Re: OK WITH 16 TEAMS LEFT WHO WILL WIN IT ALL???
unc
without a doubt the best team, and playing the best too.
doesn't always work out where the best team wins, but quite often it does. with pitt/ohio st/etc having to barely survive against mediocre teams i would have a hard time believing they could beat florida or unc at this point.
predictor on sagarin ratings:
north carolina 97.60
kansas 94.50
florida 93.56
memphis 90.77
ohio st 90.68
georgetown 91.96
ucla 89.94
texas a&m 91.38
pitt 88.19
tennessee 86.28
butler 87.97
so illinois 84.90
unlv 84.20
oregon 85.54
usc 84.68
vanderbilt 83.47
subtract the 2 numbers if you want to determine the point spread.
so for example unc with an unbiased spread would be favored by 9 1/2 over pitt on a neutral court (should be favored by 13 over usc but it's only 8 hint hint).
so keep in mind unc will be favored big time over every other team. still have to win 4 games in a row as a favorite though but i'll take my chances with that proposition at 4-1 rather than working uphill.