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Old 09-07-06, 11:53 PM   #1
Hache Man
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Join Date: Aug 19, 2005
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Default The Frist Batch Of Rankings

The First Batch of Rankings
Even Charlie Batch can’t dull the excitement of opening night. Pittsburgh’s sudden starting quarterback will change the complexion of the game, however. Batch has averaged only eleven passes per season since 2002, and coach Bill Cowher would be happy to keep him under that number Thursday. Expect to see a lot of Fast Willie Parker, Verron Haynes, and Steelers punter Chris Gardocki.

I’ll be paying special attention to Dolphins running back Ronnie Brown. If Rotoworld’s fourth ranked running back struggles in 2006, my friends will probably stop talking to me. Brown is ranked seventh in Rotoworld’s Week 1 rankings below. For first-time readers of this column, Goal Line Stand will rank every possible starter in fantasy leagues by position each Thursday. Just like with Tuesday’s Waiver Wired, an accompanying video for Stand will be posted on NBCSports.com. Check back this weekend for our final update to the Goal Line Stand rankings once the week of practices are over.

Week 1 Starting Quarterbacks



RankPlayer NameNotes
1Peyton Manning
2Carson Palmer
3Matt Hasselbeck
4Donovan McNabb
5Marc Bulger
6Kurt Warner
7Tom Brady
8Jake Plummer
9Eli Manning
10Aaron Brooks
11Daunte Culpepper
12Michael Vick
13Jake Delhomme
14Drew Bledsoe
15Byron Leftwich
16Trent Green
17Drew Brees
18Jon Kitna
19Chris Simms
20David Carr
21Steve McNair
22Chad Pennington
23Charlie Frye
24Brad Johnson
25Philip Rivers
26Brett Favre
27Kerry Collins
28Rex Grossman
29Mark Brunell
30Alex Smith
31Charlie Batch
32J.P. Losman
33Vince Young


Notes: It’d be a major upset if Kerry Collins didn’t start for the Titans this weekend. Because of the uncertainty, I have him ranked slightly lower than usual. Keep in mind that he’s just learning a new system, and Vince Young could play in special packages in short-yardage situations. … Tom Brady will have a hard time repeating as yardage champ this season. Look for New England to revert back to a short passing attack because the team doesn’t have the talent to go deep. The Patriots were already making the transition to a run-first team this off-season before Deion Branch’s holdout. They are loaded at running back, tight end, and on the offensive line. Look for a slow pace of play to help keep New England’s defense off the field. Brady is a safe bet for 3,500 yards, but 4,000 will be tough to repeat.

I look for quarterbacks who could be throwing a lot of garbage-time passes. Kurt Warner was the king of this last season. The Cardinals inevitably trailed in the second half of most games and Warner racked up huge numbers trying to catch up. Two candidates to be garbagemen heroes this season are Drew Brees and Aaron Brooks. The New Orleans defense isn’t going to stop anyone. They’ve signed every aging linebacker this side of Pat Swilling since the start of July. Oakland’s defense has raw talent, but has shown no cohesiveness under coordinator Rob Ryan. Brooks could be playing a lot of catch-up. He’s a strong play this week facing the perennially weak Chargers secondary.

Week 1 Running Backs



RankPlayer NameNotes
1Shaun Alexander
2Larry Johnson
3LaDainian Tomlinson
4Edgerrin James
5Tiki Barber
6Rudi Johnson
7Ronnie Brown
8Willie Parker
9LaMont Jordan
10Reuben Droughns
11DeShaun Foster
12Frank Gore
13Brian Westbrook
14Carnell Williams
15Warrick Dunn
16Willis McGahee
17Tatum Bell
18Reggie Bush
19Julius Jones
20Corey Dillon
21Chester Taylor
22Steven Jackson
23Thomas Jones
24Kevin Jones
25Mike Bell
26Fred Taylor
27Clinton Portis
28Deuce McAllister
29Jamal Lewis
30Wali Lundy
31Chris Brown
32Ahman Green
33Joseph Addai
34Travis Henry
35Dominic Rhodes
36Brandon Jacobs
37T.J. Duckett
38Cedric Benson
39Kevan Barlow
40DeAngelo Williams
41Laurence Maroney
42Marion Barber
43Derrick Blaylock
44Michael Pittman
45Jerious Norwood
46Ron Dayne
47Ladell Betts
48Samkon Gado
49Verron Haynes
50Jerome Harrison
51LaBrandon Toefield
52Vernand Morency
53LenDale White
54Michael Turner
55Ciatrick Fason
56Musa Smith


Notes: Be careful about adjusting too much for opponents this early in the season. Looking at the matchups is a great tiebreaker to help decide between two similar players, but you don’t want to over-react based on conventional wisdom. We have no idea what 2006 defenses will look like. At this time a year ago, the Patriots defense was feared by all and the Bears were a middle-of-the-pack team. Wait a few weeks for trends to evolve before benching your studs because they have a tough opponent – on paper.

Thomas Jones will get the start for the Bears. If you own him, this is a good week to use him as a flex position player or RB2 on thin teams. Green Bay’s interior line looks weak and Cedric Benson will probably be used sparingly after missing the preseason. …

ESPN’s John Clayton reported that Clinton Portis is expected to play on Monday Night Football. While he will move up our rankings if he practices this week, fantasy owners with options should consider benching him for his first game back. There’s no guarantee he will be able to finish the game. Minnesota’s defensive line also stood out in the preseason. Kenechi Udeze and Erasmus James are healthy and are perfect fits for the team’s new Tampa 2 defense. Pat Williams continues his late-career renaissance and remains one of the best defensive tackles in football. While they aren’t terribly deep, Minnesota’s defensive line could be the best in football.

DeShaun Foster is an inconsistent runner who often racks up big games against lesser opponents, but struggles otherwise. His two best games of 2005 were against Atlanta, so Carolina will test their rush defense early and often. I don’t expect DeAngelo Williams to get the ball that much. … Both Bells from Denver could be worth starting as flex players. The artificial surface should help Tatum especially, and Denver could run the ball enough for both players to be productive against a lackluster Rams defense.

Week 1 Wide Receivers



RankPlayer NameNotes
1Chad Johnson
2Anquan Boldin
3Larry Fitzgerald
4Marvin Harrison
5Torry Holt
6Randy Moss
7Reggie Wayne
8Steve Smith
9Terrell Owens
10Plaxico Burress
11Roy Williams
12T.J. Houshmandzadeh
13Chris Chambers
14Santana Moss
15Joe Horn
16Derrick Mason
17Andre Johnson
18Javon Walker
19Laveranues Coles
20Rod Smith
21Antonio Bryant
22Lee Evans
23Donald Driver
24Nate Burleson
25Michael Clayton
26Eddie Kennison
27Joey Galloway
28Darrell Jackson
29Drew Bennett
30Hines Ward
31Isaac Bruce
32Terry Glenn
33Reggie Brown
34Eric Moulds
35Donte' Stallworth
36Ernest Wilford
37Matt Jones
38Keenan McCardell
39Roddy White
40Marty Booker
41Amani Toomer
42Samie Parker
43Mark Clayton
44Troy Williamson
45Muhsin Muhammad
46Braylon Edwards
47Kevin Curtis
48Joe Jurevicius
49Bobby Engram
50Greg Jennings
51Keyshawn Johnson
52David Givens
53Brandon Lloyd
54Michael Jenkins
55Robert Ferguson
56Corey Bradford


Notes: Keep an eye on Joe Horn this week. With no other legitimate wide receivers in New Orleans, Horn has a chance for a major comeback season. He has a difficult Week 1 matchup against Browns cornerback Leigh Bodden. As Chad Johnson, Football Outsiders, and ESPN’s KC Joyner know, Bodden is one of the best players in the NFL no one knows about. Horn should be targeted often enough to have a solid day.

Alvis Whitted will start at wide receiver for the Raiders opposite Randy Moss. He’s not the reason Oakland traded Doug Gabriel, but he’s part of a deep receiver group. I expect Jerry Porter and Ronald Curry to rotate in with the first team. Until the situation shakes out, don’t count on consistent fantasy production from any of them. … A similar scenario is playing out in Minnesota. Troy Williamson is not ready to be a No. 1 receiver, so the team will rotate him, Travis Taylor, Marcus Robinson, and Todd Pinkston. Williamson is worth a fantasy roster spot, but that’s about it. … A couple crusty veterans make for sneaky plays this week. Amani Toomer could benefit if the Giants are playing catch-up Sunday night against the Colts. Marty Booker will try to take advantage of Pittsburgh’s secondary deep.

Darrell Jackson reportedly looked very good in practice Wednesday. It’s possible that he skipped a lot of training camp because of a lingering contract dispute with the team. That’s good news for his fantasy owners; perhaps his knee won’t be as big a concern this year. If he’s announced as a starter, I’ll move Jackson up the rankings. Another thing to watch in Seattle is how the team divides snaps between Bobby Engram, Nate Burleson, and D.J. Hackett.

I’ve left other star receivers battling injuries high in the rankings. Steve Smith’s hamstring is worth watching closely, but ESPN says he’s likely to play. Falcons CB DeAngelo Hall is a self-hyped superstar who would top our list of overrated defensive players. Opposing teams show no fear attacking Hall. Looking to keep his name in the headlines, Hall talked trash on Smith in the papers this week. Not a good idea. … Terrell Owens isn’t on the injury report, so he should be in your lineup. Its possible T.O. won’t start, but he won’t be sitting behind Patrick Crayton (or Sam Hurd) for long. Bill Parcells wants to win and Owens will want to make a big opening statement as a Cowboy.

Week 1 Tight Ends



RankPlayer NameNotes
1Antonio Gates
2Jeremy Shockey
3Chris Cooley
4Todd Heap
5Tony Gonzalez
6Alge Crumpler
7Jason Witten
8Ben Watson
9L.J. Smith
10Heath Miller
11Randy McMichael
12Alex Smith
13Ben Troupe
14Kellen Winslow
15Jermaine Wiggins
16Dallas Clark
17Vernon Davis
18Chris Baker
19Tony Scheffler
20Eric Johnson
21Bo Scaife
22Leonard Pope
23Joe Klopfenstein
24Daniel Graham
25Jim Kleinsasser


Notes: Ben Watson will benefit from Deion Branch’s absence. It’s hard to imagine him not catching at least four passes a game. Only in his third year, Watson knows the team’s system much better than new wideouts Reche Caldwell and Doug Gabriel. … Ben Troupe has a great chance to step up his numbers this week with Erron Kinney out and David Givens questionable. … Jim Kleinsasser and Jermaine Wiggins may both start at tight end for Minnesota. Wiggins’ numbers could suffer because of it, but Vikings coach Brad Childress is accustomed to using two tight ends in the passing game extensively.

Week 1 Kickers



RankPlayer NameNotes
1Neil Rackers
2David Akers
3Jeff Wilkins
4Shayne Graham
5Jason Elam
6Nate Kaeding
7Michael Koenen
8Adam Vinatieri
9Lawrence Tynes
10Josh Brown
11Jeff Reed
12Ryan Longwell
13Olindo Mare
14John Kasay
15Sebastian Janikowski
16Josh Scobee
17Jay Feely
18Joe Nedney
19Jason Hanson
20John Hall
21Matt Stover
22Stephen Gostkowski
23Phil Dawson
24Rian Lindell
25John Carney
26Matt Bryant
27Rob Bironas
28Kris Brown
29Robbie Gould
30Dave Rayner
31Mike Nugent
32Mike Vanderjagt
33Shaun Suisham


Notes: Mike Vanderjagt is questionable for Week 1. He practiced Wednesday, so he should probably get the start. Until we know for sure, there is no sense putting him in your fantasy lineup.

Week 1 Team Defense



RankPlayer NameNotes
1Bears Defense
2Panthers Defense
3Steelers Defense
4Jaguars Defense
5Buccaneers Defense
6Ravens Defense
7Seahawks Defense
8Cowboys Defense
9Dolphins Defense
10Patriots Defense
11Eagles Defense
12Bengals Defense
13Falcons Defense
14Vikings Defense
15Colts Defense
16Redskins Defense
17Broncos Defense
18Chargers Defense
19Browns Defense
20Cardinals Defense
21Bills Defense
22Lions Defense
23Packers Defense
24Titans Defense
25Jets Defense
26Chiefs Defense
27Giants Defense
28Rams Defense
29Fortyniners Defense
30Texans Defense
31Raiders Defense
32Saints Defense


Season Predictions

Because I have nowhere else to post them, here are my predicted finishes for each division this season. Enjoy Week 1 and check back Saturday for updates to the rankings.

AFC East

1. New England
2. Miami
3. New York
4. Buffalo

AFC North

1. Cincinnati
2. Pittsburgh
3. Cleveland
4. Baltimore

AFC South

1. Indianapolis
2. Jacksonville
3. Houston
4. Tennessee

AFC West

1. Chargers
2. Broncos
3. Raiders
4. Chiefs

Wild Cards: Broncos, Steelers

AFC Championship: Patriots over Bengals (of course)

NFC East

1. Cowboys
2. Eagles
3. Giants
4. Redskins

NFC North

1. Bears
2. Vikings
3. Lions
4. Packers

NFC South

1. Bucs
2. Panthers
3. Falcons
4. Saints

NFC West

1. Seahawks
2. Cardinals
3. Rams
4. 49ers

Wild Cards: Panthers, Eagles

NFC Championship: Seahawks over Cowboys

Super Bowl XLI Seahawks over Patriots
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