Fantasy Baseball News 2007

[Hache Man]

Week That Was
Pitchers traded, hurt and returning from injury as well as the story of why Schultz shall now be known as "Underkick" in this week's Week That Was.

Curt Schilling: Red Sox placed put Curt Schilling on the DL with what they are calling shoulder tendinitis. Not good. While it is never good when a pitcher has trouble in his pitching shoulder, it is far worse when that pitcher is north of 40. When you consider that Schilling suffered through a miserable, injury plagued season just two seasons ago (2005), you have a prescription for disaster. My advice: if Schilling pitches a good game or two after returning, trade high.

Kenny Rogers: The Gambler is back from the shelf as the Tigers activated Rogers and started him tonight. Nice start: 6 innings, 2 hits, no walks, 5 strikeouts. What to do? Well, it is possible that the Gambler will be productive again, but I would seize the initiative and sell high while you can. At 42, Rogers could be burning most brightly before he burns out.

Mike Maroth: Cardinals acquire Mike Maroth from Detroit. This is an interesting situation. On the one hand, Maroth has not pitched well, posting ugly ERA and WHIP numbers. On the other hand, Dave Duncan has a way of turning pitchers around. Also, remember that it is common for lefty soft tossers to come to the NL and succeed (remember Cardinal great John Tudor?). My advice – grab Maroth if your league allows you to put pickups on reserve and keep him stashed away. He could be a diamond in the rough. However, he is too risky to activate now.

Vernon Wells: Vernon Wells seemed like he was coming out of his slump with a hot weekend, however, he went right back into the gutter, going an ugly 0-for-14 this week against the Dodgers. Vernon is in his prime, has huge talent and is just too good not to hit. Grab him now while the price is low. You will thank me. (Note: After I penned this, but before I posted it online, Wells went ahead and got two hits and a dinger – more reason to buy).

Michael Barrett: Michael Barrett went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in his first game for San Diego. Boy this is a bad situation. At the start of the year, Barrett was the breakout candidate of NL catchers. Now, one has to wonder what is going on. For the Cubs to trade him for Rob Bowen says that they did not think they could even get much for Barrett. Sell Barrett at your first chance. Also, grab Josh Bard cheap if you can. Bard will get more time than most expect.

Johnny Damon: Johnny Damon continues to struggle, going 0-for-4 in his return to the lineup on Thursday. At this point, he cannot hit, cannot run, and cannot throw. So, what to do? Hope he goes on the DL, gets healthier and starts to produce. No need to think about trading him now as you will get squat. Your best bet is to wait for a hot streak and then sell. Maybe the Red Sox did know something.

Milton Bradley: Apparently, the reported deal sending Milton Bradley to KC is now off because of an alleged oblique injury. One way or another, Bradley will land on a team that will play him. Obviously, he needs to be healthy. However, the Gamester is just 29, boasts power and speed and should be a nice addition to most lineups. This is just a hunch, but I think Bradley will have a big second half. Buy.

Jacque Jones: There are reports that the Cubs are considering trading Jacque Jones. This would be a big boon to Jones and his owners. Once a player lands in Lou's doghouse, he rarely gets out. Jones is a good hitter who produces roto stats year in and year out. I would speculate on Jones moving and being productive in the second half. A player who has hit 74 HR in the last three years and is only 32 probably did not fall of the shelf. Acquire cheap and reap rewards.

Jason Schmidt: Jason Schmidt will likely miss the rest of the season after labrum surgery this week. This just proves the old fantasy maxim – avoid risk. Reduced velocity, increased age, Giants passing on him – all warning signs that should not have been ignored. Chad Billingsley takes the rotation spot. However, it will be a while before he produces as he is being limited to only 70 pitches at this point.

Nick Punto: Ron Gardenhire has taken the starting 3b job away from Nick Punto. It appears that Jeff Cirillo will benefit from increased playing time. If so, Cirllio is a nice pickup in deep leagues. Cirillo rakes lefties and hits for a nice average. If you are looking for a last man on your 23 active hitters in a deep AL league, you could do a lot worse than Cirillo. Punto and his .221 average are not likely to rebound this year.

Last but not least, this week's Schultz Says: "No matter how anyone wants to couch it or explain it away as a minor injury, Miguel Tejada broke his wrist this week. As it seems to be the obligation of every sports outlet to slavishly slobber over every consecutive games streak involving an Oriole shortstop (seriously, when I show up to work every day over a nine month period, no one starts falling over themselves to give me awards), every attempt is being made to minimize the severity of the injury. If the Orioles are smart, they will place Tejada on the DL and let him regain full strength in his wrist. However, since the words "Orioles" and "smart" aren't often used in a sentence without ironic intent, signs seem to be pointing towards Baltimore letting Miggy play through his injury. Tejada's already dwindling power numbers will not be helped by a winky wrist. If Tejada stays in the lineup, prepare for the worst. If you own him, try and trade him to someone who believes the hogwash spilling out of Charm City.

The roller coaster ride that is Oliver Perez' career may be headed towards one of those precipitous downhill slides. Over his career, Perez has found success during the periods he's been able to exhibit masterful control. When he's wild, he's been absolutely dreadful. Over his last 4 starts, his walk count has started to rise and unsurprisingly, he's been tagged with 3 losses. (The Yankees are the only team to be befuddled by Perez during this string). Avid Mets fans have lost their sense of perspective with respect to "Cousin" Oliver, believing him to be the next coming of Pedro. If you own him, prey on that belief and trade him before the roller coaster hurtles rapidly downward.

By the way, has anyone inquired if Elijah Dukes can play basketball? He seems a perfect fit for the Portland Trail Blazers. Once they draft Oden, maybe Portland can swing an inter-league deal and send Zach Randolph to the Devil Rays for Dukes. We'd all be into this, wouldn't we?

I must stop writing now, my shoulder hurts. I shall now make like a major league starting pitcher and go have Dr. Lewis Yokum examine my labrum."

Response: In fairness, Schultz, who does exist, wrote his "Miggy" piece right before the team did put Miggy on the DL, so I will not give him such a hard time. However, in serious Schultz news, he has been given a new nickname. My former colleague (and frequent reader), Tony Barkow has dubbed Schultz the "Underkick." It is actually clever. After all, a sidekick is by one's side. Schultz, being at home at the bottom of the page, is now "Underkick". Thanks Tony.

Final Thoughts: Very loyal readers in the space (the Underkick being one) recall my musings about that very quintessential piece of Americana – the office summer picnic Softball game. Last year, I crowed about how my team braved the rain and one very brave soul (not me) withstood a collision with a veritable freight train to secure victory. This year, I will engage in a more humorous reflection (humorous because we lost and hey, better to laugh). The star of this year's game was none other than David Pashman, who unwillingly goes by the nickname Swee'Pea (long story). Pashman overcame a very inauspicious beginning to belt two dingers in a 9-7 nailbiter (yours truly, the tying run, was stranded on second base as the final out was recorded, but I digress). While it would be kind of me to emphasize the hitting prowess and two homers, I cannot help but to focus on the funny and inauspicious part. So, here goes: Swee'Pea was parked under a lazy pop up when he started struggling with the sun. Rather than persevere or flip down the glasses, he ran off to the side out of harm's way allowing the then go ahead run to score. When asked why he turned tail and ran, Swee'Pea said "there is no way I am jeopardizing 50 grand worth of dental work." Now where else could you hear such a truly passionate baseball phrase but at the company picnic? Who knows, Pashman's fine line could replace "there is no crying in baseball" in baseball entertainment lore. Eh, maybe not. Two homers is still pretty good though.

[Hache Man]

Some Well Deserved Rest
Miguel Tejada's 1,152-consecutive game streak is now in the books after he landed on the disabled list, Scott Podsednik is back in the leadoff spot for the ChiSox, and Kenny Rogers is officially back after hurling a gem in his season debut. Curt Schilling, Jermaine Dye and Brad Lidge are some of the latest to be dealing with injuries, while rough weather is forecasted for next weekend. The Week Ahead will break down the latest around the league as we approach week 13, including Sabathia, Bonderman and Dontrelle highlighting the two-start hurler list.

Two-start pitchers:
Great options:
C.C. Sabathia CLE vs. OAK Dan Haren, vs. TB James Shields
Brad Penny LA @ ARI Micah Owings, vs SD Jake Peavy
Roy Halladay TOR @ MIN Scott Baker, @ SEA Miguel Batista
Dan Haren OAK @ CLE C.C. Sabathia, @ NYY Andy Pettitte
Ben Sheets MIL vs. HOU Jason Jennings, @ CHC Jason Marquis
Jeremy Bonderman DET vs. TEX Vicente Padilla, vs. MIN TBA
Andy Pettitte NYY @ BAL Jeremy Guthrie, vs. OAK Dan Haren
James Shields TB vs. CHW Jon Garland, @ CLE C.C. Sabathia
Tim Hudson ATL vs. WAS Mike Bacsik, @ FLA Dontrelle Willis
Ervin Santana LAA vs. KC TBA, @ BAL Jeremy Guthrie
Dontrelle Willis FLA vs. ATL Kyle Davies, vs. ATL Tim Hudson

More strong options:
Jon Garland CHW @ TB James Shields, @ KC TBA
Chad Gaudin OAK @ CLE Cliff Lee, @ NYY Mike Mussina
Tom Glavine NYM vs. STL Anthony Reyes, @ PHI Jamie Moyer
Jeff Francis COL @ CHC Jason Marquis, @ HOU Jason Jennings
Tim Lincecum SF vs. SD Justin Germano, vs. ARI Micah Owings
Shaun Marcum TOR @ MIN Kevin Slowey, @ SEA Jeff Weaver
Justin Germano SD @ SF Tim Lincecum, @ LA Chad Billingsley
Jeremy Guthrie BAL vs. NYY Andy Pettitte, vs. LAA Ervin Santana
Homer Bailey CIN @ PHI Kyle Kendrick, vs. STL Todd Wellemeyer
Chad Billingsley LA @ ARI Edgar Gonzalez, vs. SD Justin Germano
Jorge Sosa NYM vs. STL Brad Thompson, @ PHI Kyle Kendrick
Jason Marquis CHC vs. COL Jeff Francis, vs. MIL Ben Sheets
Micah Owings ARI vs. LA Hong-Chih Kuo, @ SF Noah Lowry
Jason Jennings HOU @ MIL Ben Sheets, vs. COL Jeff Francis
Jamie Moyer PHI vs. CIN Matt Belisle, vs. NYM Tom Glavine

Other two-starters:
Wandy Rodriguez HOU @ MIL Claudio Vargas, vs. COL Rodrigo Lopez
Chad Durbin DET vs. TEX Kameron Loe, vs. MIN Scott Baker
John Danks CHW @ TB J.P. Howell, @ KC Odalis Perez
Hong-Chih Kuo LA @ ARI Micah Owings, vs. SD Jake Peavy
Rodrigo Lopez COL @ CHC Ted Lilly, @ HOU Wandy Rodriguez
Vicente Padilla TEX @ DET Jeremy Bonderman, @ BOS TBA
J.P. Howell TB vs. CHW John Danks, @ CLE Jason Stanford
Brad Thompson STL @ NYM Jorge Sosa, @ CIN Bronson Arroyo
Paul Maholm PIT @ FLA Sergio Mitre, vs. WAS Mike Bacsik
Jeff Weaver SEA vs. BOS Julian Tavarez, vs. TOR Shaun Marcum
Scott Baker MIN vs. TOR Roy Halladay, @ DET Chad Durbin
Kameron Loe TEX @ DET Chad Durbin, @ BOS Josh Beckett
Kyle Kendrick PHI vs. CIN Homer Bailey, vs. NYM Jorge Sosa
Mike Bacsik WAS @ ATL Tim Hudson, @ PIT Paul Maholm
Todd Wellemeyer STL @ NYM Oliver Perez, @ CIN Homer Bailey

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Seven-game schedule: ARI, CHW, CLE, COL, DET, HOU, LA, MIN, NYM, OAK, STL, TB, TEX, TOR
Six-game schedule: ATL, BAL, BOS, CHC, CIN, FLA, KC, LAA, MIL, NYY, PHI, PIT, SD, SEA, SF, WAS
Five-game schedule: none

Rain threatened games:
Wednesday, 6/27: PIT @ FLA (40%)
Thursday, 6/28: PIT @ FLA (40%)
Friday, 6/29: MIL @ CHC (60%), LAA @ BAL (60%), TB @ CLE (60%), TEX @ BOS (40%), ATL @ FLA (60%), COL @ HOU (60%), OAK @ NYY (40%), WAS @ PIT (60%), CHW @ KC (60%), STL @ CIN (60%)
Saturday, 6/30: MIL @ CHC (60%), OAK @ NYY (60%), MIN @ DET (60%), CHW @ KC (60%), LAA @ BAL (60%), TB @ CLE (60%), TOR @ SEA (60%), ATL @ FLA (60%), WAS @ PIT (60%), STL @ CIN (60%)
Sunday, 7/1: ATL @ FLA (60%), OAK @ NYY (60%), LAA @ BAL (60%), NYM @ PHI (60%), TEX @ BOS (60%)

Stadium Factor:
ESPN - MLB Park Factors - Major League Baseball
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.336 runs – 3 vs TEX
2. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.305 runs – 3 vs STL
4. Kauffman Stadium (Royals) 1.236 runs – 3 vs CHW
5. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.147 runs – 3 vs OAK
6. Jacobs Field (Indians) 1.099 runs – 4 vs OAK, 3 vs TB

No Games: 3. Coors Field (Rockies) 1.239 runs

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
3. Turner Field (Braves) 0.857 runs – 3 vs WAS
5. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.883 runs – 4 vs COL
6. Tropicana Field (Devil Rays) 0.888 runs – 4 vs CHW
7. Safeco Field (Mariners) 0.900 runs – 3 vs BOS, 3 vs TOR
8. Camden Yards (Orioles) 0.922 runs – 3 vs NYY, 3 vs LAA

No Games: 1. Petco Park (Padres) 0.827 runs, 2. Busch Stadium (Cardinals) 0.846 runs, 4. Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) 0.870 runs

Caught Stealing %:
Toughest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. David Ross, CIN 16-for-31 (48.4%) – 3 @ PHI, 3 vs STL
2. Kenji Johjima, SEA 21-for-35 (40.0%) – 3 vs BOS, 3 vs TOR
3. Ronny Paulino, PIT 29-for-48 (39.6%) – 3 @ FLA, 3 vs WAS
4. Gerald Laird, TEX 31-for-49 (36.7%) – 4 @ DET, 3 @ BOS
5. Russell Martin, LA 38-for-58 (34.5%) – 4 @ ARI, 3 vs SD

Facing these elite catchers is bad news for the following players in the stolen base category: Jimmy Rollins (13-for-16 SB), Michael Bourn (10-for-10 SB), Julio Lugo (19-for-19 SB), Coco Crisp (13-for-16 SB), Hanley Ramirez (22-for-27 SB), Eric Byrnes (14-for-19 SB)

Easiest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Jason Varitek, BOS 20-for-23 (13.0%) – 3 @ SEA, 3 vs TEX
2T. Johnny Estrada, MIL 35-for-43 (18.6%) – 3 vs HOU, 3 @ CHC
2T. Michael Barrett, CHC 35-for-43 (18.6%) – 3 vs COL, 3 vs MIL
4. Jorge Posada, NYY 55-for-68 (19.1%) – 3 @ BAL, 3 vs OAK
5. Jason Kendall, OAK 48-for-60 (20.0%) – 4 @ CLE, 3 @ NYY

Facing these catchers is good news for Ichiro Suzuki (22-for-24 SB), Kenny Lofton (16-for-20 SB), Ian Kinsler (11-for-11 SB), Ryan Theriot (12-for-14 SB), Alfonso Soriano (9-for-12 SB), Willy Taveras (18-for-26 SB), Kaz Matsui (13-for-14 SB), Corey Hart (13-for-15 SB), Brian Roberts (23-for-27 SB), Corey Patterson (13-for-15 SB), Grady Sizemore (22-for-24 SB), Bobby Abreu (12-for-15 SB), Johnny Damon (11-for-11 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers) note: SUN vs TB (TBA)
Cleveland: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Detroit: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers) note: SUN vs MIN (TBA)
Kansas City: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (3 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers) note: MON vs KC (TBA)
Minnesota: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Seattle: (5 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers) note: TUE vs BOS (TBA)
Tampa Bay: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers) note: SUN vs BOS (TBA)
Toronto: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The White Sox and Devil Rays play at least three lefties, while the Mariners play none. That's good news for Jamie Burke (.417 vs RHPs), Ichiro Suzuki (.364 vs RHPs), Josh Fields (.500 vs RHPs), Akinori Iwamura (.452 vs LHPs), Carl Crawford (.318 vs LHPs), Brendan Harris (.327 vs LHPs)

And bad news for Jose Guillen (.219 vs RHPs), Richie Sexson (.198 vs RHPs), Tadahito Iguchi (.161 vs LHPs), Alex Cintron (.182 vs LHPs), Juan Uribe (.204 vs LHPs), Jim Thome (.190 vs LHPs), A.J. Pierzynski (.225 vs LHPs), Dioner Navarro (.104 vs LHPs), Carlos Pena (.156 vs LHPs), Rocco Baldelli (.156 vs LHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (1 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers) note: FRI, SAT vs FLA (TBA)
Chicago Cubs: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: ( vs. Right-handers, vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Houston: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (7 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
San Francisco: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Diamondbacks, Braves, Marlins, Brewers and Pirates play three southpaws, while the Dodgers don't play any. That's good news for Mark Reynolds (.308 vs LHPs), Edgar Renteria (.343 vs LHPs), Matt Diaz (.354 vs LHPs), Miguel Cabrera (.414 vs LHPs), Hanley Ramirez (.417 vs LHPs), Miguel Olivo (.412 vs LHPs), Jeremy Hermida (.324 vs LHPs), Ryan Braun (.522 vs LHPs), Corey Hart (.333 vs LHPs), Xavier Nady (.340 vs LHPs), Ronny Paulino (.347 vs LHPs), Freddy Sanchez (.362 vs LHPs), Matt Kemp (.429 vs RHPs), James Loney (.389 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Chris Snyder (.207 vs LHPs), Chris Young (.224 vs LHPs), Carlos Quentin (.132 vs LHPs), Chad Tracy (.194 vs LHPs), Tony Clark (.143 vs LHPs), Scott Thorman (.196 vs LHPs), Andruw Jones (.211 vs LHPs), Josh Willingham (.182 vs LHPs), Aaron Boone (.217 vs LHPs), Geoff Jenkins (.167 vs LHPs), Craig Counsell (.200 vs LHPs), Jose Castillo (.217 vs LHPs), Chris Duffy (.211 vs LHPs), Brady Clark (.182 vs RHPs), Wilson Betemit (.202 vs RHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 14:
Daisuke Matsuzaka, Ryan Feierabend, Mark Buehrle, Andy Sonnanstine, Jorge De La Rosa, John Lackey, Roger Clemens, Erik Bedard, Lenny DiNardo, Fausto Carmona, Kevin Millwood, Kenny Rogers, Josh Towers, Boof Bonser, Matt Belisle, Jamie Moyer, Jason Hirsh, Carlos Zambrano, Woody Williams, Jeff Suppan, Derek Lowe, Brandon Webb, John Van Benschoten, Scott Olsen, Greg Maddux, Matt Cain, Anthony Reyes, Tom Glavine, Micah Bowie, John Smoltz

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Moises Alou (quadriceps) – return late June
Garret Anderson (hip) – return early July
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) – out indefinitely
Endy Chavez (hamstring) – out indefinitely
Jeff DaVanon (shoulder) – return early August
Chris Denorfia (elbow) – out for the season
Jermaine Dye (quadriceps) – likely going on the DL
Fred Lewis (ribs) – return mid-July
Jim Edmonds (back) – return early July
Darin Erstad (ankle) – return mid-July
Brian Giles (knee) – return late June
Reed Johnson (back) – return mid-July
Bobby Kielty (calf) – return early July
Fred Lewis (ribs) – return mid-July
Scott Podsednik (groin) – back in action
Jason Repko (groin) – might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) – return July/August
Cody Ross (hamstring) – return late June
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) – return June/July
Rondell White (calf) – return late June
Preston Wilson (knee) – out for the season

Infielders
Rich Aurilia (neck) – return early July
Willy Aybar (hand) – out indefinitely
Hank Blalock (arm) – return August
Joe Crede (back) – out for the season
David Eckstein (back) – return early July
Robert Fick ( personal) – return late June
Ryan Freel (neck) – return late June
Ross Gload (quadriceps) – return late June
Mark Grudzielanek (knee) – return mid- July
Derek Jeter (hip) – day-to-day
Dan Johnson (hip) – return mid-season
Nick Johnson (leg) – return July
Maicer Izturis (hamstring) – return late June
Corey Koskie (concussion) – out indefinitely
Dallas McPherson (back) – return August/September
Doug Mientkiewicz (wrist) – return August
Justin Morneau (chest) – day-to-day
Lyle Overbay (wrist) – return mid-July
Pablo Ozuna (leg) – return August/September
Aramis Ramirez (knee) – return late June
Jason Smith (abdomen) – out indefinitely
Miguel Tejada (wrist) – return mid-July
Mark Teixeira (quadriceps) – return mid-July
B.J. Upton (quadriceps) – return late June

Catchers:
Eliezer Alfonzo (knee) – return August/September
Henry Blanco (neck) – return late June
Hector Gimenez (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Yadier Molina (wrist) – return early July
Vance Wilson (elbow) – out for the season

Designated Hitter:
David Dellucci (hamstring) – return September
Jason Giambi (foot) – out indefinitely
Mike Piazza (shoulder) – return late June
Mike Sweeney (knee) – return early July

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) – return August/September
Jason Bergmann (elbow) – return late June
A.J. Burnett (shoulder) – return June 28 vs MIN
Chris Capuano (groin) – return late June
Chris Carpenter (elbow) – return August/September
Matt Clement (shoulder) – return July/August
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) – return mid-July
Lance Cormier (arm) – return late June
Freddy Garcia (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Mike Hampton (ribs) – out for the season
Shawn Hill (elbow) – return late July
Luke Hudson (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Phil Hughes (hamstring) – return July/August
Randy Johnson (back) – return early July
Jeff Karstens (leg) – out indefinitely
Jon Lieber (ankle) – return September
Francisco Liriano (elbow) – out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) – return July
Adam Loewen (elbow) – return September
Braden Looper (shoulder) – return early July
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) – return August
Wade Miller (back) – return late June
Eric Milton (elbow) – out for the season
Mark Mulder (shoulder) – return July
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) – return mid-July
John Patterson (biceps) – out indefinitely
Carl Pavano (elbow) – out for the season
Mark Prior (shoulder) – out for the season
Horacio Ramirez (shoulder) – return late June
Darrell Rasner (finger) – return August/September
Nate Robertson (arm) – return late June
Curt Schilling (shoulder) – return early July
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) – out indefinitely
John Thomson (shoulder) – return late June
Jake Westbrook (abdomen) – back on Sunday
Jerome Williams (ankle) – out indefinitely
Jaret Wright (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Victor Zambrano (arm) – return mid-June

Important Relievers:
Danys Baez (arm) – return early July
Kris Benson (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Yhency Brazoban (shoulder) – out for the season
Jesse Crain (shoulder) – out for the season
Elmer Dessens (shoulder) – return late June
Justin Duchscherer (hip) – return late June
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) – out for the season
Tom Gordon (shoulder) - return early July
Eddie Guardado (elbow) – return late June
Angel Guzman (arm) – return mid-July
Brandon League (shoulder) – return late June
Brad Lidge (ribs) – return late July
Zach Miner (elbow) – out indefinitely
Brett Myers (shoulder) – return early July
Chris Reitsma (elbow) – return mid-July
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) – out for the season
B.J. Ryan (elbow) – out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) – return August
Huston Street (elbow) – out indefinitely
Salomon Torres (elbow) – return mid-July
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) – out for the season
Kerry Wood (triceps) – return July
Joel Zumaya (finger) – return August

[Hache Man]

Trade Candidates - Pitchers

Up this week is a position-by-position look at this year's trade candidates. Players are grouped into three categories, and I'm listing contract info for the most significant players at each spot.

The pitchers are posted below. A look at the hitters should be up on the site on Tuesday. Editor's Note: Talk about all the trade candidates and the ramifications on the Rotoworld Forums, Click Here.

Starting Pitchers

Legitimate candidates

Carlos Zambrano (Cubs) - 07: $12.4 million, 08: FA
The Cubs haven't been able to resolve Zambrano's contract situation and may yet deal him if they fall out of contention. The NL Central, however, appears too winnable to make a deal likely. If the Cubs are within eight games of a playoff spot in late July, Zambrano figures to stay.

Dontrelle Willis (Marlins) - 07: $6.45 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
Florida could conceivably trade Willis and stay in contention by getting a starter back. With the way Willis has pitched this season, it might not be a bad idea. He has a 1.58 WHIP and the worst strikeout rate of his career. Throw in some forearm problems, and he's a worse bet for the long-term than ever before. If they could get Arizona to give up Chris Young and Livan Hernandez for him, they should do it in a heartbeat.

Mark Buehrle (White Sox) - 07: $9.5 million, 08: FA
Jon Garland (White Sox) - 07: $10 million, 08: $12 million, 09: FA
Javier Vazquez (White Sox): 07: $12.5 million, 08-10: $34.5 million
Buehrle appears to be a goner, though I'm plenty skeptical about the current Red Sox talk. NL teams like the Braves, Cardinals, Dodgers and Mets look like the favorites here. Buehrle to Atlanta for Yunel Escobar and a young pitcher would make a lot of sense. … Since they're truly out of it, the White Sox might as well move two starters. Garland figures to command a bigger return than Vazquez, as questions about Vazquez's ability to handle pressure situations could cause some contenders (and not just the Yankees) to shy away. I can see Garland to the Mets for Lastings Milledge. The Mets don't want to give up Milledge for a rental, but they could part with him for a pitcher signed through 2008.

Daniel Cabrera (Orioles) - 07: $1.825 million, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
Cabrera certainly won't come cheap, but the Orioles might part with his tantalizing talent in return for a top position prospect and a young pitcher. The 26-year-old Cabrera still has ace potential and should appeal to several non-contenders. He also has the kind of arm the Mets would love to gamble on, but he'd come a lot more expensive than Oliver Perez did last year. Perhaps Cabrera to Arizona for Carlos Gonzalez and Dustin Nippert would work. The White Sox could offer Gio Gonzalez and Brian Anderson if they get prospects in other deals.

Matt Morris (Giants) - 07: $9.5 million, 08: $9.5 million, 09: $9 million club option
It seemed highly unlikely a couple of months ago, but Morris actually has positive trade value due to his performance this year. His struggles in interleague play show why no AL teams should be interested, but he'd be of help to his old team, St. Louis, Philadelphia or Atlanta.

Jason Jennings (Astros) - 07: $5.5 million, 08: FA
The Astros broke off contract talks with Jennings when he went down with a sore elbow. He returned at the end of May, but now he's pitching through a sore shoulder. The Astros could opt to cut their losses and move him again, though they won't get a package nearly as attractive as the one they gave up to get him.

Kyle Lohse (Reds) - 07: $4.2 million, 08: FA
Steve Trachsel (Orioles) - 07: $3 million, 08: $4.75 million club option
Odalis Perez (Royals) - 07: $7.75 million, 08: $1.5 million buyout
Shawn Chacon (Pirates) - 07: $3.825 million, 08: FA
All four veterans should be very much available by the deadline. Trachsel will probably be the most costly of the bunch, though that could change quickly if his recent struggles continue.


Long shot candidates

Tim Hudson (Braves) - 07: $6 million, 08-09: $26 million, 10: $12 million option
The Braves shopped Hudson in the offseason, with the Orioles quite interested, but the price tag was just too extravagant. His stock is higher now, and the Braves could reload for next year and free up some money to use to keep or replace Andruw Jones if they moved him. Still, it's probably not happening unless they fall out of contention.

Rich Harden (Athletics) - 07: $2 million, 08: $4.5 million, 09: $7 million option
It'd be a case of selling low if the A's moved Harden while he's still recovering from his latest round of shoulder problems. GM Billy Beane is more likely to trade him for a big return this winter if he comes back and puts together a strong final two months.

Bronson Arroyo (Reds) - 07: $3.8 million, 08-10: $24.45 million, 11: $11 million option
Arroyo is in no pain, but the numbers say he's pitching hurt. If the Reds are worried about his long-term health, they could try to dump the contract GM Wayne Krivsky signed him in the spring. Still, it's probably not going to happen this year.

Jose Contreras (White Sox) - 07: $9 million, 08-09: $20 million, 10: FA
Contreras' inconsistency this year likely gives him less trade value than either Garland or Vazquez, making him more likely to stay with the White Sox for at least one more season.

Noah Lowry (Giants) - 07: $1.15 million, 08-09: $6.75 million, 10: $6.25 million option
The Giants have plenty of veterans to move, but none of them would bring back the same kind of return as Lowry, who is just 26 and is in the midst of a nice season despite mediocre peripherals. He's probably not getting a whole lot better, so if the Giants could get a couple of big-time prospects for him, it'd really aid the rebuilding plan. Unfortunately, the best match for their needs is the Dodgers (Matt Kemp, Andy LaRoche) and they're not going to deal within the division.

Zach Duke (Pirates) - 07-08: Near minimum, 09-11: Arb. Eligible, 12: FA
Since Pirates pitching coach Jim Colborn has done more harm than good with him, Duke could use a change of scenery. The left-hander isn't poised to help a contender this year, but he will be a No. 3 starter with some adjustments and he's not a free agent until after 2011, giving him quite a bit of value.

Aaron Cook (Rockies) - 07: $3.05 million, 08: $4.5 million option, 09: FA
If the Rockies remain in contention, it's far more likely that Cook will go in the offseason. They'd rather spend what money they have on keeping their offensive nucleus together.

Anthony Reyes (Cardinals) - 07-09: Near minimum, 10-12: Arb. Eligible, 13: FA
Reyes barely has a full year in and he has a World Series victory to his credit, but indications are that the Cardinals are frustrated with him. They've wanted him to concentrate on a sinker, while he sees himself as more of a fastball-slider guy. Still, there's no way they'd give him up cheap. If they trade him for two months of Buehrle, there's a good chance they'll regret it.

Kevin Millwood (Rangers) - 07: $7.5 million, 08-10: $31.5 million
The Rangers couldn't expect much of anything in return for Millwood's contract, not unless they ate some cash in the deal. If they traded him, they'd just use the money to attempt to lure another starter in the offseason, possibly Buehrle or Bartolo Colon. They'll probably end up keeping him for another year.

Livan Hernandez (Diamondbacks) - 07: $7 million, 08: FA
He likely stays if the Diamondbacks remain in contention. If not, the Cardinals and Phillies could use Livan's ability to eat innings (among other things).

Braden Looper (Cardinals) - 07: $4.5 million, 08: $5.5 million, 09: FA
If the Cardinals decide they're out of it, Looper could be somewhat attractive given his new-found versatility. He'd have to prove that his shoulder is sound, however.

Paul Byrd (Indians) - 07: $7 million, 08: $8 million option
Byrd looked more expendable when Jeremy Sowers still seemed like a solid option and top prospect Adam Miller was healthy. He's struggling of late, but it now appears that he'll stick at the bottom of the Cleveland rotation for the rest of the season.

Also: Rodrigo Lopez (Rockies), Mark Hendrickson (Dodgers), Brett Tomko (Dodgers), Josh Fogg (Rockies), Matt Belisle (Reds), Mike Maroth (Cardinals), Jeff Weaver (Mariners), Woody Williams (Astros), Kip Wells (Cardinals), Josh Towers (Blue Jays)

The Rockies are in contention now, but if that changes, Lopez could be very popular with the way he's thrown this year. Of course, as long as he keeps going strong, it's less likely that they'll fall out of contention. … Williams is due another $9 million-$10 million through end of 2008, giving him little value.


Bait: Phil Hughes (Yankees), Mike Pelfrey (Mets), Scott Olsen (Marlins), Ervin Santana (Angels), Jon Lester (Red Sox), Kyle Davies (Braves), Matt Harrison (Braves), Clay Hensley (Padres), Scott Baker (Twins), Ubaldo Jimenez (Rockies), Dallas Trahern (Tigers), Joe Saunders (Angels), Dustin Nippert (Diamondbacks), Tyler Clippard (Yankees), Dustin Moseley (Angels)

Hughes would be worth parting with in exchange for Miguel Cabrera or Johan Santana. That's about it. He's staying. … The Marlins could trade Olsen in order to get the center fielder they need, but they're not going to deal him for a rental. He'd be a nice piece in a Carl Crawford trade, but that's hard to envision. … The Braves are down enough on Davies that they could move him for a rotation upgrade, perhaps in a Buehrle or Garland deal. … Hensley has been rumored as a possibility in an Adam Dunn trade.


Relief Pitchers

Legitimate candidates

Chad Cordero (Nationals) - 07: $4.15 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
Closers typically have more trade value during the season than they do over the winter, but the Nationals almost certainly would have done better for Cordero before spring training started. Cordero is just 12-for-18 in save chances, he has a 1.44 WHIP and his strikeout rate is the worst of his career. Since he's never had elite stuff, it figures that several potential suitors will be scared off.

Brad Lidge (Astros) - 07: $5.35 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Lidge's oblique strain has quieted the trade talk surrounding him. The Mets were known to be interested, and the Red Sox, Yankees, Tigers, Mariners, Indians, Rockies and Phillies could also make runs at him should he become available. The Astros would likely want Mike Pelfrey back from the Mets. Sending him to Seattle for catcher Jeff Clement and left-hander Ryan Feierabend could work.

Brian Fuentes (Rockies) - 07: $3.5 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Fuentes figured to be one of the top relievers on the market this winter, but he's now less likely to go than some of the other guys. The Rockies could still get a fair return for him in the offseason, so there's no urgency to move him if they're still within shouting distance in the NL West.

Eric Gagne (Rangers) - 07: $6 million ($5 million in incentives), 08: FA
Gagne can block a trade to 17 teams, though he might approve a deal if it meant continuing to close elsewhere. FOXSports.com's Ken Rosenthal reported that the Yankees, Mets and Angels are among the teams to which he can be dealt without his approval. Cleveland would seem to be an excellent fit for him. The Rangers are more likely to trade him than Akinori Otsuka because Otsuka is a lot cheaper and under control for two more years.

Al Reyes (Devil Rays) - 07: $750,000, 08: $2 million option
The Rays are contemplating keeping Reyes because of his cheap option for 2008, but if the right offer comes along, they shouldn't hesitate to move on. Reyes turns 38 in April and isn't going to be very helpful by the time the team is ready to contend. Fantasy owners shouldn't be surprised to see him occupying a setup role for the Yankees or Mets on Aug. 1.

Octavio Dotel (Royals) - 07: $5 million, 08: FA
Dotel is another closer likely to be a setup man if traded. The Yankees, Indians, Red Sox and Cardinals are among the teams that pursued him as a free agent over the winter.

Scott Linebrink (Padres) - 07: $1.75 million, 08: FA
The Padres might yet be willing to move Linebrink in return for an offensive upgrade, but no non-contenders are going to be intrigued by the free-agent-to-be. Linebrink for Aaron Rowand seems like a long shot, especially with the Phillies now more in need of a starter than a reliever.

Kyle Farnsworth (Yankees) - 07: $5.25 million, 08: $5.5 million, 09: FA
The Yankees might take the opportunity to shed Farnsworth's salary if they get the chance. An NL team could do a lot worse, considering that he shouldn't cost a top prospect.

Akinori Otsuka (Rangers) - 07: $3 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
Dan Wheeler (Astros) - 07: $2.1 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Jon Rauch (Nationals) - 07: Near minimum, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
David Weathers (Reds) - 07: $2.25 million, 08: $2.75 million, 09: FA
Mike MacDougal (White Sox) - 07: $1.5 million, 08-09: $4.6 million, 10: $3.75 million option
David Riske (Royals) - 07: $2 million, 08: $2.85 million option, 09: FA

MacDougal and Riske are a definite notch below the others right now, but all six of these guys are attractive considering that they're under control for at least one more year. Unfortunately, the Rangers will probably keep Otsuka and let him return to the closer's role next year, taking away the most desirable commodity in the group. … Wheeler's struggles as a closer have taken a toll on his value, but since he was so outstanding in a setup role the last couple of years, there should still be a fair amount of demand for him. I can see him ending up in Boston. … Excluding Otsuka, Rauch should be the costliest to acquire, as he's under control through 2010 and is set to take over as the Nationals' closer if Cordero goes.

Also: Damaso Marte (Pirates), Joaquin Benoit (Rangers), Jason Frasor (Blue Jays), Scott Williamson (Orioles), Jose Capellan (Brewers), Julio Mateo (Mariners), Roberto Hernandez (Indians), Steve Kline (Giants), Mike Stanton (Reds)

Mateo's personal problems got him sent down when his performance very much warranted his place in the Seattle bullpen. He could help another team in middle relief, though he fits best in a big ballpark like Safeco. … Hernandez has already been dropped from Cleveland's roster. Now that Indians are just waiting to see if they can get someone to take on most of his salary.


Long shot candidates
Bobby Jenks (White Sox) - 07-08: Near minimum, 09-11: Arb. Eligible, 12: FA
The White Sox may want to blow it up, but Jenks is still looking like a building block. GM Ken Williams would have to be blown away to consider moving him. I doubt it will happen.

Chris Ray (Orioles) - 07-08: Near minimum, 09-11: Arb. Eligible, 12: FA
Even if the Orioles are down on Ray, there'd be no point to dealing him while his value is down. He still projects as a perfectly adequate long-term closer, and he'll likely command at least as much in trade a year from now.

Jason Isringhausen (Cardinals) - 07: $8.75 million, 08: $8.8 million option
If the Cardinals decide they're out of it, Izzy could be made available and would become a very popular option considering that there's little commitment involved. However, he's a 10-and-5 guy, giving him the ability to block any deal, and he might prefer to ride it out in St. Louis.

Ryan Dempster (Cubs) - 07: $5 million, 08: $5.5 million, 09: FA
A Dempster trade seemed a whole lot more likely a month ago. Now that the Cubs are within striking distance and Dempster is 16-for-18 in save chances, he seems likely to stay put. Same goes for Bob Howry.

Eddie Guardado (Reds) - 07: $500,000, 08: $3 million option
Guardado seems more like a possible August acquisition as he continues his recovery from Tommy John surgery, but his salary would make it tough for him to clear waivers. The Reds could keep him and use him as a closer if Weathers is moved.

Also: Juan Rincon (Twins), Bob Howry (Cubs), Chad Qualls (Astros), Salomon Torres (Pirates), Ryan Franklin (Cardinals), Scott Downs (Blue Jays), Joel Pineiro (Red Sox), Russ Springer (Cardinals), LaTroy Hawkins (Rockies), Jorge Julio (Rockies), Casey Fossum (Devil Rays), Jimmy Gobble (Royals)

Rincon is clearly slipping, but the Twins probably wouldn't risk further weakening their pen in order to improve their offense. I'd like to see Rincon for Pat Burrell if the Phillies would eat most of his salary, but it's not happening. Besides, Burrell can block any deal.


Bait: Jonathan Broxton (Dodgers), Aaron Heilman (Mets), Fernando Cabrera (Indians), Taylor Tankersley (Marlins), Juan Morillo (Rockies), Joey Devine (Braves), Craig Hansen (Red Sox), Manny Delcarmen (Red Sox), Chris Britton (Yankees), Jose Arredondo (Angels), Leo Nunez (Royals)

[Hache Man]

Sox Shopping Buehrle, Dye?
General manager Ken Williams made headlines Sunday by saying that he's fed up with how the White Sox are playing and plans to make sweeping changes as the trading deadline approaches. "Something's got to happen, I'm tired of watching this," Williams said. "Change needs to happen and change is going to happen." With Mark Buehrle, Jermaine Dye, and Tadahito Iguchi pending free agents, Williams has plenty of chips to cash in should he decide to begin dealing.

The Red Sox are said to be the front-runners for Buehrle, although reports on how close they are to a trade vary significantly depending on whether the information comes from Chicago or Boston. Meanwhile, the Yankees have been mentioned in connection with both Buehrle and Dye. Williams admitted to having talks with Brian Cashman recently and the White Sox have reportedly been scouting Yankees pitching prospects Joba Chamberlain and Ian Kennedy.

While you read more about which players could be on the move between now and July 31 by checking out Matthew Pouliot's excellent column on trade candidates, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Brad Lidge might be on the disabled list, but that doesn't mean Dan Wheeler is pitching any better. Shoved back into the closer role after briefly losing the job to a pre-injury Lidge, Wheeler coughed up leads in back-to-back innings Sunday. After giving up homers to Marlon Byrd and Ian Kinsler in the ninth inning, Wheeler has now served up seven long balls in 34.1 innings compared to just five homers in 71.1 innings last season.

Wheeler has allowed four runs in two of his past four appearances and three-plus runs in five of his past 11 outings, giving him an ugly 14.34 ERA and .392 opponent's batting average in 10.2 innings so far this month. Unfortunately, with Lidge not close to returning yet and the rest of the bullpen not exactly thriving, the Astros have little choice but to stick with Wheeler in a key role. If they do decide to hand ninth-inning duties to someone else, Chad Qualls figures to get the call.

* Yovani Gallardo followed up a solid debut by looking even better in his second start, as Daily Dose's favorite pitching prospect held the Royals to one run over seven innings in a no-decision Sunday. Gallardo racked up eight strikeouts and left with a lead, but Derrick Turnbow kept him from going 2-0. He'll get at least one more chance to impress before Chris Capuano returns from the disabled list and will certainly make it tough for the Brewers to demote him at that point.

* The Royals called Billy Butler up from Triple-A last week and gave him just three at-bats in five days, but it sounds like he'll step into the lineup as their everyday designated hitter now that interleague play is over. Butler struggled in a brief stint with the Royals earlier this season, but he could be in Kansas City for good if he hits well this time around. A 21-year-old former first-round pick who hit .291 with a .954 OPS at Triple-A, Butler is among baseball's elite hitting prospects.

* For an old man who can't run, Barry Bonds still does some nice work on the bases. Bonds reached base four times Sunday and stole his fifth base of the season as the Giants ran at will on Mike Mussina and Wil Nieves. Bonds is a perfect 5-for-5 swiping bases, making him 21-for-22 (95 percent) dating back to 2003 and 69-for-80 (86 percent) since 1999. After going 4-for-8 with four walks over the weekend, Bonds' on-base percentage is now an even .500.

* Justin Morneau remains hospitalized with a bruised lung following Friday's home-plate collision with Miguel Olivo. Morneau was coughing up blood minutes after smashing into Olivo, but X-rays revealed no broken bones in his chest and the Twins seem confident that he'll avoid the disabled list. However, Morneau remains in Florida and has not been cleared to fly as of Monday morning, so a return late in the week is the best-case scenario. Jeff Cirillo will fill in for the reigning MVP.

AL Quick Hits: Johnny Damon (abdomen) appears likely to avoid the disabled list after singling, stealing a base, and playing center field Sunday … Jered Weaver (shoulder) threw a bullpen session Sunday and is on track to make his scheduled start Wednesday … With four homers in the past seven games, Frank Thomas is now on the verge of joining the 500-homer club … Rather than let Vicente Padilla pitch through forearm soreness, the Rangers are expected to shut him down through the All-Star break … Erik Bedard reported no problems with his strained hamstring over the weekend and will face Roger Clemens Wednesday … Meanwhile, Clemens warmed up in Saturday's extra-inning game and pitched out of the bullpen Sunday for the first time in 22 years … Justin Duchscherer (hip) is close to throwing off a mound, but the A's are expected to lose Kiko Calero (shoulder) to the DL … Kason Gabbard, not Jon Lester, will start Tuesday against the Mariners … I feel a little bit better about recommending Dustin McGowan to my Rotoworld colleague Gregg Rosenthal last week after he took a no-hitter into the ninth inning Sunday … Johan Santana continued his Babe Ruth impression Sunday, beating the Marlins while smacking a stand-up triple.

NL Quick Hits: Reports out of Chicago suggest that Jacque Jones could be traded within the next 24 hours, with the White Sox, Rangers, and Padres said to be interested … Ryan Freel (concussion) began a minor-league rehab assignment Sunday at Triple-A, but no official timetable for his return has been revealed … Brian Giles (knee) is scheduled to begin a brief rehab assignment Monday … Ken Griffey Jr. returned to Seattle with two homers Sunday, passing Mark McGwire for seventh place on the all-time list with 584 long balls … Ryan Dempster (oblique) will be unavailable Monday and could wind up on the disabled list, giving Carlos Marmol a big value boost … Craig Biggio went 3-for-5 Sunday to reach 2,996 career hits and also drew his first walk since June 1 … With Cristian Guzman (thumb) out, the Nationals will shift Felipe Lopez back to shortstop while playing Ronnie Bellliard at second base … A 96-minute rain delay ended Cole Hamels' start Sunday after just three innings … Batting .301 as recently as June 7, Jason Bay has gone 9-for-60 (.150) since then to drop his batting average to .269.

[Hache Man]

Nomar on the Move
After hitting .380 in 98 games at Triple-A last season, James Loney batted .284 with a .901 OPS in 48 games with the Dodgers. Despite that, he began this season back in Las Vegas and struggled, hitting just .279 with one homer and a .727 OPS in 58 games. The Dodgers called him up anyway earlier this month and Loney has gone 13-for-29 (.448) with two homers, seven total extra-base hits, and nine RBIs in 11 games.

Convinced that he's ready to stick in the majors this time, the Dodgers announced Monday that they plan to move Nomar Garciaparra across the diamond to third base, opening up first base for Loney beginning Friday. While Garciaparra's putrid .648 OPS certainly merits a move away from the most offense-driven position in baseball, it remains to be seen if he's still capable of being an asset defensively at third base.

Garciaparra has played exclusively first base since 2005, when he split time between shortstop and third base before a season-ending injury. He has a total of 295.2 career innings at third base and it's not even clear that he represents an offensive upgrade over Wilson Betemit, who has a .976 OPS since May 1 and nearly 1,400 innings at the position despite being just 25 years old. For now, Betemit remains on the bench and Tony Abreu likely heads back to the minors.

While the Dodgers hope that the cause of one problem can somehow be the solution to another, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Despite his recent struggles, the Giants decided against skipping Tim Lincecum's turn in the rotation Monday and the rookie made them look good with seven shutout innings against the Padres. Lincecum came into the game with a 10.61 ERA in his previous four starts this month, but limited San Diego to just four hits while striking out eight. However, he continues to struggle with control, walking at least four batters for the fifth time in 10 starts.

It's worth noting that two of Lincecum's poor outings this month came versus AL teams, against whom he's 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA, 9-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .333 opponent's batting average. Against the NL, Daily Dose's former favorite pitching prospect is 2-1 with a 4.23 ERA, 53-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .205 opponent's batting average. With interleague play finished for the season, Lincecum's ERA should continue dropping.

For much more on Lincecum and the rest of the Giants, check out Monday's "Fantasy Fix" show on NBCSports.com.

* With Yovani Gallardo impressing in his first two starts and Chris Capuano due back from the disabled list next Tuesday, the Brewers may decide they'd rather have Daily Dose's current favorite pitching prospect in the bullpen rather than back at Triple-A. The other option is to bump either Claudio Vargas or Dave Bush from the rotation to make room for both Capuano and Gallardo, but the Brewers seemingly aren't prepared to do that at this point.

"If we had our druthers, we'd rather have him be a starter," manager Ned Yost said. "But then again, there's some conventional wisdom behind the fact that if we keep Gallardo up here and use him as a long man, limit his innings through July and August, if anything happened we'd have a quality starter ready to step in." While that makes sense, the Brewers already have 23-year-old Carlos Villanueva in the long-man role even though he could start for about 28 teams.

Barring a change of plans, Gallardo will make one more start against the Cubs over the weekend, at which point the Brewers will be faced with a decision. A move to the bullpen would crush Gallardo's fantasy value for the short term, but it certainly wouldn't do anything to lessen his long-term potential. His performance at Triple-A suggests he has nothing left to prove in the minors, so a half-year of relief work before a full-time move to the rotation next spring makes some sense.

* Pitching out of the bullpen in his return from the disabled list Monday, Rich Harden looked fantastic as he struck out Josh Barfield and Grady Sizemore in a 1-2-3 eighth inning against the Indians while showing that his most recent injury didn't make his mid-90s fastball disappear. Unfortunately, he was scheduled to work two innings and was unable to come out for the second frame when his right shoulder "felt achy."

"I felt a little something the last hitter I faced, when I tried to put a little something extra on it," Harden said. "I thought, 'I better not push it.' We'll see how I feel in the morning." Both Harden and manager Bob Geren indicated afterward that they don't think the setback is serious, but we've heard that before. With the perfect inning Monday, Harden now has a 1.00 ERA, 12-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .125 opponent's batting average in seven career relief appearances.

AL Quick Hits: After three nights in a Florida hospital, Justin Morneau (bruised lung) is back in Minnesota and hoping to return later this week … As trade rumors continue to swirl, Jermaine Dye (quadriceps) reiterated Monday that he doesn't expect to be placed on the disabled list … Passed over as Curt Schilling's injury replacement in favor of Kason Gabbard, Jon Lester coughed up eight runs in 4.1 innings Monday at Triple-A … After injuring his hamstring Saturday, Gary Matthews Jr. is expected to be sidelined until at least Friday … Travis Hafner homered Monday for the first time since May 31 … Jered Weaver recovered from the bruised shoulder that kept him from making his last start, but now a sore throat could stop him from taking the mound Wednesday … B.J. Upton (quadriceps) is on the verge of beginning a brief minor-league rehab assignment and could return as soon as Friday … Jeremy Bonderman's loss Monday was his first in 18 starts dating back to last September.

NL Quick Hits: With Ryan Dempster (oblique) unavailable Monday, Scott Eyre and Bob Howry combined to blow a five-run lead in the ninth inning … Randy Johnson (back) threw a 41-pitch simulated game Monday and is on track to start Thursday against the Dodgers … In an effort to line things up for hit No. 3,000 to come in Houston, Craig Biggio skipped Monday's game and is expected to sit out Wednesday too … Omar Vizquel could miss some time after leaving Monday's game with a groin injury … Mike Maroth is loving the NL already, tossing 7.2 innings of one-run, two-hit ball in his Cardinals debut Monday … Jeff Kent exited Monday's game after fouling a ball off his toe, but X-rays were negative … After going 5-for-5 with two doubles Monday, Mike Fontenot is hitting .397 in 63 at-bats and appears to have the Cubs' second-base job locked up for the near future … Cristian Guzman underwent season-ending thumb surgery Monday, leaving the Nationals with a Felipe Lopez-Ronnie Belliard double-play combination.

[Hache Man]

Buehrle Staying in Chicago?
Chicago newspapers have been filled with chatter about Mark Buehrle's pending free agency and supposed interest in signing with the Cardinals for going on two years now, and this month the talk has centered around the White Sox reportedly shopping Buehrle on the trade market. Rumors have been circulating that link any number of teams to Buehrle, including the Red Sox, Yankees, Mets, Braves, and Cardinals.

Throughout it all, the assumption seemed to be that Buehrle was leaving Chicago one way or another, either via trade or free agency. However, a report Wednesday in the Chicago Sun-Times changes all of that. According to the newspaper, the White Sox have taken Buehrle off the trading block and the two sides are close to agreeing upon a long-term contract extension that would keep him in Chicago for at least four more seasons.

The latest speculation is that if general manager Ken Williams is able to lock Buehrle up long term, he may look to deal Jose Contreras or Javier Vazquez instead. Meanwhile, various reports continue to suggest that the White Sox are still open to trading Jermaine Dye and Tadahito Iguchi following Williams' announcement earlier this week that he plans to make sweeping changes to the underachieving the roster.

While we wait to see exactly who'll be a part of Williams' planned shake up if Buehrle isn't involved—and who all the pitcher-starved teams will turn their attention to next—here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Miguel Tejada had high hopes for his recovery from a fractured wrist. At first he planned to play through the injury and then, when the Orioles made that impossible by placing him on the disabled list, he wanted to return after the minimum 15 days. Instead, Tejada learned Tuesday that he'll be sidelined until at least August after doctors advised him to keep the wrist in a splint for an additional two weeks. The news essentially ends any chance of Tejada being traded.

Tejada has missed four games so far, with Chris Gomez starting at shortstop in three of them. While Gomez might be a better all-around replacement option than Freddie Bynum in real life, Bynum has significantly more fantasy potential. Given a month's worth of regular playing time Bynum could easily swipe a half-dozen bases, so an otherwise underwhelming position battle is worth keeping an eye on until Tejada returns.

* After describing his surgically repaired back as "not that bad, relatively speaking" following Monday's simulated game, Randy Johnson is set to come off the disabled list Thursday against the Dodgers. However, the news on Johnson is far from all good. "I don't know how much longer I can pitch with it," Johnson said. "So I'm going in with a positive frame of mind. I'll go as hard as I can as long as I can." Johnson has been fantastic, but another DL stint may always be looming.

* The Cubs placed Ryan Dempster on the disabled list Tuesday, meaning a strained oblique muscle will keep him sidelined through at least the All-Star break. Bob Howry will continue to fill in for Dempster at closer despite coughing up three runs to help the Cubs blow a five-run lead in the ninth inning Monday. If Howry falters again, Carlos Marmol or Mike Wuertz could get a chance for some ninth-inning duties. They've both pitched better than Howry this year.

* In other Cubs news, a trade that would have sent Jacque Jones to the Marlins was nixed Tuesday after being reported as a done deal in several places. Signed to a three-year contract last offseason, Jones is owed about $7 million through next season and the Marlins apparently balked when the Cubs refused to pick up most of that tab. Even if the deal to Florida falls through, the Cubs should be able to find a taker for Jones before the trading deadline.

Jones is hitting just .234 with a .623 OPS in 63 games this season and has never been able to hit left-handed pitching, but he's a good defensive corner outfielder who's capable of playing center field and has a career .292/.341/.485 hitting line against righties. At 32 years old it seems unlikely that Jones has suddenly lost his ability to hit and his contract is extremely reasonable for a contender looking to add a solid veteran bat without having to part with top-notch prospects.

* Alan Embree imploded Tuesday, allowing five runs in two-thirds of an inning to blow his second save since stepping into the closer role for Huston Street. Embree also allowed two runs in a non-save situation Monday, so he's coming back down to earth a bit after posting a 2.62 ERA and 27-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 35 appearances. Embree's struggles add to an already shaky bullpen situation in Oakland, but reinforcements may soon be on the way.

Rich Harden cut his appearance Monday short because he felt some discomfort, but played catch Tuesday and could be available to get into another game by Friday. If Embree continues to struggle and Harden stays healthy for more than a few days, it wouldn't be surprising to see him take over ninth-inning duties pretty quickly. Meanwhile, Justin Duchscherer could begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week and Huston Street is throwing without pain.

AL Quick Hits: Minnesota had hoped to get Justin Morneau (bruised lung) back as soon as Wednesday, but the reigning MVP indicated Tuesday that he's still several days away … With his at-bats drying up, Shea Hillenbrand has asked the Angels to trade him … Manager Ozzie Guillen said Tuesday that he expects Jermaine Dye (quadriceps) back in the lineup Friday … Jered Weaver will receive the results of his throat culture Wednesday, but said that he'll start against the Royals regardless of what the test shows … Manager Joe Maddon said Tuesday that "there would have to be a dramatic shift" for B.J. Upton (quadriceps) to come off the disabled list this weekend … Following his poor outing Tuesday, manager Mike Scioscia expressed concern that Ervin Santana might be injured … In the middle of a 0-for-27 slump, it sounds like Julio Lugo will begin to lose significant playing time to Alex Cora … Manager Bob Geren said Tuesday that Mike Piazza (shoulder) is still at least three weeks from returning … Showing no signs of slowing down with another solid outing Tuesday, Jeremy Guthrie is now 3-1 with a 1.74 ERA in 11 starts.

NL Quick Hits: Scott Rolen (foot) sat out Tuesday's game for the second straight day and is scheduled for an MRI … In his first game since being handed a starting job, James Loney went 3-for-5 with a homer and three RBIs Tuesday … Meanwhile, Nomar Garciaparra went 0-for-5 with two strikeouts while starting at third base and batting sixth … Tom Gordon (shoulder) could begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week if Thursday's simulated game goes well, but Brett Myers cut his bullpen session short Tuesday and said his injured shoulder "isn't ready yet" … Along with an ugly .198 batting average, Andruw Jones' homer Tuesday was his first extra-base hit in nearly three weeks … Pedro Martinez threw to live hitters Tuesday for the first time since shoulder surgery … By serving up three homers Tuesday, Claudio Vargas made it easier for the Brewers to potentially bump him from the rotation in favor of Yovani Gallardo … Homer Bailey was lit up for six runs in 1.2 innings Tuesday against the Phillies … Troy Percival's comeback is complete, with the Cardinals adding him to their bullpen Tuesday.

[Hache Man]

Player Haters


Last week, I asked for readers' input on whom they hate and why. All I can say is, there's a whole lot of hatred out there! Enough to fill four columns. For now, we'll stick to one, but we'll have to skip the "Topic of the Week" and "Players of Note" to do so.
The Trash Dump
To submit a question or comment to the Trash Dump, email jgangi@rotoworld.com.
I definitely hate Eric Gagne. I know for a fact that a Canadian could pitch just fine without those ridiculous glasses.
- Mike from Chicago, IL
You could be right. Fergie Jenkins didn't wear them.
Please pour out some of that Busch Light or Old English for the Shooter, 'cause you know he'd do the same for you. He was in RBI 3, by the way. This was before he would drink beer with fans at his trailer near the ballpark in Iowa. Hard throwin' and hard livin'. God bless. P.S., growing a wicked handlebar mustache this week would also be a suitable form of homage.
- Patrick the former BSU Fighting Cardinal
It might take more than a week on that handlebar mustache, but the sentiment is appreciated.
There are a few baseball players that come to mind when it comes to fantasy "hatred." I agree with you about Harden, but it only took me one year as an owner to put him on my "do-not-draft-EVER" list. I would also say that I keep a healthy distance between me and Kazmir and Felix Hernandez. I think both of these guys are similar in that their names are a lot bigger than their production.
- Jonathan
I think it's too early to make a judgment like that on King Felix, but I hear your point on Harden. Somehow I've managed to avoid being sucked into the Prior/Wood trap all of these years, but each season, as Harden slips farther in the draft, I eventually succumb to temptation. This year it happened in the 11th round.
No, Jon....You conned YOURSELF into drafting Harden. Don't blame him - lol. I knew better. I hate managers more than players. Although I have cast a few flesh-eating virus curses on a couple of closers who blew wins for my starters. But it's the managers (Willie Randolph comes to mind). When my starting pitcher throws a seven-inning gem, throwing 107 pitches (Maine), and the manager runs him out for the 8th, lets him give up a first-batter hit, THEN takes him out, and the bullpen lets the runner score, I scream, "Take him out, take him out"...and they never do. The only time they leave them in the game is when they're getting shelled, so they can get shelled some more, after I yell "Pull him, pull him!" I guess I'm either not yelling loud enough, or I'm not saying the right things.
- Steve "Fonzo" Wayne, Barracudafantasysports.com
Try a megaphone?
I hate people who don't understand stop signs. Be it a four way stop, or no stop for them at all, this person always stops and messes things up for everyone. Take the entrance at your local mall, for instance. Most malls have entrances where there are no stop signs for people coming into the mall. This makes perfect sense. No need to back traffic up into the street. So they put up stop signs for the cross traffic in the mall lot, and don't give one to the people entering the lot. Time after time, however, these dip{sticks} want to stop on their way in. Why? You don't have a freaking stop sign, you moron! I don't stop half the time that I do have a sign, let alone when I don't!
- Mike
You don't stop half the time you have a stop sign? It's a miracle that you're still with us! I hope you're never in my neighborhood when my kids are riding their bikes!
I've always hated Mark Kotsay. Maybe it had something to do with the time he obnoxiously argued a trapped catch a couple years ago against my Red Sox. But more likely, it has to do with how much fantasy experts pimp him each year, and how little he returns on that. He once stole 19 bases. He once hit 17 homers. He once knocked in 82 runs. And he once hit .314. But none of these was in the same season, and even so, none of these is a particularly outstanding stat for that category. The only more underwhelming player I can think of -- who people consider good -- is David DeJesus.
- Derek Armstrong, Los Angeles, CA
Experts pimp Kotsay each year???
There's a guy here at work who has a comment every day about what I'm wearing. And I mean every day. "Great shoes … good looking trousers … wow, I love that shirt. Can I have it if you die?" Creeps me out. I'm not a fashionable guy either. Sure it's homophobic, but he's made the hate list. He's there along with anyone talking loudly on a cell phone while standing in line and guys who can only talk about their own fantasy teams with no interest in hearing about mine.
- Anonymous
Good-looking trousers? Is this guy living in a Dockers commercial? Is he fantasizing about locking eyes with you on a subway car? Oh well, look at it like this: At least someone is interested in you.
Don't get me started on Matt Lauer. How about Stephen A. Smith? Is being Kobe's mouthpiece a career for the dude? If you are going to be a ventriloquist's dummy, why be angry about it?
- C. Hall, Seattle
Cuh-learly.
Mine's gotta be the "Tech Consulting/Strategy Locust." They all fit the same profile. A resume full of "impressive" clients/employers and job titles. They move from company to company making presentations to execs using nonsensical buzzwords like "end-to-end solution" or "Web 2.0." Then they get put in charge of the tech staff and proceed to heavy-handedly force them to change strategies that had been working, finally leaving the company and department in shambles even before a year has passed. Their next company unknowingly gives them a high salary and important position, as the cycle starts again. You can spot Katie, er I mean a locust, by their constant name dropping of "important" executives they've worked with, whom you've never heard of before. They answer most questions with "How would YOU go about doing that?" They go to about 10 conferences and seminars a year (way to be productive and useful around the office there!). And their offices never have any personal items.
- Han
In general, it amazes me that people who talk a good game but get nothing done seem to fare far better in the workplace than those who talk little but get a ton done. I once worked with a sales engineer who was so inept that he couldn't assemble an RFP according to the simple instructions. For some inexplicable reason, he inserted the answers in the soft copy of the actual instructions, and he somehow botched the organization of the sections so miserably that there was no way the prospect would have even tried to decipher it. Incredibly, though, the dude was a magician when it came to subtly creating the illusion that he'd done a masterful job and assuming credit after I'd fixed it up. "Thanks to Jonathan for his input." Input? You mean redoing the whole thing from scratch? Man I hate that guy!
Over the years I find no more disappointing players than Pierre & Dunn. They always get drafted too early & end up an albatross on any fantasy team. The numbers seem great but end up empty. Interestingly enough I crunched the numbers & if it were possible to morph the two into one Juan "Eeyore" Dunn you would have a fantasy goldmine. Based on last years numbers you'd have a .266-186-43-132-65 line. One can dream right?
- Matthew D. Berg
You could say that about a lot of things, though. If you could morph Emeril with Rebecca DeMornay circa 1983, what a wife that would be!
I hate Andrew Jones...big enough name that you can't waive him yet I'm in a pool where Ks count, and he deserves nothing more then the wire. I almost wish there was a "go sit in the corner spot" in our leagues...kind of like a DL spot but instead when you put the guy on the "GSITC," you can't pull him off it for 2 weeks. P.S., I don't know if you have watched AJ bat lately, but he has this smug smile on his face like he meant to K or pop out...which only fuels my rage.
- Wes, Vancouver
Ooh, I like that idea. It's kind of like sending them to the minors for a couple of weeks.
Casey Kotchman – I had him in a keeper league for three years. He was hurt in the minors, he was hurt in the majors, so I finally decided to dump him this past off-season. His random injuries have infuriated me beyond ever wanting him back on my squad. Mono was the last straw!!! I thought only teenage girls got that!
- Evan Vogel
Teenage girls and my friend who literally faked mono to get out of work for three weeks.
Guy I really hate is Roger Clemens. Maybe it is because I was a hitter my whole life, but anyone who is such an obvious headhunter without having to bat himself is just a (insert derogatory adjective here) who gets his teammates plunked. And I'm sorry, with all the talk about Barry Bonds, Sammy Sosa, etc., why is it that no one seems to be looking at pitchers in general and Clemens specifically? Compare his rookie card with today. He was quite the skinny little thing back in the day, no? Lastly, for a gazillion dollars you should travel with the freakin' team. Those three strikes are enough in my book.
- Todd Dell
Well, it's certainly curious that he experienced resurgences at the ages of 35 and 42 and posted the best ERA of his career at 43.
I hate, hate, hate...Juan Pierre. For me he is the epitome of a certain type of player: a guy who sucks eggs in real life but is very useful in fantasy. I wish guys like this didn't exist. If the purpose of fantasy baseball is to build the best ballclub, why must I muck around with guys who push their real teams *away* from a championship? Ugh. Other guys I usually put in this category: Shea Hillenbrand, Joey Gathright, Corey Patterson, Miguel Olivo, etc. Ugh on them all. Anti-props Corey, the one I actually own and is stinking it up in both fantasy and real life.
- Joe D.
I hate Billy Koch. Three years ago I traded for him when he was closing for the White Sox. Everyone else in the league made fun of me. I told everyone, "You'll see, he will be a top-notch closer again!!!" A week after the trade, he got bombed and then shipped off to the Marlins for a minor league scrub. I was emotionally scarred. Then I thought, "OK, keeper league. I have him cheap, maybe he will go back to the American league next year and I'll show them!" He signs with the Blue Jays and I get really excited…until he gets cut in training camp and is so pissed off he refuses to sign with another team, so the Blue Jays can pay his entire salary for nothing. I really hate Billy Koch.
- Bob K, NJ
Zack Grienke… every year is going to be "his year." I've drafted him twice now, and he's burned be. I'd rather have any savvy veteran other than Todd Van Poppel Jr.
- Brenner, Washington DC
I hate Adam LaRoche, from a fantasy standpoint. I had that guy until August last year and watched him bat .230 and hit 12 home runs, so I traded his stupid ass away for Jamie Caroll (a real fantasy superstar), 'cause my second baseman got hurt. The next week LaRoche began his tear which was about 20 homeruns and bumped his average up to.285 within two months. Not only did I end up cutting Caroll, but the guy I traded LaRoche to passed me for first place. Scrap that "from a fantasy standpoint." I truly hate Laroche. Thanks for letting me vent!
- JC
Wayne Krivsky – His idiotic trades have destroyed my hometown Reds. He should have known about Majewski's injury, he shouldn't have just DUMPED Brendan Harris, and he inked Arroyo to an extension after he faded miserably late in the season in 2006. Congrats Wayne, you have ruined a small market club by signing mediocrity to long term deals!!!
- Evan Vogel
Over-hyped prospects – Currently Yovani Gallardo is at the top of that list...don't get me wrong, his minor league resume looks great, but I'm sick of owners talking about him like he's going to be Johan Santana this season and take them to the title. It doesn't happen very often where guys breakout immediately and sustain their success (Prior/Wood). There are also a ton of guys who look incredible in the minors but can't hack it in the majors (Sean Burroughs, Alex Escobar, Joe Borchard), while others develop slowly (Mike Cuddyer, Brandon Phillips). More often than not, most guys just turn out to be major league regulars who may or may not have an impact in fantasy.
- Erik Milton Bradley – I wish he would make up his mind whether he is healthy or not. This waiting 5 – 10 days before going on the DL is ridiculous and wastes a bench spot I need.
- Erik

[Hache Man]

Big Z Has Returned
Carlos Zambrano started rolling again right around the time geniuses like me began to question his health and he continued to pitch well Wednesday, beating the Rockies with six innings of two-run ball. Culminating in an ugly zero-strikeout, 13-hit outing against the Braves on June 1, Zambrano posted a 5.62 ERA with a .289 opponent's batting average while striking out just 51 batters in 74.2 innings (6.2/9) through his first dozen starts.

Since then, he's gone 4-1 with a 1.43 ERA, .143 opponent's batting average, and 43 strikeouts in 37.2 innings (10.3/9) over five starts. He's faced some weak offenses during the turnaround, but there's little doubt that Zambrano has turned his season around with 9, 8, 6, 12, and 8 strikeouts over that stretch. His ERA remains bloated at 4.20, but Zambrano has sliced that number by over 25 percent in the span of about three weeks. If you can still buy low, give it a shot.

While Cubs fans and Zambrano owners hope that I didn't just jinx him, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Not only did Roger Clemens drop his record to 1-3 with another mediocre outing Wednesday against the Orioles, he failed to record a single strikeout for the first time in 200 starts dating back to a game during the 2000 season in which he left after one inning with a groin injury. Going back even further, it was the first time since 1987 that Clemens tossed at least six innings without a strikeout, which is a span of 600 starts.

To put that in some context, Greg Maddux (689) and Tom Glavine (652) are the only other active pitchers to make 600 career starts, period. What makes the lack of missed bats confusing is that Clemens racked up 22 strikeouts in 17.2 innings coming into the game. All of those whiffs came against NL opponents, but the talent gap between the leagues isn't that wide. I continue to think that Clemens will prove to be a fantasy asset, but it's getting more difficult to justify that opinion.

* Playing in his 325th career game Wednesday, Ryan Howard smacked his 100th career homer to set a new all-time record for fewest games to reach the century mark. In fact, he shattered the previous record that was held by Ralph Kiner, who hit No. 100 in his 385th game. Of course, it's worth noting that Howard reached 100 homers at the age of 27 because the Phillies kept him in the minors for quite a while, whereas Kiner was a 25-year-old when he set the record.

Howard got off to a slow start and landed on the disabled list in May, but since returning he's hitting .301 with 12 homers and 33 RBIs in 30 games. Amazingly, after striking out 181 times last season, Howard has actually upped his strikeout rate by about 19 percent. Despite that, plus a 57-point drop in batting average and 20 intentional walks in 259 plate appearances, Howard's average of 0.95 RBIs per game is almost exactly the same as his 0.94-RBI average last season.

* Mark Buehrle's agent and the White Sox's front office spent Wednesday essentially denying a report in the Chicago Sun-Times that the two sides were close to agreeing upon a long-term contract extension that would take Buehrle off the trading block and keep him in Chicago. Then Buehrle went out and beat the Royals by allowing two earned runs in seven innings to pick up his fifth victory of the season.

The newspaper's latest report is that general manager Ken Williams has set a deadline for Buehrle with an eye towards cutting off negotiations and putting him back on the trading block if something can't be worked out by the weekend. Meanwhile, various reports suggest that Williams is open to shopping Jose Contreras, Javier Vazquez, and Jon Garland if he keeps Buehrle, with Contreras saying Wednesday that he'd waive his no-trade clause if asked.

* With his playing time dwindling, Shea Hillenbrand requested a trade earlier this week and the Angels are expected to oblige by designating him for assignment Friday. The Yankees are predictably said to be "engaged in serious talks" with the Angels regarding Hillenbrand, who could provide a short-term stop gap at first base who would at least keep manager Joe Torre from playing Miguel Cairo there regularly.

AL Quick Hits: Curt Schilling (shoulder) hasn't been cleared to throw this week, making a return before the All-Star break unlikely … Pending free agent Torii Hunter said Wednesday that he'd like to remain in Minnesota and would be willing to give the Twins a discount on a contract extension … If they can't acquire veteran relief help, the Indians are reportedly giving thought to using stud prospect Adam Miller out of the bullpen in the second half … Thursday's off day comes at a good time for Reggie Willits, who left Wednesday's game with a bruised knee … With a five-RBI game Wednesday, Jack Cust is hitting .328 with a 1.015 OPS this month after posting a 1.022 OPS in May … A.J. Burnett (shoulder) has been activated from the disabled list and will resume piling up huge pitch counts Thursday against the Twins … Erik Bedard returned from a hamstring injury to shut out the Yankees for seven innings Wednesday, giving him a 2.10 ERA in 11 starts since the end of April … Garret Anderson (hip) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Friday at Single-A.

NL Quick Hits: Chris Carpenter (elbow) threw a simulated game Wednesday and could begin a minor-league rehab assignment as soon as next week … After watching him throw to live hitters Tuesday for the first time since shoulder surgery, bullpen coach Guy Conti said that Pedro Martinez "is getting everyone pretty excited with his progress" … Chris Capuano (groin) is on track to return early next week after throwing a simulated game Wednesday, meaning a decision on Yovani Gallardo is around the corner … Aramis Ramirez was given Wednesday off to rest his knee … Greg Maddux picked up career win No. 340 with seven innings of one-run ball Wednesday against the Giants … After hitting .297 with a .786 OPS in 39 games as the Marlins' No. 3 hitter, Hanley Ramirez returned to the leadoff spot Wednesday, where he hit .345 with a .983 OPS in 35 games … Omar Vizquel (groin) sat out Wednesday for the second straight game, but is expected to return Friday … Rain meant that the "complete game" was just six innings, but Tom Glavine technically threw a one-hit shutout Wednesday to get career victory No. 297.

[Hache Man]

Bullpen Report: Week 13
The Cubs were discussing removing Ryan Dempster from the closer's role in May, but the plan was scrapped when their preferred replacement, Angel Guzman, was lost to the disabled list. Now, Dempster himself is on the disabled list with a strained left oblique and won't be back until after the All-Star break. It'd be a natural opportunity for Guzman to step in, but he's still recovering from surgery and is at least a month away.

With Guzman out, Bobby Howry takes over the closing duties for the Cubs. The right-hander had a rough stretch of games in mid-May and saw his ERA balloon to 5.56, but he's been much better of late and has regained the trust of manager Lou Piniella. While he did give up three runs and blow a save on Monday, Howry is 2-for-3 in save opportunities since taking over and has a long track record of success in high leverage situations. He should be no worse than an average closer while Dempster is out.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or Injured.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten

Valverde appeared in one game and threw a scoreless inning for a save this week, dropping his ERA below 3.00 for the first time since late May. He's still a recommended sell-high candidate. Pena has given up just one run while striking out 12 batters in 12 innings this month. He remains locked in to the eighth inning role and is looking like a very good option in keeper formats.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Soriano, Tyler Yates, Peter Moylan, Wilfredo Ledezma

Wickman gave up three runs and took a loss two weeks ago, but he had a fine stretch of games that included 2 2/3 scoreless innings and a pair of saves this past week. Soriano also rebounded from a poor set of games two weeks ago to strike out five batters over two scoreless innings this week. Yates and Moylan continue to do solid work in middle relief and can be useful in NL-only formats.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Williamson, Chad Bradford, Danys Baez (Injured), Jamie Walker

Ray continues to disappoint those that have stuck with the right-hander, giving up two more runs in three innings of work this week. Both runs came in a pair of non-save situations and Ray did record a win after pitching a scoreless top of the ninth inning in a tie game against the Yankees, but better has been expected of the young stopper.

I still project Ray to improve on his current 4.58 ERA by a significant amount, but those that took my advice over the last few weeks and acquired the right-hander have been disappointed. If Ray hasn't been moved recently in your league, his owner is probably getting frustrated and could be willing to trade him at a discount. Those in keeper leagues should be trying especially hard to pick up Ray.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Hideki Okajima, Brendan Donnelly (Injured), Javier Lopez, Joel Pineiro

It was another dominant week for Papelbon, who struck out six and allowed just one baserunner over 3 2/3 scoreless innings. He even bailed out Okajima, who put runners on 1st and 3rd with one out in the ninth against the Mariners on Wednesday, by retiring Richie Sexson and Ben Broussard to end a rally and strand two runners. Those two have been the main reasons why the Red Sox have the second best bullpen ERA in baseball, a remarkably low 3.04. The Padres lead the majors with an insane 2.43.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (DL), Bob Howry (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Angel Guzman (DL), Carlos Marmol, Mike Wuertz

I discussed most of the relevant parties in the Cubs' situation above, but the one player not reviewed was Marmol. I had him pegged as the eventual successor to Dempster with Guzman hurt, and Marmol had earned such lofty praise after striking out 27 and recording a 1.35 ERA in 27 innings of work this season. However, the club decided to go with the veteran instead, likely hoping that the team still has some chance at a playoff run. If the Cubs were out of it and it were August or September, I think they would make a different choice and go with the youngster. It's something to keep in mind in keeper leagues and it means you'll want to keep Marmol stashed away in one-year formats as well.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, David Aardsma, Nick Masset

Jenks appeared in three games this week, picking up two saves in a pair of uneventful ninth innings and giving up a run in a tie game to take a loss in the third. Meanwhile, setup man Thornton had his best week in a while, not yielding any runs and just two baserunners in 3 2/3 innings. Aardsma nor MacDougal has made their way back into the rotation of high leverage usage, but both should be back there within a week or two if they produce well.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Eddie Guardado (DL), Mike Stanton (DL), Jon Coutlangus, Victor Santos

It was an uneventful week for Weathers, who gave up one run in a game the Reds were already down by eight runs in during his only appearance. Guardado continues to be set back with various aches and pains, this time missing a batting practice session due to a sore left forearm. The injury likely pushes Guardado's return to after the All-Star break, and should serve as good reminder of just how fragile a 36-year-old coming off Tommy John surgery is likely to be.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Tom Mastny

In one of the more lucky outings of the season, Borowski entered a one-run game in the ninth inning against the Nationals. A single, double, and intentional walk loaded the bases with nobody out, but Borowski got out of the jam on a triple play keyed by some bad baserunning. Despite a 6.11 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP, Borowski is 21-for-23 in save opportunities this season due in large part to most of the damage he's done occurring in non-save situations. Throw in 25 strikeouts in 28 innings, and Borowski has met his draft day price despite the poor ratios.

The Indians will likely overlook the ERA and keep Borowski in the role even if he blows a few saves in a short time frame, but they'll also still be looking for an alternative at the trade deadline. Al Reyes, Eric Gagne, Chad Cordero, and Brian Fuentes would all be improvements, so expect the club to get something done. Gagne for two of Fernando Cabrera, Franklin Gutierrez, Wes Hodges, and Scott Lewis would seem to be appropriate. Chuck Lofgren and Adam Miller likely aren't on the table.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Brian Fuentes (Locked In)

Key setup men: Manny Corpas, Ramon Ramirez, LaTroy Hawkins, Jorge Julio

Just when it looked like the Rockies might have a chance to compete in the NL West, the club drops six straight games. They're now 6 ½ games back in the division and in the wild card, with four teams between them and wild card-leading Padres. How they do over the next three weeks will determine if the Rockies look to sell of a few of their veteran parts. If they remain in the race, they'll be happy to hang on to Fuentes with him also under control for 2008. If they're eight or more games out, it's very possible the club will see if they can get an attractive package of young players.

What the club decides will have big fantasy ramifications, as intriguing setup man Corpas would take over and Fuentes would likely knock someone out of a job in another city. It's a situation that should be closely monitored. I still recommend holding on to Corpas in one-year and keeper formats, though his keeper league value was diminished with the club selecting potential closer Casey Weathers eighth overall in the draft earlier this month.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney (DL), Eulogio De La Cruz, Macay McBride

Jones pitched a scoreless inning for a save in his first appearance of the week, then gave up three runs in a tie game to take a loss against the Rangers. With an ugly 6.23 ERA and even worse 1.71 WHIP, the club would prefer to keep Jones working only in save situations. However, that isn't really an option with the state of the club's setup men right now.

Rodney struggled after returning form biceps tendonitis and was placed back on the disabled list with forearm and shoulder tendonitis. He could be back within two weeks, but it leaves a big void on the club right now. De La Cruz was an intriguing starting pitcher prospect who was just called up to help out, and he's probably next in line since he has better stuff than anyone else in the bullpen right now. He's a risky proposition, but he's worth a flier in AL-only leagues.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Shaky)

Key setup men: Armando Benitez, Henry Owens (DL), Taylor Tankersley, Matt Lindstrom

Gregg threw a scoreless inning of work in a one-run game to pick up a save in his first appearance of the week, then blew a tie game by giving up a pair of solo homers in the top of the 10th inning against the Pirates. While the right-hander has held most of his production since moving into the closer's role, he's going to be just a few poor outings away from losing his job with Benitez pitching well. That could change if Benitez gets hurt, stops performing, or is traded, but for right now Gregg's hold on the job is tenuous.

Gregg has pitched well enough to earn a little slack, but that could change within a week's time. There are quite a few worse closers out there and Gregg is a quality option while in the role, but unfortunately he's stuck battling a big name that also has a positive history with the franchise. I'd say that Gregg is more likely to finish the year closing than not at this point, but he's no lock to do so. You'll certainly want to handcuff him with Benitez if possible.

Houston Astros

Closer: Dan Wheeler (Filling-In), Brad Lidge (Injured)

Key setup men: Chad Qualls, Dave Borkowski

Wheeler pitched just once this week and picked up a win, but it was one of the more brutal outings of the season. Wheeler entered with a four-run lead in the eighth, but gave up a pair of inherited runners and then two more runs of his own to tie the game. The Astros scored twice in the top of the ninth, but Wheeler then gave up solo homers to Marlon Byrd and Ian Kinsler in the bottom of the inning. The Astros added three more runs in the top of the 10th inning, with Chad Qualls coming in to protect the lead in the bottom of the inning.

Wheeler will continue to fill in for now, but it's even more obvious now that Lidge will take over again when he returns from the disabled list. Lidge is already throwing off a mound and could return before the All-Star break.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Octavio Dotel (Secure)

Key setup men: Zack Greinke, Joakim Soria, Joel Peralta, David Riske

Dotel pitched in two games this week, recording a save thanks to a scoreless inning in one outing and giving up a run to blow a save in the other. The Rockies have inquired about the right-hander, but they've cooled lately and have bigger needs than another setup man anyway. The Royals will likely wait until the trading deadline, hoping another team becomes desperate and offers a better package for Dotel. Manager Buddy Bell anointed Greinke the eighth inning man a few weeks ago, and he's pitched better by yielding just one run over his last six innings of work. He's likely to take over should Dotel be traded.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier (DL), Darren Oliver, Dustin Moseley

K-Rod blew just his second save of the season this week, walking two and then allowing an RBI single to the Pirates' Xavier Nady in a one-run game on Sunday. The Angels ended up winning the game anyway and Rodriguez hardly looked that bad in the outing, so it's of no concern.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Yhency Brazoban (DL), Chin-Hui Tsao (DL), Rudy Seanez

Need to find a reason why the Dodgers are in first place in the NL West? Look no further than their fantastic duo in the eighth and ninth innings. The two have combined for a 2.40 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 71 2/3 innings so far this year, including seven scoreless innings this week.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva

Cordero appeared in just one game this week, spinning a scoreless inning in a non-save situation against the Royals. The Brewers were ahead 2-1 after seven innings in that game, but Turnbow gave up two runs in the top of the eighth to give Kansas City the lead. They were the only runs Turnbow gave up this week, but they were in a crucial situation in a game the Brewers would eventually lose 4-3.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Juan Rincon, Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier

In Nathan's first outing of the week he entered in the ninth inning of a four-run game and yielded one run before finishing the contest. In his second outing, Nathan pitched a pair of scoreless innings in a game the Twins would eventually win 2-1 in 12 innings. Nathan hasn't been quite as dominant as he was the last three seasons, but he's been better than his mediocre 14 saves indicates.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Joe Smith, Pedro Feliciano

Despite striking out five in four scoreless innings this week, Wagner once again failed to appear in a save situation. He did pick up a win for his troubles, but Wagner has been a slight disappointed with just 15 saves. He's likely to pick up 20+ during the remainder of the season, but a third 40-save season is likely out of reach.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Kyle Farnsworth, Scott Proctor, Brian Bruney

Rivera has rebounded from his early season struggles and continues to look like a fine option going forward. He added 2 2/3 more scoreless innings this week, picking up his ninth save in the process.

Unfortunately for the Yankees, the rest of their bullpen is in flux. Farnsworth has been very inconsistent and sports an ERA near 5.00. Bruney has a shiny ERA of 1.50, but he's walked almost as many batters as he's struck out. Proctor is one of manager Joe Torre's favorites, but his walk rate is up and his strikeout rate is down from last year's breakout season. He's particularly struggled of late, giving up runs in three straight games and taking losses in back-to-back outings. Farnsworth's closing experience probably has him next in line at the moment, but the Yankees will be in quite a bit of trouble if it comes down to that.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Huston Street (DL), Justin Duchscherer (DL), Alan Embree (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Santiago Casilla, Kiko Calero (DL), Rich Harden

Embree had the roughest week of any current closer. The left-hander first turned a one-run deficit into a three-run gap against the Indians on Monday. The club likely would have lost the game anyway, but Embree certainly didn't help matters. On Tuesday, Embree entered in the ninth with a two-run lead against those same Indians. Unfortunately, Embree ended up blowing the save by surrendering five runs on three walks, a double, and a homer.

Both Street and Duchscherer had good weeks recovering from injuries, but both are still a ways off. Street is likely at least three weeks out, while Duchscherer would be back right before the All-Star break. That means Embree will have to continue to fill in, and the club will likely give him another chance to rectify the back-to-back poor outings he produced. Another couple of bad outings and we could see a change to Casilla. However, it's more likely that Street or Duchscherer is healthy before that happens. Harden is also a possibility, but he's already pitching through pain in his shoulder and the club would prefer to see him start games if he can manage through the injury.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Tom Gordon (Injured), Brett Myers (Injured), Antonio Alfonseca (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Ryan Madson, Geoff Geary

Myers, working his way back from a strained right shoulder, ended a bullpen session after just 20 pitches on Tuesday, claiming his arm wasn't ready yet. The right-hander will throw again on Friday, but it's looking like he won't be back until after the All-Star break. Gordon's rehab from a respiratory illness has gone better, as he's set to appear in his second simulated game of the week on Thursday. If that session goes well, Gordon could begin a rehab assignment and join the big club within 10 days.

If Gordon makes it back to the club before Myers and there looks to be a significant delay before the younger right-hander is ready, perhaps Gordon will take over closing duties again. However, if Myers is expected back within a week or two of Gordon's return, perhaps the Phillies will stick with Alfonseca a little longer since he's done such a fine job filling in. Either way, the job is Myers' once he returns, so any value Gordon and Alfonseca have now figures to be temporary.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Matt Capps (Locked In)

Key setup men: Salomon Torres (DL), Damaso Marte

Capps gave up one run in 5 2/3 innings this week, recording two saves and getting charged with a loss along the way. The loss came after Capps gave up a run in the bottom of the 10th inning against the Angels, his second inning of work in the contest. It's nothing to be too concerned over and Capps remains locked in as the club's closer.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Cla Meredith, Heath Bell, Kevin Cameron

Hoffman extended his streak of innings without an earned run to 20 1/3 with three more perfect frames this week. Besides blowing back-to-back saves in late April, Hoffman hasn't allowed an earned run in an outing this season. Linebrink is going through another rough patch, surrendering one run in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has struck out just 19 batters in 34 2/3 innings after punching out 68 in 75 2/3 innings last year, so that Linebrink has had more of an up-and-down year could be some cause for concern. However, until Linebrink's current 2.60 ERA gets midway into the 3.00s, it's probably best not to overact.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Brad Hennessey (Secure)

Key setup men: Kevin Correia, Randy Messenger, Jonathan Sanchez

Hennessey appeared in four games this week, giving up two runs in 5 1/3 innings and blowing his only save chance thanks to an Alex Rodriguez solo homer. The right-hander has been pretty average since taking over for Armando Benitez, but he's still going to have a pretty long leash with a list of uninteresting alternatives. That Messenger has struggled of late means Correia is more firmly entrenched as the backup should the club decide to make a change.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, Chris Reitsma (DL), George Sherrill

Putz continues to dominate in a setup role, totaling four more scoreless innings and three additional saves this week. The club has stuck with Morrow for now, allowing him to pitch in three games and yield one run in 3 1/3 innings of work this week. His control wasn't any better as he did walk three batters, but the Mariners seem intent on sticking with Morrow as long as they can get away with it. A few more bad outings will probably get him sent to the minors anyway, and he's not a very good play in AL-only leagues right now.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Tyler Johnson (Injured), Russ Springer

Isringhausen appeared in two games this week, throwing a scoreless inning during a non-save situation in the first outing and then blowing a save by giving up a run against the Mets in the second. Franklin continues to surprise in a setup role. His current 1.43 ERA is one of the more unpredictable numbers of the season.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Secure)

Key setup men: Brian Stokes, Gary Glover, Shawn Camp, Jason Hammel

Reyes bounced back from a rough week two weeks ago to throw two scoreless innings and pick up a save this past week. None of the club's current setup men have stepped up, meaning the Devil Rays will probably turn to current minor leaguer Seth McClung or a converted starting pitcher if Reyes is dealt or injured. Hammel, who is currently up and working in middle relief, is one such candidate.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Eric Gagne (Secure)

Key setup men: Akinori Otsuka, Frank Francisco, Joaquin Benoit

Gagne appeared in four games this week, giving up two runs in four innings while picking up a save and a win. That Gagne was able to appear in four games in six days is a positive, as it was thought that the right-hander would have physical difficulties while trying to do so. It's a development that should help his value to other teams at the deadline.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Jason Frasor, Scott Downs

Accardo picked up two saves in four innings of work while yielding two runs this week. He almost took a loss after giving up two runs in the top of the 10th inning against the Rockies on Friday, but opposing closer Brian Fuentes blew a save of his own and Accardo didn't end up factoring into the decision. Janssen was rocked for six runs without retiring a batter last Thursday, but he's rebounded with three straight scoreless outings. He remains next in line.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome (Injured), Luis Ayala

Cordero picked up two saves and blew a save and took a loss in his third appearance of the week. The loss came when Cordero surrendered a three-run homer to the Indians' Victor Martinez in a two-run game on Saturday. Rauch still has a mediocre 4.17 ERA, but he's rattled off 11 1/3 straight scoreless innings and remains next in line.

[Hache Man]

Trade Candidates - Hitters
Sorry about the delay. Posted below is the companion article to Monday's look at the pitching trade candidates. I'm going position by position looking at the hitters that could go at the trade deadline. Players are grouped into three categories, and I'm listing contract info for the most significant players at each position.

The July player rankings will be posted Monday as scheduled.

Catchers

Legitimate candidates

Ramon Hernandez (Orioles) - 07: $6.5 million, 08-09: $15.5 million, 10: $8.5 million option
The Orioles don't need to dump salary and first-round pick Matt Wieters is at least two years away, so there's no pressing need to move Hernandez. Still, if the right offer comes along, there'd be no reason not to consider it, especially since there will be a strong crop of catchers available this winter. Hernandez would be a big upgrade for the Cubs, Rockies or Diamondbacks. If the Cubs would part with Carlos Marmol and a lesser pitching prospect, they could get a deal done.

Gregg Zaun (Blue Jays) - 07: $3.5 million, 08: $3.75 million, 09: Vesting option
Toby Hall (White Sox) - 07: $1.75 million, 08: $1.75 million, 09: $2.25 million option
Jason LaRue (Royals) - 07: $5.45 million, 08: FA
Javier Valentin (Reds) - 07: $1.25 million, 08: $1.3 million option
Zaun could start for a team like Colorado or serve as a backup on the Yankees or the Tigers, making him attractive to a wide variety of teams. Still, the Jays might prefer to keep him and have him share time with Curtis Thigpen next year. … LaRue has hit .256 this month, so perhaps he still has something left in the tank. If the Royals paid most of his salary, they might find a taker. … Valentin is appealing as a third catcher/pinch-hitter. He'd be a great fit as the last man on the bench for Rockies, Diamondbacks or Braves.


Long shot candidates

A.J. Pierzynski (White Sox) - 07: $5.5 million, 08: $5.5 million, 09: FA
Just the thought of the Cubs acquiring Pierzynski to replace Michael Barrett makes me feel all warm and fuzzy inside. However, he's probably going to stay. The White Sox don't seem to have fatigued of him yet, and his act will scare off some teams that could use him.

Jason Kendall (Athletics) - 07: $13 million ($5 million paid by Pirates), 08: FA
If Mike Piazza comes back strong, the A's might decide they'd be better off with him and Kurt Suzuki splitting time behind the plate. For all of his struggles this year, Kendall still looks like an upgrade over a few starters on contending teams.

Josh Bard (Padres) - 07: $1.05 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
With Barrett in town, the Padres could afford to move Bard as part of a deal to get the big hitter they want. Perhaps the Reds would look upon him as an upgrade in an Adam Dunn deal.

Also: David Ross (Reds), Brad Ausmus (Astros), Yorvit Torrealba (Rockies)


Bait: Jarrod Saltalamacchia (Braves), Jeff Clement (Mariners), Kelly Shoppach (Indians), Jeff Mathis (Angels), Jesus Flores (Nationals)
The Braves need to keep Salty and go forward with either him or Brian McCann at first base beginning in 2008. I prefer the idea of having McCann switch positions. … Kenji Johjima is signed through 2008 and probably will want to remain in Seattle beyond that, so Clement should be available. He's not going to be an above average defender behind the plate, but he'll still be an option as a regular next year. … Shoppach might be proving too indispensable for the Indians to move. He's worthy of an opportunity to start somewhere, but the Indians would be taking a big downgrade behind Victor Martinez if they sent him away now.


First Basemen-Designated Hitters

Legitimate candidates

Mark Teixeira (Rangers) - 07: $9.4 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
The Orioles would love to make Teixeira the next centerpiece of their organization, but since, as a Scott Boras client, there's very little chance of him signing an extension prior to free agency and the cost to acquire him would be high, the team would be better off waiting until after 2008 and making sure he wants to return home to Maryland. In the meantime, he makes more sense for a contender like the Yankees, Tigers or Dodgers. Atlanta would be a terrific fit, but the money probably isn't there. I'd say it's 65/35 that he stays in Texas until the offseason.

Todd Helton (Rockies) - 07: $16.6 million, 08-11: $68.9 million, 12: $4.6 million buyout
Helton made it pretty clear that he wasn't interested in a midseason deal after talks with the Red Sox fell through in January, but he seems wavering recently, refusing to eliminate the possibility of a deal to the Yankees when asked by a reporter this month. The Rockies may be content keep him anyway, as they still have a chance in the NL West and he's unlikely to bring back major value. With Mike Lowell and Kevin Youkilis playing so well for Boston and the Angels seemingly ruled out as an option last winter, there might be just the one team out there with any interest in taking on his contract.

Carlos Pena (Devil Rays) - 07: $800,000, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Pena is a solid big-league first baseman and likely will be for years, so the Rays could go ahead and keep him for something like $3 million in arbitration. That said, he's not this good and he's always been terribly streaky. If the Rays can get a quality return from a team in need of a power burst, they'll have to at least consider it. The Yankees could really use him back now after sticking him at Triple-A and leaving him there for most of 2006.

Shea Hillenbrand (Angels) - 07: $6 million, 08: $6.5 million option
Scott Hatteberg (Reds) - 07: $1.5 million, 08: $1.85 million option
Also: Dmitri Young (Nationals), Ryan Klesko (Giants), Jeff Conine (Reds), Mark Sweeney (Giants)
The first four are all reasonable options as stopgaps, while Conine and Sweeney would be nice bench players on contenders. … Hillenbrand will be designated for assignment Friday, but the Angels still hope to trade him. The Yankees are interested, though they should be trying to do better. … The Reds like Hatteberg, but they need to make room for Joey Votto by Aug. 1. While Votto is an option in left field, first base is going to be his long-term position.


Long shot candidates

Richie Sexson (Mariners) - 07: $14 million, 08: $14 million, 09: FA
Sexson was mentioned in some trade scenarios over the winter, but the Mariners are in contention and Sexson has even less trade value now than he did then. He's staying in Seattle.

Mike Jacobs (Marlins) - 07-08: Near minimum, 09-11: Arb. Eligible, 12: Free Agent
The Marlins aren't convinced that Jacobs is the long-term answer at first base, but they have no one ready to step in, meaning he's more likely to be involved in an offseason deal.

Mike Sweeney (Royals) - 07: $11 million ($1.5 million bonus if traded), 08: Free Agent
Sweeney has barely managed a 700 OPS this year, and he can't even stay healthy while being used as a DH. It's hard to imagine any contender wanting him.

Also: Ryan Shealy (Royals), Ben Broussard (Mariners), Kevin Millar (Orioles), Ross Gload (Royals), Matt Stairs (Blue Jays)


Bait: Casey Kotchman (Angels), James Loney (Dodgers), Kendry Morales (Angels), Scott Thorman (Braves), Chris Shelton (Tigers), Justin Huber (Royals), Joe Koshansky (Rockies), Chris Carter (Diamondbacks), Brad Eldred (Pirates)
Kotchman was far more realistic bait a few months ago. Now it'd take quite a slump from him over the next month for the Angels to even think of trying to upgrade at first base. … Likewise, it seems the Dodgers are committing to Loney. Still, they could part with him if they enter the Teixeira sweepstakes.


Second Basemen

Legitimate candidates

Ray Durham (Giants) - 07: $7 million, 08: $7.5 million, 09: FA
Unlike some of the other players the Giants could try to dump, Durham's salary is pretty reasonable for what he brings to the table. Still, that there aren't any contenders in obvious need of an upgrade at second base makes a deal less likely. The Mets are one team that could use help at the position, but their focus is on pitching and in the outfield. Unless an injury opens up a job elsewhere, Durham will probably stay.

Chris Burke (Astros) - 07: Near Minimum, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
The Astros were quick to bench Burke and turn to Hunter Pence in center field, but they still view the 27-year-old as a long-term option at second base with Craig Biggio unlikely to be back in 2008. Burke seems likely to stay put unless the Astros get back into the race and receive a good offer for him.

Jorge Cantu (Devil Rays) - 07: Near Minimum, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
Cantu's future probably isn't at second base, but a non-contender might still want to grab him and try him at first or third. He's still capable of hitting 25 homers per year, though that would come with a lousy OBP, and the Rays probably wouldn't ask for more than a quality pitching prospect.

Mark Grudzielanek (Royals) - 07: $4 million, 08: $4 million player option
Mark Loretta (Astros) - 07: $2.5 million, 08: FA
Ronnie Belliard (Nationals) - 07: $750,000, 08: FA
Jose Castillo (Pirates) - 07: $1.9 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
Grudzy could be a decent stopgap after returning from knee surgery. If he's dealt, it will probably be in August. … There are a lot of teams that would love to have Loretta as a role player, and since he's probably not going to be a Type A free agent, the Astros should move him if they're not going to contend. … Cristian Guzman's injury made Belliard a regular in Washington. Still, the Nationals would take a quality prospect for him, even if it meant going to D'Angelo Jimenez at second base. … The Pirates will be trying to trade Jack Wilson, but Castillo is also expendable. He's going to be expensive to keep as a reserve next year.


Long shot candidates

Brian Roberts (Orioles) - 07: $4.2 million, 08-09: $14.3 million, 10: FA
If the Mets do decide to trade for a second baseman, they'd probably prefer to bring in Roberts as their No. 2 hitter. Still, the Orioles consider him a fan favorite and probably won't deal him now after turning down a deal with the Braves in the offseason.

Orlando Hudson (Diamondbacks) - 07: $3.9 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
The Diamondbacks are likely to be buyers, not sellers, but if they go on a losing skid, they could be open to moving Hudson for a big-time pitching prospect. Most likely, they'll keep him and try to lock him up in the offseason.

Felipe Lopez (Nationals) - 07: $3.9 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Lopez is one of Manny Acta's favorites, but he's been a big disappointment this year and might benefit from getting out of Washington. That he's an option at both second base and shortstop makes him more attractive. However, there probably aren't any contenders that would want to bring him in as a shortstop.

Tadahito Iguchi (White Sox) - 07: $3.25 million, 08: FA
Iguchi turns 33 in December and the White Sox might not want to make the multiyear commitment it would take to keep him as a free agent. His value is down now, but he'll probably be a solid regular the rest of the year and he's not going to be very costly to bring in.

Also: Tony Graffanino (Brewers), Jamey Carroll (Rockies), Jerry Hairston Jr. (Rangers), Russ Adams (Blue Jays)

Bait: Tony Abreu (Dodgers), Omar Infante (Tigers), Ryan Theriot (Cubs), Martin Prado (Braves)
Theriot is the type of scrappy utilityman a lot of teams would like to have around, but he's very expendable in Chicago. If the Cubs can use him in a deal to bring in a quality reliever, they shouldn't hesitate.


Third Basemen

Legitimate candidates

Troy Glaus (Blue Jays) - 07: $10.75 million, 08: $12.75 million, 09: $11.25 million player option
Going strictly by OPS, Glaus is on pace for his best season since 2000, his second full year in the majors. However, he's had trouble staying in the lineup – a problem exacerbated by the Jays' decision to spend big on a full-time DH last winter – and he's no longer much of an asset with the glove, though he probably would be at first base. In fact, he might be an even better option for the Yankees than Teixeira, if the Jays would trade him within the division. Glaus, though, has no-trade protection and might veto any deal that didn't send him back to the West Coast. That makes the two Los Angeles teams and San Diego possibilities. The Padres could try offering Kevin Kouzmanoff and Clay Hensley, though it's probably take Chase Headley's presence to get a deal done.

Scott Rolen (Cardinals) - 07: $11.8 million, 08-10: $35.4 million, 11: FA
The Cardinals intend to keep Rolen and make a run, but if things continue to proceed badly over the next month, they could be open to sending him elsewhere. The Dodgers might be the one team out there with significant interest in taking on his contract, depending on how the Nomar Garciaparra experiment works out. Rolen has no-trade protection, so he controls his destiny. However, he might prefer to get away from Tony La Russa, with whom he's had a bumpy relationship as of late.

Ty Wigginton (Devil Rays) - 07: $2.7 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
Morgan Ensberg (Astros) - 07: $4.35 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Pedro Feliz (Giants) - 07: $5.1 million, 08: FA
Wilson Betemit (Dodgers) - 07: Near Minimum, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
Mike Lamb (Astros) - 07: $2.7 million, 08: FA
Wigginton is miscast as a regular, but his ability to hit lefties and play three infield positions would make him of great use to a contender. The Rays will likely move him, perhaps to the Twins. … The Astros have been willing to deal Ensberg since the winter, and his value is lower than ever now. He might just end up being released. … No GMs were tricked into giving Feliz the three-year deal he wanted last winter, so there might not be any demand for him now either. … With eight homers and 25 walks in 122 at-bats, Betemit hasn't been nearly as much of a problem as the Dodgers like to think he is. He should be some team's starting third baseman. … Lamb, like Loretta, would have plenty of value to a contender if the Astros opt to give up. He'd be another nice fit in Minnesota.


Long shot candidates

Miguel Cabrera (Marlins) - 07: $7.4 million, 08-09: Arb. Eligible, 10: FA
The Marlins can't be ruled out as playoff contenders, and Cabrera is going to have just as much trade value in December as he does now. The Angels, Red Sox and Dodgers would all likely make huge offers if Florida made him available, but there's not going to be any reason to move him now.

Garrett Atkins (Rockies) - 07: Near Minimum, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
They probably won't do it if they feel they're in the race, but the Rockies could part with Atkins and install Ian Stewart at third base. Unlike a month ago, when they reportedly had some talks with the Angels, they'd no longer be selling low, as Atkins has six homers in June, doubling his total from the first two months combined. The Angels no longer feel they have a pressing need at third base, but they still could use one more bat as protection. The Tigers could be interested in him as a first baseman.

Adrian Beltre (Mariners) - 07: $11.5 million, 08-09: $23 million, 10: FA
Mike Lowell (Red Sox) - 07: $9 million, 08: FA
Chad Tracy (Diamondbacks) - 07: $2.75 million, 08: $8.5 million, 10: $7 million option
Melvin Mora (Orioles) - 07: $8 million, 08-09: $16 million, 10: Club option
Aaron Boone (Marlins) - 07: $925,000, 08: FA
Wes Helms (Phillies) - 07: $2.05 million, 08: $2.15 million, 09: $3.75 million option
Beltre and Lowell have been mentioned in plenty of rumors before, but the Mariners and Red Sox don't need to mess with what's been working. Lowell's price tag would be extremely high since Boston would be forfeiting two draft picks by moving him. … The Diamondbacks discussed Tracy with the Angels last winter and reportedly offered him to Pittsburgh for Mike Gonzalez. However, there's been no indication that they'd still consider moving him. Maybe they'll do it this winter if they believe Mark Reynolds is the real thing. … Mora's contract is a major obstacle, plus he has a no-trade clause. He's not going anywhere.


Bait: Brandon Wood (Angels), Andy LaRoche (Dodgers), Andy Marte (Indians), Chase Headley (Padres), Ian Stewart (Rockies), Maicer Izturis (Angels)
Wood has stepped it up lately, but he's still done nothing to help his trade value at Triple-A this year. There are probably teams out there that would rather have LaRoche. … With Clay Hensley still struggling in Triple-A, Headley is easily the Padres' most valuable commodity. He could prove to be a better option at third base than Kouzmanoff by mid-2008, but the Padres might still have to give him up.


Shortstops

Legitimate candidates

Jack Wilson (Pirates) - 07: $5.25 million, 08-09: $13.75 million, 10: $8.4 million option
Good luck with this one, Pittsburgh. The Pirates have always been higher on Wilson than any other team in baseball, and even they've come to realize he's not worth what he's earning. Wilson isn't a liability as much as he's just overpaid. He could be a fine stopgap for a contender that loses its regular shortstop, but it's hard to imagine anyone wanting to commit to him for that kind of money through 2009.

Juan Uribe (White Sox) - 07: $4.15 million, 08: $5 million option
Uribe should be more attractive than Wilson, if only because of his contract. Any team that acquires him would be on the hook for $1.4 million-$2 million over the rest of 2007 and then a $300,000 buyout. And if he plays well, he can be kept rather inexpensively in 2008. The White Sox aren't likely to do any better at shortstop in 2008 and probably should keep him. However, it seems they've about run out of patience with his streakiness at the plate and his lack of commitment when it comes to keeping himself in shape.

Omar Vizquel (Giants) - 07: $4 million, 08: FA
The injuries suffered by Miguel Tejada and Cristian Guzman – both possibly stronger candidates to be traded – resulted in Omar getting bumped up a category here. He's been quoted as saying he's not interested in leaving San Francisco unless it's to play regularly somewhere. Additional injuries to shortstops could make him a desired commodity, even if he isn't hitting at all this year.


Long shot candidates

Miguel Tejada (Orioles) - 07: $12 million, 08-09: $26 million, 10: FA
The fractured wrist Tejada suffered last week did a big number of his chances of getting traded this summer. Now he's probably not going to be back until the beginning of August, and the injury isn't likely to scare off enough teams to allow him to clear waivers and be included in an post-deadline trade. If he's moved, it will probably be after the season.

Rich Aurilia (Giants) - 07: $3.5 million, 08: $4.5 million, 09: FA
Also: Royce Clayton (Blue Jays), Angel Berroa (Royals)
It was a terrible idea for the Giants to give Aurilia a multiyear deal to play first base, but he's not this bad and he does have versatility working in his favor. It's the $4.5 million he's due in 2008 that will scare off potential suitors. … The Jays are giving John McDonald more playing time than Clayton, a player they never should have signed in the first place. He'll be available for next to nothing. … The Royals would surely eat most of the $7 million Berroa has left on his deal, but there probably won't be any takers. Maybe there's a slight chance the Nationals would take them up on it if they traded Belliard.


Bait: Yunel Escobar (Braves), Erick Aybar (Angels), Clint Barmes (Rockies), Ronny Cedeno (Cubs), Jed Lowrie (Red Sox), Sean Rodriguez (Angels)

The Braves can't move Salty, but they should be willing to part with Escobar if it brings them a big name in return. Escobar's ability to play shortstop, second base and third base makes him a fit with pretty much every team out there. … The Rockies would have been better off moving Barmes over the winter. Most now likely realize that he's not a regular. Still, he should have a career as a utilityman. … I'm not one of Cedeno's biggest fans, but he's young and he's tearing up the PCL at the moment. Some team might want to try him at shortstop or second base.


Outfielders

Legitimate candidates

Carl Crawford (Devil Rays) - 07: $4 million, 08-10 $23.5 million, 11: FA
Actually, both his $8.25 million salary for 2009 and $10 million salary for 2010 are team options. Still, those are guaranteed of being picked up barring a catastrophic injury. With Elijah Dukes apparently not in Tampa Bay's plans and Rocco Baldelli showing once and for all that he just can't be counted on, the Rays have more reason than ever to keep Crawford. Plus, the team isn't exactly hurting for young pitching anyway. Unless the Rays can get an actual young ace for him – Jered Weaver comes to mind – there's not going to be any reason to deal him.

Adam Dunn (Reds) - 07: $10.5 million, 08: $13 million option (voidable if traded)
Dunn just doesn't fit in with what GM Wayne Krivsky would like to do, and it'd likely be best for both parties if he's traded. The Reds, though, need to do a better job of getting value than they did with Austin Kearns and Felipe Lopez last year, and it might be difficult, as there just isn't as much of a market as their should be. He'd be a terrific fit in Seattle or Minnesota, but the Mariners think Jose Vidro is adequate and the Twins probably don't have the money. The Padres have some interest, but they have concerns about his ability to handle left field in Petco and they can't put together a great package in return anyway. The Reds have to hope the Tigers or Yankees get involved or they might as well go forward with him.

Jermaine Dye (White Sox) - 07: $6.75 million, 08: FA
Dye seemed all set to get a four-year, $60 million contract as a free agent after a nearly MVP-quality 2006, but he's spent most of 2007 looking five years older than the 33 he's supposed to be. How he recovers from his current quad injury will determine what kind of return the White Sox can hope to get for him. That his salary is pretty reasonable would make him more attractive to a team like Atlanta or Arizona if he could get healthy. The Diamondbacks could acquire him as a stopgap and then go back to Carlos Quentin in right field in 2008.

Aaron Rowand (Phillies) - 07: $4.35 million, 08: FA
With Jon Lieber done until at least September and Brett Myers likely to be limited to short relief if he hasn't been ruined completely, the Phillies have a greater need of pitching help than ever before. A Rowand trade could bring back what they require, and the Phillies would still have Michael Bourn and Shane Victorino to play center. Still, no non-contender is going to give up much for a free-agent-to-be and there aren't many contenders that seem like fits. The Padres could use him, but they can't give up both Clay Hensley and Scott Linebrink and one probably wouldn't be enough. Sending him to Minnesota for former Phillie Carlos Silva would make some sense, though the Phillies might need more in return.

Randy Winn (Giants) - 07: $4 million, 08-09: $16.25 million, 10: FA
Winn's can play all three outfield spots and has the kind of small-ball game that would make him interesting to several teams. However, if the contract isn't already enough of an obstacle, he also has no-trade protection.

Jacque Jones (Cubs) - 07: $5.33 million, 08: $6.33 million, 09: FA
Kenny Lofton (Rangers) - 07: $6 million, 08: FA
Elijah Dukes (Devil Rays) - 07-09: Near minimum, 10-12: Arb. Eligible, 13: FA
Also: Corey Patterson (Orioles), Milton Bradley (Athletics), Emil Brown (Royals), Reggie Sanders (Royals), Kevin Mench (Brewers), Rob Mackowiak (White Sox), Jason Lane (Astros)
The Cubs couldn't make the money work on a Jones trade with Florida or Minnesota. How they're expecting him to gain value while rotting on the bench is anyone's guess. A deal figures to come soon. The Mets and Indians could use him to help fill gaps created by injury problems. … With the top center fielders likely to stay put, Lofton should be pretty attractive. He'd be a nice fit in Florida. … The Rays will be selling low on Dukes, but they don't seem to care. He'll probably join the Nationals or another team by July 31. … Bradley is reportedly on his way to San Diego after his "strained oblique" ruined a trade with Kansas City.


Long shot candidates

Barry Bonds (Giants) - 07: $15.8 million (plus $4.2 million in incentives), 08: FA
The Giants could decide they're better off moving on after Bonds overtakes Hank Aaron, but who would take him? Interest was very limited over the winter. The A's had a fit, but they weren't going to pay him. Every other AL team seemed to want nothing to do him. The Cardinals expressed a willingness to take him on and still have big need of his bat now, but it's still highly unlikely that anything could get done there. Bonds, who can block any deal, should remain a Giant through the end of the season.

Ken Griffey Jr. (Reds) - 07: $12.5 million, 08: $12.5 million, 09: $16.5 million option
Griffey has played in 73 of the Reds' 79 games and is in the midst of one of his best offensive seasons in the last decade, giving him some significant trade value for the first time in a couple of years. Still, all of the talk suggests that Dunn is far more likely to go. Griffey, of course, controls his own destiny and likely would be picky if the Reds proved to be open to moving him. If he goes anywhere, I think it will be to the Yankees. There's probably a 90 percent chance that he stays, though.

Ichiro Suzuki (Mariners) - 07: $11 million, 08: FA
Andruw Jones (Braves) - 07: $13.5 million, 08: FA
Torii Hunter (Twins) - 07: $12 million, 08: FA
These three center fielders are linked here, just as they will be if they all become free agents this winter. With their respective teams all in contention, it's unlikely any will be dealt. Jones has a no-trade clause, and Scott Boras has been adamant that he'd wield it if the Braves shopped him. The Mariners or Twins would have to collapse for either Ichiro or Hunter to become available.

Alex Rios (Blue Jays) - 07: $2.535 million, 08-10: Arb. Eligible, 11: FA
The Jays have been willing to move Rios for pitching in the past, but the price tag would be higher than ever now, as he's on pace for a 30-homer season at age 26. Rios would be a great fit in San Diego, but the Padres probably don't have the talent to pull a deal off. The Marlins could part with Scott Olsen, Taylor Tankersley and a prospect. Still, that might not be enough.

Eric Byrnes (Diamondbacks) - 07: $4.575 million, 08: FA
With Justin Upton likely to assume an outfield spot before the end of 2008, the Diamondbacks would be foolish to give Byrnes the three- or four-year deal he's likely to command as a free agent, no matter how much of a fan favorite he is. That said, they probably will keep him as long as they remain in contention.

Austin Kearns (Nationals) - 07: $3.5 million, 08-09: $13 million, 10: $10 million option
Kearns got a nice extension earlier this year, making a deal pretty unlikely. While he's had a very difficult time at RFK Stadium thus far, the Nationals can keep him and hope he adjusts better in their new ballpark.

Pat Burrell (Phillies) - 07: $13 million, 08: $14 million, 09: FA
One would think he's sick of the relentless booing by now, but Burrell was only willing to waive his no-trade clause for the Red Sox or Yankees last year. Maybe he'll be a bit more flexible now. Since he's in an awful slump, Burrell would be a pure salary dump for Philadelphia. The team would have to pick up at least half of what he's owed and d still probably wouldn't get anything in return. Given a fresh start elsewhere, he'd likely be reasonably productive.

Scott Podsednik (White Sox) - 07: $2.9 million, 08: Arb. Eligible, 09: FA
Juan Encarnacion (Cardinals) - 07: $5 million, 08: $6.5 million, 09: FA
Brad Wilkerson (Rangers) - 07: $4.35 million, 08: FA
Jay Gibbons (Orioles) - 07: $5 million, 08-09: $11.9 million, 10: FA
Also: Ryan Freel (Reds), Xavier Nady (Pirates), Wily Mo Pena (Red Sox), Jonny Gomes (Devil Rays), Matt Murton (Cubs), Cory Sullivan (Rockies), Eric Hinske (Red Sox), Bobby Kielty (Athletics), Luis Terrero (White Sox)
Rocco Baldelli was supposed to be part of this list, but his setback last week likely rules him out as a trade candidate unless the Rays want to take pennies on the dollar. … If the Cardinals fall out of the race, Encarnacion would be made available. There was talk of him going after the first year of his three-year deal. … The Reds will probably keep Freel unless they get a very good young pitcher back. … Gomes, who seemed his way on his way out of Tampa Bay a month ago, is now suddenly a fixture again. Barring a slump, he'll remain with the Rays.


Bait: Matt Kemp (Dodgers), Lastings Milledge (Mets), Carlos Gomez (Mets), Carlos Gonzalez (Diamondbacks), Andre Ethier (Dodgers), Brian Anderson (White Sox), Shin-Soo Choo (Indians), Brandon Moss (Red Sox), Jeremy Reed (Mariners), Scott Hairston (Diamondbacks), Franklin Gutierrez (Indians), Joey Gathright (Royals), Jeff Baker (Rockies), David Murphy (Red Sox), Terry Evans (Angels), Laynce Nix (Brewers)

If Garciaparra gets the job done at third, the Dodgers' search for a bat could focus on right field. Either Kemp or Ethier could be available in return for a big-time upgrade. Still, Dunn doesn't seem to be at the top of their list. … I thought Jose Contreras was the long shot to go of the White Sox's pitchers, but the Mets are talking to the White Sox about him and he's reportedly willing to waive his no-trade clause. Milledge could be sent to Chicago in return. … Choo or Gutierrez could be involved if the Indians make a play for Eric Gagne. Gutierrez is more of an option in center, so he'd make a lot of sense for Texas. The Rangers, though, could put off their search for a long-term center field, hoping to fill the gap with a free agent this winter.

[Hache Man]

Arroyo Showing Wear And Tear
So much for my Dan Wheeler recommendation last week, eh? On the plus side, we did speak highly of Carlos Marmol and he's looking good. Speaking of closers, don't worry if you're short on saves right now. I definitely think several new closers will surface in July, as guys like Octavio Dotel. Eric Gagne, and maybe Al Reyes could be on the move.

Trades typically create all sorts of new fantasy opportunities. The White Sox could give Gavin Floyd a shot if they ship off a starter. And while the Mariners probably won't trade Ichiro, they could definitely deal Jose Guillen to make room for Adam Jones. A permanent rotation spot could be created for Yovani Gallardo. An opening could be created for Evan Longoria. Even Jacque Jones and Shea Hillenbrand could find regular playing time. Plenty of situations to watch.

American League

Clay Buchholz, SP, BOS – In case you hadn't noticed, the Red Sox have the best pitcher in the minors in Buchholz. The 22-year-old is currently working at Double A, but could definitely reach the Majors this year. His peripherals are astounding: 111 strikeouts against just 19 walks in 80.1 innings. The scouting reports match the stats, as he's got four above average pitches. If you're in a keeper league, Buchholz is the next big thing. AL: $5, Mixed: No.

Andy Gonzalez, OF, CHA – At 25, Gonzalez just isn't considered much of a prospect. Don't look for him to hit for average or power for the Sox. However, he is playing regularly these days. He can draw the occasional walk and swipe a few bags, plus he's versatile. Still, his AL-only value is minimal. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

Franklin Gutierrez, OF, CLE – Gutierrez, now 24, was considered the Indians' sixth best prospect by Baseball America heading into the 2006 season. That was mostly based on scouting, as he didn't show much in the minors in 2005. '06 was a disappointment as well, though he got into 43 games with the Tribe. He improved his contact rate this year in Triple A this year and managed to hit .341 in a limited sample. The injury to David Dellucci will clear up playing time in left; Gutierrez can play all three outfield positions with fine defense. Still, I really don't see much fantasy potential here yet. AL: $4, Mixed: No.

John Thomson, SP, KCA – Thomson finally made his 2007 big league debut, but it was with the Royals instead of the Blue Jays. It was a fine debut – seven strong innings against the Angels. Thomson should be a mainstay in the rotation given the injury to Scott Elarton. Thomson's work in the minors this year – 56 hits in 50.1 innings – doesn't bode well for his stats in the AL.

Thomson says his shoulder is fine, and the Royals recently claimed to have clocked him at 92-93. However, I just watched the condensed game of Thomson's start on MLB.TV, and he didn't top 88. I'm calling BS. Remember, Thomson is pitching with a mild labrum tear in his shoulder. He's a poor bet in AL-only. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Matt Garza, SP, MIN – A tiny bit of the prospect shine came off Garza after he allowed 93 hits in 92 innings this year at Triple A. On the other hand, he also whiffed 95 and his .328 BABIP can't be entirely his fault. Garza has gotten the call and will start July 6th in a doubleheader against the White Sox. There doesn't appear to be an opening in the Twins' rotation quite yet so Garza could pitch out of the pen after that. He's a quality keeper but has limited value this year. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Justin Duchscherer, RP, OAK – Duke is now pitching without pain in his hip, and he could rejoin the Athletics the weekend before the All-Star break. If he's truly feeling good, manager Bob Geren expects him to take over the closer role. The save opps might only last until late July, when Huston Street hopes to return. AL: $4, Mixed: No.

Marlon Byrd, OF, TEX – Byrd is 11 for his last 24, with 10 RBIs in six games. The 29-year-old did tear it up in a Triple A stint this year, so maybe he's figured something out. Most likely, though, he'll cool down and become a questionable AL-only choice. AL: $5, Mixed: No.

National League

Kelly Johnson, 2B, ATL – Johnson was a favorite preseason sleeper of mine, and I was quite pleased after he hit .326/.473/.593 in April with 24 runs scored atop Atlanta's lineup. However, a mediocre May and lousy June plus the emergence of Yunel Escobar may reduce Johnson to a platoon role. He doesn't really show platoon splits though. I like Johnson a lot more than Escobar, but hey, Escobar's had a nice ten-game stretch. Bad timing for Johnson; I'd put him on reserve in a deep mixed league to see how this plays out. NL: $10, Mixed: $1.

Yunel Escobar, 3B, ATL – Escobar is a solid player, though he hasn't shown much power yet. Despite just average speed it looks like he might steal a few bags. If he stays hot he'll start stealing more and more playing time at second base. NL: $7, Mixed: No.

Mike Fontenot, 2B, CHN – Fontenot is off to a blazing start, hitting .408 with three home runs in 71 at-bats for the Cubs. He can play second or short, and Lou will keep him in the lineup if he keeps this up. The Cubs have a lot of versatile guys for the middle infield. The 27-year-old Fontenot projects at about .260/.336/.400, according to Baseball Prospectus. His upside seems to be a Ron Belliard-type career, but you can pick him up until he cools down. NL: $7, Mixed: No.

Bronson Arroyo, SP, CIN – Arroyo is available in most mixed leagues after posting a 5.14 ERA and 1.52 WHIP through his first 16 starts. Arroyo threw the most pitches of anyone in baseball last year – 3851. Aaron Harang was right behind him. Arroyo's peripheral stats aren't terrible this year, but his velocity is down and he's been quite hittable. I'm skeptical that he turns it around this season. NL: $10, Mixed: No.

Chad Qualls, RP, HOU – Qualls is an option for saves, with the recent work of Dan Wheeler. He's most likely facing a two-game suspension for throwing a ball into the stands, but could get some save opps during the next two weeks. Dan Wheeler owners may want to switch to Qualls in the short-term. Qualls has a career best 9.2 K/9 going. NL: $11, Mixed: $1.

James Loney, 1B, LAN – Loney has drawn Mark Grace comparisons for his doubles power and slick fielding; he's got some statistical similarities to Adrian Gonzalez and Justin Morneau. Given Loney's .382 SLG in Triple A this year, I'm hesitant to pick him up. Maybe he was just bored down there - it's hard to ignore his hitting this month. Loney has become the regular first baseman with Nomar Garciaparra moving to third. NL: $13, Mixed: $2.

J.A. Happ, SP, PHI – Happ is a 24-year-old southpaw with a plus changeup. He'll be decent some day, but his work in Triple A included too many walks and hits. Happ will start Saturday against the Mets and hopes to take Jon Lieber's regular spot in the rotation. I don't think it will go well and don't recommend him. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Josh Phelps, 1B, PIT – Ugh, talk about a pointless pickup for the Bucs. Brad Eldred, who at least has a trace of upside, was sent down to make room for Phelps. The only way I can see Phelps having fantasy value is if he earns catcher eligibility. And even then I'm talking two-catcher NL-only. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Mike Maroth, SP, STL – The 29-year-old lefty was acquired cheaply from the Tigers and had a sparkling NL debut against the Mets. Maroth is a low strikeout groundballing control guy when he's right. It wouldn't be shocking to see the Cards coax a low 4s ERA out of him, and that has plenty of NL-only value. NL: $9, Mixed: No.

[Hache Man]

Big Day for History
Thursday was a great day for baseball history, with Frank Thomas joining the 500-homer club and Craig Biggio coming out of nowhere with a five-hit game to blow right past 3,000 hits. Four games after launching homer No. 499, Thomas drove a first-inning pitch from Carlos Silva into the seats in left-center field for a three-run homer, becoming the 21st player in baseball history to reach 500 long balls.

Thomas couldn't hold back a huge smile while rounding the bases, but was later ejected from the game after taking a called third strike in the ninth inning. No. 500 was Thomas' fifth blast in the past 11 games after going deep a total of just eight times in his first 65 games and reaching the milestone in Minnesota has a certain symmetry. His first career homer came at the Metrodome on August 28, 1990 and exactly 10 percent of Thomas' homers have come off Twins pitching.

Meanwhile in Houston, Biggio went 5-for-6 against the Rockies after coming into the game with 2,997 career hits and a .238 batting average. Not only did the five-hit game make Biggio the 27th member of the 3,000-hit club, he vaulted ahead of Roberto Clemente into 26th place on the all-time list. Biggio collecting five hits in a game to reach the milestone in late June is something that seemed borderline impossible just a few weeks ago.

Hitting just .219 with a .634 OPS through June 11 as talk of a possible benching began to surface, Biggio went 22-for-60 (.367) over the next 14 games to sort of sneak up on No. 3,000. His season totals remain ugly even with the recent hot streak and the Astros may be more willing to get his .289 on-base percentage out of the lineup now that the chase is no longer on. Doing so on the road, where Biggio has a .577 OPS after posting a .541 OPS last season, would be a start.

If Biggio continues to play regularly while batting around .250, he has a chance to move past Al Kaline, Wade Boggs, Rafael Palmeiro, Lou Brock, Rod Carew, and Rickey Henderson by season's end, which would place him 20th all time behind Dave Winfield's 3,110 hits. Next up for Thomas is Eddie Murray at 504, and a good second half could push him past Met Ott, Eddie Mathews, and Ernie Banks into 17th place.

While Thomas and Biggio add a so-called "magic number" to careers that were Hall of Fame-worthy long before Thursday, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* The Diamondbacks have to be questioning their decision to bring Randy Johnson back from the disabled list after he lasted just three innings Thursday against the Dodgers. Johnson insisted afterward that his surgically repaired back wasn't behind the early exit, saying that he's going to "chalk this up hopefully to just coming off the disabled list and not pitching in 18 days." So what was the problem? "It was my leg," Johnson said. "It's all part of it, the nerve in my calf."

The good news is that his back is no longer Johnson's biggest problem, but the bad news is that he's now a 43-year-old pitcher with back and leg issues. Johnson had been pitching extremely well before heading to the DL, but he's a huge risk for the remainder of the season and seemingly has pretty good odds of landing back on the DL again at some point. For now though, Johnson said that he's "looking forward to my next start." It'll come Tuesday against the Cardinals.

* Like Johnson, A.J. Burnett's return from the disabled list went horribly Thursday. Yanked from the game in the fifth inning after giving up five runs against the Twins to blow an early 5-1 lead that was handed to him, Burnett threw his glove into the stands and tore off his jersey as he left the mound. Burnett seemed more frustrated about blowing the lead than about the state of his injured shoulder, but manager John Gibbons had plenty of concerns about it afterward.

"Burnett wasn't too sharp," Gibbons said. "His velocity was down, but he says his shoulder's fine." Asked about the decreased velocity, Burnett replied: "I was just trying to get through five innings. Who cares about velocity?" The Twins' hitters, apparently. The key to Burnett's fantasy value is putting together good stretches in between stints on the DL, so Thursday's rough outing is a bad sign and he's definitely worth keeping an eye on. There may not be much tread left on the tires.

* With a pair of solo homers Thursday, Paul Konerko has now gone deep seven times in the past 22 games after totaling just seven homers through the White Sox's first 52 games. Batting .218 with a .687 OPS as recently as June 3, Konerko has hit .351 with seven homers and a 1.110 OPS since then, boosting his season totals to .257/.346/.464. The batting average remains low, but Konerko is about two more good weeks from reaching his .282/.353/.494 career hitting line.

AL Quick Hits: The Chicago Sun-Times continues to report that a Mark Buehrle contract extension will happen, perhaps over the weekend … Playing five innings at second base, B.J. Upton (quadriceps) went 0-for-3 in his first minor-league rehab game Thursday at Single-A and is hoping to return Tuesday … Manager Ozzie Guillen keeps insisting that he'll return Friday, but Jermaine Dye (quadriceps) said "I don't think so" when asked if he'll be ready … With his three-game suspension reduced by a game, Gary Sheffield will sit out Saturday and Sunday … Jason Giambi (foot) is wearing a walking boot and there's no timetable for his return … A sore foot knocked Ian Kinsler out of Thursday's game, with Jerry Hairston Jr. stepping in for him … Called up from Triple-A, Matt Garza will work out of the bullpen before temporarily joining the rotation for a July 6 doubleheader … Rather than make a second rehab start, Brandon McCarthy (finger) will come off disabled list Monday to face the Red Sox … In his first game back from a bruised lung, Justin Morneau went 0-for-3 with a walk Thursday.

NL Quick Hits: Their attempt to trade Milton Bradley to the Royals was nixed because of an injury, but the A's have now reportedly dealt him to the Padres for an unnamed pitching prospect … After serving up Thursday's walk-off grand slam to Carlos Lee, Brian Fuentes has blown a save and been handed a loss in three straight appearances … Sidelined for 30 days because of a fractured wrist, Yadier Molina returned from the disabled list Thursday without first going on a minor-league rehab assignment … After going 3-for-5 with a homer in his final rehab game Thursday at Single-A, Brian Giles (knee) is expected to be in the Padres' lineup Friday … Thanks to Thursday's rainout, Mike Pelfrey won't be called up for Friday's doubleheader … Adam Everett (leg) said Thursday that he's "feeling better," but expects to miss at least another month … Since finally signing with the Diamondbacks on May 31 following a year-long holdout, 2006 first-round pick Max Scherzer has a 1.29 ERA and 45-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 28 minor-league innings.

[Hache Man]

Trade talks add fantasy sizzle
The smell of chlorinated swimming pools … the sight of lightning bugs flickering in the twilight … the sound of general managers making trades. Yes, the unmistakable signs of summer are here.

Perhaps it's something in nature — or in their nature — but general managers seem to start making deals once summer arrives.

Within a day on either side of the solstice, the Chicago Cubs shipped catcher Michael Barrett to the San Diego Padres, the Detroit Tigers swapped relievers with the Atlanta Braves and the Tigers dealt left-hander Mike Maroth to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Those deals aren't going to dramatically alter the fantasy landscape. Barrett will still be playing almost every day, though his disappointing power numbers probably won't rebound while he's playing at Petco Park. Perhaps the biggest winner in the deal is the Cubs' Carlos Zambrano, who won't have to pitch to Barrett again and who has pitched well in the four starts since he scuffled with Barrett in the Cubs dugout.

Maroth's value might rise because he's moving from the AL to the NL, but only those in deep NL-only leagues should even think about picking him up.

Of course, there are many more deals to be made before the deadline. But how odd does it seem that the Tigers are active players in the trade market while the New York Yankees sit quietly?

With 1B-DH Jason Giambi out of action for the foreseeable future because of a foot injury, the Yankees have one of the most glaring needs of any playoff contender.

The Yanks could go after big fish (Todd Helton, Mark Teixeira, Adam Dunn) or gap-fillers (Shea Hillenbrand, Dmitri Young) until Giambi is ready to play again.

Either way, don't expect them to go with Andy Phillips, Miguel Cairo, Jorge Posada and Johnny Damon sharing first base for long.

The Yankees aren't the only team looking to add pieces to their roster puzzle before the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline. In fact, only a handful of teams aren't capable of contending for a playoff spot.

So the question is who will make a playoff push and who will build for the future? It's the same issue many fantasy owners face.

With more than a month until deadline day, trying to predict which players will be traded is fruitless. Even deals that seem to make the most sense have a way of falling through. For instance, it was almost a given last year that Alfonso Soriano wouldn't be wearing a Washington Nationals uniform when the calendar flipped to August.

However, AL-only leaguers who were waiting to pounce on Soriano never got the chance, and Carlos Lee and Bobby Abreu turned out to be the biggest prizes. In the NL, closers Francisco Cordero and Bob Wickman were the only real impact players to switch leagues.

Perhaps this year things will be different.

The Cincinnati Reds and Texas Rangers are already out of the playoff hunt, so they would be the first place to look for available talent.

The most attractive fantasy player on the block has to be Cincinnati's Adam Dunn— partly because of his power numbers and partly because a trade to the AL makes the most sense.

As of Sunday, Dunn was third in the majors in home runs but first in strikeouts and trade speculation. He certainly fits the mold as a slugging outfielder-first baseman-DH whom AL teams covet. He has a $13 million contract option for 2008, but with the emergence of Josh Hamilton and with top prospect Joey Votto looming in Class AAA, the persistent trade rumors could come true.

The Yankees and Los Angeles Angels, because of their lineup needs and big budgets, and the Minnesota Twins, because of their wealth of pitching prospects, are the teams most likely to make a Dunn deal.

Meanwhile, in Texas, Mark Teixeira is on the disabled list but will be an attractive trade target once he's fully healthy — most likely after the All-Star break. Teixeira can become a free agent after the 2008 season. The Rangers have to decide if he's part of their long-term future, especially at the price he's likely to command.

The Rangers could also decide to peddle closer Eric Gagne, who signed a one-year deal but has veto power that could keep him from going to a dozen teams. Octavio Dotel, Al Reyes and Brad Lidge could also be on the trading block, but unless there's an injury, just about every contending team already has an established closer in place. Gagne, Dotel, Reyes or Lidge probably would end up being a setup man if he were traded.

Fantasy owners might be wise to deal those closers before their teams do.

Also, starting pitchers Mark Buehrle and Dontrelle Willis might generate considerable interest if they were available. Other hitters possibly on the block include Jacque Jones, Jack Wilson, Jermaine Dye and Elijah Dukes.

No matter what happens, there's nothing like a bunch of trades to liven up the fantasy season. Perhaps there is a cure for the summertime blues after all.

[Hache Man]

week that was
Real and potential trades dominate the news in this week's Week That Was.

Randy Johnson: Randy Johnson returned from the DL this week, but it was not pretty. The Big Unit gave up four runs in less than four innings of work. Boy, this is a tough one. What to do? If you are at the top of your league, the Unit is too risky for you. However, if you need to make a major move, then why not gamble on a guy capable of posting 100K in half of a season. My guess – the results will be strong, but there will be missed starts due to injury and some ugly outings. Reason for optimism – 72K and 13BB this season.

Yadier Molina: Yadier Molina returned from the DL this week without going on a rehab assignment. Before getting hurt, Molina was hitting a solid .273. What to do? The easy part is to tell you to grab Yadier if you are in a keeper league. This guy is only 24, is great defensively, improving offensively and has the poise and experience of winning a World Series. If you are looking at this year only, I would wait a week while he struggles to regain timing and then pounce. I see a solid second half for a catcher you could get cheap.

Shea Hillenbrand: The Angels did the expected and designated Shea Hillenbrand for assignment. The most prevalent rumor is that Shea will go to the New York team that does not play at Shea – the Yankees. If so, Hillenbrand would be a good source of cheap numbers. Yes, I know Hillenbrand has been bad this year. Yes, I know that the Yankees have been bad this year. However, the Yankees are too good to not hit and Hillenbrand, who hit 21 dingers in 2006 is just better than he has been this year.

Mark Buehrle: Mark Buehrle blocked out all of the trade rumors this week to post his 5th Win of the season. This is a situation that bears watching. If Buehrle moves to another AL team, his stats should improve (as the Chisox have not been good and US Cellular is not a good place to pitch). However, Buehrle becomes a must have if he lands in the NL. First, lefties who come to the NL often succeed big time. Second, Buehrle seems to be back to 04-05 form. Even pitching for a bad team in a bad park, Buehrle has posted a 3.33 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 100 innings. Recommendation: Buy.

Greg Maddux: Greg Maddux won for the 340th time in his career Wednesday.
Bottom line, this guy is just plain consistent. Pitching is just so hard to predict -- good pitchers get hurt or plain lose it and bad pitchers are well, bad. Maddux, on the other hand, is exactly as advertised year in and year out. This year, Maddux has posted a 1.23 WHIP, essentially same as the 1.22 he posted each of the last two years. Good park, good team, consistent pitcher. Buy.

Carlos Marmol: Carlos Marmol posted his first save on Wednesday against the Rockies. For those looking to catch lightning in a bottle, Marmol could be your guy. As of Thursday, Marmol had 29 strikeouts in just 21 innings (he also had 48 Ks in 41 AAA innings this year). At worst, you will get a reliever with upside who strikes out a bunch of guys. However, you could get a closer on the cheap. Either way, I would buy.

Mark DeRosa: Sticking with the Cubs, Mark DeRosa is hot again. Derosa has 8 hits in his last 5 games. More telling is that fact that in the last 6 weeks, DeRosa has hit .305 with 22 RBI. Not too shabby for a guy who qualifies at many positions and hits at Wrigley. Tell everyone in your league how Fontenot is hot, Ramirez is back, Itzturis is about to come on and grab DeRosa cheap. He is not flashy, but he will make a very productive back of the roster NL player in deep leagues.

Julio Lugo: According to reports out of Boston, the Sox are planning on sitting Julio Lugo more often in favor of Alex Cora. Frankly, I cannot figure out what happened to Lugo. He is only 31 and has hit over .270 four years in a row. Lugo is not going to win any votes for MVP, but he will not continue to hit under the Mendoza line all year. This is a serious buy low candidate. Act accordingly but do not overpay.

James Loney: In his first game as the Dodgers firstbaseman, James Loney went 3-for-5 with two runs and three RBI. This is an easy one. Get him if it is not too late. Loney hit .380 in AAA last year, then came to the show and hit .284 as a 22 year old rookie. Oh, and what has he done so far, nothing other than post a .476 average. Buy, Buy, Buy. For those of you in keeper leagues who are out of the running and looking to build for the future, Loney is definitely your man.

Cliff Floyd: Cliff Floyd is on fire. No, that is not another way for the slugger to get hurt, it is a description of his hitting. Floyd, who did not exactly come roaring out of the box, has upped his average to over .306. What to do? Another easy one. Run. Run very quickly to the nearest phone or internet cafe and sell high. Floyd has managed 400 AB or more only once in the last 4 years. The odds are that he will get hurt, or simply fall out of favor with Lou Piniella a la Jacque Jones. Sell while you still can.

Last but not least, wisdom from bottom kick himself in this week's Schultz Says: "Many times a change of scenery does wonders for an athlete. Given a clean slate, they can put whatever dissatisfaction they had with their prior team and productively move forward. For others, it just the building of a new bridge to burn. With the acquisition of Milton Bradley, the San Diego Padres are serving as a West coast version of Ellis Island taking baseball's wretched refuse onto its teeming shore. Having already worn out his welcome in Cleveland and Los Angeles, Bradley has become persona non grata in Oakland and will now be employed by his 4th team in 5 years. Even though he's immensely talented, Bradley is the definition of a head case. If you play in an NL-only league, don't get excited. He'll have his moments as a Padre but he'll be relatively worthless over the long haul.

One of the more exciting aspects of rotisserie baseball is snagging a high potential rookie who could blossom into a fantasy monster. More often than not though, the teams that devote all their time towards finding the next Dan Haren or Ryan Howard more often than not have their rosters filled with Mark Priors and Ryan Shealys and reside in their league's lower tier. It may not be sexy, but if you compiled a team full of such bland talent like Eric Byrnes, Chris Duncan and Placido Polanco, you are likely lapping your competition. When making mid-season trades pay attention to players putting up solid but not gaudy numbers, you may be able to pry them away from their owners for far less than they are worth. Think about it, if you had Yovani Gallardo and Chris Capuano at equal prices, wouldn't you want more for Gallardo, even though Capuano will have far greater value for the rest of 2007?

With your free time during this holiday week, take a second and go to jambands.com where you will find my article on U-Melt, a great emerging band from New York City. That is, if the censors let my shameless plug remain in print.

Enjoy the Independence Day holiday!

Response: Very solid advice on trading from Mr. Schultz, however, I disagree about Milton "the gamester" Bradley. If you are in a deep NL only league and have a shot at a great talent like Bradley, go for it.

Have a wonderful official start to summer.

[Hache Man]

Fireworks in Week 14
The Fourth of July falls smack dab in the middle of the week, essentially destroying virtually everybody's work-weeks. Most people will be taking either Monday and Tuesday off from work or Thursday and Friday for some much deserved rest and relaxation. Major League Baseball does not have that same luxury though; 22 teams have seven-game schedules in week 14, while the remainder play six times. Johan Santana, red-hot Carlos Zambrano, Dice K and Roy Oswalt each toe the slab twice. Find out what other hurlers get a couple nods, the weather forecast for the week, the latest on the injury report and some other essential stats to help you make those tough decisions in this edition of The Week Ahead.

Two-start pitchers:
Great options:
Johan Santana MIN @ NYY Mike Mussina, @ CHW Jose Contreras
Carlos Zambrano CHC @ WAS Micah Bowie, @ PIT Zach Duke
Brandon Webb ARI @ STL Braden Looper, @ CIN Homer Bailey
Daisuke Matsuzaka BOS vs. TB Scott Kazmir, @ DET Nate Robertson
Roy Oswalt HOU vs. PHI Adam Eaton, vs. NYM Orlando Hernandez
John Smoltz ATL @ LA Derek Lowe, @ SD David Wells
Derek Lowe LA vs. ATL John Smoltz, vs. FLA Sergio Mitre
Chien-Ming Wang NYY vs. MIN Carlos Silva, vs. LAA Ervin Santana
Aaron Harang CIN vs. SF Barry Zito, vs. ARI Randy Johnson
Scott Kazmir TB @ BOS Daisuke Matsuzaka, @ KC Gil Meche
Felix Hernandez SEA @ KC Gil Meche, @ OAK Lenny DiNardo
Joe Blanton OAK vs. TOR A.J. Burnett, vs. SEA Ryan Feierabend
Mark Buehrle CHW vs. BAL Erik Bedard, vs. MIN Matt Garza
Fausto Carmona CLE vs. TB Andy Sonnanstine, @ TOR Shaun Marcum
Roger Clemens NYY vs. MIN Boof Bonser, vs. LAA John Lackey
Barry Zito SF @ CIN Aaron Harang, @ STL Todd Wellemeyer
Ted Lilly CHC @ WAS Micah Bowie, @ PIT John Van Benschoten
Erik Bedard BAL @ CHW Mark Buehrle, @ TEX Brandon McCarthy
Ervin Santana LAA @ TEX Kevin Millwood, @ NYY Chien-Ming Wang
Javier Vazquez CHW vs. BAL Daniel Cabrera, vs. MIN Boof Bonser
Randy Wolf LA vs. ATL Kyle Davies, vs. FLA Scott Olsen
Greg Maddux SD vs. FLA Scott Olsen, vs. ATL Kyle Davies

More strong options:
Orlando Hernandez NYM @ COL Josh Fogg, @ HOU Roy Oswalt
Boof Bonser MIN @ NYY Roger Clemens, @ CHW Javier Vazquez
Gil Meche KC vs. SEA Felix Hernandez, vs. TB Scott Kazmir
Scott Olsen FLA @ SD Greg Maddux, @ LA Randy Wolf
Jeff Suppan MIL @ PIT John Van Benschoten, @ WAS Micah Bowie
Daniel Cabrera BAL @ CHW Javier Vazquez, @ TEX Kevin Millwood
Jose Contreras CHW vs. BAL Steve Trachsel, vs. MIN Johan Santana
Nate Robertson DET vs. CLE Paul Byrd, vs. BOS Daisuke Matsuzaka
Randy Johnson ARI @ STL Todd Wellemeyer, @ CIN Aaron Harang
Jamie Moyer PHI @ HOU Woody Williams, @ COL Rodrigo Lopez
Sergio Mitre FLA @ SD David Wells, @ LA Derek Lowe
Kevin Millwood TEX vs. LAA Ervin Santana, vs. BAL Daniel Cabrera
Paul Byrd CLE @ DET Nate Robertson, @ TOR Josh Towers
Chris Capuano MIL @ PIT Zach Duke, @ WAS Jason Bergmann

Other two-starters:
Adam Eaton PHI @ HOU Roy Oswalt, @ COL Jason Hirsh
Zach Duke PIT vs. MIL Chris Capuano, vs. CHC Carlos Zambrano
Andy Sonnanstine TB @ CLE Fausto Carmona, @ KC John Thomson
Jason Hirsh COL vs. NYM Tom Glavine, vs. PHI Adam Eaton
Kason Gabbard BOS vs. TEX Brandon McCarthy, @ DET Jeremy Bonderman
David Wells SD vs. FLA Sergio Mitre, vs. ATL John Smoltz
Braden Looper STL vs. ARI Brandon Webb, vs. SF Tim Lincecum
Lenny DiNardo OAK vs. TOR Josh Towers, vs. SEA Felix Hernandez
Brandon McCarthy TEX @ BOS Kason Gabbard, vs. BAL Erik Bedard
Micah Bowie WAS vs. CHC Carlos Zambrano, vs. MIL Chris Capuano
Woody Williams HOU vs. PHI Jamie Moyer, vs. NYM Tom Glavine
Kyle Davies ATL @ LA Randy Wolf, @ SD Greg Maddux
John Van Benschoten PIT vs. MIL Jeff Suppan, vs. CHC Ted Lilly
Todd Wellemeyer STL vs. ARI Randy Johnson, vs. SF Barry Zito
Jason Simontacchi WAS vs CHC Ted Lilly, vs CLE Paul Byrd
Josh Towers TOR @ OAK Lenny DiNardo, vs. CLE Paul Byrd
Ryan Feierabend SEA @ KC Jorge De La Rosa, @ OAK Joe Blanton

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Seven-game schedule: ARI, ATL, BAL, BOS, CHC, CHW, CLE, FLA, HOU, LA, OAK, MIL, MIN, NYM, NYY, PIT, SD, SEA, STL, TB, TEX, WAS
Six-game schedule: CIN, COL, DET, KC, LAA, PHI, SF, TOR
Five-game schedule: none

Rain threatened games:
Monday, July 2: PHI @ HOU (60%), MIL @ PIT (40%), CLE @ DET (40%)
Tuesday, July 3: PHI @ HOU (40%), LAA @ TEX (40%)
Wednesday, July 4: TB @ BOS (40%), MIN @ NYY (40%), PHI @ HOU (40%), MIL @ PIT (40%), BAL @ CHW (40%), CLE @ DET (40%), LAA @ TEX (40%)
Thursday, July 5: MIL @ PIT (50%), CLE @ DET (40%), ARI @ STL (60%), TB @ BOS (40%), NYM @ HOU (40%), SF @ CIN (60%), LAA @ TEX (40%)
Friday, July 6: CLE @ TOR (60%), CHC @ PIT (60%), MIL @ WAS (60%), NYM @ HOU (60%), ARI @ CIN (60%), SF @ STL (60%), TB @ KC (60%), BAL @ TEX (60%)
Saturday, July 7: NYM @ HOU (60%), BAL @ TEX (60%)
Sunday, July 8: NYM @ HOU (60%), BAL @ TEX (60%)

Stadium Factor:
ESPN - MLB Park Factors - Major League Baseball
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.335 runs – 1 vs TEX, 3 vs TB
2T. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.213 runs – 3 vs SF, 3 vs ARI
2T. Kauffman Stadium (Royals) 1.213 runs – 3 vs SEA, 3 vs TB
4. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.156 runs – 4 vs MIN, 3 vs LAA
5. Jacobs Field (Indians) 1.150 runs – 1 vs TB

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
1T. Petco Park (Padres) 0.830 runs – 4 vs FLA, 3 vs ATL
3. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.859 runs – 3 vs PHI, 4 vs NYM
5. Busch Stadium (Cardinals) 0.876 runs – 4 vs ARI, 3 vs SF
6T. McAfee Coliseum (Athletics) 0.898 runs – 3 vs TOR, 4 vs SEA
8. Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) 0.905 runs – 3 vs CLE

No Games: 1T. Turner Field (Braves) 0.830 runs, 4. Tropicana Field (Devil Rays) 0.860 runs, 6T. Camden Yards (Orioles) 0.898 runs

Caught Stealing %:
Toughest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. David Ross, CIN 18-for-35 (48.6%) – 3 vs SF, 3 vs ARI
2. Ronny Paulino, PIT 32-for-52 (38.5%) – 4 vs MIL, 3 vs CHC
3. Gerald Laird, TEX 35-for-56 (37.5%) – 1 @ BOS, 3 vs LAA, 3 vs BAL
4. Kenji Johjima, SEA 24-for-38 (36.8%) – 3 @ KC, 4 @ OAK
5. Russell Martin, LA 40-for-61 (34.4%) – 4 vs ATL, 3 vs FLA

Facing these catchers is bad news for Eric Byrnes (14-for-19 SB), Dave Roberts (13-for-15 SB), Corey Hart (16-for-18 SB), Alfonso Soriano (10-for-13 SB), Brian Roberts (25-for-29 SB), Corey Patterson (15-for-19 SB), Hanley Ramirez (23-for-30 SB), Willie Harris (10-for-14 SB)

Easiest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Jason Varitek, BOS 23-for-27 (14.8%) - 1 vs TEX, 3 vs TB, 3 @ DET
2. Brian McCann, ATL 29-for-36 (19.4%) – 4 @ LA, 3 @ SD
3. Johnny Estrada, MIL 37-for-46 (19.6%) – 4 @ PIT, 3 @ WAS
4. Jason Kendall, OAK 53-for-66 (19.7%) – 3 vs TOR, 4 vs SEA
5. Jorge Posada, NYY 59-for-74 (20.3%) – 4 vs MIN, 3 vs LAA

Facing these catchers is good news for Carl Crawford (20-for-26 SB), B.J. Upton (13-for-18 SB), Gary Sheffield (10-for-14 SB), Juan Pierre (26-for-34 SB), Russell Martin (13-for-15 SB), Chris Duffy (13-for-17 SB), Ichiro Suzuki (22-for-24 SB), Nick Punto (13-for-16 SB), Torii Hunter (11-for-16 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Cleveland: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Detroit: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Kansas City: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers
Minnesota: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Seattle: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Tampa Bay: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Toronto: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Red Sox, White Sox, Royals and Blue Jays play at least three lefties this week. That's good news for Manny Ramirez (.375 vs LHPs), Dustin Pedroia (.328 vs LHPs), Josh Field (.400 vs LHPs), Troy Glaus (.356 vs LHPs), Frank Thomas (.309 vs LHPs), Aaron Hill (.329 vs LHPs), Alex Rios (.316 vs LHPs)

And bad news for J.D. Drew (.213 vs LHPs), Julio Lugo (.206 vs LHPs), Jim Thome (.170 vs LHPs), Tadahito Iguchi (.190 vs LHPs), A.J. Pierzynski (.213 vs LHPs), Ryan Shealy (.125 vs LHPs), Mark Teahen (.235 vs LHPs), Alex Gordon (.228 vs LHPs), John Buck (.216 vs LHPs), Adam Lind (.176 vs LHPs), Jason Phillips (.186 vs LHPs), Gregg Zaun (.192 vs LHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago Cubs: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Houston: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers))
San Francisco: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Braves, Cubs, Rockies, Astros, Dodgers, Brewers, Cardinals and Nationals play at least three southpaws this week, while the Giants don't play any. This is good news for Jarrod Saltalamacchia (.341 vs LHPs), Edgar Renteria (.354 vs LHPs), Matt Diaz (.340 vs LHPs), Aramis Ramirez (.375 vs LHPs), Mike Fontenot (.353 vs LHPs), Derrek Lee (.340 vs LHPs), Ryan Spilborghs (.474 vs LHPs), Troy Tulowitzki (.365 vs LHPs), Willy Taveras (.364 vs LHPs), Mike Lamb (.391 vs LHPs), Hunter Pence (.417 vs LHPs), Craig Biggio (.333 vs LHPs), Russell Martin (.365 vs LHPs), Luis Gonzalez (.333 vs LHPs), Rafael Furcal (.358 vs LHPs), Ryan Braun (.519 vs LHPs), Corey Hart (.325 vs LHPs), David Eckstein (.380 vs LHPs), Ryan Zimmerman (.333 vs LHPs), Dmitri Young (.356 vs LHPs)

And bad news for Scott Thorman (.193 vs LHPs), Chris Woodward (.204 vs LHPs), Craig Wilson (.209 vs LHPs), Andruw Jones (.214 vs LHPs), Felix Pie (.129 vs LHPs), Cesar Izturis (.182 vs LHPs), Jacque Jones (.200 vs LHPs), Brad Hawpe (.183 vs LHPs), Chris Iannetta (.120 vs LHPs), Yorvit Torrealba (.216 vs LHPs), Jeff Baker (.216 vs LHPs), Jamey Carroll (.214 vs LHPs), Jason Lane (.146 vs LHPs), Lance Berkman (.228 vs LHPs), Juan Pierre (.217 vs LHPs), Wilson Betemit (.217 vs LHPs), Craig Counsell (.207 vs LHPs), Geoff Jenkins (.194 vs LHPs), Gary Bennett (.160 vs LHPs), Ryan Ludwick (.149 vs LHPs), Adam Kennedy (.139 vs LHPs), Juan Encarnacion (.200 vs LHPs), Scott Rolen (.208 vs LHPs), Jim Edmonds (.154 vs LHPs), Chris Duncan (.216 vs LHPs), Nook Logan (.238 vs LHPs), Brian Schneider (.208 vs LHPs), Mark Sweeney (.180 vs RHPs), Dave Roberts (.235 vs RHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 15:
Steve Trachsel, Jake Westbrook, Kenny Rogers, Jered Weaver, Jamey Wright, Mike Mussina, Jarrod Washburn, Brian Bannister, Edwin Jackson, Tim Wakefield, Dustin McGowan, Joe Kennedy, Livan Hernandez, Adam Wainwright, Chuck James, Hong-Chih Kuo, Rich Hill, Matt Chico, Josh Johnson, Chris Young, Claudio Vargas, Ian Snell, Orlando Hernandez, Josh Fogg, Cole Hamels, Chris Sampson, Matt Cain, Matt Belisle

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Moises Alou (quadriceps) – return early July
Garret Anderson (hip) – return early July
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) – out indefinitely
Endy Chavez (hamstring) – return late July
Jeff DaVanon (shoulder) – return early August
Chris Denorfia (elbow) – out for the season
Jermaine Dye (quadriceps) – day-to-day
Jim Edmonds (back) – return early July
Darin Erstad (ankle) – return mid-July
Reed Johnson (back) – return mid-July
Bobby Kielty (calf) – return early July
Fred Lewis (ribs) – return early July
Jason Repko (groin) – might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) – return July/August
Cody Ross (hamstring) – return mid-July
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) – return July
Jason Werth (wrist) – return mid-July
Rondell White (calf) – return early July
Preston Wilson (knee) – out for the season

Infielders
Rich Aurilia (neck) – return early July
Willy Aybar (hand) – out indefinitely
Hank Blalock (arm) – return August
Aaron Boone (knee) – return mid-July
Joe Crede (back) – likely out for the season
David Eckstein (back) – return early July
Adam Everett (leg) – return August
Robert Fick (personal) – return early July
Ryan Freel (neck) – return early July
Ross Gload (quadriceps) – return early July
Mark Grudzielanek (knee) – return mid-July
Cristian Guzman (thumb) – out for the season
Nick Johnson (leg) – return July
Maicer Izturis (hamstring) – return early July
Corey Koskie (concussion) – out indefinitely
Dallas McPherson (back) – return August/September
Doug Mientkiewicz (wrist) – return August
Lyle Overbay (wrist) – return mid-July
Pablo Ozuna (leg) – return August/September
Jason Smith (abdomen) – out indefinitely
Miguel Tejada (wrist) – return August
Mark Teixeira (quadriceps) – return mid-July
B.J. Upton (quadriceps) – return early July

Catchers:
Eliezer Alfonzo (knee) – return August/September
Henry Blanco (neck) – return early July
Hector Gimenez (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Vance Wilson (elbow) – out for the season

Designated Hitter:
David Dellucci (hamstring) – return September
Jason Giambi (foot) – out indefinitely
Mike Piazza (shoulder) – return mid-July
Mike Sweeney (knee) – return early July

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) – return August/September
Chris Capuano (groin) – return Tuesday vs PIT
Chris Carpenter (elbow) – return August/September
Matt Clement (shoulder) – return July/August
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) – return mid-July
Lance Cormier (arm) – return early July
Freddy Garcia (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Mike Hampton (ribs) – out for the season
Shawn Hill (elbow) – return late July
Luke Hudson (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Phil Hughes (hamstring) – return July/August
Jeff Karstens (leg) – out indefinitely
Jon Lieber (ankle) – return September
Francisco Liriano (elbow) – out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) – return July
Adam Loewen (elbow) – out for the season
Braden Looper (shoulder) – return early July
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) – return August
Wade Miller (back) – out indefinitely
Eric Milton (elbow) – out for the season
Mark Mulder (shoulder) – return July
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) – return mid-July
Russ Ortiz (arm) – return late July
Vicente Padilla (triceps) – return mid-July
John Patterson (biceps) – out indefinitely
Carl Pavano (elbow) – out for the season
Mark Prior (shoulder) – out for the season
Horacio Ramirez (shoulder) – return early July
Darrell Rasner (finger) – return August/September
Curt Schilling (shoulder) – return late July
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) – out for the season
Jaret Wright (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Victor Zambrano (arm) – return early July

Important Relievers:
Danys Baez (arm) – return early July
Kris Benson (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Yhency Brazoban (shoulder) – out for the season
Kiko Calero (shoulder) – return early July
Jesse Crain (shoulder) – out for the season
Ryan Dempster (ribs) – return mid-July
Elmer Dessens (shoulder) – return early July
Brendan Donnelly (arm) – return early July
Justin Duchscherer (hip) – return mid-July
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) – out for the season
Tom Gordon (shoulder) - return early July
Eddie Guardado (elbow) – return mid-July
Angel Guzman (arm) – return mid-July
Brandon League (shoulder) – return early July
Brad Lidge (ribs) – return late July
Zach Miner (elbow) – return early July
Brett Myers (shoulder) – return early July
Chris Reitsma (elbow) – return mid-July
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) – out for the season
Fernando Rodney (biceps) – return mid-July
B.J. Ryan (elbow) – out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) – return August
Mike Stanton (hamstring) – return early July
Huston Street (elbow) – out indefinitely
Salomon Torres (elbow) – return mid-July
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) – out for the season
Kerry Wood (triceps) – return late July
Joel Zumaya (finger) – return August

[Hache Man]

July Shortstop Rankings

Here are the July player rankings. Players are ranked based on how much I believe they'll be worth in 5x5 leagues over the rest of the year. Included along with the position rankings is an updated top 250 list.

Presented next week will be the Midseason Top 150 Prospects column.


Click the links below to see the other positional and overall rankings for June.

Outfielders
Third Basemen
Shortstops
Second Basemen
First Basemen & DH
Catchers
Starting Pitchers
Relief Pitchers
Top 250 Overall

Rank	Player Name	Team
1	Jose Reyes	NYM
2	Derek Jeter	NYY
3	Jimmy Rollins	PHI
4	Hanley Ramirez	FLA
5	Michael Young	TEX
6	Rafael Furcal	LA
7	Edgar Renteria	ATL
8	Orlando Cabrera	ANA
9	Carlos Guillen	DET
10	J.J. Hardy	MLW
11	Bill Hall	MLW
12	Julio Lugo	BOS
13	Jhonny Peralta	CLE
14	Miguel Tejada	BAL
15	Khalil Greene	SD
16	Troy Tulowitzki	COL
17	Felipe Lopez	WAS
18	Aaron Hill	TOR
19	Stephen Drew	ARZ
20	Freddy Sanchez	PIT
21	Jason Bartlett	MIN
22	Brendan Harris	TB
23	Juan Uribe	CWS
24	Bobby Crosby	OAK
25	Yuniesky Betancourt	SEA
26	Omar Vizquel	SF
27	Alex Gonzalez	CIN
28	David Eckstein	STL
29	Rich Aurilia	SF
30	Nick Punto	MIN
31	Jack Wilson	PIT
32	Tony Pena Jr.	KC
33	Yunel Escobar	ATL
34	Adam Everett	HOU
35	Cesar Izturis	CHC
36	Damion Easley	NYM
37	John McDonald	TOR
38	Aaron Miles	STL
39	Eric Bruntlett	HOU
40	Craig Counsell	MLW

Rising: Edgar Renteria (9 to 7), Orlando Cabrera (14 to 8), Carlos Guillen (13 to 9), Khalil Greene (19 to 15), Troy Tulowitzki (20 to 16), Jason Bartlett (25 to 21), Brendan Harris (31 to 22), Yunel Escobar (40 to 33)

Falling: Julio Lugo (8 to 12), Miguel Tejada (5 to 14), Felipe Lopez (12 to 17), Stephen Drew (17 to 19), Omar Vizquel (23 to 26), Rich Aurilia (24 to 29), Cristian Guzman (32 to NR), Royce Clayton (36 to NR)

Notes:
- I don't like having Guillen in the top 10 here when the likelihood of injury is so significant, but he obviously is capable of maintaining his recent level of performance and it's possible he'll manage a second straight relatively healthy season. I still think he's a sell-high candidate.

- Bartlett seems to be settling in nicely as the Twins' No. 2 hitter and he already has as many steals in 70 games this year (16) than he did in 181 career games entering the season. He's worth playing in shallow mixed leagues while he's hot.

- Lugo has sat out three straight games, but he's still easily Boston's best option at shortstop and it's only a matter of time before he breaks out of this slump. If he's been dropped in your mixed league, keep a very close eye on him.

[Hache Man]

July Outfielder Rankings

Here are the July player rankings. Players are ranked based on how much I believe they'll be worth in 5x5 leagues over the rest of the year. Included along with the position rankings is an updated top 250 list.

Presented next week will be the Midseason Top 150 Prospects column.



Click the links below to see the other positional and overall rankings for June.

Outfielders
Third Basemen
Shortstops
Second Basemen
First Basemen & DH
Catchers
Starting Pitchers
Relief Pitchers
Top 250 Overall

Rank	Player Name	Team
1	Vladimir Guerrero	ANA
2	Carl Crawford	TB
3	Carlos Beltran	NYM
4	Grady Sizemore	CLE
5	Alfonso Soriano	CHC
6	Matt Holliday	COL
7	Ichiro Suzuki	SEA
8	Carlos Lee	HOU
9	Manny Ramirez	BOS
10	Vernon Wells	TOR
11	Adam Dunn	CIN
12	Bobby Abreu	NYY
13	Gary Sheffield	DET
14	Jason Bay	PIT
15	Juan Pierre	LA
16	Magglio Ordoñez	DET
17	Alex Rios	TOR
18	Jeff Francoeur	ATL
19	Torii Hunter	MIN
20	Andruw Jones	ATL
21	Nick Swisher	OAK
22	Eric Byrnes	ARZ
23	Curtis Granderson	DET
24	Michael Cuddyer	MIN
25	Hideki Matsui	NYY
26	Nick Markakis	BAL
27	Gary Matthews Jr.	ANA
28	Barry Bonds	SF
29	J.D. Drew	BOS
30	Delmon Young	TB
31	Willy Taveras	COL
32	Hunter Pence	HOU
33	Brad Hawpe	COL
34	Corey Hart	MLW
35	Raul Ibanez	SEA
36	Johnny Damon	NYY
37	Jermaine Dye	CWS
38	Shane Victorino	PHI
39	Josh Willingham	FLA
40	Coco Crisp	BOS
41	Aaron Rowand	PHI
42	Kenny Lofton	TEX
43	Chris Young	ARZ
44	Corey Patterson	BAL
45	Mike Cameron	SD
46	Chris Duncan	STL
47	Sammy Sosa	TEX
48	Ken Griffey Jr.	CIN
49	Brian Giles	SD
50	Geoff Jenkins	MLW
51	Pat Burrell	PHI
52	Luis Gonzalez	LA
53	Moises Alou	NYM
54	Austin Kearns	WAS
55	Randy Winn	SF
56	Scott Podsednik	CWS
57	Jim Edmonds	STL
58	Craig Monroe	DET
59	Josh Hamilton	CIN
60	David DeJesus	KC
61	Xavier Nady	PIT
62	Ryan Freel	CIN
63	Reggie Willits	ANA
64	Jose Guillen	SEA
65	Jack Cust	OAK
66	Garret Anderson	ANA
67	Dave Roberts	SF
68	Shawn Green	NYM
69	Chris Duffy	PIT
70	Carlos Quentin	ARZ
71	Juan Encarnacion	STL
72	Jeremy Hermida	FLA
73	Brad Wilkerson	TEX
74	Rocco Baldelli	TB
75	Milton Bradley	SD
76	Jacque Jones	CHC
77	Ryan Church	WAS
78	Luke Scott	HOU
79	Cliff Floyd	CHC
80	Jay Gibbons	BAL
81	Reed Johnson	TOR
82	Jay Payton	BAL
83	Frank Catalanotto	TEX
84	Mark Kotsay	OAK
85	Willie Harris	ATL
86	Andre Ethier	LA
87	Jason Kubel	MIN
88	Shannon Stewart	OAK
89	Travis Buck	OAK
90	Matt Kemp	LA
91	Melky Cabrera	NYY
92	Juan Rivera	ANA
93	Trot Nixon	CLE
94	Felix Pie	CHC
95	Wily Mo Peña	BOS
96	Joey Gathright	KC
97	Marcus Thames	DET
98	Emil Brown	KC
99	Adam Lind	TOR
100	Darin Erstad	CWS
101	Jose Cruz Jr.	SD
102	Michael Bourn	PHI
103	Marlon Byrd	TEX
104	Ryan Klesko	SF
105	Franklin Gutierrez	CLE
106	Rondell White	MIN
107	Victor Diaz	TEX
108	Matt Diaz	ATL
109	Kevin Mench	MLW
110	Scott Hairston	ARZ
111	Elijah Dukes	TB
112	Endy Chavez	NYM
113	Reggie Sanders	KC
114	Nook Logan	WAS
115	Greg Norton	TB
116	Jason Michaels	CLE
117	Ryan Spilborghs	COL
118	Matt Murton	CHC
119	Ryan Langerhans	WAS
120	Billy Butler	KC
121	Rob Mackowiak	CWS
122	David Dellucci	CLE
123	Nate McLouth	PIT
124	Alejandro De Aza	FLA
125	Ryan Ludwick	STL

Rising: Vladimir Guerrero (2 to 1), Ichiro Suzuki (9 to 7), Gary Sheffield (17 to 13), Torii Hunter (23 to 19), Curtis Granderson (28 to 23), Gary Matthews Jr. (33 to 27), Hunter Pence (41 to 32), Corey Hart (69 to 34), Chris Young (52 to 43), Sammy Sosa (59 to 47), Luis Gonzalez (65 to 52), Scott Podsednik (71 to 56), Reggie Willits (79 to 63), Jack Cust (97 to 65), Willie Harris (105 to 85), Matt Kemp (120 to 90), Joey Gathright (NR to 96), Michael Bourn (NR to 102), Marlon Byrd (NR to 103), Franklin Gutierrez (NR to 105)

Falling: Manny Ramirez (7 to 9), Bobby Abreu (10 to 12), Jason Bay (12 to 14), Jeff Francoeur (15 to 18), Andruw Jones (16 to 20), Johnny Damon (22 to 36), Jermaine Dye (21 to 37), Corey Patterson (34 to 44), Pat Burrell (37 to 51), Chris Duffy (43 to 69), Rocco Baldelli (45 to 74), Jacque Jones (54 to 76), Elijah Dukes (77 to 111), Matt Murton (107 to 118), David Dellucci (81 to 122)

Notes:
- Such a promising beginning to the month quickly turned sour for Abreu. He still finished at .290 with two homers, 13 RBI, 23 runs scored and four steals, but so much more seemed to be on the way. While I expect his talent to win out in the end, these last two weeks have been discouraging, to say the least.

- Burrell, Abreu's long-time teammate, had an even rougher June and is now losing playing time to Bourn. He'll snap out of the slump if he gets the chance, but the Phillies may prefer that his opportunity come elsewhere. If they want to force him to accept a trade, it's a smart tactic. Of course, they're killing what chance they had of shedding the better part of his salary.

- Hart entered the year ranked as the No. 45 outfielder, dropped to No. 62 and then No. 69 before moving all of the way up to No. 34 this month. That I'm not sure one excellent month is guaranteed protection against Ned Yost jerking him around later this year is the only thing keeping him out of the top 30.

- Bradley began his fourth stint on the DL -- he has to have a chance of setting some sort of record -- following last week's trade to San Diego. He's expected back from a strained oblique after the All-Star break, and he should turn Jose Cruz Jr. into a bench player if he can start regularly. Petco Park takes away most of his upside in mixed leagues, but he could be an above average regular at a bargain price for San Diego.

[Hache Man]

July Starter Rankings

Here are the July player rankings. Players are ranked based on how much I believe they'll be worth in 5x5 leagues over the rest of the year. Included along with the position rankings is an updated top 250 list.

Presented next week will be the Midseason Top 150 Prospects column.



Click the links below to see the other positional and overall rankings for June.

Outfielders
Third Basemen
Shortstops
Second Basemen
First Basemen & DH
Catchers
Starting Pitchers
Relief Pitchers
Top 250 Overall

Rank	Player Name	Team
1	Johan Santana	MIN
2	Jake Peavy	SD
3	Brandon Webb	ARZ
4	Roy Oswalt	HOU
5	Daisuke Matsuzaka	BOS
6	C.C. Sabathia	CLE
7	Carlos Zambrano	CHC
8	Roy Halladay	TOR
9	Ben Sheets	MLW
10	John Smoltz	ATL
11	Josh Beckett	BOS
12	Dan Haren	OAK
13	Tim Hudson	ATL
14	John Lackey	ANA
15	Felix Hernandez	SEA
16	Erik Bedard	BAL
17	Chris Young	SD
18	Cole Hamels	PHI
19	Jeremy Bonderman	DET
20	Jered Weaver	ANA
21	Justin Verlander	DET
22	Brad Penny	LA
23	Matt Cain	SF
24	Curt Schilling	BOS
25	Ian Snell	PIT
26	Rich Hill	CHC
27	Derek Lowe	LA
28	Barry Zito	SF
29	John Maine	NYM
30	Scott Kazmir	TB
31	Aaron Harang	CIN
32	Randy Johnson	ARZ
33	Andy Pettitte	NYY
34	Roger Clemens	NYY
35	Kelvim Escobar	ANA
36	Greg Maddux	SD
37	Rich Harden	OAK
38	Ted Lilly	CHC
39	Mark Buehrle	CWS
40	Chien-Ming Wang	NYY
41	Dontrelle Willis	FLA
42	Bronson Arroyo	CIN
43	Bartolo Colon	ANA
44	Javier Vazquez	CWS
45	Oliver Perez	NYM
46	Chris Carpenter	STL
47	Tim Lincecum	SF
48	Chuck James	ATL
49	Randy Wolf	LA
50	Jose Contreras	CWS
51	Mike Mussina	NYY
52	Noah Lowry	SF
53	Tom Gorzelanny	PIT
54	Gil Meche	KC
55	Tom Glavine	NYM
56	James Shields	TB
57	Jon Garland	CWS
58	Chris Capuano	MLW
59	Orlando Hernandez	NYM
60	Joe Blanton	OAK
61	Daniel Cabrera	BAL
62	Kenny Rogers	DET
63	Chad Gaudin	OAK
64	A.J. Burnett	TOR
65	Jeff Francis	COL
66	Pedro Martinez	NYM
67	Dave Bush	MLW
68	Cliff Lee	CLE
69	Scott Olsen	FLA
70	Fausto Carmona	CLE
71	Nate Robertson	DET
72	Jeremy Guthrie	BAL
73	Jarrod Washburn	SEA
74	Kevin Millwood	TEX
75	Andrew Miller	DET
76	Adam Wainwright	STL
77	Chad Billingsley	LA
78	Ervin Santana	ANA
79	Josh Johnson	FLA
80	Matt Morris	SF
81	Yovani Gallardo	MLW
82	Jason Jennings	HOU
83	Boof Bonser	MIN
84	David Wells	SD
85	Jake Westbrook	CLE
86	Tim Wakefield	BOS
87	Paul Byrd	CLE
88	Jamie Moyer	PHI
89	Justin Germano	SD
90	Adam Eaton	PHI
91	Joe Kennedy	OAK
92	Homer Bailey	CIN
93	Sean Marshall	CHC
94	Kevin Slowey	MIN
95	Claudio Vargas	MLW
96	Jeff Suppan	MLW
97	Braden Looper	STL
98	Matt Garza	MIN
99	Micah Owings	ARZ
100	Jason Marquis	CHC
101	Jorge Sosa	NYM
102	Jon Lester	BOS
103	Matt Belisle	CIN
104	Shaun Marcum	TOR
105	Brandon McCarthy	TEX
106	Kyle Lohse	CIN
107	Scott Baker	MIN
108	Kyle Davies	ATL
109	Anthony Reyes	STL
110	Mark Hendrickson	LA
111	Mike Maroth	STL
112	Phil Hughes	NYY
113	John Danks	CWS
114	Wandy Rodriguez	HOU
115	Joe Saunders	ANA
116	Sergio Mitre	FLA
117	Carlos Silva	MIN
118	Mike Pelfrey	NYM
119	Kei Igawa	NYY
120	Adam Miller	CLE
121	Brian Bannister	KC
122	Dustin McGowan	TOR
123	Andy Sonnanstine	TB
124	Clay Buchholz	BOS
125	Mark Mulder	STL

Rising: Carlos Zambrano (10 to 7), Dan Haren (15 to 12), Justin Verlander (26 to 21), Brad Penny (34 to 22), Derek Lowe (39 to 27), Kelvim Escobar (44 to 35), Greg Maddux (45 to 36), Mark Buehrle (52 to 39), Oliver Perez (56 to 45), Chris Carpenter (90 to 46), Noah Lowry (61 to 52), Jon Garland (70 to 57), Joe Blanton (76 to 60), Kenny Rogers (104 to 62), Chad Gaudin (73 to 63), Pedro Martinez (74 to 66), Jeremy Guthrie (102 to 72), Andrew Miller (116 to 75), Chad Billingsley (52 RP to 77), Yovani Gallardo (93 to 81), Sean Marshall (112 to 93), Shaun Marcum (NR to 104)

Falling: Roy Oswalt (3 to 4), Roy Halladay (5 to 8), John Smoltz (7 to 10), Felix Hernandez (11 to 15), Matt Cain (17 to 23), Curt Schilling (16 to 24), Bronson Arroyo (29 to 42), Bartolo Colon (33 to 43), Daniel Cabrera (49 to 61), A.J. Burnett (24 to 64), Josh Johnson (63 to 79), Braden Looper (80 to 97), Jason Schmidt (41 to NR), Freddy Garcia (54 to NR), Jon Lieber (75 to NR), Zach Duke (95 to NR)

Notes:
- Neither the Rocket nor the Big Unit has looked close to ageless lately. Clemens falls from No. 31 to No. 34 this month. It's likely that he'll improve as he gets more innings in, but there's also a good chance that he'll miss time with a leg injury at some point. Johnson's back seems poised to limit him just like it did with the Yankees last year. He could still produce better results since he's working against NL lineups, but he might turn out to be more of a spot starter in mixed leagues. He drops from No. 27 to No. 32.

- Gallardo apparently is making the move to the bullpen with Capuano set to rejoin Milwaukee's rotation on Tuesday, but that shouldn't last forever. If I'm running the Brewers, I want Gallardo making postseason starts over Bush or Vargas. Gallardo should be worth using in NL-only leagues even while in the pen, and mixed leaguers should grab him when he earns a permanent rotation spot.

[Hache Man]

July Reliever Rankings

Here are the July player rankings. Players are ranked based on how much I believe they'll be worth in 5x5 leagues over the rest of the year. Included along with the position rankings is an updated top 250 list.

Presented next week will be the Midseason Top 150 Prospects column.



Click the links below to see the other positional and overall rankings for June.

Outfielders
Third Basemen
Shortstops
Second Basemen
First Basemen & DH
Catchers
Starting Pitchers
Relief Pitchers
Top 250 Overall

Rank	Player Name	Team
1	Francisco Rodriguez	ANA
2	Joe Nathan	MIN
3	Billy Wagner	NYM
4	Jonathan Papelbon	BOS
5	J.J. Putz	SEA
6	Mariano Rivera	NYY
7	Francisco Cordero	MLW
8	Bobby Jenks	CWS
9	Trevor Hoffman	SD
10	Takashi Saito	LA
11	Jose Valverde	ARZ
12	Jason Isringhausen	STL
13	Chad Cordero	WAS
14	Ryan Dempster	CHC
15	Bob Wickman	ATL
16	Chris Ray	BAL
17	Brian Fuentes	COL
18	Eric Gagne	TEX
19	Huston Street	OAK
20	Al Reyes	TB
21	Todd Jones	DET
22	Joe Borowski	CLE
23	Jeremy Accardo	TOR
24	Matt Capps	PIT
25	Octavio Dotel	KC
26	Kevin Gregg	FLA
27	Brad Lidge	HOU
28	David Weathers	CIN
29	Brad Hennessey	SF
30	Brett Myers	PHI
31	Dan Wheeler	HOU
32	Akinori Otsuka	TEX
33	Tom Gordon	PHI
34	Rafael Betancourt	CLE
35	Pat Neshek	MIN
36	Jonathan Broxton	LA
37	Rafael Soriano	ATL
38	Scot Shields	ANA
39	Hideki Okajima	BOS
40	Jon Rauch	WAS
41	Tony Peña	ARZ
42	Carlos Marmol	CHC
43	Scott Linebrink	SD
44	Casey Janssen	TOR
45	Justin Duchscherer	OAK
46	Carlos Villanueva	MLW
47	Alan Embree	OAK
48	Joakim Soria	KC
49	Armando Benitez	FLA
50	Bob Howry	CHC
51	Cla Meredith	SD
52	Manny Corpas	COL
53	Derrick Turnbow	MLW
54	Eddie Guardado	CIN
55	Zack Greinke	KC
56	Joe Smith	NYM
57	Heath Bell	SD
58	Aaron Heilman	NYM
59	Brandon Lyon	ARZ
60	Kevin Correia	SF

Rising: J.J. Putz (7 to 5), Jose Valverde (16 to 11), Ryan Dempster (20 to 14), Eric Gagne (24 to 18), Kevin Gregg (33 to 26), Brad Lidge (34 to 27), Carlos Marmol (NR to 42), Justin Duchscherer (56 to 45), Carlos Villanueva (60 to 46)

Falling: Chris Ray (11 to 16), Brian Fuentes (13 to 17), Huston Street (12 to 19), Todd Jones (18 to 21), Brett Myers (30 to 22), Dan Wheeler (23 to 31), Armando Benitez (29 to 49), Angel Guzman (48 to NR), Salomon Torres (49 to NR)

Notes:
- With so few sure things below him, the top 13 closers have pretty much all moved up in the overall top 250. It says a lot about the state of the position that Dempster has moved up from No. 20 to No. 14 even though he's on the disabled list.

- Fuentes had a 1.89 ERA before taking a blown save and a loss in four straight appearances. Removed from the closer's role, he gave up two more runs in a blowout loss Sunday. It doesn't seem like he's injured, but he's not hitting his spots at all, suggesting that his mechanics are off. Odds are that he'll work through his troubles and win back his job not long after the break. In the meantime, Manny Corpas looks like the favorite for saves in Colorado.

- It's easy to understand the frustration with Ray, but he's still Baltimore's best reliever and he's likely to finish the year as the team's closer. Maybe backing off him a bit and trying someone else for a couple of weeks wouldn't hurt, but it's not like the Orioles are long on options. Paul Shuey was the choice to close Saturday with Ray needing the day off. Shuey has looked OK since completing his comeback, but his old stuff isn't there and there's got to be at least a 30 percent chance he's on the DL by the end of the month. I'm not sure there's anyone behind Ray that I'd be looking to stash away in a fantasy league.

- Duchscherer is supposed to take over the closer's role from Embree in Oakland after the break, assuming that he's able to come back from his hip injury. Street is probably a month away.

[Hache Man]

All-Stars and Injuries
As is the case every year the All-Star selections dominated the weekend headlines, but this is primarily a fantasy baseball column and which players make the All-Star team really doesn't have a whole lot of impact on fantasy baseball. Plus, for all the gnashing of teeth that goes on across the country regarding who made the team and who didn't, everyone seems to forget 90 percent of both rosters and cease caring about the entire process within 48 hours of the actual game.

To me, the most interesting news is that Alex Rodriguez was the game's leading vote-getter and Barry Bonds received enough votes to grab a starting spot in the NL's outfield. Both things are well deserved, but a casual baseball fan might be surprised given the immense amount of media criticism both players receive. In particular, Bonds being popular enough among fans to get 2.3 million votes certainly doesn't match the spin put forth by various mainstream media members.

Joining Bonds in the NL outfield is Ken Griffey Jr., who'll try to stay healthy enough between now and July 10 to play in his first All-Star game since 1999. Griffey was 29 years old and started for the AL in center field that year, his final season with the Mariners. He was picked for the game in 2000 and 2004, but couldn't play due to injuries. Griffey celebrated by smacking career homer No. 585 Sunday, moving within one long ball of tying Frank Robinson for sixth on the all-time list.

While agenda-pushing newspaper columnists and talk-radio hosts try to wrap their heads around Bonds getting voted in, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Brian Fuentes had a 1.89 ERA through June 21, but amazingly blew a save and took a loss in four straight games before having ninth-inning duties yanked from him Saturday. Fuentes got into Sunday's game as a mop-up man, but gave up two more runs to push his ERA to 4.17. Manager Clint Hurdle hasn't named an official replacement for Fuentes, perhaps because he expects the demotion to be temporary.

Jeremy Affedlt, LaTroy Hawkins, and Jorge Julio could all be in the mix for saves, but Manny Corpas looks like the best bet as a short-term pickup and could emerge with long-term value too. Even if Fuentes snaps out of his funk and reclaims the job quickly, the Rockies could end up trading him to a contender before the end of the month anyway. Working with a good fastball-slider combination, Corpas has a 3.11 ERA, 56 strikeouts, and a 1.30 WHIP in 72 career innings.

* A.J. Burnett predictably headed back to the disabled list Sunday, just four days and one start after Toronto rushed him back to the mound. Burnett threw 130 pitches on June 7 and then left his start on June 12 with shoulder soreness, yet the Blue Jays decided that all he needed was two weeks off despite a long history of serious arm problems. And why? So he could get back in plenty of time to make a late-June start for a team that's below .500.

It's difficult to imagine how a team could handle a situation any worse than the Blue Jays have with Burnett. Between the needlessly huge pitch counts and lack of time off to recover from the arm problems that inevitably come from them, it'll be surprising if Burnett doesn't come down with another significant arm injury. For a $55 million investment with a history of breaking down, you'd think a little more caution would be in order.

* The latest on Mark Buehrle is that he could be back on the trading block after the White Sox refused to include a no-trade clause in the contract extension the two sides have been working on. The contract length (four years) and money ($56 million) have reportedly been agreed upon, but general manager Ken Williams made it clear Sunday that he has no plans to hand out a no-trade clause in order to get the deal done.

Both major Chicago newspapers suggested Monday that a trade could come quickly if Williams decides that the contract isn't doable, with the Mets, Braves, and Dodgers mentioned as possible destinations for Buehrle. On a related note, Jose Contreras said last week that he'd be willing to waive his no-trade clause if asked, but the White Sox revealed Sunday that Contreras' veto power actually expired back in November.

AL Quick Hits: Talk of Justin Duchscherer (hip) stepping in as closer following the All-Star break may be put on hold after his scheduled bullpen session was scratched twice over the weekend … Interim manager Dave Trembley hinted Sunday that Chris Ray could be on the verge of losing the full-time closer job … Dan Haren allowed a season-high five runs Sunday, but still won his 10th straight decision … In just his ninth game back from the disabled list, Scott Podsednik left Sunday's game with a strained rib-cage muscle … With Mike Piazza's shoulder still sore, the A's could scrap their plan to have him return as a catcher … The Angels could get both Maicer Izturis (hamstring) and Garret Anderson (hip) back Tuesday … Phil Hughes (hamstring, ankle) has thrown two bullpen sessions and remains on target for a possible late-July return … Akinori Otsuka left Sunday's game with stiffness in his right forearm … After their home-plate collision Sunday, both Melvin Mora and Mike Napoli figure to miss time with foot injuries … With eight innings of one-run ball Sunday, Jeff Weaver is now 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last five starts after beginning the season 0-6 with a 14.32 ERA.

NL Quick Hits: Oliver Perez (back) will likely be scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday, with Jason Vargas coming up from Triple-A to take his place … Brad Lidge (oblique) could return from the disabled list as soon as Tuesday, but manager Phil Garner said Sunday that he "won't put him right back in the closer's role" … Homer Bailey could be headed back to Triple-A after getting knocked around Sunday for the second straight start … Eyeing a return soon after the All-Star break, Tom Gordon (shoulder) is slated to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday … Slowing no signs of slowing down despite a poor strikeout-to-walk ratio, Hunter Pence collected four more hits Sunday … A quadriceps injury kept Willy Taveras out of the lineup for back-to-back games over the weekend, but he did pinch-hit Sunday … Daily Dose favorites Tim Lincecum and Chad Billingsley combined for 14 shutout innings Sunday while racking up 21 strikeouts … In perhaps the least-surprising news of the entire season, Milton Bradley (oblique) begins his Padres career on the DL.

[Hache Man]

Clemens Wins No. 350
Roger Clemens turned in his first truly outstanding start of the season Monday night, holding the Twins to one run over eight innings to pick up the 350th victory of his career. Clemens becomes just the eighth pitcher in baseball history to record 350 wins and the first since a 42-year-old Warren Spahn reached that mark in September of 1963. With 340 wins, Greg Maddux has a chance to make it a nine-member club at some point next season.

Clemens allowed just two hits and only Joe Mauer's double was well-struck, but he was far from his usual overpowering self. Clemens managed just four strikeouts, giving him a total of five punch-outs in his last 15 innings after racking up 21 strikeouts in his first 16.2 frames. Instead of focusing on missing bats, Clemens worked efficiently by using just 97 pitches to record 24 outs and handed out a lone walk to Justin Morneau.

It was definitely a very encouraging outing for Clemens coming off back-to-back rough starts, but Minnesota's lineup is far from potent and the lack of strikeouts are somewhat concerning. At this point Clemens might be better off focusing on throwing strikes and inducing weak contact rather than working deep into counts trying for strikeouts, but the lack of missed bats stemming for that approach would significantly decrease his fantasy potential for the second half.

Meanwhile, Clemens' 350th win was somewhat overshadowed by Alex Rodriguez exiting the game with a hamstring injury after colliding with Morneau on a close play at first base. Morneau spent most of last week in the hospital after coughing up blood with a bruised lung, but he was fine despite crashing to the ground. However, Rodriguez had to leave the game after initially trying to play through the injury and the Yankees are expected to update his status Tuesday.

While the Yankees hope that Rodriguez's most recent run-in at first base works out slightly better than the last time, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Dan Wheeler entered Monday's game with the Astros holding a four-run lead in the ninth inning, promptly gave up two runs while recording two outs, and was replaced by Trever Miller (who got the final out for his first save of the season). Wheeler had put together back-to-back scoreless outings prior to Monday, but his ERA has ballooned back up to 6.28 and he's now allowed multiple runs in six of his last 14 appearances dating back to June 1.

The good news for the Astros is that Brad Lidge could be ready to return from a strained oblique muscle much earlier than initially expected. Lidge threw a 28-pitch simulated game Monday and reported no problems afterward, suggesting that he could come off the disabled list as soon as Wednesday. Lidge has had his share of problems in the closer role too, but he'll immediately resume ninth-inning duties and had a 0.92 ERA in his last 29.1 innings prior to landing on the DL.

* After experiencing yet another setback in his recovery over the weekend, Justin Duchscherer decided Monday to undergo season-ending hip surgery. With Huston Street and Kiko Calero on the disabled list and Rich Harden still fragile, the A's had been hoping that Duchscherer could return shortly after the All-Star break and take over ninth-inning duties. Instead, Alan Embree figures to hold onto the job until Street is back, which could be by the end of the month.

Street is scheduled to throw off a mound Tuesday, which is a major step. Embree and Santiago Casilla have pitched well without Street, Duchscherer, and Calero around, giving the A's a potentially formidable bullpen for the stretch run. However, losing Duchscherer for the remainder of the season (and perhaps into next year) is a big blow. He's been among baseball's best setup men since 2004, but faces a long road back following surgery.

* Ian Kinsler left Thursday's game with a sore foot and an MRI taken Monday revealed a stress fracture that will keep him out for at least three weeks. Kinsler could be sidelined for as long as two months, which along with injuries to Mark Teixeira and Hank Blalock leaves the last-place Rangers without three-fourths of their starting infield as they dropped to 14 games below .500 with Monday's loss to the Red Sox.

Manager Ron Washington would like to use Jerry Hairston Jr. as Kinsler's primary replacement, but Hairston has missed back-to-back games with a knee injury of his own. Instead, Ramon Vazquez started at second base Sunday and Desi Relaford got the nod Monday, with Travis Metcalf starting both games at third base. Of those three, only Metcalf has any kind of fantasy potential and even that's limited. Hairston has the speed to be a worthwhile AL-only pickup.

For much more on the Rangers' many injuries and possible trades, check out Monday's "Fantasy Fix" show with Yours Truly and Gregg Rosenthal on NBCSports.com.

AL Quick Hits: B.J. Upton (quadriceps) suffered a setback while on a minor-league rehab assignment Sunday at Triple-A, ruling out a return before Friday … With Mike Sweeney (back) expected to come off the disabled list this weekend, Billy Butler will return to Triple-A for regular at-bats … Chris Ray shook off the closer-by-committee talk to strike out the side Monday, picking up his first save since June 8 … Joel Zumaya (finger) has been cleared to begin a throwing program, but continues to target a September return … With Scott Podsednik (rib) headed back on the shelf, Jerry Owens will get another chance in Chicago … Curt Schilling (shoulder) threw from flat ground Monday, but remains unlikely to return until after the All-Star break … Fausto Carmona struck out a season-high eight batters Monday, turning in his 13th Quality Start in 16 tries … Coco Crisp (thumb) is expected to be back in the lineup Tuesday, meaning Jacoby Ellsbury's first stint in the majors will be a short one … Melvin Mora (foot) could miss several more games, but figures to avoid the DL … Jose Molina figures to see the bulk of the time behind the plate while Mike Napoli (ankle) is sidelined.

NL Quick Hits: Seemingly the favorite for saves following Brian Fuentes' demotion, Manny Corpas pitched a scoreless ninth inning with a four-run lead Monday … Hanley Ramirez appeared to be in serious pain before leaving Monday's game with a hamstring injury, but the Marlins are calling him day-to-day … Craig Biggio collected three more hits Monday, becoming the 27th player in baseball history with 1,000 career extra-base hits … As expected, the Mets placed Oliver Perez (back) on the disabled list Monday, calling up Jason Vargas to take his place in the rotation … Jim Edmonds (back) was eligible to return Monday, but won't be back until after the All-Star break … With a four-hit game Monday, Russell Martin is batting .365 in 15 games as the Dodgers' No. 3 hitter … Told Monday that he doesn't have structural damage in his elbow, Zach Duke is expected to seek a second opinion after being placed on the DL … Damian Miller went 4-for-5 with two homers and seven RBIs Monday, giving him three homers and 11 RBIs over the past two games … After spraining his ankle Monday, Jason Hirsh will likely have his start this weekend skipped.

[Hache Man]

Prospects: Carrasco and Walker
With the draft monopolizing coverage here of late, I've been neglecting one of the other great summer events for prospect watchers. The Futures Game will be held this Sunday, July, 9, at 4 p.m. ET. It's a great chance to see a wide variety of prospects up close and personal, with players bringing their best game in one of their biggest moments of the year. This year the U.S. team is significantly stronger than the World team, thanks mostly to a stacked lineup that includes Jay Bruce, Justin Upton, Evan Longoria, Chris Coghlan, Steve Pearce and others. The World team has some intriguing pitchers like Deolis Guerra, Henry Sosa, and the below profiled Carlos Carrasco, so it should be an interesting exhibition regardless. I'd highly recommend tuning in.


Callups


Jacoby Ellsbury – OF Red Sox – The Red Sox's prize position prospect, Ellsbury was the 23rd selection in the 2005 draft after a distinguished career at Oregon State. The 6'1", 180-pound left-hander was coming off an excellent junior season, batting .406 to go with more walks (36) than strikeouts (21) as well as 26 stolen bases. Ellsbury was also known as an excellent defensive center fielder and he had performed well in his freshman and sophomore seasons, so he entered the draft a surefire first-rounder.

Ellsbury performed well after signing and getting assigned to Lowell of the New York-Penn League, hitting .317 and showing the excellent plate discipline and speed that scouts had come to expect. A promotion to High-A Wilmington the following season proved appropriate after Ellsbury continued to perform, and a mid-season move to Double-A Portland saw the left-hander post similar results. For the season, Ellsbury posted a .303/.382/.425 line to go with a 53/49 K/BB ratio and 41 steals in 58 attempts. Back at Portland to start the 2007 campaign, Ellsbury hit .452 in 17 games before moving to Triple-A Pawtucket. Ellsbury was hitting just .277 and showing less doubles power after the promotion, but his plate discipline and base-stealing skills were still very much intact.

While Ellsbury has yet to show even average power potential, he could develop 15-homer power down the road as his body fills out. For now he'll rely on his quality on-base skills and some of the best speed in the minors to supplement his outstanding defense. The club called on Ellsbury with starting center fielder Coco Crisp battling a thumb injury, allowing the top prospect a few starts in the short-term. Crisp is supposedly due back on Tuesday, and if he looks healthy Ellsbury will probably be sent back to the minors on Wednesday or Thursday. That means it's too late to extract any short-term value out of the Red Sox's future center fielder, but it might mean you're able to stash him away in keeper leagues now. Once he's fully developed, Ellsbury should hit .300 to go with 100+ runs and 40 steals annually. Recommendation: Claim in keeper formats.

Kason Gabbard – LHP Red Sox – Gabbard hasn't had the easiest path to the majors, suffering from an array of nagging injuries during his first few seasons in professional ball. He also didn't have the command or strikeout rate to look like a top prospect, but his sinking fastball and plus changeup induced enough grounders to leave him mildly effective. Gabbard finally had a full season of productivity in 2006, dropping his walk rate and increasing his strikeouts while continuing to get opposing hitters to pound the ball into the ground. That Gabbard was 24 and struggled after a promotion were negatives, but his 3.66 and 116/51 K/BB ratio between the two levels was solid enough. That he was able to get over three times as many outs on the ground compared to in the air helped keep his ERA low.

Gabbard filled in with the major league squad for a few instances as well last season, posting a 3.51 ERA in four starts and three relief appearances. That he walked more batters (16) than he struck out (15) during his debut showed he wasn't big league ready yet. Back to Triple-A Pawtucket to begin the 2007 season, Gabbard is looking more like the pitcher who dominated Double-A early last year. The left-hander was posting a solid 3.24 ERA to go with an improved 64/25 K/BB ratio before being promoted.

With Curt Schilling out through the All-Star break, Gabbard will get a few starts in his place. The left-hander struggled with command in his first two starts, walking six and giving up four runs in 3 1/3 innings against the Mariners and then walking four in 5 2/3 innings of three-run ball against the Rangers. Gabbard will face the Tigers on Saturday before resting over the All-Star break. If Schilling is ready after the break, Gabbard will head back to the minors. He's not a good play against the Tigers this week, but he's someone to watch in AL-only leagues and could be a decent innings-eater down the road. Recommendation: Monitor in AL-only formats.

Jeff Mathis – C Angels – It's been a disappointing couple of seasons for Mathis, who looked like an excellent prospect from the day he was drafted 33rd overall in 2001 up through the 2003 season. Mathis had shown the ability to hit for average, gap power that projected to improve with time, and solid plate discipline, so there was little in his statistical profile that suggested Mathis would fall off a cliff. Unfortunately, the right-hander started striking out more often in 2004 at Double-A Arkansas, and his average plummeted to .227 as a result. Mathis' power also had yet to develop as much as originally hoped, so it was a disappointing season.

Promoted to Triple-A Salt Lake despite the poor performance, Mathis rewarded the Angels' faith by slugging 21 homers and raising his average back up to .276. He struck out a bit less and his power improved, so it was a season of gain for the youngster. However, Mathis fell victim to another setback in 2006, posting a disappointing 763 OPS as a 23-year-old in Triple-A. The 2007 campaign has been similarly unfriendly to Mathis as he was hitting just .244/.295/.376 in 250 at-bats for Salt Lake.

Mathis is still just 24 and catchers are known for developing later than expected, but his prospect status has taken a big hit. While the club would be well-advised to hold on to Mathis and hope he can rediscover the stroke that made him such a top prospect, there's no longer a guarantee that he'll become a quality regular. The Angels will use both Mathis and Jose Molina while Mike Napoli is out with a sprained ankle. It's unlikely that Mathis will have much value in the short-term, but those in two-catcher AL-only formats may want to take a chance on him. If your league has even a moderately deep farm system I'd recommend holding on to Mathis for another year in keeper leagues, though there could be plenty of better options on your waiver wire. Recommendation: Monitor in deep AL-only and keeper leagues.

Edwar Ramirez – RHP Yankees – A undrafted free agent singed by the Angels in 2001, Ramirez bounced around the low minors before eventually being released following the 2003 season. Ramirez decided to work on a changeup to supplement his low-90s fastball, and it was the best decision he could have made. The changeup has developed into an excellent pitch, and the Angels signed him again after he dominated in an Independent League during the summer of 2005. Ramirez went back to a different Independent League in 2006, and the Yankees picked him up in July of last season. Ramirez followed by posting a 47/6 K/BB ratio and 1.17 ERA in 30 2/3 innings for High-A Tampa.

Ramirez was already 25 at the time and there was some skepticism he'd succeed relying on a changeup and an average fastball. However, the right-hander has worked on further developing his slider this season, helping him to continue dominating after being promoted to Double-A and then Triple-A this year. Between the two stops, Ramirez has a ridiculous 80 strikeouts to go with 17 walks and a 0.62 ERA in 43 1/3 innings of work.

The Yankees have come calling and will use Ramirez in middle relief for now. It will be an interesting study to see if Ramirez's success can hold up at the major league level. His command isn't excellent, particularly with his fastball, and he'll need to throw his slider more in the majors. However, his changeup is a legitimately plus pitch and it could give hitters fits in short doses. While he's no lock to be of use, Ramirez is worth a flier in any league that values middle relievers. Recommendation: Claim in deep AL-only leagues.


Prospect Profiles


Carlos Carrasco – RHP Phillies – A prized free agent signed out of Venezuela in 2003, Carrasco had an encouraging debut in the Gulf Cost League that summer. He showed solid command and struck out 34 batters in 48 innings as a 17-year-old, putting him on prospect maps almost immediately. His 2005 campaign didn't go as swimmingly, as Carrasco struggled adjusting to higher levels and found he simply couldn't overpower bigger hitters. Carrasco gave up 73 earned runs in 83 innings between the South Atlantic, New York-Penn, and Gulf Cost Leagues that summer, and he was lumped in with your typical young and promising arms with a long way to go as a result.

However, everything came together in 2006 for Carrasco. Back at Lakewood of the South Atlantic League, Carrasco showed top of the rotation potential by posting a 2.26 ERA and 159/65 K/BB ratio in 159 1/3 innings. Single-A batters hit just .182 off the right-hander, and he gave up just six homers all season. While the walk rate was far from ideal, Carrasco was still just 19-years-old and had shown a lot of progress with his secondary offerings. There were still areas for improvement, but it was good as could be expected from the youngster.

Moved up to High-A Clearwater to begin the 2007 campaign, Carrasco has continued to succeed. Before being promoted to Double-A, the right-hander had a 2.84 ERA and 53/22 K/BB ratio in 69 2/3 innings of work. Carrasco hasn't looked as good in three starts for Double-A Reading, struggling with his command more often and giving up eight runs in 16 1/3 innings over three starts. It's not a huge concern, but it does highlight that Carrasco still has more work to do.

Carrasco's best pitch is his low-90s, sinking fastball, which he controls fairly well. Despite the sinking action, Carrasco is a flyball pitcher, retiring only slightly more batters through the ground than through the air. It's something that could be a concern when he reaches the majors and has to pitch half his games at Citizens Bank Park, but it's not something that will stop him from being a quality pitcher for the Phillies or fantasy leaguers. In addition to his fastball, Carrasco has an excellent changeup and a slow curve that's still development.

The keys for Carrasco as he continues his march to the majors will be improving his control and improving his curve. He already has two plus pitches to use against big league hitters, and an average third pitch with even decent control should allow him to be effective. There's potential for much more than that, and Carrasco should likely be a No. 2 starter for the Phillies. The club should continue to take it slow with him, but a debut early next season can't be ruled out. It'd be better if he was held back until the latter parts of 2008 or even 2009, as he'll be just 22-years-old in the latter season. He's someone who will need to be monitored in all leagues.

Neil Walker – 3B Pirates – Expectations were high when the Pirates selected a local kid from a Gibsonia, Philadelphia high school with the 11th overall selection in the 2004 draft. Walker was a 6'3", 200-pound switch-hitting catcher with a smooth and polished swing from both sides of the plate when he was drafted. Reports on his play behind the plate were somewhat split, but most agreed that Walker needed a lot of help on defense. That Walker was athletic enough to be considered as a potential wide receiver for the University of Iowa meant he would probably develop the tools to remain behind the plate, but it was very much in doubt.

Walker signed quickly after being drafted and had a decent debut in 60 games between the Gulf Coast League and the New York-Penn League. The bigger test was a move to full-season ball in 2005, and Walker handled the move relatively well by batting .301 with 12 homers and 33 doubles in 485 at-bats for Single-A Hickory. That Walker walked just 20 times was of concern, but he also wasn't swinging at many bad pitches as he struck out in just 71 of those at-bats. A late season promotion to High-A Lynchburg didn't go well, but Walker was just 19 and it was an encouraging first full season.

Walker injured his wrist playing in the Arizona Fall League that off-season and eventually needed surgery. He missed the first six weeks of the 2006 campaign as a result, but once he was ready he was assigned back to Lynchburg. Walker continued hitting for a decent average by batting .284, but his power and on-base percentage weren't improving. A promotion to Double-A Altoona didn't go well at all, and Walker's status as a prospect took a pretty significant hit as a result. He should have been given at least a partial pass due to the injury, but that he struggled all year was concerning. That Walker's defense was still below average was also a concern, and fueled rumors that he might be moved off the position.

The Pirates weren't concerned with Walker's lack of production, as they stuck him right back at Altoona to start this season. However, the team decided his defense wasn't going to be good enough to be a long-term option in the majors, so Walker is now a third basemen. Now able to focus more on his batting, Walker's bat has woken up as he's hitting an impressive .301/.368/.528 to date that includes 24 doubles and 12 homers while earning a trip to the Eastern League All-Star game. Walker had drawn a total of 52 walks in over 1,000 professional at-bats entering this year, so that he's drawn 32 free passes in just 282 at-bats is a big plus. Walker also still has just 47 strikeouts, so he's not increasing his power at the expense of the rest of his offensive profile. Throw in that Walker has seven steals, is hitting well from both sides of the plate, and looks like he'll develop defensively at the hot corner, and his stock is very much on the rise.

Walker won't turn 22 until September, so he's still plenty young for his level. Scouts have always liked Walker's balanced swing and it should translate well at higher levels. That he's athletic should help Walker develop defensively and that he'll add a handful of steals each year will aid his fantasy value. He should continue to add power as he matures, and it's likely that defense will be the final chip to fall into place before Walker becomes a regular with the Pirates. In his prime, Walker could provide a balanced offensive attack that includes a high batting average and 25 or 30 homers per season. He probably won't take over as a regular until the middle of 2008, but he should prove useful in NL-only leagues right away. Mixed leaguers may need to have more patience with the former catcher, but Walker has plenty of potential.

[Hache Man]

Rolling Dice-K
Back in May, when Daisuke Matsuzaka was sporting an ugly 5.45 ERA, I used this space to opine that "there's plenty of evidence to suggest that he's pitched better than the … ERA shows thus far." Specifically, I cited a strong strikeout rate, low opponent's batting average, and surprising ability to keep the ball in the ballpark while concluding that Matsuzaka had "performed more like a 3.50 or 3.75 ERA pitcher."

It's about two months later and, after shutting out the Devil Rays for eight innings Tuesday, Matsuzaka's ERA is down to 3.53. Plenty of people misguidedly labeled him a quasi-bust after some early season struggles, but Matsuzaka is now 10-5 with a 3.53 ERA, 119-to-37 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.19 WHIP in 114.2 innings. In other words, he's been exactly the type of pitcher the Red Sox were hoping for when they forked over $103 million to get him this offseason.

Matsuzaka has allowed no more than two runs in any of his last six starts, during which span he's posted a 1.29 ERA, 51-to-16 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .174 opponent's batting average in 42 innings. Going back even further, he's 7-3 with a 2.58 ERA, 80-to-22 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .228 opponent's batting average in 11 starts dating back to May 9. For all the talk of the league supposedly catching up to Matsuzaka as the season wears on, the opposite appears to be true.

While Dice-K heads into the All-Star break as a top-five fantasy starter, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Randy Johnson struggled in his return from the disabled list last week, but said afterward that he was "looking forward to my next start." That may still be true, but the "next start" won't come for a while after he was placed back on the shelf Tuesday. Yusmeiro Petit was called up from Triple-A to take Johnson's turn in the rotation and pitched well, holding the Cardinals to one run on five hits over 5.1 innings.

Never considered a top prospect in tools-based evaluations because of his mediocre fastball velocity, Petit emerged as a favorite among many performance-based analysts thanks to outstanding minor-league numbers. However, he's been traded twice in the past 18 months and posted an ugly 9.57 ERA in 26.1 big-league innings with the Marlins last season after struggling somewhat at Triple-A.

With a 4.09 ERA and 55-to-36 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 83.2 innings spread over 15 starts, Petit's performance at Triple-A this season hasn't been any better. However, he's pitched well in two starts with the Diamondbacks and has a good chance to remain in the rotation for as long as Johnson is sidelined. An extreme fly-ball pitcher in a major hitter's ballpark, Petit's fantasy value is somewhat limited. With that said, he's someone to keep an eye on going forward.

* Billy Butler struggled in his first stint with the Royals earlier this season, but has shown why he's one of the best hitting prospects in baseball since being called back up from Triple-A in mid-June. Butler went 3-for-5 with a homer and six RBIs Tuesday, leading the Royals to a 17-3 victory over the Mariners. He's now 11-for-33 (.333) with two homers and three doubles since being recalled from Omaha, where he batted .291 with 13 homers, 46 RBIs, and a .954 OPS in 57 games.

Butler blasted a three-run homer in the first inning and then smacked a bases-loaded double in the second inning, becoming the youngest player to amass six RBIs in a game since Alex Rodriguez did so as a 20-year-old in 1996. After sitting out most of interleague play, Butler has been serving as the Royals' starting designated hitter. Unfortunately, with Mike Sweeney due back from the disabled list this weekend, the at-bats may quickly dry up.

* After going 9-6 with a 4.33 ERA through 17 starts, Randy Wolf was knocked around for six runs in three innings Tuesday and complained of shoulder soreness afterward. He was available to the Dodgers as a low-cost, high-upside pickup this winter because of a long injury history, so the fact that he's headed to the disabled list again should come as no surprise. It remains to be seen how long Wolf will be sidelined this time, but D.J. Houlton figures to start in his place Tuesday.

* It won't be official until after his bullpen session Wednesday, but John Smoltz is expected to be scratched from his scheduled start Saturday because of shoulder soreness. Smoltz also missed a start last month with shoulder problems, but indicated Tuesday that he doesn't view the latest injury as especially serious. "We're planning by looking at the whole season," Smoltz said. "One start doesn't matter." Thanks to the All-Star break, Smoltz could take 10 days between starts.

* Chris Capuano returned from the disabled list Tuesday and lasted just 3.1 innings against the Pirates, using 84 pitches to record 10 outs while allowing two runs. Bumped from the rotation to make room for Capuano, Yovani Gallardo relieved him and also struggled in his first work out of the bullpen, giving up four runs in 2.2 innings. Capuano should get stronger as his stamina returns and, for now at least, Daily Dose's favorite prospect will remain in the majors as a reliever.

AL Quick Hits: Manager Bob Geren indicated Tuesday that Rich Harden could start Saturday against the Mariners if his scheduled bullpen session Wednesday goes well … David Ortiz said Tuesday that he continues to struggle with a quadriceps injury, but doesn't plan to skip the All-Star game … Mark Teixeira (quadriceps) could begin a minor-league rehab assignment as soon as this weekend … Ervin Santana lost Tuesday, but responded to concerns about his health by racking up a career-high 11 strikeouts … Kenji Johjima (wrist) won't play Wednesday, but could be back as soon as Thursday … B.J. Upton (quadriceps) is no longer expected to return before the All-Star break … Esteban Loaiza played catch Tuesday for the first time since undergoing knee surgery and hopes to return by the end of the month … He doesn't figure to have much of a role, but manager Terry Francona said Tuesday that Jacoby Ellsbury will remain with the Red Sox through the All-Star break … Brad Wilkerson turned in the AL's first three-homer game Tuesday, giving him five homers and 15 RBIs over the past seven games.

NL Quick Hits: Brad Lidge's comeback from a strained oblique muscle has been put on hold because of knee soreness … Hanley Ramirez (hamstring) didn't start Tuesday, but came off the bench with a pinch-hit homer … Making his first minor-league rehab start Tuesday at Single-A, Chris Carpenter (elbow) lasted just 1.1 innings while allowing five runs … Barry Bonds took Aaron Harang deep Tuesday for career homer No. 751 … With another solid outing Tuesday, Carlos Zambrano joined Ben Sheets and Brad Penny's as the NL's only 10-game winners … After receiving three cortisone shots Monday, David Eckstein (back) won't return until after the All-Star break … Following a three-inning simulated game Monday, Pedro Martinez (shoulder) has been cleared to begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week … A pending free agent, Jon Lieber (foot) will undergo season-ending surgery Friday … Hunter Pence collected three more hits Tuesday, including a walk-off homer in the 13th inning … Kaz Matsui continued his comeback season Tuesday against his former team, singling in all five at-bats against the Mets.

[Hache Man]

Starters Who Qualify as RPs


This week I'm abandoning my usual format to bring you something a little different: an analysis of starting pitchers who qualify as relievers in some fantasy leagues. I'm hoping it will save a ton of leg work for those of you who employ the strategy of using starters in your RP slots. For those of you who haven't considered this strategy, the following is a brief breakdown of where, when, and why this strategy can work.
Head-to-head leagues are the most common type in which this strategy is employed, for the following reason: In a 5x5 format, relievers basically help in one category (saves), whereas starters help in two (wins and strikeouts). By using all starters and no relievers, you forfeit saves but almost guarantee victory in wins and strikeouts (assuming your opponent is not using the same strategy). Then you take your chances with ERA and WHIP. Of course, if you throw just any starter who qualifies in your RP slot, your ERA and WHIP could balloon, causing the strategy to backfire miserably. On the other hand, if your league uses additional "starter-friendly" categories (e.g., innings pitched, complete games, shutouts, games started, or total batters faced), the strategy takes on that much more merit.
In rotisserie-style leagues, the strategy takes on heightened risk, because it entails forfeiting 11 points (in a 12-team league). However, if it results in 12 points in wins and strikeouts, then you wind up with a respectable average of eight points for those three categories. Your best bet is probably to acquire a couple of elite closers who rack up Ks at the rate of a mediocre starter (e.g., Billy Wagner, Francisco Rodriguez, or Francisco Cordero). That way you can still be a force in strikeouts without sacrificing saves. Plus, quality closers will help your ERA and WHIP over the course of the season. If you miss out on flame-throwing RPs, however, the starter-as-RP strategy can present a viable option—especially if you have a dominant offense and just need to be adequate in the pitching categories to succeed.
In roto leagues that have a limit on innings pitched, you'll want to stay far away from this strategy. In such a scenario, it's all about maximizing production per inning, and the elite relievers rule that arena.
In points leagues, you'll want to take a look at the breakout of points. If innings pitched are the best source of points, for example, this strategy could be very effective.
All right, now that we've broken down when the starter-as-RP strategy can work, let's get take a look at starters who qualify as relievers in some leagues and how useful they can be for your team. I've separated them into five categories: "always start 'em," "keep 'em on your roster," "plug 'em in when favorable," "only in deeeep leagues," and "stay away!"
Always Start 'Em
Shaun Marcum – Marcum, who entered the Jays' rotation in May, has been outstanding. The country singer look-alike boasts a 2.86 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. In fact, he hasn't allowed more than four runs in a start. Unlike Jeremy Guthrie, Marcum has the history to back up his success. The third-round pick from 2003 posted a tremendous 1.07 WHIP over four seasons in the minors. He also averaged a strikeout an inning. Keep running him out there.
Jeremy Guthrie – Here's a guy I picked up to throw into my RP slot who turned out to be one of my best SPs! His impressive 2.63 ERA is overshadowed by his ridiculous 0.89 WHIP. Right now, you have to ride him while he's hot, but I am fearful of a cliff dive given his less than impressive resume prior to this season. Sell high at the first sign of a slide.
Chad Gaudin – A dominant minor leaguer for five years, Gaudin is finally producing at the major-league level. Currently he boasts seven wins, a 2.92 ERA, and a 1.36 WHIP. Congrats to those who scooped him up.
Fausto Carmona – With nine wins, a 3.78 ERA, and 13 quality starts in 16 outings, Carmona has been a dependable stud. He's got the resume to back up his performance, so park him in your starting lineup.
Keep 'Em on Your Roster
Andrew Miller – The sixth overall pick in the 2006 draft, Miller has huge upside, so no one should be shocked by his success thus far as a rookie. (Currently, he owns a 3.81 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.) Usually, we expect inconsistency from youngsters, but this 22 year old warrants a little more confidence than the typical newbie.
Chuck James – After owning the minors for four seasons to the tune of a 2.09 ERA and 0.95 WHIP and impressing with the Braves last season (3.78 ERA and 1.24 WHIP), owners expected big things from James this time around. Thus far he's been somewhat of a disappointment with his 4.08 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, but he could turn things around at any time. Don't bail.
Chad Billingsley – Yet to turn 23, Billingsley was moved from the Dodgers' bullpen to the rotation on June 21. After struggling in his second start, he came back to throw a gem this past Saturday: 7 IP, 3 hits, 0 BB, 9 K. On the year, his numbers have been great: 3.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, .205 BAA, and 53 K in 49.2 IP. He can certainly punch out hitters, as he showed in the minor where he averaged 10.22 K/9. Pick him up before he accumulates more wins.
Jorge Sosa – With seven wins, a 3.92 ERA, and a 1.21 WHIP, Sosa has been valuable in that RP slot. However, his lack of strikeouts (38 in 64.1 IP) and unimpressive major-league history outside of 2005 (when he shocked fantasy nation with a 2.55 ERA) makes him a sell-high candidate.
Plug 'Em in When Favorable
Sergio Mitre – Despite just two wins, Mitre has pitched phenomenally on the whole this year, as evidenced by his 2.88 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. However, he's tailed a bit over the last month, with a 4.85 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Because his recent performance is closer to the norm for him, and he provides little in the way of strikeouts, Mitre is not a great bet going forward. Selling high is advisable if still possible.
Dustin McGowan – To date, the 25-year-old McGowan has not posted eye-opening numbers. However, some say he has better stuff than teammate Roy Halladay. That seems a stretch, but the kid was good enough to be drafted in the first round in 2000. Perhaps all he needs is sustained confidence—his recent one hitter came after Frank Thomas told him to believe in himself. Based on his decent but not spectacular minor-league numbers, though, McGowan is probably not an ace in the making. He does have the potential to be a valuable source of Ks, as he struck out almost exactly a batter per inning during his minor-league tenure. He's worth keeping an eye on.
Kameron Loe – With four wins over the last month, Loe is someone to keep an eye on. The 6-8 giant won't help you in much Ks, but he managed an impressive 3.42 ERA last year for the Rangers. In fact, over five seasons in the minors, he posted a 3.35 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Josh Johnson – Last year, Johnson was a revelation with his 3.10 ERA. This year, due to injuries and perhaps a return to Earth, has been a different story. Currently, the sky scraper owns a 10.97 ERA and 3.19 ERA. (Disgusting, yes, but he's only had three starts.) He claims to be getting on track, so stashing him on your bench for the time being might pay off down the road.
Brian Burres – His 3.38 ERA is a bit deceptive considering his 1.47 WHIP.
Chris Sampson – A good minor-league career but risky as a rookie.
Lenny DiNardo – Could return to the bullpen when Rich Harden rejoins the rotation.
Jason Bergmann – Has been valuable when healthy this year.
Only in Deeeep Leagues
Kyle Lohse – With his 4.77 ERA, he's not much of an option except maybe during two-start weeks with favorable matchups.
Julian Tavarez – He's been adequate but could be moved out of the rotation at some point.
Joe Kennedy – Has been useful at times during his major-league tenure. Kills you in strikeouts, though.
Wandy Rodriguez – Only when he's on a roll facing a favorable matchup.
Stay Away!

• Carlos Silva
• Rodrigo Lopez
• Jamey Wright
• Brad Thompson
• Matt Belisle
• Shawn Chacon
• Josh Towers
• Jorge De La Rosa
• Odalis Perez
• Adam Wainwright
• Todd Wellemeyer
• Edwin Jackson

[Hache Man]

Former sleepers now stars
In less than a week, the top players will gather in San Francisco, but those aren't necessarily the real all-stars in the fantasy universe. A fantasy championship is won not only with the big names but also with bargain-priced players and under-the-radar sleepers.

So with the season at its halfway point, we take time to honor our midseason fantasy value picks of 2007 — and identify some players who may be primed for breakouts in the second half.

All dollar values for standard American League- or National League-only 5x5 leagues through June 30. Preseason values from the AL and NL LABR drafts.

CATCHER

It's Russell Martin or bust. The Los Angeles Dodgers backstop ($34 midseason value, $16 preseason) tops the position by a wide margin. Not only is he hitting around .300, he will probably end up with at least 20 homers, 100 RBI and 20 steals.

Runner-up: Jorge Posada ($25, $13).

Player to watch: Brian McCann ($13, $20). Nagging injuries have limited his production, but he's starting to heat up again.

FIRST BASE

Carlos Pena ($24 midseason; $0 preseason) wasn't on the radar on opening day. But when others' injuries gave him a chance to play every day, he made the most of it. He had 27 homers and 82 RBI in 2004 and is only 29, so there's evidence to support his success. But as often as he strikes out, don't expect Pena to continue to hit for a high average.

Runners-up: Prince Fielder ($38, $28), Dmitri Young ($22, reserve), Kevin Youkilis ($26, $13).

Player to watch: Carlos Delgado ($16, $25) has never hit below .260 over a full season, and with so many good hitters in the New York Mets lineup, he's still going to drive in 100 runs.

SECOND BASE

This is one position where values are scarce. Even though Kaz Matsui ($20, $9) missed five weeks with a back injury, he has hit around .300, stolen 15 bases and outearned the likes of Jeff Kent, Ray Durham and Marcus Giles.

Runner-up: Brandon Phillips ($32, $20)

Player to watch: Josh Barfield ($15, $18) got off to a horrible start but hit .320 in June. Still, he's way below last season's pace in homers and steals.

SHORTSTOP

It's back as fantasy baseball's premier position, and the emergence of J.J. Hardy ($28 midseason, $12 preseason) is another reason. Three of the NL's top four earners play short. Three more in the AL have earned $30 or more. But it's Hardy who has come out of relative obscurity to be among the NL home run leaders, even after a subpar June. The homers might not be as plentiful over the second half, but the talent is there.

Runners-up: Brendan Harris ($20, $0), Edgar Renteria ($32, $20).

Player to watch: Troy Tulowitzki ($21, $14) is starting to show power, hitting six of his eight homers in the last two weeks.

THIRD BASE

If you don't have A-Rod, you're probably looking up in the standings. Alex Rodriguez ($53 midseason, $36 preseason) has more than doubled his closest AL competitor at third, Mike Lowell ($24, $12). The NL boasts plenty of solid fantasy options but no real bargains outside of Ryan Braun ($20, $6) and Greg Dobbs ($14, $0), who didn't start getting full-time at-bats until late May.

Runner-up: Jose Bautista ($17, $7).

Player to watch: Garrett Atkins ($19, $33) hit .305 with eight homers and 25 RBI in June.

OUTFIELD

Taking a flier on a young flier paid off if their names were Shane Victorino ($31 midseason, $13 preseason) or Reggie Willits ($24, reserve). Neither was expected to be much of a fantasy contributor, but both are among their league leaders in two fantasy categories (Victorino in runs and steals, Willits in batting average and steals). Meanwhile, the NL's top-rated outfielder at midseason might come as a surprise to everyone except those who have Eric Byrnes ($39, $22).

Runners-up: Hunter Pence ($24, reserve), Magglio Ordonez ($41, $16), Ken Griffey Jr. ($31, $12), Torii Hunter ($37, $21), Sammy Sosa ($21, $12).

Players to watch: Jermaine Dye ($12, $26) is recovering from a strained quadriceps and is a candidate to be traded, but his track record suggests there's plenty of life left in his bat. Andruw Jones ($13, $31) needs to find his stroke soon.

DESIGNATED HITTER

Fantasy owners who pounced on Jack Cust ($16 midseason, $0 preseason) the moment he was traded to the Oakland Athletics were greatly rewarded. Even after the five homers and 13 RBI he put up in his first week, Cust has managed to remain valuable — especially now that the A's are asking Mike Piazza to catch more often so they can keep Cust's bat in the lineup.

Runner-up: Matt Stairs ($16, reserve).

Player to watch: Travis Hafner ($22, $34) went 19 games before he hit his first homer in June, but now that interleague play is over he figures to start raking again.

STARTING PITCHER

Postseason success generally leads to a player being overvalued the following season, but John Maine ($26 midseason, $6 preseason) apparently had few believers. With nine wins already and an ERA below 3.00, more people will remember Maine next year. In the AL, Jeremy Guthrie ($19, $0) has been the top pickup, ending the first half behind only Dan Haren in ERA and leading the league in WHIP.

Runners-up: Chad Gaudin ($18, $0), Oliver Perez ($21, $4), James Shields ($23, $8), Shawn Marcum ($16, $1), Fausto Carmona ($15, reserve), Tom Gorzelanny ($20, $7).

Players to watch: Matt Cain ($9, $20) could be 9-2 instead of 2-9 with a little support from his offense and bullpen. He had an outstanding second half last year and could repeat it if he can cut down on walks.

RELIEF PITCHER

The best values at midseason are guys who started the year in setup roles but took the closer's job because of injuries or ineffectiveness. Al Reyes ($21 midseason, $0 preseason) became the Tampa Bay Devil Rays closer early and never let go. Matt Capps ($16, $5) was posting solid overall numbers before he began closing in June.

Runners-up: Jeremy Accardo ($14, $1), Kevin Gregg ($15, $7).

Player to watch: Chad Cordero ($12, $20) could be traded but will most likely stay with the Washington Nationals.

[Hache Man]

Fourth of July Notes
A full slate of games on the Fourth of July produced a whole bunch of interesting news items to discuss, so let's skip the usual pleasantries and get right to the notes from around baseball …

* With Mike Sweeney scheduled to undergo arthroscopic knee surgery Thursday, Billy Butler will get a chance to continue as the Royals' starting designated hitter. Sweeney is expected to miss 2-6 weeks, although given his history with injuries a return before August would very surprising. Sweeney said Wednesday that doctors "found something floating" in his knee and "don't know if it's a bone chip or cartilage," adding that "it hurts like the dickens." Yes, he actually said that.

By the time Sweeney returns, Butler may have taken hold of the job for good. A 21-year-old former first-round pick who's among baseball's elite hitting prospects, Butler had a six-RBI game Tuesday and has hit .306 with an .880 OPS in a dozen games since being recalled from Triple-A in mid-June. Sweeney hit just .245 with a .714 OPS in 57 games this season after batting .258 with a .787 OPS in 60 games last year, so replacing his production won't be overly difficult.

* After watching him throw a problem-free bullpen session Wednesday, A's pitching coach Curt Young said that Rich Harden will be moved back into the rotation to start Saturday against the Mariners. Harden's stint in the bullpen lasted three appearances and four scoreless innings, with a brief setback thrown in for good measure. Harden said earlier this week that he'd prefer to start and manager Bob Geren indicated that'll be the plan going forward barring further problems.

"A lot depends on how he does Saturday," Geren said. Harden hasn't started since mid-April, so he figures to be on a strict pitch count and will likely need several outings to build up his stamina. Harden has the potential to be one of the league's premiere fantasy starters if he can avoid more arm problems, but that's been the case for his entire career and it's yet to actually successfully play out that way. At this point, very cautious optimism is probably warranted.

* Josh Johnson pitched well Wednesday for the first time since coming off the disabled list in mid-June, tossing five scoreless innings against the Padres. Unfortunately, he left the start with forearm stiffness and is headed back to the DL. As of Thursday morning no official word has been offered on Johnson's status, but given that he missed the first three-plus months of the season with a forearm injury it's likely not very good.

It's a shame that the forearm problem resurfaced, because Johnson actually looked pretty good Wednesday. Not only did he hold the Padres to four hits over five innings, he handed out zero free passes after walking a dozen batters in his first 10.2 innings back from the DL. The Marlins figure to update his situation within the next 24 hours, so check back tomorrow. For now, Johnson heads to the shelf with a 7.47 ERA, 2.43 WHIP, and .388 opponent's batting average.

* Al Reyes was one of the biggest fantasy surprises of the first half, posting a 2.17 ERA while converting 16-of-16 save chances through June 17. Reyes blew his first save of the season on June 19, giving up four runs against the Diamondbacks, and then turned in another four-run outing in a non-save situation Monday. Those two appearances caused his ERA to balloon up to 4.09, but more importantly the oft-injured 36-year-old was placed on the disabled list Wednesday.

Reyes has been diagnosed with a mildly strained rotator cuff, which is a bigger red flag than normal given his extensive history of arm problems. Manager Joe Maddon indicated that the Devil Rays hope to have him back in two weeks, but it wouldn't be surprising to see Reyes sidelined for much longer than that. In the meantime, Gary Glover will get first crack at ninth-inning duties simply because the Devil Rays lack decent options, but he's far from a good bet.

* Alex Rodriguez left Tuesday's game after six innings with a strained hamstring thanks to a collision at first base with Justin Morneau, but returned to the lineup Wednesday by going 0-for-4 as the Yankees' designated hitter. After extending his slump to 0-for-19 with eight strikeouts in a loss to the Twins, Rodriguez said that he may sit out the All-Star game and also indicated that he could be forced out of the lineup before then.

Manager Joe Torre seemed unaware of Rodriguez's situation, saying that he planned to start him at third base Thursday, but ARod wasn't in the lineup for the series finale against the Twins. "I'm going to have to sit down with Joe and evaluate what we want to do here coming into the break," Rodriguez said. "I just want to be smart and have some precaution with it." After hitting .419 with a 1.323 OPS in June, Rodriguez's batting average has already dropped 16 points in July.

* Set to have his sore right shoulder examined by doctors Thursday, John Smoltz will miss his scheduled start Saturday and then sit out the All-Star game. Smoltz said Wednesday that he plans to start the Braves' fifth game following the All-Star break, on July 17, but his timetable is far from official until doctors get a look at his shoulder. If he does return on July 17, Smoltz will have gone 15 days between starts.

AL Quick Hits: Mark Buehrle reiterated Wednesday that he won't sign the White Sox's proposed four-year, $56 million contract extension unless it includes a no-trade clause … Troy Glaus left Wednesday's game after fouling a ball off his foot, but his status is uncertain because initial X-rays were inconclusive due to swelling … After struggling in his last start, Erik Bedard said Wednesday that he's going through a "dead arm" period … Chone Figgins had a .133 batting average on May 30, but has hit an amazing .450 with a 1.032 OPS and 16 steals in 30 games since then … Riding an 11-game hitting streak, David DeJesus has hit .372 with a .999 OPS over the past 24 games … Manager Ron Gardenhire said Wednesday that Pat Neshek "has the mentality" to close, but with Joe Nathan under contract through next season it won't come until at least 2009 … A pending free agent, Tadahito Iguchi said Wednesday that he hopes to remain with the White Sox … Jerry Hairston Jr. returned from a knee injury Wednesday and will now serve as the Rangers' starting second baseman with Ian Kinsler (foot) out.

NL Quick Hits: With seven shutout innings Wednesday against the Marlins, Chris Young's 2.00 ERA is tied with Brad Penny for the best in baseball … After missing back-to-back starts, J.J. Hardy (flu) is expected to return Thursday … As expected, the Dodgers placed Randy Wolf (shoulder) on the disabled list Wednesday, with an MRI pending … Willy Taveras was held out of Wednesday's game because of ongoing quadriceps soreness … Garrett Atkins went 4-for-5 with a homer and five RBIs Wednesday, giving him 10 homers, 33 RBIs, and a 1.050 OPS in 30 games since June 1 … Nick Johnson (leg) took ground balls and ran the bases Tuesday, but no timetable has been announced for his return … With seven innings of one-run ball Wednesday against the Astros, Cole Hamels took over the NL strikeout lead and became the league's fourth 10-game winner … As expected, Yusmeiro Petit will remain in the Diamondbacks' rotation in place of Randy Johnson (back), starting Sunday against the Reds … After going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts Wednesday, Rickie Weeks is hitting .182 in 44 at-bats since coming off the DL.

[Hache Man]

Bullpen Report: Week 14
It was a terribly odd week for Brian Fuentes. The Rockies' closer was pulled from ninth inning duties on Saturday, and then named to the National League All-Star team the following day. Fuentes was picked for the squad before his sudden struggles over the last two weeks, but it was a funny situation and must have been an awkward honor for the left-hander.

Comical situations aside, Fuentes was demoted after blowing saves and taking losses in four straight games from June 22 to 29. The Rockies' hot streak had slowed down aside from Fuentes' struggles, but the closer was a big reason why the club dropped eight straight games. Manager Clint Hurdle hopes it's just a temporary switch and it's very possible that Fuentes takes back closing duties after the All-Star break. Fuentes gave up two runs in a blowout in his first game since being demoted, but struck out two in a scoreless inning in his second outing. It's likely that Fuentes will pick things up relatively shortly, so there might be some profit opportunity if his owner in your league isn't going to show some patience.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten

Valverde appeared in one game and threw a scoreless inning for a save this week, increasing his scoreless streak to seven straight outings. With a 2.70 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 26-of-29 save opportunities successfully converted, Valverde has been one of the league's top closers. He's always been this talented and nobody is going to deny he's worth holding on to, but his injury and performance history can't be ignored. He looks like a better bet to continue succeeding with every healthy and productive inning he throws, but I'd still recommend shopping him.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Soriano, Tyler Yates, Peter Moylan, Wilfredo Ledezma

It was a rough week for Wickman, who gave up three runs in a four-run game on Saturday and then blew a save in a one-run game on Sunday. In the first outing, Wickman entered a 6-2 game against the Marlins in the ninth inning, but the veteran closer was awfully hittable by yielding two doubles and a homer while retiring just one batter. Back to face the Marlins on Sunday, Wickman entered a one-run game and surrendered a solo homer to Miguel Olivo to tie it. The Braves then lost the game in the 10th inning when Soriano allowed an unearned run to score.

The pair of bad outings won't remove Wickman from the role, but continued struggles just might with Soriano clearly ready to take over. Yates actually picked up a save after relieving Wickman in that first outing, but that opportunity would have gone to Soriano had he not already pitched in the game. Yates could take over eighth inning duties if Wickman is injured or sent to middle relief.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (Shaky)

Key setup men: Paul Shuey, Chad Bradford, Danys Baez (DL), Jamie Walker

I've continued to preach patience with regards to Ray as the Orioles' closer, but that patience was tested when the right-hander had an incredibly rough June. He gave up at least one run in 7-of-10 outings while taking three losses, culminating in the club looking to Shuey in a save situation on Saturday after Ray had struggled in two straight outings. However, the club went right back to Ray on Monday, and the young right-hander responded by striking out all three White Sox hitters he faced to pick up a save.

The strong outing against the White Sox should mean Ray remains the cub's closer, but another blown save or rough outing this week could change that. Should that happen, the club will likely turn to Shuey as a closer. Bradford and Walker remain more effective in situational roles, and Baez has been both ineffective and Injured this season. Scott Williamson was doing an adequate job, but the club was clearly afraid to use him consistently and he was designated for assignment as a result. If Ray were to be removed later in the season or for a longer period of time, current prospect Jim Hoey would be the leading candidate to replace him. The right-hander has a 0.81 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 33 1/3 innings in the minors this season and has closer-type stuff.

With all of that said, I fully expect Ray to rebound and go back to being an above average closer. He's too talented to struggle this often, and the Orioles will certainly want him to retake the role. I view the struggles as an opportunity to buy-low, especially in keeper formats.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Hideki Okajima, Brendan Donnelly (DL), Javier Lopez, Joel Pineiro (DL)

Papelbon appeared in three games this week, picking up saves with scoreless innings in two of the outings and then giving up a run in a non-save situation in the other. Okajima hasn't given up a run in a month and has a 0.88 ERA in 41 innings overall. He's currently leading the fan's vote for the last spot on the American League All-Star game, an honor he'll likely receive due to the Red Sox's large following but one that he'll also deserve. If only the process could find room for Pat Neshek and Rafael Betancourt, then we'd really be recognizing the best relievers in the league.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (DL), Bob Howry (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Angel Guzman (DL), Carlos Marmol, Mike Wuertz

Dempster had an excellent bullpen session on Monday and the strained oblique that sent him to the disabled list last week isn't looking like much of a problem. Dempster could be ready when he's eligible to return on July 8, though that's the last day before the All-Star break and the club might as well wait the extra game.

Howry has done a fine job filling in, picking up three saves in four chances while also recording two wins. Howry has done nothing to suggest he shouldn't be next in line after Dempster comes back, but the presence of fast-rising youngster Marmol could prove troublesome. Both are worth owning in NL-only leagues.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, David Aardsma, Boone Logan

Jenks picked up a pair of saves with scoreless innings during his first two outings of the week, then gave up two runs in a one-run game to blow the save and take a loss. Thornton has pitched better of late and remains next in line, in part because neither MacDougal nor Aardsma has impressed since returning from the minors.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Eddie Guardado (DL), Jon Coutlangus, Mike Stanton (DL), Brad Salmon

Weathers just missed on two saves this week, combining to throw 2 2/3 scoreless innings over two outings in which the Reds had four-run leads. The right-hander has given up just one run in his last 11 1/3 innings, so the Reds will have no reason to look for alternatives even when Guardado is ready to return from the disabled list.

Speaking of Guardado, the left-hander was bothered enough by a forearm strain to have it evaluated by a doctor this past week. The injury was diagnosed as mild and not related to the Tommy John surgery Guardado underwent, but the left-hander was set to rest for a week and now won't be back until after the All-Star break. He's worth monitoring, but I still expect the Reds to stick with Weathers for the rest of the season.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Tom Mastny

Borowski had one of the better weeks a closer can have, picking up four saves and a win while yielding just one run in five innings of work this week. That June was Borowski's best month this season in terms of ERA might lessen the club's desire to upgrade their closer at the trading deadline, but they're certainly still going to sniff around. Borowski has converted 25-of-27 save opportunities, but that he often has trouble in tie games and non-save situations means the club may not want to rely on him as their stopper in the playoffs.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Manny Corpas (Shaky)

Key setup men: Brian Fuentes, Jorge Julio, LaTroy Hawkins,

With Fuentes out as closer, Corpas figures to take over the ninth inning duties. He's been the club's best setup man all season, and he deserves to be the choice even though a player like Julio has some closing experience. It's possible that manager Clint Hurdle could go with the veteran, but Julio struggled against the Mets on Monday.

Fuentes will move back into the closer's role once he works out his problems in middle relief, so it's not likely to be a long stay for Corpas. That Fuentes has struggled will hurt his value in a trade, but that the Rockies aren't looking like strong contenders might mean they trade the closer at the deadline anyway. However, Fuentes is still under the team's control for 2008, so the most likely scenario seems to be that the Rockies hold on to Fuentes for the rest of the year and hope for the best. Then, they can deal him next off-season if they don't like the arbitration figure or they can hold on to the left-hander and deal him if they're out of it come July. This lowers Corpas' value in one-year leagues, though he can't be dropped until after the deadline.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney (DL), Jose Capellan, Macay McBride

After a handful of poor outings starting in mid-May, Jones received a vote of confidence from management last Thursday. Jones rewarded their confidence by recording three scoreless innings for saves after the announcement. The club doesn't have much choice but to stick with Jones, with both Zumaya and Rodney on the disabled list.

Zumaya just picked up a baseball again after surgery to repair a ruptured tendon in his finger and isn't expected back for at least another month, if not longer. Rodney's tendonitis in his shoulder and forearm remains a problem, and he's not going to start throwing again until next week. That means he's not likely to return from the disabled list right after the All-Star break, which is when he's eligible too. Expect something closer to a mid-July return for Rodney, who admittedly doesn't want to rush the recovery and is hoping to put the injury concerns behind him.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Secure)

Key setup men: Armando Benitez, Henry Owens (DL), Matt Lindstrom

Sandwiched in-between two successful saves this past week was Gregg's first blown save of the season. In that outing Gregg walked Scott Thorman, advanced him to second on a wild pitch, and then intentionally walked Brian McCann with first base open. Both runners then moved up a base on a second wild pitch, with Yunel Escobar driving in a pair of pinch-runners to tie the game. The Marlins ended up winning the game, but it wasn't an encouraging outing from the right-hander.

Gregg is 16-for-17 in save opportunities this season and still has a solid 3.14 ERA, but he's looking like a better bet to hold on to the closer's role with Benitez struggling and now battling a sore back again. Gregg has struggled in some non-save situations and has made quite a few save situations interesting, but he's worthy of remaining in the role. Despite blowing the save this week, his status is moving up with Benitez not an option and Owens still on the disabled list.

Houston Astros

Closer: Dan Wheeler (Filling-In), Brad Lidge (DL)

Key setup men: Chad Qualls, David Borkowski

Lidge was supposed to return from the disabled list on Wednesday, but his right knee acted up this past week and his return date has thus been pushed back. Lidge did have his knee surgically repaired in 2003, but that was his left knee and his current problems relate to a bone bruise suffered earlier in the season on the other knee. Both the Astros and Lidge are downplaying the recurrence, saying he'll be back right after the All-Star break. However, it's an injury that could linger and cause more problems for Lidge, even if he does return on schedule. Unless news that Lidge is completely healthy hits the wire before lineups are due, sticking with Wheeler for the short week is probably the best bet.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Octavio Dotel (Secure)

Key setup men: Zack Greinke, Joakim Soria, Joel Peralta, David Riske

In his first game of the week, Dotel gave up two runs in a tie game against the White Sox to take a loss. In his second, Dotel pitched a scoreless top of the 11th inning against the Mariners to pick up a victory. Dotel hasn't been particularly dominant since returning from the disabled list, but he's been good enough to draw interest as a setup man. A trade would likely destroy his fantasy value, so starting to shop him around your league is a good idea. Greinke, who threw 4 1/3 more scoreless innings this week, remains likely to take over for Dotel when he's dealt.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier (DL), Dustin Moseley, Darren Oliver

Rodriguez pitched two more scoreless outings to record a couple of saves this week, bringing his season total to 24. K-Rod was also named to his second All-Star team this week, which is surprising until one realizes he endured a DL stint in early 2005 and wasn't his usual dominant self until the second half of last season. Shields hasn't given up a run since May 20, dropping his ERA from 3.38 to 1.85 as a result.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Yhency Brazoban (DL), Chin-Hui Tsao, Rudy Seanez

Saito picked up two more saves with three scoreless outings this week. He hasn't given up a run since June 8. Broxton has rebounded from a rough patch in late May and early June by throwing 12 2/3 scoreless innings since. Tsao missed five weeks with a shoulder strain but is back in action and should resume duties as the Dodgers' third option in the pen. He's thrown scoreless innings in his first two appearances since returning.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva

Cordero pitched in just one game this week, blowing a two-run lead to take a loss after giving up two singles, a sacrifice fly, and a walk-off homer to the Cubs' Aramis Ramirez on Friday. The blown save was just Cordero's third of the season, but all three came in June. He also posted a 7.50 ERA last month, so Cordero realized quite the ERA correction after a dominant first two months. His owners shouldn't expect him to bounce back to his April or May levels, but he'll still be a very good tier 1A option.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Juan Rincon, Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier

Nathan has been his usual self in the first half, posting a fine 2.29 ERA and 16 saves. However, Nathan wasn't selected to the All-Star game, and teammate Neshek was one of five players nominated for the fan's voting for the final spot. Neshek deserves the nomination after posting an excellent 1.37 ERA and even better WHIP in the first half, and it's encouraging that saves were bypassed in favor of better performance. Unfortunately for Neshek, who is very deserving of a spot on the roster, the Red Sox's Hideki Okajima or the Tigers' Jeremy Bonderman is likely to win the nomination.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Joe Smith, Pedro Feliciano

Wagner's only appearances this week came when he pitched the ninth in both ends of a double-header against the Phillies. Wagner recorded a save in the first contest, but entered a three-run game with nobody on base after the inning had already started in the second and thus wasn't credited with a save.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Kyle Farnsworth, Scott Proctor, Brian Bruney

Rivera reached double digits in the save department with a scoreless inning of work on June 29. He's on pace for all of 20 saves, though it'd be shocking if that pace weren't improved upon.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Huston Street (DL), Alan Embree (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Santiago Casilla, Kiko Calero (DL), Rich Harden, Dallas Braden

Justin Duchscherer's arthritic hip condition proved too much to recover from naturally, and the right-hander is scheduled to undergo season-ending surgery on the injury. It's debatable if the hip will ever allow Duchscherer to return to previous form while staying off the disabled list for long periods of time, so his value in keeper leagues takes a big hit.

With Duchscherer unavailable, Embree will continue to fill in. Street has been throwing off a mound recently and his shoulder is feeling much better, and the current target date for a return is July 20. It's very possible that goal will be met, but I'd bank on something a little later. As long as he looks good in his rehab assignment, Street will go right back to closing duties when he returns. That will knock Embree into eighth inning duties at least initially, though continued success from Casilla might allow the youngster to overtake the veteran before the year is out.

Rich Harden is attempting to move back to the rotation later in the week, so his brief status as a saves sleeper is about to end.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Brett Myers (Injured), Tom Gordon (Injured), Antonio Alfonseca (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Ryan Madson, Geoff Geary

The Phillies are hoping that Myers is ready to return a few days after the All-Star break. However, he still hasn't appeared in a game and just last week he was cutting a bullpen session short and saying his arm wasn't ready. It'd be far from a shock if the Phillies rushed him back and he ended up hurt again as a result, but Myers seems willing to be upfront about how he feels and the club probably won't push him if he doesn't think he's ready.

Meanwhile, Gordon's already on a rehab assignment and should return the day after the All-Star break. If Myers is still on pace to be only a few days behind, the team will probably let Alfonseca continue to close until Myers is ready. If Myers' return is pushed back, expect Gordon to get another chance. Since Myers is far from a lock to stay healthy enough to be productive and Gordon has his own set of risks, all three players are worth owning in NL-only leagues right now.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Matt Capps (Locked In)

Key setup men: Salomon Torres (DL), Damaso Marte

Capps had an uneventful week, pitching in two games and recording a win without giving up a run in either outing. Torres' right elbow inflammation is progressing and he's scheduled to make a rehab appearance on Thursday. He could be back within a few days of the All-Star break. However, it may not be with the Pirates, as Torres has filed a grievance against the club and has demanded that he be traded. While Torres is a quality reliever, he profiles better in a setup role and no team will want to hand him closing duties after his latest injury, so it'd likely be a lateral move.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Heath Bell, Cla Meredith, Kevin Cameron

Hoffman gave up his first run since late April when the Dodgers' Rafael Furcal doubled and then scored on a groundout in the ninth inning on Friday. Hoffman still picked up a save in that outing and also earned two more saves later in the week thanks to scoreless innings of work.

Linebrink struggled some two weeks ago, but he gave up just one run in 3 2/3 innings of work this week. Meredith has looked better of late, but he's still not the dominant reliever that he was for the Padres last season and then for the first month of this year. Bell, who has an excellent 1.45 ERA in an incredibly high 49 2/3 innings, has clearly passed him on the depth chart.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Brad Hennessey (Secure)

Key setup men: Kevin Correia, Randy Messenger, Jonathan Sanchez (DL)

Hennessey gave up a solo homer to the Diamondbacks' Miguel Montero in the top of the 10th inning of a tie game on Friday, and ended up taking the loss in that contest. He bounced back with a scoreless inning in a three-run game to pick up a save the next day. He remains the team's closer and still has plenty of job security.

Correia gave up four runs in an outing this week, but Messenger hasn't been lights out and Sanchez is now on the disabled list. Correia is still likely next in line as a result.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, Chris Reitsma (DL), George Sherrill

Putz continues to chug along, picking up two more saves and a win without giving up a run this week. The last time he yielded a run was on June 2. Morrow got away with his bad command earlier in the season, but the walks are starting to catch up to the youngster. He issued three free passes and gave up two runs in two innings this week. Over his last 8 1/3 innings, Morrow has walked 14 and given up nine runs. The club would be better served over the long-term by sending him back to the minors to work on his command either as a starter or reliever. However, general manager Bill Bavasi desperately needs to stay in playoff contention and will hope the 2006 first-rounder works through his problems in the majors.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Tyler Johnson (DL), Russ Springer

Isringhausen pitched twice this week, recording scoreless innings and saves in both outings. Franklin also got off to a good start in July, pitching three scoreless innings and striking out two batters over the month's first two days. Franklin gave up more earned runs (three) than he had strikeouts (one) in 16 2/3 innings in June.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (DL), Gary Glover (Filling-in)

Key setup men: Brian Stokes, Shawn Camp

Reyes was placed on the disabled list this week after being bothered by a strained rotator cuff. He's had plenty of arm problems before, including two Tommy John surgeries, but the Devil Rays expect Reyes to miss the minimum of 15 days. I'm skeptical that Reyes won't have his DL stint extended or be bothered by the injury later on. The club could be trying to downplay the injury and get Reyes back before the trading deadline in hopes of shopping him, but I'll take the Devil Rays' optimism at face value for now.

Glover will fill in, though like the rest of the club's options, he's not likely to be even an adequate closer. Should Glover struggle enough to be removed before Reyes is ready, Stokes or current minor leaguer Seth McClung would likely take over. Neither of them are a good bet to succeed either, so the situation is best to avoid when Reyes isn't available.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Eric Gagne (Secure)

Key setup men: Akinori Otsuka, Joaquin Benoit, Frank Francisco, C.J. Wilson

Gagne threw three more scoreless innings for saves this week, bringing his season total to 11 to go along with a 1.07 ERA. He continues to show no signs of problems from the back or elbow surgeries he underwent last season, which should help his trade value immensely. He's the most likely closer to be dealt this month, with Otsuka and Benoit getting bumped up a notch each when he departs.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Scott Downs, Jason Frasor

It was a brief but poor week for Accardo, who gave up a run to take a loss in his only appearance of the week. In that outing Accardo bailed setup man Janssen out of jam in the eighth, but then hit a batter and gave up two singles to break a 1-1 tie in the bottom of the ninth.

Janssen has given up a run in each of his last two outings, but he remains the likely backup to Accardo. Frasor has been hit hard in each of his last three appearances, so he's not going to come anywhere near a close game right now. Downs is more likely to pick up a vulture save than Frasor at this point.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome (DL), Luis Ayala

Cordero appeared in two games this week, pitching scoreless innings in both contests and picking up a save in one of them. Colome has an infection on his buttocks and was placed on the disabled list as a result, though he should only miss the minimum number of games.

[Hache Man]

Manny Corpas To Snag Saves?
Time for the last edition of Waiver Wired before we hit the All-Star break. My biggest fantasy surprise of the first half: Jeremy Guthrie. How is it that he was a free agent in all but the deepest of AL-only leagues, and is now among the best starters in the league? He should be the AL Rookie of the Year. Sure, he's pitched over his head, but he's not a fluke.

How about Carlos Beltran for one of the quieter busts of the first half? Here's a guy drafted ninth on average, and as high as sixth in many leagues. He's currently ranked 66th on ESPN's Player Rater, behind Shane Victorino and 13 other outfielders.

Let's get on to this week's picks and pans.

American League

Garrett Olson, SP, BAL – Olson is a 23-year-old southpaw without overwhelming stuff. He's temporarily replaced Steve Trachsel in Baltimore's rotation, but could easily stick for the rest of the year. Olson owes a decent chunk of his Triple A success this year to a low Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP). That's not sustainable, and an ERA under 5 in his rookie season would surprise me. At best, you can carefully spot-start him in AL-only. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

Gavin Floyd, SP, CHA – Floyd comes with name recognition as the guy the Phillies picked fourth overall in the 2001 draft. The first round of that draft was loaded with busts, so don't be too hard on the Phils for taking Floyd over Mark Teixeira, Casey Kotchman, and Jeremy Bonderman. Floyd seemed on the right track at Triple A Charlotte this year, and could slide into Chicago's rotation if someone is traded. I'm not buying. His Triple A numbers aren't markedly different from his work at that level in 2006. Maybe Don Cooper can work some magic, but I'll pass on Floyd in all leagues. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Ben Francisco, OF, CLE – Francisco has made quite a splash so far, going 9 for 20 with three home runs. The 25-year-old has been getting starts in left field. He could carve out an Eric Byrnes/Craig Monroe type career one day. However, don't mistake him for a slugger despite the initial outburst. He does have double digit steal speed though. I can see Francisco stealing away more playing time from Jason Michaels and Franklin Gutierrez, but he needs to stay hot. He's a fine AL-only addition but still questionable in mixed leagues. AL: $6, Mixed: No.

Billy Butler, OF, KCA – "Iron Mike" Sweeney will need at least a month to recover from knee surgery, making Butler the full-time DH. He's been hitting well since his recall and has a good chance of becoming a star one day. He should be rostered in deep mixed leagues, as he is definitely capable of popping 8-10 homers with a .290 average in the second half. AL: $13, Mixed: $1.

Phil Hughes, SP, NYA – Hughes could rejoin the Yankees during the last week of July, maybe against the Orioles or White Sox. I consider him the same valuable phenom he was before the ankle and hamstring injuries. Snap him up off your mixed league waiver wire if you can. AL: $22, Mixed: $12.

Gary Glover, RP, TBA – So just how desperate for saves are you? Manny Corpas/Bob Howry desperate? That's not too bad. Gary Glover desperate? I pity you. Glover is simply a bad pitcher but somehow the best remaining reliever on the 33-51 Devil Rays. Al Reyes is out for at least two weeks with a rotator cuff strain, making Glover closer by default. Look for an ERA over 5, a weak strikeout rate, and tons of hits (many of which are home runs). AL: $5, Mixed: No.

Brad Wilkerson, 1B/OF, TEX – Wilkerson is quietly having a better year than Sammy Sosa. It became a little louder when he knocked three home runs against the Angels. He could knock other 12 homers or so, though he still doesn't have an RBI spot in the order. Wilkerson's strikeouts will keep his average down, so he's really only a fantasy asset for the moderate pop. AL: $15, Mixed: $1.

Dustin McGowan, SP, TOR – As a rookie, expect McGowan to remain inconsistent. That said, his peripheral stats indicate a better ERA than his current 4.65. He's got the repertoire, and he's starting to put it together. He makes a fine addition in a deep mixed league for the second half. AL: $16, Mixed: $3.

Jesse Litsch, SP, TOR – Litsch profiles as a poor man's Jake Westbrook, and I don't recommend him in any league. He could stick in the rotation for the rest of the year due to A.J. Burnett's injuries and Josh Towers's ineffectiveness. AL: No, Mixed: No.

National League

Yusmeiro Petit, SP, ARI – The Diamondbacks are going to be very careful with Randy Johnson and his back in the second half, meaning Petit will get his fair share of starts. Petit uses deception and a fine changeup to retire hitters, which has not worked too well in the high minors. He shouldn't be owned in any league. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Jo-Jo Reyes, SP, ATL – Reyes is a portly southpaw with a low-90s heater and deceptive delivery, according to Baseball America. Not their exact words. Reyes will start Saturday for John Smoltz and could certainly stick in the rotation in place of Kyle Davies or Buddy Carlyle. I'd surely snag him in NL-only but would hold off in all mixed leagues. Reyes's control in the high minors has been shaky but he's gotten away with it. NL: $5, Mixed: No.

Manny Corpas, RP, COL – Corpas has emerged as a fine reliever, though he's taken a step backward this year in terms of his walk and strikeout rates. At 6.6 K/9, he's far from dominant. Nonetheless, he's easily the best Rockie reliever outside of Brian Fuentes, who has been temporarily removed from the closer job. As the favorite for saves in Colorado, Corpas is worth owning in all leagues. NL: $15, Mixed: $3.

Rick Vanden Hurk, SP, FLA – The 22-year-old Dutchman has ascended quickly through Florida's system, even snagging some big league starts earlier this year. He posted a strong 10.2 K/9 in Double A before earning the promotion to Triple A. Vanden Hurk may get another look in the bigs while Josh Johnson is ailing. He could be a nice source of strikeouts in NL-only and has some intriguing names on his comparables list for those in keeper leagues. NL: $3, Mixed: No.

Mark Hendrickson, SP, LAN – For now, Hendrickson will replace Randy Wolf in the rotation. The big lefty has a 4.69 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in nine starts this year. The ERA could come down a little bit if he can keep the ball in the yard. He makes for a respectable NL-only pickup while Wolf is out. NL: $6, Mixed: No.

Tony Gwynn Jr., OF, MIL – Gwynn is likely to get the call once Bill Hall lands on the disabled list. He could play regularly in center while Hall is out. I see him as a one-trick pony for steals, as he has no power, won't bat leadoff, and isn't a .300 hitter. Strictly NL-only material, and keep in mind that Gabe Gross can play center too. NL: $5, Mixed: No.

Yovani Gallardo, RP, MIL – Gallardo owners did not enjoy his move to the bullpen and subsequent shellacking at the hands of the Pirates. Be patient. Claudio Vargas has been increasingly worse each month and could switch spots with Gallardo easily. Gallardo owners must hang on to him until he rejoins the rotation, as he's valuable in all leagues. NL: $18, Mixed: $8.

Dave Williams, SP, NYN – Williams, a 28-year-old Alaskan southpaw, will start Sunday against the Astros. He will retain the rotation spot if he pitches up to his 75th percentile PECOTA projection – 4.48 ERA, 1.37 WHIP. Those in deep NL-only with a fondness for Mark Redman types can inquire. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Adam LaRoche, 1B, PIT – LaRoche is knocking the tar out of the ball right now, and may be in line for a big second half. Last year after the break he hit a ridiculous .323/.387/.655 with 19 HR and 48 RBI. Don't expect a repeat but 15-17 more bombs is quite reasonable. LaRoche typically owns righties and struggles with lefties but has the opposite platoon split this year. That suggests more good things to come. NL: $32, Mixed: $16.

Rich Aurilia, 1B/2B/SS/3B, SFN –Back from a neck strain, Aurilia is 5 for 9. It may not mean much, but he was a very valuable fantasy player last year with 23 homers and tons of position eligibility. You definitely want him in your lineup when the Giants are facing a southpaw. Aurilia's incredible flexibility might allow you to carry another pitcher. I feel kind of awkward for saying "Aurilia's incredible flexibility" just now. NL: $12, Mixed: $1.

[Hache Man]

Ricciardi Criticizes Burnett
As if overworking an injury prone pitcher and then rushing him back from the disabled list following his inevitable arm problems wasn't more than enough, now general manager J.P. Ricciardi has taken to publicly criticizing A.J. Burnett. During a radio interview Thursday, Ricciardi questioned Burnett's ability to pitch through pain and indicated that he would never have signed Burnett in the first place if he had it to do over again.

The latter part makes sense, because why would anyone sign a pitcher to a $55 million contract if they knew he'd come down with significant arm problems? Of course, Burnett's long history of injuries certainly should have suggested to Ricciardi that future breakdowns were possible and perhaps even likely. Instead, he ignored the signs, handed Burnett a huge contract, and then watched as his coaching staff inexplicably let him rack up huge pitch counts.

While Blue Jays fans wonder if Ricciardi would be better off simply keeping a few things to himself now and then, here are some other notes from around baseball …

* Bill Hall left Thursday's game after spraining his right ankle while attempting to rob Ryan Doumit of a homer. A run-of-the-mill ankle sprain is somewhat innocuous, but Hall suffered the dreaded "high-ankle" variety that can sideline a player for as long as two months. That kind of timetable would keep Hall out until September, which means that the Brewers would have to hold off the Cubs and Cardinals in the NL Central without him.

Fortunately, Milwaukee has the depth necessary to replace Hall without suffering a huge dropoff. While Hall's .784 OPS will be missed, the Brewers can choose to move Gabe Gross from the bench to center field or shift Corey Hart over from right field (with Tony Gwynn Jr. around as a defensive replacement). If Hart gets the nod to replace Hall, then manager Ned Yost would be able to get Kevin Mench's bat into the lineup in a corner spot while letting the defense suffer a bit.

* The Mets' banged-up outfield took another hit Thursday, as rookie Carlos Gomez was placed on the disabled list with a broken hamate bone that's expected to keep him out for 6-8 weeks. Gomez underwent surgery Thursday after suffering the injury on a check swing in Wednesday night's game, with Ricky Ledee starting in his place against the Astros while going 2-for-4 with two RBIs and a stolen base.

Along with Gomez likely being sidelined until September, Moises Alou has yet to begin baseball activities and is not expected back from a quadriceps injury until at least the end of the month. That should leave Ledee with regular at-bats for several weeks, although the Mets could turn to Lastings Milledge instead if he can recover quickly from a foot injury of his own. Milledge went 2-for-5 with a homer in the first game of his minor-league rehab assignment.

* After he was knocked around Thursday by the Yankees, the Twins optioned Kevin Slowey to Triple-A. Slowey went 3-0 in seven starts, but that was due to outstanding run support, which among other things kept him from picking up a loss against New York. With a 5.84 ERA, Slowey showed that he needs improved offspeed pitches to approach the type of success he had in the minors. Without it, he had trouble putting big-league hitters away and gave up a ton of fly balls.

In fact, his ground-ball percentage would easily rank as the lowest in the entire league if Slowey had enough innings to quality for the ERA title. Fly balls turn into home runs at a relatively consistent rate and Slowey served up 13 long balls in just 37 innings. He did a good job throwing strikes and that many homers is likely a fluke in the sense that it's an unsustainably high rate, but not missing bats and giving up a bunch of fly balls is the worst possible combination for a pitcher.

Matt Garza was called up from Triple-A to start against the White Sox in Friday's doubleheader and could stick around in the bullpen with a good outing. However, the Twins won't need a fifth starter again until July 21, at which point it's very possible that they'll be ready to turn back to Slowey. He said all the right things after learning of the demotion and manager Ron Gardenhire indicated Thursday that the trip back to Triple-A wasn't solely based on performance.

* Alex Rodriguez was out of the Yankees' lineup Thursday, but an MRI on his injured hamstring reportedly showed no significant damage. For the second straight day, manager Joe Torre told reporters that he plans to have Rodriguez back in the lineup at third base, with Rodriguez also backing off his previous talk of a possible trip to the disabled list. It looks like he'll play before the All-Star break, but don't count on seeing Rodriguez in the actual All-Star game.

AL Quick Hits: Out since mid-April following back surgery, Reed Johnson is expected to return to the lineup as the Blue Jays' leadoff hitter Friday … Phil Hughes (ankle, hamstring) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Monday at Single-A … Initially diagnosed with merely a bruised hand, Erick Aybar underwent surgery Thursday that will sideline him for 6-8 weeks … Melvin Mora (foot) was scratched from Thursday's lineup after asking for one more day off … Travis Hafner and the Indians are expected to restart contract negotiations after cutting them off at the end of spring training … Not wanting to stall his development in a bench role, the Red Sox sent Jacoby Ellsbury back to the minors Thursday … Juan Rivera (leg) has begun running, but looks unlikely to return before August … Manager Joe Torre said Thursday that Andy Phillips is the Yankees' everyday first baseman, although a slump could change that if a trade doesn't … B.J. Upton's (quadriceps) targeted return date has been pushed back again, this time to Thursday … X-rays on Troy Glaus' injured foot reportedly showed no broken bones, but he's unlikely to play before the All-Star break.

NL Quick Hits: Albert Pujols set a new career-high Thursday by failing to homer for the 19th straight game, but has maintained his OPS during the stretch … A sprained knee kept Brian McCann out of Thursday's lineup, but he was available as a pinch-hitter … Scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week, Brad Lidge (knee) won't be back until after the All-Star break … Pitching with a blister on his finger, Brad Penny gave up six runs in four innings Thursday … Chipper Jones homered from both sides of the plate Thursday, passing Dale Murphy to become the Atlanta Braves' all-time leader with 372 homers … Eligible to come off the disabled list Sunday, Ryan Dempster (oblique) won't return until after the All-Star break … Bronson Arroyo hasn't picked up a victory since May 6, but Thursday's outing was his third straight Quality Start … After a series of successful bullpen sessions, Kerry Wood (arm) could begin a rehab assignment shortly after the All-Star break … With two homers Thursday, Adam LaRoche has raised his OPS from .667 to .774 in the span of eight games.

[Hache Man]

Week That Was
New Closers, injuries, and the oddity that is Scott Proctor in this week's Week That Was.

Scott Proctor: In what can only be described as bizarre, Scott Proctor reportedly burned his equipment last week after another awful performance. Well, in a way, it is kind of appropriate as Proctor has been quite the arsonist this season giving up a lot of baserunners in big spots (including the three walks to the Orioles in the 9th to lose a game). While I use the term arsonist, Yankee fans around me have not been so kind. However, to be fair, Proctor did the job last night in 1 and 2/3 solid innings. Sell him now before he burns your roto house down.

Felipe Lopez: Felipe Lopez was on base all four times (and stole a base) on Thursday. Lopez is a candidate for a big upswing in the second half. Last year, Felipe swiped 44 bases, yet has only 11 this year. With no known injury to explain his lack of larceny, it is fair to expect more running in the second half. For those looking to make a move in steals, you could do a lot worse than this 26 year old eligible at both 2b and SS.

Carlos Gomez: The Mets placed Carlos Gomez on the DL this week. In an injury seen more and more, Gomez got hurt checking his swing. Tough break (no pun intended) for the Mets and Gomez owners. If you own Gomez, you should prepare as if he will not be around the rest of the year. Yes, he will come back at some point, however, by then, Alou or Milledge or Chavez will be healthy, or more likely, the Mets will get another bat on July 31. Bottom line – it was a good run with Gomez, but it is over.

Alex Rodriguez: Forget all that talk about ARod's hammy. ARod went 3 for 4 with career Jack 493 last night and looked, well, like ARod. Hopefully, the ARod owner in your league abhors curse words, is really mad at Mrs. ARod for wearing the F shirt, and will deal ARod to you. OK, that is not likely. However, if there is any chance you can get ARod, do it. I would not be surprised to see 30 second half dingers en route to a career year.

Gary Glover: According to Rays Manager Joe Maddon, Gary Glover is the new closer while Al Reyes is on the shelf. Last night, Glover made the Rays sweat, but eventually got the job done. Personally, I cannot see Glover holding the job very long. Yeah, if you can get him cheap and get a few saves fine. But be prepared, the ratios will not be pretty.

Rich Harden: Reports indicate that Rich Harden will start against the Mariners today. If you own Harden, hope for a quality start and then SELL. Yes, he has great stuff. Yes, he can look awesome. No, he will not stay that way. Just like that latest super cool, trendy Manhattan nightspot in the latest super cool, trendy neighborhood, it will not last. The next injury is just around the corner.

Mike Sweeney: Speaking of injuries, in news that should only shock those who live under a roto rock, Mike Sweeney is expected to miss 2-6 weeks after undergoing knee surgery. Two points here. First, if you can grab Billy Butler, do it. The kid can hit and will now DH daily. Second, when sitting at your auction, DO NOT PRICE ENFORCE. If you think a player is worth owning at a price, fine. If you think you can get another two bucks out of a competitor, hold your tongue. Rick Wolf and I got stuck with Sweeney at the AL LABR draft and it may end up costing us a shot at a title. Yeah, the injuries to Bradley, Overbay, Minky and others did not help, but Sweeney is one we just should have avoided.

Rickie Weeks: Rickie Weeks went 0-for-4 again last night and has only 2 hits in his last 10 games (not at bats, games). Bottom line – a lot talent, but not ready to produce big at the big league level. If you are playing for next year, Weeks could be a good target.

Scott Williamson: In an odd move, the Orioles designated Scott Williamson for assignment. He just was not that bad. In fact, he had struck out 16 in his 14 innings of work. Look for Scott to land somewhere (maybe even the Yankees – surmise, I have no information) where he will get a shot at assuming a real bullpen role. If you own him, hold, you could benefit here.

Barry Zito: Barry Zito walked 6 in his start this week in an outing that ballooned his ERA to 4.65. Zito is a bit of a puzzle. Yes, I think the Giants overpaid. Yes, I think that he is not nearly the roto pitcher than many seem to think he is. However, lefties with good breaking stuff often succeed in their first year in the NL. Not so with Zito thus far. Bottom line – if you want a pitcher who will pitch better than he has, but not as good as his preseason price tag, Zito is your man. Expect a second half of around 3.80 ERA (that would be consistent with his last two years in Oakland).

Last but not least, wisdom from the underkick himself in this week's Schultz Says: "Although I may be in the mountains of upstate New York, I cannot bear to leave the dozens and dozens of my loyal readers out in the cold on this holiday week that often causes Colton to wax rhapsodic and philosophic over baseball, hot dogs and his Chevrolet.

As we are approaching the All-Star break, we're also approaching the trading deadlines in various roto-leagues. For teams on the bubble, it's your make or break date to decide whether to go for the money or cut bait and try again next year. My personal belief is to always try and win. When you really think about it, dumping isn't always the easiest thing to do: how many teams in your league dump three, four, five years in a row without ever setting themselves up well. In my league, one team traded all his valuable players at last year's deadline for a cheap Nick Johnson. Needless to say, that ploy worked out as well as the cokehead trying to give up Bruce Willis to Alan Rickman. If you're remotely close to finishing in the money, nut up and go for it. You'll feel better.

As for going about making your deadline trades, a little courtesy never hurts. Don't be like one of the teams in my league that offered me Casey Blake straight up for Ichiro. As a rule, don't make any trade offer that makes the recipient wonder if you are seriously delusional or causes him to think you believe he is complete and utter moron. It's not conducive to consummating a successful deal.

Also, no one's expecting you to be dealing solely with them. Nothing is worse than the owner who believes himself to be a wheeler and dealer transparently playing offers against each other in the belief that no one knows what he's doing. If you are dealing with numerous teams and make a deal with one, have the courage to call the other owners and tell them the deal's dead. One year, after days of trade negotiations with someone who was clearly dealing with another team, we pretty much had a deal. The guy makes a lame excuse as to why he needs five minutes before he can say yes and goes and deals the same players we were talking about to another team -- for what I concede was a better return. I didn't mind the fact that he took his deal elsewhere, what was irksome was that the spineless crustacean never had the courage to tell me himself. Show your fellow owners a little respect . . . or at least as much as you would like them to show you.

Unless you are in the extreme minority of people who don't play in a league with your friends, remember that your honor, dignity and friendship triumph over the title "2007 Fantasy Baseball champion." Don't believe me, go tell the next woman you meet that you're a roto-baseball champion. Feel lucky if she doesn't ask you what level halfling you are in your Dungeons & Dragons group."

Response: I am glad my friend Schultz is getting some much needed rest.
Enjoy the end of the first half of baseball.

[Hache Man]

The Star Align
On Tuesday night the leagues brightest stars will align for this year's All-Star Game in San Francisco. Future Hall of Famers like Barry Bonds, Ken Griffey Jr., Derek Jeter and Albert Pujols will all meet up for the star-studded exhibition contest. With the brief time off, each MLB team will be limited to just one series for the week. There will be no two-start pitchers this period, but the week will count just the same in the standings. In head-to-head leagues especially, anything can happen. With most league's lineup deadline falling on Thursday, The Week Ahead will prepare you for the shortened week.

Two-start pitchers:
None (due to All-Star break)

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Four-game schedule: BAL, BOS, CHC, CHW, CIN, DET, HOU, MIN, NYM, NYY, OAK, SEA, TOR, TB
Three-game schedule: ARI, ATL, CLE, COL, FLA, KC, LA, LAA, MIL, PHI, PIT, SD, SF, STL, TEX, WAS

Rain threatened games:
Thursday 7/21: CHW @ BAL (40%), TOR @ BOS (40%), CIN @ NYM (40%)
Friday, 7/22: PIT @ ATL (40%),
Saturday, 7/23: PIT @ ATL (40%)
Sunday, 7/24: PIT @ ATL (60%), WAS @ FLA (60%), TOR @ BOS (60%)

Stadium Factor:
ESPN - MLB Park Factors - Major League Baseball
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.271 runs – 4 vs TOR
4. Jacobs Field (Indians) 1.126 runs – 3 vs KC
6T. Wrigley Field (Cubs) 1.112 runs – 4 vs HOU
8. Dolphin Stadium (Marlins) 1.094 runs – 3 vs WAS
9. Citizens Bank Park (Phillies) 1.057 runs – 3 vs STL

No Games: 2. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.211 runs, 3. Kauffman Stadium (Royals) 1.171 runs, 5. Coors Field (Rockies) 1.133 runs, 6T. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.112 runs

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
1. Turner Field (Braves) 0.814 runs - 3 vs PIT
5. Safeco Field (Mariners) 0.906 runs – 4 vs DET
6. Tropicana Field (Devil Rays) 0.897 runs – 4 vs NYY
9. Camden Yards (Orioles) 0.913 runs – 4 vs CHW
11. Miller Park (Brewers) 0.941 runs – 3 vs COL

No Games: 2. Petco Park (Padres) 0.821 runs, 3. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.892 runs, 4. Busch Stadium (Cardinals) 0.888 runs, 7. PNC Park (Pirates) 0.907 runs, 8. Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) 0.910 runs, 10. McAfee Stadium (Athletics) 0.929 runs

Caught Stealing %:
Toughest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. David Ross, CIN 19-for-37 (48.6%) – 4 @ NYM
2. Gerald Laird, TEX 37-for-62 (40.3%) – 3 @ LAA
3. Ronny Paulino, PIT 33-for-54 (38.9%) – 3 @ ATL
4. Kenji Johjima, SEA 24-for-38 (36.8%) – 4 vs DET
5. Russell Martin, LA 44-for-69 (36.2%) – 3 @ SF

Facing these catchers is bad news for Jose Reyes (44-for-55 SB), David Wright (18-for-19 SB), Carlos Beltran (13-for-15 SB), Chone Figgins (20-for-25 SB), Reggie Willits (18-for-21 SB), Gary Matthews Jr. (12-for-16 SB), Dave Roberts (15-for-17 SB), Willie Harris (14-for-18 SB), Gary Sheffield (12-for-16 SB)

Easiest to steal against (SB/SBA, CS%)
1. Jason Varitek, BOS 26-for-32 (18.8%) – 4 vs TOR
2. Michael Barrett, SD 46-for-57 (19.3%) – 3 @ ARI
3. Jason Kendall, OAK 55-for-69 (20.3%) – 4 vs CHW
4. Brian McCann, ATL 35-for-44 (20.5%) – 3 vs PIT
5. Johnny Estrada, MIL 38-for-48 (20.8%) – 3 vs COL

Facing these catchers is good news for Eric Byrnes (17-for-23 SB), Chris Duffy (13-for-17 SB), Willy Taveras (20-for-28 SB), Kaz Matsui (16-for-18 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (2 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (4 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (1 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Cleveland: (1 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers) Note: FRI vs KC (TBA)
Detroit: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Kansas City: (1 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (3 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers
Minnesota: (2 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Seattle: (2 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Tampa Bay: (2 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (3 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Toronto: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Orioles, White Sox (three), Royals, Twins, Mariners and Devil Rays play multiple southpaws this week, while the Red Sox, Rangers and Angels don't face any. That's good news for Corey Patterson (.320 vs LHPs), Jay Payton (.313 vs LHPs), Torii Hunter (.349 vs LHPs), Jeff Cirillo (.350 vs LHPs), Mike Redmond (.313 vs LHPs), Jose Guillen (.375 vs LHPs), Kenji Johjima (.393 vs LHPs), Ichiro Suzuki (.374 vs LHPs), Jose Vidro (.324 vs LHPs), Akinori Iwamura (.379 vs LHPs), Brendan Harris (.321 vs LHPs), David Ortiz (.340 vs RHPs), Kevin Youkilis (.338 vs RHPs), Marlon Byrd (.376 vs RHPs), Orlando Cabrera (.331 vs RHPs), Chone Figgins (.322 vs RHPs)

And bad news for A.J. Pierzynski (.211 vs LHPs), Tadahito Iguchi (.205 vs LHPs), Jim Thome (.214 vs LHPs), Luis Terrera (.233 vs LHPs), Ryan Shealy (.125 vs LHPs), Alex Gordon (.206 vs LHPs), John Buck (.225 vs LHPs), Luis Rodriguez (.100 vs LHPs), Jason Tyner (.190 vs LHPs), Luis Castillo (.217 vs LHPs), Nick Punto (.205 vs LHPs), Justin Morneau (.224 vs LHPs), Richie Sexson (.239 vs LHPs), Dioner Navarro (.172 vs LHPs), Jorge Cantu (.225 vs LHPs), Carlos Pena (.227 vs LHPs), Julio Lugo (.181 vs RHPs), Wily Mo Pena (.176 vs RHPs), Eric Hinske (.205 vs RHPs), Gerald Laird (.227 vs RHPs), Jerry Hairston Jr. (.185 vs RHPs), Sammy Sosa (.216 vs RHPs), Brad Wilkerson (.221 vs RHPs), Jose Molina (.203 vs RHPs), Maicer Izturis (.200 vs RHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (3 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (1 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago Cubs: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: (3 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (3 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (1 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Houston: (1 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (4 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers))
San Francisco: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (2 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Braves, Marlins and Astros (three) play multiple left-handers this week, while the Diamondbacks, Rockies and Mets don't see one. That is good news for Edgar Renteria (.336 vs LHPs), Matt Diaz (.342 vs LHPs), Yunel Escobar (.327 vs LHPs), Miguel Cabrera (.406 vs LHPs), Hanley Ramirez (.412 vs LHPs), Miguel Olivo (.365 vs LHPs), Mike Jacobs (.333 vs LHPs), Hunter Pence (.392 vs LHPs), Craig Biggio (.355 vs LHPs), Eric Byrnes (.337 vs RHPs), Matt Holliday (.349 vs RHPs), Ruben Gotay (.345 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Scott Thorman (.183 vs LHPs), Chris Woodward (.222 vs LHPs), Craig Wilson (.209 vs LHPs), Andruw Jones (.206 vs LHPs), Josh Willingham (.179 vs LHPs), Reggie Abercrombie (.152 vs LHPs), Jason Lane (.146 vs LHPs), Lance Berkman (.235 vs LHPs), Morgan Ensberg (.226 vs LHPs), Carlos Quentin (.224 vs RHPs), Chris Snyder (.220 vs RHPs), Chris Young (.234 vs RHPs), Steve Finley (.165 vs RHPs), Jose Valentin (.230 vs RHPs), Damion Easley (.218 vs RHPs), Carlos Delgado (.229 vs RHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 16:
Garrett Olsen, Ryan Feiarabend, Jose Contreras, Fausto Carmona, John Thomson, Josh Beckett, Brandon McCarthy, Joe Blanton, Jesse Litsch, Kei Igawa, Brandon Webb, Jeff Suppan, Aaron Harang, John Smoltz, Jason Hirsh, John Van Benschoten, Roy Oswalt, Jason Simontacchi, Oliver Perez, David Wells, Kyle Kendrick, Derek Lowe, Tim Lincecum, Carlos Zambrano, Branden Looper, Sergio Mitre

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Moises Alou (quadriceps) – return early July
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) – out indefinitely
Travis Buck (thumb) – return late July
Freddie Bynum (hamstring) – return late July
Endy Chavez (hamstring) – return late July
Jeff DaVanon (shoulder) – return early August
Chris Denorfia (elbow) – out for the season
Jim Edmonds (back) – return early July
Darin Erstad (ankle) – return mid-July
Carlos Gomez (hand) – return mid-August
Bobby Kielty (calf) – return early July
Scott Podsednik (oblique) – return late July
Jason Repko (groin) – might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) – return July/August
Cody Ross (hamstring) – return mid-July
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) – return July
Termel Sledge (thumb) – return late July
Jayson Werth (wrist) – return mid-July
Rondell White (calf) – return early July
Preston Wilson (knee) – out for the season

Infielders
Willy Aybar (hand) – out indefinitely
Hank Blalock (arm) – return August
Aaron Boone (knee) – return mid-July
Juan Castro (elbow) – return late July
Joe Crede (back) – likely out for the season
David Eckstein (back) – return early July
Adam Everett (leg) – return August
Cristian Guzman (thumb) – out for the season
Nick Johnson (leg) – return July
Ian Kinsler (foot) – return August
Corey Koskie (concussion) – out indefinitely
Dallas McPherson (back) – return August/September
Doug Mientkiewicz (wrist) – return August
Lyle Overbay (wrist) – return mid-July
Pablo Ozuna (leg) – return August/September
Jason Smith (abdomen) – out indefinitely
Miguel Tejada (wrist) – return August
Mark Teixeira (quadriceps) – return mid-July
B.J. Upton (quadriceps) – return early July

Catchers:
Eliezer Alfonzo (knee) – return August/September
Henry Blanco (neck) – return early July
Hector Gimenez (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Mike Napoli (ankle) – return late July
Vance Wilson (elbow) – out for the season

Designated Hitter:
David Dellucci (hamstring) – return September
Jason Giambi (foot) – out indefinitely
Mike Piazza (shoulder) – return mid-July
Mike Sweeney (knee) –

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) – return August/September
Micah Bowie (hip) – return mid-August
A.J. Burnett (shoulder) – return late July
Chris Carpenter (elbow) – return August/September
Matt Clement (shoulder) – return July/August
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) – return mid-July
Lance Cormier (arm) – return early July
Zach Duke (elbow) – return late July
Freddy Garcia (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Mike Hampton (ribs) – out for the season
Shawn Hill (elbow) – return late July
Luke Hudson (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Phil Hughes (hamstring) – return July/August
Josh Johnson (forearm) – return late July
Randy Johnson (back) – return late July
Jeff Karstens (leg) – out indefinitely
Jon Lieber (ankle) – return September
Francisco Liriano (elbow) – out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) – return July
Adam Loewen (elbow) – out for the season
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) – return August
Wade Miller (back) – out indefinitely
Eric Milton (elbow) – out for the season
Mark Mulder (shoulder) – return July
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) – return mid-July
Russ Ortiz (arm) – return late July
Vicente Padilla (triceps) – return mid-July
John Patterson (biceps) – out indefinitely
Carl Pavano (elbow) – out for the season
Oliver Perez (back) – return mid-July
Mark Prior (shoulder) – out for the season
Horacio Ramirez (shoulder) – return early July
Darrell Rasner (finger) – return August/September
Curt Schilling (shoulder) – return late July
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) – out for the season
John Smoltz (shoulder) – return late July
Jorge Sosa (hamstring) – return mid-July
Steve Trachsel (gluteus) – return late July
Randy Wolf (shoulder) – return mid-July
Jaret Wright (shoulder) – out indefinitely
Victor Zambrano (arm) – return early July

Important Relievers:
Danys Baez (arm) – return early July
Kris Benson (shoulder) – likely out for the season
Yhency Brazoban (shoulder) – out for the season
Jesse Crain (shoulder) – out for the season
Ryan Dempster (ribs) – return mid-July
Elmer Dessens (shoulder) – return early July
Brendan Donnelly (arm) – return early July
Justin Duchscherer (hip) – out for the season
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) – out for the season
Tom Gordon (shoulder) - return early July
Eddie Guardado (elbow) – return mid-July
Angel Guzman (arm) – return mid-July
Hong-Chih Kuo (elbow) – return early August
Brandon League (shoulder) – return early July
Brad Lidge (ribs) – return late July
Brett Myers (shoulder) – return early July
Joel Pineiro (ankle) – return late July
Al Reyes (rotator cuff) – return late July
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) – out for the season
Fernando Rodney (biceps) – return mid-July
B.J. Ryan (elbow) – out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) – return mid-August
Huston Street (elbow) – out indefinitely
Salomon Torres (elbow) – return mid-July
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) – out for the season
Kerry Wood (triceps) – return late July
Joel Zumaya (finger) – return August

[Hache Man]

White Sox Sign Buehrle
The actual games might be on hold for a few days, but the fantasy news never stops, so let's get right to the notes from around baseball …

* Despite his long injury history, the A's decided to move Rich Harden back into the rotation Saturday after he made just three appearances out of the bullpen (and complained of soreness after the second one). Harden struggled against the Mariners, allowing four runs in 2.2 innings, and said afterward that he felt "off" physically. He continued to experience discomfort Sunday and is now scheduled to visit Dr. Lewis Yocum.

A trip to see Yocum is often a precursor to surgery and general manager Billy Beane didn't rule that option out when asked about it Sunday. "We'll wait and see what the doctor says, but ultimately it will be up to Rich," Beane said. "We won't know until he sees the doctor, but obviously this has been bothering him for quite awhile. It's been almost three months and it's still bothering him. To expect he'll just be better in two weeks is unrealistic.''

Beane also said that "it would be sort of foolish to plan on Rich being back soon." While Harden suffering yet another setback should surprise no one at this point, he looked great while tossing four scoreless innings in relief and his tremendous upside never fails to get fantasy owners' hopes up in a hurry. Surgery would obviously be the worst-case scenario and would knock Harden out for the season, but either way counting on him down the stretch is foolish.

* After a solid month of daily trade rumors and negotiation updates, Mark Buehrle and the White Sox finally agreed to a four-year contract extension Sunday. The deal gives Buehrle a no-trade clause through next season and pays $56 million to keep him in Chicago through 2011. If he's traded during the window in which his no-trade clause is inactive and his 10-and-5 rights haven't kicked in, then a fifth season gets tacked onto the deal at $15 million.

While locking any pitcher up to a four-year, $56 million deal is a big risk, Buehrle will be just 32 years old at the end of the contract and almost certainly would have cashed in for more money on the open market this offseason. In fact, an argument could certainly be made for Buehrle being every bit as good as Barry Zito, who received $126 million from the Giants over the winter. Incidentally, Zito has begun his Giants career by going 6-9 with a 4.90 ERA during the first half.

* Homer Bailey recovered from back-to-back rough outings to toss five innings of one-run ball Sunday, but was demoted back to Triple-A following the game. However, the move was merely done to let Bailey remain on his normal schedule through the All-Star break. He'll make one start at Louisville and then return to the Reds' rotation. As general manager Wayne Krivsky explained Sunday, "He wouldn't have pitched until eight or nine days from now."

Bailey has turned in three strong outings in six starts, but gave up 5, 6, and 7 runs in his other three games. The end result is an ugly stat line that includes a 6.99 ERA, 15-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.76 WHIP in 28.1 innings. Despite that, the Reds seem committed to leaving him in the rotation to sink or swim as their fifth starter. While Bailey is clearly one of baseball's elite pitching prospects, counting on him to be a fantasy asset in the second half is a stretch.

* They haven't received nearly as much hype as they did last season, but both reigning MVPs finished the first half on fire. Ryan Howard heads into the break riding a modest six-game hitting streak during which he drove in 10 runs. Howard was batting just .204 with an .809 OPS when he was placed on the disabled list in early May, but has hit .288 with 15 homers, 44 RBIs, and a 1.011 OPS in 41 games since returning.

Meanwhile, Justin Morneau followed up a three-homer, six-RBI game Friday against the White Sox by homering again Sunday off Javier Vazquez, giving him a .295 batting average, 24 homers, 74 RBIs, and a .945 OPS at the break. Last year at this time Morneau was hitting .300 with 23 homers, 73 RBIs, and a .939 OPS, so he's almost exactly where he was halfway through his MVP-winning campaign.

* It's long been forgotten, but Gary Sheffield began the season in a 7-for-59 (.119) slump. Sheffield finished the first half by going 3-for-4 with a homer and two doubles Sunday, giving him a .347 batting average, 20 homers, 53 RBIs, 68 runs, 11 steals, and a 1.086 OPS in 65 games since. After missing 123 games in 2006, Sheffield heads into the All-Star break among the AL's top 10 in homers, RBIs, runs, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, and walks.

AL Quick Hits: After going up nine runs Sunday to push his road ERA to 8.59, Ervin Santana is reportedly in danger of losing his spot in the rotation to Joe Saunders … Barring another setback, B.J. Upton (quadriceps) looks likely to begin the second half with the Devil Rays … Jon Garland is scheduled to start the first game of the second half, but said Sunday that his shoulder has a "knot" in it and "definitely doesn't feel 100 percent" … A stomach ailment kept Manny Ramirez out of Sunday's lineup, but he struck out looking as a pinch-hitter and expects to play in the All-Star game … Lyle Overbay (wrist) smacked a grand slam in a minor-league rehab game Saturday at Double-A … His ERA remains hideous, but Kevin Millwood tossed six innings of one-run ball Sunday for his third straight Quality Start … Magglio Ordonez (heel) and Placido Polanco (lat) both sat out Sunday, but hope to suit up for the All-Star game … Alex Rodriguez put an exclamation point on his phenomenal first half by smacking his MLB-leading 30th homer and also leads baseball with 86 RBIs.

NL Quick Hits: Chris Carpenter (elbow) tossed three shutout innings in a minor-league rehab start Sunday at Single-A … Scott Olsen left Sunday's game with back stiffness, but said afterward that he doesn't expect to miss a start … Ryan Dempster (oblique) is no longer expected to return Friday, giving Bob Howry more time with ninth-inning duties … After letting Ricky Ledee go Sunday, the Mets could be on the verge of making Lastings Milledge (foot) their starting left fielder … Meanwhile, starting right fielder Shawn Green went 0-for-4 Sunday and has hit just .200 with five RBIs in 100 at-bats since coming off the shelf … Sunday marked Jason Bay's first homer since June 22 and first multi-hit game since June 21 … Tom Gordon (shoulder) could come off the disabled list as soon as this weekend … Miguel Cabrera (shoulder) has been scratched from the Home Run Derby, but may still play in the All-Star game … After going 2-for-4 with a homer Sunday, Kaz Matsui has hit .325 with 40 RBIs, 61 runs, 24 steals, and an .846 OPS in 78 games since being traded to the Rockies.

[Hache Man]

Buy Low for the Second Half
Rather than complain about ESPN's annoying coverage of the already boring Home Run Derby or act like tonight's All-Star game is worth previewing, I figured it would be a good time to go over my "buy-low" and "sell-high" picks for the second half. I'll tackle the sell-high guys tomorrow, but today let's focus on the buy-low versions. The idea here is pretty simple: Identify players who a) saw their value drop during a bad first half, and b) figure to turn things around in the second half.

Bronson Arroyo (SP, Reds) – Arroyo began the year with a 2.64 ERA through mid-May, but then had a brutal four-start stretch in which he posted a 13.25 ERA while allowing opponents to bat .398 with a 1.199 OPS. There was some speculation that he was pitching hurt, but he's turned things around with four solid starts in his past five outings. Even if his actual performance doesn't improve a ton, Arroyo's 3-9 record figures to benefit from a little more luck and some run support.

Dave Bush (SP, Brewers) – Thanks to a brutal start to the season that included a 6.13 ERA through his first 10 outings, Bush's overall totals remain mediocre at best. However, his secondary numbers suggest that he's pitched significantly better than his 7-7 record and 4.86 ERA indicate, which is why he's a strong bet for an improved second half. Expect at least a half-dozen wins and an ERA closer to 4.00.

Matt Cain (SP, Giants) – I was never high on Cain for this season, but it's easy to see that his 3-9 record doesn't match his 3.53 ERA. The Giants scored three or fewer runs in 13 of his 17 starts, including being blanked three times. Cain allowed one run in back-to-back starts last month, yet lost both of them, and has a 1-6 record over his past 10 outings despite a 3.84 ERA. San Francisco's offense simply isn't very good, but Cain still figures to see improved run support.

J.D. Drew (OF, Red Sox) – Drew has always been a magnet for criticism and made it easy on everyone who expected him to fail in Boston by going through an extended 16-for-105 (.152) slump following a strong start. He broke out of it in a big way with a two-homer, seven-RBI game on June 8 and has hit .319 with a .955 OPS, 16 RBIs, and 19 runs scored in 26 games since then. Expect a strong second half batting behind David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez.

Andruw Jones (OF, Braves) – At 30 years old it's certainly possible that Jones' days as a star are simply winding down, but basing that opinion solely on his .211 batting average is a mistake. Jones also managed 54 RBIs in the first half, smacked 15 homers despite an usually low homer-to-fly ball ratio, and figures to improve upon his .245 batting average on balls in play. Jones hasn't hit above .280 since 2000, but count on him approaching his usual .260 mark.

Adam LaRoche (1B, Pirates) – LaRoche's first half-year in Pittsburgh was a big disappointment coming off his breakout season in Atlanta, but that's entirely due to a horrendous April. LaRoche went 11-for-83 (.133) with a .520 OPS in the season's first month, but has quietly hit .278 with 10 homers, 40 RBIs, and an .852 OPS in 62 games since the calendar flipped to May. Even better, he went 17-for-40 (.425) with five homers and 11 RBIs in the 10 games leading into the break.

Julio Lugo (SS, Red Sox) – Lugo has been a huge disappointment in Boston because of a .196 batting average, but managed to maintain plenty of fantasy value by swiping 22 first-half bases while being caught just twice. Lugo has MLB's second-worst batting average on balls in play, which is odd for a speedy player and figures to rise significantly in the second half. Assuming manager Terry Francona doesn't bench him completely, Lugo's value almost can't help but rise.

Kevin Millwood (SP, Rangers) – Millwood struggled through hamstring problems for most of the first half and pitched horribly, going 2-6 with a 7.82 ERA through his first 10 starts. He managed to rack up 10 strikeouts in a victory over the Reds on June 17 and has gone 4-1 with a 3.66 ERA in five starts since then. Millwood's age, health, and hitter-friendly home ballpark mean that he likely won't have a great second half, but he should be available for pennies on the dollar.

Corey Patterson (OF, Orioles) – Sam Perlozzo seemed to lose faith in Patterson when he got off to a slow start and frequently benched him towards the end of his time as Orioles manager. His replacement, Dave Trembley, has started Patterson in 15 of his 19 games and Patterson has responded by hitting .322 with six stolen bases and an .813 OPS. Follow Trembley's lead and avoid giving up on Patterson, because a 20-steal second half is possible.

Chris Ray (RP, Orioles) – Ray has blown four of 18 save chances, but his 38-to-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio and .220 opponent's batting average show that he's not struggling overall. Manager Dave Trembley said last week that he was thinking about taking full-time closing duties away from Ray, but apparently realized that the rest of the Orioles' bullpen is a far bigger mess and decided to leave things alone. It's a smart move, because Ray is due for a strong second half.

Richie Sexson (1B, Mariners) – Sexson carries a measly .205 batting average and .712 into the All-Star break, which matches up almost exactly with the .218 batting average and .706 OPS he had in the first half of last season. Sexson recovered from that with 1.012 second-half OPS, and finished with 34 homers and 107 RBIs. He may not get quite that hot down the stretch this time, but he's quietly posted an .800 OPS with 10 homers and 28 RBIs over the past 40 games.

Vernon Wells (OF, Blue Jays) – A month ago in this space I wrote that Wells' flukishly low homer-to-fly ball ratio suggested that he was going to see a huge increase in power soon. That turned out to be one of my better predictions in a long time, because he homered the next day and has gone deep eight times in the past 21 games after smacking just five long balls in the first 63 games. Despite the power surge, his perceived value remains low and more homers are coming.

Honorable Mentions: Scott Baker (SP, Twins); Josh Barfield (2B, Indians); Jason Bartlett (SS, Twins); Chris Burke (2B, Astros); Jose Contreras (SP, White Sox); Stephen Drew (SS, Diamondbacks); Chris Iannetta (C, Rockies); Kameron Loe (SP, Rangers); Dustin McGowan (SP, Blue Jays); Sergio Mitre (SP, Marlins); Jeff Weaver (SP, Mariners); Chris Young (OF, Diamondbacks)

[Hache Man]

Prospects: Balentien and Olson
After mentioning the Futures Game last week and noting that the USA team looked considerably stronger, the World team naturally went out and won the game 7-2. Despite the loss, Jay Bruce's laser of a triple and Justin Upton's homer were two of the more memorable events. On the World side, Franklin Morales looked excellent, making fantasy owners everywhere curse that he'll be stuck playing half his games at Coors Field. Wladimir Balentien, who is profiled later in this column, also looked good while delivering a sacrifice fly and an RBI double.

As a reminder, next week I'll be doing a spotlight column on the Eastern League All-Star game. After that I'll go back to the standard column format before shifting to a piece on all of the prospects dealt at the trading deadline.


Callups


Jeff Bailey – 1B Red Sox – One of the older players you'll ever see in this space, Bailey is a 28-year-old former catcher called up by the Red Sox this past week. A second round selection by the Marlins way back in 1997, Bailey's defense just never cut it behind the plate. He tried to stick there for years while also bouncing around the outfield, first base, and designated hitter, but Bailey has finally given up trying to be a catcher. Now a full-time first basemen, Bailey has always shown a solid but unspectacular bat. The right-hander hit .275 with 22 homers for Triple-A Pawtucket last season while also drawing 74 walks.

Bailey was off to a slightly slower start this year, hitting just .250 with nine homers and 40 walks in 74 games. However, he was at a respectable .301/.400/.493 against left-handers. The Red Sox promoted Bailey with Kevin Youkilis unavailable and a couple of southpaws due up this past weekend. Bailey could have a smidgen of value if he ever got into a platoon role at the big league level, but lefty mashing Triple-A first basemen aren't hard to come by and the Sox would certainly look for an upgrade if they were ever in a position to need Bailey for an extended period of time. Since Youkilis is expected to be near full strength after the All-Star break, Bailey's unlikely to have any value. Recommendation: Ignore in AL-only leagues.

Pat Misch – LHP Giants – A fifth round pick out of Western Michigan in 2003, Misch was your typical finesse left-hander with good command. However, Misch never found much success in college, and he wasn't as polished at keeping hitters off balance and painting the corners as most southpaws. Despite the lack of refinement in his college performance, Misch pitched rather well after signing in 2003 and began his 2004 campaign at Double-A Norwich as a result. He handled the Eastern League well, recording a 3.06 ERA and 123/35 K/BB ratio in 159 innings of work. That he passed the Double-A test was a big positive, but Misch still wasn't considered a top prospect.

Moved to Triple-A Fresno the following season, Misch struggled mightily and was eventually sent back to Double-A. The left-hander again pitched well in the Eastern League and then began 2006 with a 2.26 ERA in 18 appearances while in his third year at Double-A. Misch finally moved up to Fresno for good later that season, posting a solid 4.02 ERA and 57/11 K/BB ratio in 65 innings. That Misch gave up 74 hits, nine of which were homers, highlighted his lack of stuff, but he was doing a decent job without too much to work with.

Misch features a mid-80s fastball that he spots well, but his changeup is his best pitch and he also has a pair of average breaking pitches in his low-80s slider and mid-70s curveball. Moved to a relief role this season, Misch had a 2.03 ERA and 62/16 K/BB ratio in 57 2/3 innings for Fresno. That he had allowed just 40 hits and two homers was also a big improvement. Misch will continue to work out of the pen with the Giants, and it's a role he's likely to stick with for the rest of his career. He's capable of developing into a fine seventh-inning option. Some might consider him a sleeper in an unsettled Giants' bullpen, but Misch has even less closer-worthy stuff than players like Brad Hennessey and Kevin Correia. He's unlikely to ever get an extended look in the ninth, but he could help those in deep NL-only leagues. Recommendation: Monitor in deep NL-only formats.

Garrett Olson – LHP Orioles – A supplemental first rounder in 2005 out of Cal Poly, Olson was coming off an excellent junior season in which he went 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 128/47 K/BB ratio in 136 innings. Olson's lack of frontline starter stuff made him an appropriate selection at 48th overall, but he was still a quality prospect. The Orioles were certainly pleased when the 6'1", 200-pound left-hander posted a 1.99 ERA in 14 appearances between the New York-Penn League and the Carolina League after signing.

Back at High-A Frederick to start the 2006 campaign, Olson showed good command and the ability to put away Single-A batters when necessary. Before a mid-season promotion to Double-A, Olson had recorded a 2.77 ERA and 77/19 K/BB ratio in 81 1/3 innings. The left-hander continued pitching similarly for Bowie, though that his walk rate went up over one free pass per nine innings was a concern. Assigned to Triple-A Norfolk to begin the 2007 campaign, Olson was posting solid numbers across the board with a 3.46 ERA and 94/31 K/BB ratio in 104 innings.

The 23-year-old Olson still doesn't appear to have front of the rotation potential, but he could be a solid No. 3 starter if everything breaks right. The southpaw has an above average sinking fastball that sits in the high-80s or low-90s to go with a quality curve and an average changeup. Despite the sinking action on his fastball, Olson has never been much of a groundball pitcher and he gives up his share of extra-base hits as a result. Olson probably has decent enough command and strong enough stuff to be a No. 5 starter right now, but too many well-hit balls would spell trouble.

The left-hander will get at least a handful more starts with Steve Trachsel on the disabled list, and if he pitches well he'll earn a rotation spot for good. Olson is worth retaining in keeper leagues and those in deep AL-only leagues can take their chances with him right now, but it'd be better to take a wait-and-see approach. Limiting the number of free passes and hard-hit balls will be the keys to Olson's success, and he's a better bet for 2008 after having some time to adjust to the majors. Recommendation: Monitor in AL-only leagues; claim in keeper formats.

Jo-Jo Reyes – LHP Braves – The 6'2", 220-pound Reyes was a second round selection out of a California high school in 2003. A debut in the Gulf Coast League went well after signing, but Reyes' 2004 performance at Single-A Rome was a mixed bag. While the then 19-year-old posted an impressive 71 strikeouts and 25 walks in 74 1/3 innings, Reyes also surrendered more than a hit per inning, including 10 home runs, and was left with a disappointing 5.33 ERA. While Reyes wasn't expected to have ace-type stuff, he was expected to be a middle of the rotation starter and that he was being hit so hard was a surprise. It turned out that he needed Tommy John surgery halfway through the season, so perhaps some of the struggles can be blamed on that.

Reyes went back to Rookie ball after returning in 2005, then tore an ACL after just 48 2/3 innings of work. Finally fully healthy in 2006, Reyes had an all-around solid season with a 3.51 ERA and 142/61 K/BB ratio in 141 innings between Single-A Rome and High-A Myrtle Beach. The left-hander showed better control and a higher strikeout rate at the lower level, but that he was still just 21-years-old and was setting a career-high for innings pitched held back any substantial concerns.

Assigned to Double-A Mississippi to begin the 2007 season, Reyes again looked like a prospect with a quality strikeout rate and a modest 3.56 ERA. That his command hadn't help up at higher levels was a concern, but the Braves promoted him to Triple-A Richmond anyway. The left-hander has remained successful since the promotion despite continued control issues. Reyes has an above average low-90s fastball and gets good deception with his delivery, so better use of his slider and continued development of his changeup would make him a very intriguing prospect.

With John Smoltz going on the disabled list for a couple of weeks, Reyes was able to make his major league debut last week. He struggled in the outing, walking three and giving up two homers to the Padres in just three-plus innings. Reyes will get another start in the majors before Smoltz returns, but he's not ready to be a fantasy contributor just yet. Still only 22-years-old, Reyes has some time to finish developing as a pitcher. He's a better bet for mid-2008 than this season, but this is a fine opportunity to snag him in keeper formats. He'll be a No. 3 starter if he can improve his command. Recommendation: Ignore in one-year leagues; monitor in NL-only keeper formats.

Jeff Salazar – OF Diamondbacks – A former top prospect with the Rockies, Salazar looked like a future regular after a well rounded performance in the South Atlantic League in 2003. That season, Salazar hit .284 with 29 homers, 28 steals, and a 74/77 K/BB ratio as a 22-year-old. The 6'0", 180-pound left-hander was obviously old for the league, but a broad skill set and quality production earned him high marks in prospect circles. A move up to High-A Visalia went even better the next season, but Salazar hasn't produced like a future regular since the first half of that 2004 campaign.

The outfielder didn't top an 800 OPS in two stops at Double-A Tulsa or two spots at Triple-A Colorado Springs over the next two and a half seasons. Now with the Diamondbacks and assigned to Triple-A Tucson to begin 2007, the now 26-year-old Salazar was having his best season in three years with a .301/.383/.492 line in 319 at-bats. He was also stealing bases effectively (14-for-18) and showing good plate discipline (47/43 K/BB ratio), so this was the type of performance that was expected from Salazar, albeit several years behind schedule. That he's old for the league and playing in a hitter-friendly environment means the performance should be discounted, but it's still an encouraging few months.

With Jeff DaVanon out for at least a few games, the Diamondbacks recalled Salazar this past week. He went 3-for-10 with a double and a walk in three games since being recalled. The club could decide to stick with Salazar even when DaVanon returns, and Salazar does have the potential to be a useful platoon outfielder. That he'll be on the better side of the platoon and possesses a broad range of skills might mean he'll have fantasy value down the road. Salazar won't reach the expectations that were set for him three years ago, but the club doesn't have any better options for right field presently and a Salazar-Scott Hairston platoon could make plenty of sense. Recommendation: Monitor closely in NL-only formats.


Prospect Profiles


Wladimir Balentien – OF Mariners – A highly touted hitter when he signed as a 16-year-old way back in 2000, Balentien was always thought to have immense power potential. Realizing that power potential while also refining the rest of his skills would be the challenge, but the raw talent was certainly there. A native of Curacao, Balentien initially played for the Mariners' baseball academy in Venezuela and didn't debut in professional baseball until the 2003 season. Assigned to the Arizona League after debuting, Balentien slugged a whopping .658 in 187 at-bats. The right-hander struck out more than once per game, but he was just 18-years-old and it was an incredible debut.

Moved up to full-season ball the following spring, Balentien's production tailed off some for Single-A Wisconsin and High-A Inland Empire. His .279 batting average and .513 slugging percentage were both fine results, but that Balentien struck out more than once per game and drew just 16 walks in 86 games meant he still had work to do. A full season at Inland Empire the following season went better, with Balentien smacking 25 homers, eight triples, and 38 doubles for a .553 slugging percentage. His .291 batting average remained encouraging, but the underlying 160/33 K/BB ratio in 123 games was a big red flag.

Moved up to Double-A San Antonio last season, Balentien's average plummeted to .230 and his slugging percentage went down 118 points. Balentien was still striking out too much with 140 punchouts in 121 games, but that he deliberately started taking more pitches and ended up with 70 walks was an intriguing result. If the poor season was due to Balentien trying to learn better control of the strike zone regardless of the results, it was an effort that could well pay dividends in the long-term. That Balentien was still chasing breaking pitches out of the strike zone too often limited the optimism, however.

Indeed, it appears that Balentien's focus on better understanding the strike zone has paid off. The 6'2", 190-pound right-hander is off to an outstanding start for Triple-A Tacoma, batting a career-high .328 with 20 homers, 20 doubles, and 39 walks in 329 at-bats. He's third in the league in both slugging and OPS. His 67 strikeouts in 85 games are still a bit high, but it's easily the best mark of Balentien's career and that he's been able to cut down on the strikeouts while increasing his power and maintaining his walk rate is an extremely encouraging development. Moving to the Pacific Coast League from the Texas League may have helped, but Balentien plays half his games in a fairly neutral park and hits just as well at home.

Given that Balentien has always had some of the best power potential in the minors, he's a very desirable commodity now that his game is fully coming together. In addition to his excellent bat, he's a good defender in right field and at least an average runner who could steal 10-15 bases annually. Balentien is technically in his age-22 season, but his birthday is a day after the cutoff and he's already 23. However, that's plenty young enough that his dominance in Triple-A doesn't need to be discounted.

The Mariners could look to Balentien later in the year, but he's a better bet to break camp with the club next season. He'll still have to prove that he's capable of laying off tougher breaking pitches and I believe his batting average is more likely to be in the .270 range, but he's got plenty of potential for both the Mariners and fantasy leaguers. Balentien has legitimate 30+ homer potential and has enough additional skills to make an All-Star team some day. He's probably a bit riskier than his excellent production in Triple-A indicates, but the progress he's made over the last two seasons is striking and he comes highly recommended as a result.

Johnny Cueto – RHP Reds – Signed as an 18-year-old out of the Dominican Republic in 2004, Cueto has impressed during each season since debuting in professional ball. The right-hander made his debut with the Gulf Coast Red Sox in 2005 and acquitted himself nicely, showing good command and an above average strikeout rate while moving between the rotation and the bullpen. A late season promotion to High-A Sarasota was meant to challenge Cueto, and he gave up two runs in six innings over two appearances after the move.

Moved back to Single-A Dayton to start the 2006 campaign, Cueto started striking out more batters and his ERA headed south as a result. His strikeout rate jumped from 8.08 K/9 the previous season to 9.67 for Dayton, all while still showing an excellent want rate. The result was a 2.59 ERA and more than five strikeouts per every walk (82/15 K/BB). A mid-season promotion back to Sarasota ensued, and Cueto continued looking like a very intriguing prospect. Opposing batters still weren't getting to him very often and his strikeout rate remained near one per inning. That his walk rate almost doubled was of concern, but it was an encouraging set of results.

Back at Sarasota to start this season, Cueto continued to show excellent results. In 78 1/3 innings over 14 starts before being promoted, the right-hander had a 3.33 ERA to go with a 72/21 K/BB ratio and just three homers allowed. Cueto had struggled with the long ball at times in previous seasons, but he's worked hard to limit mistakes up in the zone and it appeared to be paying off. That Sarasota is a pitcher's park certainly helped, but Double-A Chattanooga would prove a better test. In three starts since being promoted to the Southern League, Cueto has given up just one run while striking out 27 batters in 19 innings of work. He also had the opportunity to make a fill-in start for Triple-A Louisville, giving up two runs in five innings against a mediocre Charlotte lineup.

Cueto's overall numbers are impressive, but his recent streak of starts better highlights just how well he's pitching. Since the start of May, Cueto has an 80/10 K/BB and a 2.36 ERA while going at least six innings in 9-of-13 starts. Even more importantly, Cueto's recent streak is fully backed by his scouting report. The right-hander has excellent command of a low-to-mid-90s heater that can touch 96-97. He continues to make progress with his slider, and it's now a plus pitch. Former Reds starter Mario Soto taught Cueto a changeup before the 2006 campaign, and he continues to refine that pitch as well. It could be a third plus pitch in time, giving Cueto considerable potential.

The biggest negative with Cueto is his size, as he's listed at just 5'11" tall. That he's put on some weight prior to the season should help his durability and I'm typically not as worried about diminutive pitchers as most, so it's not something that knocks Cueto's prospect status down much. Still just 21-years-old, Cueto will likely finish the season out at Double-A. A late season promotion to Triple-A could happen if he keeps dominating, but it's more likely he'll see Louisville next spring. That means a mid-season promotion to the majors next season is a real possibility. Cueto doesn't have the elite fastball or breaking pitch to consider him a future ace, but both pitches grade out as above average and that his command is excellent means he could be a No. 2 starter.

[Hache Man]

Taking stock at the break
The All-Star break is a welcome respite for major leaguers and fantasy players alike. Slumping stars such as Jason Bay and Pat Burrell can use the time off to clear their heads and refine their swings. Andy Pettitte and Brian Fuentes can double-check their mechanics. John Smoltz can rest his ailing shoulder.

Fantasy owners can take stock of where they are in the standings and plot their strategy for the stretch run.

The break is a great time to talk trade. A couple of my keeper leagues have the final out of the All-Star Game serve as their trade deadline.

Of course, this is also the time of year when league commissioners have to deal with the inevitable dump trades. But that's a topic for another day.

This week we focus on numbers that can help your second-half surge.

Turning it up a notch

The concept of a "second-half player" is largely a myth. In most cases, those who hit well overall are going to be the best no matter how you slice it.

For instance, Vladimir Guerrero leads all active outfielders in career batting average after the break at .326. Derek Jeter has the best mark among shortstops: .324. Chipper Jones tops all third basemen at .315. And Todd Helton (whose .331 career average is behind only Ichiro Suzuki's .332) leads everyone with a .344 mark after the break.

However, last year's post All-Star stats can shed light on what a good second half can do for a player and his fantasy owners.

Remember when Mark Teixeira had nine home runs going into the 2006 All-Star Game and everyone was wondering what was wrong? He bounced back — his 24 homers the rest of the way were second only to Ryan Howard's 30.

Andruw Jones and Lance Berkman hit 21 homers apiece after the break a year ago. A similar showing would put them at 36 homers and more than 110 RBI by season's end. Not too shabby for two guys who've been viewed as major disappointments so far.

And with only 16 home runs, Albert Pujols might be this year's Teixeira. He entered the break on a 22-game homerless streak. A surge is on the way, and last year's post-All Star numbers (.344, 20 HRs, 61 RBI) provide a good reference point.

In terms of batting average, Robinson Cano hit .365, Garrett Atkins .354 and Adam LaRoche .323 after the break a year ago. All three started slow this season but have begun to warm up. Buy low if you can.

If you're looking for extra points in stolen bases, it might be time to make a play for Carl Crawford. The three-time American League steals king has 22, but last season he was 26-for-27 after the break, and he's swiped more than 50 three times in the last four seasons.

Pitching tougher to project

No pitcher won 20 games last season, but Johan Santana made a pretty good run at it. The Minnesota Twins ace was 10-1 after the All-Star Game with a 2.54 ERA to put him one victory from 20.

If there's a case for any second-half pitcher, Santana is it.

The results are similar to 2005, when he went 9-2 with a 1.59 ERA after the break. In 2004, Santana was even better — carrying many fantasy teams to a championship with a 13-0 record and a 1.21 ERA.

But Santana is exceptional. Of the three other pitchers who matched his post-All-Star win total last year (Smoltz, Chien-Ming Wang and Jon Garland also won 10), none has come close to matching Santana's consistency. Over the last three years, only Roy Oswalt (29 wins) is even in the same ballpark as Santana's post-break 32 wins.

Santana has also been among the majors' top 10 in post-break ERA and WHIP in each of the last three years. No one else can say that.

Only Roger Clemens has had a top-10 ERA more than once in that period.

Only Ben Sheets and Chris Carpenter have top-10 WHIPs in each of the last three seasons.

Damage control

Top-notch starting pitchers are an important part of any title run. But wins and ERA can be fickle stats because they involve a number of factors beyond a pitcher's control. Especially late in the season, it might be smart to begin replacing some of your lesser starters with low-risk relievers to protect your ERA and WHIP.

The concept is similar to the one financial planners use when they shift their clients' assets from volatile stocks to more stable funds as retirement approaches: limit the potential for significant loss.

Jon Garland owners know the pain all too well. Last week against the Twins, Garland was rocked for 12 runs (11 earned) in 3⅓ innings. His mound opponent, Scott Baker, gave up seven runs in five innings in that wild 21-14 game.

For the most part, Garland is a reliable pitcher. Despite the blowup, his ERA is still a respectable 3.92. But if you're carrying the likes of Robinson Tejeda or Josh Fogg or Adam Eaton to get wins or strikeouts, it might be time to readjust your portfolio.