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Atlanta Seeks PG Rating
Spotlight on?Atlanta
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The Skinny: Atlanta briefly excited us by jumping out to a 4-1 start, but injuries quickly knocked the Hawks off course, and the team had a losing record by the end of November and was 9-20 by the end of 2006. Led by some solid play on the road (a five-game winning streak that was snapped in Utah Monday), the Hawks are playing much better since the New Year, holding their own at 11-11. Given how far off the pace they are, it's likely too late to earn a first playoff birth since 1998-99, but this club is much improved over the team that stumbled to just 26 wins last season. It's a very young team with a bright future, but the key issue facing Atlanta remains finding a point guard that can glue together an impressive collection of youthful talent. The Hawks thought they had their man in Speedy Claxton, but he has stumbled badly ? when he's been healthy, that is ? in his attempts to return to starting. Tyronn Lue has also struggled to stay healthy, leaving the Hawks forced to use Royal Ivey as their starter. Need I say more? Unfortunately for Atlanta, the decision to go for Marvin Williams over Chris Paul in the 2005 draft continues to haunt the club. The athletic Williams has fantastic potential and he is developing nicely, but Paul is already a star. And with the 2007 draft offering no point guard gems, Atlanta will be forced to go the free agent or trade route to solve its PG problem. The Hawks could also use a more dominant big man in the middle.
Strengths: Defense, work under their opponents' boards, forcing turnovers. The Hawks have compensated for a weak offense by limiting their opponents to under 97 PPG, 10th best in the association. They've been particular strong on the offensive glass, ranking ninth in O-boards per game while holding opponents to the seventh-lowest number of defensive rebounds. Atlanta has done a very good job pressuring opponents, currently tied for seventh in turnovers by opponents per game.
Weaknesses: Offense, defensive rebounding. Thanks in no small part to injuries and ineffective point play, Atlanta has struggled to score all season (92.4 PPG, 29th in NBA). The Hawks have shown improvement in that area lately, averaging 109 PPG over a three-game stretch before horrid shooting (37 percent) limited them to just 76 points on Monday. As good as their work has been on the offensive boards, the Hawks are horrible under their own basket, ranking dead last in defensive boards (27.4 per game).
Lineup
PG: As mentioned, former Longhorn Royal Ivey is starting out of necessity, but that doesn't mean he's a good fantasy option. In fact, I may be a better option than Ivey, who's FT shooting in particular has been weak this year. He's certainly not long for the job.
SG: Joe Johnson is the main offensive force on this team, and he's grown into the role well, jacking his field goal percentage this season even as his touches have climbed to 20 per game. He's been putting the numbers up since Josh Smith returned to the lineup, but over the past five, Johnson has struggled with his shot (38 percent) and he managed only 14 points on Monday.
SF: The sky truly is the limit for Josh Smith, at just 21 years of age already a stat-sheet filling fantasy delight. Atlanta's improved play since Smith returned from a hernia operation is definitely no coincidence. Not only does he rank fourth in the NBA with 2.7 BPG, but he's averaging 1.5 steals with eight rebounds and almost 15 points. How he dropped to 17th in the 2004 draft is a huge mystery in retrospect. There must be plenty of teams kicking themselves for letting J-Smooth remain on the board.
PF: Marvin Williams continues to develop his offensive game, pacing the Hawks with 15 points on Monday before a bloody nose ended his evening. He's also employing his outside game more and showing potential as a shot blocker. Bear in mind that the former Tar Heel is just 20.
C: Lorenzen Wright took over at center last month when Zaza Pachulia hurt his ankle and he's retained the job. He's not playing as much as he did in Memphis, and his boards and blocks have dropped as a result. At this point, Wright offers the Hawks some veteran leadership as a starter, but has nothing to provide from a fantasy standpoint. I'd be surprised if Zaza doesn't reclaim the gig soon.
Bench: Former Stanford star Josh Childress has overcome a foot problem to develop into one of the NBA's top sixth men; rookie Shelden Williams is an excellent FT shooter and I expect him to become a top-notch rebounder and a solid shot blocking presence, but his biggest impact this year is being felt at Duke; Speedy Claxton has been a major frustration this year. Sunday, he sparks fantasy interest with a double-double, making you think he's ready to grab the starting gig again. But the next night, he doesn't even show up. He's shooting 18.5 percent from 3-point range, is not getting to the line and is managing less than half the points he put up from the Hornets' bench last season. In a nutshell, Claxton has been a colossal disappointment this year; Zaza Pachulia's numbers are pretty similar to what he did last season, but he's playing a bit less. He provides some much needed toughness on D, and I expect him to get the majority of minutes at center, whether he's starting or not; Former Arizona star Salim Stoudamire is enduring a tough sophomore season, as his scoring average has dropped along with his minutes; on Monday, Solomon Jones saw his first game action of the month. I guess that tells you everything you need to know about whether he's the big man Atlanta needs; former Laker Slava Medvedenko is now just a spare part; Tyronn Lue is a solid fantasy bet when healthy, but that's been rare lately. He'll be out until after the break because of a hammy injury, but thanks to Claxton's incessant injuries, Lue has already started as many games as he did last year, even though he has a weird aversion to starting, always tending to play much better off the bench; Jeremy Richardson, who averaged around 18 PPG for Fort Worth in the D-League, is working on his second 10-day contract with the Hawks, giving him until the end of the weekend to make a big enough impression to stick around; Esteban Batista had a role with the club last year, appearing in almost 60 games, but he's seen action in just four games this year, last playing on January 20. Batista has been discussed in trade rumors, which might be a good idea, as clearly he's not in the Hawks' big man plans.
On the Rise
Losing Traction
Moving into the Starting Five
Rookie Watch
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However, it is great info/capping material which keeps you in the know......
Atlanta Seeks PG Rating
Spotlight on?Atlanta
www.eog.com www.eogcontests.com www.fantasysportspicks.com
The Skinny: Atlanta briefly excited us by jumping out to a 4-1 start, but injuries quickly knocked the Hawks off course, and the team had a losing record by the end of November and was 9-20 by the end of 2006. Led by some solid play on the road (a five-game winning streak that was snapped in Utah Monday), the Hawks are playing much better since the New Year, holding their own at 11-11. Given how far off the pace they are, it's likely too late to earn a first playoff birth since 1998-99, but this club is much improved over the team that stumbled to just 26 wins last season. It's a very young team with a bright future, but the key issue facing Atlanta remains finding a point guard that can glue together an impressive collection of youthful talent. The Hawks thought they had their man in Speedy Claxton, but he has stumbled badly ? when he's been healthy, that is ? in his attempts to return to starting. Tyronn Lue has also struggled to stay healthy, leaving the Hawks forced to use Royal Ivey as their starter. Need I say more? Unfortunately for Atlanta, the decision to go for Marvin Williams over Chris Paul in the 2005 draft continues to haunt the club. The athletic Williams has fantastic potential and he is developing nicely, but Paul is already a star. And with the 2007 draft offering no point guard gems, Atlanta will be forced to go the free agent or trade route to solve its PG problem. The Hawks could also use a more dominant big man in the middle.
Strengths: Defense, work under their opponents' boards, forcing turnovers. The Hawks have compensated for a weak offense by limiting their opponents to under 97 PPG, 10th best in the association. They've been particular strong on the offensive glass, ranking ninth in O-boards per game while holding opponents to the seventh-lowest number of defensive rebounds. Atlanta has done a very good job pressuring opponents, currently tied for seventh in turnovers by opponents per game.
Weaknesses: Offense, defensive rebounding. Thanks in no small part to injuries and ineffective point play, Atlanta has struggled to score all season (92.4 PPG, 29th in NBA). The Hawks have shown improvement in that area lately, averaging 109 PPG over a three-game stretch before horrid shooting (37 percent) limited them to just 76 points on Monday. As good as their work has been on the offensive boards, the Hawks are horrible under their own basket, ranking dead last in defensive boards (27.4 per game).
Lineup
PG: As mentioned, former Longhorn Royal Ivey is starting out of necessity, but that doesn't mean he's a good fantasy option. In fact, I may be a better option than Ivey, who's FT shooting in particular has been weak this year. He's certainly not long for the job.
SG: Joe Johnson is the main offensive force on this team, and he's grown into the role well, jacking his field goal percentage this season even as his touches have climbed to 20 per game. He's been putting the numbers up since Josh Smith returned to the lineup, but over the past five, Johnson has struggled with his shot (38 percent) and he managed only 14 points on Monday.
SF: The sky truly is the limit for Josh Smith, at just 21 years of age already a stat-sheet filling fantasy delight. Atlanta's improved play since Smith returned from a hernia operation is definitely no coincidence. Not only does he rank fourth in the NBA with 2.7 BPG, but he's averaging 1.5 steals with eight rebounds and almost 15 points. How he dropped to 17th in the 2004 draft is a huge mystery in retrospect. There must be plenty of teams kicking themselves for letting J-Smooth remain on the board.
PF: Marvin Williams continues to develop his offensive game, pacing the Hawks with 15 points on Monday before a bloody nose ended his evening. He's also employing his outside game more and showing potential as a shot blocker. Bear in mind that the former Tar Heel is just 20.
C: Lorenzen Wright took over at center last month when Zaza Pachulia hurt his ankle and he's retained the job. He's not playing as much as he did in Memphis, and his boards and blocks have dropped as a result. At this point, Wright offers the Hawks some veteran leadership as a starter, but has nothing to provide from a fantasy standpoint. I'd be surprised if Zaza doesn't reclaim the gig soon.
Bench: Former Stanford star Josh Childress has overcome a foot problem to develop into one of the NBA's top sixth men; rookie Shelden Williams is an excellent FT shooter and I expect him to become a top-notch rebounder and a solid shot blocking presence, but his biggest impact this year is being felt at Duke; Speedy Claxton has been a major frustration this year. Sunday, he sparks fantasy interest with a double-double, making you think he's ready to grab the starting gig again. But the next night, he doesn't even show up. He's shooting 18.5 percent from 3-point range, is not getting to the line and is managing less than half the points he put up from the Hornets' bench last season. In a nutshell, Claxton has been a colossal disappointment this year; Zaza Pachulia's numbers are pretty similar to what he did last season, but he's playing a bit less. He provides some much needed toughness on D, and I expect him to get the majority of minutes at center, whether he's starting or not; Former Arizona star Salim Stoudamire is enduring a tough sophomore season, as his scoring average has dropped along with his minutes; on Monday, Solomon Jones saw his first game action of the month. I guess that tells you everything you need to know about whether he's the big man Atlanta needs; former Laker Slava Medvedenko is now just a spare part; Tyronn Lue is a solid fantasy bet when healthy, but that's been rare lately. He'll be out until after the break because of a hammy injury, but thanks to Claxton's incessant injuries, Lue has already started as many games as he did last year, even though he has a weird aversion to starting, always tending to play much better off the bench; Jeremy Richardson, who averaged around 18 PPG for Fort Worth in the D-League, is working on his second 10-day contract with the Hawks, giving him until the end of the weekend to make a big enough impression to stick around; Esteban Batista had a role with the club last year, appearing in almost 60 games, but he's seen action in just four games this year, last playing on January 20. Batista has been discussed in trade rumors, which might be a good idea, as clearly he's not in the Hawks' big man plans.
On the Rise
- Vladimir Radmanovic was pretty much invisible on Friday, going scoreless as the Lakers lost to Toronto, but he's rediscovered his touch since, going 9-for-17 (2-for-4 from long distance) for 21 points and four assists in the past two games. Radman should keep the SF gig until at least Luke Walton returns. I mean, it's not as if Brian Cook ? his main competition for PT ? is ingratiating himself with the Zen Master these days. Here's a tip for you kids at home: looking for more minutes? Don't drop your warm up pants on your coach's lap on your way into the game.
- Andrew Bynum had lost of bit of traction lately, but news that Kwame Brown's injury will keep him out another three weeks or so gives Bynum more time to develop into a consistent force. The 19-year-old shows flashes, certainly. While he's struggled with his shot and frequently found himself in foul trouble, last night he showed a nice touch from the line (4-for-4) while proving that he can be a good source of rebounds (11). Unfortunately, getting him to put it all together has proved difficult.
- Brown's injury has also created significant minutes for Ronny Turiaf off the bench, and I've been impressed with what he's shown. He started the week with his first career double-double and has been efficient with his touches, going 5-for-5 Tuesday for 11 points. While I'd like to see better work from Turiaf on the glass, he's shown a nice shot blocking touch with 1.4 BPG over the past five. Turiaf is a strong defender, so I think he may have a better shot at maintaining PT when Brown comes back.
Losing Traction
- Gerald Wallace has been on a fantastic roll since returning from his shoulder injury, but he might be a good sell-high candidate. We all know how injury-prone Crash is and Saturday's stinker (1-for-7, four points, four rebounds, no steals, no blocks, seven turnovers), could mean Walter Herrmann may be in line for a bit more PT off the bench. Herrmann showed he could supply some offense off the bench with 21 points in the past two games he's played. In between, he took a DNP, but if he can provide the scoring that Adam Morrison can't find lately, then the Argentinean could take over as the sixth man, eating into the rookie's as well as Crash's minutes.
- Matt Carroll's fine run sounds like it's about over. Although there's some question over who's really calling the shots in Charlotte, Coach Bickerstaff has hinted that Brevin Knight will move back into the starting five after the break. Carroll would be the likely candidate headed to the bench, but don't necessarily give up on him yet. He's still capable of supplying double-digit scoring efforts as long as his minutes remain in the low 20s range.
- Emeka Okafor has seen a bit of reduction in his minutes this week as the Bobcats showcased Melvin Ely. Other than his blocks (just four in the last four games) Okafor's numbers have remained strong, however. Now that Ely is off to the Spurs, Okafor should return to heavier minutes next week.
- Knight's return to the starting five could also affect Raymond Felton. The former Tar Heel has looked very strong lately, but he managed just five assists on Saturday, and that's a trend that will likely continue once Knight takes over running the point. The rest of Felton's numbers look strong, though, so don't panic. Just be aware that if assists are a priority, you've been warned.
- As mentioned, Morrison is another one of his funks right now. The rookie got a start on Wednesday in place of injured Derek Anderson, and despite a strong game (5-for-9), he was sent back to the bench as Primoz Brezec reclaimed a spot in the starting five. In the two games since, Morrison is just 4-for-20 and has lost minutes to Herrmann. At this point, Morrison isn't even the first option off the Bobcat bench. Personally, I finally decided to stick a fork in him last week, as I've been carrying him all year and was getting fed up with the frustration.
- Coming home to play where he was born seemed to suit Jeff McInnis for a while, and he was getting plenty of burn as the Bobcats dealt with backcourt injuries. But with the team starting to get healthy, McInnis has dropped on the depth chart and is no longer seeing significant enough minutes to be considered. Knight and Anderson are always injury risks, so that could change, but right now, forget about him.
- Jake Voskuhl got a start last week when Anderson went down, but he's back on the bench this week and off the radar with Brezec back in the fold.
- I have to admit, I honestly thought that Jordan Farmar would have overtaken Smush Parker by now. After all, the former UCLA star really impressed me earlier this season, and Smush, well?.I like him name. But Coach Jackson has acknowledged that Farmar has hit a rookie wall while Smush has picked his game up. Any sleeper value I thought Farmar had down the stretch seems a stretch now. He's just 1-for-8 in his past three and is not getting nearly enough minutes to be even moderately useful. In fact, Farmar has seen less minutes each month as the season has progressed.
Moving into the Starting Five
- Primoz Brezec returned last week after missing 10 games with back spasms. Friday, the 'Cats re-inserted him into the starting five. He's not getting many touches, but appears to have solidified his role as the starting center by filling the stat sheet Saturday with nine boards, an assist, a block and a steal. If you're desperate for help at center, Brezec may be useful if his minutes continue to rise next week.
- Boris Diaw's back spasms required the Suns to rejig their lineup, with Marcus Banks sliding into the backcourt and Raja Bell shifting to the three spot. Diaw remains questionable for tonight's game, so look for Banks to get another start. Regardless of Diaw's status, Banks has been getting extra burn with Steve Nash out. (By the way, have you seen the Suns' results this week? Need any more evidence that Nash is the MVP of the association?) Coach D'Antoni is pretty locked in with his rotation, but Banks is making a statement for more regular action with his play the past two games, shooting 11-for-17 for an average of 14 PPG. He still has yet to develop any outside game, but Banks did drop seven dimes on Sunday and even tossed up a rare block for good measure.
Rookie Watch
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- No. 1 overall pick Andrea Bargnani continues to show improvement on a seemingly daily basis. His minutes are down slightly this month (26.5 MPG), but that will change soon enough if he maintains the touch he's shown from the floor in sinking 11 treys over the past three games while averaging 15.5 PPG and 1.25 APG over the last four. Last night, the team showed amazing confidence in him, playing Bargnani for 39 minutes in a huge win in Chicago. On Tuesday, the rook's minutes came at the expense of Morris Peterson and Rasho Nesterovic