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tool21 · 10-23-07, 12:28 AM

Whatever i post, only bet the dog.

Pit
Stl
Chi
Col
LA

NoNewbieca · 10-23-07, 09:03 AM

Quote:

Whatever i post, only bet the dog.

Pit -135
Stl -120
Chi -145
Col -145
LA -135

Added is what The Greek lines are on this. No thoughts on TOR-ATL tonight? I like ANA at even money against STL, and I also like NYR against PIT. In hindsight, the UNDER in last night's CAR game made sense. Today is another day.

tool21 · 10-23-07, 09:58 AM

NoNew, I only look at games in which the line is less than +150. Anything higher and there is usually a good reason they're that much of a dog.

As of now, it's looking like no plays for today. Shitty day. Stl is probably the only one i have a chance at getting as a dog.

NoNewbieca · 10-23-07, 03:53 PM

What does your system say about TOR-ATL? TOR has blown back-to-back 2 goal leads in the third period. Darcy Tucker is out. ATL has sucked badly, and just recently as we know just won their first game. Could be a nice upset if the Leafs lose again...I love to fade the Maple Laughs but I am not convinced tonight. Not yet anyway.

tool21 · 10-23-07, 04:58 PM

Tor 4.47
Atl 2.71

Freezer · 10-23-07, 07:01 PM

Good Luck Tool! PL

NoNewbieca · 10-24-07, 09:55 AM

Tool - you KNOW if I actually placed a bet on ATL last night, they would have lost the shootout...but as it was they gave up a goal with seconds left in the third period and it almost cost them the game. Leafs lose another game (although they manage a point)...and they now head on the road where they better play better defence.

NoNewbieca · 10-24-07, 09:56 AM

Tool - you picked all 5 games last night - wouldn't you parlay that into a single bet and make some monster money? That's good picking my friend.

tool21 · 10-24-07, 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoNewbieca

Tool - you picked all 5 games last night - wouldn't you parlay that into a single bet and make some monster money? That's good picking my friend.

Chicago lost my friend. Would of been 4-1 on the night IF i bet those. I'm a value player anyway. Most of the time you pay too much for a favorite. And i don't waste money on parlays, just straight bets. Best chance of profiting.

The reason I only bet the dogs is simple. I have no fucking clue how to convert a hockey spread into a ML. Therefore, if i have a team winning and they are the favorite then i have no clue if they're being overvalued or undervalued!? But what I do know is if i have a team to win and they are a dog, then i am definitely getting value. This is my reason for only betting the dogs. I'm not here to win 100 units in a month. I'm here to win 20+ units over the course of a season.

Freezer · 10-24-07, 11:37 AM

You are doing well sir!

NoNewbieca · 10-24-07, 02:12 PM

Tool - a reasonable system. BOL tonight Bud.

10-23-07, 12:28 AM	#1
tool21 EOG Dedicated Join Date: Nov 01, 2006 Posts: 6,114	Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units Whatever i post, only bet the dog. Pit Stl Chi Col LA

10-23-07, 09:58 AM	#3
tool21 EOG Dedicated Join Date: Nov 01, 2006 Posts: 6,114	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units NoNew, I only look at games in which the line is less than +150. Anything higher and there is usually a good reason they're that much of a dog. As of now, it's looking like no plays for today. Shitty day. Stl is probably the only one i have a chance at getting as a dog.

10-23-07, 03:53 PM	#4
NoNewbieca EOG Dedicated Join Date: Jun 05, 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 2,885	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units What does your system say about TOR-ATL? TOR has blown back-to-back 2 goal leads in the third period. Darcy Tucker is out. ATL has sucked badly, and just recently as we know just won their first game. Could be a nice upset if the Leafs lose again...I love to fade the Maple Laughs but I am not convinced tonight. Not yet anyway.

10-23-07, 04:58 PM	#5
tool21 EOG Dedicated Join Date: Nov 01, 2006 Posts: 6,114	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units Tor 4.47 Atl 2.71

10-23-07, 07:01 PM	#6
Freezer EOG Veteran Join Date: Sep 08, 2007 Posts: 1,008	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units Good Luck Tool! PL

10-24-07, 09:55 AM	#7
NoNewbieca EOG Dedicated Join Date: Jun 05, 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 2,885	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units Tool - you KNOW if I actually placed a bet on ATL last night, they would have lost the shootout...but as it was they gave up a goal with seconds left in the third period and it almost cost them the game. Leafs lose another game (although they manage a point)...and they now head on the road where they better play better defence.

10-24-07, 09:56 AM	#8
NoNewbieca EOG Dedicated Join Date: Jun 05, 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 2,885	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units Tool - you picked all 5 games last night - wouldn't you parlay that into a single bet and make some monster money? That's good picking my friend.

10-24-07, 11:37 AM	#10
Freezer EOG Veteran Join Date: Sep 08, 2007 Posts: 1,008	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units You are doing well sir!

10-24-07, 02:12 PM	#11
NoNewbieca EOG Dedicated Join Date: Jun 05, 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 2,885	Re: Tool's Dogs 10/23 13-10 56.5% +4.53 units Tool - a reasonable system. BOL tonight Bud.

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