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#1 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,699
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I have this chase system for baseball that i feel is going to work and i figured i'd adapt it to hockey. So far i've only tested it out on the 2002 and 2003 seasons which it went 45-0 and 50-0 respectively. I'm gonna test out more seasons, and if it prooves worthly, i'll do a test run for the end of this season. I guess i'm just getting excited and wanted to get this off my chest. It may crash....it may not. It's kinda tough to have faith in it b/c if you lose 1 of the chases in a year it basically wipes out all the winnings and maybe more. So i'm looking to go undefeated in 5 years are maybe even 1 or 2 at the most loses if i'm going to play it. Updates will be posted asap!!!
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#2 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,699
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Final results for past 4 years...
2001-2002 45-0 2002-2003 45-0 2003-2004 50-0 2005-2006 43-0 TOTAL: 183-0 I'm gonna post up the plays for the rest of the hockey season on here to see how it does. I'm not really betting this, it is just a test. Feel free to reply or bash, criticizm is accepted. |
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#3 |
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I'll bet you dollars to donuts
Join Date: Oct 21, 2006
Posts: 699
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183-0 and your not betting
what does your system have to do before your comfortable to bet it.Hope you don t take offense just my thoughts will follow your thread BOL |
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#4 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,699
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Chase systems scare me!!!! But for example....its a 6 game chase, so if you lose those 6 games ur chasing its gonna cost u about 160 units for hockey. So me being 183-0 means little. If i was 183-2 i would be in the hole. Each lose is SOOO important in figuring stuff out. And i did check out the games so far in 2007 and there WAS 1 lose. BUT i figured a way around that lose, and it actually makes the system better and same with the baseball system i also have. Out of about the 8 loses of my baseball system, about half of these will be cancelled from the change i just made. The new records are as follows:
2001-2002 33-0 2002-2003 38-0 2003-2004 41-0 2005-2006 36-0 2006-2007 (so far) 17-0 Total 165-0 FYI, if u lose 1 game in a year, you can kiss profit for that year out the window cuz you'll lose money. I'm making this to NOT lose. |
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#5 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,699
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Still don't know if im really gonna start playing this.....its such a huge risk for the fact that your NOT winning a lot of money but you have the chance of losing A LOT of money. I'll probably have to do more testing until i feel confident enough in myself to use this system. If it does work, its nice to have just to keep busy and get a bit extra money for other sports. First game gonna be on Fri. Max profit for the rest of the year is only gonna be 13-17 units!?
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#6 |
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I'll bet you dollars to donuts
Join Date: Oct 21, 2006
Posts: 699
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actually the only lost will be your original units because if you lose dont you give up the chase?So it will seem like a lot of money if you go say 80-0 your next bet will be large but its mostly there money anyways
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#7 |
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EOG Dedicated
Join Date: Nov 01, 2006
Posts: 5,699
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I'm just making the point that if your only winning 35 units a year, and one lose chase cost you 160 units, it takes 4 and half years just to cover that one lose. Point being....this can't lose or it won't work. And obviously if you win money in a year your probably gonna spend it. Which makes that losing year kinda rough. I dont know if your getting the point, check up on martingale theory on sports betting. Past 4.5 years it hasn't lost....so we'll see how this plays out in the future.
Also in the chase the minimum chase is 5 games, and the maximum you can lose is going to bet on 6 games straight. After that 6th game you quit the chase, but you've lost about 160 units. (I just compared that 160 to the one lose i had for the pre-edited system) Since this system hasn't lost yet, it's hard to give a ballpark figure of how much you're going to lose. It makes sense that the higher % you have of losing the 6 game chase, the less money it's going to cost you. Just gotta hope for not losing!!! |
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