TP, 09.29.07

[PacMan]

For Saturday, September 29, 2007

Apologies for this being later than planned but someone hit a nice one
last night and went out to celebrate afterwards.

Thoughts for Turfway Park
Race 1/ Jumbo Sky: Trained by Tom Proctor, given a generous 8:1 m/l,
third time maiden starter going a mile for the second time, worth the
risk

Race 2/
Hacker Craft: Charles is looking for his first win of the meet
and been having a rough year (6%) but has this one spotted well.

Columbus Club: is a level three profile play who has never been in the
money @ TP but Cowans William has been this meet 43% of the time, a
8:1 m/l makes this one interesting

Hey Bill: is a level four profile play who has knocked on the door
twice at this distance (pair of places) and once over the track as
well, will gladly take the 15:1 m/l

Race 3/ Richwood Silver: Joe Cain's winning @ a 14% for the meet and
most likely will be overlooked again by the betting public, hoss is
getting third jock in as many races and although not a big fan of
Thompson at least it's not a downgrade, making second start over the
surface (this meet)

Race 7/
My Private Lake: is a level four profile play who has never
been in the money @ TP or distance with a trainer who's only been in
the money once this meet and has an oh-fer in the irons, yet; this is
the horse of choice today especially if the tote board hovers around
the generous 30:1 m/l, flip side is might be a race away

Pauilac: has an extremely patient jock similar to CD's famous rider,
while it's not all about the jock, if one can forgive the previous
race; there is a solid horse here who has a win-miss lifetime pattern,
the 8:1 m/l is about right but if it drops to 2:1 or lower it would be
safe to presume some connection money has been dropped

Race 9/ Warrior Girl: is a level four profile play who has a win & show
@ the distance but not raced over the surface, being conditioned by
DWL and knowing he can pull a 30:1 m/l to the winner's circle is not a
deterrent

Race 10/ Street Sense: anyone who knows or knows of me realizes how
highly this one is thought of, broke the jinx of the BCJ & KYD, grabbed
the blanket March 17 and then has gone on to "better" things since,
nice as it would be to go into the Classic a win here is not the big
goal and can not seeing him finish any worse than second

Race 11/ Blazing Bull: a level four profile play who is cutting back in
distance and given a cushy 15:1 m/l

Good luck to all.

[PacMan]

Part II


HAW 4/ Seismographer: is a level two profile play, hoss has not been
in the money in either race but has 40% w/p ratio for the distance,
while TD, getting the return call, and Robert Gorham have goose eggs
for the meet (heading intotoday) with a 8:1 m/l it's worth a shot

HAW 6/ Dr. Robinson: no, not because the Lost in Space show several
years ago, both jock & trainer are about 50% in the money for the meet,
blinkers should help and is also a level one profile play, don't see
the public taking this one below double digit odds unless someone knows
something coming from a 15:1 m/l and hasn't spread it

HAW 8/
Crested (GB): is a level one profile play with a trainer making
their seasonal debut, the pilot (EMIGH) is a woeful 5% winner so far
but a semi-respectable 15% for the year, hoss has placed over the local
lawn but is oh-fer at the distance

Ballast (IRE): is a level four profile play who has enough early and
tactical speed that could wire the field despite never having soiled
the local surface, one can forgive the zeroes from the conditioner and
rider for the meet as their year numbers are acceptable

Onthedeanslist: is a level four profile play who also has early speed
that is making debut over the HAW lawn but has a pair of wins at the
distance (form five attempts), largest drawback was the scr on the
22nd (Sept) by the trainer

HAW 9/ Yanquee Reign: everything in printed form says this one deserves
the 20:1 m/l - the oh-fer by the trainer, the not in the money for the
tack and distance, etc but going to use this one as the HAW BA play of
the day and keying as well for exotics