mofome
Banned
UVA/UNC
This game is more interesting for the implication it could have for next season, than anything these teams may be able to accomplish next year.
UNC’s joe Bunting is on the hot seat and several huge recruits may now be rethinking their position, dwight jones being their biggest comit who is now opening things up a bit. WR is certainly an area of concern for the tarheels, losing andarius bowman 2 years ago was a big loss, just look at what hes done at OKST.
Right now its obvious that UVA doesn’t have the ability to stop any teams starting 11, should those 11 players possess a pulse.. The good news is, they don’t have to worry about that this weekend. Last week UVA lost to the Terps, at home, for the first time in over 10 years and this may be the worst terps team we’ve seen since CRF has been in college park. UMD put up more ypp on UVA than they did vs MidTn or fla int’l. Fortunately for UVA, the tarheels only have one player with more than 1TD and no true big play threat. UNC only has 1 WR who averages 3+ catches per game and neither one of their Qbs has more than half as many TDs as INTs. After starting off with a good performance vs Rutgers, UNC has, seemingly, gotten worse each week. A team that’s losing confidence and, likely, doesn’t believe their coach will be back, is a team that’s hard to bet on. Then we take a look at the fact that UNC has only put up 14 points in their 2 road games and we see a bit of a problem for the tarheels; granted, those games were at Miami and @ Clemson.
So we have unc, on the road, in conference, vs a team that has to win. I would assume that UNC would hope this game was a noon start, perhaps catching UVA sleep walking, but this is a night game on ESPN. UVA has recruited reasonably well and does have some talent on Defense. In this game we will see a fired up UVA defense infront of a packed house, vs one of the worst teams in any BCS conference. Im thinking that UVA will be able to get off the field on D. Certainly UNC isn’t going to be able to just drop back and pass at any point in the game and that’s a bit of a concern considering their 80th in ther nation in rushing offense. UNC is trying to adjust to a new zone blocking scheme but, obviously, its not working at the moment. The 80th rushing D in the land, complimenting a freshman QB, is a recipe for disaster anywhere, much less in a nationally televised game on the road. The biggest obstacle for the UVA d will be Sextons mobility and sexton isn’t a QB who likes to run, though he has some ability to move outside the pocket and get away from some pressure.
So we’ve got a team that we don’t expect to put up many points in UNC. Now we’ve got to look at their Defense vs the UVA offense. Quickly, we see that UNC doesn’t stack up well on this side of the ball either. UNC ranks 100th in the nation in total defense and 115th in scoring defense. UVA may not have a ton of talent on the offensive side, but snelling has put up 4.7 ypc on 63 attempts and ogletree gives UVA a very good possession type WR. UVA will also be starting a fresh QB, but one that’s show the ability to limit mistakes, posting a 3:2 TD to INT ratio. Not numbers that are exactly eye-popping, but hes been getting the job done. UVA likes to use the short passing game with the freshman taking the snaps.
If UVA can keep from making the huge mistakes vs a defense, that ranks 100th in the nation, they shouldn’t have trouble pulling away in this contest. Emotion and confidence very much play a roll in football and UVA will be infront of a packed house this weekend vs a team that is struggling mightily with their identity as a team on both sides of the ball. Freshman are going to struggle and with UNCs inability to run, they figure to put a lot of pressure on their young QB to make plays on 3rd and long which will be tough in a hostile environment. Then, if UNC falls behind, UVA doesn’t have to respect any threat in the tarheel rushing game and will be able to simply rush the passer.
Last week UNC gave up 6.0 ypp, at home, vs South florida; they are headed in a poor direction. With the emotion of a home, conference, nationally televised game, I expect UVA to roll over UNC.
UNC hasn’t won in Charlottesville since 1981 and that wont change this in 2006. get this one while the line sits at:
UVA -6.5 -105
bol
This game is more interesting for the implication it could have for next season, than anything these teams may be able to accomplish next year.
UNC’s joe Bunting is on the hot seat and several huge recruits may now be rethinking their position, dwight jones being their biggest comit who is now opening things up a bit. WR is certainly an area of concern for the tarheels, losing andarius bowman 2 years ago was a big loss, just look at what hes done at OKST.
Right now its obvious that UVA doesn’t have the ability to stop any teams starting 11, should those 11 players possess a pulse.. The good news is, they don’t have to worry about that this weekend. Last week UVA lost to the Terps, at home, for the first time in over 10 years and this may be the worst terps team we’ve seen since CRF has been in college park. UMD put up more ypp on UVA than they did vs MidTn or fla int’l. Fortunately for UVA, the tarheels only have one player with more than 1TD and no true big play threat. UNC only has 1 WR who averages 3+ catches per game and neither one of their Qbs has more than half as many TDs as INTs. After starting off with a good performance vs Rutgers, UNC has, seemingly, gotten worse each week. A team that’s losing confidence and, likely, doesn’t believe their coach will be back, is a team that’s hard to bet on. Then we take a look at the fact that UNC has only put up 14 points in their 2 road games and we see a bit of a problem for the tarheels; granted, those games were at Miami and @ Clemson.
So we have unc, on the road, in conference, vs a team that has to win. I would assume that UNC would hope this game was a noon start, perhaps catching UVA sleep walking, but this is a night game on ESPN. UVA has recruited reasonably well and does have some talent on Defense. In this game we will see a fired up UVA defense infront of a packed house, vs one of the worst teams in any BCS conference. Im thinking that UVA will be able to get off the field on D. Certainly UNC isn’t going to be able to just drop back and pass at any point in the game and that’s a bit of a concern considering their 80th in ther nation in rushing offense. UNC is trying to adjust to a new zone blocking scheme but, obviously, its not working at the moment. The 80th rushing D in the land, complimenting a freshman QB, is a recipe for disaster anywhere, much less in a nationally televised game on the road. The biggest obstacle for the UVA d will be Sextons mobility and sexton isn’t a QB who likes to run, though he has some ability to move outside the pocket and get away from some pressure.
So we’ve got a team that we don’t expect to put up many points in UNC. Now we’ve got to look at their Defense vs the UVA offense. Quickly, we see that UNC doesn’t stack up well on this side of the ball either. UNC ranks 100th in the nation in total defense and 115th in scoring defense. UVA may not have a ton of talent on the offensive side, but snelling has put up 4.7 ypc on 63 attempts and ogletree gives UVA a very good possession type WR. UVA will also be starting a fresh QB, but one that’s show the ability to limit mistakes, posting a 3:2 TD to INT ratio. Not numbers that are exactly eye-popping, but hes been getting the job done. UVA likes to use the short passing game with the freshman taking the snaps.
If UVA can keep from making the huge mistakes vs a defense, that ranks 100th in the nation, they shouldn’t have trouble pulling away in this contest. Emotion and confidence very much play a roll in football and UVA will be infront of a packed house this weekend vs a team that is struggling mightily with their identity as a team on both sides of the ball. Freshman are going to struggle and with UNCs inability to run, they figure to put a lot of pressure on their young QB to make plays on 3rd and long which will be tough in a hostile environment. Then, if UNC falls behind, UVA doesn’t have to respect any threat in the tarheel rushing game and will be able to simply rush the passer.
Last week UNC gave up 6.0 ypp, at home, vs South florida; they are headed in a poor direction. With the emotion of a home, conference, nationally televised game, I expect UVA to roll over UNC.
UNC hasn’t won in Charlottesville since 1981 and that wont change this in 2006. get this one while the line sits at:
UVA -6.5 -105
bol
........Seriously- Nice write up buddy
GOOD JOB MOFO
