3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

tool21

EOG Dedicated
One play I like today:

1. Tulsa -3.5 or ML

As always, if line moves against me i'll take the ML, if it stays put I'll play the spread. Will post my bet when I bet it.

Tulsa plays good ball.:thumbsup
 

tool21

EOG Dedicated
Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Locked in at Tulsa -165

Spread equivalent of this line is -3.5 +100 compared to -110.
 

Finance

EOG Veteran
Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Good Luck tonight Tool - seems to me that there is good value in the M/L in the 3-4 range...
 

tool21

EOG Dedicated
Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Good Luck tonight Tool - seems to me that there is good value in the M/L in the 3-4 range...

IMO if a game opens at -2 and moves to -3, the money line lags behind most of the time. The moneyline may even be equivalent to -2.5 in same cases and it has happened. I've found that the book I use (Bodog) likes to have the favorite .5 more but this isn't reflected in the ML. Spreads move because of money. ML's move because of money. Sometimes more money comes in on a spread than on a moneyline and visa versa. In the long run it would be beneficial to know whether to take the ML or the spread because value can be found in one or the other. If the books are doing their job right, if you were to play every spread opener and every ML opener for those same games IN THE LONG TERM you should be at about the same + or - although there are bigger swings betting the ML.
 

tool21

EOG Dedicated
Re: 3.26 NCAAB 24-10 71% +11.65 units

Winner :cheers Picked a good night to start drinking this Penn Weizen beer.

25-10 71% +12.65 units
 
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