Jamie Power's Mercedes Benz Championship 1.4-1.7

[jamiepower]

Great to have the golf season back in full swing ** hope some more cappers show up and lets have a winningest season!

Written By JamiePower.

Tournament Information

The Mercedes Benz Championship
Plantation Course At Kapalua
Par 73
Defending Champion : Stuart Appleby.

The Course

Kapalua is an amazing course that careens around the edge of the pacific coast line. It requires players to keep the ball in the fairway and be able to dial it in on the huge putting surfaces. The greens are large but very difficult to judge and read. A hot putter and a straight driver is needed to win in Maui.


The Field & Odds

Wow, I was shocked to see these big of numbers by some of the players names. Your almost getting 10:1 on a three time consecutive champion. It is often easy to pick the top 5 in these short field events early in the season because the ones who have performed in the past will dominate again. I have in bold some of my leans to win outright.

101 J. Furyk +453
102 V. Singh +741
103 S. Appleby +951
104 A. Scott +1098
105 L. Donald +1318
106 G. Ogilvy +1330
107 T. Immelman +1262
108 D. Toms +2402
109 K.J. Choi +3111
110 D. Love III +3103
111 J. Durant +3292
112 R. Sabbatini +4188
113 C. Campbell +3127
114 A. Baddeley +5162
115 S. Ames +4529
116 C. Pettersson +7070
117 J. Senden +5555
118 A. Oberholser +3526
119 R. Pampling +4122
120 J.J. Henry +4242
121 B. Wetterich +6907
122 D. Wilson +8102
123 T. Matteson +6262
124 J. Rollins +12121
125 C. Pavin +12121
126 JB. Holmes +8282
127 B. Curtis +8282
128 E. Axley +8282
129 D.J. Trahan +13434
130 K. Triplett +13434
131 T. Herron +11111
132 J. Maggert +15252
134 W. MacKenzie +13454
135 C. Couch +15252



Head To Head Matches Worth Betting

Some very nice head to head matches are listed in this weeks tournament. Alot have some very profitable underdogs.

J. Furyk -157 vs S. Appleby +149
300 to win 447

Stuart Appleby in my mind is the one player who is going to give everything he has into this tournament, he is attempting to tie Tiger with a record that only he holds, 4 In A Row. Jim Furyk is simply here to get his rhythm. He is listed as a favourite because of his history, 26 rounds of 28 played at Kapalua were par or better. However, how many tournaments did he win? ( Its less than 1 and more than -1, I think you can figure it out ) Appleby has nailed 3 in a row.


J. Durant +122 vs K.J. Choi -130
500 to win 620

Another noodlescratcher here, Joe Durant finished the season as the hottest player on tour, and he is a +122 dog against K.J Choi of all people. Durant is on a big hot streak and looks to add an 11th top 10 finish in a row. Consistency that carries over from 2 months ago should do the trick for Durant here.


J. Furyk -150 vs. V. Singh +139
100 to win 139

Vijay Singh has finished 2nd place in 2006 and 2004 and finished 4th in 2005 to Stuart Appleby. Just because Jim Furyk is the highest ranked golfer in the field doesn’t mean he is a win, that’s the same for all golfers in tournaments Tiger isn’t in. The truth is Furyk's power, wait Jim Furyk doesn’t have any power. In Kapalua you need power to overcome the course and not to mention the longest hole on tour, the 664 yard Par5 18th. He has had good success at this even in the past but looks and feels old. For god sakes he almost broke himself when he tried to imitate Camillio Villegas in and event last year. He will play a solid top 10 tournament but I don't see him as the one to beat. I wouldn’t rely on anyone’s short game this early in the season. Vijay has enough power and enough accuracy, not to mention consistency at this event and history to back it up to place high in the tournament.

Who Will Win It All

Stuart Appleby +951
100 to win 951

I have to go with the man who should be the favourite here. With huge odds in the 951 number Stuart Appleby has proven he has what it takes to dominate the early season and get his fame before the big guys come roaring out. His consistent well rounded playing style suits every aspect of this course and he too has the potential to BOOM it, (No pun intended..-Bridgestone Golf Joke). With a lot on the line, 1.7 million, and a share of the record that has only been broken once since 1930. Oh yeah not to mention a 4th Benz in his garage, Stuart should come out the usual way posting a 71-72 followed by 3 similar numbers and continue the Australian Bang in the PGA.

Dark Horses

Adam Scott +1098
10 to win 100.98

A Tiger like swing that was perfected in the off season with posture help could be all Adam Scott needs to continue off where he ended the season, winning the TOUR Championship by 3 strokes. Watch for Scott this weekend. Only a small play here.


Trevor Immelman +1262
10 to win 126.2

The Rookie of The Year and MR. Consistent is another lurker in the shadows of Singh, Furyk and Appleby. Trevor Immelman finished 5th in the TOUR Championship and had a handful of top 10 finishes last season. If he can keep consistent Trevor can be a threat this week. Another small play here.

Don’t Think About It
Don’t touch the following with a 10 foot pole,

Geoff Ogilvy
Chad Campbell
Rory Sabbitinni
David Toms
Arron Baddley

Good Luck Everyone, hope this helped out anyone thinking of placing golf bets.

Feedback, any type is great!

[CUBSFAN]

GL man where did you find these odds?

Should be a good season and hopefully a good tourney for Appleby

[BOBBYW]

GLTY JP.....

[jamiepower]

I bet on Pinnacle and Toute Sport.

Appleby has to have a good tournament in my mind, he is really the only one with something to play for.

Good Luck Guys, Lets hit Appleby at +970

[The General]

Welcome. I was just looking ver the odds and going to post about it.

Best of luck

[jamiepower]

Thanks guys, Good Luck to you to.