humberto Sanchez and Kevin Whelan to the Yankees for Gary Sheffield, leaving them short on relief prospects. Eulogio De La Cruz is likely the best bet of the team's currently minor leaguers to develop into a setup man for Zumaya. However, the Tigers aren't close to giving up on him as a starter at the moment.

2008: Zumaya, Jones, Rodney, Roman Colon
2009: Zumaya, Rodney, De La Cruz, Sendy Vasquez
2010: Zumaya, De La Cruz, Rodney, Vasquez

Kansas City - A $5 million investment in Octavio Dotel was supposed to provide the Royals with their first 30-save guy since 1998. That's not going to happen, as Dotel is just now set to return from a strained oblique that has sidelined him since Opening Day, and because Dotel took a one-year deal without an option, it seems unlikely that he'll still be around in Kansas City in 2008. Fortunately, the team may have found a new closer of the future in Rule 5 pick Joakim Soria, who has nine saves while helping to fill in for Dotel.

Soria's 92-94 mph fastball, quality slider and average changeup have made him effective in the majors despite little minor league experience. He's likely to have some bumps in the road this year, but he has a promising future and he could even be tried as a starter at some point. Still, it's more likely that the Royals will leave him in the pen. With GM Dayton Moore getting rid of some of the team's other high-upside arms, Soria is clearly the best bet going forward.

If not Soria, Zack Greinke could be a possibility in the closer's role. It's far too early to be looking at him strictly as a reliever, but he's throwing 95-97 mph out of the pen and he could turn out to be quite the force if left there. Still, it'd be far better for the Royals if he fulfilled his No. 2-starter potential. Maybe he'll eventually switch places with left-hander Jorge De La Rosa. Ryan Braun has the power arsenal of a closer, but he's turning 27 this summer and he still struggles to throw strikes. 2004 second-round pick Billy Buckner recently made the move to the pen in Triple-A. He gets quite a few grounders and has a curve for a strikeout pitch, but he's probably more of a setup man than a closer.

2008: (Free Agent), Soria, Greinke, Braun, De La Rosa
2009: Soria, Greinke, De La Rosa, Buckner
2010: Soria, Greinke, Buckner, Julio Pimentel

Los Angeles - The Angels have yet to manage to lock up Francisco Rodriguez beyond 2008, leading to much speculation that he'll be the long-term replacement for Mariano Rivera in New York. Still, there's plenty of time for the club to get a deal done, and if the Angels can afford to throw $10 million per year at Gary Matthews Jr. and $6 million at Shea Hillenbrand, there's no reason for them not to do what it takes. I'd be surprised if K-Rod doesn't get a four- or five-year extension prior to the beginning of next season.

If I'm wrong and nothing materializes, the Angels could turn to Scot Shields for a year or two. Shields, who was also going to be eligible for free agency after 2008, agreed to a three-year extension in March that made him one of the game's highest-paid setup man. He's certainly earned the nice payday, but considering that he's turning 32 in July and he's had one of the game's heaviest workloads the last few years, he could fall apart at any time. It's possible that he'll remain a freak and keep dominating through the end of his contract, but if K-Rod does get away, the Angels will invest in another Justin Speier-type setup man as insurance. Another slight possibility is that Kelvim Escobar will prove too fragile to remain in the rotation, forcing a move back to the pen.

2008: Rodriguez, Shields, Speier, Escobar
2009: Rodriguez, Shields, Escobar, Jose Arredondo
2010: Rodriguez, Arredondo, Shields, Stephen Marek

Minnesota - Overshadowed by Mariano and K-Rod, Joe Nathan is probably as underrated as a top closer can be. Still, I argued in spring training that it made little sense for the Twins to commit what it'd take to sign him beyond 2008, not when they have such a limited budget and always seem capable of coming up with plus relievers anyway. However, two things have happened since then. First, it became more apparent than ever that there was very little chance of keeping Johan Santana beyond 2008. Second, Jesse Crain wrecked his shoulder, creating some doubt about whether he'll reemerge as a quality setup man and potential closer in 2008. Nathan is turning 33 in the offseason, so there is risk in signing him. However, he hasn't had any arm troubles since 2002 and he looks like a pretty good bet to remain a quality closer for the next four or five years.

Should the Twins fail in their efforts to re-sign Nathan, they'd have to consider trading him over the winter. Unfortunately, Juan Rincon seems to be past his peak; he's maintaining another fine ERA this season, but his strikeout rate keeps dropping and his WHIP has skyrocketed, making him look like a poor bet going forward. Crain will be ready to pitch next spring, but he's probably not going to be all the way back until 2009, if then. It might be that Pat Neshek is the future in Minnesota. He's been even tougher to hit this season that he was last year, as lefties just haven't adapted to him as it looked like they would. He's definite closer material now.

As always, the Twins have some notable pitchers in the minors. Eduardo Morlan, who is currently sporting a 30/3 K/BB ratio in 20 2/3 innings at Single-A Fort Myers, is the best bet to develop into a closer. He throws in the mid-90s and has a strikeout slider. Jeff Manship and Oswaldo Sosa are starters currently and will continue to be developed as such, but both have terrific potential as relievers if they don't make it, Manship especially. There's also Anthony Swarzak, whose star had dimmed slightly even before last month's drug suspension. If he gets passed by guys like Manship and Sosa this year, it's more likely that he'll end up in the pen.

2008: Nathan, Neshek, Rincon, Crain
2009: Neshek, Nathan, Crain, Morlan
2010: Morlan, Neshek, Nathan, Crain

New York - Mariano Rivera or a free agent? It still seems highly unlikely that Rivera won't be back, especially since the top candidates to replace him (K-Rod and Nathan) aren't going to be free agents until after 2008. But maybe if things go badly enough for the Bombers this year, the team will try to make a big change. I think the only way it would happen is if Eric Gagne starts throwing 95 mph again and saves 30 games over the rest of the season, turning him back into an elite closer option on the free agent market. Francisco Cordero has never gotten the credit he's been due over the years, but the team that gives him the $40 million over four years he's likely to command this winter will be making a mistake. The other big name likely to be out there is Jason Isringhausen, assuming that the Cardinals save $7.55 million by declining his option. However, he doesn't seem like a viable replacement for Rivera either.

No, Rivera will stay and the Yankees will spend big to bring in a setup man, perhaps Scott Linebrink. The team will then target one of the big names after 2008, maybe with the idea that they could set up Rivera for a year before taking over as closer. Kyle Farnsworth figures to be gone, leaving Scott Proctor as the primary backup for Rivera among those currently on the roster. For youngsters, there's two of the prospects acquired from the Tigers for Gary Sheffield, Humberto Sanchez and Kevin Whelan. Sanchez's future almost certainly seems to be in the pen after he underwent Tommy John surgery last month. He has closer-type ability if he can get healthy. Whelan also has very good stuff, but command issues make him look more like a seventh-inning guy at the moment.

2008: Rivera, (Free Agent), Proctor, Brian Bruney
2009: Rivera, (Free Agent), Proctor, Whelan
2010: (Free Agent), Whelan, Sanchez, Mark Melancon

Oakland - The A's have Huston Street under control through 2010 and hope to have him closing games well beyond that. Since his current ulnar nerve issue – even if it requires surgery – isn't at all likely to remain a problem into 2008 and beyond, he remains a fine bet for the future.

Beyond Street, the A's just aren't as deep as usual. Justin Duchscherer is only 29, but he has had so many physical problems that it doesn't look like he'll last as a top setup man. He'd be a perfect candidate for the old Jeff Nelson treatment, but the A's can't afford to put him in mothballs for three or four months and hope that he'll 100 percent the rest of the way. Kiko Calero is another strong breakdown candidate, basically because of his Nelson-like tendency to throw sliders 75 percent of the time. Chad Gaudin would be awfully interesting if put back in the pen, but he's looking a rotation mainstay right now. Moving Rich Harden to the pen doesn't seem like a solution to me – I think he'll be traded if the A's become convinced he can't stay healthy – but it can't be ruled out.

There are just no other clear candidates out there. The A's recently traded their best true relief prospect, Marcus McBeth, to the Reds for Chris Denorfia, not that he's closer material anyway. 2006 second-round pick Trevor Cahill would be mighty interesting as a reliever, but he's also one of the team's few starting pitching prospects with much upside. Santiago Casilla, the former Jairo Garcia, still isn't throwing strikes and looks like a bust. My guess is that Billy Beane will be on the lookout for high-upside relievers when he eventually trades Harden or Joe Blanton.

2008: Street, Duchscherer, Harden, Gaudin
2009: Street, Harden, Gaudin, Duchscherer
2010: Street, Harden, Jason Ray, Gaudin

Seattle - All things being equal, the Mariners kept the right one. Still, it was absurd that the team refused to discuss J.J. Putz in the Manny Ramirez negotiations in December, then went and traded Rafael Soriano for Horacio Ramirez a few days later. It was durability that made Putz the better choice. Soriano is just as dominant when he's on, but he's unlikely to hold up as well as Putz going forward. Also, Putz was under control for one additional year through 2009. The Mariners added an extra year in the form of an option when they gave him a three-year deal in January.

So, with Putz going nowhere, the Mariners don't want to have to look for a new closer anytime soon. They're still saying the right things about eventually putting 2006 first-round pick Brandon Morrow back into the rotation, something that should happen next year if Putz remains healthy. However, even if he is starting games, Morrow might remain the primary alternative in the closer's role. There's no one else on the roster with any realistic chance of closing in the future. Mark Lowe, currently on the DL with career-threatening elbow problems, is the pitcher the Mariners are hoping becomes the long-term setup man in front of Putz. They'll have a better idea in August or September whether that's a possibility.

2008: Putz, Morrow, Lowe, Jason Davis
2009: Putz, Morrow, Lowe, Jon Huber
2010: Putz, Morrow, Lowe, Chris Tillman

Tampa Bay - Al Reyes' elbow was reported to be in particularly bad shape when he underwent Tommy John surgery in Oct. 2004, but you'd never know that from the way he's pitched this year. With no one else in the bullpen proving to be reliable, the Rays would be even more lost absent his 12 saves in 12 chances. Still, the 37-year-old is unlikely to be a long-term option in the closer's role. In truth, the Rays would be smart to trade him in July, as he'd likely bring in a couple of quality young arms if he continues at his current pace. He's a free agent at season's end, and since he missed all of 2006, he probably wouldn't even bring in a couple of compensation picks if he leaves then.

With Seth McClung disappointing the Rays once again, there are no clear long-term replacements for Reyes in the system. The team would still love to see McClung step up, but it's looking less and less likely that it's ever going to click for him. A change of scenery might help. Juan Salas was dominant in the minors, but it looks like that was in part because he was cheating. He's serving a 50-game PED suspension handed down earlier this month. Edwin Jackson still isn't getting it done as a starter and might end up back in the pen, where he has the stuff to dominate. However, like McClung, he's had plenty of time to put it together and it hasn't happened. Of the guys with major league experience, Chad Orvella might be the best bet. However, he hasn't thrown strikes in the majors like he did in the minors. It's more likely that he'll settle in as a setup man.

The Rays' long-term closer may come from their group of talented minor league starters. They've already tried having Brian Stokes make the switch with largely negative results. Jeff Niemann has the most upside of the prospects and a history of arm problems, which often translates into a move to the pen. However, a switch is unlikely to come anytime soon. Matt Walker and his fastball-curveball combo seem like a great fit in the pen, but he's walked 27 in 33 2/3 innings in the FSL this year, making it unlikely that he'll be an option anytime soon. Other candidates to eventually make the switch include Wade Davis, Jeremy Hellickson and Mitch Talbot. Since none of the prospects seem like a great bet to make an impact in 2008, the Rays may try to find help in free agency again over the winter.

2008: (Free Agent), McClung, Orvella, Stokes, Jackson
2009: McClung, Jackson, Orvella, Niemann
2010: Niemann, McClung, Walker, Orvella

Texas - The Rangers would have been content to use Akinori Otsuka in the closer's role this season, but when the opportunity came to upgrade to Eric Gagne, they took it. It hasn't really paid off so far. Gagne has pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings, proving that he can still be very effective despite diminished velocity. However, he's already been on the DL twice and it seems likely that the physical problems are here to stay. Fortunately, with a 1.15 ERA, Ostuka hasn't experienced any drop off in his second year in the AL. Since he didn't get the same kind of clause some other Japanese imports did, he won't be a free agent until after his sixth year in the majors, keeping him under the Rangers' control through 2009. He might be the best bet to act as the team's closer next year. I'm guessing Gagne is one and done in Texas.

The Rangers lack quality rotation options, as usual, but they have no shortage of intriguing options for the bullpen. In fact, Wes Littleton, who had a 1.73 ERA in 33 appearances in the majors last year, has spent most of this season in Triple-A. Frank Francisco is finally close to 100 percent after a longer-than-expected recovery from Tommy John surgery and might be the long-term closer. Another possibility is Josh Rupe, who hasn't succeeded as hoped as a starter but still has a nice sinker-slider combination. Edinson Volquez has been an even bigger disappointment and may never have the command to make it as a starting pitcher. Still, he is interesting. Also, there's Armando Galarraga, a product of the Alfonso Soriano trade with the Nationals. He's not going to make it as a starter, but there's a slight chance he'll develop into a quality late-inning guy.

2008: Otsuka, Francisco, Rupe, Littleton
2009: Francisco, Otsuka, Rupe, Volquez
2010: Francisco, Rupe, Volquez, Galarraga

Toronto - The Jays hope their five-year, $47 million investment doesn't go for naught and B.J. Ryan returns from Tommy John surgery to reestablish himself as a dominant closer next year. In case it doesn't happen, the team does have Jeremy Accardo, whom it feels can be a capable replacement. Accardo still hasn't given up a run in 18 innings this season, seizing closing duties from Jason Frasor in the process. Accardo is more likely to be a long-term setup man than a closer regardless of Ryan's status, but he is a decent stopgap.

Frasor, manager John Gibbons' preferred choice after Ryan went down, seems likely to be with another team by this time next year, as the club is about fed up with his inconsistency. Brandon League was supposed to be the Jays' top setup man this season, but he suffered a torn rotator cuff, another injury the club kept quiet until it had no choice but to fess up. He's trying to make a comeback without surgery and might get a look in a setup role within a month. However, his velocity still isn't all the way back. Casey Janssen is currently setting up Accardo and looking like a stud, but he belongs in the rotation and should get that opportunity later this year. Dustin McGowan doesn't have the control to succeed as a starter, but he's been tried in relief before and will be again.

2008: Ryan, Accardo, League, McGowan
2009: Ryan, League, Accardo, McGowan
2010: Ryan, League, Accardo, Paul Phillips

Notes of the Week

- Let me get this straight: Lou Piniella takes Angel Guzman out of the rotation because of his inability to work deep into games and wants to replace him with the closer? Ryan Dempster? The guy who in his seven years of starting games posted ERAs of 7.08, 4.71, 3.66, 4.94, 4.79, 6.19 and 6.54? And why can't the Cubs carry one five-inning starter when everyone else in the rotation is averaging better than six innings per start? Nothing that has happened this year has altered my opinion that Piniella lost his mind somewhere around the second year of his tenure in Tampa Bay. I honestly think he does more harm than good at this point.

With Dempster apparently staying in the closer's role for now, Sean Marshall will likely get a look as the fifth starter. The left-hander is plenty interesting and it'd be a good idea to take a flier on him in NL-only leagues. Guzman loses his short-term value with the switch back to the pen, but he would be a candidate to close if Dempster eventually does switch roles. I think his command makes him a better bet there than Carlos Marmol. Still, both are worth owning in NL-only leagues. Lost in all of this is that Michael Wuertz has been the Cubs' best reliever and should get the first chance to close. However, Dempster has been just fine so far. He's struck out 21 in 20 1/3 innings and maintained a 1.03 WHIP, so he doesn't deserve to lose his job.

- The Rangers are in the market for a third baseman with Hank Blalock out 10-12 weeks, but they probably won't give up much talent to get one. It'd make a lot of sense to pick up Morgan Ensberg, as he'd surely come cheap at this point. If the Rangers don't make a trade, they'll have to get by with Travis Metcalf, Ramon Vazquez, Matt Kata and Jerry Hairston Jr., who also landed on the DL last week with a pinched nerve. The club indicated that Metcalf would get most of the playing time, but the lefty-swinging Vazquez has had two big games since his callup to turn himself into a decent short-term option. No one in the group has much in the way of offensive upside, even in that ballpark.

- Rocco Baldelli's latest hamstring injury figures to cost him a month or more, making Elijah Dukes the Rays' primary center fielder. Greg Norton is back from knee surgery now to share DH time, but it looks like Jonny Gomes will have more of an opportunity to make his presence known. Ideally, he'd run away with the job by hitting a bunch of homers over the next few weeks. However, if he doesn't get hot right away, manager Joe Maddon will be content penciling in Norton.

- Tim Lincecum guaranteed himself a rotation spot with another strong showing Thursday against the Astros. As a result, Russ Ortiz will rejoin the Giants as a reliever. Obviously, Lincecum needs to be owned and used in all formats.

- A's manager Bob Geren doesn't sound like a man who is considering it, but what if Jack Cust is still hitting a couple of homers per week in the DH spot when Mike Piazza returns next month? Could Piazza go back behind the plate and replace Jason Kendall, who has been a massive liability on offense? It's a long shot at this point, but if Piazza says he's comfortable with the idea, it's something that'd have to be looked at.

- Even though Andrew Miller impressed Saturday against the listless Cardinals, the Tigers are still saying he'll go back to the minors when Jeremy Bonderman (finger) is activated. Bonderman is likely to pitch Friday, so AL-only leaguers will want him active this week. Mixed leaguers could look elsewhere.

- Orlando Hernandez (shoulder) is on target to return from the DL on Friday or Saturday and should be activated in NL-only leagues.

- Octavio Dotel (oblique) will return Tuesday, but since he'll probably be eased back into the closer's role, he's not a must play in mixed leagues this week. Joakim Soria should probably be left active in most formats. He'll still be worth owning in AL-only leagues even after Dotel reclaims the job.

[Hache Man]

Clemens Nearing Return
The Yankees lost yet another starter when Darrell Rasner left Saturday's game after taking a comebacker off his hand. Rasner suffered a fractured right index finger on the play and was placed on the 60-day disabled list Sunday after having three pins inserted into his knuckle. He's expected to miss three months and manager Joe Torre indicated that he's not counting on Rasner pitching again this season, saying that he'll have to "start spring training all over again."

Despite losing Rasner, the Yankees' rotation actually got stronger over the weekend. Tyler Clippard pitched well in his big-league debut Sunday night, holding the Mets to one runs over six innings while retiring 11 of the last 12 batters he faced. The 22-year-old right-hander figures to stick around for a while after beginning the season with a 2.76 ERA and 41-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 39.2 innings at Triple-A.

More importantly, Clippard could be joined in the rotation soon by Roger Clemens, who tossed four innings in his first minor-league rehab start Friday at Single-A. Clemens allowed three hits to the Twins' Florida State League affiliate, including a homer to Erik Lis, and struck out two batters. He's scheduled to start Wednesday at Double-A and could join the Yankees' rotation Monday against the Blue Jays if things go according to plan.

While the Yankees get close to trotting out a rotation that includes Clemens, Mike Mussina, Chien-Ming Wang, and Andy Pettitte despite all their injuries, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Finally recovered from a strained oblique muscle suffered during spring training, Octavio Dotel is scheduled to come off the disabled list Tuesday. Manager Buddy Bell indicated Sunday that Dotel will immediately take over as the Royals' closer, which is a decision that was no doubt helped by Joakim Soria's recent struggles. Over his past seven appearances, Soria has blown three saves, including one Sunday against the Rockies when he was asked to get four outs.

Soria figures to slide into a setup role once Dotel returns, although the odds are good that he'll be back in the closer role again at some point this season. Dotel suffered numerous setbacks in his recovery from the oblique strain and it's an injury that can easily be aggravated. Plus, strained oblique or not, Dotel has thrown a grand total of 28.1 innings since 2004. In other words, don't give up on Soria quite yet. He may still have significant fantasy value down the road.

* It sounds like manager Lou Piniella can't quite make up his mind regarding Ryan Dempster. According to the Chicago Sun-Times, Piniella was close to yanking Dempster from the closer role and handing Carlos Marmol ninth-inning duties, with Dempster moving to the rotation. Dempster even talked about the switch with reporters Sunday, but then later said that he'll be remaining in the bullpen following a meeting with Piniella.

Whatever the case, it's clear that Dempster is on thin ice despite blowing just one of his 10 save chances thus far. His 4.43 ERA is ugly thanks largely to allowing five runs Thursday in a non-save appearance, but opponents have hit just .186 with a .509 OPS in 20.1 innings against him. With Marmol far from a good bet, Kerry Wood at least a month away, and Bob Howry and Scott Eyre both struggling, sticking with Dempster is probably Piniella's best option.

* Manager Mike Hargrove took the leash off Felix Hernandez Sunday, allowing King Felix to top 100 pitches in his second start since returning from the disabled list. Unfortunately, Hernandez needed 103 pitches to record just 15 outs against the Padres and took the loss to even his record at 2-2. Hernandez gave up two runs on eight hits, struggling with his command while handing out a pair of non-intentional walks, hitting a batter, and uncorking two wild pitches.

He also struggled with his command in his first start back from the DL, which is certainly to be expected after missing nearly a month with an arm injury and then coming back without first going on a minor-league rehab assignment. The good news is that while he's having trouble controlling his stuff, the actual stuff is just fine. Hernandez struck out nine of the 26 batters he faced and has yet to allow a single home run in 26 innings this season.

AL Quick Hits: According to the New York Post, Roger Clemens is on track to join the Yankees' rotation next Monday against the Blue Jays … Howie Kendrick (finger) is expected to remain at Triple-A until at least Wednesday … Erik Bedard hasn't picked up a win since April 18 after the Orioles' bullpen wasted another strong outing Sunday … Joe Crede (back) received a cortisone shot after leaving Sunday's game, meaning he'll likely be out for several days ... Manager Ron Gardenhire indicated Sunday that Joe Mauer (quadriceps) isn't close to returning … After taking the loss Sunday while turning in a Quality Start against the Giants, Joe Kennedy is now 1-3 despite a 2.70 ERA in 50 innings … Available as pinch-hitter Sunday, Jim Thome (ribs) should be back in the lineup Monday … Scott Baker figures to remain in the rotation after coming up two outs short of a complete game Saturday against the Brewers … His overall numbers are still ugly, but Brandon McCarthy is 3-0 with a 2.31 ERA this month.

NL Quick Hits: After a brief minor-league rehab assignment, Ryan Howard (quadriceps) is expected to come off the disabled list Friday … With five straight hitless appearances, Kevin Gregg has taken over as the Marlins' closer … As expected, the Giants confirmed Sunday that Tim Lincecum will remain in the rotation when Russ Ortiz (elbow) returns from the DL … Andruw Jones went 0-for-5 with five strikeouts Sunday and is now hitting .212 with a .729 OPS on the season … Edwin Encarnacion has hit .371 with two homers in 10 games since being demoted to Triple-A … Chad Cordero returned to the closer role Sunday, picking up his first save since April 30 … Randy Johnson lasted just 5.2 innings Sunday, but struck out 10 batters and now sports a 47-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio on the year … After missing nearly two weeks, Ryan Braun (wrist) has returned to the Triple-A lineup … If you're looking for a good sell-high candidate, Matt Morris is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA despite a 29-to-23 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 61.1 innings.

[Hache Man]

Prospects: Clippard & Reynolds
Rotoworld football guru and resident Arcade Fire fan Gregg Rosenthal got married a couple weeks ago, and the reason the byline attached to this article you're reading right now says "Aaron Gleeman" is that Nate Stephens got hitched over the weekend. While Nate is honeymooning with his lovely bride, I'm here in his place to introduce you to this week's call-ups. Fear not though, prospect hounds, he'll be back next week with prospect reports and thoughts on married life.

Congratulations go out to all the newlyweds, although the more important issue is that Matthew Pouliot and Yours Truly are now competing for No. 1 Bachelor status here at Rotoworld. As you can imagine, it's an important title given the immense number of groupies associated with fantasy sports. Ladies, after taking a glance at our respective mugshots—mine is above and his is to the right—try not to hurt yourselves in a resume-sending stampede.

It's my understanding that, as little girls, many women grew up dreaming of meeting a man who panics whenever it's time to do laundry but can regale them with tales of Matt DeSalvo's minor-league career like it's nothing. If that's the case for you, you've come to the right place. If instead you're getting sick of this whole marriage intro and are simply looking for some information about prospects who were recently called up to the big leagues … well, I've got that too.

Call-ups

Tyler Clippard (SP, Yankees) – The 11th starting pitcher to be used by the Yankees already this season, Clippard made his big-league debut Sunday night against the Mets. Facing the NL's top team with the Yankees on the verge of being swept by their rivals and a primetime audience watching, Clippard nearly fell apart in the second inning. He served up a homer to David Wright and then loaded the bases in front of Jose Reyes by walking the pitcher.

However, Clippard wriggled out of the jam and went on to retire 11 of the last 12 batters he faced on the way to holding the Mets to one run over six innings to pick up the win. Manager Joe Torre said afterward that he was impressed with Clippard's debut and indicated that he has a chance to stick in the Yankees' rotation even after Roger Clemens joins the team (the alternative to Clippard is the aforementioned Matt DeSalvo, so it's not an especially difficult choice).

A ninth-round pick out of a Florida high school back in 2003, Clippard pitched well in the low minors during his first three pro seasons and then posted a 3.35 ERA, 175-to-55 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .200 opponent's batting average in 166 innings at Double-A last season. He began this year at Triple-A and had a 2.72 ERA, 41-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .268 opponent's batting average in 39.2 innings before being called up.

Clippard is a 6-foot-4 right-hander, but doesn't throw particularly hard, working in the 88-91 range with his fastball. Despite that, he's managed to rack up tons of strikeouts at every level thus far by featuring a strong curveball and solid changeup that were on full display in his MLB debut. He lacks top-of-the-rotation upside, but Clippard's minor-league track record is better than he's typically given credit for.

He profiles as a potential middle-of-the-rotation option down the line. For now he'll try to simply stay healthy in a rotation that's been wrecked by injuries all year. As long as you don't expect a great ERA from Clippard in the short term, he has decent value in AL-only leagues thanks to the Yankees' high-scoring offense providing him with run support. Over the long haul, he should have some value in mixed leagues.

Recommendation: Claim in AL-only and keeper leagues.

Mark Reynolds (3B, Diamondbacks) – Taken out of the University of Virginia in the 16th round of the 2004 draft, Reynolds began his pro career as a shortstop. Since then he's moved all over the diamond defensively, seeing extended action at first base, second base, third base, and left field. More importantly, his bat has rebounded from a mediocre 2005 season at low Single-A, putting him back on the prospect map.

Reynolds spent last year split between high Single-A and Double-A, hitting a combined .318/.401/.633 with 31 homers, 57 total extra-base hits, and a 109-to-52 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 106 games. Those numbers are due in large part to the extremely hitter-friendly environment at Lancaster, where Reynolds posted a 1.093 OPS in 76 games. With that said, he also turned in an .890 OPS in 30 games at Tennessee and then hit .327/.389/.564 in the Arizona Fall League.

Despite the impressive 2006 campaign, Reynolds was sent back to Double-A to begin this season. He batted .306/.394/.537 with six homers, 17 total extra-base hits, and a 32-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 37 games before being called up last week when Chad Tracy headed to the disabled list. Reynolds stepped in for Tracy at third base and went 2-for-3 with a double and two RBIs in his big-league debut.

Reynolds has hit .381/.458/.714 with a homer, four total extra-base hits, and a 6-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio through a half-dozen games in Arizona, but barring a trade there's no room for him in the Diamondbacks' infield. He could get a look in left field, but Arizona is relatively deep in the outfield as well and the team is unlikely to move him so far down the defensive spectrum so soon. In other words, while he has good short-term value, his long-term status is somewhat in limbo.

Reynolds' best chance to stick around once Tracy returns is as a super-utility guy, filling at all four corner spots while providing some emergency middle-infield depth as well. While his minor-league numbers are inflated by the hitter-friendly environments throughout Arizona's farm system, Chase Field gives a big boost to offense too and Reynolds certainly has the power to be a fantasy asset given the necessary playing time.

Recommendation: Claim in NL-only and keeper leagues.

Julio DePaula (RP, Twins) – After allowing six runs in an ugly outing last Tuesday, Jesse Crain was placed on the disabled list with both a torn rotator cuff and a torn labrum. That's essentially the worst-case scenario for a pitcher, multiplied by two, and Crain is expected to miss at minimum the remainder of this season. With Crain out, the Twins called up DePaula from Triple-A and handed him a middle-relief job, bumping Matt Guerrier up into Crain's old setup role.

Originally signed out of the Dominican Republic as a 16-year-old in 1999, DePaula is a right-hander who induces a ton of ground balls with a sinker-slider combination and has a 2.85 ERA in 347.1 career minor-league innings spread over six seasons. Now 24 years old, he had a 3.15 ERA, 10-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .209 opponent's batting average in 20 innings at Rochester prior to being called up.

DePaula split last year between high Single-A and Double-A, posting a 2.09 ERA, 53-to-33 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .215 opponent's batting average in 82 innings. Since the beginning of last season, he's served up a total of four homers in 102 innings while sporting a 2.5-to-1 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio. In other words, DePaula is the type of pitcher Carlos Silva would be if his reputation was anything close to accurate.

He doesn't have a huge upside, but I like DePaula's odds of being a solid middle reliever. With Crain done for the year and Dennys Reyes also hurting, he has a chance to grab hold of a permanent spot in Minnesota's bullpen. The presence of Joe Nathan, Juan Rincon, and Pat Neshek make it almost impossible for DePaula to emerge as a candidate for saves, but he could work his way into a Crain-like setup role before long.

Recommendation: Ignore for now in AL-only leagues.

Connor Robertson (RP, A's) – Much like DePaula replacing Crain in Minnesota, Robertson was called up last week when Oakland lost Huston Street to an irritated right ulnar nerve. At first glance Robertson has about as much chance for saves as DePaula—which is to say none—but with Justin Duchscherer somewhat shaky because of ongoing hip problems, the A's bullpen is in a state of flux.

If healthy, Duchscherer is the obvious replacement for Street, and Alan Embree, Kiko Calero, and Jay Witasick are all still clearly ahead of Robertson on the depth chart. With that said, if Duchscherer heads to the DL at some point himself, Robertson has a shot at claiming at least a share of ninth-inning duties. He'll have to pitch well first, of course, but while his track record suggests that shouldn't be a huge problem, he's off to a poor start.

A 31st-round pick back in the 2004 draft that also saw the A's grab Street with the 40th overall selection, Robertson dominated the low minors during his first two pro seasons before moving up to Double-A for the first time last year. He went 7-2 with a 2.80 ERA, 97-to-22 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .246 opponent's batting average in 83.2 innings there, serving up just one homer all season.

Robertson moved up to Triple-A to begin this year and continued to dominate, going 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA, 19-to-10 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .194 opponent's batting average in 18.2 innings before being called up. While not an extreme ground-ball pitcher, Robertson has done a fantastic job keeping the ball in the ballpark throughout his pro career and has shown the ability to miss plenty of bats as well. That combination is one that will serve him well and makes him a sleeper.

Recommendation: Ignore for now in AL-only leagues.

[Hache Man]

Sammy Still Slammin'
When Sammy Sosa signed with the Rangers after sitting out all of last season following a brutal 2005 campaign in Baltimore, I gave him almost no chance of putting together a good year. Yet here it is, late May, and after going 2-for-4 with two doubles and three RBIs Monday he's driven in 35 runs in 39 games. Much of that run production is due to playing nearly every day and batting either fourth or fifth in the lineup, but Sosa has also hit .265 with an .829 OPS and nine homers.

However, Sosa's solid-looking overall production masks the fact that he's built up his numbers by knocking around left-handed pitching to the tune of a .323 batting average and 1.075 OPS. Against right-handers, Sosa has hit just .250 with a .757 OPS, including a measly .274 on-base percentage and ghastly 33-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He also batted just .196 with a .607 OPS against righties in 2005.

Sosa's extreme splits are important, because the only full-time starters in the AL West who throw left-handed are Jarrod Washburn, Horacio Ramirez, and Joe Kennedy. That may not seem like a big deal, but as the season wears on and at-bats against southpaws aren't plentiful, expect to see Sosa's overall numbers come back down to earth considerably. Of course, I was wrong about him before and 451 of his 597 career homers have come off righties.

While Sammy continues to defy logic (or at least my logic) and keeps slammin', here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Manager Ron Gardenhire said Monday that the Twins don't plan to activate Joe Mauer from the disabled list until he's able to catch. Mauer was eligible to return from the DL Sunday and the Twins could certainly use his bat in the lineup at designated hitter even if his strained quadriceps doesn't allow him to play behind the plate, but the team is being understandably cautious with his recovery. As Gardenhire said, "I don't want him to take off running and pop something."

Mauer was reportedly sore after working out Sunday, but was able to do some jogging prior to Monday's game. Still, the team has avoided giving a timeline for his return and Gardenhire has consistently indicated over the past week or so that he doesn't expect Mauer back soon. Things could change in a hurry, but as of right now it doesn't sound like he'll play again in May. Mike Redmond, who's hitting .391 since Mauer's injury, will continue to play nearly every day.

* While a closer look at Sosa's numbers reveal a hitter who's feasted on lefties and flailed away against righties, a closer look at Ryan Zimmerman's numbers reveal a hitter whose early season struggles have masked an otherwise solid year. Zimmerman began the season 9-for-50 (.180) and was sporting a .486 OPS with zero homers and two RBIs through a dozen games. The horrible start has kept his overall hitting line looking sickly at .255/.305/.413.

However, since going 0-for-9 during a two-game series against the Mets in mid-April, Zimmerman has hit .284 with an .803 OPS, smacking five homers and 10 doubles with 19 RBIs in 33 games. Over the past six games, Zimmerman is 9-for-25 (.360) with three homers and four doubles. It's clear that he's recovered from a brutal start even if his numbers haven't, but the lack of on-base threats in front of him in the Nationals' lineup will unfortunately continue to limit his RBI chances.

* While he was chasing Mauer for the AL batting title down the stretch last season and then spending the winter with a pretty .342 batting average on the back of his baseball card, the New York media treated Robinson Cano like the second coming of Hall of Famer Rod Carew. Then Cano got off to a poor start both offensively and defensively this season, and he's spent the better part of this month getting savaged in various newspapers.

Apparently he's suddenly lazy, doesn't hustle, lacks motivation, and doesn't care. While there might be a slice of truth in some of the criticism, most of it seems vastly exaggerated (New York media exaggerating things? Shocking, I know.) and all of it seems tied to the fact that his batting average is in the .240s rather than the .340s. The perception of Cano's defense seems to have hit a low point with his three-error game Saturday, but lost in the errors is that he also homered.

In fact, after going 2-for-4 with two RBIs Monday he's riding a modest six-game hitting streak during which he's 8-for-26 (.308) with a homer and four total extra-base hits. That may not seem like much, but the six-game stretch actually bumped Cano's OPS up 52 points, from .595 to .647. His .247 batting average remains ugly and Cano doesn't have enough plate discipline to make up for it, but 24-year-olds who bat .319 in their first 1,000 at-bats are worth showing some patience with.

Pre-Quick Hits Notes: If you're not sick of me yet after reading today's Daily Dose—and I wouldn't blame you one bit if you are—check out me pinch-hitting for a honeymooning Nate Stephens with this week's Prospect Report. Also worth checking out is Monday's "Fantasy Fix" show on NBCSports.com, which features Matt Cerrone of MetsBlog.com joining Gregg Rosenthal, Tiffany Simons, and Yours Truly to chat Mets and all things fantasy baseball.

AL Quick Hits: According to the New York Post, the Angels "have an interest in acquiring" Jason Giambi … Roy Halladay (appendectomy) threw off a mound Sunday and said afterward that he hopes to return next week … Passed over as Sidney Ponson's replacement in favor of Scott Baker, Glen Perkins is now headed to the disabled list with a strained shoulder muscle … J.D. Drew went 0-for-5 Monday to drop his OPS to .699 and hasn't homered since April 22 … According to his agent, Keith Foulke is considering undergoing surgery to remove bone chips from his elbow and then attempting a comeback … Meanwhile, Bernie Williams said Monday that he's still waiting for the Yankees to call, but has no plans to play for another team … Travis Buck left Monday's game after aggravating his injured right elbow … With Jason Bartlett's back and shoulder hurting, Nick Punto got the start at shortstop Monday … Oakland will call up Colby Lewis from Triple-A to start Tuesday against the White Sox.

NL Quick Hits: After homering just once in his first 95 at-bats, Carlos Quentin went deep twice Monday while driving in five runs … Kaz Matsui (back) returned from the disabled list Monday and reclaimed his starting job, going 2-for-4 with two doubles and three RBIs as the Rockies' No. 2 hitter … Now that Brett Tomko is 1-5 with a 6.28 ERA after struggling Monday, the Dodgers may choose between Chad Billingsley and Hong-Chih Kuo as his replacement … After throwing 129 pitches in his last start, six runs in two innings knocked Bronson Arroyo out of Monday's game … As expected, the Giants activated Russ Ortiz from the DL and sent him to the bullpen, keeping Tim Lincecum in the rotation and demoting Jonathan Sanchez to Triple-A … Rafael Furcal and Juan Pierre have been flipped in the Dodgers' lineup, with Pierre hitting leadoff Monday for the first time this season … After missing four games, Rickie Weeks (wrist) returned Monday by going 4-for-5 with three RBIs.

[Hache Man]

Strategy


This week, I'll call for readers' input on fantasy strategy. I'll also talk about Chone Figgins, Andruw Jones, Jhonny Peralta, and Ichiro. Finally, I'll respond to a rather angry bunch of emailers.
Topic of the Week: Strategy
After receiving such great contributions from readers on the fantasy improvements column last week, I figured I better continue to tap into this resource. This time around, I'm interested in getting your input on fantasy baseball strategy. My thinking is, if we pool our collective knowledge on the topic, we'll all walk away that much smarter, and we'll have some new tactics to try out.
When I say "strategy," I mean it in the most general sense of the term…on drafting, trading, setting lineups, whatever. Mostly I'm looking for not-so-obvious approaches. We all know about capitalizing on two-start pitchers in weekly lineup leagues, buying low and selling high, etc. The ones I print next week will be the most innovative. (Even the outrageous are welcome.) Arguments for why certain strategies fail are highly encouraged as well.
I just have one rule: Be succinct! Columns generally run about 1200 words, so guess what happens to 500-word emails? Most times I don't even read them. It's not personal, but with all the email I get, I just don't have the time to go through long essays and pare them down into something manageable.
So, as always, send your submissions to jgangi@rotoworld.com. I look forward to seeing your ideas!
Players of Note
Chone Figgins – Drafted in the fifth round of the Rotoworld Mock Draft, Figgins has obviously been a colossal disappointment with his .108 batting average and three measly steals. There's a good chance he's been dropped in your league, so the question is, do you pick him up? Tough call. Finger issues destroyed Coco Crisp's entire 2006 season, and could possibly do the same to Figgins' current season. Plus, there's always the chance that his playing time will taper if he doesn't turn things around. On the other hand, this is a kid who piled up 114 steals over the previous two seasons and hit better than .290 in three of his first four seasons in the Bigs. If you need speed, and have anyone you don't feel compelled to keep, make the change in hopes that Figgins gets healthy.
Andruw Jones - Striking out like Mark Bellhorn, Jones has been another early season disappointment with his .220 average and six long balls. Still, he's as good a bet as any to get things turned around. We're talking about a guy who parked 92 balls over the previous two seasons. In fact, he's jacked more than 30 in seven of the last nine years. And don't forget he's still only 30 years old.
Jhonny Peralta – After showing much promise in 2005 when he hit .292 with 24 HR, Peralta followed up with a disappointing .257, 13-HR performance last year. Understandably, owners didn't know what to expect from the 24-year-old Dominican this time around. Well, by now they have their answer. Peralta leads all AL shortstops with 10 HR and 31 RBI. Over the last week, in fact, he boasts a .500 OBP with three round trippers. Congrats to those who drafted him late.
Ichiro Suzuki – Those who were worried about Ichiro's lack of stolen bases can rest easy. Over the last week, he's swiped an astounding eight bags. If he could only do that every week, he'd finish the season with about 180 steals. Of course, his .329 AVG is surprising to no one.
The Trash Dump
To submit a question or comment to the Trash Dump, email jgangi@rotoworld.com.
Still reading your articles on the crapper!! :-) Anyway, I think you pretty much have to account for intentional walks because you never know "what would have happened." Very rarely anymore do you see the intentional walk to get the righty-righty or lefty-lefty matchup, the intentional walk is now used to minimize damage a certain hitter could do. How can you not penalize a pitcher for walking Bonds when, if he had pitched to him, he might have smacked a home run. I know it's a matter of "might have" but that is the reason you can't not penalize them. (Sorry about the double negative!)
- Mike
Great point, Mike. Good to hear from you again!
Gangi, I was reading Bob "Strawberry Fielders" Iliff's desire for a league where he could take historical players and have a season computer generated so he'd have his favorite all-time players on a team, where the league never had to actually end. What I wanted to say about this is…it already exists! It's called OOTP (www.ootpdevelopments.com)....The game has been around since the early 90's so there are literally thousands of people around the world addicted to this computer generated stats game—and you can have a roster set from any point in Major League history, and the newest version even lets you play with Winter Leagues, Mexican Leagues, Japanese Leagues, etc.
-Joe Woodring
Cool, thanks for passing that along.
Most rotisserie leagues are not head to head based. Your article had maybe ten references on how to improve head to head leagues. The single most glaring problem in fantasy league baseball is lopsided trades and possible remedies to prevent them, yet your article did little to address it. I submitted an excellent solution last week…and it was ignored. I'm disappointed that it wasn't included in your article. I'm not in it for the glory so I'll keep it to myself at this point. I just wanted to let you know that you suck and you should be fired you dummy. F.U.
- Ed
Man, you handle rejection about as well as a jury member on Survivor! I can only imagine what happened to the chick you asked to prom.
In response to Bob Witmer, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, his proposal to deduct league entry fees is ridiculous. Is he implying that he claims fantasy winnings on his tax return, or is he a perennial fantasy money-loser? It's got to be one or the other, or his proposal would just cost us more on our tax returns. Do you know a single person who claims their fantasy winnings on their 1040? I think we should count our blessings that we got the carve out in the UIGEA, rather than press for more loopholes.
- Chris, State College, PA
Do you work for the IRS? I'm scared to ask what you think of guys who claim their dogs as dependents...or worse yet take the home-office deduction!
I am glad I am not in a league with "Jules" who wants to "protect me from my own stupidity." I was "stupid" enough to pick up Ken Griffey for $10 and I am perfectly happy with my investment to date. I love to play with guys like him who outsmart themselves by eliminating potential bargains. Incidentally, I was also to pick up Pedro Martinez for $2 at the end of the draft, since I did not have Jules around to protect me from my "stupidity". Even if he doesn't pan out in '07, we are in a keeper league, so he should be a bargain in '08.
- Jon Just guessing here, but I don't think Jules' words were aimed directly at you. Otherwise, he probably would have talked about protecting "Jon" from "his" own stupidity. If I was a psychologist, I'd wonder if your issue with Jules' statements stemmed from some insecurity about those aforementioned pickups.

[Hache Man]

Closers, Closers Everywhere
There's a ton of interesting stuff to discuss today—including an amazing amount of closer-related news—so let's skip the cutesy introduction and get right to the notes from around baseball …

* One day after saying that Octavio Dotel would immediately take over as closer upon returning from a strained oblique muscle that's sidelined him for seven weeks, the Royals activated Dotel from the disabled list Tuesday and apparently changed their mind. "The problem with just putting him into the closer's role right now is that we're not really sure of his durability," manager Buddy Bell said.

That makes perfect sense, of course, but then why did Bell repeatedly say earlier this week that Dotel would be handed ninth-inning duties right away? And wasn't Dotel's minor-league rehab assignment supposed to provide the team with information about his durability? Whatever the case, Bell said that Dotel will be eased into the closer role by first pitching in middle relief, which means that Joakim Soria's fantasy value avoids taking a huge hit for at least a little while longer.

* On a minor-league rehab assignment at Single-A, Henry Owens tossed a scoreless inning Tuesday and appears set to return from the disabled list when first eligible to do so Thursday. However, much like the Royals' Soria-Dotel situation, manager Fredi Gonzalez said Tuesday that Kevin Gregg will remain the Marlins' closer even after Owens returns. "Kevin Gregg has been good, and we've got to give him the opportunity to keep doing it," Gonzalez said.

Gregg has a 2.33 ERA, 27-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.04 WHIP in 27 innings, including allowing just one run over his last dozen appearances while saving three games. Of course, Owens was just as good before being sidelined, posting a 1.96 ERA, 12-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.25 WHIP in 18.1 innings. In other words, don't count on the Marlins' bullpen situation staying constant for very long. For now, Owens will work in a setup role.

* NBCSPORTS.COM VIDEO: Gleeman Report – Interleague Impact

* Edwin Encarnacion's Louisville vacation didn't last long. After placing Josh Hamilton on the disabled list Tuesday with gastroenteritis, the Reds recalled Encarnacion less than two weeks after demoting him to Triple-A. Encarnacion batted .413 with three homers and three doubles in 11 games at Triple-A, but there's never been a ton of doubt that he can hit and his slow start at the plate likely wasn't what got him demoted in the first place.

What ultimately caused the Reds to overreact and send Encarnacion down was error-prone defense at third base, and he committed three errors at Louisville, including a two-error game. In other words, Encarnacion hasn't exactly fixed the issues that got him in manager Jerry Narron's doghouse to begin with. The good news is that with Hamilton out the Reds almost can't help but give him regular playing time and Encarnacion can erase all the problems with a good stretch.

* Continuing their tradition of waiting until the last possible moment to place injured players on the disabled list, the A's finally put Justin Duchscherer on the DL Tuesday after he took up a spot on the active roster for over a week despite being unavailable because of ongoing hip problems. Duchscherer was supposed to step in for the injured Huston Street at closer, but instead the A's will turn to some combination of Alan Embree, Kiko Calero, and Jay Witasick.

Manager Bob Geren indicated Tuesday that Embree would be the primary closer, saying that he'll call on the veteran left-hander in "more cases than not." However, it's likely that Geren's choice for ninth-inning duties will depend largely on matchups. Embree has just eight career saves in 13 big-league seasons and figures to give way to Calero or Witasick when faced with multiple right-handed hitters. Duchscherer could be back by June 1.

* By optioning Andrew Miller to Triple-A Tuesday, the Tigers essentially guaranteed that Jeremy Bonderman will come off the disabled list to start Thursday against the Angels. Bonderman said Tuesday that the cut on his right middle finger is "100 percent healed," although the nature of the injury means that he remains a somewhat risky fantasy play. Miller, who pitched six scoreless innings against the Cardinals in his first big-league start, will likely be back in the second half.

AL Quick Hits: Josh Beckett (finger) is scheduled to throw a simulated game Wednesday and remains on track to return Tuesday against the Indians … Roy Halladay (appendectomy) is ahead of schedule and could return by month's end … General manager Bill Stoneman issued two denials Tuesday, saying that the Angels aren't interested in acquiring Jason Giambi or being home to Troy Percival's comeback attempt … Giambi's busy week continued when the New York Daily News reported that he failed an amphetamines test last year … Manager Ozzie Guillen said Tuesday that he doesn't expect Joe Crede (back) to play again until at least Friday … After leading the Twins to a win Tuesday, Johan Santana and Justin Morneau are both ahead of their award-winning paces from last season … Dustin Pedroia called Alex Rodriguez's elbow-throwing attempt to break up a double play Tuesday "a little cheap" and said that he'll "know now that when he's coming in, my arm slot gets dropped to the floor" … Moneyball protagonist Jeremy Brown was designated for assignment Tuesday … There's quite a bit of evidence to suggest that Elijah Dukes is not a very good person.

NL Quick Hits: Ryan Howard (quadriceps) is scheduled to begin a brief minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday and could come off the disabled list as soon as Friday … Brad Lidge will be unavailable for several games while having his sore knee examined … After throwing a bullpen session Tuesday, Jason Schmidt (shoulder) is expected to throw the first of several simulated games Friday … Ken Griffey Jr. tied Harmon Killebrew for eighth on the all-time homer list Tuesday with No. 573 … Despite a rough rehab start Tuesday, Jason Jennings (elbow) remains on track to return next week … Brian Giles (knee) is expected to miss several games and could need a trip to the DL … Following his demotion to Triple-A, Neal Cotts will work as a starter … After throwing a pain-free bullpen session Tuesday, Orlando Hernandez (shoulder) is set to return from the DL this weekend … Matched up against Roy Oswalt for the second time in a week, Daily Dose's favorite pitching prospect, Tim Lincecum, won the battle with eight strong innings … With a blister knocking Ben Sheets out of Tuesday's game, Daily Dose's new favorite pitching prospect, Yovani Gallardo, could be on the verge of a call-up

[Hache Man]

Myers Hurt in Phillies' Win
Brett Myers had been dominant since moving to the bullpen last month, posting a 0.90 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 20 innings while going 6-for-7 in save opportunities. Unfortunately, things came crashing down in a big way Wednesday. With the Phillies holding a 7-3 lead in the ninth inning and no save chance in play, Myers came in and allowed the Marlins to tie the game with four runs on four hits, a walk, and a hit batsman.

Then, to make matters significantly worse, Myers uncorked a wild pitch and immediately clutched his right arm before running to the clubhouse. He's been diagnosed with a strained right shoulder and is expected to return to Philadelphia for further examination, which figures to include an MRI. It's possible that he could avoid the disabled list, but Myers' quotes afterward certainly made it seem like a relatively serious injury.

"It didn't feel right," Myers said. "I felt weird out. It was one of those things where I'd better not throw another pitch. Something might happen." With Tom Gordon already sidelined, the Phillies' bullpen is suddenly running on fumes. Ryan Madson, who's fresh off the DL himself, seems like the leading candidate to take over ninth-inning duties. Antonio Alfonseca could also get a chance if manager Charlie Manuel chooses closing experience over the ability to actually get outs.

While the Phillies win the battle by beating the Marlins in extra innings, but lose the war by seeing Myers go down, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Roger Clemens made the second and perhaps final start on his minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday, but struggled with his command while giving up three runs in 5.1 innings at Single-A. Clemens walked the bases loaded in the first inning and hit a batter to load the bases again in the sixth inning, eventually walking a run in. He left the game with the bases still loaded, having thrown 102 pitches to get 16 outs.

Various reports earlier this week suggested that Clemens and the Yankees were eyeing a Monday return against the Blue Jays, but his second tune-up certainly wasn't very encouraging. Clemens struck out five batters, but threw just 64 of his 102 pitches for strikes and allowed 11 baserunners. Still, that he was allowed to stretch himself out by clearing 100 pitches in the outing is seemingly an indication that his next step is joining the Yankees' rotation.

* Randy Johnson has a 47-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio and 1.15 WHIP in 35.2 innings since returning from the disabled list, but his comeback has been put on hold thanks to what is being called forearm tendinitis. Johnson has been scratched from his Friday start, with Edgar Gonzalez set to replace him, but the Diamondbacks are hoping that he can avoid another DL stint. Asked Wednesday about Johnson's injury, manager Bob Melvin called it "just a forearm thing."

* San Diego showed a ton of patience with Kevin Kouzmanoff through his brutal start and it's beginning to pay off even if his .202 batting average remains ugly. Kouzmanoff is riding a 10-game hitting streak and his two-run homer Wednesday accounted for all of the Padres' offense in a win over the Cubs. After starting the season 9-for-83 (.108) with one homer and eight RBIs in 27 games, Kouzmanoff has gone 14-for-31 (.452) with two homers and 10 RBIs during the streak.

* Throughout April, Daily Dose featured "The Lincecum Watch," which involved drooling over each of Tim Lincecum's Triple-A starts. With Lincecum now seemingly in the majors to stay after going 2-0 with a 3.08 ERA during his first four starts, it's time to put a new stud pitching prospect on "watch." I solicited suggestions for the new pitcher earlier this month and the response was overwhelmingly in favor of 21-year-old Brewers right-hander Yovani Gallardo.

So, consider this the first of what may not actually be all that many installments of "The Gallardo Watch." Gallardo tossed six innings of one-run ball Tuesday at Triple-A, racking up 10 strikeouts. He's now 6-1 with a 2.14 ERA, 76-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .177 opponent's batting average in 54.2 innings. With Ben Sheets' status somewhat iffy thanks to a blister on his pitching hand, Gallardo could be joining Lincecum in the majors very soon.

* David Wright had everyone concerned about his lack of power after failing to smack a single homer in April, giving him a grand total of just six long balls in 383 plate appearances dating back to the second half of last season. However, Wright homered Wednesday for the fourth time in four games and has already gone deep eight times in 89 plate appearances so far this month.

AL Quick Hits: Akinori Iwamura (oblique) played five innings in an extended spring training game Wednesday and is on track to return from the disabled list Monday … As expected, Carl Pavano (elbow) will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery, officially ending his Yankees career after 19 starts and $39.95 million … Currently riding an 11-game hitting streak, Mike Napoli is batting .319 with a 1.058 OPS in May after hitting just .192 with a .603 OPS in April … After catching bullpen sessions on back-to-back days, Joe Mauer (quadriceps) is reportedly on the verge of returning … Travis Buck (elbow) was scratched from Wednesday's lineup, with Hiram Bocachica replacing him and homering … Bartolo Colon lost for the first time as the Tigers knocked him around Wednesday for six runs on 10 hits in 4.2 innings … Again waiting until the last possible moment to put a player on the DL, the A's placed Milton Bradley (hamstring) there Wednesday after he took up a roster spot while being unavailable for over a week.

NL Quick Hits: Asked if Ben Sheets (finger) would be able to make his scheduled start Monday, manager Ned Yost said, "We've got a whole weekend to figure it out" … Expected to return from the disabled list after a brief minor-league rehab assignment, Ryan Howard (quadriceps) went 2-for-3 with a game-winning homer Wednesday at Single-A … Sean Marshall figures to stick in the rotation after holding the Padres to two runs while striking out eight batters over seven innings Wednesday … An MRI on Brad Lidge's injured knee revealed only a bruise and he's expected back soon … Brad Penny bounced back from a rough outing last week to shut the Brewers out for seven innings Wednesday, improving to 6-1 with a 2.26 ERA … One day after manager Fredi Gonzalez said that he'll remain the closer even with Henry Owens returning, Kevin Gregg took the extra-inning the loss Wednesday … Brett Tomko has been bumped from the rotation, with the Dodgers grooming Hong-Chih Kuo to replace him when needed next month.

[Hache Man]

So, what's your strategy?
By this point in the season, fantasy owners should have a good handle on the relative strength of their teams.

Whether J.J. Hardy or B.J. Upton has made you look like a genius or injuries to Chris Carpenter or B.J. Ryan have wrecked your season, evaluating what's worked and what hasn't is the easy part. Deciding what to do about it is something else.

In Sports Weekly's Leagues of Alternative Baseball Reality (LABR), the experts are facing similar challenges. With several different strategies in play, there's a pretty good chance one of them might sound familiar enough to help your squad.

Nail the draft, avoid injuries

Things have started perfectly for ESPN's Nate Ravitz, who drafted a monster team in the American League that sits atop the league by a healthy (pun intended) margin.

Cornerstone hitters David Ortiz ($34) and Ichiro Suzuki ($30) have delivered on offense; value-priced pitchers Mark Buehrle ($9), Joe Blanton ($7) and Bartolo Colon ($2) anchor the league's top staff; and until closer Huston Street's recent injury, Ravitz's team had been able to avoid the disabled list.

Strategy: Stick with what's working. "I still hope to eventually get some value from reserves like Adam Miller and Brandon Wood, and I still have most of my FAAB (Free Agent Acquisition Budget)," Ravitz says.

Use all your resources

Perhaps the only team that has a chance to catch Ravitz in the AL is Rotowire.com's Chris Liss. Despite injuries to Chone Figgins, Joe Mauer, Felix Hernandez and Akinori Iwamura, among others, his team sits in second place. How? Free agent pickups Al Reyes and Carlos Pena.

"It's important to be very aggressive with FAAB early on," Liss says. "I'll have these guys for five or six months. Even if you got a big-time player at the trade deadline for all your money, you'd only have two months of him."

Strategy: Hernandez was dealt for two healthy pitchers. With the other injuries slowly healing and Roger Clemens in reserve, a midseason push is certainly possible.

Start with pitching

Fantasybaseball.com's Jason Grey and Rotoworld.com's Rick Wolf and Glenn Colton are on top in the National League, primarily because they have by far the best pitching staffs in the league.

"It is generally not advisable to try to build a winning team around pitching, but there were too many pitching bargains to pass up," Grey says. He has relied on Cole Hamels and Tim Hudson, who at $6 might be the best pitching value in the entire draft.

Grey also looks smart by investing in Jason Isringhausen ($12) and Armando Benitez ($7) — closers who were shaky at the start of the season but have paid huge dividends.

Strategy: Grey's holding steady with top draftees Carlos Delgado and Ryan Zimmerman and has dealt surplus pitching for offensive help. "If my offense starts to come around, I should be right there until the end," Grey says.

Wolf and Colton based their strategy around a core of three solid starters (Chris Young, $16; Chris Capuano, $14; and Brad Penny, $11). All have paid off handsomely. And as the proud owners of Francisco Cordero ($18), they rank in the top three in every pitching category.

Strategy: The success of Oliver Perez ($4) enabled them to trade Penny last week to acquire Ken Griffey Jr. and Mark DeRosa. A team that includes Lance Berkman, Aramis Ramirez and Carlos Lee doesn't figure to be next-to-last in homers, RBI and runs for long.

Punt saves

The NFBC team managed by Greg Ambrosius and John Zaleski didn't draft a closer and has a zero in the saves column, but they're in contention because of impressive balance among the other categories.

Jeff Suppan ($3) and Braden Looper ($1) have combined for ace-caliber stats and hot starts from Eric Byrnes, Geoff Jenkins and Aaron Rowand have NFBC in good shape.

Strategy: "We're excited about our chances," Zaleski says. "(A $43 Albert) Pujols has yet to do much, and with $105 FAAB (after spending $5 for Mark Prior, who's out for the season), we have the luxury of waiting for a trade of a stud AL player to the NL."

None of the above

Of course, those are just some of the strategies that are succeeding. Others haven't panned out as well. But if there's a common theme to any winning fantasy strategy, it's that while the character of a team comes into focus in May, championships are won over the course of the entire season.

[Hache Man]

Pick Up Greinke, Braun
In Andrew Miller, Scott Baker, Kevin Gregg, and Byung-Hyun Kim, we had some decent recommendations last week in Waiver Wired. It also paid off to show caution with Jesse Litsch. This week, we've got the usual assortment of prospects, journeymen, and temporary closers.

American League

Octavio Dotel, RP, KCA – Dotel finally made his Royals debut Wednesday night, entering with a six-run lead and surrendering a Travis Hafner home run. The Royals already waffled on whether Dotel would close right away, and the current line is that they'll wait a week or two. He is a complete wild card, but saves are saves. AL: $6, Mixed: $1.

Zack Greinke, RP, KCA - ***DEEP SLEEPER OF THE WEEK*** - We know Greinke is talented; he's shown flashes of brilliance this year. But since he's been demoted to the bullpen, the hype has died down. If his first 9.1 innings in relief are any indication, Greinke could become a dominant reliever.

He's enjoying the gig, and certainly has the arsenal and intelligence to pitch in relief. In fact, he seems overqualified. I see him developing into a valuable late-inning guy at the least, with a decent shot at closing at some point this year. It would make a lot of sense for the Royals to trade Octavio Dotel in two months, assuming he re-establishes himself. If he doesn't, the closer role could be open anyway. While Joakim Soria is first in line for saves, his control is shaky and he's short on big league experience. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Mike Napoli, C, LAA – Over the past 14 days, Napoli is hitting .364/.389/.818 with four home runs and nine ribbies. Now there's the Napoli we expected to see. If he gets another 300 at-bats, he could easily pop 15 more homers. Check and see if he's better than your second mixed league catcher, assuming you don't need batting average. AL: $11, Mixed: $1.

Tyler Clippard, SP, NYA – Baseball America describes Clippard's outlook as "solid #4." He's lost a little velocity on the heater, and doesn't have that one nasty out pitch. He does throw a decent curve and change, and has a deceptive delivery. He should stick in the Yanks' rotation until Phil Hughes returns, which might be four starts from now. Worth a look in AL-only, at least until the scouting reports get around. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

Chad Gaudin, SP, OAK – Gaudin is starting to become popular in mixed leagues. He's been tough to hit but it doesn't look like a fluke based on the numbers. And the tiny home run rate is at least partially supported by a 52% groundball rate. I still feel iffy recommending him in all leagues, but I think the pickup is justified in a deep mixed. AL: $15, Mixed: $3.

Alan Embree, RP, OAK – Embree is the main man for saves in Oakland, at least until Justin Duchscherer comes back. Embree, a 37-year-old southpaw, has looked decent this month. He could be tolerable for a couple of weeks, but may have to share duties with Kiko Calero. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Ramon Vazquez, 3B, TEX – A 9 for 15 start with two home runs has made Vazquez the favorite to fill in for Hank Blalock at third base for the Rangers. While Vazquez can draw a walk, he's pretty much a punchless, injury-prone journeyman on a hot streak. He was once the Padres' starting shortstop and leadoff man. Vazquez will probably sit against lefties; he's never hit them. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

National League

Matt Diaz, OF, ATL – Diaz is hitting a robust .347/.369/.510 on the season, earning him plenty of playing time in left field. More than 60% of his at-bats have come against lefties, however, so look for a decline in power if he goes full-time. He's a streaky player, and can be considered in deeper mixed leagues while he's rolling. NL: $11, Mixed: $1.

Sean Marshall, SP, CHN – The 24-year-old southpaw looked strong in his season debut against the Padres, whiffing eight in seven innings. His 1.82 ERA in four Triple A starts was impressive, but his success relied heavily on a low hit rate and didn't include many strikeouts. If Marshall can show improved control and keep the ball on the ground, I think he can post a low 4s ERA. He'll remain the Cubs' fifth starter as long as he does. NL: $7, Mixed: No.

Angel Guzman, RP, CHN – Ryan Dempster looked solid last night, snagging a quick save against the Padres. While he did have a blow-up against the Mets a week ago, he's been pretty good overall. That's why it's curious that the Cubs are planning on moving Dempster into the rotation and turning the closer job over to Guzman The plan could work, though, as Guzman is more likely to stay healthy if used in short bursts. It might make sense to stash Guzman, but keep Dempster to see if the Cubs stay true to their word. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Edwin Encarnacion, 3B, CIN – EE tore up Triple A in 46 at-bats, earning a quick trip back to the big leagues. However, he's been 2 for 11 since coming back and may again be the odd man out when Josh Hamilton comes off the DL. I still like Encarnacion long-term, but would definitely cut him for Ryan Braun, Alex Gordon, or Kevin Kouzmanoff. NL: $4, Mixed: No.

Ryan Spilborghs, OF, COL – With Jeff Baker already fighting for playing time as the Rockies' fourth outfielder, it will be tough for Spilborghs to get at-bats. Why Steve Finley was ever on the roster over Spilborghs is a mystery to me though. Spilborghs has regularly hit for a high average in the admittedly inflated environments of the Rockies' high minors affiliates. Keep an eye on him in case an injury opens up more PT – Spilborghs is a decent hitter. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Kevin Gregg, RP, FLA – Despite the imminent return of Henry Owens and non-save situations his last two appearances, Gregg remains the Marlins' closer. The switch to the NL has gone well for the veteran, as he's whiffed a batter per inning. I think he can stick as the closer all year. NL: $16, Mixed: $8.

Hong-Chih Kuo, SP, LAN – Kuo, a 25-year-old Taiwanese southpaw, has twice endured elbow surgery. He throws in the mid-90s and has recovered from a shoulder injury to snag a spot in the Dodgers' rotation. He's a risky pickup but must be considered given his strikeout potential (10.7 K/9 last year). If Kuo's control is decent and he stays healthy he could have mixed league value. NL: $7, Mixed: No.

Ryan Braun, 3B, MIL – Big news of the day, Braun has finally gotten the call. He'll be playing every day and should be owned in all leagues. The 23-year-old mashed at Triple A, and has shown 20 steal potential as well. I can see 15 homers in the Majors this year for him. I'd cut Scott Rolen for Braun, and would consider him over guys like Kevin Kouzmanoff and Garrett Atkins. Remember, Braun should steal bases. NL: $24, Mixed: $12.

Antonio Alfonseca, RP, PHI –Charlie Manuel is leaning towards Alfonseca as his closer while Brett Myers is out. Geoff Geary or Ryan Madson would probably be better choices, but hey, Alfonseca leads the league in fingers and he's done it before. I usually say "saves are saves" but Alfonseca is too risky. NL: $4, Mixed: No.

Jose Bautista, 3B, PIT – Bautista has spent three games in the leadoff spot for the Bucs, and he's gotten on base six times. He's a tweener in that I wouldn't want him in a mixed league but he's probably already owned in NL-only. If he can be had in the latter, he's worth it for the runs. NL: $13, Mixed: No.

Shawn Chacon, SP, PIT – Chacon will slide into the Pirates' rotation and start Saturday against the Reds. The weak K/BB ratio and five home runs allowed don't bode well. Ignore his fluke Yankee stint in 2005 and pass on Chacon in all leagues. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B, SDN – The Kouz is finally hitting like the ROY candidate everyone expected him to be. Over the last two weeks, he's at .483/.556/.828 in 29 at-bats with a pair of homers and nine RBIs. Coming into the season I saw him as a .270, 20 HR type. I can see him sustaining that level of performance from here on out. NL: $18, Mixed: $8.

Mike Bacsik, SP, WAS – Bacsik is a 29-year-old command lefty whose claim to fame is being included in the Roberto Alomar trade of 2001. He won't pick up strikeouts but shouldn't issue too many walks. The Nats turned to the journeyman to fill a spot in their tattered rotation. He tossed six shutout innings against the Orioles in his first start and pitching into the eighth inning in his second. Keep in mind that he's liable to get shelled at any time. NL: No, Mixed: No.

[Hache Man]

Ryan Braun Gets the Call
In what may prove to be the final game of his minor-league career, Ryan Braun went 3-for-4 with a homer Wednesday at Triple-A. With Craig Counsell and Tony Graffanino combining for a .593 OPS to give Milwaukee the fourth-worst production from third base among all MLB teams, the Brewers called Braun up Thursday afternoon. He's expected to make his big-league debut Friday and should take over as the everyday third baseman.

A wrist injury forced Braun to miss 13 games earlier this month, but he's 6-for-18 with a pair of homers since returning. In 34 games at Nashville, Braun batted .342 with a 1.119 OPS, smacking 10 homers and 12 doubles. He also posted a fantastic 11-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio after striking out 100 times in 118 games last season and continued to run quite a bit despite being a large mammal, attempting seven steals after going 26-for-30 on the bases last year.

There are some doubts about whether Braun can handle third base defensively long term, but if his improved strike-zone control is for real there's little question about his bat. He's capable of putting up solid numbers right away, making him a worthwhile pickup in most formats, and has 30-homer, 20-steal potential down the road. For more on Braun and the Brewers, check out Jeff Sackmann of The Hardball Times and Brew Crew Ball on NBCSports.com's "Fantasy Fix."

While Brewers fans dream about the present and future of their infield filled with past and present top prospects Braun, Prince Fielder, Rickie Weeks, and J.J. Hardy, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Chris Young returned to the Diamondbacks' lineup Thursday after missing five games with a sore groin, but left in the fourth inning after aggravating the injury. The injury and a possible trip to the disabled list come at a horrible time for Young, because he was really beginning to pick up steam at the plate after a slow start. Ranked as my No. 3 overall prospect in baseball heading into the season, Young has hit .323 with two homers and three steals in 17 games this month.

He hasn't shown as much plate discipline as expected, walking just seven times in 155 plate appearances, but he's making good contact at the plate and was on a 20-homer, 20-steal pace prior to the injury. For the year, the 23-year-old Young is hitting .271 with a .775 OPS, which ranks 12th among MLB center fielders, sandwiched in between Vernon Wells (.779) and Johnny Damon (.747).

* With his second tune-up start mediocre at best Wednesday at Double-A, various reports out of New York suggest that Roger Clemens will make another minor-league rehab outing before joining the Yankees' rotation. Clemens was initially on track to debut early next week against the Blue Jays, but now looks likely to start at Triple-A instead after allowing three runs in 5.2 innings while struggling to throw strikes against Eastern League hitters.

That would push his debut into June, but it's possible that he could make his first start during a three-game series against the Red Sox, at Fenway Park, beginning June 1. If not against Boston, then Clemens will likely take the mound against the White Sox, in Chicago, on June 4. "He knows his body better than anybody else," manager Joe Torre said. "If he feels he'll get sharper by staying down there one more time, I'm sure that's what he'll do."

* One day after leaving a brutal outing while clutching his shoulder, Brett Myers underwent an MRI and said that he doesn't expect to need a stint on the disabled list. With Tom Gordon already out, my assumption was that Ryan Madson would take over at closer should Myers need time off. Of course, I hedged my bet by writing that "Antonio Alfonseca could also get a chance if manager Charlie Manuel chooses closing experience over the ability to actually get outs."

Amazingly, it sounds like that's exactly what Manuel is doing. "Alfonseca has been pitching pretty good for us and he's done that job before," Manuel said. It should be pointed that if Manuel thinks Alfonseca's 4.79 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, and 9-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 20.2 innings qualify as "pretty good," then Madson's 2.95 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 19-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 21.1 innings should make him a Cy Young contender.

AL Quick Hits: Joe Mauer is expected to test his injured quadriceps prior to Friday's game and could be cleared to come off the disabled list … Jon Lester (forearm) allowed one run over five innings in a minor-league rehab start Thursday at Triple-A, giving him a 1.62 ERA in 16.2 innings at Pawtucket … Adam Miller (finger) was scratched from his scheduled start Thursday at Triple-A and hasn't pitched since May 2 … Frank Thomas smacked career homer No. 493 Thursday, tying him for 21st all time with Lou Gehrig and Fred McGriff … Jeremy Bonderman (finger) returned from the DL with eight shutout innings Thursday against the Angels, but struggled with his command more than the end result suggests … Reggie Willits got Thursday's game off because of a sore hamstring … Miguel Tejada's homer Thursday was just his third of the season and first since April 25 … Asked if he expects to be sent to Triple-A following another horrible road outing Thursday, Ervin Santana allegedly snapped at a reporter.

NL Quick Hits: After receiving a cortisone shot Thursday, Chipper Jones (thumb) is expected to be sidelined until at least Sunday … John Smoltz picked up career win No. 200 Thursday against longtime rotation-mate Tom Glavine, who remained stuck on 295 wins … Jason Jennings (elbow) is scheduled to return Tuesday against the Reds … According to the Denver Post, the Yankees are among the teams interested in Todd Helton and Brian Fuentes … Ryan Howard (oblique) went 0-for-3 in a minor-league rehab game Thursday at Single-A, but remains on track to return Friday … As expected, manager Lou Piniella announced Thursday that Sean Marshall will remain in the rotation … Tom Gorzelanny left Thursday's game after being hit on the thumb by a comebacker, but X-rays were negative and he's not expected to miss any time … Despite all the talk this week about him being replaced by Angel Guzman, Ryan Dempster picked up his 10th save in 11th chances Thursday while lowering his opponent's batting average to .176.

[Hache Man]

Week That Was
The return of injured pitchers, the arrival of hyped rookies and some thoughts on Memorial Day in this week's Week That Was.

Sean Marshall: According to reports from the Cubbies, lefty Sean Marshall is in the rotation to stay. Clearly, this represents a buying opportunity in NL-only leagues. Marshall looked strong in his 2007 debut, striking out 8 while walking only 2. Add to that his 1.86 ERA in the minors and you have strong reason to be optimistic. I would buy here, but temper your expectations -- young pitchers are prone to inconsistency. Oh, and announcements from Lou Piniella are often as reliable as "the check is in the mail" and other similar promises.

Chris Young: Padre hurler Chris Young posted yet another solid outing, allowing just one run while striking out 10 Cubbies on Thursday. It may be too late to buy low here, but you will want to try. A couple of ugly starts suppress some very impressive stats this year. Add in the fact that Young is a virtual lock to strike out more than 150 and you have a strong middle of the fantasy team starter. One final thought on Young: very tall pitchers (Young is 6'10") often find their groove later than other pitchers. Young is ready to take it to the next level. Be on the train.

Ryan Braun: Ryan Braun has arrived from Nashville to take over as the Brewer 3B. I know many a fantasy owner out there will miss the Craig Counsell/Tony Graffanino corner production – not! Braun was torching AAA pitching to the tune of .354 (including a double, triple and dinger in his last AAA game). The only risk with Braun is that he reminds no one of Brooks Robinson (or even Herb Brooks) at 3b. In any event, Braun represents a top of the line FAAB opportunity.

Orlando Hernandez: El Duque came off of the DL Friday and looked very strong in his 6 innings of work, allowing only two hits with no walks. If you own Hernandez, activate him immediately. As I have said in this space previously, the veteran who struck out a batter per inning last year, is in a great situation to succeed pitching for the Mets at Shea.

Antonio Alfonseca: With Flash Gordon and Brett Myers on the shelf, noise out of Philadelphia is that Antonio Alfonseca is the leading candidate for saves. Hmmm, what to do? Be afraid. Be very afraid. In only one of the past 5 years has Alfonseca had an ERA under 4.00. If that is not bad enough, he has never posted an WHIP under 1.3. Thus, you have a pitcher who has given up baserunners and runs at a high rate pitching in a launching pad home park. Again I say: Be afraid. If you own Alfonseca, sell now while he at least has some value created by this noise.

Yadier Molina: Yadier Molina continues to hit in May. Thursday, the Cardinal catcher knocked in a pair of runs. The most interesting part of Yadier's May is that going into Friday's game, he has a hit in each of his May starts. Impressive consistency if you ask me. Run around telling your leaguemates that Molina could not hit a beach ball with a broom last year, harp about his being a catcher who will run down later in the year and steal a better than average catcher who will help you this year (and in keeper leagues, will be a true gem).

Elijah Dukes: The Devil Rays have kept Elijah Dukes out of the lineup until Friday after allegations surfaced that he threatened to kill his wife. This is one of those things that really irks me. Of course, it is completely and totally inexcusable to threaten anyone. Period. However, until somebody proves something against Dukes, why should he be deprived of the opportunity to shine at his profession? If it is proven, punish him. Until then, the Devil Rays should resort to one of the tried and true fundamental principles of American life – innocent until proven guilty. Ok, back to baseball analysis. (note: after I wrote this but before posting, I noticed that Dukes did start Friday and promptly went yard).

Josh Beckett: Josh Beckett threw a five-inning simulated game this week and is poised to return from the DL when eligible on Tuesday. Activate Beckett immediately. He has looked awesome this year, reeling off 7 wins in a row. Carp to the Beckett owner in your league about his 5+ ERA last year and how the blister could be chronic and get the pitcher I believe has the best shot at the Cy Young this year (and this coming from a Yankee fan!)

Neal Cotts: In what this writer believes to be a curious move, the Cubs sent reliever Neal Cotts to AAA. What did he proceed to do? He tossed three scoreless innings in his AAA debut. Yes, Cotts has been bad in three of his last four major league outings. However, he gave up only one earned run in the first six weeks of the season. Moreover, Cotts has talent and has shown it at the major league level (ERA under 2.00 in the 2005 campaign with the White Sox). The Cubs should be more patient. If you are in a deep NL league, you should be too.

Chris Duncan: Chris Duncan went yard in three straight games this week. That makes 8 HR in May already. Yes, Duncan is a weak fielder. Yes, Duncan strikes out too often. However, 9 HR, 2 SB and a .295 average is not too shabby. Go get Duncan now before other owners in your league figure out that his glove and sometime platoon status will not prevent him from posting very strong roto stats the rest of the way.

Last but not least, this week's Schultz Says: "The Indians (and his roto-owners) are rightfully a bit concerned about Jeremy Sowers' continued propensity for getting shelled. Even though he pitched well against the Royals on Thursday night, I don't think it's time to get all Winston Wolf thinking he's back to form. Sowers doesn't throw hard and his success comes from getting hitters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone. The Orioles were the first to employ the strategy of uniformly working counts, laying off anything remotely outside the strike zone and making Sowers throw his low velocity pitches over the plate. Similar to Kei Igawa, who also lacks any type of "out" pitch, Sowers isn't going to make hitters fear him until he can credibly put the ball by them. His minor league strike out numbers are respectable, so it's going to up to him to adjust.

I am curious to see what the soon-to-be-coming new manager of the Phillies does with their pitching staff. Regardless of the results of Brett Myers MRI, Charlie Manuel's decision making skills, including the bizarre statement/decision that Antonio Alfonseca will be their closer, continue to be head-scratching at best. Whatever benefits Brett Myers owners reaped from his two weeks as a closer might be it for the year. If you're optimistic about the news that he's getting an MRI, you're the type who thinks an athlete goes to see Dr. James Andrews just to make sure everything's fine.

This month it's Chipper Jones' thumbs, next month it will be his feet and later in the season his prostate will probably start bothering him. He is becoming the poster-child for "game-time decision." If you are in a league with weekly transactions, you simply can not have Chipper in any type of prominent role on your team. If you're in a daily transaction league, I hope you are enjoying the necessity of logging on to your team within an hour of every Braves' game to see if he's playing. I'm sure that's contributing to a productive lifestyle. Unfortunately, when Chipper plays, Chipper's quite good, so he's worth the hassle. But when he becomes too much of a drag on your non-roto lifestyle, trade him for full value to someone who doesn't realize what a headache "Laaaarrrrry" is.

Finally, a little accountability check: hopefully you all listened to me about not bailing on Kevin Kouzmanoff and similarly realized that Jorge de la Rosa only seems to pitch really well when I am watching him. I will try to keep you all posted as to when I will be watching him pitch next. "

Response: The thought of Schultz as Jorge de la Rosa's good luck charm sends shivers down my spine. That said, Schultzie makes some good points about Chipper and Alfonseca. Wait, did I see that Schultz compared Jeremy Sowers to Kei Igawa? What did Sowers do to be insulted in such a vile way?

On a final and serious note, I know that Memorial Day was not designed to be a happy occasion. However, I still want to wish for all of you a restful and enjoyable holiday. After all, those that we honor on Memorial Day paid the ultimate price to secure for all of us the blessings of freedom, including the freedom to spend time with family and friends and the freedom to enjoy America's pastime.

[Hache Man]

Beckett and Halladay Return
As we approach week nine of the fantasy season, be sure to set your lineup on time while we're on the long Memorial Day weekend. There will be six afternoon games on the holiday, so make sure you have your best possible squad in on time. This week will feature another Red Sox/Yankees series, two starts for Santana, Dontrelle and Schill, the return of Josh Beckett and Roy Halladay and even possibly a Roger Clemens sighting. We'll get you ready in this edition of the The Week Ahead.

Two-start pitchers:
Great options:
Johan Santana MIN vs. CHW John Danks, @ OAK Colby Lewis
Dontrelle Willis FLA @ CHC Jason Marquis, @ MIL Chris Capuano
Brad Penny LA @ WAS Jason Simontacchi, @ PIT Tom Gorzelanny
Ben Sheets MIL vs. ATL Chuck James, vs. FLA Byung-Hyun Kim
Curt Schilling BOS vs. CLE Cliff Lee, vs. NYY Andy Pettitte
Bartolo Colon LAA vs. SEA Miguel Batista, vs. BAL Steve Trachsel
Andy Pettitte NYY @ TOR Dustin McGowan, @ BOS Curt Schilling
Oliver Perez NYM vs. SF Tim Lincecum, vs. ARI Doug Davis
Chris Capuano MIL vs. ATL John Smoltz, vs. FLA Dontrelle Willis
Tim Lincecum SF @ NYM Oliver Perez, @ PHI Freddy Garcia
Jon Garland CHW @ MIN Boof Bonser, @ TOR Shaun Marcum
Ervin Santana LAA vs. SEA Horacio Ramirez, vs. BAL Jeremy Guthrie
Jeremy Bonderman DET @ TB Jae Seo, @ CLE Jeremy Sowers
Cliff Lee CLE @ BOS Curt Schilling, vs. DET Chad Durbin
Tom Gorzelanny PIT vs. SD David Wells, vs. LA Brad Penny

More strong options:
Braden Looper STL @ COL Rodrigo Lopez, @ HOU Jason Jennings
Freddy Garcia PHI vs. ARI Doug Davis, vs. SF Tim Lincecum
Ian Snell PIT @ CIN Kyle Lohse, vs. LA Brett Tomko
Chuck James ATL @ MIL Ben Sheets, @ CHC Sean Marshall
John Danks CHW @ MIN Johan Santana, @ TOR Dustin McGowan
Jeff Francis COL vs. STL Kip Wells, vs. CIN Kyle Lohse
Matt Belisle CIN @ HOU Jason Jennings, @ COL Rodrigo Lopez
Doug Davis ARI @ PHI Freddy Garcia, @ NYM Oliver Perez
Robinson Tejeda TEX @ OAK Chad Gaudin, @ SEA Miguel Batista
Jeremy Guthrie BAL @ KC Jorge De La Rosa, @ LAA Ervin Santana
Sean Marshall CHC vs. FLA Byung-Hyun Kim, vs. ATL Chuck James
Kyle Lohse CIN vs. PIT Ian Snell, @ COL Jeff Francis
Shaun Marcum TOR vs. NYY TBA, vs. CHW Jon Garland
Jeremy Sowers CLE @ BOS Josh Beckett, vs. DET Jeremy Bonderman

Other two-starters:
Chad Durbin DET @ TB Casey Fossum, @ CLE Cliff Lee
Kip Wells STL @ COL Jeff Francis, @ HOU Roy Oswalt
Jason Jennings HOU vs. CIN Matt Belisle, vs. STL Braden Looper
David Wells SD @ PIT Tom Gorzelanny, @ WAS Jason Simontacchi
Steve Trachsel BAL @ KC Scott Elarton, @ LAA Bartolo Colon
Miguel Batista SEA @ LAA Bartolo Colon, vs. TEX Robinson Tejeda
Horacio Ramirez SEA @ LAA Ervin Santana, vs. TEX TBA
Casey Fossum TB vs. DET Chad Durbin, vs. KC Scott Elarton
Byung-Hyun Kim FLA @ CHC Sean Marshall, @ MIL Ben Sheets
Dustin McGowan TOR vs. NYY Andy Pettitte, vs. CHW John Danks
Scott Elarton KC vs. BAL Steve Trachsel, @ TB Casey Fossum
Colby Lewis OAK vs. TEX TBA, vs. MIN Johan Santana
Rodrigo Lopez COL vs. STL Braden Looper, vs. CIN Matt Belisle
Jason Simontacchi WAS vs. LA Brad Penny, vs. SD David Wells

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Seven-game schedule: BAL, CHW, CIN, CLE, COL, DET, FLA, LAA, MIL, PIT, SEA, STL, TEX, TOR
Six-game schedule: ARI, ATL, BOS, CHC, HOU, KC, LA, MIN, NYM, NYY, OAK, PHI, SD, SF, TB, WAS
Five-game schedule: none

Rain threatened games:
Monday, May 28: CLE @ BOS (40%), CIN @ HOU (40%)
Wednesday, May 30: CIN @ HOU (40%), FLA @ CHC (40%), BAL @ KC (40%)
Thursday, May 31: DET @ CLE (40%), SD @ PIT (40%)
Saturday, June 2: ARI @ NYM (60%), NYY @ BOS (60%), LA @ PIT (60%)
Sunday, June 3: TEX @ SEA (60%)

Stadium Factor:
ESPN.com - MLB - Park Factor
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.424 runs – 3 vs CLE, 3 vs NYY
2. Shea Stadium (Mets) 1.281 runs – 3 vs SF, 3 vs ARI
6. Coors Field (Rockies) 1.201 runs – 4 vs STL, 3 vs CIN
8. Kauffman Stadium (Royals) 1.123 runs – 3 vs BAL
9. Citizens Bank Park (Phillies) 1.071 runs – 3 vs ARI, 3 vs SF

No Games: 3. Comerica Park (Tigers) 1.255 runs, 4. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.239 runs, 5. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.225 runs, 7. Dodger Stadium (Dodgers) 1.129 runs

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
3. Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) 0.763 runs – 3 vs NYY, 4 vs CHW
4. Safeco Field (Mariners) 0.837 runs – 4 vs TEX
5. Metrodome (Twins) 0.857 runs – 3 vs CHW
6. RFK Stadium (Nationals) 0.860 runs – 3 vs LA, 3 vs SD
7. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.862 runs – 3 vs CIN, 3 vs STL

No Games: 1. Petco Park (Padres) 0.709 runs, 2. Turner Field (Braves) 0.729 runs

Caught Stealing %:
Toughest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Yadier Molina, STL 6-for-13 SB (53.8%) - 4 @ COL, 3 @ HOU
2. Ronny Paulino, PIT 18-for-34 SB (47.1%) – 1 @ CIN, 3 vs SD, 3 vs LA
3. Paul Lo Duca, NYM 13-for-24 SB (45.8%) – 3 vs SF, 3 vs ARI
4. David Ross, CIN 12-for-21 SB (42.9%) – 1 vs PIT, 3 @ HOU, 3 @ COL
5. Kenji Johjima, SEA 14-for-23 SB (39.1%) – 3 @ LAA, 4 vs TEX

Facing these elite catchers is bad news for the following players in the stolen base category: Willy Taveras (10-for-18 SB), Kaz Matsui (6-for-6 SB), Juan Pierre (17-for-22 SB), Russell Martin (8-for-9 SB), Rafael Furcal (6-for-8 SB), Eric Byrnes (9-for-13 SB), Dave Roberts (7-for-8 SB), Reggie Willits (11-for-11 SB), Gary Matthews Jr. (7-for-9 SB), Orlando Cabrera (6-for-6 SB), Ian Kinsler (6-for-6 SB)

Easiest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Jason Varitek, BOS 12-for-13 SB (7.7%) – 3 vs CLE, 3 vs NYY
2T. John Buck, KC 12-for-15 SB (20.0%) – 3 vs BAL, 3 @ TB
2T. A.J. Pierzynski, CHW 16-for-20 SB (20.0%) – 3 @ MIN, 4 @ TOR
2T. Jorge Posada, NYY 36-for-43 (20.0%) – 3 @ TOR, 3 @ BOS
5. Dioner Navarro, TB 23-for-29 SB (20.7%) – 3 vs DET, 3 vs KC

Facing these catchers is good news for Grady Sizemore (15-for-16 SB), Johnny Damon (9-for-9 SB), Bobby Abreu (6-for-8 SB), Brian Roberts (15-for-18 SB), Carl Crawford (11-for-15 SB), B.J. Upton (9-for-12 SB), Corey Patterson (7-for-9 SB), Torii Hunter (8-for-11 SB), Jason Bartlett (5-for-5 SB), Julio Lugo (12-for-12 SB), Coco Crisp (9-for-11 SB), Curtis Granderson (6-for-6 SB), Mark Teahen (6-for-8 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Cleveland: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Detroit: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Kansas City: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers
Minnesota: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (4 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers) note: Tue vs TEX (TBA)
Seattle: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers) note: Sun vs TEX (TBA)
Tampa Bay: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Toronto: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Red Sox, Tigers, Royals and Twins play at least three left-handers, while the Yankees and Mariners play just righties. That's good news for Manny Ramirez (.354 vs LHPs), Wily Mo Pena (.350 vs LHPs), Mike Lowell (.405 vs LHPs), Magglio Ordonez (.395 vs LHPs), Brandon Inge (.382 vs LHPs), Sean Casey (.364 vs LHPs), Reggie Sanders (.438 vs LHPs), Esteban German (.342 vs LHPs), Torii Hunter (.346 vs LHPs), Hideki Matsui (.347 vs RHPs), Derek Jeter (.375 vs RHPs), Jamie Burke (.381 vs RHPs), Ben Broussard (.341 vs RHPs), Ichiro Suzuki (.343 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Julio Lugo (.214 vs LHPs), J.D. Drew (.237 vs LHPs), Gary Sheffield (.161 vs LHPs), Curtis Granderson (.071 vs LHPs), Ryan Shealy (.077 vs LHPs), Tony Pena Jr. (.214 vs LHPs), Alex Gordon (.167 vs LHPs), Mark Grudzielanek (.213 vs LHPs), Luis Castillo (.195 vs LHPs), Michael Cuddyer (.200 vs LHPs), Wil Nieves (0-for-21 vs RHPs), Josh Phelps (.167 vs RHPs), Richie Sexson (.151 vs RHPs), Jose Guillen (.223 vs RHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago Cubs: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (7 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Houston: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (2 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers))
San Francisco: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Braves, Marlins, Dodgers, Brewers and Giants face three southpaws, while the Rockies and Astros face just righties. That's good news for Edgar Renteria (.357 vs LHPs), Matt Diaz (.349 vs LHPs), Hanley Ramirez (.429 vs LHPs), Miguel Cabrera (.400 vs LHPs), Jeremy Hermida (.364 vs LHPs), Miguel Olivo (.361 vs LHPs), Mike Jacobs (.353 vs LHPs), Luis Gonzalez, LA (.361 vs LHPs), Jeff Kent (.355 vs LHPs), Russell Martin (.359 vs LHPs), Rafael Furcal (.367 vs LHPs), Randy Winn (.412 vs LHPs), Matt Holiday (.356 vs RHPs), Kaz Matsui (.349 vs RHPs), Todd Helton (.394 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Scott Thorman (.185 vs LHPs), Chris Woodward (.206 vs LHPs), Craig Wilson (.209 vs LHPs), Andruw Jones (.224 vs LHPs), Aaron Boone (.143 vs LHPs), Joe Borchard (.179 vs LHPs), Josh Willingham (.167 vs LHPs), Wilson Betemit (.158 vs LHPs), Juan Pierre (.204 vs LHPs), Tony Graffanino (.191 vs LHPs), Geoff Jenkins (.160 vs LHPs), Omar Vizquel (.204 vs LHPs), Bengie Molina (.190 vs LHPs), Clint Barmes (.105 vs RHPs), Jamey Carroll (.169 vs RHPs), John Mabry (.121 vs RHPs), Steve Finley (.121 vs RHPs), Troy Tulowitzki (.210 vs RHPs), Luke Scott (.212 vs RHPs), Chris Burke (.211 vs RHPs), Craig Biggio (.215 vs RHPs), Jason Lane (.207 vs RHPs), Morgan Ensberg (.173 vs RHPs), Adam Everett (.196 vs RHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 10:
Erik Bedard, Gil Meche, Mark Buehrle, Scott Baker, Paul Byrd, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Nate Robertson, James Shields, Tyler Clippard, Jesse Litsch, Felix Hernandez, Jered Weaver, Brandon McCarthy, Dan Haren, Randy Johnson, Jamie Moyer, Tim Hudson, Dave Bush, Aaron Harang, Wandy Rodriguez, Sergio Mitre, Ted Lilly, Derek Lowe, Mike Bacsik, Chris Young, Paul Maholm, Barry Zito, Tom Glavine, Anthony Reyes, Jason Hirsh

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Moises Alou (quadriceps) – return early June
Garret Anderson (hip) – return early June
Marlon Anderson (elbow) – return mid-July
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) – return mid-June
Milton Bradley (hamstring) – return early June
Jeff DaVanon (shoulder) – return early June
Chris Denorfia (elbow) – out for the season
Brian Giles (knee) – return early June
Shawn Green (foot) – might go on the DL
Jerry Hairston (shoulder) – return early June
Josh Hamilton (flu) – return early June
Reed Johnson (back) – return July
Bobby Kielty (calf) – return early July
Mark Kotsay (back) – return early June
Scott Podsednik (groin) – return June
Jason Repko (groin) – might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) – return July/August
Dave Roberts (elbow) – return mid-June
Cody Ross (hamstring) – return early June
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) – return June/July
Rondell White (calf) – return June
Brad Wilkerson (hamstring) – return early June
Preston Wilson (knee) – return early June

Infielders
Willy Aybar (hand) – out indefinitely
Hank Blalock (arm) – return August
Mike Jacobs (thumb) – return mid-June
Dan Johnson (hip) – return mid-season
Nick Johnson (leg) – return June/July
Akinori Iwamura (ribs) – return early June
Maicer Izturis (hamstring) – return mid-June
Howie Kendrick (hand) – return late May
Corey Koskie (concussion) – out indefinitely
Dallas McPherson (back) – return August/September
Placido Polanco (ribs) – might miss a few days
Chad Tracy (ribs) – return early June
Jose Valentin (knee) – return June

Catchers:
Hector Gimenez (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Joe Mauer (quadriceps) – return late May
Gregg Zaun (hand) – return June
Vance Wilson (elbow) – out indefinitely

Designated Hitter:
Mike Piazza (shoulder) – return mid-June

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) – return August/September
Josh Beckett (finger) – return May 29
Jason Bergmann (elbow) – return early June
Chris Carpenter (elbow) – return August/September
Matt Clement (shoulder) – return July/August
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) – out indefinitely
Lance Cormier (shoulder) – return late May
Roy Halladay (abdomen) – will return May 31 vs MIN
Mike Hampton (ribs) – out for the season
Rich Harden (shoulder) – return late June
Clay Hensley (groin) – return late May
Orlando Hernandez (shoulder) – return late May
Shawn Hill (elbow) – out indefinitely
Luke Hudson (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Phil Hughes (hamstring) – return June/July
Jason Jennings (elbow) – return late May
Josh Johnson (elbow) – return mid-June
Jeff Karstens (leg) – out indefinitely
Jon Lester (cancer) – return late May
Francisco Liriano (elbow) – out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) – return mid-June
Adam Loewen (elbow) – return September
Rodrigo Lopez (elbow) – return May 29 vs STL
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) – return July/August
Wade Miller (back) – return late May
Kevin Millwood (hamstring) – return early June
Eric Milton (elbow) – return late May
Mark Mulder (shoulder) – return July
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) – return mid-July
John Patterson (biceps) – return mid-June
Carl Pavano (elbow) – out for the season
Darrell Rasner (finger) – return August/September
Mark Redman (toe) – out indefinitely
Kenny Rogers (arm) – return July
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) – return late June
Jeff Weaver (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Jake Westbrook (abdomen) – return late May
Jerome Williams (ankle) – out indefinitely
Jaret Wright (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Victor Zambrano (arm) – out indefinitely

Important Relievers:
Kris Benson (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Jesse Crain (shoulder) – out for the season
Elmer Dessens (shoulder) – return mid-June
Justin Duchscherer (hip) – return early June
Octavio Dotel (ribs) – return mid-May
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) – out for the season
Tom Gordon (shoulder) - return early June
Eddie Guardado (elbow) – return June/July
LaTroy Hawkins (elbow) – return mid-May
Brandon League (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Ryan Madson (ribs) – return late May
Brett Myers (shoulder) – return mid-June
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) – out for the season
Fernando Rodney (biceps) – return early June
B.J. Ryan (elbow) – out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) – return July/August
Huston Street (elbow) – return early June
Mike Timlin (shoulder) – return late May
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) – out indefinitely
Kerry Wood (triceps) – return late June
Joel Zumaya (finger) – return August

[Hache Man]

Zambrano Not Quite Right
No doubt looking to find some cure for whatever ails Carlos Zambrano, manager Lou Piniella said Sunday that the Cubs may make Henry Blanco the struggling ace's "personal catcher." Zambrano has a 3.27 ERA with Blanco behind the plate, compared to a 7.07 ERA with Michael Barrett catching for him, but that's unlikely to be the cause of his struggles. Plus, lost in the nice-looking ERA is that opponents have slugged .447 against Zambrano with Blanco catching.

Whether statistical or visual, various evidence points to some kind of arm problem causing Zambrano to pitch at less than full capacity. Zambrano is missing somewhere between 3-5 miles per hour on his fastball, typically working in the 90-92 range of late, and an examination of his delivery shows some significant modifications. Given his huge workloads over the past five years, it certainly wouldn't be surprising to learn that arm soreness is behind the changes.

He put together a strong start Saturday against the Dodgers, but Zambrano remains a huge question mark. His strikeouts and velocity are down, he's no longer an extreme ground-ball pitcher, and Zambrano is on pace to set a new career-high in homers allowed by the All-Star break. As for the personal catcher issue, it's worth noting that Zambrano held opponents to a .204 batting average with Barrett calling pitches for him last season. That's not the problem.

While Cubs fans take solace in knowing that they'd probably feel even worse about Zambrano if the team had actually signed him to that massive long-term contract last month, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Apparently it takes one-third of the schedule for the Twins to realize their mistakes with washed-up veterans. After ditching Tony Batista and Juan Castro about 50 games into last season, the fourth-place Twins are reportedly on the verge of demoting Ramon Ortiz to the bullpen. Signed this winter for $3.1 million after being one baseball's worst pitchers for the past several seasons, Ortiz put together a strong April before completely falling apart this month.

After serving up three homers Saturday against the Blue Jays, Ortiz is 0-3 with a 10.97 ERA in five May starts. His overall ERA has ballooned up to 5.75, which goes nicely with his 5.57 ERA last season and 5.36 ERA in 2005. In other words, much like Batista's awful play last season, this is exactly the type of sub par performance the Twins should have expected from Ortiz. Kevin Slowey will likely be called up from Triple-A to replace Ortiz in the rotation.

A 23-year-old right-hander with impeccable control, Slowey has a 1.54 ERA, 57-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .200 opponent's batting average in 64.1 innings at Triple-A. He doesn't have a blazing fastball, but the amazing numbers are no fluke: Slowey entered this season with a 1.96 ERA and 235-to-30 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 220.2 career minor-league innings. Often compared to Brad Radke, Slowey should quickly establish himself as a solid No. 2 or No. 3 starter.

Meanwhile, Matt Garza is arguably the Twins' top prospect and logged 50 innings in Minnesota last year, yet remains at Triple-A while Slowey and Scott Baker pass him by. Garza complained publicly over the weekend, saying that he's frustrated by the Twins telling him to focus on off-speed pitches while at Rochester. Unfortunately for Garza, the public complaints likely set him back even further, although his 3.21 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 56 innings could force the issue.

* How am I feeling about picking Jake Peavy as the most undervalued fantasy pitcher in baseball heading into the season and advising anyone who would listen to draft him several rounds higher than most suggested? As Larry David would say, "Pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty good." With seven shutout innings Sunday against the Brewers, Peavy is now 7-1 with a 1.47 ERA, 85-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 0.93 WHIP in 73.1 innings spread over 11 starts.

The natural reaction is to assume that Peavy has benefited significantly from pitcher-friendly Petco Park. However, while pitching in the majors' most extreme pitcher's ballpark certainly hasn't hurt Peavy, he's 3-0 with a 0.33 ERA in four road starts, compared to 4-1 with a 2.14 ERA in seven starts at home. Normally there's a lot of luck involved in a sub-2.00 ERA, but Peavy's secondary numbers actually suggest that he's pitching at a 1.75-2.00 ERA level thus far. Wow.

* Carlos Quentin got off to a horrible start after missing the first two weeks of the season following shoulder surgery, but he's quietly beginning to put up some big numbers. Sporting an ugly .176 batting average and .542 OPS through May 17, Quentin has gone 12-for-34 (.353) with three homers, three doubles, and 14 RBIs in 10 games since then. He remains an excellent buy-low candidate because his season totals are still horrible, but that won't be the case for much longer.

AL Quick Hits: With Joakim Soria (shoulder) heading to the disabled list, Octavio Dotel has a clear path to saves … Joe Mauer (quadriceps) continues to be "on the verge" of returning … With eight innings of two-run ball Sunday against the Yankees, John Lackey became MLB's first eight-game winner … Akinori Iwamura (oblique) is expected to return Monday after sitting out over a month … Kevin Millwood (hamstring) tossed five scoreless innings in a minor-league rehab start Sunday at Double-A and is scheduled to return Friday against the Mariners … B.J. Upton broke out of a 7-for-41 slump Sunday by going 4-for-5 to raise his batting average to .325 … Expected to be without Pablo Ozuna for at least two months after he suffered a fractured fibula and torn ankle ligament Sunday, the White Sox signed Craig Wilson to a minor-league deal … After going hitless Sunday, Jason Giambi is 4-for-44 with one RBI since May 6 … After throwing 127 pitches in a loss Sunday, the oft-injured A.J. Burnett is worth monitoring.

NL Quick Hits: After throwing a pain-free bullpen session Saturday, Tom Gorzelanny (thumb) is on track to make his scheduled start Monday … Barry Bonds' homer Sunday was his first since May 8 and the 746th of his career … Eligible to return from the disabled list Monday, Moises Alou (quadriceps) indicated that he likely won't be back until at least the weekend … Ryan Howard raised his OPS from .796 to .878 Sunday, going 3-for-4 with two homers and four RBIs … Jason Schmidt (shoulder) threw a 50-pitch bullpen session Sunday and could be close to throwing a simulated game … With Ray Durham (abdomen) looking bound for the DL, Kevin Frandsen gets a value boost in NL-only leagues … Kirk Saarloos gave up five runs without recording an out in his start Sunday, while Homer Bailey sits at 4-1 with a 1.99 ERA at Triple-A … At 0-8 with a 6.08 ERA, the Cardinals demoted Anthony Reyes to Triple-A and replaced him in the rotation with career reliever Todd Wellemeyer.

[Hache Man]

NL Closers of the Future
Here's the second of two columns looking at each team's closing situation for 2008 and beyond. Featured this week are the National League squads.

Found after each team's writeup is my listing of which pitchers have the best chance of leading the team in saves in 2008, 2009 and 2010, ranked in order.


Arizona - Jose Valverde ended 2006 with a 5.84 ERA, but the Diamondbacks showed plenty of confidence in him, naming him their 2007 closer before spring training even started. They can't ask for anything more than they've received from him so far, as he's converted 17 of his 19 save chances. Still, Valverde has a history of inconsistency and arm problems. If the Diamondbacks don't feel they're in position to win the NL West this year, they may decide to trade him at the peak of his value in July. The presence of Tony Pena and Brandon Lyon in setup roles is what makes it a possibility.

With a .159 average against this season, Pena is showing definite closer potential. The former Adriano Rosario is extremely tough on his righties with his hard slider, and he's been a lot better against left-handed hitters so far this year, though he doesn't have an outpitch to use against them. It's possible he'll have enough problems against lefties in the future to keep him in a setup role, but I'm guessing that won't be the case.

Lyon did a fine job as a closer in early 2005, but he's best utilized in the setup role he's in now. As far as insurance goes, he's not bad. One of the younger relievers should eventually take over if Valverde departs and Pena fails to pan out. Micah Owings is doing well in the rotation right now, but many have viewed him as a long-term reliever, possibly a closer. Dustin Nippert has struggled to develop as a starter, but his fastball-curve combination could allow him to dominate as a short man. 2006 supplemental first-round pick Brooks Brown projects as a setup man with his sinker and slider.

2008: Valverde, Pena, Lyon, Nippert
2009: Pena, Valverde, Owings, Lyon
2010: Pena, Owings, Valverde, Brown

Atlanta - Because they didn't want to have to go shopping for a closer over the winter, the Braves gave Bob Wickman a one-year, $6.5 million extension last September. Still, upgrading the rest of the bullpen remained a priority and GM John Schuerholz went out and got perhaps the two best relievers available on the trade market in Mike Gonzalez and Rafael Soriano. Gonzalez was, of course, the more expensive of the two, even though Soriano is one of the game's most dominant relievers when he's on. Soriano had started to overtake the left-hander anyway, and when word came down last week that Gonzalez would require Tommy John surgery, it seemed to settle which of the two would become the heir to Wickman's job in Atlanta.

That said, Soriano isn't exactly a lock for the future. The Mariners dealt him in no small part because of concerns about his long-term health. Tommy John surgery caused Soriano most of 2004 and 2005, and he had some shoulder troubles before his 2006 season ended when he was hit in the head by a Vladimir Guerrero line drive. As his 0.61 WHIP this year demonstrates, Soriano is about as good as they come when healthy. He wouldn't have any trouble adapting to the closer's role if he can stay off the DL. Still, because of his injury history and the possibility that Gonzalez won't be ready for next year, the chances are better now of Wickman returning to the Braves in 2008.

More injuries to Soriano would bring Gonzalez back into the mix and perhaps open the door for 2005 first-round pick Joey Devine. Devine, pegged as the closer of the future when he was drafted, may always have too many problems against left-handed hitter to turn into a true force. However, he should be pretty useful in a setup role. Also notable are Anthony Lerew, Jose Ascanio and Neftali Feliz. While Lerew has gotten a look as a starter this year, his future may be in a setup role. Ascanio's career was sidetracked by back problems, but he has a 2.50 ERA in Double-A this year. The 19-year-old Feliz has a huge arm and will be someone to watch over the next couple of years. He's yet to pitch in full-season ball.

2008: Soriano, Wickman, Gonzalez, Macay McBride
2009: Soriano, Gonzalez, Devine, Lerew
2010: Soriano, Devine, Gonzalez, Ascanio

Chicago - Ryan Dempster's poor 2006 made the Cubs' closing situation unsettled right from the start of the spring, but manager Lou Piniella made it clear he was committed to Dempster even with Bob Howry and Kerry Wood available as possible alternatives. Well, Dempster got off to a fine start, Howry struggled and Wood went back on the DL, seemingly settling things once and for all. However, Piniella decided to throw the whole situation into turmoil anyway by telling Dempster earlier this month that he was going back into the rotation and then changing his mind and keeping him in the bullpen for now.

Dempster, who is in the second year of a three-year, $15.5 million contract he was given in Oct. 2005, was generally a pretty awful starter before a successful conversion to the pen following his return from Tommy John surgery. Considering that he's 11-for-12 in save opportunities, it's hard to see why the Cubs would want to change what's worked. He'd be a weaker bet at the back of the rotation than Angel Guzman, and he also has less upside than current fifth starter Sean Marshall.

It appears that Guzman is Piniella's new favorite as the closer of the future. He has plenty of stuff, but he's never been a short reliever and might struggle with command if he doesn't get regular work. Carlos Marmol would also be very intriguing as a starter, but the Cubs have him in the pen now. He's wild, but he's capable of overpowering major league hitters. I think he has as much of a chance of developing into a closer as Guzman does. Howry, a very good setup man in 2005 and 2006 with some closing experience with the White Sox, no longer resembles a candidate for saves. Wood seems like a long shot to make a significant contribution this year. Michael Wuertz is actually the Cubs' best reliever right now and probably should be the closer if Dempster isn't. However, even if he serves as a stopgap there, he's a long-term setup man. Rocky Cherry, who was up earlier this month, also looks like a setup guy. If neither Guzman nor Marmol develops, it might be former Notre Dame wide receiver Jeff Samardzija closing for the Cubs come 2009 or 2010.

2008: Guzman, Dempster, Marmol, Wuertz
2009: Marmol, Guzman, Wuertz, Samardzija
2010: Marmol, Guzman, Samardzija, Wuertz

Cincinnati - If there's one team in baseball that desperately needs to go outside of the organization for a long-term closer, it's the Reds. David Weathers has done a far better job than anyone could have expected at plugging whatever hole Cincinnati has asked him to fill, but he's not intimidating anyone on the ninth inning with the game on the line. Ideally, he'd be a seventh-inning guy in front of Gary Majewski and Todd Coffey. However, Majewski had a career 96/67 K/BB ratio in 162 1/3 innings even before arriving in the controversial Austin Kearns trade last year and Coffey has never regained the splitter that made him a top relief prospect three years ago. If one of the two proves to be a long-term setup man, the Reds should be pleased. Left-hander Bill Bray is a quality talent, albeit one who has big problems staying healthy. Younger than practically all of the team's relief prospects, he'll be one of watch in 2008.

The minor league system also offers little hope. Brad Salmon has a nice track record, but he's 27 and he walks a few too many batters. Rule 5 pick Jared Burton turns 26 this week. His fastball-slider combination is similar to Salmon's. Again, if one of them turns into a setup man, the Reds can consider themselves fortunate. Marcus McBeth, who was part of the Chris Denorfia deal with the A's, may have more upside than Salmon or Burton, but his fastball lacks movement and he struggles against left-handers. The best long-term bet of any of the prospects is probably Sean Watson, who has used a sharp curve to fan 64 batters in 48 1/3 innings for low Single-A Dayton this year. However, the Reds are developing the 2006 second-round pick as a starter and would likely keep him in the rotation if he comes up with a quality changeup.

There's little doubt the Reds will go shopping for a closer over the winter. Weathers is signed for 2008, but the team will want him in a setup role. Maybe Eddie Guardado will come back strong from Tommy John surgery next month and secure the job, but he'd then have to be re-signed at the end of the season. They'll likely make a run at Scott Linebrink or settle for a one-year stopgap like Bob Wickman or Todd Jones.

2008: (Free Agent), Bray, Weathers, Salmon
2009: (Free Agent), Bray, McBeth, Salmon
2010: (Free Agent), McBeth, Bray, Watson

Colorado - Whether it happens in July or after the season, Brian Fuentes is probably on his way out of Colorado. It's nothing he's done wrong, but the Rockies have given every indication that they plan on being very cautious with their payroll going forward and it's likely the team will decide that the $6 million he'd likely command in his final year of arbitration would be better invested in the team's younger players. One possibility is that Fuentes will be part of a Todd Helton trade, with the Rockies including the left-hander in order to get another team to pick up more of Helton's salary. Traded on his own, Fuentes would likely net a couple of more strong prospects for an already packed farm system.

Manny Corpas, who has overtaken LaTroy Hawkins to become the Rockies' top setup man, would be the likely replacement if Fuentes is traded this year. Though he's just a fastball-slider pitcher, the native of Panama has been better than expected against left-handers. He's probably going to be a long-term setup man, but he'd be a more-than-reasonable fill-in if he stays at his current level. Still, the Rockies would likely sign some competition for him in the closer's role in the offseason if Fuentes is gone.

Juan Morillo is the pitcher the Rockies would like to eventually hand the job to. The flame-throwing right-hander was shifted to the pen to begin this year and currently has a 2.41 ERA in Double-A, though that comes with 13 walks in 18 2/3 innings. He's the rare Coors Field pitching prospect that has to be owned in fantasy leagues.

If not Morillo, perhaps the job will eventually go to Shane Lindsay or Darren Clarke. Lindsay, an Australian, has battled shoulder problems as a starter and might require a move in order to remain healthy. The 6-foot-8 Clarke was up briefly earlier this month. Another right-hander who has struggled to stay healthy, he'd be fortunate to make it as a setup man. He has good stuff, but he's 26 and he lacks Triple-A experience. One more sleeper is ex-Astro Taylor Buchholz, who has been forced into the rotation this year even though he makes more sense in short relief.

2008: (Free Agent), Corpas, Fuentes, Buchholz
2009: Morillo, Corpas, Buchholz, Clarke
2010: Morillo, Corpas, Clarke, Buchholz

Florida - The Marlins brought in Jorge Julio in March, trading Yusmeiro Petit to the Diamondbacks in the process, so that they'd have a stopgap closer while they tried to develop a long-term option. However, bust almost seems like too mild of a term to describe Julio's tenure in Florida, and he was sent back to the NL West for another former closer, Byung-Hyun Kim this month. Kim is in the rotation now and hopes to stay there. While Kevin Gregg is getting the job done currently, it looks like the Marlins' next closer will come from a group that includes Henry Owens, Taylor Tankersley, Ricky Nolasco, Matt Lindstrom and Carlos Martinez.

There are just too many possibilities to make any of the Marlins' relievers a strong investment, but Owens seems to he have the edge now. He was doing fine work before hurting his shoulder earlier this month, and he has the big fastball to keep it up. Lindstrom, who was also acquired from the Mets in the Jason Vargas deal, is an even harder thrower, but he lacks a great second pitch. Tankersley, the lone lefty in the group, profiles as more of a setup man, though he's as good of a bet as any of the relievers for the rest of this year. Nolasco may have been moved into the closer's role this spring if not for Josh Johnson's injury. Ideally, he'd remain in the rotation and develop into a third or fourth starter. However, a future in the pen is a real possibility. Martinez and Logan Kensing are both recovering from Tommy John surgery. Martinez has superior ability and might be a factor late in games next year.

In the minors are a few prospects with the potential to move from the rotation to the pen. Chief among them is 2006 first-round pick Brent Sinkbeil, a fastball-slider pitcher with second- or third-starter potential if he finds a changeup. Chris Volstad also projects as a starter, but his sinker could work nicely out of the pen early in his major league career. Jose Garcia was a candidate to win a spot in this year's pen before elbow problems caused a sudden drop in velocity, putting his future in question. Ryan Tucker is one of the hardest throwers in the organization and is more likely than either Sinkbeil or Volstad to end up in the pen. However, he also has a better chance of flaming out.

2008: Owens, Nolasco, Tankersley, Lindstrom
2009: Nolasco, Owens, Tankersley, Sinkbeil
2010: Nolasco, Sinkbeil, Owens, Tankersley

Houston - With the Astros already seriously concerned following an awful spring, Brad Lidge was yanked from the closer's role after making just two appearances in the first week of the season. Another shaky couple of weeks followed, but he's been rock solid for more than a month now, allowing two earned runs in his last 17 1/3 innings of work. In 13 1/3 innings this month, he's given up six hits, walked four and struck out 17. That doesn't necessarily mean he's ready to resume closing – perhaps the added pressure would set him back – but it looks like he will get another opportunity at some point, either when he gets traded to another team or Dan Wheeler falters. Wheeler so far is a perfect 9-for-9 since taking over the role and has a 2.48 ERA in 2 ½ years as an Astro. He may look like a setup man, but there's no reason to think he won't be able to get the job done for a couple of years if Lidge is moved.

With both Lidge and Wheeler under control through 2008, the Astros could choose to keep the tandem intact. However, this is an organization in desperate need of some kind of change and moving one of the relievers, mostly likely Lidge, could bring in the young starter or third baseman the team feels it needs. For that reason, I'm going with Wheeler as the favorite for saves in 2008.

No. 3 on the closing depth chart in Houston is still Chad Qualls, though his stock is down a bit now. Next up is Paul Estrada, who has a 2.66 ERA in Triple-A. However, he hasn't come close to maintaining his awesome strikeout rate from Double-A, suggesting that he'll be more of a setup man in the majors. Juan Gutierrez would be interesting in short relief if he fails to make it as a starter, but the Astros don't see him making a switch anytime soon. More likely to end up in the pen is hard-throwing Felipe Paulino. He might work regularly in the 95-98 mph range if he's allowed to go an inning at a time, and I consider him the best bet to be the team's closer come 2009.

2008: Wheeler, Lidge, Qualls, Estrada
2009: Paulino, Lidge, Estrada, Wheeler
2010: Paulino, Estrada, Lidge, Wheeler

Los Angeles - Jonathan Broxton remains the Dodgers' probable long-term closer, but he'll have to wait longer than expected to inherit the job with Takashi Saito seemingly on his way to another great year. Saito, working on a 1.97 ERA in 93 appearances as a major leaguer, is under the Dodgers' control through 2011, but he's 37 and he might prefer to finish his career in Japan. Even if he stays, odds are that he'll be overtaken by Broxton in 2008. Broxton, who is listed at carrying 290 pounds on his 6-foot-4 frame, appears sturdy enough to last a closer for at least 8-10 years. Only the fact that the Dodgers have some other very talented arms makes him something of a risk going forward.

One of those arms belongs to Yhency Brazoban, who looked like a possible long-term closer before Tommy John surgery. He's back now and seems likely to recapture his former promise, though his command issues are enough in evidence to suggest that he'd be better off in a setup role. Ex-Rockie Chin-Hui Tsao has made a surprisingly strong recovery from shoulder surgery, though he's back on the DL now. He's closer material when healthy, but he's probably always going to have physical problems. Left-hander Greg Miller has become a full-time reliever and displayed great stuff at times in Triple-A this year. However, he's battling some massive control troubles now and seems like a long shot to develop into a reliable major leaguer. Perhaps the best bet to become the eighth-inning guy in front of Broxton is Jonathan Meloan, a right-hander with a starter's arsenal but enough concerns about his durability that he seems certain to remain in the pen.

2008: Broxton, Saito, Brazoban, Meloan
2009: Broxton, Meloan, Brazoban, Saito
2010: Broxton, Meloan, Brazoban, Zach Hammes

Milwaukee - Derrick Turnbow's struggles last year caused the Brewers to request Francisco Cordero in the Carlos Lee trade, and Coco has been an extremely reliable closer for his new team, converting 33 of his 35 save chances since his acquisition. Cordero, though, is a free agent at season's end, and at age 32, he could command a contract in the neighborhood of four years and $40 million. The Brewers probably won't go that far to keep him and might be content to turn the job back over to Turnbow, who was terrific over the first six weeks of this year before struggling lately. Still, even with his recent problems, Turnbow has strong peripherals: 15 hits, nine walks, two homers allowed and 27 strikeouts in 20 1/3 innings.

How Turnbow performs over the rest of the year will likely determine the Brewers' winter decision-making process. Assuming that Cordero leaves, it possible the team could make a run at Scott Linebrink, Jason Isringhausen or Eric Gagne. Another possibility is that they settle for a setup man to go along with Matt Wise. Jose Capellan, who requested a trade after he failed to make the team this spring, remains in the organization but seems like a long shot to enter the closer mix. He might get his trade come July. Greg Aquino, who closed for Arizona for a time, is more likely to make an impact as a middle reliever. Former Twin Grant Balfour qualifies as a deep, deep sleeper for saves. His control problems probably will prevent him from being a major asset. The same goes for longtime prospect Dennis Sarfate. Odds are that the Brewers won't be able to turn to the minors for a closing option anytime soon.

2008: Turnbow, (Free Agent), Cordero, Wise
2009: Turnbow, (Free Agent), Cordero, Sarfate
2010: (Free Agent), Turnbow, Cordero, Mark Rogers

New York - Billy Wagner has held up just fine so far after signing a four-year, $43 million contract with the Mets prior to 2006. Given the stress he puts on his arm with every pitch, he didn't seem like a great bet to last into his mid-to-late 30s. However, he's lost little so far and he seems well on his way to posting another sub-3.00 ERA this season, something he's done every healthy year of his career. The Mets would love to see him last as their closer through his option year in 2010, but they did pick up a potential replacement when they traded Brian Bannister to the Royals for Ambiorix Burgos.

Burgos, who saved 18 games for Kansas City last year, has opened this season with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 23 2/3 innings while serving mostly as a mop-up man. Just 23, he likely has a very promising future now that he's in an organization that can worry about what's in his best interests. He could turn into a dominant setup man for Wagner next year and serve as protection in case of an injury to the left-hander.

2006 third-round pick Joe Smith has also looked like a potential closer with his 1.25 ERA as a rookie this season, but his motion is always going to leave him vulnerable to lefties, suggesting that he'd be of much more use as a long-term setup man. Aaron Heilman, who is sharing setup duties with Smith, figures to eventually get his wish to become a starter somewhere. He'll be more expendable as long as Burgos and Smith continue to progress. Also not to be forgotten is Duaner Sanchez, though he's currently sidelined with a second major shoulder injury. He'll likely reemerge as a big part of next year's bullpen.

2008: Wagner, Burgos, Smith, Sanchez
2009: Wagner, Burgos, Smith, Sanchez
2010: Burgos, Smith, Wagner, Bobby Parnell

Philadelphia - What a mess. Unwilling to meet Wagner's asking price, the Phillies gave the then 38-year-old Tom Gordon a three-year, $18 million contract prior to last season, though they knew he was an injury risk. Gordon was very effective initially in his return to the closer's role, but he hurt his shoulder and wasn't as strong after coming back. As a result, the Phillies made adding a top setup man a priority last winter, only to fail miserably in free agency and on the trade market. That led to the panic move to shift Opening Day starter Brett Myers into the pen, and now both Myers and Gordon are on the DL with shoulder problems, leaving the Phillies with Antonio Alfonseca, Ryan Madson and Geoff Geary battling for saves.

Gordon is likely to be touch and go for the rest of his career, so it'd be nice if the Phillies could push him back into a setup role. However, Myers belongs in the rotation as a 200-strikeout-per-year horse. With manager Charlie Manuel likely gone and GM Pat Gillick a possibility to follow him out the door, odds are that Myers will return to the rotation next year and the Phillies will spend to bring in Cordero, Isringhausen or another name closer.

As for sleeper candidates for saves, there's still Madson, top prospect Joe Bisenius and Francisco Rosario. Madson has remained inconsistent this year after last year's failed attempt to turn him into a starter, but he has the fastball-changeup combination to succeed. Unfortunately, he doesn't seem to handle pressure all that well, suggesting it might be for the best if he remains a setup man. Bisenius can work in the mid-90s and has a plus slider. He should get a look in a setup role later this year. Rosario, picked up from the Blue Jays last month, has struggled to put it together despite very good stuff. If it clicks for him, he might have more upside than Bisenius.

2008: (Free Agent), Gordon, Myers, Bisenius
2009: (Free Agent), Bisenius, Myers, Rosario
2010: (Free Agent), Bisenius, Rosario, Myers

Pittsburgh - Salomon Torres' performance in the closer's role after Mike Gonzalez hurt his elbow last year convinced the Pirates they could afford to part with Gonzalez in an Adam LaRoche trade. It now seems that they would have faced life without Gonzalez even had they chosen to keep him, and after a very shaky start, Torres has been adequate as a closer, going 11-for-14 before the Pirates ceased creating save chances a couple of weeks ago. Torres, though, is 35 and is already thinking about retirement after 2008. He's not going to be the Pirates' long-term closer, and there's a real chance he won't even finish the year in the role.

Matt Capps would be the choice to take over if a replacement is needed this year. The rock-solid 23-year-old rarely walks batters, and his only fault is that he's a little too prone to the home run ball to be an elite reliever. Still, he'd likely be a solid enough closer if given the chance. Possessing more upside is Josh Sharpless. He's actually the older of the two by three years, but his outstanding slider makes him very tough to hit when he's on. Unfortunately, he's wild and injury-prone. He might be a setup man as a result.

The Pirates lack many pure relief prospects beyond Sharpless. John Van Benschoten and Bryan Bullington could be interesting as relievers if they fail to make it as starters. I prefer Bullington as a sleeper, but neither is much of a fantasy prospect at this point. 2006 second-round pick Mike Felix, a left-hander, looks like a future setup man. Of some interest is Cuban defector Serguey Linares. Listed at 24, he's supposed to have a big fastball, though it's yet to show up this year. He has a 1.61 ERA at low Single-A Hickory, but that comes with just 10 strikeouts in 22 1/3 innings. It's far too early to get a read on him.

2008: Capps, Torres, Sharpless, Bullington
2009: (Free Agent), Capps, Sharpless, Torres
2010: (Free Agent), Capps, Sharpless, Felix

St. Louis - It's by no means a given, but with ownership not interested in matching the NL's biggest payrolls, the Cardinals may decide to set Jason Isringhausen free after the season, buying out his $8.8 million option for $1.25 million. A cheaper two-year deal is something the Cardinals would likely be open to exploring, but Izzy would likely do better if he leaves town. GM Walt Jocketty could then go get Todd Jones or Bob Wickman a replacement for a year while waiting to see whether his younger relievers develop. Alternatively, the Cardinals may decide to make Adam Wainwright their long-term closer if he continues to struggle as a starter.

The latter scenario seemed unlikely at the start of the season, but Wainwright is currently sporting a 5.59 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP. He's also battled some minor arm soreness. If that lingers, the Cardinals may decide he's more likely to stay healthy in the pen, giving them extra incentive to make the move. At the very least, he seems more likely than Braden Looper to get saves next year.

The Cardinals do have some alternatives. 2006 supplemental first-round pick Chris Perez is probably the favorite to be the long-term closer if Wainwright stays in the rotation. He's fanned 34 and given up only nine hits in 20 1/3 innings at Double-A. Tyler Johnson is more than just a typical lefty setup man and has the stuff to close if he throws more strikes. Still, judging by the fact that the Cardinals have let him go a full inning in just seven of his 27 appearances, it doesn't seem as though they have all that much faith in him. Before Tommy John surgery cost him 2007, Josh Kinney gave the St. Louis pen a big boost at the end of last year. Still, I don't see him as more than a middle reliever. 2004 first-round pick Chris Lambert recently made the move to the pen. I'm skeptical he'll develop, but if improved command comes, he does have a chance.

2008: Isringhausen, Wainwright, Perez, Johnson
2009: Perez, Wainwright, Isringhausen, Johnson
2010: Perez, Wainwright, Adam Ottavino, Johnson

San Diego - Maybe it only seems like Padres GM Kevin Towers could walk down to the beach, grab a random surfer and have him sporting a sub-3.00 ERA in the San Diego pen within a month. This is a team that can't find any room for Scott Cassidy, who had a 2.56 ERA in 42 appearances last season, or Royce Ring right now, and it looks like things will get even more crowded with Clay Hensley returns. At some point, the organization has to wonder if it makes sense to pay any reliever $7.5 million per year when it gets quality results from everyone it tries. Maybe only if that reliever happens to be the all-time saves leader is it worth it.

Trevor Hoffman's $7.5 million club option for 2008 will kick in automatically if he remains healthy and likely would be picked up anyway, barring a major arm problem. Still about as effective as ever even though he's throwing 84 mph, Hoffman could choose to keep going beyond 2008, assuming that the Padres still want him. It's hard to see them making a change before they absolutely have to.

With Cla Meredith proving that his success as a rookie was no fluke, it's clear that free-agent-to-be Scott Linebrink is a goner, maybe even in a deadline deal this year. Neither Meredith nor 2007's breakthrough pitcher, Heath Bell, seems like a great bet to succeed Hoffman, but the Padres will surely come up with someone when they need it. Rule 5 pick Kevin Cameron is one possibility. Leo Rosales, who has 14 saves as the closer at Triple-A, is another, though he seems more like setup material.

2008: Hoffman, Meredith, Bell, Cameron
2009: Hoffman, Cameron, Meredith, Rosales
2010: (Free Agent), Cameron, Meredith, Rosales

San Francisco - While the Giants have become more content with the idea of Armando Benitez finishing out 2007 as their closer, he's almost certain to open next year elsewhere. The club was all ready to anoint Brian Wilson as the closer of the future this spring, but a strong performance in winter ball wasn't a signal that he had turned the corner. A fastball-slider pitcher, he's plenty good enough to close when he's on. Still, it's likely to be at least another year or two before he's a realistic option at the end of games.

Wilson's failures this spring had more people speculating that Tim Lincecum would be the closer of the near future in San Francisco. Fortunately, that didn't seem to be the opinion of anyone in the organization. Lincecum has flashed awesome potential since joining the rotation, and there's no way he'll end up in the bullpen unless he begins battling arm problems and the Giants become convinced he won't hold up as a starter.

There isn't much else. Brad Hennessey has done solid work as a setup man, but he's likely to stay in an eighth-inning role or drift back into middle relief. Left-hander Jonathan Sanchez might be the best bet besides Wilson to develop into a closer. However, the Giants may prefer to put him back into the rotation mix next year. Former top prospect Merkin Valdez will return from Tommy John surgery as a full-time reliever next season. If he recaptures his stuff, he'd have closer ability. Still, he's a long shot.

Odds are that the Giants will initially go outside of the organization to replace Benitez in the offseason. Francisco Cordero is a definite possibility for the Giants, especially if Barry Bonds goes.

2008: (Free Agent), Wilson, Sanchez, Lincecum
2009: (Free Agent), Wilson, Lincecum, Sanchez
2010: Wilson, (Free Agent), Lincecum, Osiris Matos

Washington - The Nationals have a perfectly reliable closer locked up through 2009, but it's highly unlikely that he'll be around for that long. While his stock has suffered a bit this year, Chad Cordero remains the Nationals' more attractive property in trade talks, and since it's going to be at least a couple of years before the team has meaningful games to close, it makes all the sense in the world to move him for a couple of quality pieces. I expect it to happen in July, but if not then, there's a good chance the transaction will come over the winter.

Jon Rauch is currently second in line for saves in Washington, but he's also a strong candidate to be traded in July. In fact, there are probably a few AL teams that will make a bigger run at him than at Cordero. The 6-foot-11 right-hander has shown far more durability as a reliever than he did as a starter, and though he's hit a rough patch lately, some seem to think he'd have less trouble switching leagues than Cordero would. I'm not sure I buy that – Cordero strikes me as the new Bob Wickman, someone who will defy expectations every time it looks like the cliff is just up ahead – but he can be a solid setup man on a contender.

If both Cordero and Rauch go this year, it appears that the rejuvenated Jesus Colome would get a chance to close for the Nats. The stuff has always been there, and he's finally turned into a pitcher after frustrating the Devil Rays for so long. If Colome falters, maybe Luis Ayala will pick up the slack after returning from Tommy John surgery. Emiliano Fruto, like Colome, has closer-type stuff and should contribute this year if he can cut down on the walks. Chris Schroder and his slider could help in a setup role. Ryan Wagner is a poor bet after his latest round of shoulder troubles, but the Nats do like him and will keep giving him chances. Zech Zinicola was drafted as a potential closer of the future, but he's yet to show that kind of potential as a pro. As up in the air as everything is when it comes to the Nationals, don't put much stock into these predictions.

2008: Rauch, Colome, Cordero, Fruto
2009: (Free Agent), Fruto, Colome, Zinicola
2010: (Free Agent), Fruto, Zinicola, Colome

[Hache Man]

Rocket Cleared for Takeoff?
After failing to impress against Double-A hitters last week, Roger Clemens made his third minor-league start Monday and tossed six shutout innings at Triple-A. Clemens allowed two hits and two walks, and needed just 89 pitches to record 18 outs after struggling with his command last week. He racked up six strikeouts despite working with a fastball that was reportedly clocked at 88-92 miles per hour.

"I'm not where I would exactly like to be, but I'm moving forward right now," Clemens said afterward. However, roving minor-league pitching instructor Billy Connors told reporters that Clemens is "ready to go." He'll almost certainly avoid facing the Red Sox in the Yankees' upcoming three-game series at Fenway Park, instead likely making his season debut early next week against the White Sox.

While the last-place Yankees hope that Clemens' return isn't coming too late, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Bartolo Colon looked great upon returning from the disabled list last month, going 5-0 with a 3.69 ERA in his first five starts back from a torn rotator cuff. However, he was roughed up Monday for the second start in a row and has allowed 15 runs on 21 hits over his last 10.2 innings. After allowing nine runs Monday against the Mariners, Colon told reporters that tightness in his triceps bothered him throughout the game.

Colon had to leave a start earlier this month because of the same problem and trying to pitch through the tightness Monday was clearly a mistake. The back-to-back horrible outings have raised Colon's ERA from 3.69 to 5.29, but more importantly manager Mike Scioscia sounded concerned about Colon's physical status following the game, saying that the Angels are "going to take a look at it" and are hoping that it's merely "a little dead arm."

* Esteban Loaiza tossed four so-so innings in a minor-league rehab start Sunday at Triple-A, but decided afterward that he'll undergo surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his right knee. The knee injury ruined Loaiza's comeback from a bulging disk in his back and is expected to keep him sidelined for another 4-6 weeks. Loaiza expressed optimism about returning at some point this season, but even the best-case scenario would keep him off the fantasy radar until August.

Meanwhile, the man who replaced Loaiza in the A's rotation, Chad Gaudin, continues to impress. Gaudin held the Rangers to one run over 6.1 innings Monday, improving to 5-1 with a 2.32 ERA, 46-to-23 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.21 WHIP in 66 innings spread over 11 starts. He won't keep that up all season, but Gaudin is showing the same type of promise that made him a solid prospect while coming up through the Devil Rays' minor-league system.

* With Akinori Iwamura returning Monday after a month on the disabled list, the Devil Rays made room on the roster by demoting Jonny Gomes to Triple-A. Gomes has struggled since getting off to a fast start last season, hitting just .178 with a .599 OPS in 309 plate appearances over the past calendar year. However, with a total of 49 at-bats in two months, it's clear that manager Joe Maddon wasn't interested in giving Gomes a legitimate chance to reclaim a starting job.

Given Gomes' poor play and the Devil Rays' abundance of outfielders, his next extended chance may have to come on another team. Iwamura will resume starting at third base, with Ty Wigginton and Greg Norton getting most of the designated hitter at-bats, and Jorge Cantu was chosen to remain on the bench over Gomes. Shoulder problems and horrible batting averages have caused Gomes' stock to tumble, but he's still a 26-year-old with good power and a .800 career OPS.

AL Quick Hits: Josh Beckett (finger) will be on a 90-100 pitch limit while starting Tuesday against the Indians … Rich Harden (shoulder) threw off flat ground Monday and could be close to throwing off a mound … As expected, Kevin Slowey will make his big-league debut Friday against the A's in place of Ramon Ortiz … Hamstring tightness has kept David Ortiz out of the lineup for the past two games … It sounds like Chone Figgins could be on the verge of losing his starting job to Erick Aybar … With Andy Marte demoted to Triple-A Monday, Casey Blake is now the Indians' everyday third baseman … After a perfect inning in a minor-league rehab appearance Monday at Single-A, Justin Duchscherer (hip) is on track to return Wednesday … Joe Mauer's (quadriceps) targeted return date has been pushed back to Friday … After going 4-for-5 with two homers Monday, Adrian Beltre is 11-for-17 (.647) over the past four games to raise his OPS from .715 to .816 … Gregg Zaun (thumb) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday … With a 3.39 ERA despite a horrendous 18-to-31 strikeout-to-walk ratio, Steve Trachsel is the definition of a sell-high candidate.

NL Quick Hits: After throwing a 50-pitch bullpen session Monday, Randy Johnson (forearm) is expected to make his scheduled start Wednesday… Ben Sheets (blister) will start Tuesday against the Braves on six days' rest … Kirk Saarloos was predictably sent to the minors Monday, but the Reds called up Bobby Livingston rather than Homer Bailey … Chipper Jones (hands) cut short a batting-practice session Monday and could be headed to the disabled list … Jason Schmidt (shoulder) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment with a start Wednesday at Single-A … Ryan Freel was taken off on a stretcher following Monday's ugly outfield collision, but it sounds like he may avoid the DL … Freddy Garcia dropped to 1-4 with a loss Monday, but worked past the sixth inning for the first time in nine starts … Chris Young (groin) played Saturday and Sunday, but got Monday off … Eddie Guardado (elbow) made his first minor-league rehab appearance Monday, tossing a scoreless inning at Single-A … With two hits Monday, Edwin Encarnacion is 9-for-27 (.333) with two homers and a 1.012 OPS since being recalled from Triple-A.

[Hache Man]

Prospects: Braun and Anderson
Before leaving for our honeymoon two Saturdays ago, I promised my wife to pay as little attention to baseball as possible for the eight-day cruise. I would send in my picks for a couple of free agent auctions and drafts on three select nights, but would otherwise not check Rotoworld, look for newspapers, wander to the sports bar with satellite television, or call any dirty 900-numbers that provided score updates, or worse yet, box scores. It was a daunting task given my normal routine and surely hindered my ability to properly assess a few of those free agent bids, but it was well worth making the sacrifice.

However, I did have one baseball experience on the cruise that's worth sharing. I came to understand that Jason Giambi had gotten himself into some trouble with comments about his steroid use, but the extent of said trouble varied largely and was often exaggerated. At different points along the journey, Giambi had been suspended, indicted, demoted, released, or had his contract voided. As a Giambi owner fearing the worst, I even picked up Jack Cust in one of those aforementioned free agent drafts. I was somewhat relieved to find out I was simply part of a bad game of telephone and that nothing is likely to come of the situation. Given what I know now, it was a pretty amusing series of conversations I had and a good study in how unreliable third-hand information can often be.

Back to the subject at hand, I'm going to use the standard column format this week and next week before posting a pair of columns reviewing this year's draft. In those draft columns I'll rank the top 30 draftees for fantasy purposes, with a detailed writeup of each player's strengths, likelihood for success, and potential value.


Callups


Tony Abreu – 3B Dodgers – A Dominican signing by the Dodgers in 2002, Abreu has never developed into quite the player most scouts thought he'd become. While the 5'11", 170-pound Abreu has always hit for average and sports a career mark of .301, the switch-hitter has never developed any other hitting skills that will help him at the big league level. Although Abreu doesn't strike out much, he had drawn just 73 walks in 1,522 minor league at-bats entering this year. Abreu also has very little power to speak of, and his 51 steals in 83 attempts for his career is a horrible success rate. On the plus side, his defense is solid enough that Abreu can play any infield position with at least average efficiency.

Abreu won't turn 23 until after this season is over, but it still didn't look like he'd ever be a quality regular entering the year. A strong start to the season got Abreu promoted, but it shouldn't do much to change his long-term outlook. While his .357/.397/.503 line is impressive, Las Vegas is one of the most notorious hitter's parks in the minors. Abreu will share time at third base with Andy LaRoche and Wilson Betemit, with LaRoche or Abreu heading back to the minors when the Dodgers go back to 12 pitchers this week. Abreu would have a little fantasy value if he started most days, but that isn't going to be the case just yet. Recommendation: Monitor in NL-only formats.

Ryan Braun – 3B Brewers – The man of the week, Braun is sure to demand a big bid to acquire in most formats. The fifth overall pick in the 2005 draft out of Miami, Braun possessed a balanced offensive attack. He had shown the ability to hit for both average and power in college. He also controlled the strike zone well and drew a number of walks, meaning his skills were likely to translate well. Braun even threw in 57 stolen bases in three seasons as a starter, so he's not your typical corner infielder plodding around the bases.

Braun has continued to display his hitting prowess since debuting in professional baseball. He had a .308/.367/.549 line entering the year, and that's including a poor 59-game stint for High-A Brevard County dragging down his averages. His 140 strikeouts and just 55 walks in 165 games were mildly troubling, but Braun put any remaining questions about his bat to rest this year. The right-hander hit .353 with five homers this spring, and then went on to hit .342 with 12 doubles and 10 homers in 34 games for Triple-A Nashville before being promoted. His control of the strike zone improved, as he posted an 11/15 K/BB ratio, so there was nothing left to knock at the plate.

Braun's defense, which has always figured to be a problem, kept him off the club this spring. He showed some improvement in the minors, but the Brewers simply couldn't keep his bat out of the big league lineup any longer. Braun will take over at third base, and as long as his defense isn't truly awful, he's likely to remain there for the rest of the year. A move to the outfield seems likely down the road and Braun's athleticism means he should be able to handle the change easily. However, the Brewers will give him every chance to prove he can stick at third base. With the ability to produce in all five categories, Braun is a must in all leagues right now. He's capable of batting .300 with 18 homers the rest of the way, and he should throw in 10 steals too. Recommendation: Bid aggressively in all leagues.

Dewon Day – RHP White Sox – A former Blue Jays' minor leaguer taken in the 26th round of the 2002 draft, Day looked like an interesting relief prospect before suffering an elbow injury in 2004. He missed the rest of that season and most of the 2005 campaign as well. Day returned to action in 2006 with the White Sox and looked reasonably effective for High-A Winston-Salem, but Day was 25 and still had command issues, so he wasn't going to be highly regarded.

However, a big right-hander at 6'4", 210-pounds, Day had the mid-90s fastball and plus slider that was required of late-inning relievers. Moved up to Double-A Birmingham, Southern League hitters felt the wrath of those two pitches as Day had struck out 48 in 25 innings before being promoted on Monday. On the down side, Day had walked 12 batters and given up 26 hits, so he still has plenty of work to do to fully harness his potential. The White Sox will use Day in middle relief for now, but he's not a good bet to succeed right away. He is a name to file away for down the road, however. Recommendation: Ignore in AL-only leagues.

Donnie Murphy – 2B Athletics – A fifth round selection by the Royals in the 2002 draft, Murphy became an interesting prospect after posting a .313/.397/.425 line for Single-A Burlington in 2003. Murphy didn't have much power and his speed was below average for a middle infielder, but excellent control of the strike zone (78/65 K/BB ratio) allowed him to provide value. A promotion to High-A Wilmington and a brief debut in the majors didn't go so well in 2004, but Murphy breathed some life into his stock by rebounding for Double-A Wichita in 2005. Another trial in the majors didn't go well and Murphy struggled in 2006, so there was little reason to expect him to be a regular.

Acquired for cash considerations over the winter, Murphy was hitting .354 with 11 doubles and two homers for Triple-A Sacramento before being recalled. That he was striking out once per game is of concern given how closely his plate discipline and productivity have been tied in the past, but it hasn't hurt him yet. With Eric Chavez battling triceps tendonitis, the Athletics promoted Murphy last week to give them some insurance. He's unlikely to have an impact in fantasy leagues right now, but he could have uses in AL-only leagues if given more regular playing time. Recommendation: Ignore for now in AL-only formats.


Prospect Profiles


Brett Anderson – LHP Diamondbacks – I typically prefer to profile a prospect once they have a bit more experience under their belt, but Anderson has looked so strong that I'll jump on him earlier than usual. A 6'4", 200-pound left-hander from an Oklahoma high school, Anderson was projected as a first rounder entering the 2006 draft. Surprisingly, he fell all the way to the Diamondbacks at the 55th overall selection. Some teams may have shied away from the youngster given he was more polish than potential, and others were worried about complications from his already big frame.

However, that the left-hander possessed at worst average stuff means the Diamondbacks had themselves a bargain, and I rated Anderson the 15th best fantasy property following the draft. Anderson's fastball sits in the high-80s, and he can reach 92 when needed. As with all of his pitches, impeccable control allows it to be a plus offering despite average speed for a lefty. Anderson also has a plus changeup that sits around 10 MPH slower than his fastball. An even slower curve and a hard slider that could end up being useful round out his repertoire. Excellent mechanics help Anderson repeat his delivery well and thus he rarely misses his spots. As a result, he posted a 102/9 K/BB ratio in 57 innings as a senior, and was heralded as one of the most polished 18 year-old pitchers of the decade.

Anderson struggled with the decision of going pro or heading to school and playing for his father, the head coach at Oklahoma State University. The left-hander eventually decided to sign, but it was too late to play in organized ball. He headed to the instructional league instead and drew rave reviews from several Diamondback coaches.

Assigned to low Single-A South Bend to start the 2007 campaign, Anderson's offerings have continued baffling the opposition. His 2.01 ERA is good for seventh in the Midwest League, and his 64 strikeouts rank him third in the league. That he's also walked just seven batters give him one of the most impressive K/BB ratios in the low minors, and he's getting more than twice as many outs on the ground than the air. On the downside, Anderson has allowed the opposition to hit .237 against him, which is high given his dominant peripherals.

Anderson is adept at handling both left and right-handed hitters and should minimize the opposition's power, but he's still likely to give up a hit per inning. That means he's more likely to be a No. 3 starter than a front-of-the-rotation guy, although I wouldn't completely rule out him developing into a No. 2 option. That he'll have to play half his games at Chase Field is a negative, but it's largely neutralized (for those in mixed leagues) by the fact that he's in the National League. Those in NL-only formats may dock him a notch, but his likelihood for value means you shouldn't go overboard.

Anderson will play the whole season as a 19-year-old, but he could move very quickly given his polish. He'll need to fine tune his breaking pitches a little more and keep his body in shape, but both seem likely for such a smart and dedicated player. I'd expect Anderson to end up in High-A some time this summer, and continued success could allow for Anderson to see Double-A early in 2008. A 2009 debut as a 21-year-old is very possible, giving Anderson more value than most pitchers his age.

Asdrubal Cabrera – SS Indians – All general managers make decisions that look quite poor in retrospect. Mariners' general manager Bill Bavasi makes more than most of his peers, but what makes him an especially bad manager is that many of his decisions look poor right at the time they were made. Indeed, the decision to trade Cabrera for Eduardo Perez last summer is one such mistake.

Signed as a free agent out of Venezuela in 2002, Cabrera didn't debut in the United States until 2004 at low Single-A Everett. That season he showed modest ability at the plate, but he displayed no above average offensive skills and struggled on the basepaths as well. A promotion to Single-A Wisconsin the following season went much better, as Cabrera hit .318/.407/.474 to go with an excellent 32/30 K/BB ratio. He was successful in just 2-of-8 stolen base attempts and needed to work on reading pitchers better, as he did posses at least average speed for a middle infielder.

Cabrera was just 19 and had played in only 51 games for Wisconsin before the Mariners got aggressive with him and sent him to the California League. Cabrera didn't embarrass himself there, but his average dropped 34 points, his power deteriorated, and his plate discipline fell apart. However, Cabrera's excellent glove got him promoted to Triple-A Tacoma late in the season anyway. He clearly wasn't ready for the league offensively, and sending Cabrera to Double-A or even back to High-A to start the 2006 campaign seemed appropriate.

Instead, the Mariners sent Cabrera to Triple-A. There was no way Cabrera should have been there offensively, and it was too early to focus on his glove work and pigeonhole the youngster as a defensive-minded backup. The switch-hitter showed better control of the strike zone than he had in High-A, but his average dipped all the way to .236 and his power nor baserunning was progressing.

At that point, the Mariners were two games back in the AL West at 41-40 and dealt Cabrera to the Indians for Perez. While Perez is a useful platoon player at first base, it's highly unlikely that a player on the wrong side of a platoon is going to be the difference between making and missing the playoffs. Thus, giving up anything of even marginal value seemed foolish. Despite Cabrera's struggles in Triple-A both before and after the trade, he was still very much a prospect given his youth and how quickly he had been moved up the ladder.

After letting Cabrera finish out the year in Triple-A, the Indians got wise and sent him back to Double-A Akron to start the 2007 season. Still just 21-years-old, it was an age-appropriate level for the shortstop, and he's responded in a big way. Cabrera's .309/.399/.500 line is a big step up from last year's 658 OPS. That he's also posting a 21/22 K/BB ratio is very encouraging, especially since he had shown the skill previously in the low minors. Cabrera has even improved his baserunning, successfully converting on all 13 attempts so far this season.

Cabrera's breakout cannot be explained simply by the fact that he moved down a level. His improvements are immense and in multiple areas, so he must be taken seriously as a prospect. Given his defensive prowess, Cabrera won't need to maintain all of his current production when he moves up to higher levels. That's a good thing, as the 6'0", 170-pounder is only likely to hit for gap power in the majors.

If he can continue controlling the strike zone, Cabrera should hit for average and post decent on-base percentages. Since he could add 35 doubles and 10 homers to go with 25 steals, Cabrera could be an average regular both for the Indians and fantasy teams. However, where Cabrera fits into the club's long-term plans is in doubt. With Josh Barfield manning second base and Jhonny Peralta rebounding from a poor sophomore campaign at shortstop, there wouldn't appear to be room with the club. Cabrera could be a useful utility player, but he has a higher ceiling than that and a trade makes the most sense. The Indians are in a legitimate playoff push this summer, and trading Cabrera to bolster the big club seems rather likely. However, if they are to move him, it's going to take a lot more than a platoon first basemen.

[Hache Man]

Readers' Strategies


Yet again, the OTBS readers have come through with a high volume of quality responses…this time to last week's call for fantasy strategies. So this column will focus on those tactics. Hopefully, we can all walk away with some new approaches to audition! I'll also discuss a couple of veteran pitchers who've been on my mind.
Thanks to all of you who took the time to write up and submit your strategies. My apologies to those of you whose contributions are not included. Space was limited, so I had to stick with the most unique and succinct submissions.
Players of Note
Curt Schilling – If Monday's 10-strikeout win is any indication, good things are in store for Schilling owners. Not only was his command better than it had been all season, his velocity was up as well, as the 40-year-old veteran touched 94 MPH on the gun. And according to Manager Terry Francona, Schill's splitter was also his best of the year. Perhaps the most encouraging news from a fantasy perspective is that there seems to be a tangible explanation for Schilling's return to form. Yesterday, he was on WEEI in Boston talking about how, in trying to reinvent himself as a finesse pitcher, he'd gotten away from throwing hard. Now that he's corrected this problem with the help of Pitching Coach John Farrell, Schilling expects everything to fall into place. If you buy it (as I do), you should also be buying Schilling low, if possible.
Roger Clemens – Check this out: The Yankees were 5.5 games behind the Red Sox when they announced the Rocket's signing on May 6. Now they're 14.5 games out. Hahahahaha. Sorry, couldn't help it. Hahahahaha. Ooops, there I go again. Please excuse me. There's just something hilarious about a last-place squad blowing a small-market team's payroll on some Red-Sox dodging rent-a-prima-donna who can't save them. It's got to be even more humiliating than watching Aaron Hill steal home or Scott Proctor throw a toddler tantrum. Anyway…Clemens fared well in his last minor-league start, even though his velocity wasn't great. The big question is, how will this ring whore get up for games when his team has as much chance to make the Series as I have to win a Pulitzer? Factor that in with the other risk factors (i.e., his age and how he'll fare outside the cushy NL Central), and the red flag is flapping pretty hard.
The Trash Dump
To submit a question or comment to the Trash Dump, email jgangi@rotoworld.com.
Just a little trick I use during drafts: Always find one manager and scoff at every single one of his picks throughout the draft. I find if you do this during the first 10 rounds or so, they're more than likely to make blunders later on in the draft. Every time they make a pick, have a reaction ready. Possible suggestions include:

• Chuckle to yourself and say "This is just too easy."
• Look at your sheets then glance up with a puzzled look and ask, "Who??"
• Ponder aloud, "I thought he retired?"
• Make up fake injury reports
• Smile, then stifle a giggle, then uncontrollably burst out laughing.

- Justin

I've had good luck running four closers and tanking wins. To make this work you must have elite closers with high K rates. This lets me win saves and, as long as my starting pitching has a decent ERA and WHIP, I can dominate pitching categories I've won 5 of the last 7 years.
- Thunder Brothers, Maine
This year I created a new auction strategy: Wait for the players to come to me. I waited 1 ½ hours before placing my first bid. Everyone thought I was crazy and they laughed that I was blowing the auction. Funny thing is I wasn't spending $25 on Juan Gonzalez circa 2005 or $35 on Randy Johnson circa 2006; I was patient and let the bidding come to me. I presently sit in 1st place with a 10-point lead and 82.5 of the possible 100 points.
- Jarrad Rose, Saginaw, MI
Don't knock the old guys! While I watched all the Alex Gordons and Matt Murtons and Edwin Encarnacions fly off the shelves early-ish in the draft, I laughed to myself. Everyone wants the "lightning in a bottle" guy. I find that it's the consistent, proven moderate performers who make the big difference. For example, guys like Shawn Green, Luis Gonzalez, Garrett Anderson, Ray Durham...all available way down the list - even in 30-round drafts. Picked Trot Nixon in the 28th round. 28th!?!? How about the pitchers? Glavine, Maddux, Hudson...all these guys can be had long after the "radar gun" arms (i.e. Daniel Cabrera) are gone. You don't have to always go for the high risk/high reward guy. I find that slow and steady more often than not will win the race.
- Brett R. Goldblatt

• Don't draft batters with 120 or more strikeouts the previous season. (High strikeouts usually means low average.)
• Don't draft batters who have fewer than 60 walks the previous season. (High walk totals tend to lead to higher averages and runs scored.)
• Don't draft pitchers who don't average at least 6 innings per start. (If the pitcher goes deep into the game, he is usually pitching well.)
• Don't draft pitchers with don't have at least a 2-1 K/BB ratio. (Walks kill, sometimes more than strikeouts help.)

- anonymous

I hold only one offensive player on the bench and all the other subs are pitchers. Draft pitchers in the later rounds, mostly veterans with decent K potential. You may not have a lot of high K pitchers but since you have so many, you throw them in there in a daily transaction league and it appears that you do.
- Emil Priola, Poland, Me
I draft only top closers and middle relief for pitching and do not draft any hitters where speed amounts to any portion of their value. By drafting HR-R-RBI-AVG, SV-ERA-WHIP I can get better value because I don't have to reach for speed. This guarantees three pitching wins and, by ignoring speed, I don't have to sacrifice HR and RBI. Most weeks I can usually count on at least a 6-4 win.
- Bart, Toronto, Canada Eh!
Bring in some schlub relative or friend into a league that no one else knows. This relative/friend should be completely clueless. Since you are the only one that knows this relative/friend, then you should easily be the only one to take advantage of his ineptitude.
- Bob K, NJ
I take a look at the bottom five pitching teams in the league in ERA and WHIP. See which teams have three-game series against those squads and do my best to start the one through five hitters that day. Obviously, if the Sox play the Devil Rays, and you have no player on Boston then you move on to the next best thing. For example, take a look a Brad Hawpe. Available in over 75% of leagues, he played Arizona and Kansas City and lit it up last week. He hit .348, .913 SLG, 4 HR, 8 H, 5 R, 7 RBI and 4 BB. Better than starting Andruw Jones or Carlos Lee!
- Matt
Exploit every rule loophole you can! Back in the late 1980s, I was able to pick up Mike Greenwell as a catcher, because he had filled in as an emergency catcher for an inning. The next year, I was able to put Dave Henderson into my second base slot because he had played a couple of innings there in a blowout loss. The drawback with this type of strategy is that after you are successful with it, the league will find a way to close the loophole. In our case, after Dave Henderson, the league moved from a one-game requirement to a three-game requirement.
- Gerry Manis.
I find that checking out stat splits and platooning players can be a great strategy for a weaker position. For example, in my league I start Curtis Granderson only when he faces righties and Shane Victorino when Granderson is facing a lefty. Granderson's numbers against righties are all-star caliber while his lefty split is closer to Craig Grebeck. Together, two waiver wire pick-ups equal one great centerfielder.
- Chip Fanning, San Diego, CA
Try to "help" other owners teams, not just your own. I constantly assess each team's rosters for what they need, not just what I need. Everyone spends too much time trying to screw people with trades, when if they would follow what the big leaguers do and look to help fit what teams need, they would fare much better. When I trade a middle reliever with good WHIP and ERA to a guy struggling in that category for an offensive player who has 20-HR potential and have that owner feeling good about himself, I know I have done well.
- Josh Beers, Lancaster, PA
I intentionally make 1-2 deals that do not help me each season to guys lower in the standings, so when I come asking for Jose Reyes later in the season for three mediocre players, I can remind them that they got the better end of the deal with me earlier in the year.
- Josh Beers, Lancaster, PA
In August and September, trade to take points away from your nearest competitors (rotisserie) while strengthening yourself. Helping two lower tier teams gain points in pitching from a close competitor is worth losing out in the deal overall. It is all about winning, so helping a close competitor lose ground is sometimes as important as me gaining ground.
- Josh Beers, Lancaster, PA
In our head to head league, in addition to our actual championship, we have a smack talk championship as well. Smack can only be directed at your adversary that week, and must be directed at the opponent's team and players (no personal attacks). I have used this to set up future trades. Talking smack about an opponent's slumping superstar softens them up for later, when I feign desperation and offer to take a "risk" on an underachieving slugger: "David Wright is looking more like David Wrong these days; if he spends any less time on the basepaths, the Mets are just going to make him the manager."
- James B.
Be the first to make an offer; be the first to reply to an offer! GMs like other GMs that are easy to talk to and trade with. I'm the "Jack of all Trades" in my league, every year I lead the league in trades. I make myself accessible, cell phone, IM and email. I am not a difficult GM to trade with, nor am I that annoying GM who constantly offers ridiculous deals. If someone puts an offer out to the whole league, don't ignore it, show that fellow GM that you noticed he has a player available, even if you're not interested in that player. At the very least you open up the lines of communication. Remember, all GMs love a counter offer. Never depend on your draft skills to win it all for you, trades are a big part of championships!!!
- Buck, NYC
I'm a bit of a data geek, so I track three sets of YTD stats daily: mine, the best of each bucket, and the worst of each bucket. These automatically graph out and visually show me the tight horse races and how my progress is trending. It instantly lets me know where to focus my roster efforts.
- Steve
I avoid any offensive player that doesn't contribute to at least four categories. Players such as Pierre, Dunn, and, yes, even Ichiro, I purposefully avoid on draft day. Those players not only help you in only 2/3 categories, they actually HURT you in the others. If you do this successfully, you can actually dominate offensively. In my league, I currently have one offensive player ranked in the top 30 (Aramis Ramirez, through trade) and yet I'm 2nd in AVG, HR, RBI and runs and 4th in SB.
- Jason Mergott
I like to maintain 2-3 constantly revolving roster spots. On Mondays and Thursdays I use them to pick up a couple of hitters active on those days who have good matchups. Thus, I have more hitters active than other fantasy players, who may have several of their players on an off day. On Tue-Wed/Fri-Sun, I use the spots for some middle relievers. This strategy gets me an extra 150 plate appearances for my hitters (and correspondingly greater R, RBI, HR, and SB) and extra wins, Ks, saves, and ratio improvements from all those extra middle reliever innings.
- Joe M In my keeper league's draft, I spend quickly at the beginning, getting guys I really want, even if it means overpaying a bit. Then I lie low for the middle rounds while calling names I doubt most people will want at that point, getting them cheap. By the end of the draft, most people's bankrolls are down near my level, so I get even more of the cheap players I want. Often my initial roster has many weak spots, but I pick up lots of free agents in the early stages of the season to upgrade. More often than not I finish in the money.
- Walter Faber

[Hache Man]

Sheffield Rolling Again
Gary Sheffield continues to absolutely kill the ball, going 3-for-6 with two homers and five RBIs in Tuesday's blowout win over the Devil Rays. The pair of homers gives Sheffield 467 for his career, moving him past Hall of Famer Dave Winfield into 29th place on the all-time homer list. Sheffield got off to a brutal start, hitting just .160 with a .577 OPS through the Tigers' first 22 games, but has been on fire since.

Beginning with a three-hit game on April 28, Sheffield has hit .330 with a 1.067 OPS over the past 28 games. He's smacked 11 homers while driving in 23 runs over that span, drawing 14 walks on the way to scoring 27 runs. Known more for being an RBI man throughout his career, Sheffield leads the AL with 44 runs scored and has been a huge part of Magglio Ordonez's league-leading 48 RBIs.

While the Yankees wonder if they dealt away the wrong aging slugger during the offseason, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Ervin Santana's Jekyll-and-Hyde performance continued Tuesday when Santana tossed seven innings of one-run ball to beat the Mariners. The start came at home, where Santana is now 4-1 with a 2.12 ERA this season and 23-6 with a 2.95 ERA for his career. Unfortunately, Santana is just 9-16 with a 6.98 ERA on the road during his career, including 0-5 with a 9.30 ERA away from home this year.

Santana's road struggles have been so inexplicably consistent and frustrating for the Angels that manager Mike Scioscia hinted last week that Santana could be in danger of losing his rotation spot. However, it's tough demote a guy who's pitched like a Cy Young winner in half his career starts. Scioscia indicated that he won't juggle the rotation to get Santana more home starts, but things are already set up for Santana to pitch primarily at home through the end of June.

* In other Angels rotation news, the Los Angeles Times reports that Bartolo Colon "appears headed to the disabled list" after back-to-back brutal outings and ongoing triceps tightness. As Scioscia put it Tuesday, "If he doesn't make progress over the next couple of days, we'll consider different things. Extra rest could be the answer." If Colon is sidelined, the Angels will choose between moving Dustin Moseley out of the bullpen or recalling Joe Saunders from Triple-A.

* Already limited by a dislocated right pinkie finger, John Smoltz left Tuesday's game in the fourth inning after aggravating that injury and suffering a shoulder strain. While that sounds like a disastrous combination, Smoltz said afterward that he hopes to make his next scheduled start Sunday. "Had they given me 10 minutes I would have been OK, but you don't get 10 minutes on the mound to work yourself back into shape," Smoltz said. "I really don't anticipate a problem."

* Braden Looper pitching extremely well as a starter after spending the first nine years of his career pitching solely out of the bullpen was one of the biggest surprises of April. However, it looks like Looper's deal with the devil ran out at the end of the month. After going 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA in five April starts, Looper began May by giving up six runs on 11 hits, causing his ERA to balloon from 1.91 to 2.84 in five innings of work.

He bounced back with two good outings after that, but was shelled by the Tigers on May 18 and got knocked around Tuesday by the Rockies. Looper finishes May with a 3-3 record, but also sports a 5.35 ERA along with an equally ugly 20-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio and 1.57 WHIP in 33.2 innings. With 66.2 innings in 11 starts overall, Looper is already approaching his career-high of 86 frames, which means fatigue could soon be a factor. If you still can, sell high.

* NBCSPORTS.COM VIDEO: Fantasy Fix – Projecting the Returns to Earth

* Two weeks off didn't slow Josh Beckett down one bit. He returned from the disabled list Tuesday and picked up right where he left off, tossing seven innings of two-run ball against the powerful Indians' lineup. Beckett improved to 8-0 with the victory, needing just 87 pitches to record 21 outs. In an amusing twist, Beckett is the first Red Sox starter to begin the season 8-0 since Roger Clemens ran his record to 14-0 in 1986.

* Alan Embree is 3-for-3 since taking over as the A's closer and may have the job for a while after Justin Duchscherer suffered a setback during a minor-league rehab appearance Monday. Duchscherer said Tuesday that he felt pain in his injured hip while throwing one inning at Single-A and is expected to visit a hip specialist later this week. He was originally expected to return from the disabled list Wednesday, but those plans have clearly been put on hold.

AL Quick Hits: As expected, the Yankees confirmed that Roger Clemens will avoid Fenway Park by making his debut Monday against the White Sox … After missing three straight games, David Ortiz (hamstring) is expected back in the lineup Wednesday … Joe Mauer (quadriceps) suffered a setback Tuesday, putting his Friday return in jeopardy … Kevin Youkilis extended his hitting streak to 21 games Tuesday and is now batting .411 in 107 at-bats this month … Jake Westbrook (oblique) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Friday at Triple-A … A sore toe will keep Brandon Inge out of the lineup Wednesday … With five scoreless innings Tuesday, Jon Lester (forearm) has a 1.25 ERA in 21.2 innings at Triple-A … Following a four-RBI game Tuesday, reigning MVP Justin Morneau is on a 50-homer, 135-RBI pace … Pending the results of an MRI early next week, Scott Podsednik (groin) could be close to resuming baseball activities … With Jonathan Papelbon getting the night off, Hideki Okajima picked up his fourth save Tuesday, giving him one more than Mariano Rivera.

NL Quick Hits: Chipper Jones (hands) has missed six straight games, but the Braves are expected to wait until Friday to decide whether he'll head to the disabled list … Asked Tuesday to put a timetable on his return, Nick Johnson (leg) said, "I'm just worried about getting stronger" … Josh Johnson (elbow) threw a 62-pitch simulate game Tuesday and is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment this weekend … Juan Pierre came into Tuesday's game with just six extra-base hits in 231 plate appearances, but tripled once and doubled three times against the Nationals … The Giants are reportedly hoping that Ray Durham (oblique) can avoid the DL and return Friday … Takashi Saito (shoulder) was unavailable Tuesday, meaning Jonathan Broxton could be on the verge of a big fantasy boost … Willie Harris' inexplicable run continued Tuesday with his first homer since 2005 … With Ryan Freel (neck) heading to the DL Tuesday and Josh Hamilton already out, Dewayne Wise and Norris Hopper will see plenty of time in the Reds' outfield … After going 4-for-4 with a homer Monday, Felix Pie is batting .406 at Triple-A.

[Hache Man]

Just Another Day for ARod
Alex Rodriguez was the talk of baseball after putting together one of the greatest first months in the sport's history by hitting .355 with 14 homers, 34 RBIs, and a 1.297 OPS. Thanks to the ridiculous April his season totals remain outstanding, but Rodriguez batted just .235 with a .783 OPS in May. He put the finishing touches on the month by going 1-for-5 Wednesday against the Blue Jays, dropping his overall batting average to .292.

Normally Rodriguez failing to follow up his historical April with a good May would be a big story and the source of more criticism, but instead he's making headlines for very different reasons. On Wednesday morning he was plastered all over the pages of New York newspapers after being spotted with what the New York Post described as "a mystery blonde" who's not his wife. Then Wednesday night he got into a controversy on the field.

Running the bases following a two-out pop up to third base off the bat of Jorge Posada in the ninth inning, Rodriguez allegedly called for the ball as if he was a fielder, causing the Blue Jays' defenders to let it drop in for a hit. Already up two runs, the Yankees went on to win 10-5, but not before John McDonald nearly got into an on-field fight with Rodriguez. At some point Wednesday afternoon I actually felt sorry for ARod, but he has an uncanny ability to end those feelings.

While I wonder whether it's possible that a hitter on a 60-homer, 140-RBI pace has ever been the subject of more criticism and negative headlines, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* With a crucial four-game series against the Indians starting Thursday in Cleveland, the Tigers will likely be without the starting left side of their infield for several days. Brandon Inge has been diagnosed with a fractured big toe on his left foot after being hit by a pitch Tuesday and could be headed to the disabled list. Meanwhile, Carlos Guillen left Wednesday's game with what is being called a mild groin strain.

As of Thursday morning the team seemed unsure about how long Guillen would be out, but it seems likely that he'll miss at least some time. All of which means that the Tigers will be trying to close the 2.5-game gap on the Indians with both Omar Infante and Neifi Perez in the starting lineup, which is not totally unlike trying to catch up to someone who's a couple laps ahead of you in a race while wearing cement shoes.

* Roy Halladay returned from the disabled list Wednesday, coming back from an appendectomy a couple weeks ahead of schedule. He'll start Thursday against the White Sox after taking three weeks off and is safe to put back in your fantasy lineup immediately. To make room for Halladay in the rotation, the Blue Jays sent Jesse Litsch down to Triple-A. After a near-complete game in his debut, Litsch was knocked around in his next three starts, lasting a total of nine innings.

* In a matchup of elderly southpaws Wednesday, 43-year-old Randy Johnson returned from the disabled list to beat 44-year-old Jamie Moyer. Johnson looked fantastic, tossing six innings of one-hit ball while racking up six strikeouts, but was yanked from the game after just 61 pitches. He's now recorded more than 18 outs in just one of his seven starts and while Johnson dropped his ERA to 3.89, it still has a ways to go before matching his 53-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

* Phil Hughes' comeback from a strained hamstring has now taken a backseat to an ankle injury. Hughes turned his ankle while working out last week and has been diagnosed with a Grade 3 sprain. That means Hughes is unlikely to get back on a mound for at least 4-6 weeks, regardless of how his hamstring feels. A return prior to the All-Star break is now almost completely out of the question and it's looking like Hughes might retain his Rookie of the Year eligibility for next year.

* Armando Benitez celebrated his monumental implosion against the Mets Tuesday by having his sore right knee drained of fluid Wednesday. With Benitez unavailable, Brad Hennessey stepped into the closer role and picked up the save with a perfect ninth inning in relief of Barry Zito. Hennessey may get another save chance before Benitez returns, although he could be back as soon as Friday. Whatever the case, the Giants' closer situation is clearly worth watching.

AL Quick Hits: Not only have the Twins given up on Joe Mauer (quadriceps) returning Friday following a setback, he may still be more than a week away … With Bartolo Colon's (triceps) next start pushed back to June 8, Joe Saunders will likely be called up to start in his place Saturday … Indians top prospect Adam Miller is expected to miss 3-4 weeks with a strained flexor tendon in his right middle finger … Troy Percival worked out for five teams Wednesday and reportedly looked relatively good while throwing 87-90 miles per hour … Jason Giambi (foot) may sit out Friday's game after receiving a cortisone shot Thursday … Jake Westbrook (oblique) is expected to make at least two minor-league rehab starts, with the first one coming Friday … It sounds like Nelson Cruz is on the verge of being demoted to Triple-A … Mark Kotsay is expected to return from the disabled list Friday after missing the first two months following back surgery … Erick Aybar made his first career start at third base Wednesday and manager Mike Scioscia indicated afterward that Chone Figgins' starting job could be in danger.

NL Quick Hits: With three homers in his first two minor-league rehab games, expect Josh Hamilton (gastroenteritis) to return from the disabled list when eligible Sunday … Ryan Howard was out of the lineup Wednesday because of Randy Johnson, not an injury … Making his first minor-league rehab start Wednesday at Single-A, Jason Schmidt (shoulder) tossed six shutout innings with seven strikeouts … Dave Bush gave himself a little breathing room in the rotation with an impressive outing Wednesday against the Braves … After playing catch Wednesday, John Smoltz (shoulder, finger) said that he's optimistic about making his scheduled start Sunday … Yadier Molina is out for 4-6 weeks with a fractured left wrist, meaning Gary Bennett and his .625 career OPS are now starting … Sergio Mitre had seven strikeouts in four shutout innings before leaving Wednesday's game with hamstring cramping … Shawn Hill said Wednesday that his injured elbow "flared up" during a recent bullpen session and he's scheduled to receive a second opinion.

[Hache Man]

Bullpen Report: Week 9
Welcome back to the Bullpen Report. While I was off sailing the Caribbean last week, Matthew Pouliot evaluated all 30 bullpens of the future in his Strike Zone column. There, he searched for potential closer candidates for each of the next three seasons, and ended by handicapping the field for each club. It's a must read for anyone in keeper leagues and those in one-year formats will want to check it out for future reference as well. You can find the AL Version here, and the NL counterpart here.

A lot has happened since I left, so let's get into it without further ado.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Secure)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten, Brandon Medders

Every time it looks like Valverde is at peak value and a good candidate to sell high on, he throws up a stinker within a few days and his ratios look pedestrian again. The right-hander had his ERA down to 2.53, but he gave up three runs on Monday and it jumped all the way back to 3.68 as a result. Such is life with someone as inconsistent as Valverde. However, with 18 saves, more than a strikeout per inning, and no injuries in sight, Valverde still has plenty of value right now. Maybe you won't completely maximize your profit on him, but it's time to start shopping. There's nothing wrong with banking those 18 saves and solid ratios and spreading the risk to other, more consistent players.

Valverde still has two more years of service time to kill before he hits free agency, but he's going to start getting a little expensive with all these saves in his pocket. The Diamondbacks have a closer of the future in Pena, and should the right offer come along, moving Valverde to a contender is a distinct possibility. If that happens, Pena would move into ninth inning duties with Lyon ready to step in if he falters. Given the possibility of a trade, all three players are worth speculating on right now.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Soriano, Chad Paronto, Tyler Yates

Mike Gonzalez requiring Tommy John surgery is only slightly more surprising than Roger Clemens deciding to return to the majors for one more season. In other words, it's not. With him out of the picture, those holding Soriano are in even better shape. Now, manager Bobby Cox won't have the option to use someone else in the ninth inning of a save situation. It's going to take another injury to Wickman for that to happen, but Soriano will remain next in line until he takes over the role in 2008.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Williamson, Danys Baez, Chad Bradford, Jamie Walker

Ray's overall ERA is still a mediocre 3.65, but all of his other numbers are excellent and he's very likely to improve that ERA as the season moves on. Baez has been so bad that manager Sam Perlozzo has talked of moving him to a middle relief role, and it's likely that someone else would get the call in the event that Ray hits the disabled list. Next in line is now likely Williamson, who came off the disabled list on May 20 and has given up one run in eight innings of work on the season. He's an injury waiting to happen, but he's worth owning in AL-only formats when healthy.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Hideki Okajima, Joel Pineiro, Mike Timlin (DL)

The statistic of the month is that with both the Red Sox and Yankees' closers remaining healthy, setup man Okajima has more saves (four) than Hall of Famer Rivera (three). That just about sums up both team's seasons thus far. It's unlikely that Okajima will finish with 10 or more saves without Papelbon going on the disabled list, but he's still very valuable in AL-only formats. His stuff is better than advertised, and while his ERA is likely to go up, he's not going to get pounded as hitters start to see him multiple times.

Note: Rivera picked up his fourth save after this column was written.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (In Danger)

Key setup men: Angel Guzman, Bob Howry, Mike Wuertz, Scott Eyre

It was foolish to ever list Dempster as Locked In on a team with Lou Piniella managing. Dempster had one bad outing, and all of the sudden two Chicago papers are reporting that Guzman is being groomed to take over closing duties. That's right, Guzman, a youngster with starting caliber stuff who looked strong after moving to the rotation, is going to replace Dempster, who's blown one save and looked dominant for the most part this year. It's almost as if Piniella and Phillies manager Charlie Manuel were dared to compete in a pitching stupid-off. There's no other logical explanation for this.

That said, these don't seem to be idle rumors. A team determined to enact a role change, justified or unjustified, will eventually find a way. Therefore, it's likely that the Cubs will begin looking for reasons to pull Dempster in the near future. Guzman has plenty of potential in the role with a quality fastball to go with two plus, but inconsistent, offerings in a slider and changeup. Dempster isn't a free agent until after the 2008 season, but Guzman is still a good player to speculate on, especially in keeper leagues. I'd expect the incumbent to hold off the youngster for at least another month, but the change seems imminent.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: David Aardsma, Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, Nick Masset

Lower than normal velocity in the spring meant Jenks was a risky option, but nobody remembered to inform him. The portly right-hander is currently sporting the best ERA and WHIP of his brief career, and he looks like a much better option now than he did just two months ago.

MacDougal has all but fallen apart over the last three weeks, and it's unlikely he's next in line at the moment. Aardsma and Thornton are currently the favorites to serve as Jenks' backup, but Aardsma has also struggled of late. Manager Ozzie Guillen likes Thornton very much and he's pitched reasonably well, but the club would probably prefer to keep the left-hander in a setup role. Masset could be an option down the road, but not just yet. If Jenks went down tomorrow, I'd rank them Thornton, Aaardsma, MacDougal in likelihood of taking over. If Jenks goes down two days from now, that order may change.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Locked In)

Key setup men: Mike Stanton, Jon Coutlangus, Jared Burton, Eddie Guardado (DL)

Weathers had his worst outing of the season this past week, surrendering six runs and taking a loss against the Pirates. It's more of a blip on the radar screen than a warning sign of future problems, but his owners are stuck with the poor effort anyway. He remains locked into ninth inning duties.

Quite a few people have written in to back Guardado as a second half sleeper, but I'm just not seeing it. He's 36 years old, he had a 1.54 WHIP before going down last year, and he underwent Tommy John surgery less than a year ago. Even without the surgery I'd have strong reservations that he could pitch effectively. Add in the typical timeframe for a full recovery from the procedure he required, and I'd be shocked if he managed an ERA below 4.50. Given that Weathers has been pitching well and that Guardado isn't a long-term option, there's just not going to be any reason to make the switch.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Tom Mastny, Roberto Hernandez

Borowski teased us with some poor performances to start the year, but the Indians stuck with him and he's rebounded nicely. The right-hander has yielded a run in just one of his 10 outings this month, and he's got plenty of job security at the moment. Betancourt continues to excel in a setup role and is next in line. Fernando Cabrera fell from a possible closer replacement to off the list in less than a month, and he's so out of whack that the Indians won't even let him in a game right now. He's had an epic breakdown like this before, and that it's happened a second time knocks him down a fair amount in keeper leagues.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Brian Fuentes (Secure)

Key setup men: Manny Corpas, Ramon Ramirez, LaTroy Hawkins

The Rockies are down on their knees praying that Fuentes keep pitching like he has for another eight weeks. If that happens, they'll either get quite a good haul of young players in a trade or save more money than they would have otherwise while dumping Todd Helton's contract. All of this is because Fuentes is having his best year to date, with a 2.22 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. That he's pitching well actually increases the likelihood that he's traded, making eighth-inning specialist Corpas very valuable.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Locked In)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney (DL), Wilfredo Ledezma

Jones has given up runs in each of his last three outings, but he's suffered just one blown save in the three opportunities. His 4.22 ERA and 1.41 WHIP are now right in line with expectations. There's not chance of him being demoted, especially with Zumaya out. Rodney is currently on the DL, but he'll be back within a week and retake his position as setup man.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Henry Owens (DL), Taylor Tankersley, Matt Lindstrom

When Owens went on the disabled list with shoulder cuff tendonitis two weeks ago, Tankersley appeared to be the favorite for saves. However, he pitched himself out of that opportunity, allowing Gregg and his 1.99 ERA to take over. Gregg has converted all five save opportunities since and has looked excellent while doing so. He'll remain the closer when Owens returns from the disabled list in a few days. A few poor outings and the club may evaluate going back to a youngster like Owens, but it's Gregg's job to lose for now. Since he's always been a talented reliever, it wouldn't be surprising if he ran with the chance and closed for the remaining four months.

Houston Astros

Closer: Dan Wheeler (Secure)

Key setup men: Brad Lidge, Chad Qualls, Dave Borkowski

Wheeler still has just nine saves, although that's no fault of his own. The right-hander has a 3.04 ERA and stellar 0.89 WHIP, so he hasn't done anything to deserve such a poor total. Lidge continues to look like the Lidge of old as a setup man, adding pressure to Wheeler to keep performing. Given that Lidge was so bad in the closer's role, I wouldn't expect the club to mess with how things are going right now. It's likely they'll look to Lidge again if Wheeler struggles, but there are no signs of that happening. There's an outside chance a contender will take a chance on Lidge and try him as a closer after acquiring the right-hander.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Octavio Dotel

Key setup men: Joakim Soria (DL), Joel Peralta, David Riske

Dotel, who had been out since the spring with a strained oblique, returned to action a week ago. He gave up two runs in his first outing, then pitched 2 1/3 scoreless innings over his next two appearances. The club initially wanted to ease him back into a closer's role, but that's not going to happen with Soria out. Despite experiencing some shoulder inflammation and hitting disabled list, Soria is worth holding on to. Dotel is still a risk to struggle, get injured, or be traded.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier (DL), Darren Oliver, Dustin Moseley

Shields' early season struggles are behind him. His command has been sharper of late, walking just one batter in his last 7 1/3 innings, and the results have followed. He remains a great option in AL-only formats and likely to take over as closer in 2009 if the club can't come to terms on an extension with K-Rod.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Chad Billingsley, Yhency Brazoban, Chin-Hui Tsao (DL)

You wouldn't know it from Saito's performance, but the right-hander has been bothered by a sore shoulder and asked to sit out Sunday's game as a result. He's supposedly been available on Tuesday and Wednesday, although the club had no need for him. Perhaps Saito can avoid a DL stint now, but that he's having problems increases the odds for an injury down the line. Broxton was already worth using in NL-only formats, but he now needs to be stashed away in all leagues. He's a top 10 closer if he takes over.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva

Cordero keeps plugging along, with an ERA (0.43) lower than his WHIP (0.63). He's obviously not going to keep this up, but he's worth holding out for tier 1 closer value in a trade. Turnbow has lost part of his early season magic, giving up nine runs over his last nine appearances. Wise, a consistently solid option when healthy, will be next in line if Turnbow continues to struggle.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Juan Rincon, Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier

Nathan looked a little shaky for the first few weeks of the season, but it never materialized into many runs allowed and his WHIP is rebounding nicely now. Rincon is putting more runners on base than he usually does, but he's managed to strand most of them and he likely remains next in line. Neshek has been utterly dominant with a 1.46 ERA, but he's going to have to wait his turn.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Joe Smith, Pedro Feliciano

Wagner has given up exactly one run in three of his last five outings, but he's also struck out a pair in each game and he's hardly losing anything just yet. His ERA still stands at an impressive 1.57. Heilman is currently ahead on the depth chart, but Smith is a better candidate to be with the team next season and is also more likely to develop into a closer. He could very well be handed ninth inning duties if Wagner were to require a DL stint.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Kyle Farnsworth, Scott Proctor, Brian Bruney

Entering today, Rivera had thrown a total of seven innings in May. He's given up two runs, struck out eight, and walked one. Those are all fairly typical Rivera numbers. However, he hasn't recorded a single win or save to date in May. That he's looked better on the mound when he does pitch is a good indicator that he hasn't lost it yet, and Rivera is a strange but recommended buy-low candidate right now.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Huston Street (Injured), Justin Duchscherer (Injured), Alan Embree (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Kiko Calero, Jay Witasik

Duchscherer was supposed to fill in for Street when the former Texan went on the disabled list with irritation of his right ulnar nerve. Instead, Duchscherer also hit the disabled list thanks to a hip condition. Embree has done a fine job filling in, recording three saves and not allowing a run since the team's pair of aces went down. Street should be back within a week, relegating Embree back to setup duties. Duchscherer's status is up in the air after his latest setback. He could be back in a week, or a month. He needs to be held onto in AL-only formats right now, but a long injury outlook might change that.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Tom Gordon (Injured), Brett Myers (Injured), Antonio Alfonseca (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Ryan Madson, Geoff Geary

Myers has been nothing but a workhorse his entire career. In fact, he never required a DL stint prior to the 2007 season. Now he's out indefinitely with a right shoulder strain after converting to a reliever mid-season and then being used every other day without fail. These are not coincidences.

Gordon would reassume closing duties if he were healthy, but he was placed on the DL with a shoulder injury and is now battling an upper respiratory illness that is rather serious. Gordon is doing better, but he's not near resuming baseball activities just yet. He's likely to miss at least another two weeks and possibly longer.

That means manager Charlie Manuel will turn to former closer Alfonseca, despite his mediocre ERA and awful 1.66 WHIP. The right-hander converted his only save opportunity since the switch this past week. He's not a good bet to perform well, but he needs to be claimed in most leagues. If he's bad enough before Myers or Gordon returns, Madson or Geary would likely take part in a closer-by-committee.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Salomon Torres (Secure)

Key setup men: Matt Capps, Damaso Marte, Jonah Bayliss, Josh Sharpless

Despite eight saves during April, Torres had a rough first month after yielding nine runs in 12 innings of work. He's pitched better in May, giving up just two runs over 9 1/3 innings, but has just four saves to show for it. Still, it's enough of a turnaround that Torres has some job security now. Capps has had a poor couple of weeks, but he remains second in line.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Cla Meredith, Heath Bell, Kevin Cameron

Hoffman was unavailable on Friday due to a sore arm, but he insists it's nothing and the right-hander threw scoreless outings on Saturday and Sunday. It's not worth discounting him because of the news. Meredith still has a fine 3.60 ERA, but he's given up 10 runs in 11 innings of work in May. He will rebound, but Meredith was clearly pitching over his head for the first six months of his big league career. Expect an ERA around 3.00 to go with quality peripherals.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Armando Benitez (Shaky)

Key setup men: Brad Hennessey, Kevin Correia, Steve Kline, Jonathan Sanchez, Vinnie Chulk

Benitez's knee has been acting up again, so he's going to sit out a few games after having fluid drained from the knee on Wednesday. Hennessey picked up a save in his place on Wednesday, but Benitez should be back within a few days. However, Benitez remains an injury risk, so Hennessey is worth stashing away despite very mediocre stuff.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, Chris Reitsma (DL), George Sherrill

Although his strikeout rate is down a little, Putz still has the excellent control that allowed him to dominate the league last year. With a 1.25 ERA and 0.65 WHIP, he's not a fluke. Morrow continues to issue too many free passes, but he also continues to miss plenty of bats and pitch out of jams with relative ease. He's likely due for a bit of an ERA correction at some point, but he's still well worth using in AL-only formats.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Tyler Johnson, Russ Springer

It's only 20 innings, but Isringhausen is looking as good now as he has at any point in the past. There's little reason to sell-high right now. Franklin continues to be a pleasant surprise in a setup role and remains second in line.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brian Stokes, Shawn Camp, Chad Orvella

Reyes has given up three runs over his last two outings, but his peripherals remain fine and his ERA is still an impressive 2.38. He'll be fine.

The setup duties in Tampa Bay are much more interesting, in large part because nobody has an ERA below 5.00. Stokes continues to be very inconsistent, and he's nowhere near an option to close at this point. Orvella was great in the minors, but he's looked hittable and had trouble finding the strike zone since being recalled. There's a good chance most of his struggles are mental since he keeps turning into a pumpkin once getting promoted. Should Reyes go down, the club will probably give Stokes or Seth McClung, who is still in Triple-A, another chance.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Eric Gagne (Secure)

Key setup men: Akinori Otsuka, Frank Francisco, Wes Littleton

Performance hasn't been an issue for Gagne so far this year. He's given up just one run in 11 innings while yielding five hits and striking out nine. The five walks he's issued is a little high, but it's hardly something to be all that concerned about given the rust he was still shaking off. Gagne is likely to head back to the disabled list at some point, but it looks like he'll be a quality option when healthy. Due to Gagne's likelihood of an injury combined with the possibility of a trade means Otsuka can't be dropped.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Jason Frasor, Scott Downs

Accardo is now firmly entrenched as the Blue Jays' closer after converting 5-of-6 save opportunities since taking over the role. He did give up three runs in his one blown save, but his 1.16 ERA and 24/6 K/BB ratio are still excellent and he's got a bit of job security now. Frasor has pitched better of late, but the club would likely give Janssen and his superb control a shot at ninth inning duties should Accardo go down.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome, Luis Ayala (DL), Ryan Wagner (DL)

Cordero was inserted back into the closer's role last week, recording three saves and throwing eight scoreless innings since returning from the bereavement list. He's going to be a very valuable trade commodity if he keeps pitching this well. Rauch has given up runs in each of his last four outings. If he continues to struggle, Colome will be next in line.

[Hache Man]

Temper Clemens expectations
Just a little less than a month ago the New York Yankees made a bid to salvage their season by signing Roger Clemens. Now the same scenario is about to take place in many fantasy leagues as "The Rocket" gets ready to make his 2007 debut and becomes eligible as a free agent.

In some leagues, Clemens was taken on draft day. In others, he could have been picked up at anytime during the season. But traditionally a player has to be on a major league roster before he can be claimed.

For leagues that use a predetermined waiver order, it's a no-brainer for the team that has the first pick to take Clemens. He's a Hall of Fame-caliber pitcher on a great offensive team.

In leagues that use Free Agent Acquisition Bids (FAAB), it will take a significant portion of a team's season budget to get him. In American League- or National League-only leagues, a common practice is to save FAAB dollars in hopes of picking up a star player who comes over from the other league. But Clemens is worth a sizable bid now since he'll accumulate four months' worth of stats — compared to only two months' worth from a typical trade-deadline acquisition.

No matter how your league handles the Clemens situation, the real issue surrounding the Rocket's relaunch is how well he'll perform this season in Yankees pinstripes.

Anyone expecting similar numbers to those he put up last season with the Houston Astros is going to be disappointed. With just a little offensive support, Clemens should do better than seven wins in 19 starts, but there are several reasons why he's unlikely to approach his 2.30 ERA and 1.04 WHIP.

The most obvious is his move to the AL, where teams hit 11 percentage points higher than their NL counterparts last season (.275 to .264). Hitters in the AL — and in particular the AL East — will provide a much greater challenge for Clemens than those in last year's relatively weak NL Central.

The Rocket's last year with the Yankees (2003) may offer a better comparison. In 33 starts, he posted a record of 17-9 with a 3.91 ERA, 190 strikeouts and a 1.21 WHIP.

If we assume Clemens gets 22 starts this year, a 12-6 record would be a reasonable expectation. So would an ERA about 4.00, 130 strikeouts and a 1.25 WHIP. Those numbers put him on par with Jose Contreras or Jeremy Bonderman — a decent No. 2 starter.

At 44, Clemens' health is another factor. His legs have given him trouble in the past, and he's had little game action this year. When he came back with the Astros last June, he had worked his way into game shape by pitching in the World Baseball Classic. Sitting out the season's first 2½ months was simply a way to make sure he didn't break down physically the way he did in the 2005 World Series. This year he's had to start from scratch. The bottom line: It's far from certain Clemens will remain healthy enough to make those 22 starts.

For teams at the bottom of the standings, it makes more sense to trade Clemens than it does to hold on to him. As a serviceable second-tier starter, he's not going to be the catalyst that takes a team from worst to first. But a contending team could get a nice boost by adding Clemens to its pitching staff. A couple of young prospects or a pitching-hitting combination might be enough to get a deal done. In fact, it wouldn't be a surprise for Clemens to be traded in 60%-70% of all fantasy leagues before the season is over.

Looking elsewhere for help

For those teams that aren't part of the Clemens sweepstakes, there are several players on the horizon who could make a significant impact on a fantasy team's season.

Minor league pitching prospects Yovani Gallardo of the Milwaukee Brewers, Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds and Kevin Slowey of the Minnesota Twins have the talent to step right into a major league rotation and produce — as we've already seen from San Francisco Giants rookie Tim Lincecum and briefly from the Yankees' Phil Hughes.

In addition, Toronto Blue Jays ace Roy Halladay has made tremendous progress in his recovery from an appendectomy. He's expected to start May 31.

Among those set to return from injuries in mid-June are Mike Piazza, Josh Johnson, Tom Gordon and even Eddie Guardado. In July, Nick Johnson, Juan Rivera and Kenny Rogers should be back in action. And for the final two months of the season, Chris Carpenter and Pedro Martinez are expected to be fully recovered.

[Hache Man]

Conor Jackson Heating Up
I'm back from my business trip to California, and ready to go swimming in the free agent pool once again. Let's dive right in to this week's waiver wire candidates.

American League

Brian Burres, SP, BAL – Four weeks ago, I mentioned that the soft-tossing Burres would have to improve his control to survive in the bigs. With a walk rate over five per nine in his five starts, the hurdle remains. I'm also less than impressed with Burres' groundball rate, despite his excellent home run prevention. Color me a skeptic, even in AL-only. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

Jeremy Guthrie, SP, BAL – I should remind you that Guthrie actually has a pedigree as the 22nd overall pick in the 2002 draft. He's made six starts on the year, and his 3.8 K/BB bodes well. His control has been impeccable, but there is some inconsistency in his stats. For a guy with a low strikeout rate, allowing just 27 hits in 40 innings doesn't check out. His 1.03 WHIP will rise significantly when this evens out, though he'll still be valuable in AL-only. AL: $9, Mixed: No.

Jerry Owens, OF, CHA – Owens may be called up to lead off while Darin Erstad is out. The 26-year-old is hitting .305/.386/.389 in Triple A with 23 steals in 48 games. Owens makes decent contact and could provide the leadoff spark the Sox were pretending they were getting from Erstad. Given that the Sox may play Owens regularly and turn him loose on the basepaths, he should be considered in all leagues in the short term. AL: $8, Mixed: $1.

Craig Wilson, 1B/OF, CHA – The White Sox are the worst southpaw-hitting team in the league, so the Wilson addition makes sense. The problem is that Wilson's bat has been missing for about a year now. I don't mean the actual piece of lumber he uses, but rather the lack of hits it's produced. He's going to have to show something in Charlotte to merit AL-only consideration. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Paul Byrd, SP, CLE - It's hard to ignore Byrd and his 3.57 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and six wins. Byrd posted a useful fantasy season as recently as '05. All his peripheral stats are well below average, except for his walk rate. That's historically low, with just three free passes in 58 innings. I expect that rate to triple, pushing his WHIP into the high 1.30s and eliminating most mixed league usefulness. AL: $9, Mixed: No.

Kevin Slowey, SP, MIN – It's Slowey Time, as today's his Major League debut against the A's. Slowey is a guy you can look to for some help in WHIP in most leagues. He's got elite command of his fastball, not unlike former Twin Brad Radke. He won't give you strikeouts and should allow home runs, so there is some risk here. He could have a Jeremy Sowers debut, where the hits just don't drop in despite a low strikeout rate. Or he could pull a Scott Baker, where pinpoint command leads to a hit parade. Slowey to me looks like one of those guys whose ERA won't match his WHIP, like Dave Bush or Javier Vazquez. AL: $10, Mixed: $1.

Josh Phelps, 1B, NYA – Phelps may benefit from Jason Giambi's misfortune. He's got decent pop and might be able to chip in a three-homer month for those in AL-only. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

National League

Conor Jackson, 1B, ARI – Some have labeled Jackson the next Sean Burroughs, but statistically he has more in common with Paul Konerko. Jackson's having a great May at .316/.413/.519. Right now he looks good for roughly 3-4 home runs a month, as Konerko managed in his first couple of seasons with the White Sox. Jackson's got the contact and walk skills one looks for in a true .300 hitter. Those in need of RBIs will be disappointed, but Jackson can maintain a 100-run pace batting second in Arizona. NL: $20, Mixed: $9.

Edwin Encarnacion, 3B, CIN – The rumors of EE's demise were greatly exaggerated (and my pessimistic view of his first eleven at-bats since his call-up didn't help). Over the last week, he's hitting .393/.452/.679. Nothing like a demotion to give a guy a kick in the pants. We're finally starting to see why everyone considered third base so deep heading into this season. Encarnacion's going to have to continue mashing to get the cleanup spot back, but there's no reason he can't knock four homers a month. NL: $16, Mixed: $6.

Armando Benitez, RP, FLA – Benitez returns to Florida, where he had his best season in 2004. However, this is not the same pitcher who walked fewer than three per nine that year. Benitez is now a hittable, homer-prone reliever with poor control. Despite Benitez's 280 career saves, there is absolutely no reason to give him the closer job unless Kevin Gregg implodes. Right now Fredi Gonzalez is sticking with Gregg. But his owners have to be concerned that there are now two options breathing down the neck of the first-time closer. NL: $6, Mixed: $1.

Sergio Mitre, SP, FLA – I'm not sure why, but I've always liked Mitre. He had this incredible run in June of '05 for the Cubs where he tossed 16 scoreless innings, outdueling Roy Halladay and Josh Beckett in consecutive starts. When that sinker is working, he can be tough. With a groundball rate over 60% this year, it's working now. Mitre's command has been very impressive, and we should expect the home run rate to stay low. If his newfound control holds up we could definitely see a sub-4 ERA this year from him. Currently he's struggling with a hamstring strain, however. NL: $13, Mixed: $3.

Corey Hart, OF, MIL – Finally some regular PT for Hart, everyone's favorite preseason sleeper. He's 10 for his last 21. He could play at a 20/20 pace if used every day. NL: $9, Mixed: $1.

Shawn Chacon, SP, PIT – I knocked Chacon last week, and he used this column as motivation to post a ten strikeout effort against the Padres. Keep in mind that the Marlins and Padres lead the NL in strikeouts. You will see random double digit strikeout games against them. I still don't trust Chacon in any league. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Justin Germano, SP, SDN – I wrote about Germano a few weeks ago, quoting a Baseball America scouting report saying he doesn't have a plus pitch but can succeed when he hits his spots. Germano has done just that in four starts, walking only two in 25 innings. However, his hit rate's a fluke and he's not whiffing anyone. Exercise caution as he is not mixed league material even if he remains in the rotation. NL: $4, Mixed: No.

Hiram Bocachica, OF, SDN - **DEEP SLEEPER OF THE WEEK** - The Padres snagged the 31-year-old Bocachica off waivers from the A's recently. For now he'll pinch-hit and pick up some starts against lefties. You have to respect his line in Triple A this year - .318/.450/.628 in 129 at-bats. He has continually done this in Triple A, and you have to wonder if the former first round pick can become more than a Quad-A player. He could be Marcus Thames with some speed, given the chance.

Baseball Prospectus projects Bocachica at .267/.337/.462 with 15 HR and 10 steals in 353 at-bats. He remains a very long shot, but that's what Deep Sleeper of the Week is all about. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Randy Messenger, RP, SFN – The Giants got a warm body with a sub-3 ERA in return for Armando Benitez, so they're happy. In recent years Messenger has "delivered" high walk, home run, and hit rates. There it is, your joke of the day. With a strikeout rate under five per nine, Messenger's 2.66 ERA is not long for this world. Even on the Giants I don't see him closing at any point. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Brad Hennessey, RP, SFN – Hennessey is the closer of the moment for those in need of saves. We know he has the opportunity to close, but does he have the skills? A career K/BB of 1.2 and a microscopic strikeout rate suggest he does not. Hennessey has, however, discovered some control this season (his first exclusively as a reliever). He's getting some groundballs this year and may have just enough ability to skate by. NL: $14, Mixed: $6.

Todd Wellemeyer, SP, STL – Wellemeyer is the Cardinals' latest reliever-to-starter experiment. The hard-throwing 28-year-old has lousy control, and we'll see what Dave Duncan can do with him. I would curiously watch from afar, even in a deep NL-only league. NL: No, Mixed: No.

[Hache Man]

Benitez Back in Florida
Rumored to be after him all season, the Marlins finally got their man Thursday, sending Randy Messenger to the Giants for Armando Benitez. The move comes at an odd time for a number of reasons. For one thing, Benitez imploded against the Mets earlier this week and then had his injured knee drained of fluid the next day. Beyond that, the Marlins activated Henry Owens from the disabled list Thursday, giving their bullpen a big boost anyway.

Benitez's trade stock has taken a major hit recently, as evidenced by the Marlins swapping a run-of-the-mill middle reliever for him while the Giants picked up all but $333,000 of his $5 million salary. San Francisco was apparently just happy to rid themselves of Benitez after getting just 45 saves from him during a three-year, $21.5 million contract. In an interesting twist, Benitez signed that deal following a 47-save season for Florida in 2004.

It's highly unlikely that Benitez will have that kind of success in his second stint with the Marlins, but they'd settle for simply avoiding another Jorge Julio-type disaster. Still, it's somewhat unclear why the Marlins felt that they needed Benitez with Kevin Gregg pitching well and Owens back in the bullpen mix. Owens and Gregg see their fantasy value drop significantly, although given Benitez's struggles and injuries they may still have a chance to battle for saves yet this season.

Meanwhile, with Benitez out of the picture Brad Hennessey is the odds-on favorite for ninth-inning duties in San Francisco. Brian Wilson was thought to be next in line for the job heading into spring training, but was cut at the end of camp and is now on the disabled list at Triple-A. A starter as recently as last season, Hennessey has been good in a setup role, posting a 2.82 ERA, 14-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.03 WHIP in 22.1 innings.

Hennessey likely doesn't have the raw stuff or command to succeed in the closer role long term, but the Giants don't have many other passable options—Messenger, Vinnie Chulk, and Kevin Correia are now the top setup men—and his career numbers as a reliever have been solid. In 63 total innings out of the bullpen, Hennessey has a 3.14 ERA and .217 opponent's batting average despite a sub par 34-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

While the Giants make Benitez someone else's problem and the Marlins are careful what they wish for, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Between decreased velocity and some ugly outings, it's time to start worrying about Bronson Arroyo. The Astros knocked Arroyo around Thursday, getting to him for eight runs on 11 hits in five innings. Arroyo has a hideous 16.36 ERA over his last three starts, allowing 20 runs on 24 hits over 11 innings. Opponents have smacked him around to the tune of a .429 batting average and 1.286 OPS over that span, with his overall ERA ballooning from 2.64 to 4.73 in two weeks.

To make matters worse, the horrible three-start stretch has come against three of the worst offensive teams in the entire league. Pittsburgh, Houston, and Washington rank 13th, 14th, and 16th among NL teams in scoring, yet Arroyo allowed 8, 6, and 6 runs against them while failing to record more than 15 outs in any of the three outings. Arroyo has said that there's nothing wrong with him physically, but don't be shocked if that changes.

* Mariners baserunning coach Mike Goff said earlier this week that Ichiro Suzuki is much more willing to take chances on the bases now that his streak of 45 straight successful steals is over. That's not the type of thing that usually gets revealed by players or coaches, but it's pretty clearly true. Prior to having his streak snapped on May 17, Ichiro had attempted seven steals in 36 games. In 14 games since then, he's already attempted nine steals.

Along with hitting .364 in May, Ichiro went 13-for-15 swiping bases after attempting a grand total of one steal in all of April. Ichiro was sitting on a .260 batting average through May 6, but since then he's hitting .411 with two homers, 12 steals, and 23 runs scored in 24 games. He's currently sporting a .336 batting average overall and is on pace for his usual 230 hits, 45 steals, and 120 runs scored. Interestingly, he's also on pace for a career-high 78 RBIs.

* Over at NBCSports.com, this week's "Gleeman Report" video focuses on when to expect top pitching prospects Homer Bailey, Yovani Gallardo, Adam Miller, and Matt Garza to receive call-ups. Also worth checking out is Thursday's "Fantasy Fix" show, with Al Yellon from Bleed Cubbie Blue joining Gregg Rosenthal, Tiffany Simons, and Yours Truly to talk about what's wrong with Alfonso Soriano and the Cubs.

* Rickie Weeks headed to the disabled list Thursday and is expected to miss 2-3 weeks with tendinitis in his right wrist. Interestingly, the Brewers will likely replace Weeks at second base by simply sliding their old third-base platoon over. Craig Counsell and Tony Graffanino had been splitting time at third base, but they went to the bench when Ryan Braun was called up from Triple-A last week. Now they'll likely get into an identical platoon at second base.

AL Quick Hits: With Jason Giambi (foot) expected to miss at least three weeks, Melky Cabrera's fantasy value receives a nice boost … Roy Halladay (appendectomy) returned from the disabled list Thursday with seven shutout innings against the White Sox, picking up his 100th career win … Marcus Thames is stealing at-bats from Sean Casey, with manager Jim Leyland saying Thursday that "Casey hasn't produced anything" and the Tigers "need to get some thunder in there" … After back-to-back benchings, Chone Figgins returned to the lineup Thursday with three hits and two steals … Carlos Guillen (groin) ran in the outfield prior to Thursday's game and hopes to return over the weekend … With their rotation struggling behind Scott Kazmir and James Shields, the Devil Rays may replace Casey Fossum (7.89 ERA) and Jae Seo (8.13 ERA) with prospects Andy Sonnanstine and J.P. Howell … As expected, Joe Saunders will come up from Triple-A to start in place of Bartolo Colon (triceps) Saturday … Frank Thomas hit career homer No. 495 Thursday and tied Edgar Martinez for the all-time record with 243 homers as a designated hitter.

NL Quick Hits: Carlos Beltran left Thursday's game with a bruised knee and is scheduled to undergo an MRI … Prince Fielder went deep again Thursday, tying Alex Rodriguez for the MLB lead with 19 homers … Edwin Encarnacion went 4-for-4 Thursday, giving him a .333 batting average and two homers since returning from Triple-A last week … Pedro Martinez is expected to throw off a mound Monday for the first time since undergoing shoulder surgery and continues to eye an August return … Corey Hart is finally getting another chance for regular at-bats and has taken advantage, going 8-for-15 over the past four games … St. Louis is reportedly interested in Jason LaRue as a short-term replacement for Yadier Molina (wrist) … Lance Berkman's homer Thursday was his first since May 9 … Mike Gonzalez (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Thursday to start what will likely be a year-long recovery process … After showing almost no ability as a hitter, the Padres are converting former No. 1 overall pick Matt Bush into a pitcher.