Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

The Morning After
While doing my usual morning read-through of the newspapers covering each team, the post-deadline reactions all reeked of frustration and disappointment. Whether buyers or sellers, it seems like nearly every team wanted to get more done at the trading deadline than they were able to. I got the sense that many negotiations simply ran out of the time, to the point that a slew of trades would probably take place if baseball somehow issued an additional 24 hours to deal.

Instead, the biggest trade essentially took place Monday, with the Braves and Rangers simply making their Mark Teixeira-for-prospects swap official in the hours leading up to Tuesday afternoon's deadline (you can read my analysis of the Teixeira deal in yesterday's Daily Dose). While there was far less action than expected this year, we still have an interesting set of trades to breakdown in the wake of the deadline.

* The Red Sox came up empty in their bid for Jermaine Dye when the White Sox declined their final offer of Wily Mo Pena and Craig Hansen, but managed to improve what was already perhaps the league's premiere bullpen by acquiring Eric Gagne from the Rangers. Given what the Rangers were rumored to be asking for from other teams in exchange for Gagne, the seemingly modest package that the Red Sox parted with to get him is somewhat surprising.

Kason Gabbard has pitched well in 66.2 career big-league innings, but profiles as a mid-rotation starter at best and was far from a highly thought of prospect until recently. David Murphy was a first-round pick back in 2003, but his mediocre minor-league track record suggests that he's destined to end up as a fourth outfielder or platoon starter. While not household names, Gabbard and Murphy are guys who many fans are at least familiar with.

The third player in the package for Gagne is a relative unknown named Engel Beltre, a 17-year-old outfielder who was considered one of the top international players available last year before signing with the Red Sox for $600,000. Beltre is a very long way from the majors and has yet to convert his talent into on-field performance in rookie-ball, but his tremendous upside is the reason why the Rangers were willing to accept a package that's light on well-known prospects.

Manager Ron Washington said Tuesday that he plans to split closing duties between Joaquin Benoit, C.J. Wilson, and Frank Francisco. Benoit seems like the clear-cut favorite for saves based on his performance and stuff, but it was actually Wilson who converted the first post-Gagne save Tuesday. Meanwhile, Gabbard leaving Boston means that Jon Lester should stick in the rotation even after Curt Schilling returns from the disabled list in the coming days.

As for Gagne, Boston agreeing to guarantee the remaining $3.6 million in bonuses that he could have earned as a closer in Texas apparently convinced him to waive his no-trade clause to become Jonathan Papelbon's setup man. Gagne's fantasy value takes a massive hit, but he remains one of the game's top setup men and figures to get a few save chances down the stretch when the Red Sox choose to give Papelbon the occasional day off.

* After pulling off the blockbuster trade for Teixeira, general manager John Schuerholz moved to improve the Braves' bullpen by acquiring Octavio Dotel from the Royals and former right-hand man Dayton Moore. Several teams indicated that they felt their offers for Dotel were stronger than what the Royals ended up receiving for him, hinting that perhaps Moore chose to take Kyle Davies in large part because of his familiarity with him from their time together in Atlanta.

Specifically, the Royals and Mariners are said to have discussed a Dotel-for-Wladimir Balentin deal, although conflicting reports make it unclear which side passed. Whatever the case, Davies will immediately step into the Royals' rotation with a tough matchup Friday against the Yankees. A one-time top prospect whose stock has dropped dramatically thanks to injuries and poor pitching over the past two years, Davies remains a potential mid-rotation starter long term.

Dotel joins Bob Wickman and Rafael Soriano in the Braves' bullpen, essentially taking over for the injured Mike Gonzalez in the three-headed, late-inning monster. While he's technically still the closer, Wickman was and is clearly the weak link, and there were reports that the Braves offered him to the Yankees for Kyle Farnsworth. Dotel figures to begin his Braves career in a setup role, but it certainly wouldn't be shocking to see him with some save chances before long.

Meanwhile, Dotel's departure clears the way for Joakim Soria to take over as the Royals' closer. Soria went 10-for-13 converting saves when Dotel was sidelined earlier this season and was picked to reclaim the job over Zack Greinke. With a 2.44 ERA and 51-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 44.1 innings, Soria has pitched very well all season and definitely has the raw stuff to be successful with ninth-inning duties.

* Pittsburgh's acquiring 32-year-old Matt Morris and the $19.5 million he's owed over the next two seasons is an odd move, and it's likely that they'll be vastly overpaying for a 4.50 ERA because the switch won't help Morris hold off his ongoing decline any. To get Morris, the Pirates sent Rajai Davis to the Giants, where he figures to platoon with Dave Roberts in center field. Davis doesn't profile as an everyday player, but has 50-steal potential if he can find regular at-bats.

AL Quick Hits: Sporting a 1-10 record and 8.87 ERA over his last dozen outings following another brutal start Tuesday, Jose Contreras is in danger of being pulled from the rotation ? Alex Rodriguez failed to homer Tuesday, but the Yankees tied a franchise record with eight homers while blowing out Contreras and the White Sox ? Cleared to begin baseball activities, Michael Cuddyer (thumb) is on track to come off the disabled list when eligible Friday ? Reggie Sanders has been diagnosed with another torn hamstring, so the Royals are expected to recall Joey Gathright from Triple-A ? Gary Matthews Jr. smacked two homers and two doubles Tuesday, going deep for the first time since June 17 ? Phil Hughes (hamstring) is scheduled to come off the shelf to start Saturday ? Jamie Walker picked up his fourth save Tuesday, combining with Chad Bradford to record the final six outs ? Manager Bob Geren said Tuesday that the A's have no plans to place Eric Chavez (back) on the DL ? After failing to acquire a veteran hitter before the trading deadline, the Mariners are reportedly close to recalling Adam Jones from Triple-A.

NL Quick Hits: Having lost his starting job thanks to a .156 batting average since mid-June, Rickie Weeks is reportedly headed to Triple-A in a surprising move ? As expected, the Mets placed Carlos Beltran (oblique) on the disabled list Tuesday and will turn to Lastings Milledge as their starting center fielder ? [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] (knee) was out of the lineup Tuesday and may miss Wednesday's game as well after receiving two synthetic gel injections ? An MRI showed no new damage, but Randy Wolf (shoulder) has been shut down for two weeks and reportedly could be done for the season ? Tom Glavine tossed six innings of two-hit, one-run ball Tuesday against the Brewers, but failed to record his 300th career victory ? After another strong minor-league rehab appearance Tuesday at Double-A, Kerry Wood (shoulder) could join the Cubs' bullpen as soon as Thursday ? With both Shane Victorino (calf) and Michael Bourn (ankle) heading to the shelf Tuesday, the Phillies may be forced into a Greg Dobbs-Jayson Werth platoon in right field ? Xavier Nady left Tuesday's game after aggravating a hamstring injury.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Time to buy insurance
The fine line between winning a championship and giving up the ship usually comes down to a matter of timing.

If your team stays healthy down the stretch, you usually have a shot at winning it all. But an injury at an inopportune time can pop anyone's perceived bubble of invincibility.

Phillies second baseman Chase Utley breaking his hand last week marks one of those freak occurrences that can turn a fantasy team's fortunes around in a snap, so to speak.

Not only was Utley a top-five fantasy player in most leagues, but he also was doing it at perhaps the weakest fantasy position in the game (second base).

If you fall victim to one of these unexpected injuries, remember that one player's loss is another player's opportunity. Tadahito Iguchi, whom the Phillies acquired after Utley's injury, will get to play regularly as part of a pretty good lineup. He can't replace Utley's overall stats, but he could give Utley owners a chance to survive for the month or so it takes for him to heal.

While it's almost impossible to predict when players will get hurt, there are some things you can do to solidify your team for the long haul, especially if you have an open spot on your bench.

Have a utility guy

Owning a player who's eligible at several positions is always a good move. But in August, when the free agent pool is dangerously shallow, it allows you to plug in someone like Freddy Sanchez, Casey Blake or Ty Wigginton at any of three positions.

In deeper leagues, the choices may not be as appealing. But multipositional players such as Aubrey Huff, Esteban German, Chris Gomez, Alfredo Amezaga or Omar Infante can still be effective stopgaps for a week or two.

Protect categories

Losing a star player who contributes in multiple categories doesn't mean your team has to lose ground across the board. Instead of worrying about how you'll survive without Utley's batting average and run production, look for a replacement who can do one thing particularly well.

For example, Utley had a solid 16 RBI in July when he got hurt. But so did Colorado's Ryan Spilborghs (he finished the month with 18). Rob Mackowiak had 17 RBI and Chris Duncan had 21. All three of them also hit .348 or better and outhomered Utley in July.

Utley is by far the superior player over a full season, but a month's worth of stats isn't as difficult to replace as it may seem.

Likewise, if you have a little wiggle room in other categories and have a need for speed, Jerry Owens (10 steals in July), Ryan Freel (seven), Felipe Lopez (six) or Nook Logan (five) can give you a lift.

If you can weather their abysmal batting averages, Brad Wilkerson, Pedro Feliz or David Ross can help you in homers over the long haul.

Back up your closer

Draft day and trade-deadline day are the two most important times of the year to know how bullpens are aligned.

Early-season injuries like the one to B.J. Ryan can be devastating without a backup closer to fill the void. Down the stretch, fantasy owners who are counting on one or two main sources of saves can't afford to have the well run dry when it matters most.

Brian Fuentes is expected to return from the disabled list this week and reclaim the closer's role soon afterward. But those owners who had Manny Corpas were able to weather Fuentes' DL stint without missing a beat.

Fantasy owners who were counting on Mike Gonzalez, Jonathan Papelbon or Mariano Rivera last September got little or nothing from any of them because of injuries. Yet Salomon Torres, Mike Timlin and Kyle Farnsworth were able to fill the void.

With so many closers on the trading block and so many contenders looking to retool their bullpens for the final two months of the season, this week is prime time for fantasy owners to re-examine lines of bullpen succession and pick up an insurance policy against a potentially devastating closer injury.

Look for discarded talent

In every league, there are going to be some teams who are just playing out the string. Occasionally, owners of those teams will cut an underperforming veteran in favor of a little-known youngster.

In one of my 10-team mixed leagues, I was stunned to find Jason Bay sitting on the waiver wire. Admittedly, Bay hasn't been the top-15 outfielder he was last year, but he still has lots of Roto-worthy talent.

And look at Brad Lidge, who already has been able to rebound from the depths of fantasy irrelevance to become a contributor again.

So take a closer look at Bay, Lidge and players such as Pat Burrell, Scott Rolen, Jason Giambi, Daniel Cabrera, Adam Wainwright and Bronson Arroyo. They just might have some value left in them after all.

Down the stretch, you may need every edge you can get.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Jones, Upton, and Botts
With the tragic bridge collapse in Minneapolis Wednesday night involving many Twins fans who were on their way to the Metrodome and occurring just a few blocks from where I lived for about two years, I'm sort of at a loss for words when it comes to an intro today. For the best coverage of something that's a whole lot more important than baseball, check out the Minneapolis Star Tribune's excellent reporting. For some notes from around baseball, keep reading ?

* One day after Adam Jones turned 22 years old, the Mariners have announced that they plan to call him up from Triple-A prior to Friday's game. Ranked among baseball's elite hitting prospects, Jones has batted .314 with 25 homers, 84 RBIs, and a .967 OPS in 101 games at Triple-A. A former shortstop who has quickly developed into a good defensive center fielder, Jones figures to see most of his time with the Mariners in a corner-outfield spot alongside Ichiro Suzuki.

Interestingly, the Seattle Times reported Thursday that several veterans on the team are not pleased about Jones joining the roster, with the always outspoken [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2353"]Jose Guillen[/URL] going so far as to say that he's "pissed off" about the move. The feeling among some players seems to be that the team is playing well enough that they don't need a new face, especially a 22-year-old who figures to take regular playing time away from veterans like Guillen, Raul Ibanez, and Jose Vidro.

However, Jones has the ability to provide a major boost both offensively and defensively given Guillen's struggles against right-handed pitching, Ibanez's struggles against southpaws (and sub par range in the outfield), and Vidro's lack of power against everyone. Calling Jones up now is not only smart, it's probably overdue. Whatever the veterans think of the role momentum plays in a season, adding a big bat to the lineup and good glove to the outfield trumps it.

* Meanwhile with Jones' pending arrival making Ben Broussard less needed in the Mariners' outfield, manager John McLaren announced that'll he'll begin to take playing time away from Richie Sexson at first base. Sexson has shown signs of coming around at various times, but has never put together an extended hot streak and watched his batting average dip back below .200 Wednesday.

It remains to be seen how McLaren will split up the playing time, but if he's serious about cutting Sexson's at-bats in a big way then a Sexson-Broussard platoon would be perfect. A left-handed hitter, Broussard has batted just .230 with a .697 OPS against southpaws during his career, compared to .275 with an .813 OPS against righties. Sexson is a right-handed hitter who has a fairly even platoon split during his career, but is certainly well suited to pound left-handers.

* Carlos Quentin left Wednesday's game with an apparent leg injury and, while nothing is official as of Thursday morning, the Mobile Press-Register reports that the Diamondbacks will call Justin Upton up from Double-A. The Upton move could be separate from Quentin's injury status, but it seems somewhat unlikely. Whatever the case, it's clear that the team wouldn't bring a teenager to the majors if they didn't plan to give him plenty of at-bats.

The No. 1 overall pick in the 2005 draft, Upton has hit .319 with 18 homers, 70 RBIs, 75 runs, 19 steals, and a .961 OPS in 103 games between Single-A and Double-A despite not turning 20 years old until later this month. He's a true five-tool talent with massive long-term fantasy potential, but the odds are typically against 19-year-olds with a half-season of experience above Single-A succeeding immediately in the majors.

* Unable to find a taker for Sammy Sosa at the trading deadline, the Rangers decided to remove him from the lineup anyway. General manager Jon Daniels met with Sosa Wednesday and informed him that he'll no longer be a starter, with Jason Botts being called up from Triple-A to take his place in the lineup. Botts has a long history of good numbers in the minors and tore up Triple-A while batting .320 with 13 homers, 78 RBIs, and a .980 OPS in 102 games this season.

Sosa's team-leading 16 homers and 70 RBIs are nice looking, but mask the fact that he simply hasn't been very good with a .239 batting average, .301 on-base percentage, and .753 OPS. He may still see some limited action against southpaws, but barring a trade Sosa's fantasy value has dried up. Botts, on the other hand, suddenly has plenty of value in AL-only leagues and could emerge as a mixed-league option down the stretch.

* Gary Sheffield is scheduled to visit a doctor Thursday because of ongoing soreness in his right shoulder. Sheffield recovered from a brutal April to post MVP-caliber numbers for the next three months, but hasn't smacked an extra-base hit since July 21 while watching his OPS drop 50 points. A trip to the disabled list for Sheffield would likely mean regular playing time for Ryan Raburn, at least until Marcus Thames returns from his hamstring problems.

* After watching him go 1-10 with an 8.87 ERA over his last dozen starts, the White Sox finally announced Wednesday that Jose Contreras will be bumped from the rotation. As of right now the move will be made for just one turn, with Gavin Floyd stepping in for Contreras, but there's definitely a chance that the switch could last longer than that. Given the White Sox's bullpen struggles, I wouldn't be shocked if the White Sox try to turn him around as a reliever.

AL Quick Hits: Manager Joe Torre said Wednesday that Jason Giambi (foot) could return "inside a week if everything goes well," but Johnny Damon is already upset about his lack of playing time after Shelley Duncan started over him against a left-hander ? After throwing 15 shutout innings during a minor-league rehab assignment, Curt Schilling (shoulder) will come off the disabled list to start Sunday against the Mariners ? Joakim Soria tossed a scoreless 10th inning Wednesday to pick up his first save since reclaiming the Royals' closer gig ? Joaquin Benoit pitched 2.2 scoreless innings to protect a lead Wednesday, but it was C.J. Wilson who came in to get the final out for his second straight save ? Melvin Mora (foot) ran the bases Wednesday and could begin a rehab stint as soon as Friday ? After getting knocked around Wednesday, Ervin Santana has a 6.05 ERA in three starts since his demotion to Triple-A ? Alex Rodriguez went 0-for-4 Wednesday to extend his slump, but the Yankees smacked five more homers to give them 13 in two games against the White Sox.

NL Quick Hits: With another strong outing Wednesday, Tim Lincecum is now 4-0 with a 1.36 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 46.1 innings during his last seven starts ? Derek Lowe (hip) is expected to make his scheduled start Saturday after throwing a pain-free bullpen session Wednesday ? Brian Fuentes (ribs) threw a bullpen session Wednesday and could begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week ? [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] hit a pinch-hit homer in the 11th inning Wednesday and said afterward that his injured knee is feeling much better since he received a gel injection ? Prince Fielder hit his NL-leading 31st homer Wednesday, going deep for the first time since July 13 ? Josh Hamilton (wrist) swung off a tee Wednesday, but remains at least a week from returning ? After giving up seven runs Wednesday, Braden Looper is now 3-7 with a 7.55 ERA over his last dozen starts after beginning the season 5-2 with a 2.29 ERA ? Kerry Wood (shoulder) is expected to join the Cubs' bullpen Friday ? Thanks to [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL]'s grand slam-robbing catch Wednesday, Micah Owings turned in his first Quality Start since June.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Hughes Is A Must-Own
Waiver Wired is a behemoth today with all the trades and fantasy baseball fallout. Let's get right to it.

American League

Chad Bradford/Danys Baez, RP, BAL ? Has anybody noticed Bradford's cheesy mustache? Yeah, real intimidating man. Bradford picked up a blown save against the Red Sox on Wednesday, but that's kind of misleading. He entered in the seventh inning with the Orioles up by a run but with the bases loaded and one out. Baez's fine work in the eighth inning of that game makes me believe he's now the go-to guy for saves in Baltimore when mostly righties are due up in the ninth. For Baez I would do something like AL: $6, Mixed: $1.

Eric Gagne, RP, BOS ? Boston's big-ticket acquisition made his debut in a non-save situation yesterday, allowing a run in an inning of work. I imagine Terry Francona just wanted to get him some work ? Gagne hadn't pitched in eight days. Any way you look at it, Gagne's value took a huge hit with the trade. You roster relievers in most leagues for saves, and at best Gagne will pick up a handful from here on out. AL: $7, Mixed: No.

Gavin Floyd, SP, CHA ? Floyd is Jose Contreras's likely replacement in the rotation, perhaps for the rest of the season. Even if Floyd looked decent in Triple A, though, he has a long way to go before having positive AL-only value. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Danny Richar, 2B, CHA ? The trade of Aaron Cunningham for Richar was a bit of a head-scratcher, but Kenny Williams may see Richar as the second baseman of the future. The 24 year-old should get most of the team's starts at the position for the final two months. He has consistently improved and hit well (.305/.365/.505) in Triple A this year. Richar could quietly develop into a double digit HR/steal guy and is worth owning in AL-only. AL: $8, Mixed: No.

Aaron Laffey, SP, CLE ? Laffey, a 22-year-old southpaw, joins the Tribe's rotation in place of Cliff Lee. He doesn't usually crack 90 mph, instead going for groundballs. That means he'll be hittable but with good home run prevention. Even with a rotation spot I'd be wary in AL-only for his rookie season. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

Kenny Lofton, OF, CLE ? The Indians snagged K-Lo via trade, complementing Jason Michaels perfectly in left field. Unlike the Rangers, the Indians probably won't start Lofton against southpaws. Lefties kill Lofton. So look for a reduction in playing time. Also look for Lofton to wear down ? he hadn't started 20+ games in each of the first four months of a season since 2003. Fatigue may already be present as he attempted only one steal in July as compared to 12 in April. If you're hurting for batting average and runs in a daily league, Lofton is a smart pickup. AL: $13, Mixed: $3.

Jordan Tata, SP, DET ? Tata won his first big league start on Tuesday with a sharp performance against Oakland. He's not a terrible gamble Sunday against the White Sox, though Kenny Rogers may return after that. I'm a little worried about Tata long-term as he whiffed only 30 in 63 Triple A innings this year. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Leo Nunez, SP, KCA ? With Jorge De La Rosa's elbow aching, the Royals might bring Nunez back to fill his rotation spot. The little 24-year-old has been effective but not dominant in the minors this year. You can probably pass in all but the deepest of AL-only leagues. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Joakim Soria, RP, KCA ? Of all the new closers to emerge recently, Soria's the best. He won't be part of any committee deal ? the ninth inning is all his. The Rule 5 pick has earned it with a 3.3 K/BB in 45 innings this year. There's no reason he can't add ten saves this year and enter 2008 in the same role. AL: $26, Mixed: $14.

Joey Gathright, OF, KCA ? Reggie Sanders is probably done for the season, leaving Gathright to split time with Emil Brown in left. If Gathright ever gets the full-time look he deserves, he'll swipe 50. And it wouldn't be shocking to see him hit .300 and work his way to the top of the lineup next year. Depending on your need for speed, Gathright can be considered in all leagues. AL: $12, Mixed: $2.

Kyle Davies, SP, KCA ? Davies is a nice bounty for a couple months of Octavio Dotel. The kid's got a control problem though, and that won't be solved by switching to the tougher league. He's to be avoided in all leagues despite the rotation spot. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Jeff Mathis, C, LAA ? Mathis once seemed like he'd become a useful starting catcher in the bigs. However, his bat keeps regressing with additional Triple A stints. He's got the starting gig in L.A. for a couple of weeks while Mike Napoli is out. Despite a recent string of hits I don't have any confidence in his bat. Pass. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Wilson Betemit, 2B/SS/3B, NYA ? The Yankees did well here, acquiring a powerful and versatile infielder for the overworked Scott Proctor. Betemit already mashed a home run against Jon Garland yesterday. The switch-hitter is up to 11 home runs in just 158 at-bats, which projects out to 38 in 550 at-bats. He's not that good but I do think he'd hit 25 homers if he played every day. That opportunity could materialize at third base next year if A-Rod leaves. Until then he's just a useful AL-only guy for homers but not average. AL: $7, Mixed: No.

Jason Giambi, 1B, NYA ? Giambi may return from his foot injury within a week. He'll return to a logjam at the DH spot, with Johnny Damon already annoyed about playing time. Without the playing time uncertainty I'd recommend Giambi in mixed leagues. But instead you should just pick up Burrell. AL: $13, Mixed: $1.

Phil Hughes, SP, NYA ? Hughes will come off the DL to start Saturday against KC. Nice matchup ? the Royals are 11th in OBP and 12th in SLG in the AL. Hughes will be a very good #1-2 starter for a long time, and should be owned in all leagues. Really if he's currently available in your league you may want to step it up a notch next year. AL: $40, Mixed: $20.

Adam Jones, OF, SEA ? Jones will join the Mariners for Friday's game, much to the chagrin of veterans like [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2353"]Jose Guillen[/URL]. It seems like Jones will be used as slightly less than a regular but more than a fourth outfielder, if that makes sense. The playing time questions and home ballpark put him slightly below Justin Upton in fantasy in my book. Still, a fine pickup in AL-only and deep mixed. And he has star potential as a keeper. AL: $12, Mixed: $1.

Ben Broussard, 1B, SEA ? Broussard has always been at least decent against righties, while Richie Sexson has embarrassed himself this year. John McLaren has finally decided to start using Broussard as the main first baseman against righthanded pitchers. This gives him some AL-only value. AL: $11, Mixed: No.

Dan Wheeler, RP, TBA ? Wheeler was a swell pickup for Ty Wigginton, a player the Rays might've non-tendered this winter. The ERA isn't pretty, but Wheeler has a good track record and fine K/BB ratio. I think he'll turn it around under former Astros pitching coach Jim Hickey. If you own Al Reyes, you may want Wheeler as a backup. Reyes has been pretty shaky since mid-June. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

Jonny Gomes, OF, TBA ? Gomes remains underrated, only now he's inching closer to full-time DH duties. But yeah Joe Maddon, keep getting reps for Greg Norton. He's definitely a big part of the next (first) winning D-Rays club. Anyway for Gomes ? AL: $15, Mixed: $5.

Kason Gabbard, SP, TEX ? Gabbard has a 3.73 ERA in seven starts this year, and he slots directly into the Texas rotation. His 1.6 K/BB as a starter isn't encouraging; the 25-year-old southpaw has gotten by on the strength of a low hit rate. That doesn't seem sustainable, so I have to doubt his usefulness in AL-only. Especially pitching at the Ballpark in Arlington. AL: $3, Mixed: No.

C.J. Wilson, RP, TEX ? Wilson is the southpaw half of the Rangers' current closing attack. It seems that Ron Washington wants one guy to win the job, though, and Wilson could pull it off if he has continued success against righties. As a lefty he remains the underdog. AL: $6, Mixed: $1.

Joaquin Benoit, RP, TEX ? Benoit is the closing favorite with righthanders due up, making him the best pickup for saves in Texas. He's got competition from Frank Francisco but definitely seems to have the edge. It's been a career year for the 30-year-old, as he's combined a strikeout per inning with good control. He was lights out in July. AL: $10, Mixed: $1.

Jason Botts, OF, TEX ? At 27, Botts' prospect status has expired. Granted it was his third stint at the level, but he hit .320/.436/.545 in 369 Triple A at-bats this year. The plan seems to be to have him DH and bat cleanup for the Rangers, probably against all righthanders. He could do some Cust-like work, with walks, strikeouts, homers, and a low batting average. Hopefully the Rangers just let him play for the next two months to see what they've got for '08. AL: $6, Mixed: No.

Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C, TEX ? Salty was the prize of the Mark Teixeira trade, though many other good prospects came over. He's a switch-hitting catcher in a ballpark conducive to home runs. Some folks talk about 35 or 40 home run power; I think that's overzealous. Let's just see him hit 20 in 2008 for starters. I think that's reasonable. Only four catchers hit 20 or more in 2006. Three passed the mark in '05, and another three in '04. One can also envision Saltalamacchia batting in an RBI spot and knocking in 80. He's an excellent keeper; no worries if he spends time at first base to finish off the season. Salty's probably one of the ten best fantasy catchers right now. AL: $18, Mixed: $9.

[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1390"]Nelson Cruz[/URL], OF, TEX ? Cruz is similar to Botts in that he's 27 and has nothing left to prove at Triple A. He's also getting a chance as a semi-regular, in right field. Like Botts, Cruz is an OK low-risk pickup in AL-only. AL: $6, Mixed: No.

National League

Justin Upton, OF, ARI ? Many folks have asked me to compare Upton to Adam Jones. There are pros and cons to either, but Upton is the superior talent and he's the one I'd choose for both this year and beyond. The most common comparable for Upton is Ken Griffey Jr. It's easy to picture Upton following Griffey's path, skipping Triple A and holding his own as a rookie before breaking out. Upton will have the advantages of his home park. We'll see if his willingness to run in Double A will carry over to the bigs. NL: $15, Mixed: $4.

Mark Teixeira, 1B, ATL ? Big Tex already has a couple of homers as a Brave, so maybe the ballpark switch won't bother him after all. We haven't really seen a clear second half trend with Teixeira, but he's perfectly capable of knocking 15 homers in the season's final two months regardless. If you've been saving your NL-only free agent budget this would be a good player on which to bet the farm. NL: $70, Mixed: $40.

Octavio Dotel, RP, ATL ? Dotel has no presumptions about closing for the Braves; he knows the role still belongs to Bob Wickman. But the Braves don't seem enamored of Wickman, attempting to trade him to the Yankees for Kyle Farnsworth. A waiver trade is still possible. Dotel's value definitely took a hit with this trade though. NL: $5, Mixed: No.

Kerry Wood, RP, CHN ? A week later and Wood's still going strong. He'll be activated today and will begin with middle relief. If all goes well, he'll move into a late inning role with a chance for saves eventually. Wood threw 12 innings of relief in 2005, looking electric and striking out 17. Not sure if he'll be at that level again, but Cubs fans are rooting for him to become a part of the playoff chase. But in both real and fantasy baseball, we've all learned that you can't count on "Kid K" for anything. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Matt Murton, OF, CHN ? The Big Murt looked like a trade candidate, but he stayed put as the deadline passed. Murton posted a strong .977 OPS in 39 games for Iowa; I still think he has a .300-20 HR season in him somewhere. Kind of like a Rondell White but without all the injuries and with red hair. However, the Cubs don't seem to view him as a major part of their future. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Phil Dumatrait, SP, CIN ? Dumatrait, a Tommy John survivor, is your typical soft-tossing lefty. The 26-year-old struck out only 5.3 per nine in Triple A. His strikeout rate worsened month by month and he was blasted by the Nationals last night in his debut. Stay away. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Jorge Cantu, 2B, CIN ? One day Cantu will tell his grandkids about the year he drove in 117 runs. He cannot be mentioned without that RBI total coming up. It's hard to see how Cantu fits in long-term with the Reds; he's not better than Edwin Encarnacion or Brandon Phillips. Cantu will try to get back on track at Triple A but you can ignore him. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Ty Wigginton, 1B/2B/3B/OF, HOU ? The plan is to use Wiggy as the regular third baseman for the next couple of seasons. He's got 20 HR pop but his bat is still probably right around average for the hot corner. He's a fantasy asset in that you can use him at second base but shift him around in a pinch. NL: $16, Mixed: $6.

Scott Proctor, RP, LAN ? The plan seems to use Proctor as the seventh inning guy. The problem is that Proctor's control has been pretty bad for most of this year. You might get some vulture wins but it's not worth the risk of a thrashing like the one he took from the A's on June 30th. He'd become mildly intriguing if the Dodgers switch him back to starting in 2008. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Brian Lawrence, SP, NYN ? The soft-tossing Lawrence has apparently supplanted Jorge Sosa as the team's fifth starter for the time being. His junk is way too dangerous for fantasy leaguers, and he'll lose his job to Pedro soon enough. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Luis Castillo, 2B, NYN ? Castillo pretty much just provides an empty .300 batting average these days. Both the Twins and the Mets have seen fit to hit him atop the order, resulting in a decent rate of run scoring. But he can no longer be relied upon for steals. NL: $12, Mixed: $2.

Greg Dobbs, 1B/3B/OF, PHI ? I would expect Dobbs to get all the at-bats in right field when a lefthander is starting. If so, his power is very intriguing for those who can spot him in daily leagues. NL: $4, Mixed: No.

Kyle Lohse, SP, PHI ? Lohse left his Phillies debut in the second inning when a line drive hit his forearm. It's unknown whether he'll make his next start. The word most used to describe him is enigmatic ? no one can figure out why he's not better. It probably has something to do with the below-average pitches he throws. Lohse was excellent in April, solid in July, and crap otherwise. I doubt even the Phillies know which version they're getting; he might be worth a look if you're desperate in NL-only. NL: $4, Mixed: No.

Tadahito Iguchi, 2B, PHI ? Iguchi was underwhelming this year with the White Sox, but his first six games with the Phillies have gone well. Chase Utley may not return until September, but even then Iguchi could move over to third base. It looks like he'll bat second while Shane Victorino is out. Iguchi should be useful for home runs and runs from the second base position. NL: $10, Mixed: $1.

Pat Burrell, OF, PHI ? You may not have noticed but Burrell is absolutely mashing right now. Pick him up in mixed leagues and ride this out. NL: $14, Mixed: $4.

Matt Morris, SP, PIT ? The Pirates have their reasons for trading for Morris and taking on his entire salary when no other team would. He's supposed to anchor the staff and provide a veteran presence. Morris' hope for better defense might not be realized in Pittsburgh though. Morris' last truly useful fantasy start came on June 11th against Toronto. I'd be very hesitant even in NL-only. NL: $3, Mixed: No.

Morgan Ensberg, 3B, SDN ? Not much was expected of Ensberg, and he's not supposed to supplant Kevin Kouzmanoff at third base. But two homers in his first Padre start ? at home ? might change things a bit. Kouzmanoff's shown decent power but a poor OBP recently, and the two players don't really work as a platoon. Ensberg can spot Adrian Gonzalez at first from time to time though. Bud Black should find playing time for Ensberg here and there but his fantasy value is limited. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Rob Mackowiak, OF, SDN ? Mackowiak will fill his usual utility role, mostly at the outfield corners for the Friars. They've got a fairly fragile outfield. Still, he doesn't provide any fantasy value. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Shea Hillenbrand, 1B/3B, SDN ? Hillenbrand may turn out as nothing more than an extra bat off the bench in September. With Ensberg and Mackowiak around, Hillenbrand would be hard-pressed to find playing time. He's at Triple A right now. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Scott Hairston, OF, SDN ? I've always liked Hairston and would love to see him get another chance as a regular. If he could handle second base defensively he could be an improvement on Marcus Giles and Geoff Blum. However that doesn't seem to be the plan for now so Hairston is just a bench guy and occasional source of power. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Joel Pineiro, SP, STL ? Pineiro makes his Cardinal debut Saturday against the Nationals. The rotation doesn't have many sure things so he could certainly stick if he's decent. If you give Pineiro credit for the AL-to-NL switch and Dave Duncan's tutelage, you can almost imagine him having NL-only value. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

John Lannan, SP, WAS ? Lannan, a tall 23-year-old lefty, is best known for throwing the pitch that broke Chase Utley's hand. He throws in the low 90s with a plus changeup; Baseball America sees his ceiling as a #3 starter. The Nationals would love that. He started the year at High A and has ascended all the way to Washington's rotation. Even with decent groundball tendencies it's hard to predict big league success with such a low strikeout rate. I'll pass for now. NL: No, Mixed: No.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Crazy Eights in New York
Thursday afternoon's White Sox-Yankees game was one of the strangest of the season. Chicago knocked Roger Clemens out in the second inning, getting to him for eight runs in part because of a Robinson Cano error that caused five of the runs to go down as unearned. It was Clemens' shortest outing since 2000 and the future first-ballot Hall of Famer was booed off the mound at Yankee Stadium in his final start as a 44-year-old.

Handed an 8-0 lead heading into the bottom of the second inning, Jon Garland then proceeded to cough up eight runs of his own to New York, getting yanked one out into the inning with the score tied at 8-8. While Cano's blunder kept Clemens' ERA (4.23) from taking much of a hit, Garland saw his ERA rise from 4.12 to 4.60. Garland now sports an ugly 7.52 ERA since the All-Star break, although he's taken just one loss.

Chicago went on to win 13-9 behind Jermaine Dye's monster 4-for-4 game, which included a pair of homers and a pair of doubles. Dye has been a huge disappointment thanks to a brutal first half, but he's quietly been one of baseball's best hitters since the All-Star break. Dye's 21 homers rank seventh in the league and he's batting .316 with nine homers and a 1.138 OPS in 21 second-half games. Lesson No. 1,457,930 why looking solely at overall numbers isn't smart.

While Yankees fans consider that the team is 4-7 when Clemens starts and 54-43 when anyone else takes the mound, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Mark Teixeira went homerless in his final 14 games with the Rangers, but has gone deep in both games since joining the Braves. One of the things that I discussed with Gregg Rosenthal and Tiffany Simons on Thursday's "Fantasy Fix" show for NBCSports.com is that Teixeira's numbers away from Texas' hitter-friendly home ballpark were less than spectacular. For his Rangers career, Teixeira hit .300 with a .950 OPS at home and .260 with an .850 OPS on the road.

He figures to get a nice boost moving from the AL to the NL, but expecting Teixeira to match those home numbers now that he's in Atlanta is likely wishful thinking. Of course, he's sporting a 1.294 OPS since the trade and hitting in the middle of what is now an extremely dangerous Braves lineup means that he figures to put up huge RBI numbers regardless of whether his OPS takes a small hit. Still, don't be shocked if Teixeira fails to duplicate his past numbers.

* Milwaukee got blown out Thursday, but Corey Hart came up big with a two-homer game. Hart struggled early while receiving inconsistent playing time, but he's hitting .292 with 17 homers, 39 RBIs, 50 runs, and 11 steals in 57 games since getting back into the starting lineup on May 28. That works out to about .292-45-105-135 with 30 steals over the course of a full-season's worth of playing time, which would obviously make my preseason sleeper pick an elite fantasy player.

* Josh Johnson's season is officially over after the Marlins announced Thursday that he'll undergo elbow surgery. While he's done for the year either way, it's uncertain yet if he'll specifically require Tommy John surgery, which could potentially sideline him for most or all of next season as well. As manager Fredi Gonzalez put it Thursday, "He's going to undergo surgery, but I haven't heard what kind of surgery it is."

* Yesterday in this space I suggested that perhaps the White Sox should think about moving Jose Contreras to the bullpen full time to kill two birds with one stone. Showing that he's obviously a Daily Dose reader, Contreras shot down that idea Thursday, telling reporters that he'll ask for a trade if the White Sox keep him in the bullpen beyond this season. His big contract means that Chicago would clearly like him to bounce back as a starter, but they can't live with him taking the mound every fifth day the way he's pitched for the past few months.

* Chad Gaudin was one of the biggest surprises of the first half while going 6-1 with a 2.43 ERA through 13 starts. Gaudin's strikeout-to-walk ratio was a shaky 51-to-32 in 77.2 innings at that point, which suggested that his success was likely unsustainable. That's proven to be the case. After a rough outing Thursday against the Angels, Gaudin is now 2-6 with a 5.76 ERA and horrible 37-to-37 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 59.1 innings spread over his last 10 starts.

AL Quick Hits: Vladimir Guerrero homered in back-to-back innings Thursday, going deep for the first time in 125 at-bats spread over 30 games ? Despite sitting out his seventh straight game Thursday, the A's continue to say that there are no plans to place Eric Chavez (back) on the disabled list ? Jim Thome left Thursday's game with back spasms and has been ruled out for at least Friday ? Alex Rodriguez is still stuck on 499 career homers, but broke a 0-for-22 slump with a pair of sharp singles Thursday ? After going 2-for-4 with two RBIs and a steal Thursday, Corey Patterson is now hitting .385 with 10 steals since the All-Star break ? Jorge Posada is day-to-day after leaving Thursday's game with a bruised knee ? Originally scheduled to come off the shelf Sunday, Curt Schilling (shoulder) will now return Monday ? Darin Erstad's leg injury looked bad when he crumpled to the ground and limped off the field Thursday, but the Chicago Sun-Times reports that it's "not believed to be serious" ? Starting at shortstop Thursday in place of Derek Jeter, Wilson Betemit smacked a three-run homer and narrowly missed another bomb.

NL Quick Hits: As expected, 19-year-old former No. 1 overall pick Justin Upton made his big-league debut Thursday ? [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] (lat) will throw a bullpen session Friday and could come off the disabled list to start Thursday against the Cardinals ? Chipper Jones moved to shortstop Thursday when Edgar Renteria left the game with an ankle injury ? If Brian Fuentes (ribs) can avoid a setback during a bullpen session Saturday, he could start a minor-league rehab assignment early next week ? After going 3-for-4 with a homer Thursday, Pat Burrell is 33-for-69 (.478) with six homers over the past 23 games ? Pedro Martinez (shoulder) threw a 67-pitch simulated game Thursday ? Ryan Freel left Thursday's game with a knee injury, but interim manager Pete Mackanin was uncertain about "how bad it is" when asked afterward ? Jeff Kent (hamstring) missed Thursday's game and it doesn't sound like the Dodgers expect him back Friday ? Jason Jennings has struggled on the mound, but delivered the game-winning RBI single as a pinch-hitter in the 14th inning Thursday ? Chris Capuano lost his eighth straight decision Thursday, dropping to 5-8 after a 5-0 start.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Bullpen Report: Week 18
Closers changing places is the theme of the week. While Octavio Dotel and Eric Gagne were traded into setup roles, other trade candidates, such as Al Reyes, Chad Cordero, and Jason Isringhausen, stayed right where they are. This week I'll focus on the ramifications of both the deals that happened as well as all of the deals that didn't. Since many of you are now playing for next season in keeper leagues, I'll be sure to keep an eye on 2008 in evaluating all of the trade deadline results.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten

Both Rotoworld.com Executive Editor Matthew Pouliot and myself had speculated that the Diamondbacks might trade Valverde at the deadline. He has a long history of injury problems and has never shown consistent production for more than six months at a time. The right-hander is also going to be expensive in 2008 and 2009 after his impressive peripherals and save totals net him a nice arbitration figure. With Tony Pena waiting in the wings to close, the team could have acquired an inexpensive veteran reliever to replace Valverde and likely not skipped a beat.

However, the Diamondbacks decided against the move while right in the middle of a pennant race. It was probably the correct decision to make, but adding to the impressive stable of young players in the organization must have been tempting. This is still a team that is more likely to peak in 2009-2011 as players like Stephen Drew, Justin Upton, Carlos Quentin, and others mature. A trade this off-season can't be ruled out, but the club will probably go into the season and see how the first three months go before reevaluating what to do with Valverde. Either way, Tony Pena is going to take over some day, so those in keeper leagues should hold on tight.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Shaky)

Key setup men: Octavio Dotel, Rafael Soriano, Peter Moylan, Tyler Yates, Oscar Villareal

Dotel owners certainly weren't happy when the right-hander was traded into a setup role this past week, but it's something that's been expected ever since he signed with the Royals this winter. Wickman will remain the closer in Atlanta, but Dotel gives them more depth to play with. Since Wickman is best utilized when entering games with nobody on base, he makes more sense closing than being used in any other manner. While that means the club may knowingly be going with an inferior option in the ninth, it also means they won't hesitate to use Dotel in some of the more tricky save opportunities. As a result I'd expect Wickman to keep the job through September but also expect Dotel to pick up a handful of saves along the way.

Both Dotel and Wickman are free agents at season's end, so Soriano remains the favorite to close in 2008. Bringing back one of the veterans can't be ruled out, with Dotel the likely favorite given that he's outpiched Wickman so far this season. Another free agent veteran is also possible, but it's much more likely that someone currently on the roster is closing next season.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (DL), Jamie Walker (Co-Closer), Danys Baez (Co-Closer)

Key setup men: Chad Bradford, Paul Shuey, Cory Doyne

Bradford picked up his first save of the season on Friday night, but it's Baez who will form the right-handed portion of a platoon with Walker. Bradford was only used with Baez feeling ill, and manager Dave Trembley has stated that he'll use Baez in the ninth when a right-handed heavy portion of the lineup is due up. Walker picked up two saves this week while facing mostly left-handed hitters, and it's an arrangement that should stick until Ray returns. Both players are worth using in most leagues.

An MRI on Ray's shoulder suggested no new damage had been done. That means the club will try and rehab the right-hander before the year is out. However, he's still not due back until late August or early September and he'll probably need some work in middle relief before retaking the closer's role. The Orioles will surely want to get him back into the role before the year is out, if only because he'll be closing for them again in 2008.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Eric Gagne, Hideki Okajima, Manny Delcarmen, Javier Lopez

The somewhat unexpected acquisition of Gagne gives the Red Sox an incredible set of relievers to throw at teams in the late innings of a game. Papelbon will remain the closer, but Gagne is going to take over Okajima's role as the backup. Since the Red Sox like to be careful with Papelbon, that could mean a few save opportunities for Gagne before the year is out. All three relievers are worth using in AL-only leagues, but Okajima's value takes a slight hit.

Gagne is a free agent at season's end, but if he pitches well down the stretch the Red Sox may consider resigning him. It'd likely take closer money to bring the Scott Boras client back to Boston, but the team may pony up in hopes of retaining the dominant threesome. It's highly unlikely that the club will ask Papelbon to move back to the rotation with the intention of resigning Gagne as a closer.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (Secure)

Key setup men: Bobby Howry, Angel Guzman (DL), Carlos Marmol, Mike Wuertz

Dempster hasn't given up a run in five innings since returning from a strained oblique, though it is concerning that his velocity was down at first. He's also yielded eight baserunners over his last three outings, so he's probably not 100 percent just yet. Still, it's not going to take long for him to round back into form and it'd be very surprising if he lost his job as closer before the year was out.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, Boone Logan

Jenks recorded four scoreless innings of work this week while picking up two saves and a win. The club's middle relief remains in disarray, with no player in the group worth using in AL-only leagues right now.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Eddie Guardado (DL), Jon Coutlangus, Mike Stanton, Jared Burton

Weathers gave up two runs to blow a save against the Cubs this week, but he picked up a win after the Reds rallied in the bottom of the ninth. Guardado gave up a homer in a rehab appearance on Tuesday and will throw a couple more games in the minors before being reevaluated. A return during the middle of the month looks likely, and he'll move into a setup role fairly quickly.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Shaky)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Tom Mastny

The Indians failed to upgrade their closer despite it being one of their most obvious weaknesses. The acquisition of Kenny Lofton will surely help, but an upgrade in the bullpen might have meant more. With the club dangling Max Ramirez it probably wouldn't have taken that much more to get Al Reyes from the Devil Rays. Instead they'll go with Borowski, a player the team can't like the idea of trusting in a post-season series, should they make it that far. It's doubtful they'll switch to Betancourt before the year is out even with Perez pitching so well. If the club falls short of an October birth or loses a close series in the playoffs because of their closer, general manager Mark Shapiro is going to have to take the blame.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Manny Corpas (Shaky)

Key setup men: Brian Fuentes (DL), LaTroy Hawkins, Jorge Julio, Jeremy Affeldt

Corpas threw 3 1/3 more scoreless innings this week to pick up a set of saves. He's done an excellent job since taking over as closer, and Fuentes is going to have to show he's all the way back to retake the ninth. Fuentes is again throwing bullpen sessions and should be back in two weeks, but it's unlikely he'll get his old job back before September. Since the Rockies would prefer Fuentes enter next season as the closer, expect them to give him another shot before the year is out.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney (DL), Jose Capellan, Macay McBride

Jones threw two scoreless innings to record a save this week. The right-hander rebounded from a rough June to give up just two runs in 14 innings since. He went 11-for-12 in save opportunities during that span, and his recent success was likely the reason the club chose not to acquire a closer at the trading deadline. It's a decision that could come back to haunt the club, but health of the current players on their roster will likely be the determining factor if they reach the playoffs or not.

In the meantime, both Zumaya and Rodney continue to work their way back from injuries. Zumaya hasn't appeared in a minor league game just yet, but he's close and should be back by the end of the month. Rodney has made rehab appearances the last two days and could be activated this weekend. He'll go right back into a setup role.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Locked In)

Key setup men: Armando Benitez, Henry Owens (DL), Matt Lindstrom, Taylor Tankersley

Gregg appeared in three games this week, blowing a save and taking a loss after giving up two runs against the Giants in the first outing. He rebounded to record two saves later in the week, though he did yield an earned run in one of the outings. Benitez remains woefully inconsistent in a setup role, so Gregg moves up to 'Locked In' this week. Owens, Lindstrom, Tankersley, and Ricky Nolasco could all try and wrestle the closing duties away from Gregg next season, but he's the clear favorite to lead the team in saves next season.

Houston Astros

Closer: Brad Lidge (Secure)

Key setup men: Chad Qualls, David Borkowski, Trever Miller

Lidge picked up a save with a scoreless inning of work against the Padres on Saturday. However, the very next day Lidge gave up three runs in 1 2/3 innings of a non-save situation. In his final outing of the week, Lidge gave up a two-run homer to the Braves' Matt Diaz in the bottom of the 12th inning to tie the game at 11-11. The two poor outings aren't enough for Lidge to lose his job, and Dan Wheeler moving to Tampa Bay certainly gives Lidge some more job security. He's still not completely out of the woods and will need to prove that he can bounce back mentally, but it'd be surprising if he didn't close for the final two months of the season.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Joakim Soria (Shaky)

Key setup men: Zack Greinke, Joel Peralta, David Riske

With Octavio Dotel gone to Atlanta, there was a lot of speculation as to who would take over the closing duties in Kansas City. Greinke had been named the heir apparent last month, but manager Buddy Bell seemed to change his tone after Soria had an excellent stretch of games over the last month and a half. Indeed, Soria was the one given the first save opportunity after Dotel left, with the young right-hander hurling a scoreless inning against the Twins to successfully convert the opportunity. Greinke could steal some saves if Soria struggles or is injured again, but the club would prefer to see the former player in the rotation next season.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier, Dustin Moseley

Rodriguez pitched just once this week, giving up a run in two innings of work during a non-save situation. The run ended up being the difference in the game as the Angels lost 8-7. Shields rebounded from a poor week two week's ago to throw four scoreless innings.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Chin-Hui Tsao (DL), Rudy Seanez, Scott Proctor

Saito spun two more scoreless innings this week to pick up a pair of saves. He's now up to 27 saves on the season, surpassing his total from last season by three. The recently acquired Proctor will pitch in a setup role. He was struggling for the Yankees and was grossly overused by manager Joe Torre last season, so he's not a good bet to be more than an average reliever. Still, some NL-only leaguers will find a use for him.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva, Manny Parra

Cordero didn't have one of his best weeks. The right-hander started by blowing a lead and taking a loss after giving up two runs to the Reds in the ninth inning. In that outing the Reds got to him for three singles and two doubles, so it's not as if he was unlucky to take the loss. In the second appearance Cordero blew a two-run lead by yielding three runs on two doubles and two singles against those same Reds. The right-hander was rather happy to see the Mets later in the week, and he rebounded with a scoreless inning in a non-save situation. Cordero's ERA is all the way up to 3.30 after sitting at 0.36 just two months ago.

Linebrink is out for a few days while his wife has a baby. He should be back for the weekend series.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier, Juan Rincon

Nathan gave up one run in four innings of work this week while recording four saves. With 24 saves thus far, he's right on pace to match last year's total of 36. Rincon has completely fallen apart, giving up 12 runs over his last seven appearances to raise his ERA to 6.21. He can't be trusted in any league right now.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Joe Smith, Pedro Feliciano, Guillermo Mota

It was business as usual again this week for Wagner, who notched two more saves with scoreless innings of work. Now 36-years-old, he's having one of the best seasons of his career.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Luis Vizcaino, Kyle Farnsworth, Brian Bruney

Rivera pitched in three games this week, picking up a save while not yielding a run in any of the outings. After Rivera there isn't a clear-cut favorite to act as the eighth inning man. Vizcaino has been pitching better of late and could ascend to that role with Scott Proctor in Los Angeles. Farnsworth has the stuff, but he's been inconsistent and his attitude isn't doing him any favors.

Top prospect Joba Chamberlain has been moved to the bullpen in hopes of helping the club and could be up within a week. He'll be an asset in middle relief immediately thanks to a mid-90s fastball and deceptive slider. Those in AL-only one-year formats will want to claim him right away, but owners in keeper formats should use his status as a reliever to acquire him at a discount. He's one of the five best pitching prospects still in the minors and will likely be up with the club next season as a starter.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Alan Embree (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Huston Street, Santiago Casilla, Kiko Calero, Rich Harden (DL)

Embree continued to fill in as closer this past week, totaling 3 2/3 scoreless innings and a save over three appearances. Street recorded shutout innings in his first and third outings of the week, but he took a loss after giving up four runs ? two earned ? in his middle appearance. It wasn't a strong outing from Street, but his stuff looked fine and he'll shake off the rust rather quickly. He'll probably move back into the closer's role with another few strong outings. Embree is the better play for next week's games, but both players can be left active.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Brett Myers (Secure)

Key setup men: Tom Gordon, Antonio Alfonseca, Ryan Madson (DL), Geoff Geary

Myers finally returned from the disabled list and it didn't take long for him to move back into the closer's role. The right-hander started his return with a scoreless inning of work in a non-save situation, then picked up a save two days later with another shutout inning. In his final outing of the week, Myers gave up a double, threw a wild pitch, walked two batters, and then threw a second wild pitch to score the game's winning run in the bottom of the ninth against the Cubs. It wasn't a save situation, but Myers was charged with a loss. He'll remain the club's closer for the rest of the season barring another injury, and once he's back into the swing of things he's likely to be an above average option. He's worth activating right away, however.

Gordon pitched in two games this week, giving up a total of one run in two innings of work. Should something happen to Myers, Gordon would likely move back into a closer's role despite the fact that Alfonseca did a solid job in the absence of Myers and Gordon.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Matt Capps (Locked In)

Key setup men: Salomon Torres, Damaso Marte, Shawn Chacon

Capps threw 2 2/3 more scoreless innings this week, but he failed to pick up a save yet again. The right-hander last recorded a save on July 5 despite not yielding a run since that date. More saves are around the corner, so don't be too worried about the lack of production over the last month.

Torres is still in Pittsburgh even though he doesn't want to be. The grievance he filed against the Pirates is pending, and if he wins the motion he'll be granted free agency. Should that happen, a contender such as the Tigers or Indians could snap him up quickly.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Heath Bell, Kevin Cameron, Cla Meredith

Apparently acting as the Padres' setup man is cursed. Scott Linebrink and Cla Meredith struggled in the role last month, and now Bell gave up four runs in an inning against the Diamondbacks this past week. He also threw 2 2/3 scoreless innings in the week before the rough outing, but his ERA still jumped to 2.54 as a result. That he's already thrown 60 1/3 innings is of concern, but if Bell still has anything left in the tank he has the talent to continue succeeding.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Brad Hennessey (Secure)

Key setup men: Randy Messenger, Kevin Correia, Jonathan Sanchez

General Manager Brian Sabean announced that Hennessey and Messenger would use the rest of the season to audition for the Giants' closing duties in 2008. Hennessey responded by picking up a pair of saves with two scoreless innings of work this week. Messenger, on the other hand, has given up two runs in each of his last three outings. The former Marlin figured to get a few save opportunities later in the season, but if he continues to struggle the team will just continue with Hennessey right on into next season.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, George Sherrill, Mark Lowe, Sean Green

Putz blew his first save of the season last week, then gave up three runs in a non-save situation on Wednesday. The recent struggles aren't any reason to get down on the right-hander.

Chris Reitsma is out for the year after having a fifth surgery on his elbow. It could have come at a worse time, as Morrow has rebounded with better control of late. It's allowed him to post 9 1/3 straight scoreless innings. He'll quickly move back into an eighth inning role if he continues to succeed.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Tyler Johnson (DL), Troy Percival

The Cardinals could have listened to offers on Isringhausen at the deadline, but it didn't really make sense given his affordable $8.8 million club option for next season. Since the club also didn't want to sell off any parts during a title defense, there was never really any thought to moving the right-hander. That Isringhausen spoke up and said he wouldn't waive his no-trade clause further ensured that nothing would get done. The right-hander turns 35-years-old this September, but he's looking as strong as ever with a 1.42 ERA to date. The Cardinals could give him a two-year extension this winter, but even if they don't he'll be back with the club in 2008.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Secure)

Key setup men: Dan Wheeler, Gary Glover, Brian Stokes, Shawn Camp

With Reyes under control through 2008 the Devil Rays decided against moving the right-hander. His value was near peak and it would have made plenty of sense to acquire prospects that could help down the road. However, the club has struggled finding capable bullpen arms for years. Keeping Reyes, as well as the acquisition of Wheeler, was aimed at stabilizing the club's most obvious weakness. Maybe the additional wins it will help bring in 2008 will assist in changing the culture of the club and get the fan base energized. In a worst-case scenario they'll just look to move both players at the trading deadline next season, since they'll each be a free agent after 2008.

In the interim, Reyes has moved back into the closer's role, with Wheeler settling into a setup role. Reyes' long injury history means he's no lock to remain the club's closer up through next July, so Wheeler is worth holding on to. It'd be surprising if he didn't end up the closer at some point over the next year and a half. Never mind his ERA over 4.00; Wheeler's peripherals are still fine and he's given up one run over the last month. He's a fine asset in AL-only leagues right away.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Joaquin Benoit (Co-Closer), C.J. Wilson (Co-Closer)

Key setup men: Akinori Otsuka (DL), Frank Francisco

Trading Gagne to the Red Sox left some uncertainty in the Rangers' bullpen with Otsuka on the disabled list. Manager Ron Washington started by stating that Benoit, Wilson, and Francisco could all see save opportunities in the interim. However, Wilson and Benoit appear to be the favorites. Benoit is being used in more high leverage situations than Francisco, and Wilson has recorded two saves when lefty-heavy parts of the lineup were due up. Both players are worth using in AL-only formats.

Otsuka's return date is still very much up in the air, but a return at some point during August seems likely. He'll probably move right back into the closer's role. Since he's signed through 2009, he's the favorite to close for the Rangers next season.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Scott Downs, Jason Frasor

Accardo made three appearances this week, notching saves with scoreless innings in two of the outings and then blowing a save by yielding a run in the other appearance. He remains comfortably atop the team's depth chart, with Janssen still serving as his backup.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome (DL), Luis Ayala

Cordero was another name thought to be available at the trading deadline, but the National were rightfully asking for a large bounty in trade talks and nothing ended up happening. Since he's under control for two more seasons, there will be plenty of interest in Cordero throughout the 2008 campaign. There will surely be rumors about trades involving the closer starting in the off-season and moving right through to the trading deadline. The Nationals probably won't want to move him this winter as they move into a new park, but a deal next July remains rather possible.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Week That Was
Injuries, Trades, Pickups, New Closers, and more in this week's Week That Was.

Kerry Wood: Cubs (finally!) activated RHP Kerry Wood. They will bring him along slowly for a week or two, but expect to find Wood in a key late inning role. The Cubs would certainly prefer having Wood pitch key September and playoff innings (assuming a lot there) over Dempster, etc. (Think Jenks 2005, KRod 2002, etc for late inning fireballers that propelled their teams to glory). Thus far this year, Wood has tossed 6 inning of minor league rehab with 7 K. However, Single A and rookie league are not the show in the dog days of August and pennant races of September. A shot at Wood is simply a hope to catch lightning in a bottle. Worth a shot, but have a backup plan.

Scott Hairston: Scott Hairston had one of those games kids across America dream about and the kind about which movies are made. Hairston came off the bench Friday to smack a game-tying, three-run dinger and followed that up with a walk-off jack in the 10th. There is a lot unsettled with the Padres as they keep adding players (Ensberg, Bradley, Mackowiak, etc.). However, unless there is an injury to Giles, Cameron, Bradley, you can expect Hairston's opportunities to be limited. That said, how cool of a night did Scott have himself while everyone in the world was watching to see if Barry could hit 755?

Yovani Gallardo: Yovani Gallardo keeps on keeping on. Last night, Gallardo allowed just one run over 6 2/3 innings. He is here to stay. If you do not own Gallardo in your league, tell the Yovani owner how Sheets is coming back and how a contender needs veteran arms and steal a young stud who has compiled a very impressive 2.55 ERA and 1.04 in 53 innings this year.

Yunel Escobar: With Edgar Renteria going on the shelf with a sprained ankle, Yunel Escobar started at shortstop and led off Friday (and figures to do so on a daily basis). Tough break for Renteria owners as he got hurt just when the Braves got a huge boost on offense from importing Big Tex (see below). The Braves have been moving Escobar all around this year. With a chance to play everyday at one position, he should get even better. Thus far, he is hitting .327 ? that should slide a little, but the counting numbers should jump substantially.

Mark Teixeira: Mark Teixeira went yard on Friday for the third time in three games. My hat is off to the Braves. How on earth does Texas justify trading away a player who has already smacked almost 150 dingers at the age of 27? Frankly, no offense to Salty, but this deal boggles the mind. Atlanta fans will look back on this deal with a sly smile for many years to come. If you have a chance to get Tex, do it. Maybe somebody in your league will think "hey, the Rangers must have known something." They did not.

Danys Baez: Danys Baez paid a quick dividend, earning his first save right after being named team closer. I am not buying this. You will still see Jamie Walker close games, especially against teams like the Yankees with tough LH bats. Can you see Baez over Walker against Papi? Come on. Baez has never succeeded long term as a closer, and even in his successful stints, the stats were not great. If you are desperate for saves, go ahead and grab Baez, but if you have other options, explore them.

Byung Hyun Kim: Diamondbacks claimed Byung-Hyun Kim off waivers from the Marlins this week. Ok, here is another one that puzzles me. I am no Kim fan ? in fact, I would never own him on a roto team ? EVER. That said, why did Florida cut him after he struck out a career-high 10 batters in a start earlier this week? This whole thing adds up to one giant stay away. Stay very far away. Kim goes from a great pitcher's park and a team in need to a great hitters' park. Did I say "STAY AWAY?" Oh, I did? Well, do it.

Rickie Weeks: On August 1, the Brewers essentially gave up on Rickie Weeks for this year, year, sending him to AAA and installing the Counsel/Graffanino tandem at second base. You had to see this one coming, especially if you read this column. I rarely do this, but since I came across my note from earlier this summer about Weeks, I reprint it here: "Rickie Weeks . . . . Bottom line ? a lot talent, but not ready to produce big at the big league level. If you are playing for next year, Weeks could be a good target." The sound you here is me blowing my own horn. Ok, seriously, if you are in it this year, I like Graffanino as the player more likely to produce in the Milwaukee lineup.

Michael Cuddyer: The Twins were busy this week, activating Michael Cuddyer from the DL and shipping Jeff Cirillo to the Diamondbacks. Forget Cirillo as he will not do much as an Arizona pinch hitter. However, Cuddyer is in his prime and should continue to rake along the pace he has set this year. Already, Cuddyer has a .292 average with solid counting numbers, including 62 runs scored. Buy if you can.

Adam Jones: Mariners (finally) recalled Adam Jones from Triple-A this week. One of the best prospects in the game was not brought up to be a spectator. Jones will play practically every day. Harp about how he looked overmatched and hit only .216 last year in the show (true facts) and get a first rate prospect cheaper. He has been tearing the cover off the ball in AAA and looks ready to improve a somewhat sleepy Mariner offense (Ichiro not included in that definition).

Last but not least, wisdom from the bottom dweller himself in this week's Schultz Says: "For the most part, anyone playing in NL or AL only leagues can breathe a sigh of relief now that the trading deadline has passed. Unless you own Mark Teixeira in an AL only league or banked on Jarrod Saltalamacchia carrying you for the latter part of this century in your deep NL-only league, you got off relatively unscathed this year. (If you were relying on Octavio Dotel for saves, your season was probably over by now anyway). Once Eric Gagne owners put down their Jonathan Papelbon voodoo dolls, they'll enter that stage of acceptance and realize that he just wasn't that smart of an investment this year. As a rule, it's never a good idea to count on a closer who's missed a good portion of the last couple years with arm and back issues. Hopefully, you're league counts holds, so he doesn't become completely valueless.

Using that a seamless segueway, the roto trading deadline is probably approaching in your league. There's nothing more fun than calling the guy in last place who has a cheap Eric Bedard or Prince Fielder or Josh Beckett languishing on his team and offer him the low-priced crap on your bench for their superstars and hope that they foolishly accept. Even more fun is the outrage and blustering indignation from your fellow owners if they do. Obviously, at this time of the year your goal should be to wrangle a superstar for the final months of the season in exchange for prospects that can provide help for next year (Francisco Liriano and Joel Zumaya are extraordinarily valuable bargaining chips in this regard). However, don't lose the forest for the home-run hitting trees. While it will be hard to pry away a fantasy stud from a floundering team, it isn't too difficult to grab some of their moderately valuable talent . . . it won't cost you as much either. The goal should be to upgrade; it doesn't have to be monumental. If you have Jason Kendall as your catcher, getting Kenji Johjima is an upgrade and it will cost you someone like Jeremy Hermida instead of Nick Markakis. If your league's categories are bunched, it doesn't take a mega-upgrade in talent to give you a significant boost in the standings.

Speaking of moderate boosts, the Angels of Los Angeles that play in Anaheim in the State of California in the States we call United on the planet known as Earth, called up Joe Saunders to replace either the stinky Ervin Santana or the wonky Bartolo Colon (ah the days when just being fat was his biggest worry). Saunders won't provide you with Gallardo or Lincecum type numbers for the rest of the year, but he will be a serviceable and possibly above-average starter. Every roto-owner has one pitcher they were expecting better numbers from than they are getting - and if you own Bronson Arroyo, you probably have two. If Saunders on your free agent wire, you could pick-up a lot worse at this point in time. Remember, the whole point is to upgrade. Don't get greedy or showy about it; just do it"

Response: Pretty good analysis, which, when boiled down says that one should play fantasy little ball and not wait for the three run dinger in making roto moves. I like it.

Final thoughts: I hope that as many of you out there as possible manage to be in the seats when Bonds hits 755, ARod hits 500 and Glavine wins 300. I would love to see all three happen this weekend. Oh what a weekend that would be.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Welcome To The Club
On a sunny Saturday afternoon in the Bronx, Alex Rodriguez launched his 500th home run becoming the youngest player to ever reach the elusive club. Then as the sun set in Petco Park, Barry Bonds one-upped him by tying Hank Aaron's all-time home run record at the magical number 755. He'll look to beat it at home against Washington and Pittsburgh next week. It's scary to think that Bonds had just 320 long balls when he was Rodriguez's age. ARod could shatter the record if he can stay healthy. Meanwhile, Jim Thome remains 11 shy of 500, Manny Ramirez a dozen away from history and Gary Sheffield could reach the milestone next year with 478 in his career. Tom Glavine will also take the hill Sunday at Wrigley for a shot at victory No. 300, then goes against Florida next week. www.tampabaybuccaneers.ws

Week 19 of the fantasy baseball season features two starts by Cy Young candidates like Jake Peavy and Justin Verlander, as well as red hot Tim Lincecum, Aaron Harang and Oliver Perez. The Diamondbacks face just one right-handed starter this week, Shane Victorino, Eric Chavez and Edgar Renteria are the newest members to the disabled list and Kerry Wood, Phil Hughes and Curt Schilling come off the shelf. The Week Ahead will break it all down right now?

Two-start pitchers:
Great options:
Jake Peavy SD @ STL Anthony Reyes, @ CIN Aaron Harang
Justin Verlander DET vs. TB Edwin Jackson, vs. OAK Dan Haren
Tim Lincecum SF vs. WAS John Lannan, vs. PIT Tom Gorzelanny
Andy Pettitte NYY @ TOR Jesse Litsch, @ CLE Jake Westbrook
Oliver Perez NYM vs. ATL Buddy Carlyle, vs. FLA Byung-Hyun Kim
Rich Hill CHC @ HOU Wandy Rodriguez, @ COL Josh Fogg
Jered Weaver LAA vs. BOS Curt Schilling, vs. MIN Boof Bonser
Barry Zito SF vs. WAS Mike Bacsik, vs. PIT Paul Maholm

More strong options:
Aaron Harang CIN vs. LA Mark Hendrickson, vs. SD Jake Peavy
Sean Marshall CHC @ HOU Woody Williams, @ COL Jason Hirsh
Claudio Vargas MIL @ COL Josh Fogg, @ HOU Wandy Rodriguez
Boof Bonser MIN @ KC Leo Nunez, @ LAA Jered Weaver
Paul Byrd CLE @ MIN Carlos Silva, vs. NYY Mike Mussina
Nate Robertson DET vs. TB Jason Hammel, vs. OAK Dallas Braden
Wandy Rodriguez HOU vs. CHC Rich Hill, vs. MIL Claudio Vargas
Jamie Moyer PHI vs. FLA Byung-Hyun Kim, vs. ATL Buddy Carlyle
Buddy Carlyle ATL @ NYM Oliver Perez, @ PHI Jamie Moyer
Curt Schilling BOS @ LAA Jered Weaver, @ BAL Steve Trachsel
Braden Looper STL vs. SD David Wells, vs. LA Brad Penny

Other two-starters:
Micah Owings ARI vs. PIT Paul Maholm, vs. WAS Mike Bacsik
Paul Maholm PIT @ ARI Micah Owings, @ SF Barry Zito
Anthony Reyes STL vs. SD Jake Peavy, vs. LA Mark Hendrickson
John Danks CHW vs. CLE Jake Westbrook, vs. SEA Jeff Weaver
Jeff Weaver SEA @ BAL Steve Trachsel, @ CHW John Danks
David Wells SD @ STL Braden Looper, @ CIN Bronson Arroyo
Jesse Litsch TOR vs. NYY Andy Pettitte, @ KC Brian Bannister
Jason Hirsh COL vs. MIL Chris Capuano, vs. CHC Sean Marshall
Byung-Hyun Kim FLA @ PHI Jamie Moyer, @ NYM Oliver Perez
Josh Fogg COL vs. MIL Claudio Vargas, vs. CHC Rich Hill
Steve Trachsel BAL vs. SEA Jeff Weaver, vs. BOS Curt Schilling
Mike Bacsik WAS @ SF Barry Zito, @ ARI Micah Owings
Edwin Jackson TB @ DET Justin Verlander, @ TEX Brandon McCarthy
Dallas Braden OAK @ TEX John Rheinecker, @ DET Nate Robertson
John Rheinecker TEX vs. OAK Dallas Braden, vs. TB Jason Hammel
Jason Hammel TB @ DET Nate Robertson, @ TEX John Rheinecker
John Lannan WAS @ SF Tim Lincecum, @ ARI Brandon Webb

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Seven-game schedule: CHC, CLE, COL, DET, MIN, SD, SF, STL, TB, WAS
Six-game schedule: ARI, ATL, BAL, BOS, CHW, CIN, FLA, HOU, KC, LA, LAA, NYM, NYY, MIL, OAK, PHI, PIT, SEA, TEX, TOR
Five-game schedule: none

Rain threatened games:
Tuesday, August 7: TB @ DET (40%)
Wednesday, August 8: TB @ DET (40%), MIN @ KC (40%)
Friday, August 10: BOS @ BAL (60%), NYY @ CLE (60%), SEA @ CHW (60%), ATL @ PHI (60%), MIL @ HOU (60%), OAK @ DET (40%), FLA @ NYM (40%), SD @ CIN (60%)
Saturday, August 11: SD @ CIN (60 %), OAK @ DET (60%), SEA @ CHW (60%), MIL @ HOU (60%), BOS @ BAL (60%), NYY @ CLE (60%), ATL @ PHI (60%), FLA @ NYM (40%)
Sunday, August 12: ATL @ PHI (60%), BOS @ BAL (60%), TB @ TEX (60%), TB @ BOS (40%), BAL @ NYY (60%),

Stadium Factor:
ESPN - MLB Park Factors - Major League Baseball
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
2. Coors Field (Rockies) 1.177 runs ? 3 vs MIL, 4 vs CHC
3. Kauffman Stadium (Royals) 1.167 runs ? 3 vs MIN, 3 vs TOR
5. Chase Field (Diamondbacks) 1.113 runs ? 3 vs PIT, 3 vs WAS
6. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.110 runs ? 3 vs LA, 3 vs SD
8. Angel Stadium (Angels) 1.077 runs ? 3 vs BOS, 3 vs MIN

No Games: 1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.236 runs, 4. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.164 runs, 7. Wrigley Field (Cubs) 1.101 runs

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
4. Metrodome (Twins) 0.885 runs ? 1 vs CLE
5. Busch Stadium (Cardinals) 0.897 runs ? 4 vs SD, 3 vs LA
7. Shea Stadium (Mets) 0.907 runs ? 3 vs ATL, 3 vs FLA
8. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.908 runs ? 3 vs CHC, 3 vs MIL
12. Rogers Centre (Blue Jays) 0.969 runs ? 3 vs NYY

No Games: 1. Tropicana Field (Devil Rays) 0.812 runs, 2. Petco Park (Padres) 0.832 runs, 3. McAfee Coliseum (Athletics) 0.876 runs, 6. RFK Stadium (Nationals) 0.899 runs, 9. Turner Field (Braves) 0.911 runs, 10. PNC Park (Pirates) 0.933 runs, 11. Miller Park (Brewers) 0.941 runs

Caught Stealing %:
Easiest to steal against (total SBs)
1. Jason Kendall, CHC 76-for-91 ? 3 @ HOU, 4 @ COL
2. Jorge Posada, NYY 68-for-89 ? 3 @ TOR, 3 @ CLE
3. Russell Martin, LA 62-for-93 ? 3 @ CIN, 3 @ STL
4. Michael Barrett, SD 60-for-73 ? 4 @ STL, 3 @ CIN
5. Dioner Navarro, TB 50-for-71 ? 4 @ DET, 3 @ TEX

Facing these catchers is bad news for Willy Taveras (29-for-38 SB), Kaz Matsui (19-for-21 SB), Grady Sizemore (28-for-34 SB), Kenny Lofton (21-for-25 SB), Ryan Freel (15-for-23 SB), Curtis Granderson (13-for-13 SB), Gary Sheffield (17-for-21 SB)

Toughest to steal against (total SBs)
1. David Ross, CIN 27-for-48 ? 3 vs LA, 3 vs SD
2. Kenji Johjima, SEA 30-for-49 ? 3 @ BAL, 3 @ CHW
3. Brad Ausmus, HOU 32-for-45 ? 3 vs CHC, 3 vs MIL
4. Jason Varitek, BOS 37-for-49 ? 3 @ LAA, 3 @ BAL
5. Brian Schneider, WAS 37-for-55 ? 4 @ SF, 3 @ ARI

Facing these catchers is good news for Juan Pierre (44-for-51 SB), Russell Martin (18-for-22 SB), Brian Roberts (32-for-38 SB), Corey Patterson (29-for-36 SB), Nick Markakis (13-for-15 SB), Ryan Theriot (19-for-23 SB), Corey Hart (17-for-21 SB), Alfonso Soriano (18-for-23 SB), Chone Figgins (28-for-36 SB), Reggie Willits (22-for-28 SB), Eric Byrnes (27-for-33 SB), Dave Roberts (21-for-24 SB), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] (16-for-18 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Cleveland: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Detroit: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Kansas City: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers
Minnesota: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Seattle: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Tampa Bay: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Toronto: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Red Sox, White Sox, Indians, Athletics and Devil Rays face three left-handers, while the Yankees go against none. That's good news for Manny Ramirez (.370 vs LHPs), Mike Lowell (.315 vs LHPs), Dustin Pedroia (.333 vs LHPs), Josh Fields (.323 vs LHPs), Scott Podsednik (.313 vs LHPs), Ryan Garko (.327 vs LHPs), Travis Buck (.345 vs LHPs), Jonny Gomes (.339 vs LHPs), Akinori Iwamura (.344 vs LHPs), Brendan Harris (.347 vs LHPs), Alex Rodriguez (.315 vs RHPs), Jorge Posada (.339 vs RHPs), Derek Jeter (.331 vs RHPs), Andy Phillips (.333 vs RHPs)

And bad news for J.D. Drew (.207 vs LHPs), Darin Erstad (.180 vs LHPs), Jim Thome (.192 vs LHPs), Josh Barfield (.210 vs LHPs), Trot Nixon (.217 vs LHPs), Mark Kotsay (.116 vs LHPs), Bobby Crosby (.222 vs LHPs), Dan Johnson (.235 vs LHPs), Dioner Navarro (.149 vs LHPs), Carlos Pena (.221 vs LHPs), Johnny Damon (.243 vs RHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (1 vs. Right-handers, 5 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago Cubs: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Houston: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers))
San Francisco: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Diamondbacks face five lefties, the Giants go against four, and the Pirates, Brewers, Marlins and Braves see three each. That's good news for Randy Winn (.350 vs LHPs), Ronny Paulino (.375 vs LHPs), Freddy Sanchez (.349 vs LHPs), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] (.478 vs LHPs), Johnny Estrada (.336 vs LHPs), Kevin Mench (.320 vs LHPs), Edgar Renteria (.355 vs LHPs), Matt Diaz (.350 vs LHPs), Yunel Escobar (.345 vs LHPs), Miguel Cabrera (.413 vs LHPs), Hanley Ramirez (.423 vs LHPs), Mike Jacobs (.352 vs LHPs), Miguel Olivo (.315 vs LHPs),

And bad news for [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] (.178 vs LHPs), Stephen Drew (.229 vs LHPs), Mark Reynolds (.214 vs LHPs), Dave Roberts (.183 vs LHPs), Chris Duffy (.211 vs LHPs), Jason Bay (.227 vs LHPs), Damian Miller (.214 vs LHPs), Geoff Jenkins (.213 vs LHPs), Scott Thorman (.185 vs LHPs), Willie Harris (.219 vs LHPs), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3187"]Craig Wilson[/URL] (.209 vs LHPs), Andruw Jones (.221 vs LHPs), Alfredo Amezaga (.239 vs LHPs), Josh Willingham (.194 vs LHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 20:
Jon Lester, Jarrod Moseley, C.C. Sabathia, Jon Garland, Johan Santana, Brian Bannister, Chien-Ming Wang, Roy Halladay, Lenny DiNardo, Kevin Millwood, Felix Hernandez, Jeremy Guthrie, James Shields, Andrew Miller, Jo-Jo Reyes, Brian Lawrence, Carlos Zambrano, Roy Oswalt, Rick Vanden Hurk, Kyle Lohse, Brett Tomko, Phil Dumatrait, Yovani Gallardo, Jeff Francis, Shane Youman, Yusmeiro Petit, Greg Maddux, Kip Wells, Tim Redding, Matt Cain

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) ? out indefinitely
Carlos Beltran (ribs) ? return mid-August
Michael Bourne (ankle) ? return mid-August
Freddie Bynum (hamstring) ? return early August
Endy Chavez (hamstring) ? return early August
Michael Cuddyer (thumb) ? return early August
Chris Denorfia (elbow) ? out for the season
Chris Duffy (ankle) ? return mid-Augusts
Darin Erstad (ankle) ? might early August
Carlos Gomez (hand) ? return early September
Josh Hamilton (wrist) ? return mid-August
Hunter Pence (wrist) ? return early September
Carlos Quentin (leg) ? out indefinitely
Jason Repko (groin) ? might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) ? return September
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) ? out indefinitely
Marcus Thames (hamstring) ? return early August
Shane Victorino (calf) ? return mid-August
Preston Wilson (knee) ? out for the season

Infielders
Willy Aybar (hand) ? out indefinitely
Hank Blalock (arm) ? return mid-August
Aaron Boone (knee) ? return mid-August
Eric Chavez (back) ? out indefinitely
Joe Crede (back) ? likely out for the season
Bobby Crosby (hand) ? return early September
Adam Everett (leg) ? return mid-August
Cristian Guzman (thumb) ? out for the season
Nick Johnson (leg) ? out indefinitely
Howie Kendrick (finger) ? return August
Corey Koskie (concussion) ? out indefinitely
Dallas McPherson (back) ? return August/September
Doug Mientkiewicz (wrist) ? return mid-August
Melvin Mora (foot) ? return early August
Pablo Ozuna (leg) ? return August/September
Neifi Perez (suspension) ? out for the season
Edgar Renteria (ankle) ? return late August
Marcus Thames (hamstring) ? return early August
Chase Utley (hand) ? return early September
Jose Valentin (leg) ? might be out for the season
Daryle Ward (calf) ? return mid-August

Catchers:
Eliezer Alfonzo (knee) ? return mid-August
Rod Barajas (groin) ? out indefinitely
Henry Blanco (neck) ? return late August
Hector Gimenez (shoulder) ? likely out for the season
Paul Lo Duca (hamstring) ? day-to-day
Mike Napoli (hamstring) ? return mid-August
Vance Wilson (elbow) ? out for the season

Designated Hitter:
David Dellucci (hamstring) ? return September
Jason Giambi (foot) ? return mid-August
Mike Sweeney (knee) ? out indefinitely

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) ? return early September
Jason Bergmann (hamstring) ? return mid-August
A.J. Burnett (shoulder) ? return mid-August
Chris Carpenter (elbow) ? out for the season
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) ? return late August
Matt Clement (shoulder) ? return August/September
Bartolo Colon (elbow) ? out indefinitely
Zach Duke (elbow) ? return early August
Freddy Garcia (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Mike Hampton (ribs) ? out for the season
Rich Harden (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Shawn Hill (elbow) ? return early August
Luke Hudson (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Josh Johnson (forearm) ? out for the season
Randy Johnson (back) ? out for the season
Jon Lieber (ankle) ? out for the season
Francisco Liriano (elbow) ? out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) ? return early August
Adam Loewen (elbow) ? out for the season
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) ? return late August
Andrew Miller (hamstring) ? expected back August 19
Wade Miller (back) ? out indefinitely
Eric Milton (elbow) ? out for the season
Mark Mulder (shoulder) ? return mid-August
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) ? return late August
Russ Ortiz (arm) ? return early August
Vicente Padilla (triceps) ? return mid-August
John Patterson (biceps) ? return September
Carl Pavano (elbow) ? out for the season
Mark Prior (shoulder) ? out for the season
Darrell Rasner (finger) ? return August/September
Kenny Rogers (elbow) ? return mid-August
Chris Sampson (knee) ? out indefinitely
Curt Schilling (shoulder) ? return August 6 @ LAA
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) ? out for the season
Ben Sheets (finger) ? return early September
Jason Simontacchi (elbow) ? out indefinitely
John Thomson (back) ? return early August
Randy Wolf (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Jaret Wright (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] (ribs) ? return mid-August

Important Relievers:
Kris Benson (shoulder) ? likely out for the season
Yhency Brazoban (shoulder) ? out for the season
Jesse Crain (shoulder) ? out for the season
Brendan Donnelly (arm) ? out for the season
Justin Duchscherer (hip) ? out for the season
Brian Fuentes (back) ? return early August
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) ? out for the season
Eddie Guardado (elbow) ? return early August
Angel Guzman (arm) ? return early August
Ryan Madson (shoulder) ? return early September
Akinori Otsuka (arm) ? return early August
Chris Ray (elbow) ? return early September
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) ? out for the season
Fernando Rodney (biceps) ? return early August
B.J. Ryan (elbow) ? out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) ? return August
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) ? out for the season
Joel Zumaya (finger) ? return mid-August
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Glavine Joins 300-Win Club
Pitching in front of the Wrigley Field crowd and a prime-time audience on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball, Tom Glavine became the 23rd pitcher in baseball history to join the 300-win club with a victory over the Cubs. Glavine held Chicago to two runs over 6.1 innings and drove in a run with an RBI single, exiting with a two-run lead before the Mets' offense tacked on some insurance runs for an 8-3 win.

With Billy Wagner closing out the five-run lead, Glavine's family got plenty of screen time while sitting behind the Mets' dugout. His parents and children were in attendance, and Glavine's attractive blonde wife was a natural for camera time as she demonstrably squirmed in her seat and appeared to be approximately one million times more nervous about the whole situation than Glavine was.

The 41-year-old southpaw joins Warren Spahn (363), Steve Carlton (329), Eddie Plank (326), and Lefty Grove (300) as the only left-handers with 300 wins. Tied for 22nd place on the all-time list with Grove and Early Wynn, Glavine will likely need to return for a 22nd season in order to most past 21st place. Next up on the list for the future Hall of Famer are Mickey Welch (307), Old Hoss Radbourn (311), and Tom Seaver (311).

While mainstream media members predictably fall all over themselves in a rush to put forth the ridiculously shortsighted assertion that Glavine will be the last member of the 300-win club, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Lost in the hoopla surrounding Glavine's 300th win is that the Cubs lost Alfonso Soriano to an injury earlier in Sunday night's game. Soriano was attempting to go from first to third on a single when he pulled up lame rounding second base, hopping into David Wright's waiting tag at third base on one leg and in obvious pain. Soriano was helped from the field and has been diagnosed with a strained right quadriceps, which is expected to sideline him for 2-4 weeks.

Losing Soriano is a huge blow to Cubs, who sit one game behind the Brewers in the NL Central after making up 7.5 games in the standings over the past six weeks. With Soriano out, Chicago may choose to recall Felix Pie, who batted .216 with a .617 OPS in 48 games earlier this season. One of the best center-field prospects in baseball, Pie is hitting .359 with a .968 OPS in 53 games at Triple-A, including .337 in 21 games following his most recent demotion.

If the Cubs instead choose to keep Pie at Iowa, Matt Murton and Mike Fontenot figure to see most of the playing time in place of Soriano, with Mark DeRosa shifting to the outfield to make room for Fontenot in the lineup. Regardless of who gets the call to fill in for Soriano, he's going to be impossible to replace after hitting .297 with 18 homers, 42 RBIs, 74 runs, 18 steals, and an .847 OPS in 104 games.

* Francisco Cordero began the season 22-for-22 in save opportunities while posting a 0.36 ERA, but he's fallen apart since then while the Brewers' lead in the NL Central has disappeared. Cordero is 0-4 with a 6.55 ERA over his last 23 appearances, converting just 12-of-18 save chances during that stretch. The good news is that even while struggling he posted a 26-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio and allowed just one homer in 22 innings, so he should get back on track.

* Also in Milwaukee, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] is showing absolutely no signs of slowing down. Braun smacked his 20th homer Sunday and is now batting .347 with a 1.054 OPS in 64 major-league games after hitting .342 with a 1.119 OPS in 34 games at Triple-A. If you prorate his big-league numbers to a full season, you get 50 homers, 40 doubles, 135 RBIs, 125 runs, and 25 steals. With Hunter Pence on the disabled list, the NL Rookie of the Year award is Braun's to win.

* Ryan Zimmerman remains behind the pace he set while finishing second in the NL Rookie of the Year balloting last season, but he's quietly put up some big numbers since a brutal start. In 72 games since May 16, Zimmerman has hit .293 with 15 homers, 46 RBIs, 52 runs, and an .861 OPS. Even better, he's batting .352 with seven homers and 22 RBIs in 23 games since the All-Star break. His OPS and RBIs remain down, but he's likely to top last year's 20 homers.

* Adam Wainwright's move back to the rotation looked like a mistake when he began the season with a 6.34 ERA through eight starts. The early struggles have kept his ERA looking bloated, but Wainwright has turned his season around in a big way. Wainwright hit his second career homer Sunday and tossed seven solid innings against the Nationals, making him 7-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 62-to-27 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 90.1 innings spread over his last 14 starts.

AL Quick Hits: Curt Schilling (shoulder) is expected to throw 85-90 pitches when he comes off the disabled list Monday against the Angels ? Depending on which reports you believe, the Yankees could be on the verge of calling up Joba Chamberlain to pitch out of the bullpen ? Garret Anderson drove in three runs Sunday and is hitting .324 with 20 RBIs and an .882 OPS in 27 games since returning from the DL in early July ? After going 8-for-22 (.364) with a homer during his minor-league rehab assignment, Jason Giambi (foot) is expected to return as soon as Tuesday ? Kenny Rogers (elbow) suffered a setback during his throwing session Sunday and won't come off the DL when eligible Friday ? Bobby Jenks has retired 32 straight batters dating back to July 17 ? Carl Crawford celebrated his 26th birthday Sunday by going 4-for-5 with his ninth homer ? Scott Baker has turned his season and Twins career around by going 5-2 with a 3.13 over his last nine starts, including eight shutout innings Sunday against the Indians ? Gavin Floyd looked fantastic while tossing six shutout innings Sunday against the Tigers and could stick in the rotation ? Recalled from Triple-A last week, Joey Gathright boosted his batting average to .352 by going 4-for-4 on Sunday.

NL Quick Hits: Miguel Cabrera left Sunday's game after being hit on the elbow by a pitch, but isn't expected to miss any starts ? Carlos Zambrano said Sunday that he's "ready to sign" a five-year contract extension with the Cubs ? Aaron Harang (back) threw a simulated game Saturday, putting him on track to make his scheduled start Wednesday ? Andruw Jones (elbow) received a cortisone shot Friday and was absent from Sunday's lineup ? Kerry Wood pitched a scoreless seventh inning Sunday, logging his first action since last June ? Barry Zito made his first career relief appearance Sunday, retiring all three batters he faced after Noah Lowry left with a forearm injury ? Batting .179 after being one of my preseason sleeper picks, Chris Iannetta is reportedly headed back to Triple-A ? Brandon Webb tossed his fifth career complete-game shutout Sunday, giving him 24 straight scoreless innings ? After sitting out six straight games, Jeff Kent (hamstring) is expected back in the lineup Tuesday ? Out since Thursday, Ryan Freel is scheduled to undergo an MRI on his sore knee Monday ? Josh Hamilton (wrist) took batting practice Saturday and could begin a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Soriano Out Up To Six Weeks
Initially expected to miss 2-4 weeks with a strained right quadriceps, Alfonso Soriano may now be sidelined for up to six weeks after an MRI revealed a small tear. Manager Lou Piniella said Monday that the Cubs expect to have Soriano back "around Labor Day," but that's less than four weeks away and seems like a best-case scenario. Piniella also added that "it could have been worse," which is of course technically true.

Still, for a Cubs team that has made an impressive push to essentially catch the Brewers in the NL Central and climb back into the playoff picture, being without Soriano for at least half of the remaining 51 games is a huge blow. With Soriano officially heading to the disabled list Monday, the Cubs surprisingly decided not to recall Felix Pie from Triple-A, instead choosing Eric Patterson from the same Iowa outfield.

A full-time second baseman until recently, Patterson shifted to the outfield at Triple-A and will be used there to help fill in for Soriano. A left-handed hitter, Patterson figures to get a shot as the Cubs' regular left fielder against right-handed pitching. When left-handers are on the mound, expect the right-handed hitting Matt Murton (and his .862 career OPS against southpaws) to slide into the lineup.

Patterson is an outstanding all-around athlete, just like his old brother and former Cubs prospect Corey Patterson, but is already a more polished hitter despite being just 24 years old. Corey never really learned to draw a walk or control the strike zone, but Eric drew 43 free passes (along with a reasonable 73 strikeouts) in 111 games at Triple-A, hitting .299 with 14 homers, 40 total extra-base hits, and 16 steals.

While Cubs fans hope that this athletic and talented Patterson prospect works out a little better than the last athletic and talented Patterson prospect, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Oakland led Texas 7-0 in third inning Monday, but when the lead was cut to one run late Alan Embree came in to close things out. He served up a game-tying homer to Michael Young, but the A's eventually won the game anyway when Mike Piazza delivered an RBI single in the 13th inning. Former closer Huston Street was part of the reason why the Rangers were able to come back, giving up a run in his one-inning relief appearance setting up Embree.

With Street struggling somewhat since returning from the disabled list and Embree still 13-for-16 converting save opportunities even after Monday's blown lead, manager Bob Geren made it clear after the game that Embree remains the A's closer. "No real hurry," Geren said. "Alan's doing a great job and Huston's still getting back to 100 percent." Expect the switch to happen eventually, but Embree could have a handful of saves left in him.

Meanwhile, Monday's hero has reportedly cleared waivers, meaning that the A's are free to trade Piazza to any team. However, the Twins are said to have heard that Piazza and general manager Billy Beane have a "gentlemen's agreement" that the A's won't deal Piazza somewhere against his will. Minnesota is rumored to be interested in Piazza and he's rumored to be strongly against playing there, so there may be some truth to the speculation.

* With Jason Giambi coming off the disabled list within the next several days, the Yankees' logjam for playing time gets even bigger. Manager Joe Torre shed some light on his plans Monday, saying that Melky Cabrera will remain the starting center fielder. That means Giambi and Johnny Damon will likely be splitting designated-hitter duties, but even that still leaves Shelley Duncan as little more than a bench bat.

Meanwhile, the Yankees are expected to call Joba Chamberlain up from Triple-A on Tuesday. Among the top pitching prospects in baseball, Chamberlain recently shifted to the bullpen in the minors and is no doubt being eyed as a potential late-inning setup man in front of Mariano Rivera. If he thrives in his first taste of the majors, the 21-year-old Chamberlain could be to Rivera what Rivera was to John Wetteland back in 1996.

* David Wells was cruising along through four scoreless innings Monday when the Cardinals began the fifth frame by going single, single, single, single, single, single, homer. The long ball came off the bat of Scott Rolen, who was back in the lineup after sitting out Sunday's game with ongoing shoulder problems. Wells was removed following Rolen's three-run blast, at which point Mike Thompson came in and immediately served up another homer, followed by a walk and two more singles.

David Eckstein ended the fun by flying out to center field, but not before 10 runs had scored on 10 straight hits (interrupted by a walk). There are plenty of amazing tidbits related to the historic inning, but my favorite is that the pitcher, Braden Looper, led off the onslaught with a single and then reached again when he the lineup batted around. When the opposing pitcher scores twice in the same inning, that's a pretty good indication that your pitching staff is having a rough night.

The ugly performance drops Wells to 5-8 with a 5.54 ERA on the season, including 0-3 with a hideous 14.04 ERA over his last four starts. The San Diego Union-Tribune speculated Tuesday that Wells may be booted from the rotation (and the team, presumably), but manager Bud Black sort of avoided the question following the game. "As of right now, he's scheduled to pitch Saturday in Cincinnati," Black said. "That's where his next turn is."

AL Quick Hits: Expected to seek at least two opinions on his ongoing back problems, Eric Chavez said Monday that it "doesn't look like" he'll be playing again "anytime soon" ? Curt Schilling (shoulder) looked somewhat shaky in his return from the disabled list Monday, allowing four runs on nine hits over six innings in a loss to the A's ? After racking up seven strikeouts over five innings of one-run ball in Sunday's minor-league rehab outing at Triple-A, A.J. Burnett (shoulder) has been penciled in to start this weekend against the Royals ? Gary Sheffield received a cortisone shot in his "good" shoulder Sunday, but still hopes to be back in the lineup Wednesday ? Meanwhile, Marcus Thames (hamstring) is set to begin a rehab assignment Tuesday and could also return by week's end ? With a three-run homer Monday, B.J. Upton is hitting .337 with seven homers, 21 RBIs, 16 runs, and a 1.030 OPS in 23 games since coming off the DL in mid-July ? As expected, Bobby Kielty signed a minor-league contract with the Red Sox, with a clause in it that allows him to become a free agent if he's not called up in a week.

NL Quick Hits: Pedro Martinez (shoulder) is scheduled to make the first of at least three minor-league rehab starts Wednesday at Single-A ? Hitting just .205 since coming off the disabled list two weeks ago, Bill Hall sat out his second straight game Monday, with Corey Hart starting in center field ? Barry Bonds went 0-for-3 Monday, leaving him stuck on 755 career homers ? With eight innings of one-run ball Monday in Houston, Wandy Rodriguez now has a 1.69 ERA in 11 starts at home and an 8.16 ERA in 11 starts everywhere else ? Josh Hamilton (wrist) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday at Triple-A ? As expected, the Rockies demoted Chris Iannetta to the minors Monday after he hit just .179 in 51 games ? An MRI on Noah Lowry's sore forearm came back negative, meaning he's expected to miss just one start ? Zach Duke (elbow) has yet to begin throwing off a mound and the Pirates haven't established a timetable for his return ? After amazingly allowing 46 runs over his last 24.1 innings, Mike Maroth (elbow) was mercifully placed on the shelf Monday.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Platoon Gems: Home vs. Away


This week I'll provide a list of guys who perform dramatically better at home or on the road. Then I'll discuss conditional trades and defend my "politics" in the Trash Dump.
[SIZE=+1]Platoon Gems: Hometown Heroes and Road Warriors[/SIZE]
This is the final installment of my series on platooning. In my last two columns, I covered righty killers and lefty killers. This week I'll be spotlighting players with dramatic home/away splits. You'll obviously want to use the "hometown heroes" when they're playing at home and the "road warriors" when they're away. (Note: Stats are through Sunday's games.)
Hometown Heroes
Chone Figgins ? Though he's always valuable, Figgins' value at home is through the roof thanks to his .408 AVG at Angel Stadium. He's no slouch on the road, where he hits .289, but if you're using him sporadically to manage your SB total, do not miss any home starts!
Jhonny Peralta ? At home, Peralta owns a .327 AVG and 13 homers; on the road, he's just .213 with three homers.
Brad Hawpe ? He's hitting .323 with 13 HR at home versus .253 with five HR on the road.
Corey Hart ? Hitting .313 with 11 HR at home; .244 with seven HR on road.
David Ross ? If you're going to use him at all, it should be when he's playing at home, where he hits .223 with 11 HR. (On the road, he goes .185 with four HR.)
Scott Hatteberg ? Another Cincinnati player who benefits from Cinergy Field, Hatteberg is hitting .382 with six HR in Cincy versus .226 with three homers elsewhere.
Dmitri Young ? Like a cross between Hatteberg and Figgins, Young is hitting .402 with six HR at home versus .279 with three HR elsewhere.
J.J. Hardy ? Hits .290 with 11 HR at home; .251 with seven HR on the road.
Jack Cust ? Hits .302 at home versus .222 on the road. However, his power is fairly consistent.
Miguel Olivo ? Nine of Olivo's 10 HR have come at home. He also hits 50 points higher at home (.257 to .207).
Adam LaRoche ? This guy always has to have some major discrepancy in his splits. This year, his stats against lefties and righties are fairly even, but he's hitting 114 points higher at home than on the road (.300 to .186).
Marlon Byrd ? He's got power nowhere, but hits .386 at home contrasted to .265 on the road.
Matt Holliday ? What a surprise! The Colorado player hits 77 points higher (.377 to .300) and has eight more HR (in fewer AB) at Coors than he does elsewhere.
Rafael Furcal ? At home: .317 with three HR and 9 SB. On the road: .245 with one HR and three SB.
Mike Lowell ? He loves that Green Monster. Lowell is hitting .362 with 10 HR at Fenway versus .247 with five dingers elsewhere.
Bobby Abreu ? Wow! Did you ever consider benching Abreu for away games? He's hitting .336 with 13 SB at home versus .233 with just two steals on the road.
Road Warriors
Ryan Howard ? Not that you want to bench him when he's home, but Howard's dramatic splits warrant a mention. He's hitting .306 with 19 HR away versus .218 with 11 HR at home.
Alfonso Soriano ? On the road, he's hitting .346 with 13 HR. At home, he's hitting .251 with five HR.
Lance Berkman ? He's hitting .281 with 12 HR on the road versus .236 with seven HR at home. On his career, though, his home/away splits are fairly even.
Nick Swisher ? Hitting .274 with 11 HR on the road; .235 with three HR at home.
Curtis Granderson ? As I discussed two weeks ago, you want to start Granderson against righties. Well, taking a look at his stats, the ideal situation would be against righties when on the road given that he hits .325 on the road versus .263 at home.
Jeff Francoeur ? Hitting .327 with eight HR on the road; .281 with four HR at home.
B.J. Upton ? Hits .392 on the road versus .277 at home.
Moises Alou ? Here's a guy who can be unexpectedly useful in a platoon in deep leagues. He's hitting .342 with four HR on the road versus .286 with no HR at home.
Jeremy Hermida ? Hits .322 on the road versus .203 at home.
Brian Giles ? Hitting .345 with two HR on the road; .241 with no HR at home.
Luke Scott ? Hits .299 on the road versus .195 at home.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Bonds Hits No. 756
With one pitch, Mike Bacsik is suddenly a household name. A 29-year-old minor-league veteran with a 5.21 ERA in 184.2 big-league innings spread over five seasons, Bacsik will go down in history after serving up Barry Bonds' record-breaking 756th career homer Tuesday night. After doubling and singling in his first two at-bats against Bacsik, Bonds came up for a third time in the fifth inning and deposited the left-hander's 3-2 fastball into the seats in right-center field.

It didn't splash into McCovey Cove, but No. 756 was a bomb that traveled well over 400 feet. A seemingly relieved Bonds slowly made his way around the bases while the home crowd gave him a thunderous standing ovation, embracing his bat-boy son Nikolai at the plate. Hank Aaron then followed with a gracious message in a pre-taped video that played on the jumbotron. Asked later about Aaron's video appearance, Bonds said: "He's always the home-run king."

With godfather Willie Mays and his 660 career homers standing alongside him, Bonds took the mic and gave an emotional speech, thanking his teammates, the fans in San Francisco, his children, and his father, the late Bobby Bonds. As for Bacsik? Well, he got an autograph from Bonds, a hike in ERA, and a place in baseball history. "I dreamed about it as a kid, but when I dreamed about it I was the one hitting the home run," Bacsik said.

While Aaron's reign at the top of the all-time homer list comes to an end after 12,173 days, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Eric Byrnes and the Diamondbacks agreed to a three-year contract extension worth about $30 million Tuesday. With Byrnes around through 2010 and both [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] and Justin Upton not going anywhere for a long time, there's speculation that Diamondbacks may look to trade Carlos Quentin. Quentin posted an .872 OPS in 57 games as a 23-year-old rookie last season, but has struggled with multiple injuries while batting just .208 with a .640 OPS in 71 games this year.

He remains an outstanding long-term bet, but Arizona's outfield appears set in stone for at least the next three seasons and Quentin would certainly figure to bring in plenty of value on the trade market. For now he'll try to come back from a strained right hamstring, which landed Quentin on the disabled list last week. That injury opened for the door for Upton and the 19-year-old former No. 1 overall pick smacked his first career homer Tuesday, coming up a single short of the cycle.

* Wily Mo Pena has reportedly cleared waivers, meaning that the Red Sox are free to trade him to any team. The fact that no team took a chance on being stuck with Pena's modest contract for the remainder of this season shows how much his perceived value has dropped, but the Red Sox are clearly looking to deal him anyway. Rather than give Pena a start Wednesday with Coco Crisp getting a day off, J.D. Drew will make his first appearance as a center fielder since 2005.

Pena has been the starting center fielder in 10 of the 13 games that Crisp hasn't manned the position (with Jacoby Ellsbury starting the other three), so he's clearly fallen out of the Red Sox's plans. "I want to be traded," Pena said. "I want to play. They want me to perform, but how can I perform when I have just a couple of at-bats, then they take me out, and I don't play again for days? They said I would be given a chance to play, but it hasn't happened."

* A seemingly innocuous August matchup between the Yankees and Blue Jays produced plenty of storylines Tuesday, beginning with Josh Towers plunking Alex Rodriguez in the third inning. Believing that Towers hit Rodriguez as much-delayed retaliation for the "pop-up incident" earlier this season, Yankees starter Roger Clemens waited until New York took a big lead and then plunked Alex Rios leading off the seventh inning, which got Clemens booted from the game.

Lost in all the bench-clearing and ARod-hating were some other interesting moments, including 21-year-old Joba Chamberlain making his big-league debut. Called up from Triple-A earlier in the day, Chamberlain finished the game with two scoreless innings, struggling some with his control while striking out two and flashing the high-90s fastball that the Yankees hope will make him a dominant late-inning reliever.

Bobby Abreu drove in four runs to lead the Yankees' nine-run attack and is now batting .373 with seven homers, 39 RBIs, and a 1.045 OPS in 32 games since July 1. From Opening Day to the end of June, Abreu batted just .248 with a .694 OPS while totaling four homers and 35 RBIs in 78 games. In addition to Abreu continuing his hot stretch, Tuesday's game also saw the return of Jason Giambi, who grounded out as a pinch-hitter in the ninth inning.

Giambi will have to fight with Johnny Damon (and others) for playing time at designated hitter if manager Joe Torre avoids playing him at first base. Starting in left field because Hideki Matsui's sore knee got him a day off, Damon went 2-for-2 with two walks and three runs, giving him six multi-hit games in his last seven starts. With both Abreu and Damon playing well and Melky Cabrera locked in as the center fielder, at-bats might be scarce for Giambi.

AL Quick Hits: As expected, A.J. Burnett (shoulder) is now scheduled to come off the disabled list Sunday against the Royals ? Howie Kendrick (finger) will have X-rays taken Friday to determine if he can begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week ? After going 116 straight at-bats without a homer, Raul Ibanez went deep twice Tuesday to help fight off Adam Jones ? Despite a 10-strikeout start Monday at Triple-A, the Angels aren't close to recalling Ervin Santana ? Brian Bannister lowering his ERA to 3.32 with seven strong innings Tuesday against the Twins is impressive, but Minnesota has scored a total of 72 runs in 24 second-half games ? After being winless in a dozen straight starts, Jake Westbrook turned in eight innings of one-run ball Tuesday for his second straight victory ? Joe Saunders improved to 6-0 with Tuesday's win over the Red Sox, but didn't pitch well in giving up four runs on eight hits over 5.2 innings ? Mark Teahen went 4-for-4 Tuesday to raise his batting average to .291, but hasn't homered since May and has just six RBIs since July 1.

NL Quick Hits: Carlos Beltran (oblique) won't come off the disabled list when eligible Thursday ? Manager Bud Black said Tuesday that [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] (oblique) is expected to return from the DL to start Thursday ? Black also indicated that David Wells will remain in the rotation despite a 14.04 ERA over his last four starts ? Ryan Freel is expected to miss the remainder of the season following knee surgery ? Meanwhile, Josh Hamilton (wrist) collected two hits in his first minor-league rehab game Tuesday at Triple-A ? Willy Taveras sat out Tuesday's game with a sore quadriceps, which is the same injury that cost him time last month ? Chris Iannetta's stay at Triple-A could be a short one after replacement Edwin Bellorin suffered a strained hamstring Tuesday ? With six shutout innings Tuesday, Jake Peavy has lowered his ERA to 2.21 with 19 straight scoreless frames ? Meanwhile, Anthony Reyes pitched well with seven innings of one-run ball Tuesday, but dropped to 1-11 at the hands of Peavy ? After missing his last start with a sore shoulder, Tom Gorzelanny allowed two runs over seven innings Tuesday for his 10th win.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Gallardo Rocked by Rockies
Coors Field can still do some nasty things to a pitcher's numbers. Yovani Gallardo came into Wednesday's start against the Rockies with a 2.55 ERA in 53 major-league innings, but left with a 4.20 ERA after getting rocked for 11 runs on 12 hits in 2.2 innings. Manager Ned Yost sent Gallardo back out for a third inning after the rookie coughed up seven runs in the second frame, and he proceeded to allow three more runs before mercifully being yanked.

One rough outing in Colorado is never the end of the world, especially for a 21-year-old rookie whose numbers remain outstanding even after taking a massive beating. Along with the 4.20 ERA, Gallardo still has a fantastic .239 opponent's batting average and 48-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 55.2 innings. Daily Dose's former favorite pitching prospect has a secure spot in the rotation and that ERA figures to get back under 4.00 very soon.

While Gallardo and his poor fantasy owners try to recover from the pounding they took Wednesday afternoon, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Wednesday's action included three big games from AL hitters who've recovered from awful starts to have outstanding seasons. Robinson Cano was batting .234 with one homer and a measly .588 OPS in 37 games through mid-May, but after smacking a pair of homers Wednesday he's now batting .346 with 12 homers, 52 RBIs, 52 runs, and a .991 OPS in 76 games since then. He won't compete for the batting title this season, but Cano is up to .309-13-68 in 113 games.

In Boston, Dustin Pedroia received a ton of criticism after hitting .182 in April. Pedroia went 3-for-5 with a homer, three runs, and a steal Wednesday, giving him a .354 batting average in 76 games since the calendar flipped to May. Similarly, Chone Figgins began the year in a 9-for-73 (.123) slump after coming off the disabled list in late April, but after going 2-for-4 with three RBIs Wednesday he's amazingly batting .401 in 64 games since then.

* Pedro Martinez made his first minor-league rehab start Wednesday and struggled, allowing six runs in three innings against Single-A hitters. While seeing him getting knocked around by teenagers isn't good, it's important to remember that the outing was Martinez's first game action since undergoing shoulder surgery in October. Regardless of how he pitched Wednesday, Martinez was unlikely to rejoin the Mets before making several more rehab starts anyway.

With that said, I've spent all season advising everyone who will listen to avoid counting on Martinez to make a fantasy impact in 2007. The best-case scenario is that he returns late this month or early next month and makes a handful of good starts down the stretch. More likely is that he struggles initially and doesn't regain his fantasy value until next season, if then. When even the best-case scenario doesn't have much value, it's not worth planning for.

* Dontrelle Willis homered Wednesday for the first time this season and the seventh time in his career, but he remains a mess on the mound. Willis gave up five runs in 5.1 innings against the Phillies, losing his ninth straight start while his ERA teeters on the brink of 5.00. Willis hasn't won a game since way back on May 29, going 0-9 with a 5.14 ERA and horrible 44-to-33 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 70 innings spread over 13 starts since then.

* Barry Bonds didn't waste any time homering again after breaking Hank Aaron's all-time record, launching long ball No. 757 off Tim Redding and into McCovey Cove on Wednesday. For all the talk of Bonds being a shell of his former self, he's leading the NL in OPS and ranks second to only Ryan Howard in at-bats per home run. He also leads the league in on-base percentage while ranking eighth in homers despite being walked an MLB-leading 115 times.

* One day after manager Bud Black indicated that David Wells would remain in San Diego's rotation despite a 14.04 ERA over his last four starts, the team apparently changed its mind. The Padres are now expected to let Wells go Thursday, with Wilfredo Ledezma replacing him Friday against the Reds. Ledezma may be a short-term fix, with Clay Hensley potentially stepping into the rotation beginning next week. If Wells doesn't opt to retire, he figures to latch on somewhere.

* Dioner Navarro isn't quite at the same level as Cano, Pedroia, and Figgins when it comes to turning his season around after a horrible start, but he's at least showing some signs of life. After batting just .173 with one homer and a .480 OPS in 64 games through mid-July, Navarro has hit .309 with four homers and a .949 OPS in 17 games since then. His season totals remain ugly, but a little pop from a catcher who should eventually develop solid on-base skills is nice to see.

AL Quick Hits: Eric Chavez has been advised to rest for at least two weeks after being diagnosed with a bulging disk in his back Wednesday ? David Ortiz sat out Wednesday's game with the same shoulder injury that sidelined him last month ? Alex Rodriguez avoided further problems with the Blue Jays by sitting out Wednesday's game with a sore calf ? Gary Sheffield returned to the lineup Wednesday after missing five straight games and smacked his first extra-base hit since July 21 ? Travis Hafner is day-to-day after leaving Wednesday's game with knee tightness ? Andrew Miller (hamstring) is reportedly making good progress in his recovery and could begin a minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday ? Meanwhile, if a Friday mound session goes well, Joel Zumaya (finger) could begin a rehab stint Monday ? Juan Rivera (leg) reportedly had a breakthrough in his recovery Wednesday, making it more likely that he'll return in September ? Scheduled to rejoin the rotation Sunday, Jose Contreras made a relief appearance Wednesday for the first time since 2003 and improved to 6-14 with a win.

NL Quick Hits: After smacking a pair of homers Tuesday, Todd Helton had an RBI double before leaving Wednesday's game with back spasms ?? Dropped to seventh in the batting order Wednesday, Andruw Jones went 0-for-4 with the game-ending double play ? Billy Wagner picked up his 350th career save Wednesday, extending his scoreless streak to 21 innings dating back to June 15 ? With a solo homer Wednesday off Carlos Zambrano, Craig Biggio moved past Lou Brock into 22nd place on the all-time hits list with 3,024 ? Brian Fuentes (ribs) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Friday at Triple-A ? Moved up to fifth in the batting order Wednesday, 19-year-old Justin Upton went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and a walk ? Dmitri Young exited Wednesday's game with a hamstring injury ? Even with right-hander Roy Oswalt on the mound Wednesday, Matt Murton got the start in left field over both Eric Patterson and the recently recalled Felix Pie ? Thanks to six shutout innings Wednesday, Matt Cain improved to 4-12 with a 3.77 ERA, winning for just the second time since May 13.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Bullpen Report: Week 19
Manager Dave Trembley initially went with Walker and Bradford as co-closers depending on matchups, but the interim manager has now decided to go with Baez as his closer while Ray is out. Trembley cited the usefulness of being able to play matchups before the ninth inning as the reason for switching to Baez. It's a move that makes a lot more sense than handcuffing your two best relievers to restricted roles.

Quite a few teams would be better off following the same underlying logic that Trembley has: limiting relievers to specific roles can often hurt the team more than it helps. Of course, even if people agree with the above move, transferring that logic over to the current incarnation of how a closer should be used would be met with plenty of resistance. It'd be a refreshing sight to see relievers used more in this way, but plenty of people in management roles will disagree with its value and fantasy owners would certainly despise the uncertainty. It's something that's unlikely to become a trend, no matter how vocal the minority is on the subject.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten

Valverde recorded a pair of saves with two scoreless innings against the Dodgers this past week. With 33 saves on the season, Valverde is just one behind Francisco Cordero for the major league lead. Pena has dominant overall numbers, but the Diamondbacks have to love that he's been a positive contributor consistently throughout the season. In only one of four months this season has Pena had an ERA over 2.00, and in that month it was still a solid 3.77. He's one of the most attractive setup men in keeper leagues right now.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Octavio Dotel, Rafael Soriano, Peter Moylan, Tyler Yates, Oscar Villarreal

Wickman appeared in three games this week, throwing scoreless innings in each contest while recording one save. The veteran right-hander has yielded just one run in his last 9 1/3 innings of work. Dotel has struggled some since joining the Braves, giving up five runs ? four earned ? spread over a couple of appearances against the Rockies this week. He remains next in line.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (DL), Danys Baez (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Jamie Walker, Chad Bradford, Paul Shuey,

Baez has had just one save opportunity since the announcement. He pitched a scoreless inning against the Devil Rays in that outing. Despite still mediocre overall numbers, Baez has pitched better of late and should be a solid option in all formats for the next few weeks. Ray has yet to begin throwing a baseball, but the ligament in his elbow is starting to feel better. He'll be back during the last week of August at the earliest, and it's still a risky proposition to be counting on him for anything during the rest of 2007.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Eric Gagne, Hideki Okajima, Manny Delcarmen, Mike Timlin

Another key acquisition that hasn't lived up to the hype just yet, Gagne has yielded a run in each of his two outings with the Red Sox. The right-hander also gave up a combined four runs in his last two appearances in Texas. That Gagne has been used sporadically over the last few weeks might have something to do with it, and it's not really much of a concern anyway. He'll remain next in line and a useful player in AL-only leagues.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (Shaky)

Key setup men: Bob Howry, Carlos Marmol, Angel Guzman (DL), Mike Wuertz, Kerry Wood

Dempster had a rough week, surrendering five runs over three appearances without earning a win or a save. In the first outing Dempster entered a tie game against the Mets and promptly gave up four runs on five hits. During his second outing Dempster gave up one run in a non-save situation. That the right-hander has given up plenty of baserunners (21 over his last eight innings) since returning from a strained oblique is of significant concern. Another trip to the disabled list remains possible if he doesn't look all the way back very shortly.

Should Dempster hit the disabled list or get removed from his role as closer, Howry will fill the void. Marmol has outpitched Howry to date, but the veteran did a fine job filling-in for Dempster earlier in the season. Wood, who has thrown 2 2/3 scoreless innings since returning from shoulder problems, isn't likely to figure into the mix for saves. Guzman is due back later in the month, but he can't be counted on to help in NL-only leagues let alone challenge for saves.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, Boone Logan

Jenks threw three scoreless innings this week, picking up two saves against the Tigers. Jenks also has a streak of retiring 32 straight batters currently in progress, allowing him to drop his WHIP below 1.00. Thornton is increasingly being used as a left-handed specialist, and it's helped him show better results of late. With no other relievers stepping up, he's still probably next in line.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Eddie Guardado, Jon Coutlangus, Mike Stanton, Jared Burton

Weathers appeared in three games this week, throwing scoreless innings in non-save situations in the first and third appearances. In the middle outing Weathers gave up a run in the ninth inning against the Pirates but still picked up a save as he entered a two-run game. Guardado's return from Tommy John surgery will put some pressure on Weathers to continue performing, but Guardado himself will have to prove he's back before he can be considered a serious threat. I'm betting against that happening.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Tom Mastny

Borowski survived the trading deadline and rebounded with two scoreless innings for saves this week. Barring a complete meltdown, the job will be his for the remainder of the season. Both Betancourt and Perez continue to do phenomenal jobs in setup roles, but Borowski's own performance will ultimately dictate how the group is used.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Manny Corpas (Shaky)

Key setup men: Brian Fuentes (DL), LaTroy Hawkins, Jorge Julio, Jeremy Affeldt

Corpas added two more scoreless innings this week while picking up his eighth save since moving into the closer's role. He's given up just one run since the move and has quickly established himself as Fuentes' heir apparent. 2007 first-rounder Casey Weathers could ultimately battle Corpas for the role, but since Corpas has done an excellent job thus far he's the heavy favorite for saves in 2009 and beyond.

Fuentes is starting to throw off a mound and could begin a rehab assignment within a week. In a best-case scenario he'll be back in the majors in two weeks. However, it's going to take him at least a week to prove he's worthy of taking back the closing duties. That means Corpas can comfortably be counted on to close for the rest of August. The club figures to try and get Fuentes back into the role in September regardless of how well Corpas pitches, and it's something that's worth taking into account in one-year leagues.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney, Macay McBride

Jones gave up one run in a non-save situation to start the week, then followed with a pair of scoreless innings to record two saves. Rodney has thrown two shutout innings since returning from the disabled list and is immediately back acting as a setup man. Zumaya is progressing well and had an encouraging bullpen session on Tuesday, according to manager Jim Leyland. He could be back in less than three weeks.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Secure)

Key setup men: Armando Benitez, Matt Lindstrom, Taylor Tankersley, Justin Miller

Gregg rebounded from a poor 10-day stretch to throw three scoreless innings and pick up a save this week. Benitez remains an inconsistent option as a setup man, but he's next in line should something happen to Gregg. At this point, only an injury could get the former Angel removed from ninth inning duties.

Houston Astros

Closer: Brad Lidge (Secure)

Key setup men: Chad Qualls, Dave Borkowski, Trever Miller

Lidge had made several save opportunities interesting for the Astros before finally blowing one against the Braves last Thursday. The right-hander also gave up three runs in a non-save situation, so Lidge hasn't been quite as good as his save total over the last few weeks indicates. That he bounced back with two scoreless innings to record a win and a save this week is very encouraging. It's the ability to bounce back like that which hurt the right-hander so frequently last season. The Astros are prepared to stick with Lidge even if he experiences some struggles now that Dan Wheeler is in Tampa Bay, so Lidge has plenty of job security despite a shaky start.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Joakim Soria (Secure)

Key setup men: Zack Greinke, Joel Peralta, David Riske

Soria has received just one save opportunity since Octavio Dotel was traded, and that was last week. He did, however, pitch two scoreless innings this week. Greinke remains next in line despite giving up five runs without retiring a batter against the Yankees this week. However, his rough outing gives Soria a little more in the way of job security. It's looking less likely that Greinke will be given a chance to close before the year is out.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier, Darren Oliver

K-Rod gave up three runs to blow a save and then surrendered a run in a tie game last week, but he rebounded with three scoreless appearances in save opportunities. Speier has been just fine since returning from an intestinal infection by allowing three runs in 12 1/3 innings of work.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Scott Proctor, Chin-Hui Tsao (DL), Rudy Seanez

Saito pitched just once this week, throwing a scoreless inning in a non-save situation. The shoulder stiffness that bothered him late last month doesn't appear to be a problem.

Proctor, who was acquired from the Yankees at the trading deadline, has worn down this season after throwing 102 1/3 innings spread over 83 games in 2006. Naturally, manager Grady Little called on the right-hander in four of the club's first seven games since he arrived, with Proctor throwing 5 2/3 innings during those appearances. We're nearing the point where his arm literally just falls off.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva

Cordero started the week fine with two scoreless appearances for saves. However, in his last outing of the week, Cordero combined with Wise to blow a five-run lead against the Phillies. Wise allowed a batter to reach on an error, then gave up a two-run homer to Jayson Werth. Cordero retired the first two batters he faced, but the Phillies rallied for three runs and then ended up winning the game in extra innings. Cordero's ERA is up to 3.28 as a result. Wise had an ERA under 3.00 just six appearances ago, but that mark is up to 3.55 now due to some recent struggles.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier, Juan Rincon

Nathan continued his dominance this week, throwing two more scoreless innings to bring his save total to 26 and drop his ERA back under 2.00. Rincon is a complete mess, giving up at least one run in 10-of-19 appearances while his ERA ballooned all the way to 6.23. The club will do their best to get him turned back around for next season, but Neshek and Guerrier are more likely to be used in close games right now.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Pedro Feliciano, Guillermo Mota

Wagner tossed three more scoreless innings this week, dropping his ERA to a career-best 1.28. His previous best was a 1.51 set with the Phillies in 2005.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Luis Vizcaino, Joba Chamberlain, Kyle Farnsworth

With 14 straight scoreless innings and six saves over the last month, Rivera is quickly making people forget his slow start to the season. He's a good bet to continue outproducing his overall rate stats. Vizcaino is doing a fine job in middle relief now and is likely next in line for the Yankees. However, that could change rather quickly with the arrival of Chamberlain. One of the game's top pitching prospects, Chamberlain's mid-to-high-90s heat and quality slider give him an arsenal that is well-suited for a late-inning relief role. He'll move back to starting games next season, but the right-hander is talented enough to help those in one-year AL-only leagues down the stretch.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Alan Embree (Shaky)

Key setup men: Huston Street, Santiago Casilla, Kiko Calero

Street struggled in his first few outings since returning from the disabled list, but he's looked just fine while yielding only one run in his last five innings of work. He's probably ready to move back into closing duties, but Embree has pitched so well that manager Bob Geren doesn't see a need to rush anything. That means it probably won't happen over the next week, but Street should be back working the ninth relatively soon.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Brett Myers (Secure)

Key setup men: Tom Gordon, Antonio Alfonseca, Ryan Madson (DL), Geoff Geary

Myers has converted both save opportunities he's had since returning from the disabled list. He's also given up just one run in 5 2/3 innings to go with seven strikeouts and two walks, so it appears Myers is fully recovered from the shoulder issues that bothered him earlier in the season. That Myers has outpitched both Gordon and Alfonseca since returning ensures that he'll remain the team's closer, but it's an assurance he likely didn't need with the club willing to grant plenty of slack to the converted starter.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Matt Capps (Locked In)

Key setup men: Salomon Torres, Damaso Marte, Shawn Chacon

Before Capps blew a save and took a loss after yielding three runs to the Reds this past week, the right-hander hadn't given up a run since late June and had lowered his ERA to 2.13. In that blown save, Capps surrendered a solo homer to Jeff Keppinger to tie the game in the ninth, then yielded a two-run homer to Adam Dunn in the tenth. I don't think Capps will continue to pitch quite this well, but he shouldn't have a problem being an average closer.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Heath Bell, Kevin Cameron, Cla Meredith

Hoffman started the week with two scoreless innings in save situations, then finished it up by converting a save despite giving up two runs. Hoffman was fortunate to enter the game with a three-run lead against the Giants, but it was also just the fourth outing this season in which the future Hall of Famer allowed an earned run.

Meredith has turned things around with five straight scoreless appearances, but both Bell and Cameron are more likely to have value in NL-only leagues right now.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Brad Hennessey (Secure)

Key setup men: Randy Messenger, Kevin Correia, Jonathan Sanchez

Hennessey gave up a run in each of his first two outings this week, but neither was a save situation. In his third appearance Hennessey hurled a scoreless inning and picked up a win. Messenger had a better week this week than in the prior one, but he still struggled while giving up one run and walking three batters in one of his appearances. The club said they are using the rest of 2007 to audition for closers in 2008, but right now Hennessey is firmly ahead of Messenger as well as anyone else in the pen.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, Eric O'Flaherty, George Sherrill, Mark Lowe

A week after blowing a save and looking human, Putz rebounded with two scoreless appearances for saves this week. His WHIP is still a remarkable 0.63 and his 1.34 ERA is hardly shabby either. It's going to be tough to retain ratios that strong, but Putz should remain an elite closer even if he regresses a little.

Morrow's command still is far from a positive, but it's improved of late and he's again been getting the results the Mariners are looking for. While he's still not pitching in many high-leverage situations, he's a better closer candidate than any of the club's other setup men.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Tyler Johnson, Troy Percival

Isringhausen appeared in three games this week, giving up three runs ? two earned -- in a non-save situation in one outing and then recording a save with a scoreless inning the next day. It wouldn't be surprising if Isringhausen tired somewhat down the stretch, and he's rather likely to push his ERA over 2.00 and his WHIP over 1.00 even if he continues at full strength. That the Cardinals will try hard to stay in the playoff hunt should help his save totals, but I'm expecting his productivity will decline a little over the next two months.

Franklin has struggled some lately, but he's still a fine closing candidate thanks to an impressive 1.86 ERA overall. Percival could also contend for that honor given his successful return to the majors and closing experience. However, since neither player is likely to end up moving into the ninth inning before the year is out, it's not a situation worth chasing.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Secure)

Key setup men: Dan Wheeler, Gary Glover, Brian Stokes

Reyes pitched just once this week, giving up a run in a blowout loss to the Orioles. Wheeler also pitched in just one game, giving up three runs and taking a loss against the Tigers. Neither outing should have any long-term ramifications and both players are still comfortably atop the club's depth chart.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Akinori Otsuka (DL), Joaquin Benoit (Filling-In), C.J. Wilson (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Frank Francisco, Wes LIttleton

Otsuka is said to be battling a forearm injury, but there are also concerns about his elbow and a few rumors have popped up that he may need Tommy John surgery. A return in early September now looks like a best-case scenario. It'd be best to look at other options if you were counting on Otsuka down the stretch.

With Otsuka out, Benoit and Wilson will split ninth inning duties. Wilson is ahead 3-0 in saves thus far, but expect a more even distribution going forward. Francisco was originally mentioned as a candidate to close as well, but he's pitched himself out of contention.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Scott Downs, Jason Frasor

Accardo threw three scoreless innings this week while picking up two saves in the process. Janssen also threw three scoreless innings and remains ahead of Accardo in ERA (2.26 to 2.47). Since Downs is also at 2.49, the Blue Jays have gotten surprisingly good production from a number of sources.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome (DL), Luis Ayala

Cordero gave up one run in four innings this week, recording two saves and a victory in the process. Rauch also gave up one run in four innings and remains next in line behind Cordero.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

The Melk Man Cometh
Around 30% of the season remains, so you've got plenty of time to work the wire to your advantage. Let's take a look at who might be out there this week.

American League

Danys Baez, RP, BAL ? I named Baez as the likely closer against righties last week. He's since been named the stopper for all situations. Chris Ray hasn't even resumed baseball activities, so Baez might keep the job for the rest of the season. AL: $12, Mixed: $2.

Asdrubal Cabrera, SS, CLE ? The Tribe swiped a fine prospect from the Mariners in Cabrera; they only had to give up Eduardo Perez last year. The 21-year-old is known for his defense at the middle infield positions, but also had an offensive breakout this year by hitting .310/.383/.454 in 96 Double A games. Plus, he stole 23 bags. Josh Barfield has been a huge disappointment at second base this year, and Cabrera could start stealing playing time. He's worth an AL-only pickup. AL: $5, Mixed: No.

Joba Chamberlain, RP, NYA ? Chamberlain slipped in last year's draft due to injury concerns. According to Baseball Prospectus's Kevin Goldstein, he has both plus stuff and plus command. The numbers back that up; he compiled 135 strikeouts against just 27 walks in the minors this year. As a setup man, Chamberlain has some AL-only value. He could really explode in '08 as he returns to starting. AL: $6, Mixed: No.

Melky Cabrera, OF, NYA ? Cabrera had a terrible 75 at-bats in April. That's masked how good he's been since: .328/.380/.507 with 7 HR, 42 RBI, 46 runs, and 8 steals in 296 at-bats. Imagine the buzz on him if he'd started the season like that. Cabrera's work in the last three months is on par the expectations for the man he replaced, Johnny Damon. The Yankees almost have to let him continue on as the regular center fielder through this season and beyond. AL: $24, Mixed: $12.

Rocco Baldelli, OF, TBA ? According to manager Joe Maddon, Rocco Baldelli may be able to resume game action within 10-14 days. He could be used at the DH spot at that time, again sending Jonny Gomes to the bench. Baldelli's ridiculous injury woes this year have left him on most waiver wires despite his draft day status as a ninth-round fantasy pick. Baldelli has changed the way he runs, an approach that helped Jose Reyes overcome hamstring problems. Keep him on your radar as a possible late August boost. AL: $7, Mixed: $1.

A.J. Burnett, SP, TOR ? Oft-injured starter A.J. Burnett will be activated to face the Royals on Sunday. I thought Phil Hughes was getting a soft landing with KC, but that didn't turn out so well. If you're looking for a short-term boost in strikeouts, Burnett is a great pickup. And we know he can be brilliant when he's right, so there's upside in it. AL: $10, Mixed: $1.

National League

Byung-Hyun Kim, SP, ARI - Kim's D'Back debut against the Pirates did not go well. If you're willing to absolutely kill your ratios in hopes of some strikeouts, he's worth a pickup. I don't know why you'd be in such a position though. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Felix Pie, OF, CHN ? The Cubs have done a nice job jerking around their top prospect this year; he's finally up again after being passed over for Eric Patterson. Despite the call-up, the Cubs apparently have no intention of playing Pie regularly. He's a fine keeper but can only help in NL-only beyond that. NL: $3, Mixed: No.

Eric Patterson, 2B/OF, CHN ? E-Patt, Corey's little brother, was to fill the gap in Alfonso Soriano's absence. It looks like the Cubs have him up as a bench guy and spot starter though. Like Pie, his fantasy value will be limited unless he earns regular playing time. Pie and Patterson are both adept at stealing bases, and that's their most likely fantasy contribution. NL: $3, Mixed: No.

Josh Hamilton, OF, CIN ? Hamilton, the Story of the Year, might return this weekend. He hasn't played in the bigs since July 7th due to a wrist sprain. The Reds have been taking their time with him, so I imagine he'll be near full strength when he returns. Pick him up for a possible power boost, if he's out there. NL: $20, Mixed: $10.

Eddie Guardado, RP, CIN ? Everyday Eddie earned a blown save on Thursday, his first big league appearance in about a year. It wasn't actually a ninth inning save situation though; Guardado is pretty far removed from that. David Weathers has been fine recently so there's no reason to pick up Guardado. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Ryan Spilborghs, OF, COL ? Spilborghs has an absurd 10 home runs in just 146 at-bats. Part of the reason is superhuman performance against southpaws. He's faced lefties about a third of the time. You can count on him starting when the Rockies face a lefty, but Clint Hurdle has also works him in against righties to give his main outfielders days off. Spilborghs might merit a look in deep mixed leagues, even if he's over his head right now. NL: $12, Mixed: $1.

Alejandro De Aza, OF, FLA ? If you recall, De Aza surprisingly won the starting center fielder job out of camp with the Marlins this year. Unfortunately a hairline fracture in his ankle knocked him out after just 10 games. He returned last night and picked up where he left off with a 2 for 4 night. I have a feeling that speed will ultimately be his only fantasy contribution. NL: $10, Mixed: No.

Pat Misch, SP, SFN ? Misch, a 26-year-old southpaw, has replaced Matt Morris in the Giants' rotation. His first start was solid but he stumbled in his second. He's your typical command lefty, and he pitched well as a reliever in Triple A. But I think he'll be hit pretty hard in the bigs. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Anthony Reyes, SP, STL ? In three starts since his most recent call-up, Reyes has a nice 3.00 ERA. However he did face San Diego and Pittsburgh, two of the weaker offenses in the league. Reyes has nothing left to prove at Triple A and his big league peripheral stats look decent. But I need to see more big league success before declaring that he's turned the corner. I would proceed with caution. NL: $7, Mixed: No.

Rick Ankiel, OF, STL ? Improbably, Ankiel slugged .568 with 32 home runs in his first attempt at Triple A. When he developed an inability to throw strikes and switched to the outfield years ago, he seemed to have no chance at reaching the Majors. But here we are; he homered last night in his first Major League game as an outfielder. Even if he won't draw many walks, the Cards can use the power. The Cardinals have a ton of outfielders right now, so we'll have to see how things shake out before guessing at Ankiel's playing time. NL: $9, Mixed: No.

Shawn Hill, SP, WAS ? Remember Shawn Hill? The Nationals' groundballer made eight starts to begin the season with a sparkling 2.70 ERA. Keep in mind that a lot of guys had nice ERAs at that point ? Jason Marquis, Tim Wakefield, Ian Snell, Braden Looper. Indeed, Hill's 37 hits allowed in 50 innings was a fluke. He'll be back from elbow tendonitis next week and remains worthy of a pickup in deep mixed leagues. Sure, he won't match his hot start, but his groundball tendencies should keep his numbers respectable. NL: $14, Mixed: $2.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

The Rick Ankiel Story
Once among the most promising young pitchers in all of baseball, Rick Ankiel's sudden inability to throw the ball over the plate derailed what had a chance to be a Hall of Fame-caliber career on the mound. Rather than retire in his early 20s, Ankiel instead set out to become a left-handed hitting outfielder. His comeback was completed Thursday when the Cardinals called him up from Triple-A after Ankiel ranked second among all minor-league hitters with 32 homers in 102 games.

Ankiel making it back to the majors as a hitter is a phenomenal story all by itself, but he added a Hollywood-like twist to things Thursday night. Starting in right field and making his first appearance in the majors since throwing four innings on October 1, 2004, Ankiel belted a three-run homer off big-league ERA leader [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL], helping to propel the Cardinals to a 5-0 victory. If it was a movie, the credits would have started rolling as he touched home plate.

Instead, he has a chance to make an impact with the Cardinals after showing eye-opening power at Triple-A, although he's far from an outstanding prospect. For one thing, he's 28 years old and while that doesn't carry the same stigma it would under normal circumstances, it's important to note when trying to project his development. Beyond that, hitting .267 with a .314 on-base percentage and 90-to-25 strikeout-to-walk ratio indicates that he may struggle as an everyday player.

While Ankiel keeps adding pages to a script that's already more than movie-ready, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Tony Graffanino headed to the disabled list Thursday with a torn ACL suffered while making a leaping catch earlier this week. With Graffanino out for the remainder of the season, the Brewers recalled Rickie Weeks from Triple-A about a week after demoting him in the first place. Weeks went 10-for-22 (.455) with a 1.253 OPS in six games at Nashville, but the Brewers were no doubt planning to keep him there for a little while longer given his extended pre-demotion slump.

Weeks returned from a DL stint of his own back in mid-June and showed that his wrist was far from healthy, going 14-for-90 (.156) with zero homers in 31 games before the Brewers pulled the plug by handing Graffanino the second-base job. It seems unlikely that a half-dozen games in the minors cured whatever has been ailing Weeks, but his potential upside is so big that even the slight chance of him being healthy and productive down the stretch provides a huge value boost.

* Showing that they can make just about any pitcher look like a Cy Young candidate these days, the Twins were shut down Thursday afternoon by Kyle Davies, who came into the game with a 6.26 ERA in 240 career innings. To make matters worse, Twins starter Matt Garza tossed 6.2 strong innings of his own and was once again the tough-luck loser in a 1-0 game, somehow falling to 1-3 despite a sparkling 1.70 ERA.

Asked after the game about his lack of run support, Garza said all the right things about wanting to win and not caring about "padding stats." He then issued an all-too-true quote: "I shouldn't have given up that run or we'd still be playing." Minnesota has been shut out 11 times in 114 games and ranks dead last among all MLB teams with 3.1 runs per game since the All-Star break, so Garza's probably right. As Twins blogger Stick and Ball Guy put it Friday morning, "Yeah, it'd be 0-0 in about the 50th inning."

* Scott Kazmir continued his strong second-half Thursday, shutting out the Tigers for six innings to earn his ninth victory. Kazmir likely would have remained in the game for another inning or two, but the Devil Rays broke things open in the bottom of the sixth frame and allowed the bullpen to finish things off. A modest 5-6 with a 4.41 ERA in the first half, Kazmir is now 4-1 with a 1.16 ERA and 45-to-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio in six starts since the All-Star break.

Carl Crawford helped provide much of the run support for Kazmir, going 3-for-5 with a homer, two doubles, a walk, three runs, and a stolen base. It was an all-around monster game for Crawford, who's now batting .433 with 14 steals in 24 second-half games. Thursday's homer was just his 10th of the season, making it unlikely that he'll match last year's total of 18, but Crawford is on pace to set new career-highs in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

* While Kazmir steps things up in the second half, his opponent Thursday afternoon, Jeremy Bonderman, continues his career-long pattern of following up strong first halves with post-break fades. After going 9-1 with a 3.48 ERA in the first half, Bonderman has gone 1-4 with an 8.50 ERA since the All-Star break, losing four straight starts while allowing at least five runs in each of them. For his career, Bonderman's ERA is 26 percent worse in the second half.

* Matched up against each other Thursday, Tim Hudson and John Maine are going in different directions. Hudson went through a rough seven-start stretch from mid-May to mid-June during which he went 1-4 with a 6.23 ERA, but he's gone 7-0 with a 2.26 ERA in nine starts since then. Meanwhile, after losing to Hudson on Thursday, Maine is now 2-3 with a 6.46 ERA since the All-Star break after going 10-4 with a 2.71 ERA in the first half.

Hudson nearly got stuck with a no-decision when Tyler Yates turned a four-run lead into a one-run lead in the ninth inning. With the Mets suddenly down a run following David Wright's one-out homer, manager Bobby Cox surprisingly turned to Oscar Villarreal for the final two outs. Carlos Delgado smacked what would have been a game-tying solo homer to left field, but Willie Harris made a spectacular leaping catch to pull back the homer, Endy Chavez-style, preserving the win.

It was Villarreal's first career save in 214 appearances spread over five seasons, and we learned why shortly after the game when it was announced that closer Bob Wickman had traveled back to Atlanta to undergo an MRI on his sore forearm. If Wickman misses extended action, don't count on Villarreal picking up more saves, because the Braves are far more likely to turn to the recently acquired Octavio Dotel or Rafael Soriano.

* Manager John McLaren said Wednesday that he didn't feel it necessary to get top prospect Adam Jones into the Mariners' lineup regularly, but Jones did his best to change those plans Thursday. Starting for just the third time in six games since being promoted from Triple-A, Jones went 3-for-4 with a walk and four runs scored in the Mariners' win over the Orioles. He's now 5-for-12 (.417) with seven runs since the call-up, making the boys at U.S.S. Mariner very happy.

* NOTE/PLUG: If you're somewhere close to Minnesota this weekend, consider tuning into KFAN radio to hear me co-host "Twins Weekly" from 5:30 to 6:30 on Sunday night.

AL Quick Hits: After exiting Wednesday's game and sitting out Thursday, Travis Hafner is scheduled for an MRI on his sore left knee Friday ? One of Roger Clemens' upcoming starts will be pushed back 24 hours after he was handed a five-game suspension Thursday for intentionally throwing at Alex Rios earlier this week ? Mike Sweeney (knee) beginning a minor-league rehab assignment this weekend has been put on hold following a setback in his recovery ? With Marcus Thames' (hamstring) return from the disabled list Thursday, expect Craig Monroe's playing time to completely dry up ? Horacio Ramirez won Thursday despite serving up a grand slam to Miguel Tejada on the way to allowing seven runs five innings, making him the anti-Garza with a 7-3 record despite a 7.12 ERA ? Inexplicably released Thursday by the Indians, expect Fernando Cabrera to develop into a dominant late-inning reliever somewhere else ? Two days after Wily Mo Pena said "I want to be traded," his agent tried to do some damage control Thursday by insisting that Pena's "preference would be to stay in Boston and help the team win a World Series this year."

NL Quick Hits: Manager Lou Piniella said Thursday that Aramis Ramirez (wrist) will likely avoid the disabled list and could return at some point early next week ? His batting average remains ugly, but Jason Bay homered Thursday for the fifth time in 15 games ? Colorado placed Jason Hirsh on the shelf Thursday after he amazingly pitched five innings with a broken leg earlier this week, and there's apparently some chance of him returning yet this season ? As expected, the Padres cut ties with David Wells, designating the 44-year-old for assignment Thursday after he posted a 14.04 ERA in his last four starts ? Making just his second start since being called up from Triple-A on July 31, Delwyn Young went 4-for-4 before leaving Thursday's game with cramping in his calves ? Taking the mound Thursday afternoon for the first time since last August, Eddie Guardado coughed up a lead to cost Phil Dumatrait a chance at his first big-league victory ? Thursday marked the first trade in 22 years between two bitter rivals, with the Giants sending veteran bench bat Mark Sweeney to the Dodgers for a PTBNL.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Impact of deadline deals felt
After a wacky week on the waiver wire, fantasy owners are finally starting to see the full impact of a flurry of deadline deals.

Mark Teixeira sure seems to have adjusted well to his new, old surroundings, as the Georgia Tech alum hit home runs in each of his first three games as an Atlanta Brave. His presence in the lineup also provides a boost to the fantasy values of new teammates Chipper Jones, Andruw Jones and Brian McCann.

In fact, McCann could be the biggest beneficiary of the deal since he won't have to worry about losing playing time to Jarrod Saltalamacchia. Just hearing about the trade might have spurred McCann ? he homered and drove in four runs the day the deal was announced. To this point, McCann's season has to be considered a disappointment after he hit .333 with 24 homers and 93 RBI a year ago. Expect him to produce a little closer to that pace for the balance of the season.

McCann is a good example of the ripple effect many of the recent trades have caused. It's easy to see how the traded players are performing and how their roles may have changed, but smart fantasy owners can also benefit from the trades' impact on the surrounding players.

Value rising

Jon Lester, Red Sox. With Curt Schilling returning from the disabled list, Boston was going to have to make a choice between Kason Gabbard and Lester as its fifth starter. Both had been impressive in limited action ? and when the trade deadline arrived, the Sox were able to include Gabbard in a package to acquire Eric Gagne.

Not only did that clear the way for Lester to remain in the rotation rather than return to the minors, it also provided the Boston bullpen with yet another reliable arm to help protect leads for Lester and the other starters.

Alexi Casilla, Twins. While teammates may question why a club that's still in the playoff race would deal its starting second baseman, Luis Castillo's exit has opened up a roster spot for the speedy Casilla. He will likely split time with Nick Punto and Luis Rodriguez, but will see more playing time should the Twins fall out of contention. Casilla stole 24 bases in the minors this season and could be a nice source of cheap steals down the stretch.

Others: Joakim Soria, Royals; C.J. Wilson and Joaquin Benoit, Rangers; Nomar Garciaparra, Dodgers; Brad Lidge, Astros.

Value falling

Kevin Kouzmanoff, Padres. The one-time rookie of the year candidate has struggled all season and is now facing the prospect of losing playing time to newly acquired Morgan Ensberg. It didn't help matters when Ensberg hit a pair of homers ? at Petco Park no less ? in his first game with the Padres.

Others: Ruben Gotay, Mets; Franklin Gutierrez, Indians; Mike Lamb and Mark Loretta, Astros; Gerald Laird, Rangers.

Call-ups

Usually, fantasy owners have to wait until the rosters expand in September to get a look at some of the top prospects for next season. However, a pair of highly touted young outfielders were called up last week.

Justin Upton, 19, was the top overall pick in the 2005 draft and had been abusing pitchers at the Class A and Class AA level (.319 average, 18 homers, 70 RBI, 19 steals). His call-up was an unusual move considering Upton hasn't faced Class AAA pitchers and is being thrust into the middle of a pennant race.

Still, he has tremendous physical talent, and the big stage may not bother him too much since he did hit a home run in the Futures Game. Expect a decent average, but not much in the way of counting stats as the Diamondbacks try to get him into a couple of games per week initially. Long-term, he's a definite keeper.

Meanwhile in Seattle, there was almost a mini-revolt when the Mariners recalled Adam Jones. Several veterans didn't feel there was any need to upset team chemistry during their playoff push. More likely, they could see their playing time being threatened.

Like Upton, Jones has the power and speed to be a fantasy force ? and he just turned 22. Jones will give the slumping Raul Ibanez a few extra days off in left field or bump Ibanez to DH in place of the lead-footed Jose Vidro.

Jones didn't fare too well in 32 games with the Mariners a year ago (.216 average, one HR and an 11:1 K/BB ratio in 74 at-bats), but that experience should help him make the adjustment more successfully this season.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Week That Was
Players returning from injuries, Ankiel returns as a slugger, and a possible ticket out of town for Igawa in this week's Week That Was.

Kei Igawa: According to reports, the Padres and the Yanks are discussing a deal that would send the "Kei who opens no locks" 3,000 miles away to San Diego. The Yankee fan in me screams "woo hoo!!!" and "not far enough." The cool and detached baseball fan in me says that this would be a good move for both sides as the big apple is too tough for Igawa and San Diego could afford to take a chance given that they will not likely have to pay a portion of the $26 Million fee the Yankees paid just for the right to pay Igawa a salary (hard to believe isn't it?). Finally, the roto/fantasy baseball analyst in me says that a pitcher without an out pitch is still a pitcher without an out pitch, so only those with room on reserve and who are out of it for this year should consider rostering Igawa. Really all you will be doing is rostering a long shot wing and a prayer.

Ted Lilly: Ted Lilly continued his impressive performance in a Cubs uniform Thursday, giving up just 2 runs in 6 innings. Thus far this year, Lilly has posted a 3.51 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 3:1 K/BB ratio. In short ? very strong numbers. Lilly is a solid play for the rest of the year. Moreover, he provides yet another example of a LHP who comes over to the NL and achieves higher success. Next year as you scour the pitchers looking for value, pay close attention to lefties landing in the NL. Not all will exceed expectations (see Barry Zito), but many will.

Joel Pineiro: Joel Pineiro looked sharp, shutting out the Pods Thursday. Hmmm. Pineiro is an interesting buying opportunity. Plus side ? he had significant success as an AL starter in 2002 (3.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 194 IP) and 2003 (3.78 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 211 IP). Down side ? he has been awful since then. Plus side ? Joel is only 28 years old. Down side ? one game does not a season make. Plus side ? Dave Duncan and Tony LaRussa have a knack for finding pitching diamonds in the rough. Final analysis ? if you are in your fantasy pennant race, it is too early to count on Pineiro. However, if you have room on reserve or are playing for next year, Pineiro makes a nice speculative pickup.

Rick Ankiel: In a very nice, made-for-TV movie story, former Cardinal pitcher and now Cardinal outfielder Rick Ankiel returned to the bigs with a bang, jacking a 3-run homer in the Cardinals win on Thursday. Analysis ? good story, bad roto bet. Yes, Ankiel hit 30+ HR in the minors, but he also hit under .270 in the minors. That should translate to a lot of strikeouts, a dreadful .230 range majors batting average and a player who will have substantial trouble once big league pitchers get some tape on him and see the holes in his swing. Advice ? root for Ankiel as his is a great story of perseverance, but do not roster him unless you have a huge lead or deficit in batting average and are desperate for a few homers.

Rickie Weeks: Thanks to the season-ending knee injury suffered by Tony Graffanino (he of the great baseball name), the Brewers recalled Rickie Weeks from the minors. On the plus side is that Weeks paid immediate dividends, walking 4 times. Also on the plus side is that he was raking at AAA (10 hits in 22 AB). Given his lack of consistent major league success and the pressure of a pennant race, Weeks is a long shot to post helpful roto stats through the dog days of August. However, if someone in your league cut him and you can get him cheap and store him away for next year, that is worth doing.

Carlos Beltran: Carlos Beltran paid immediate dividends upon his return from the DL, belting a 3 run dinger. Reports are that Beltran is going to gut it out despite not being 100%. When on the field this year, Beltran is doing what one would expect ? hitting for power and stealing bases while hitting for an average (.263) that disappoints owners who paid 30+ for the Mets star. Analysis ? if you own Beltran, you must play him. However, given the injury and low average, if you can move him for an equally talented, but healthy player, do it. (I know, easier said than done, but it is worth a try).

Rob Bowen: Rob Bowen hit two homers for the A's Wednesday, helping them beat the Rangers 6-3. Before you get too excited, remember that before Wednesday, Bowen had managed only 6 homers in 254 career big league at-bats. If you own him, move him. His value will never be higher than it is right now.

Jason Kendall: Jason Kendall, who was involved with Rob Bowen in the Cubs/A's/Pods catching merry-go-round, smacked another three hits Friday (he had 3 in his previous game). Surprisingly, Kendall is hitting .317 in a Cubs uniform after hitting under .230 for the A's most of this year. Like with Bowen, this is a major sell high opportunity. Kendall managed just 1 HR in the two previous seasons COMBINED. Add that to his AL sub .230 average and your chances for roto success are well, tiny. SELL.

Phil Hughes: Phil Hughes looked strong Friday night, pitching 6 quality innings in the Yankees win over Cleveland. So far, Hughes has two poor starts and two extremely good starts. However, watching the kid confidently cruise through 6 innings in a game with huge playoff implications, you could just see he was ready for the Show. So, what to do? Call the Hughes owner in your league, explain how young pitchers are unpredictable and harp on the fact that Hughes has two of four bad outings. Then, pounce. Hughes is the real deal and will be a major producer (in real and fantasy baseball) for a long time to come.

Barry Bonds: Barry Bonds remains hot. Friday night, the new home run king belted his 758th. A few points here: First, on the roto front ? Bonds is red hot and should remain so for a while with the pressure of the chase removed. Second, on the real world front, I for one found it exciting and really awe-inspiring to watch 756 sail high into the night and land Bonds in baseball immortality. Let's just appreciate the achievement, revel in the excitement of the moment and relax. Accusations are just accusations. They are not the stuff of proof or reality. If ever such proof is produced, we can all decide for ourselves who is the "real" home run king. However, if you let the rumors and accusations ruin the majesty of the moment, well, that really is too bad.

Last but not least, wisdom from the bottom dweller himself in this week's Schultz Says: "While the most entertaining story of the week has to involve the meaningless suspensions of Roger Clemens and Joe Torre, who, for a night, can sleep in the owner's box instead of the dugout during the game, the biggest story is Barry Bonds finally surpassing Hank Aaron's 755 home runs. Most people have awaiting this day with a sense of trepidation as they have already tried, convicted and sentenced Bonds for chemical wrongdoing on the basis of numerous press reports and headlines as well as Game Of Shadows. For all of MLB's posturing, Bonds eclipsing Aaron is their chicken coming home to roost. The moment could have played out differently though.

Breaking Aaron's record was an inevitability. All that was left was to watch the scenario play out and the Washington Nationals could have easily robbed Bonds of his moment. In his first at-bat on Tuesday, Bonds lined a double to right. Imagine for a second that instead of fielding the ball, Austin Kearns just stood there and let the ball rattle around the outfield or grabbed his hamstring and threw himself on the ground and allowed Bonds to round the bases for an inside-the-park home run. It would have robbed Bonds of his glory moment: no photo-op of watching the ball sail out of the park, no purposeful tossing of the bat, no leisurely stroll around the bases. It also would have deprived ESPN and every other outlet of a meaningful video byte. Paparazzi chase Paris Hilton's second cousin's dog groomer with more speed and coordination than a running Barry Bonds. It would have easily taken Bonds 30 to 40 seconds to round the bases as he labored on his bad knees. The highlight would have to be sped up and accompanied by that wacky music that accompanies rain-delay baseball blooper reels. He would have been so winded, he would have had trouble making any type of speech afterwards. If Frank Robinson was still coaching the Nationals, he would have considered this option.

All the sanctimonious doom and gloom of a segment of fans bemoaning Bonds passing Aaron as some sort of harbinger for the decline of civilization simply glorifies a number and misses the larger picture. In 20 years, will there even be a discussion as to who was the better home run hitter? Bonds vs. Aaron? Winner: Aaron. Bonds vs. Ruth? Winner: Ruth. Aaron vs. Ruth? Discuss amongst yourselves. Bonds may have the bigger home run total, but, regardless of what chemicals may or may not have been involved with his feat, he didn't gain the respect of the fans outside of San Francisco.

I'm guessing this isn't the type of fantasy baseball you came looking for though. Fortunately, Colton covered most of that for you and may have even beaten a dead Igawa by recycling some old vaudeville jokes for you.

One quick note, temper your expectations with Rick Ankiel. He's an amazing story but he's also one more traumatic big league experience away from being shackled, straight-jacketed and trundled on a cargo dolly like Hannibal Lecter. The Cardinals are going to treat him like a delicate Southern Belle which will likely equate to limited playing time."

Response: Wow that was inventive, creative, and frankly, a bit disturbed. But, I have to admit, it made interesting reading. Of course, one has to remember that Schultzie is still suffering from the fact that his Indians lost to my Yankees and would not make the playoffs if the season ended right now.

Have a great weekend and just enjoy the game.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

When It Counts the Most
The MLB season is almost three-quarters through and there are still numerous battles still being fought. Each and every division in baseball is separated by a mere five games or less and there are literally nine teams that are within three games of the Wildcard. Anything can still happen?

By now, the majority of fantasy leagues' standings have already separated like the red sea. Several teams are virtually eliminated or are right on the cusp, a few have essentially already clinched and a bunch are still fighting for their postseason lives. It's safe to say we've officially reached crunch-time in the fantasy baseball season.

Week 20 features two starts from Cy Young winners Johan Santana, Roy Halladay, John Smoltz and Greg Maddux, while Ryan Howard, Carlos Lee, Magglio Ordonez and Matt Holliday are about to join ARod with 100 RBI. The Week Ahead lets you know the Orioles, Indians and Astros don't see any southpaws, fills you in on the latest with the disabled list and showcases which pitchers are scheduled to get two trips to the pitching mound this week.

Two-start pitchers:
Great options:
Johan Santana MIN @ SEA Felix Hernandez, vs. TEX Kevin Millwood
C.C. Sabathia CLE vs DET Jeremy Bonderman, @ TB James Shields
Roy Oswalt HOU @ LA Chad Billingsley, @ SD Jake Peavy
Roy Halladay TOR vs. LAA Joe Saunders, vs. BAL Jeremy Guthrie
Carlos Zambrano CHC vs. CIN Aaron Harang, vs. STL Kip Wells
Felix Hernandez SEA vs. MIN Johan Santana, vs. CHW Jon Garland
Chien-Ming Wang NYY vs. BAL Daniel Cabrera, vs. DET Jeremy Bonderman
John Smoltz ATL vs. SF Noah Lowry, vs. ARI Byung-Hyun Kim
Jeremy Bonderman DET @ CLE C.C. Sabathia, @ NYY Chien-Ming Wang
Aaron Harang CIN @ CHC Carlos Zambrano, @ MIL Chris Capuano
Jeff Francis COL @ SD Greg Maddux, @ LA Brett Tomko
Chad Billingsley LA vs. HOU Roy Oswalt, vs. COL TBA

More strong options:
Orlando Hernandez NYM @ PIT Ian Snell, @ WAS Tim Redding
Matt Cain SF @ PIT Paul Maholm, @ FLA Scott Olsen
Jeremy Guthrie BAL @ NYY TBA @ TOR Roy Halladay
Dontrelle Willis FLA vs. ARI Byung-Hyun Kim, vs. SF Russ Ortiz
James Shields TB @ BOS Tim Wakefield, vs. CLE Jake Westbrook
Chuck James ATL vs. SF Barry Zito, vs. ARI Brandon Webb
Tim Wakefield BOS vs. TB James Shields, vs. LAA Joe Saunders
Greg Maddux SD vs. COL Jeff Francis, vs. HOU Matt Albers
Gil Meche KC @ TEX Brandon McCarthy, @ TEX John Rheinecker
Ian Snell PIT vs. NYM Orlando Hernandez, vs. PHI Jamie Moyer
Jon Garland CHW @ OAK Lenny DiNardo, @ SEA Felix Hernandez
Chris Capuano MIL vs. STL Kip Wells, vs. CIN Aaron Harang
Jon Lester BOS vs. TB Scott Kazmir, vs. LAA Dustin Moseley
Chad Gaudin OAK @ DET Chad Durbin, vs. KC Odalis Perez
Joe Saunders LAA @ TOR Roy Halladay, @ BOS Tim Wakefield
Matt Morris PIT vs. NYM John Maine, vs. PHI Kyle Lohse

Other two-starters:
Kyle Lohse PHI @ WAS Tim Redding, @ PIT Matt Morris
Lenny DiNardo OAK vs. CHW Jon Garland, vs. KC Kyle Davies
Paul Maholm PIT vs. SF Matt Cain, vs. PHI Adam Eaton
Brandon McCarthy TEX vs. KC Gil Meche, @ MIN Carlos Silva
Kip Wells STL @ MIL Chris Capuano, @ CHC Carlos Zambrano
Jesse Litsch TOR @ KC Odalis Perez, vs. BAL Brian Burres
Chad Durbin DET vs. OAK Chad Gaudin, @ NYY TBA
Tim Redding WAS vs. PHI Kyle Lohse, vs. NYM Orlando Hernandez
Byung-Hyun Kim ARI @ FLA Dontrelle Willis, @ ATL John Smoltz
Dustin Moseley LAA @ TOR Shaun Marcum, @ BOS Jon Lester
Woody Williams HOU @ SD Justin Germano, @ SD Jake Peavy
Brett Tomko LA vs. HOU Matt Albers, vs. COL Jeff Francis
Kyle Davies KC @ TEX Kevin Millwood, @ OAK Lenny DiNardo
Patrick Misch SF @ ATL John Smoltz, @ FLA Rick VandenHurk
John Rheinecker TEX vs. KC Gil Meche, @ MIN Boof Bonser
Odalis Perez KC vs. TOR Jesse Litsch, @ OAK Chad Gaudin

Team-by-team Game Totals:
Seven-game schedule: DET, HOU, KC, LA, NYY, OAK, PIT, SF, TOR
Six-game schedule: ARI, ATL, BAL, BOS, CHC, CHW, CIN, COL, FLA, LAA, MIL, MIN, NYM, PHI, SD, SEA, STL, TB, TEX, WAS
Five-game schedule: CLE

Rain threatened games:
Monday, August 13: TB @ BOS (40%), BAL @ NYY (40%)
Tuesday, August 14: ARI @ FLA (60%)
Wednesday, August 15: ARI @ FLA (40%)
Thursday, August 16: ARI @ FLA (40%)
Saturday, August 18: ARI @ ATL (40%), LAA @ BOS (60%), SF @ FLA (50%)
Sunday, August 19: STL @ CHC (60%), PHI @ PIT (60%)

Stadium Factor:
ESPN - MLB Park Factors - Major League Baseball
Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road.
A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Top Hitter's Park Schedules:
1. Fenway Park (Red Sox) 1.204 runs ? 3 vs TB, 3 vs LAA
3. Yankee Stadium (Yankees) 1.169 runs ? 3 vs BAL, 4 vs DET
5. Jacobs Field (Indians) 1.118 runs ? 2 vs DET
6. Wrigley Field (Cubs) 1.106 runs ? 3 vs CIN, 3 vs STL
10. Dolphin Stadium (Marlins) 1.061 runs ? 3 vs ARI, 3 vs SF

No Games: 2. Coors Field (Rockies) 1.203 runs, 4. Chase Field (Diamondbacks) 1.122 runs, 7T. Kauffman Field (Royals) 1.105 runs, 7T. Angel Stadium (Angels) 1.105 runs, 9. Great American Ballpark (Reds) 1.062 runs

Top Pitcher's Park Schedules:
1. Tropicana Field (Devil Rays) 0.827 runs - 3 vs CLE
2. Petco Park (Padres) 0.845 runs ? 3 vs COL, 3 vs HOU
3. McAfee Stadium (Athletics) 0.846 runs ? 3 vs CHW, 3 vs KC
4. Metrodome (Twins) 0.869 runs ? 3 vs TEX
7T. Turner Field (Braves 0.915 runs ? 3 vs SF, 3 vs ARI

No Games: 5. Busch Stadium (Cardinals) 0.877 runs, 6. Minute Maid Park (Astros) 0.892 runs, 7T. Shea Stadium (Mets) 0.915 runs

Caught Stealing %:
Easiest to steal against (total SBs)
1. Jason Kendall, CHC 84-for-99 ? 3 vs CIN, 3 vs STL
2. Jorge Posada, NYY 72-for-93 ? 3 vs BAL, 4 vs DET
3. Russell Martin, LA 65-for-96 ? 4 vs HOU, 3 vs COL
4. Michael Barrett, SD 62-for-75 ? 3 vs COL, 3 vs HOU
5. Victor Martinez, CLE 52-for-75 ? 2 vs DET, 3 @ TB

Facing these catchers is bad news for Brandon Phillips (22-for-29 SB), Brian Roberts (34-for-40 SB), Corey Patterson (32-for-39 SB), Gary Sheffield (18-for-22 SB), Curtis Granderson (14-for-15 SB), Nick Markakis (14-for-17 SB), Willy Taveras (29-for-38 SB), Kaz Matsui (20-for-22 SB), Carl Crawford (37-for-45 SB)

Toughest to steal against (total SBs)
1. David Ross, CIN 27-for-48 ? 3 @ CHC, 3 @ MIL
2. Kenji Johjima, SEA 32-for-52 ? 3 vs MIN, 3 vs CHW
3. Brad Ausmus, HOU 34-for-47 ? 4 @ LA, 3 @ SD
4. Brian Schneider, WAS 37-for-56 ? 3 vs PHI, 3 vs NYM
5. Miguel Olivo, FLA 39-for-57 ? 3 vs ARI, 3 vs SF

Facing these catchers is good news for Ryan Theriot (20-for-24 SB), Alfonso Soriano (18-for-23 SB), Corey Hart (18-for-22 SB), Jason Bartlett (20-for-21 SB), Jerry Owens (16-for-19 SB), Juan Pierre (44-for-53 SB), Russell Martin (18-for-22 SB), Jose Reyes (54-for-69 SB), Shane Victorino (32-for-35 SB), David Wright (25-for-27 SB), Jimmy Rollins (21-for-26 SB), Carlos Beltran (15-for-17 SB), Dave Roberts (22-for-26 SB), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] (18-for-20 SB), Eric Byrnes (30-for-36 SB)

American League:
Baltimore: (6 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Boston: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago White Sox: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Cleveland: (5 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Detroit: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Kansas City: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Angels: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers
Minnesota: (2 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
New York Yankees: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Oakland: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Seattle: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Tampa Bay: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Texas: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Toronto: (4 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Tigers, Royals, Blue Jays and Twins play at least three southpaws this week, while the Orioles and Indians do not play against any. That's good news for Magglio Ordonez (.434 vs LHPs), Placido Polanco (.328 vs LHPs), Billy Butler (.320 vs LHPs), Reed Johnson (.371 vs LHPs), Alex Rios (.346 vs LHPs), Vernon Wells (.340 vs LHPs), John McDonald (.370 vs LHPs), Frank Thomas (.325 vs LHPs), Torii Hunter (.333 vs LHPs), Michael Cuddyer (.321 vs LHPs), Mike Redmond (.333 vs LHPs), Brian Roberts (.342 vs RHPs)

And bad news for Curtis Granderson (.176 vs LHPs), Ryan Raburn (.200 vs LHPs), Ryan Shealy (.125 vs LHPs), Alex Gordon (.211 vs LHPs), Jason LaRue (.216 vs LHPs), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3264"]Jason Phillips[/URL] (.191 vs LHPs), Nick Punto (.179 vs LHPs), Justin Morneau (.208 vs LHPs)

National League:
Arizona: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Atlanta: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Chicago Cubs: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
Cincinnati: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Colorado: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Florida: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Houston: (7 vs. Right-handers, 0 vs. Left-handers)
Los Angeles Dodgers: (5 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Milwaukee: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
New York Mets: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Philadelphia: (4 vs. Right-handers, 2 vs. Left-handers)
Pittsburgh: (6 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers)
San Diego: (5 vs. Right-handers, 1 vs. Left-handers))
San Francisco: (3 vs. Right-handers, 4 vs. Left-handers)
St. Louis: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)
Washington: (3 vs. Right-handers, 3 vs. Left-handers)

Notes: The Mets, Giants, Cardinals and Nationals play at least three lefties this week, while the Astros see seven righties and no southpaws. That's good news for Moises Alou (.351 vs LHPs), Lastings Milledge (.379 vs LHPs), David Wright (.331 vs LHPs), Damion Easley (.350 vs LHPs), Paul Lo Duca (.351 vs LHPs), Jose Reyes (.328 vs LHPs), Randy Winn (.349 vs LHPs), Albert Pujols (.336 vs LHPs), So Taguchi (.330 vs LHPs), Ryan Zimmerman (.398 vs LHPs), Dmitri Young (.337 vs LHPs)

And bad news for Jason Lane (.180 vs RHPs), Ty Wigginton (.231 vs RHPs), Craig Biggio (.215 vs RHPs), Chris Burke (.198 vs RHPs), Shawn Green (.192 vs LHPs), Dave Roberts (.177 vs LHPs), Ray Durham (.220 vs LHPs), Jim Edmonds (.173 vs LHPs), Scott Rolen (.181 vs LHPs), Ryan Ludwick (.198 vs LHPs), Chris Duncan (.232 vs LHPs), Ryan Church (.224 vs LHPs)

Some scheduled two-start pitchers in week 21:
Erik Bedard, Phil Hughes, Mark Buehrle, Joe Blanton, Jordan Tata, Aaron Laffey, Gil Meche, Brandon McCarthy, Dustin Moseley, Shaun Marcum, Scott Baker, Jarrod Washburn, Andy Sonnanstine, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Doug Davis, Sergio Mitre, Phil Dumatrait, Ted Lilly, Ubaldo Jimenez, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL], Jason Jennings, Brad Penny, John Maine, Matt Morris, Kyle Kendrick, Joel Hanrahan, Tim Lincecum, Tim Hudson, Joel Pineiro, Yovani Gallardo

Latest on the injury front:
Outfielders:
Marlon Anderson (personal) ? return mid-August
Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) ? out indefinitely
Michael Bourne (ankle) ? return mid-August
Freddie Bynum (hamstring) ? return mid-August
Endy Chavez (hamstring) ? return late August
Chris Denorfia (elbow) ? out for the season
Chris Duffy (ankle) ? return mid-August
Ryan Freel (knee) ? out for the season
Jay Gibbons (shoulder) ? out for the season
Carlos Gomez (hand) ? return early September
Jerry Hairston (back) ? out indefinitely
Scott Hairston (ribs) ? return early September
Josh Hamilton (wrist) ? return mid-August
Xavier Nady (hamstring) ? return mid-August
Hunter Pence (wrist) ? return early September
Carlos Quentin (leg) ? out indefinitely
Jason Repko (groin) ? might be out for the season
Juan Rivera (leg) ? return September
Reggie Sanders (hamstring) ? out indefinitely
Shane Victorino (calf) ? return mid-August
Preston Wilson (knee) ? out for the season

Infielders
Rich Aurilia (hamstring) ? return August 17
Willy Aybar (hand) ? return September 1
Hank Blalock (arm) ? return mid-August
Aaron Boone (knee) ? return mid-August
Eric Chavez (back) ? out indefinitely
Joe Crede (back) ? likely out for the season
Bobby Crosby (hand) ? return early September
Adam Everett (leg) ? return late August
Tony Graffanino (knee) ? out for the season
Cristian Guzman (thumb) ? out for the season
Nick Johnson (leg) ? out indefinitely
Howie Kendrick (finger) ? return August
Corey Koskie (concussion) ? out indefinitely
Dallas McPherson (back) ? return August/September
Doug Mientkiewicz (wrist) ? return mid-August
Pablo Ozuna (leg) ? return August/September
Neifi Perez (suspension) ? out for the season
Edgar Renteria (ankle) ? return late August
Scott Spiezio (restricted list) ? out indefinitely
Chase Utley (hand) ? return early September
Jose Valentin (leg) ? might be out for the season
Daryle Ward (calf) ? return mid-August

Catchers:
Eliezer Alfonzo (knee) ? return mid-August
Rod Barajas (groin) ? out indefinitely
Michael Barrett (concussion) ? out indefinitely
Henry Blanco (neck) ? return late August
Hector Gimenez (shoulder) ? likely out for the season
Paul Lo Duca (hamstring) ? return early September
Mike Napoli (hamstring) ? return mid-August
Vance Wilson (elbow) ? out for the season

Designated Hitter:
David Dellucci (hamstring) ? return September
Travis Hafner (knee) ? day-to-day
Mike Sweeney (knee) ? out indefinitely

Starting Pitchers:
Brandon Backe (elbow) ? return early September
Jason Bergmann (hamstring) ? return mid-August
A.J. Burnett (shoulder) ? return August 12 vs KC
Chris Carpenter (elbow) ? out for the season
Gustavo Chacin (elbow) ? return late August
Roger Clemens (suspension) ? expected to return Wed vs BAL
Matt Clement (shoulder) ? return August/September
Bartolo Colon (elbow) ? return late August
Jorge De La Rosa (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Zach Duke (elbow) ? return early September
Freddy Garcia (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Mike Hampton (ribs) ? out for the season
Rich Harden (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Shawn Hill (elbow) ? return August 14 vs PHI
Luke Hudson (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Josh Johnson (forearm) ? out for the season
Randy Johnson (back) ? out for the season
Jon Lieber (ankle) ? out for the season
Francisco Liriano (elbow) ? out for the season
Esteban Loaiza (shoulder) ? return mid-August
Kameron Loe (back) ? out indefinitely
Adam Loewen (elbow) ? out for the season
Rodrigo Lopez (arm) ? out for the season
Pedro Martinez (shoulder) ? return late August
Mike Maroth (elbow) ? out indefinitely
Andrew Miller (hamstring) ? expected back August 19
Eric Milton (elbow) ? out for the season
Mark Mulder (shoulder) ? return mid-August
Ricky Nolasco (elbow) ? return late August
Russ Ortiz (arm) ? return mid-August
Vicente Padilla (triceps) ? return mid-August
John Patterson (biceps) ? return September
Carl Pavano (elbow) ? out for the season
Mark Prior (shoulder) ? out for the season
Darrell Rasner (finger) ? return August/September
Kenny Rogers (elbow) ? return mid-August
Chris Sampson (knee) ? out indefinitely
Jason Schmidt (shoulder) ? out for the season
Ben Sheets (finger) ? return early September
Jason Simontacchi (elbow) ? out indefinitely
John Thomson (back) ? return mid-August
Randy Wolf (shoulder) ? out indefinitely
Jaret Wright (shoulder) ? out indefinitely

Important Relievers:
Kris Benson (shoulder) ? likely out for the season
Yhency Brazoban (shoulder) ? out for the season
Jesse Crain (shoulder) ? out for the season
Brendan Donnelly (arm) ? out for the season
Octavio Dotel (shoulder) ? return late August
Justin Duchscherer (hip) ? out for the season
Brian Fuentes (back) ? return mid-August
Mike Gonzalez (elbow) ? out for the season
Angel Guzman (arm) ? return mid-August
Ryan Madson (shoulder) ? return early September
Akinori Otsuka (arm) ? return mid-August
Chris Ray (elbow) ? return early September
Arthur Rhodes (elbow) ? out for the season
B.J. Ryan (elbow) ? out for the season
Duaner Sanchez (shoulder) ? return August
Ryan Wagner (rotator cuff) ? out for the season
Joel Zumaya (finger) ? return late August
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Prospects: Ankiel and Upton
Welcome back to the Prospect Report. Unfortunately, some technical difficulties prevented last week's column from being submitted. However, all is well now and I'll be returning to the standard column format this week. With a strong group of callups, I'll focus on the newly-minted big leaguers rather than current minor leaguers in this edition.

Also, since I promised a column on prospects traded at the deadline, I'll gladly answer any e-mails on those players. I may post some of the questions/answers next week. Beyond that I'll have two more standard columns on the way, followed by a look at September callups and then a series of columns evaluating players who could help in 2008. As always, feel free to send in any recommendations for players you'd like to read about.

Callups

Rick Ankiel ? OF Cardinals ? One of the best stories of the year, Ankiel is back in the majors and looking like a positive contributor after a three-year exile. An exciting pitching prospect that was a big part of the Cardinals' future plans, Ankiel had an utter meltdown of command during the post-season in 2000. The talent was always there for him to harness the potential he showed prior to the loss of command, but Ankiel could never get everything clicking again and he eventually gave up trying to reach the majors as a pitcher during the 2004 season.

Ankiel took some time off, and then eventually decided he'd try to make a comeback as an outfielder. He was always known as a good hitting pitcher and an athlete, but it was still somewhat of a stretch to envision him becoming a big league outfielder while starting to play the position full-time at age 26. The 6'1", 210-pound left-hander showed good power potential after debuting, but his momentum was stalled when he missed the 2006 season due to knee surgery.

Because of his advanced age, the Cardinals decided it'd be best for everyone to challenge Ankiel and promote him to Triple-A Memphis to begin the season. It already looks like a good decision, as Ankiel hit a whopping 32 homers in 102 games before being promoted to the majors. The fairytale continued for Ankiel after the promotion, as the left-hander homered in his first game back and then added two more homers just days later.

While everyone is rooting for Ankiel to succeed and his power potential is legitimate, he's still not a well-rounded player. He posted a poor 90/25 K/BB ratio while in Triple-A, and it's going to be rather hard to hit for a decent average in the majors while striking out so often. His defense also needs more work, but it is developing. On the plus side, Ankiel hits both left and right-handed pitching and that he's relatively new to being a position player gives him plenty more upside than a normal 28-year-old. The Cardinals will find room for him in the starting lineup if he continues to hit, so he's worth a claim in NL-only leagues. I wouldn't bet against Ankiel putting together a solid career as a hitter and posting a few 30-homer seasons, but he still has work to do before that can be considered realistic. He's more of a flier than a prospect in keeper leagues, but he's worth a look. Recommendation: Claim in NL-only and keeper formats.

Daniel Barone ? RHP Marlins ? An 11th round pick by the Marlins in the 2004 draft, Barone showed spurts of looking like a potential big leaguer in his first three seasons in the minors. The right-hander had bounced between the bullpen and the rotation while pitching at five different levels in three years, but the Marlins finally decided to stick with him as a starter prior to the 2007 campaign. The results haven't been spectacular by any stretch, but Barone has managed a solid 3.96 ERA and 91/32 K/BB ratio in 136 1/3 innings between Double-A and Triple-A this season. That he pitched better before a promotion to Triple-A Albuquerque limited his short-term potential.

The Marlins called Barone up anyway when they were short a starter, and the right-hander gave up three runs in 4 2/3 innings against the Mets in his first start. It was a decent enough outing to give him another chance in the rotation. However, neither his slider nor changeup profiles as a plus pitch and his fastball only grades about as average because he commands it well. Since he doesn't have plus stuff or an intriguing statistical profile, he's not someone that's recommended in fantasy leagues. Recommendation: Ignore in NL-only formats.

Asdrubal Cabrera ? 2B/SS Indians ? With the Indians lacking any other quality options for a utility player, the club decided to call up one of their top prospects to fill the role this past week. They'd almost surely prefer to give Cabrera regular playing time in the minors, but since they're in a pennant race they'll make the sacrifice and promote the middle infielder a month early. It's not a decision that figures to impact Cabrera's development.

I've mentioned Cabrera in this space a couple of times this season, most notably when I profiled him here. I won't rehash the previous article, except to categorize Cabrera as a plus defender with a good approach at the plate and solid on-base skills. He's the type of player who could do rather well in a utility role, though I think he'll hit enough to have a solid career as a regular. Cabrera won't play enough in the short-term to have much fantasy value and he's the type of hitter who should be expected to undergo an adjustment period, so he can be ignored in one-year formats. However, with the ability to hit .300 and steal 30 bases per season in his better years, Cabrera needs to be claimed in keeper formats. Recommendation: Ignore in one-year formats, claim in keeper leagues.

Joba Chamberlain ? RHP Yankees ? Easily the player who has done the most for his prospect status during the first four and a half months of the 2007 season, Chamberlain is now firmly entrenched as one of the game's top pitching prospects. The 41st overall selection in the 2006 draft, Chamberlain was considered a much better raw talent than his draft slot would indicate. As a sophomore Chamberlain struck out more than a batter per inning and posted an ERA below 3.00. However, a triceps injury limited the right-hander as a junior, and he struggled with both command and consistent velocity early in the season. The result was more walks, more hard hit balls, and big league clubs shying away from a potential top-10 pick. Despite the poor season, Chamberlain was good enough to come in at No. 21 in my post-draft rankings last year.

Chamberlain didn't debut in professional baseball after signing, but he did pitch exceptionally well in winter ball this past off-season. Assigned to High-A Tampa after missing the start of the season with a strained hamstring, Chamberlain lasted just seven starts at the level before being promoted. During his stint in Tampa Chamberlain posted a 2.03 ERA and 51/11 K/BB ratio. He pitched similarly well after moving up to Trenton for eight appearances and Scranton-Wilkes Barre for three more. Between the three levels, the Native American right-hander recorded a 2.45 ERA and an incredible 135/27 K/BB ratio in 88 1/3 innings of work.

Still just 21-years-old, there's obviously a lot to like here. In addition to his gaudy statistical profile, Chamberlain has an impressive repertoire of pitches. His fastball regularly sits in the mid-90s, often hitting 97 MPH and touching as high as 100 MPH on some occasions. I'm not as high on his slider as most people, but the pitch is a good contract to his fastball and it does have some nice late break to it. Even if there's not much movement on the slider, it's still a plus pitch. His changeup still needs some work to be considered an average or better offering, but there's still plenty of time for that to happen. Given his fastball-slider combination, even a show-me changeup would be plenty for him to be a very successful starter.

The downside to Chamberlain is that he's had weight and injury concerns before. The right-hander is listed at 6'2", 230 pounds, and even that seems a little generous. Keeping the weight off will be key, and it will help avoid the knee and leg injuries he's suffered in the past. That none of his previous injuries have involved his right arm is a positive, but it's important to keep in mind that staying injury-free for three months while having a breakout season doesn't erase several years of medical history. Still, Chamberlain has the stuff that one can dream on, and he'll likely step in as no worse than a No. 3 starter for the Yankees in 2008. In time he'll be an ace if his changeup develops and he stays healthy.

The Yankees, lacking many quality alternatives, have moved Chamberlain to the bullpen to help the big club down the stretch run. It's a role that some have predicted for the big right-hander in the long-term, but he'll be given every shot to start before that path is chosen. Only chronic injuries related to the wear of a 200-inning season could convince the club to make a change, as his stuff will play just fine for multiple innings at a time. If you can use Chamberlain's status as a middle reliever to acquire him cheap in keeper leagues, it'd be a great idea to strike. Those in one-year AL-only leagues should also pursue the right-hander, as he's likely to post quality ratios and grab a few vulture wins. Recommendation: Claim in AL-only one-year formats, pursue aggressively in keeper leagues.

James Hoey ? RHP Orioles ? Hoey wasn't considered much of a prospect when he graduated from Rider University in 2003. Scouts liked his potential, but his peripherals were mediocre and his college career was inconsistent. A stint in the Appalachian League after signing didn't change that opinion. After just 6 2/3 innings the following season, Hoey ended up needing Tommy John surgery. The right-hander worked his way back from the injury, but appeared in just nine games in 2005.

Fully healthy for the 2006 season, suddenly everything clicked for Hoey. His fastball started hitting the mid-90s with regularity and he even reached 100 MPH from time to time. His slider also now looked like a plus pitch, and the right-hander rocketed through the minors as a result. Despite starting the season in the South Atlantic League, Hoey made it all the way to the major leagues in 2006. His stint with the Orioles didn't go so well, but his 73/18 K/BB ratio and 2.28 ERA in 51 1/3 innings spilt between three levels of the minors was plenty impressive.

Back in the minors to begin the 2007 campaign, Hoey has continued to dominate the opposition. In 45 2/3 innings between Double-A Bowie and Triple-A Norfolk, Hoey had a fantastic 0.69 ERA and similarly excellent 69/14 K/BB ratio. Now in the majors, Hoey has the stuff and statistical profile to be a closer one day. Continuing to repeat his delivery and hit hits spots will be key for the 25-year-old, but I expect he'll do just that. That he's off to a fast start with four scoreless innings since being recalled means he's getting off on the right foot. While I still value Chris Ray over the long-term, I believe Hoey will quickly turn into a necessary handcuff as a dominant eighth inning man. Recommendation: Claim in AL-only and keeper formats.

Adam Jones ? OF Mariners ? A two-way player when he was drafted 37th overall in the 2003 draft, the Mariners liked Jones' potential on the mound but ultimately stuck with him as a shortstop. The 6"2', 190-pound right-hander showed good power potential after signing and again for Single-A Wisconsin in 2004. However, there were still plenty of holes in his swing, and the only approach Jones knew at the plate was to be aggressive. The Mariners, who usually promote their better prospects rather quickly, tested Jones in his age-19 season and sent him to High-A Inland Empire. The club was impressed when he hit .295 with an increased walk rate and quality power numbers, so they awarded Jones with a mid-season promotion to Double-A San Antonio. Jones posted similar numbers while being one of the youngest players in the Texas League, thus ranking him as one of the game's best prospects.

The Mariners continued to be aggressive with Jones in 2006. The club decided they had their shortstop of the future in Yuniesky Betancourt, so Jones was moved to the outfield and promoted to Triple-A Tacoma at the same time. Jones hit .287 with 39 extra-base hits in 96 games while also transitioning well to the outfield. The Mariners thought highly enough of Jones to call him up to the majors in his age-20 season, though Jones struggled adapting to big league pitching, in part because of his poor plate discipline.

Even though he struggled in the majors, that Jones was succeeding at Triple-A at a young age was encouraging. Headed back to Tacoma to begin the 2007 campaign, Jones has continued turning his vast set of tools into skills. Before being promoted, Jones smacked 58 extra-base hits, including 25 homers, in just 101 games played. He was also batting .314, though his 106/36 K/BB ratio says that's a fluke. The Mariners promoted Jones to the majors last week hoping that he can help boost their offense. While his power and defense are already impressive assets, Jones doesn't have the plate discipline to hit for much of an average at the big league level. There's plenty of time for the now 22-year-old to correct that, but it is a flaw that figures to limit his short-term value. Still, Jones is so talented and has so much power potential that he's worth taking a chance on in AL-only leagues even while starting only a few times per week. Recommendation: Claim in AL-only one-year formats, pursue aggressively in keeper leagues.

Dan Meyer ? LHP Athletics ? The centerpiece to Oakland's side of the trade that sent Tim Hudson to Atlanta, Meyer was an intriguing prospect with No. 3 starter potential before the deal. The left-hander was coming off a season in which he posted a 2.45 ERA and 147/38 K/BB ratio in 128 2/3 innings split between Double-A Greenville and Triple-A Richmond. Almost immediately after being dealt, Meyer started to have problems with his shoulder. It remained an issue all the way through to July of the 2006 campaign, when Meyer was finally shut down and had surgery to repair the shoulder.

Assigned to Triple-A Sacramento to begin this season, Meyer had done an adequate job with a 3.40 ERA in 103 1/3 innings of work. His 93 strikeouts were impressive, but that they came with 10 homers allowed and 51 walks limits how much we can expect from the left-hander. The Athletics will use Meyer out of the bullpen for now, though he could get a start against the Royals on Friday. He's not someone that figures to have value in AL-only leagues, but he's intriguing enough to monitor should he move into the rotation. Recommendation: Monitor in AL-only leagues.

David Murphy ? OF Rangers ? The 17th overall pick in the 2003 draft out of Baylor University, Murphy never really lived up to his draft position. He showed a broad set of skills that were likely to make him a solid reserve, but Murphy never hit like a starting corner outfielder and his defense in center field is more acceptable than a positive. Already 25-years-old, Murphy sports a career 770 OPS in the minor leagues. It's a number he's never strayed from much in either direction, and at his peak he's someone who could hit around that well for a big league club.

Acquired from the Red Sox in the Eric Gagne deal at the trade deadline, Murphy was called up to the majors with the club lacking quality outfield candidates. In two starts since the promotion, Murphy has gone 4-for-7, all doubles, with three runs scored. It's not a performance level that can be expected to be maintained, but it should get Murphy a few more starts in the short-term. He's not likely to be of much use in fantasy leagues since he doesn't have much power or speed, but those in deep leagues could consider trying to ride him while he's hitting well. Recommendation: Monitor in AL-only leagues.

Ian Stewart ? 3B Rockies ? Selected with the 10th overall pick in the 2003 draft out of a California high school, Stewart quickly emerged as one of the game's top prospects by hitting .317 and slugging .558 in the Pioneer League after signing. Moved up to full-season ball the next season, Stewart looked like an even better prospect after hitting .319, smacking 30 homers, and slugging .594 for Single-A Ashville. The third basemen also showed solid plate discipline (112/66 K/BB ratio) and some aptitude on the bases (19 steals in 28 attempts), further entrenching himself as a future star.

A promotion to High-A Modesto the following season didn't go as well for Stewart. His batting average and power tailed off some as he started striking out more. His .274/.353/.497 line was hardly poor, but it wasn't quite what was expected from a supposedly elite prospect. Similar results ensued for Stewart at Double-A Tulsa the following season. Still climbing the organizational ladder despite the solid if unspectacular performances, Stewart was hitting .304/.379/.478 in 112 games for Colorado Springs before being recalled. Again, still a solid performance, but Stewart has failed to live up to the promise he showed as a 19-year-old for three straight seasons now. That his 857 OPS was compiled in a favorable hitting environment further depresses his value, and his huge home/road splits don't do anything to ease those concerns.

It is important to remember that Stewart is still just 22-years-old, so there's plenty of time for him to start adding more power to his 6'3", 200-pound frame. Under a normal career trajectory he'll still hit 30 homers one of these years, but it will be a Coors Field aided season and he seems quite a bit less likely to ever post a truly special season. With Todd Helton experiencing some back spasms, Stewart was called up to get some time in at first or third base. He's not going to play enough to have any use in NL-only leagues barring Helton going on the disabled list, so those in one-year formats can probably ignore him for now. He's still very much worth stashing away in keeper leagues. Recommendation: Ignore in one-year formats, claim in keeper leagues.

Justin Upton ? OF Diamondbacks ? The first overall pick in the 2005 draft out of a Virginia high school, Upton is already up in the majors and helping the Diamondbacks in a pennant race. An immensely talented player who grades out as above average or better in all five tools, Upton was considered a lock to go first in the 2005 draft. The Diamondbacks gladly followed the consensus, though Upton didn't sign quick enough play in professional baseball. The club also decided at that time to move the shortstop to center field given the presence of Stephen Drew in the organization. It's a move that made sense given Upton's outstanding speed, and he took well to the position for Single-A South Bend in 2006. While Upton's raw numbers at the plate weren't overly impressive, he was getting a bit unlucky on balls in play and his .263/.343/.413 line was still a positive from an 18-year-old.

The club promoted Upton to High-A Visalia Oaks to begin the 2007 campaign, and he quickly reminded evaluators why he was the game's best prospect. The 6'3", 210-pound right-hander hit .341 and smacked 13 extra-base hits in just 32 games in the California League. The Diamondbacks decided to challenge Upton, and quickly promoted him to Double-A Mobile. Upton continued to shine while there, hitting .309 and slugging .556 in 71 games played. That Upton was working in more favorable hitting environments certainly helped, but his performances were still amongst the best in his respective leagues and he hadn't even turned 20-years-old yet.

The Diamondbacks, looking for a spark with Carlos Quentin struggling, promoted Upton to the majors two weeks ago. Since he'll still be 19-years-old for another two weeks, Upton is the youngest player in the majors. And all he's done since joining the club is hit .294 and smack seven extra-base hits in 10 games. The Diamondbacks are so confident in the youngster that they've already hit him fifth in their lineup just a few games into his big league career. That's a very telling decision, and should give some insight into just how sure the club is that he's going to be a star.

Upton is without a doubt the most exciting and best prospect in baseball right now. That means he's obviously worth pursuing if his recent callup allows for him to be claimed in keeper leagues. However, what should we make of Upton in the short-term? He's still young and his body isn't fully developed, he doesn't have much experience above Single-A, and while he will draw a good number of walks he still strikes out too much. These are all reasons to be cautious, but in any final analysis I can't help but expect Upton to hit right away. In part that may be because his brother, B.J. Upton, never had a problem quickly adjusting to big league pitching at a young age. However, the main reason is that the younger Upton likely isn't going to follow a typical career path. He's a unique and extraordinary talent. He's a mold-breaker. These are the types of players you jump on, hold on for as long as you can, and enjoy the ride, and that's exactly what I'm recommending owners do. Recommendation: Claim in mixed one-year leagues and pursue very aggressively in all keeper formats.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Making Sense of Shields
A sleeper coming into the season, James Shields made a name for himself by going 6-0 with a 3.04 ERA and 83-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 13 starts. Unfortunately, Shields' performance fell off a cliff right around the time many fantasy leaguers began taking notice. He went 2-6 with a 7.26 ERA over his next eight starts, culminating with an ugly 10-run shelling at the hands of the Yankees on July 22.

The rough stretch pushed his ERA from 3.04 to 4.44, but it's important to note that he still managed to post a solid 38-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio during that time. Most of Shields' struggles can be traced to allowing 11 homers in those 48.1 innings and, while his otherwise outstanding pitching masked it, serving up long balls was also a problem early in the season. Within the early 3.04 ERA were a dozen homers in 97.2 frames.

Shields' up-and-down season is back on an up swing. He held the Red Sox to one run over six innings Monday, giving him a 2.92 ERA and 27-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in four starts since that messy outing against the Yankees. He's allowed 25 homers in 170.2 innings overall and 43 long balls in 295.1 career innings, which may keep Shields from becoming a true top-of-the-rotation starter. However, his outstanding strikeout-to-walk ratios suggest he still has plenty of upside.

While Devil Rays fans find solace in another otherwise forgettable season by focusing on the important strides taken by potential building blocks like Shields and B.J. Upton, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* In a matchup of pitchers who don't deserve their horrible win-loss records, Paul Maholm got the best of Matt Cain in the first game of Monday's doubleheader. Maholm made quick work of the Giants, holding them to one run on three hits while needing less than two hours to toss a 91-pitch complete game. The victory improved Maholm to just 8-14, but with a 4.38 ERA in 24 starts that's largely due to the Pirates' lineup providing him with an awful 3.8 runs of support per outing.

Meanwhile, 3.8 runs would seem like an explosion of run support for Cain, who the Giants' hitters have given a pathetic 3.2 runs per game to work with. Cain pitched well Monday, holding the Pirates to three runs over seven innings, but dropped to 4-13 despite a solid 3.77 ERA. If you're in a league with owners who haven't come around to the idea that win-loss records are often misleading for individual pitchers, Maholm and Cain figure to be undervalued in 2008.

* Remember earlier this season, when Yankees fans and the New York media were freaking out because Mariano Rivera blew a couple saves and had a 12.15 ERA after eight appearances? Well, since then Rivera has a 1.62 ERA in 38 games, posting a ridiculous 45-to-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and .565 opponent's OPS in 44.1 innings of work. He was 19-for-19 converting saves during that stretch until Monday, when he blew his first lead since April 20.

Rivera has given up runs in back-to-back outings, which amazingly has some people once again worried about him, but there's absolutely zero reason to be concerned. Monday's blown save came from three singles and most of Rivera's "struggles" come from grounders, bloopers, and choppers simply finding holes. He's given up a grand total of two homers in 51 innings, putting him on pace for a 12th straight season with five or fewer long balls allowed.

* Not only is Josh Phelps hitting .353 with a 1.158 OPS in 42 plate appearances since joining the Pirates, he started at catcher Monday for the first time since 2001. With Ryan Doumit going down with a wrist injury in Game 1 of the doubleheader, Phelps got the nod behind the plate in Game 2 and homered. It doesn't figure to be a regular thing even if Doumit misses extended action, but even one start at catcher gives Phelps a huge value boost in many leagues.

* Jon Heyman of SI.com reports that Jose Contreras has cleared waivers, meaning the White Sox are free to trade him anywhere. However, that figures to prove difficult given that Contreras is owed $22 million over the next two seasons and is currently sporting a 6.24 ERA. With that said, if the White Sox are willing to eat a large chunk of Contreras' contract, a strong performance in his return to the rotation Friday could make a trade to a pitching-hungry contender possible.

AL Quick Hits: Suspended for five games, Roger Clemens' next start has been pushed back to Saturday, with Jeff Karstens subbing for him Tuesday ? Working with a 94-MPH fastball, Joel Zumaya (finger) retired two of three batters in his first minor-league rehab appearance Monday at Triple-A ? Mark Teahen's homer Monday was his first since May 29, a span of 61 games during which he batted .291 ? Troy Glaus was scratched from Monday's lineup because of lingering foot problems ? Richie Sexson had a big game Monday, smacking a two-run double off Johan Santana and launching a walk-off homer off Matt Guerrier ? Kenny Rogers (elbow) played long toss Monday and called the session "very, very encouraging" ? Chad Gaudin won Monday for the first time since July 5, racking up a season-high nine strikeouts ? Initially expected to miss "significant time," Jason Kubel (oblique) hopes to avoid the disabled list after taking 25 swings Monday ? By playing in his 144th straight game without an error Monday, Placido Polanco broke the record for second basemen that Luis Castillo set earlier this season.

NL Quick Hits: With his fractured hand now in a modified splint, Chase Utley said Monday that he hopes to return in two weeks ? Hunter Pence (wrist) took batting practice Monday and remains on track to return by early September ? Planning to play in 2008, Barry Bonds said Monday that it will likely be his final season ? Eight innings of one-run ball Monday against the Dodgers gave Roy Oswalt his fifth straight win, lowering his ERA from 3.90 to 3.32 during the streak ? With Brad Lidge resting after pitching on back-to-back days, Chad Qualls closed out Oswalt's win ? Xavier Nady (hamstring) hasn't started since July 31, but smacked a pinch-hit homer Monday ? Shea Hillenbrand began his Dodgers career by grounding into a double play after coming into Monday's game following Nomar Garciaparra's ejection ? As part of his scheduled rest, Craig Biggio will be out of the lineup until at least Thursday ? With Monday's grand slam, 10 of Ryan Klesko's 278 career homers have been worth four runs and he's now a .355 hitter with 137 RBIs in 124 at-bats with the bases loaded.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

MVP! MVP! MVP!
Hanley Ramirez continued his amazing season Tuesday, going 3-for-5 with a double, two RBIs, and three runs. The Marlins' losing record will likely keep him from getting any consideration from the voters for the real-life award and his shaky defense might keep him from being deserving of that consideration in the first place, but there's little doubt that Ramirez has a strong case for being the NL's fantasy MVP thus far.

Last year's Rookie of the Year is all over the NL leaderboards, ranking first in the league with a .343 batting average and 159 hits, second in runs (93), third in steals (37), fourth in total bases (267), fifth in doubles (35), sixth in extra-base hits (61), seventh in times on base (200), eighth in OPS (.972), and ninth in slugging percentage (.577). Toss in 61 RBIs and a .395 on-base percentage, and you have a monstrous all-around season from a 23-year-old shortstop.

After batting .331 with a .926 OPS in an outstanding first half, Ramirez is hitting .382 with a 1.120 OPS since the All-Star break. He's hit .330 or better in every month but May, and has crushed left-handers to the tune of a .420 batting average. Not only has Ramirez already topped last season's homer and RBI totals with 43 games left to play, he's done all that while slicing his strikeouts by 22 percent after whiffing 128 times as a rookie.

While Ramirez somehow plays well enough to make it possible for the Red Sox to regret trading him despite Josh Beckett's 15 wins and Mike Lowell's .863 OPS, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Manager Ron Washington continues to avoid naming an official closer, but it's clear that C.J. Wilson has a firm grasp on ninth-inning duties in Texas. Wilson's save Tuesday was his fifth in the past two weeks and he's tossed 15.1 straight scoreless innings dating back to July 8. While perhaps no one's idea of a long-term closer, Wilson has held opponents to a .165 batting average and just three homers in 54 innings, posting a 53-to-25 strikeout-to-walk ratio and 2.17 ERA.

* Nomar Garciaparra didn't thrive following the switch to third base in late June, batting .289 with a modest .768 OPS. Beyond that, the move across the diamond lasted just 34 games before an injury struck, as Garciaparra headed to the disabled list Tuesday with a strained calf. Losing Garciaparra wouldn't normally be a huge blow to the Dodgers, but with both Adam LaRoche and Tony Abreu hurting at Triple-A, Shea Hillenbrand will get the nod as his fill-in for now.

* Kevin Kouzmanoff's brutal 9-for-83 (.108) start to the season has kept his overall numbers low, masking the fact that Kouzmanoff has batted .283 with 12 homers, 42 RBIs, and an .838 OPS in 75 games since May 10. For any rookie to put together a 75-game stretch like that is notable, but for a right-handed hitting rookie to do that while playing half his games at pitcher-friendly Petco Park is especially impressive. As usual, looking beyond season totals can reveal a lot.

* Scott Kazmir continued his amazing second-half run Tuesday, shutting out the Red Sox for six innings to lower his post-break ERA to 1.01 in seven starts. Unfortunately, Kazmir had to turn things over to the Devil Rays' bullpen after using 95 pitches to record 18 outs, and Al Reyes coughed up the lead. Reyes has now allowed seven runs in 9.2 innings since returning from the disabled list last month, although he's likely in no danger of losing the closer gig.

* Carlos Zambrano remained stuck on 14 wins Tuesday, failing in his third straight bid for the elusive No. 15. Zambrano recovered extremely well from a rough first two months to go 9-2 with a 1.41 ERA from early June to late July, but he's now 0-2 with a 7.13 ERA and 11-to-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last three outings. Most concerning is that he failed to record a single strikeout while facing 34 batters Tuesday, allowing six runs on 13 hits.

* Willy Taveras has tried to play through a quadriceps injury for the past six weeks, totaling 99 plate appearances over the span of 38 games. He started in center field Tuesday, but made it through just four innings before being replaced by Cory Sullivan, and now looks headed for the disabled list. With Taveras out, the Rockies could give a look to Seth Smith, a 24-year-old outfielder who's hitting .316 with 14 homers, 73 RBIs, and an .897 OPS in 113 games at Triple-A.

AL Quick Hits: Roy Halladay needed just 99 pitches for his MLB-leading fifth complete game Tuesday, nudging his ERA under 4.00 for the first time since May ? Manager Joe Torre said Tuesday that Joba Chamberlain won't take over ninth-inning duties when Mariano Rivera gets a day off ? Once a likely second-half addition, general manager Mark Shapiro indicated Tuesday that Adam Miller's debut won't come this season ? Jeremy Bonderman didn't pick up a victory Tuesday, but stopped his second-half slide with seven innings of two-run ball against the Indians ? Jack Cust smacked his 19th and 20th homers Tuesday, giving him 63 RBIs and a .954 OPS in 83 games ? In an effort to limit his workload, the White Sox may shut down John Danks next month ? After Huston Street set him up with a scoreless eighth inning Tuesday, Alan Embree converted his 15th save ? According to the Boston Globe, Clay Buchholz is likely to debut in Friday's doubleheader ? With Kenny Lofton at the top of the lineup Tuesday, Grady Sizemore was out of the leadoff spot for the first time since 2005 ? Handed some rare run support Tuesday, Matt Garza tossed seven strong innings to improve to 2-3 with a 2.05 ERA.

NL Quick Hits: Andruw Jones' elbow has bothered him since late May, but X-rays taken Tuesday reportedly revealed no structural damage ? Pedro Martinez (shoulder) made his second minor-league rehab start Tuesday, allowing three runs over four innings against rookie-ball hitters ? Back from the disabled list Tuesday, Brian Fuentes is unlikely to resume closing unless Manny Corpas struggles ? After going 0-7 over his last 13 starts, Dontrelle Willis finally picked up a win Tuesday when the Marlins' lineup handed him 14 runs of support ? Knocked around for seven runs Tuesday, Chris Capuano lost his 10th straight decision after beginning the year 5-0 ? Pitching for the first time in three months, Shawn Hill tossed six innings of one-hit, shutout ball Tuesday to lower his ERA to 2.41 ? As expected, Ryan Doumit (wrist) was placed on the shelf Tuesday ? Adam Kennedy figures to miss the remainder of the season following knee surgery ? After initially choosing Eric Patterson over Felix Pie, the Cubs kept Pie in the majors Tuesday while optioning Patterson to Triple-A following one start in eight days ? [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] is hitting just .233 and has struck out 89 times in 107 games, but the Daily Dose favorite is on pace for 30-homer, 25-steal rookie season.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Sore Losers


This week I'll be discussing some of the tired, old clich?s you might hear out of the mouth of a sore loser. Then, I'll debate the ethics of temporary trades in the Trash Dump.
Just a heads up that I will be on vacation next week and therefore unable to post my column. See you on August 29!
[SIZE=+1]Topic of the Week: Sore Losers[/SIZE]
This is about the time of year when a good chunk of fantasy owners start realizing they probably won't sniff the prize money this time around. Some handle it gracefully, giving credit to those who outdrafted, outmanaged, and ultimately outsmarted them. And by "some" I mean roughly the same percentage that plan to vote for Dennis Kucinich. The rest are essentially a bunch of sore losers of varying degrees, from the excuse maker who drones on about the fluke circumstances that robbed him of his championship destiny to the hater who attributes anyone else's success to 100% pure, organic, unfiltered luck.
Sore losers of the world, just know that we're on to your game (mainly because we've all played it at one time or another). Recognize that we'll not be fooled by your blame deflecting, envy inspired antics?especially the following tired old ones:
Tired, Old Clich? #1: Blaming the League Settings
We've heard it before: "This league sucks, anyway. What kind of lame league uses innings pitched?" Dude, you knew the settings going in; you should have drafted and managed accordingly. That's a like a boxer blaming a loss on the fact that he was not allowed to put his opponent in a rear, naked choke.
Tired Old Clich? #2: Blaming the Lack of Trading
Certainly, it's frustrating when no one in your league is willing to make deals. But, if you drafted a bunch of guys at the same position assuming you could trade them later, that's the risk you ran. You don't hear Theo Epstein saying, "We would have won it all if only Terry Ryan had traded us Johan Santana!"
Tired Old Clich? #3: Blaming Injuries
Granted, if your workhorse of a first-round draft pick goes down for the season with some entirely unexpected injury, winning is going to be a challenge to say the least. So, in such a scenario, some bellyaching is understandable. What's not, however, is acting dumbfounded that your so-called "stud" pitcher Rich Harden is back on the DL and trying to pass your poor performance off on that. There's a reason he was available in the 11th round, Slick. Blaming your woes on a late-round bust ain't gonna fly.
Tired Old Clich? #4: Blaming the Commissioner
"Next year, I'm out of the league if Dill Weed is still in charge." Simmer down, Drama Queen. It's not like your Dustin-Pedroia-and-Al-Reyes-for-Alex-Rodriguez deal would have avoided veto in any other league.
Tired Old Clich? #5: Blaming it on a Busy Schedule
"I have a life?I can't spend hours a day researching baseball stats." Easy, Mr. Important. Funny that every time I walk by your cube, you're downloading Justin Timberlake songs. If you haven't noticed, most of us have jobs too. In fact, some of us even have kids.
Tired Old Clich? #6: Rolling Your Eyes at Others' "Luck" "Wow, that guy Lincecum really came out of nowhere for you, eh? If I had that luck with any of my pickups, I've have cleaned up!" Uh, maybe you would have had some "luck" if you picked up anyone who, like Lincecum, posted a 1.01 ERA with 15 strikeouts per nine innings in the minors. But to you Tim Lincecum and Boof Bonser are as different as tangerines and clementines.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Down to the wire in LABR
The end is in sight. That league championship is right there waiting to be won.

Judging from Sports Weekly's Leagues of Alternative Baseball Reality, any team within 15 points of first place ? even this late in the season ? still can be considered a title contender.

Let's go to the races:

NL LABR leaders (through Sunday)

Team -- hitting -- pitching -- total
Nate Ravitz -- 52 -- 50.5 -- 102.5
RotoWorld.com -- 46 -- 56 -- 102
Jason Grey -- 42 -- 56 -- 98
Baseball Prospectus -- 56 -- 36 -- 92

RotoWorld.com has its traditionally well-balanced squad that leads the league in batting average, ERA and saves.

Ravitz ? who drafted for The Roto Times but has since moved to ESPN ? has gained eight points in the standings this month thanks to the likes of Carlos Zambrano, David Wright and Jimmy Rollins. "I feel like I have a great shot," he says. "It might come downto Pedro (Martinez). If I get four, five strong starts from him, that could put me over the top."

Grey's pitching staff, with Cole Hamels, Kevin Gregg, Tim Hudson and Jason Isringhausen, ranks near the top in every category. But he's suffered serious losses on offense lately with Shane Victorino, Ryan Freel, Tony Graffanino and Angel Pagan going on the DL.

The deciding factor down the stretch could come down to WHIP. Ravitz leads at 1.310, followed by RotoWorld at 1.313 and Grey at 1.314.

AL LABR leaders (through Sunday)

Team --- hitting --- pitching --- total
RotoWire.com -- 49 -- 32.5 -- 81.5
RotoWorld.com -- 43 -- 34 -- 77
Jonah Keri -- 38 -- 38 -- 76
Baseball HQ -- 45 -- 31 -- 76
NFBC -- 39 -- 34 -- 73
Nate Ravitz -- 51 -- 20.5 -- 71.5
Sports Weekly-Gardner -- 20 -- 46 -- 66

While the National League has been a three-team race for most of the season, the American League has been wide open.

Pitching probably will decide this race as well. Only nine wins separate first place from eighth. There are also eight teams with WHIPs between 1.30 and 1.38 ? a difference of one atrocious outing from a starting pitcher.

In fact, Ravitz owned a 13-point lead July 1 but saw it disappear as his pitching staff has gone up in flames. "Just goes to show you how much risk there is in ERA and WHIP," he says. "Basically, five weeks worth of (Bartolo) Colon and (Jose) Contreras falling apart cost me probably 15 points."

Chris Liss' RotoWire.com team has held the top spot for almost the entire month of August, and now the bull's-eye is firmly on its back. Early-season pickup Carlos Pena has helped lead Liss' offense, which also includes Justin Morneau, Joe Mauer and breakout star Curtis Granderson.

"I'd say it's 3:1 that I win the league right now with last year's champ Jonah Keri and the RotoWorld guys as the main competition," Liss says. "25 percent for me, 25 percent for each of them, and 25 percent for the field."

With so many teams in contention, no one is feeling the least bit comfortable. Wolf sums it up best: "We lost two LABR AL championships on the last day and won one on the last day," Wolf says. "It is never over. Never."

FAAB-ulous

So you save up a nice chunk of your free agent acquisition budget (FAAB) for the week after the trade deadline to nab that big star who can put your team over the top.

Is it a smart move? For LABR owners, how those dollars were spent:

NL LABR

Mark Teixeira? $90 (NFBC, currently 8th in standings)

Luis Castillo? $84 (ESPN-Cockcroft, 9th)

Scott Hairston? $51 (Steve Moyer, 6th)

Octavio Dotel? $15 (Gardner, 11th)

Rob Mackowiak? $5 (RotoWire, 12th)

Previous week

Ty Wigginton? $77 (Ravitz, 1st)

Tadahito Iguchi? $35 (Sandlot Shrink, 5th)

NFBC's Greg Ambrosius and John Zaleski somehow managed to save their entire budget, and they came away with the biggest prize of the season ? two months' worth of Teixeira's power. But it might be too little, too late since they sit in seventh place.

AL LABR

C.J. Wilson? $84 (Ravitz, 6th)

Jarrod Saltalamacchia? $77 (Gardner, 7th)

Wilson Betemit? $62 (NFBC, 5th)

Adam Jones? $55 (ESPN-Cockcroft, 9th)

Ravitz had the most to spend ($92), and the potential saves Wilson could provide in a competitive category (three saves separate third from sixth) made him the top choice.

If there's one lesson to be learned, it's this: With the exception of Ravitz's NL team picking up Wigginton, none of the teams that submitted winning FAAB bids for premium players during the deadline period are in contention for a title.

In general, waiting on one player to lift your Roto team to a championship is a long-shot proposition. The strongest teams are assembled over the course of the season, and the most valuable free agent acquisitions (such as Liss' pickup of Pena and Al Reyes) are the ones made early in the season, when they have several months, not weeks, to contribute.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Bullpen Report: Week 20
Manager Dave Trembley named Danys Baez his closer two weeks ago, but the interim manager showed guts by pulling the right-hander from a save situation this week. Baez had given up two leadoff singles before striking out Jorge Posada. At that point pinch-hitter Bobby Abreu represented the tying run, and Trembley went to his left-hander, Jamie Walker. Although Walker did retire Abreu, he then gave up a game-tying homer to Shelley Duncan.

The decision likely won't have much impact on Baez's value, as he's still likely to get the next save opportunity that comes the Orioles' way. However, if you consider that Trembley only named Baez closer to free up Walker and Chad Bradford, it shouldn't come as a surprise if the manager goes to Walker if he happens to be available and the situation dictates the move. That means Walker should be left active in AL-only or mixed leagues in which owners are desperate for a save or two.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten

Valverde blew his sixth save of the season this past week when he gave up two runs in the ninth inning against the Nationals. He also threw two scoreless innings to record a pair of saves during the week, bumping his season total to 36 saves.

Pena has tired some of late, giving up seven runs over his last five innings of work. It shouldn't be a surprising development, since the right-hander is already at 68 1/3 innings on the season. Given that it's his first full season in the majors, I'd expect Pena to learn from his late slide and better pace himself next season. The Diamondbacks also will likely try and use the right-hander a little less frequently. Pena hasn't been bad enough to be removed from the role of Valverde's backup just yet, but he's pretty close. Lyon, who has surprisingly stayed healthy and will top 60 innings for the second year in a row, would be next in line should Pena continue to struggle.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Octavio Dotel (DL), Rafael Soriano, Peter Moylan, Tyler Yates, Oscar Villarreal

Wickman pitched in three games this week, recording a save in his first outing and then blowing a save by giving up a run to the Giants in his second. The Braves rallied in the bottom of the inning, allowing Wickman to pick up a victory. Wickman also notched a save in his third appearance, though he did allow the tying run in a three-run game to come to the plate.

Dotel has a strained right shoulder injury that he insists isn't serious. He could be back in another week or so.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (DL), Danys Baez (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Jamie Walker, Chad Bradford, Paul Shuey,

Ray started a throwing program this week and could be back in early September. The Orioles remain confident he won't need elbow surgery, giving some comfort to those who own the right-hander in keeper formats.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Eric Gagne, Hideki Okajima, Manny Delcarmen, Mike Timlin

Gagne has hit a wall recently, giving up 11 runs over his last eight appearances and blowing a number of games in the process. It's likely that he'll turn it around soon, and manager Terry Francona's stubbornness regarding keeping Gagne in an eighth inning role will help his value. Continued struggles might mean he and Okajima switch innings at some point, but the club will stick with Gagne for now. Both players are still worth using in AL-only leagues.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (Shaky)

Key setup men: Bob Howry, Carlos Marmol, Angel Guzman (DL), Mike Wuertz, Kerry Wood

Dempster didn't blow any saves in the latter part of this past week, but manager Lou Piniella still decided to announce that the club would use a committee approach to closing. Dempster's velocity and command still aren't the same as they were before he suffered an oblique injury, and he's been struggling of late as a result. Another DL stint is very possible, though he'll try to pitch through it for now. The right-hander has thrown one scoreless inning since the announcement, though the club has yet to generate a save opportunity. If Piniella isn't interested in using Dempster on a particular day, Howry will fill in as closer. He's worth using in NL-only and deep mixed leagues right now.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, Boone Logan

Jenks tied a major league record this past week when he retired the 41st straight batter he faced. Jenks has yet to pitch in a game since then due to an ankle injury, though he should be back closing in a day or two. On a team that's been a major disappointment, Jenks' excellent third season is one of the few shining moments the club has had.

Both Thornton and MacDougal have pitched better lately, though neither player has done so for long enough to be counted on in fantasy leagues again. Thornton probably remains next in line and could get a save in Jenks' ankle turns out to be more serious than originally thought.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Eddie Guardado, Mike Stanton, Bill Bray

Weathers did pick up two saves with scoreless innings of work this week. However, he also took a loss after giving up four runs in a tie game to the Padres. Between the club's lack of save opportunities and his mediocre rate stats, he remains one of the lesser options at closer. However, he's still got plenty of job security after Guardado struggled in his return from Tommy John surgery. The left-hander has given up five runs in two innings spread over three appearances thus far. The odds are against him contributing to a fantasy team this season.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Tom Mastny

Borowski started his week off by giving up a run in a three-run game against the White Sox before finally recording a save. He then surrendered four runs in a tie game against the Tigers to take a loss. It was a particularly brutal defeat considering the two are battling for AL Central supremacy. Borowski settled down with a scoreless inning to record a save in his final outing, but the right-hander now has four blown saves and five losses on the season, with only one of the two appearances overlapping. With the Indians tied for the division lead and a game out of the wild card, they can't afford to use Borowski, who has an ERA of 14.00 in non-save situations this season, in tie games any longer.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Manny Corpas (Shaky)

Key setup men: Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Jorge Julio, Jeremy Affeldt

Fuentes returned from a strained muscle in his rib cage this past week. He's made one appearance thus far, giving up a hit and a walk while striking out two batters in two-thirds of an inning. The left-hander won't return to closing duties yet, but the club will want to get him back there eventually. He's still the favorite by a wide margin to begin 2008 as the club's closer, and the team would prefer he gets some work in acting as closer to make for a smoother transition into next season. That means Corpas could lose his job in a few weeks, though Fuentes will have to prove himself capable first. Expect Fuentes to retake the ninth by early September.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya (DL), Fernando Rodney, Bobby Seay

Jones pitched two scoreless innings for saves this week, bringing his season total to 31. Rodney has given up just two baserunners and no runs in five innings since returning, so he needs to be active in AL-only leagues again. Zumaya made his first rehab appearance on Monday, retiring two of the three batters he faced and touching 94 MPH on the radar gun. He'll get his fastball back up another few notches once he's loose, but he's still going to be a high-risk option immediately after returning. If you have some other quality alternatives in shallower leagues, go with them over Zumaya initially. He should be back in seven to ten days.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Secure)

Key setup men: Armando Benitez, Matt Lindstrom, Taylor Tankersley, Justin Miller

Gregg garnered three more saves while not allowing a run this week. He now has 26 saves on the season and looks likely to finish the season as the game's most surprising 30-save closer of 2007.

I always liked Gregg when he was with the Angels and even drafted him in a few leagues that value middle relievers this season, but he was never the closer type and the Marlins always seemed more likely to go with a young arm they could build around for the future. Instead they went with Gregg, 29, and he responded with the best ERA of his career. The success may be somewhat of a fluke given the extremely low number of hits he's allowed coupled with no corresponding increase in strikeouts or decrease in walks, but that he's kept it together for so long is still impressive. He'll probably be overrated in 2008 as a result, in part because Gregg won a number of owners their league this season.

Houston Astros

Closer: Brad Lidge (Secure)

Key setup men: Chad Qualls, Dave Borkowski, Trever Miller

Lidge blew a save and took a loss against the Brewers this week when he gave up four runs in the ninth inning of a three-run game. That the four runs came on homers by two of baseball's best hitter, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] and Prince Fielder, means he can't be docked as much as usual, but it's still not an encouraging outing. Lidge did bounce back with two scoreless innings for saves, but he remains an inconsistent option at best. The Astros seem likely to continue giving him plenty of rope, so I'm not downgrading him to "Shaky" even after a poor couple of weeks.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Joakim Soria (Secure)

Key setup men: Zack Greinke, Joel Peralta, David Riske

Soria picked up two saves with 3 1/3 scoreless innings this week. As much as the club might want to take a look at Greinke in a closing capacity, there's just no way the club can remove Soria from the ninth right now. He's given up just three runs since May 20 and his 56/16 K/BB ratio in 51 innings is superb.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier, Darren Oliver

K-Rod pitched just once this week, picking up his 29th save despite yielding an unearned run against the Twins. Reaching 40 saves and 90 strikeouts for the third straight season may be tough (he's 11 and 26 away, respectively), but Rodriguez has still returned fair value on his lofty draft day price.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Scott Proctor, Chin-Hui Tsao (DL), Rudy Seanez

Saito notched a pair of saves while allowing one run in three innings of work this week. The right-hander is one save away from his first 30-save season in either Major League Baseball or the Japanese League.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise, Carlos Villanueva

Cordero hurled two scoreless innings for saves this week, striking out five of the six batters he faced in the process. He's tied with Jose Valverde for the major league lead with 36 saves. Brad Lidge is the only closer with more strikeouts than Cordero, and Lidge did most of his work in middle relief.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier, Juan Rincon

Nathan made just his third and fourth appearances of the month this week when he pitched a couple of scoreless innings in non-save situations. The right-hander has been extremely consistent as usual, giving up four or less runs during each month this season. In 94 1/3 innings since joining the Twins last season, Neshek has a 2.19 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP. Even if he doesn't end up closing for the Twins someday, he's likely to be one of the leagues best setup men for a number of years. He's one of the handful of best middle relievers to own in keeper formats.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Pedro Feliciano, Guillermo Mota

Before giving up two runs to the Marlins to blow just his second save of the season, Wagner was working on a streak of 19 straight scoreless innings. Even after the poor performance, Wagner still has a 1.55 ERA, second best of his career. He's also just two saves away from the eighth 30-save season of his career. It's unlikely that Wagner will notch 16 more saves to tie Jeff Reardon for sixth on the all-time list before the season is out. However, another healthy season in 2008 will allow the left-hander to pass both Reardon and Dennis Eckersley, thus moving him into fifth on the career saves leaderboard.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Luis Vizcaino, Joba Chamberlain, Kyle Farnsworth

Rivera had an ugly week, giving up one run on back-to-back days and then taking a loss after yielding three runs in the top of the 10th inning against the Orioles on Wednesday. The loss against the Orioles was particularly tough, as Rivera was hit hard for two doubles and a homer in the inning. He'll get back on track shortly.

Manager Joe Torre announced this week that Chamberlain wouldn't be the choice to take any save chances that Rivera wasn't handed. Torre said he wants someone with more experience, though it's pretty clear that Chamberlain is the club's second best reliever right now. Should Rivera be unavailable, Vizcaino would get the call. Since he's pitched well for over two months now and has a prime job pitching the eighth inning for the Yankees, Vizcaino is well worth using in AL-only and deep mixed leagues.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Huston Street (Secure)

Key setup men: Alan Embree, Santiago Casilla, Kiko Calero

Street picked up his first save since returning from the disabled list on July 23 by striking out all three White Sox batters he faced on Wednesday. Embree gave up two runs earlier in that game and also has yielded four runs over his last four outings, so the club will stick with Street for the remainder of the season. Embree will still probably remain next in line for the next seven weeks, but Casilla is the favorite to take that role into 2008.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Brett Myers (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tom Gordon, Antonio Alfonseca, Ryan Madson (DL)

Myers started the week by giving up two runs in a tie game to take a loss against the Marlins. He rebounded with two scoreless innings to pick up a pair of saves. Myers is 4-for-4 in save opportunities and also has a win since returning from the disabled list, though he also has been charged with two losses. He should be an excellent option for the remainder of the season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Matt Capps (Locked In)

Key setup men: Salomon Torres, Damaso Marte

Capps tossed a couple of scoreless innings this week to record his 10th save of the season. Torres hasn't pitched well since returning from the disabled list, surrendering seven runs ? six earned ? in just 6 1/3 innings of work. He'll get through it eventually, but it's probably best to bench him in NL-only leagues until he proves his elbow injury is fully behind him.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Heath Bell, Cla Meredith, Kevin Cameron

Hoffman pitched in just one game this week, giving up one run on three baserunners in an inning of work against the Reds. He was charged with a blown save for his efforts, though the Padres ended up winning the game in extra innings. Hoffman needs to finish just six more games before his option for 2008 vests automatically. It's an inexpensive $7.5 million option, so the Padres are sure to exercise it anyway.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Brad Hennessey (Secure)

Key setup men: Kevin Correia, Randy Messenger (DL), Brian Wilson

The Giants wanted Hennessey and Messenger to begin competing for closing duties in 2008, but immediately after the announcement Messenger began struggling. Once he got back on track, the right-hander broke his hand and was placed on the disabled list. The move ensures that Hennessey won't have to battle the former Marlin for closing duties at any point this season. The club would love Wilson to take the reigns and run with the job. His 2.11 ERA in Triple-A this season is encouraging, but Wilson's command is still below average and he's unlikely to match Hennessey's performance in the short-term. He'll be a sleeper in 2008, however.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, George Sherrill, Eric O'Flaherty

Putz picked up a save and win while yielding one run in two innings of work this week. The save was one of the least impressive of the season, as Putz entered a 7-2 game and gave up a grand slam to make it 7-6. He bounced back to retire the next three batters and only one of the runs was charged to his account, but it was still a less than stellar outing. The club still doesn't have the same confidence in Morrow that they had earlier in the year, but he's a more likely closer candidate than Sherrill or O'Flaherty.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Troy Percival, Tyler Johnson, Russ Springer

Isringhausen threw 1 2/3 scoreless innings spread over two outings to pick up a save this week. The club has a modest $8.8 million option on the right-hander for next season and they're sure to exercise it as long as he stays healthy for the season's final seven weeks.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Secure)

Key setup men: Dan Wheeler, Gary Glover, Brian Stokes, Shawn Camp

Reyes started off the week fine with a scoreless inning in a non-save situation, but it didn't end well for the right-hander. He gave up two runs to blow a save and take a loss against the Red Sox in his second outing, then allowed a run in a save situation against the Red Sox the very next day. That Wheeler has struggled in a setup role of late ensures that Reyes has plenty of job security. If he can remain healthy he should bounce back shortly.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Akinori Otsuka (DL), C.J. Wilson (Filling-In)

Key setup men: , Joaquin Benoit, Frank Francisco

Benoit and Wilson were supposed to battle for closing duties with Otsuka out, but Wilson has six saves to Benoit's none since Eric Gagne as traded. Maybe Benoit will pick up a save or two, but Wilson appears to be the favorite and is worth using in all formats. Otsuka is throwing off a mound again, but he's still at least two weeks away from returning.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Scott Downs, Jason Frasor

Accardo tossed three scoreless innings for saves this week, bringing his season total to 23. Both he and Janssen have ERAs in the low 2.00s, so they should enter next season in the same arrangement as the club's top two options.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Secure)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome (DL), Luis Ayala

Cordero tossed three scoreless innings this week to pick up three more saves, bringing his season total to 27. He's just two saves away from matching his total from all of last season, in part because the Nationals have played significantly better baseball.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

More Trouble for Mo
Yesterday in this space I opined that Mariano Rivera's so-called struggles recently weren't worth worrying about given how exceptionally well he's pitched since April. I still think that's the case, but Rivera certainly didn't make my argument look very good by turning in another rough outing Wednesday. Working in a non-save situation, Rivera took the loss against the Orioles after giving up three runs in the 10th inning. He's now allowed runs in three straight appearances.

The first two outings in that three-game stretch basically involved giving up a bunch of singles, but Wednesday saw Rivera serve up two doubles and a homer. Rivera has suppressed extra-base hits, and especially homers, as well as any pitcher in baseball history, so his latest outing is significantly more concerning. With that said, he continues to rack up strikeouts and the homer was the first one he's allowed since May. I'd bet an awful lot on Rivera being just fine.

While Yankees fans and Rivera owners hope that I'm right for once, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Exactly one month after first injuring his right knee, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] finally headed to the disabled list Wednesday. Despite staying on the active roster the entire time, Tracy managed just 37 plate appearances in 30 days, batting .194 with a .647 OPS over that span. Rookie Mark Reynolds has been starting at third base nearly every day with Tracy hobbled anyway, but now his spot in the lineup is officially secure.

Reynolds went through a prolonged slump after putting up big numbers immediately following his call-up, batting just .178 with four homers between June and July. However, he's turned things around this month, going 18-for-38 (.474) with 10 RBIs and a 1.117 OPS in 10 games so far in August. Reynolds' high strikeout totals may frustrate at times, but his power, guaranteed playing time, and hitter-friendly home ballpark give him plenty of fantasy value down the stretch.

* Shaun Marcum began this season in the Blue Jays' bullpen and struggled, going 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA in 16.1 relief innings. He then moved into the starting rotation on May 13, tossed six shutout innings, and hasn't looked back. Marcum turned in seven innings of one-run ball Wednesday against the Angels, making him 9-2 with a 2.91 ERA, 79-to-28 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .211 opponent's batting average in 111.1 innings spread over 18 starts.

Now, Marcum isn't that good. His .234 batting average on balls in play unsustainably fantastic and he's a fly-ball pitcher who's allowed 16 homers in those 111.1 innings, which makes it highly unlikely that he'll maintain such a low ERA long term. With that said, his minor-league track record is very solid and Marcum's changeup is excellent, suggesting that the 25-year-old right-hander has the ability to give the Blue Jays a strong No. 2 starter behind Roy Halladay.

* Nothing official has been announced as of Thursday morning, but the Red Sox are expected to call up top prospect Clay Buchholz to start Game 1 of Friday's doubleheader. To make room for Buchholz on the roster, Wily Mo Pena is reportedly likely to be traded or designated for assignment. Following Buchholz's debut Friday, the Red Sox are then expected to send him back to the minors and fill Pena's spot with Jacoby Ellsbury or Bobby Kielty.

It's amazing how quickly Pena has fallen out of favor after hitting .301 with an .838 OPS as a 24-year-old last season. During spring training manager Terry Francona talked of getting Pena 500 at-bats, but now he's being dumped after 172 bad trips to the plate. Kielty would be a fine choice as a platoon player against left-handed pitching, but it's worth noting that even with his struggles this season Pena has hit .284 with an .805 OPS against southpaws.

* After spending his first three weeks back from the disabled list as a setup man, Huston Street returned to the closer role Wednesday. Following seven shutout innings from Joe Blanton, fill-in closer Alan Embree came in for the eighth inning and allowed two runs before handing over a 3-2 lead to Street. He slammed the door by striking out the side for his first save since May 6, giving Street a 3.09 ERA and 16-to-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 11.2 innings since returning.

* Scott Rolen collected the eighth four-hit game of his career Wednesday, going 4-for-5 with a homer, two RBIs, and three runs. Rolen has had a rough season, but it looks like he's finally getting over the shoulder problems that have limited him all year. Since July 1, Rolen has batted .287 with four homers, seven doubles, 23 RBIs, 23 runs, and a .783 OPS in 35 games. Prior to that stretch he had managed just four homers and 30 RBIs in 66 games.

* Along the same lines as Rivera, in this space last week I suggested not to get overly concerned by Yovani Gallardo's brutal start at Coors Field. Well, he followed up that ugly 11-run outing by coughing up seven runs in 5.2 innings Wednesday against the Cardinals. The good news is that Gallardo racked up six strikeouts while taking the loss. The bad news is that he's served up a pair of homers in back-to-back starts after allowing a total of two homers in his first 53 innings.

AL Quick Hits: Troy Glaus (foot) returned to the lineup Wednesday, but revealed that he's been diagnosed with plantar fasciitis ? Bartolo Colon (elbow) threw a 46-pitch bullpen session Wednesday and could be close to beginning a minor-league rehab assignment ? C.J. Wilson's scoreless-innings streak ended Wednesday, but he recorded his sixth save ? Fausto Carmona held the Tigers to a pair of runs over eight innings Wednesday, snapping a three-game losing streak with his 14th victory while racking up a career-high 10 strikeouts ? Despite a 5.01 ERA in five starts at Triple-A, Ervin Santana is expected to be recalled to start Friday ? It sounds like Jason Bartlett's hamstring injury will put him on the disabled list ? Josh Barfield was on the bench Wednesday and could be losing his starting job to Asdrubal Cabrera ? Orlando Cabrera had just a dozen steals through 117 games, but swiped three bases Wednesday ? Ryan Garko left Wednesday's game with a groin injury ? Instead of starting Wednesday, Esteban Loaiza (knee) will continue his rehab assignment while Dan Meyer steps into the rotation.

NL Quick Hits: Albert Pujols' homer Wednesday was his 25th of the season and 275th of his career ? As expected, the Rockies placed Willy Taveras (quadriceps) on the disabled list Wednesday, giving Ryan Spilborghs a value boost ? With six shutout innings in a no-decision Wednesday, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] pushed his MLB-leading ERA back under 2.00 ? Jason Kendall homered Wednesday for the first time with the Cubs and is now hitting .311 with an .860 OPS in 22 games since being traded ? Barry Bonds smacked career homer No. 759 Wednesday, giving him five long balls in 31 at-bats this month ? With three hits and three RBIs Wednesday, Moises Alou is now batting .317 with six homers, 15 RBIs, and a 1.015 OPS in 17 games since coming off the DL ? Edgar Renteria (ankle) is hoping to come off the shelf early next week ? Josh Hamilton wasn't in the starting lineup Wednesday, but delivered the game-winning two-run homer off the bench ? After posting a 6.36 ERA with the Mariners in 2006 and a 5.03 ERA with the Red Sox this season, Joel Pineiro now has a 2.84 ERA in three starts with the Cardinals.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Marcum Down As A Fluke?
We're really getting down to the wire in fantasy leagues, and every stat counts. I've added a little matchup focus to this week's column.

American League

Clay Buchholz, SP, BOS ? Boston's phenom makes his big league debut today against the Angels. While it's tough to predict the outcome of a single start, I think he's worth the gamble. There doesn't seem to be an opening for Buchholz to stay given Jon Lester's fine effort against the Devil Rays on Tuesday. AL: $2, Mixed: No.

Jair Jurrjens, SP, DET ? Jurrjens had a fine Major League debut against the Indians, allowing four runs in seven innings. He gets the same matchup against Fausto Carmona on Tuesday. I'd be hesitant to use him for round two, plus he'll likely be replaced by Andrew Miller after that. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Alex Gordon, 1B/3B, KCA ? Gordon has four homers already this month and August could top June as his best yet. The overall numbers aren't pretty but Gordon remains a five-category stud. He could finish the season with a bang and is a decent play in mixed leagues. AL: $16, Mixed: $6.

Howie Kendrick, 1B/2B, LAA ? Kendrick should be activated from the DL soon. He's risky since he's coming off a broken finger. But if you need batting average in your mixed league, Kendrick could be a solid gamble. AL: $13, Mixed: $3.

Ervin Santana, SP, LAA ? Santana might get a spot start on Friday, but he hasn't turned it around in the minors and should be avoided for now. AL: No, Mixed: No.

Scott Baker, SP, MIN ? Baker has shown his usual fantastic command this year, and his peripheral stats indicate an ERA more like 3.90 than his current 4.50 mark. He's worth owning in all leagues, especially if you need WHIP and strikeouts. He draws the Mariners on Tuesday. They've had a middle of the pack offense, though they've been stellar this month. I'd pick him up but might consider sitting him until he faces the Orioles. AL: $16, Mixed: $6.

Kurt Suzuki, C, OAK ? Suzuki hit a less-than-thrilling .280/.351/.365 in Triple A this year but is up to .255/.339/.441 in the bigs. I don't expect the power to last. But if you're desperate in a deep two-catcher league, he's at least a regular who won't kill you. AL: $6, Mixed: $1.

Esteban Loaiza, SP, OAK ? Loaiza is throwing 92-93 mph and thinks he's finally ready following neck and knee injuries. He'll have one last rehab start Friday and could make his season debut Wednesday at Toronto. He'd then get the Jays again the following week. Toronto has just an average offense so I think Loaiza is worth the risk in AL-only. Chances are he'll be mediocre, though he was lights out in August last year. AL: $4, Mixed: No.

Joe Blanton, SP, OAK ? Blanton was dropped in many mixed leagues following a string of five lousy starts. He's had two fine efforts this month plus a drubbing at the hands of the Tigers. He's not a bad play against the Jays on Monday. He faced that team in July and had his way with them. AL: $16, Mixed: $6.

Vicente Padilla, SP, TEX ? After signing a big contract extension with Texas, Padilla came down with elbow tenderness in March. He finally hit the DL in June after an awful start and re-emerged Wednesday against the Royals. He was on a pitch count but dominated them over five innings. Padilla was consistently throwing 93-95 mph, albeit against one of the worst offenses in the league. The Orioles are up next, and like Loaiza he's an interesting AL-only gamble. AL: $4, Mixed: No.

David Murphy, OF, TEX ? Murphy was acquired in the Eric Gagne deal. He's off to a hot start for the Rangers. He hasn't done anything terribly interesting in two stints at Triple A, though, so I don't expect much over the long haul. AL: $1, Mixed: No.

Shaun Marcum, SP, TOR ? As a starter, Marcum is quietly 9-2 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this year. Who saw that coming? He's been more valuable than Roy Halladay this year. I like the 2.8 K/BB ratio, but I'm more than a little skeptical of 85 hits allowed in 111.1 innings. Marcum's .236 Batting Average on Balls In Play is second-lowest in baseball for those with 100 innings pitched. He simply can't maintain it long-term. He probably ends up a solid AL-only mid-rotation guy rather than a mixed league ace. AL: $16, Mixed: $5.

National League

Yusmeiro Petit, SP, ARI ? Petit is back in Arizona's rotation after the Byung-Hyun Kim experiment failed. Petit might be better than Kim but I don't see him maintaining a low 4s ERA. I wouldn't start him against the Braves on Sunday. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Jake Fox, OF, CHN ? With Cliff Floyd on bereavement, Fox has gotten a few starts in right field. He even batted fifth yesterday. Floyd will return in a few days and resume regular RF duty, with Felix Pie subbing in center if Jacque Jones' ankle injury worsens. If Fox has a big weekend he could move to left field at Matt Murton's expense. In the short term, Fox's power makes him worth a look in NL-only. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Bob Howry, RP, CHN ? Howry seems to have replaced Ryan Dempster as the favorite to close in Chicago. Carlos Marmol could be in the mix as well, but look for Lou to opt for the veteran. Howry had been cruising this month prior to the Josh Hamilton home run on Wednesday. If you're scrounging for saves, Howry is at least as good a pickup as Danys Baez. NL: $9, Mixed: $2.

Josh Hamilton, OF, CIN ? Hamilton was activated recently following a sprained wrist. He's 5 for 11 since his return but now has to battle with Norris Hopper for playing time. That makes him a less than ideal mixed league pickup, but it still wouldn't be shocking to see him knock another 5-7 homers this year. NL: $12, Mixed: $1.

Ubaldo Jimenez, SP, COL ? Jimenez's nine-strikeout performance against the Padres on Wednesday turned a few heads. He's got great stuff but has to learn to harness it, as walks are still a problem. But he gets the Pirates on Monday, a team dead last in the league in walks. Then it's the Nationals on Saturday, a team also not known for the free pass. Jimenez is an intriguing short-term play. NL: $2, Mixed: No.

Franklin Morales, SP, COL ? Morales is similar to Jimenez in that both are young power pitchers with walk problems. He draws the Dodgers on Saturday for his Major League debut; Morales will probably make three starts before Aaron Cook returns (unless the team makes a trade). How he'll perform in the short-term is anyone's guess but I wouldn't risk it. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Eric Stults, SP, LAN ? Stults, a 27 year-old southpaw, slides into L.A.'s rotation in place of Mark Hendrickson. He'll take on the Rockies today in L.A. He gave up 134 hits in 89 Triple A innings this year ? pass. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Shea Hillenbrand, 3B, LAN ? Hillenbrand, DFA'd twice in two years, finds himself starting at third base for the Dodgers now. He seems a long shot for fantasy value but was decent just a year ago. Might be worth consideration in a deep NL-only league. NL: $1, Mixed: No.

Yovani Gallardo, SP, MIL ? Gallardo's ERA sat at 2.55 on August 3rd, but two stinkers in a row have brought it up to 4.84. I wouldn't drop him, but can he be used against the D'Backs in Arizona on Monday? He did dominate them a month ago. For better or for worse, I lean towards starting him. NL: $12, Mixed: $3.

Adam LaRoche, 1B, PIT ? LaRoche is similar to Melky Cabrera in that his awful April masks his contribution since. Since May 1 he's at .285/.353/.490 with 15 HR and 58 RBI in 337 at-bats. That's basically a solid 25-100 first baseman, and he's been better with each ensuing month. Maybe LaRoche just needed to get comfortable with his new team. NL: $25, Mixed: $12.

Brian Giles, OF, SDN ? What's in the water in Cincy? Giles mashed five homers in three days there this month after hitting just two all season. I think it was just a hot stretch in a hitters' ballpark. Giles' main fantasy benefit as the Padres' high-OBP leadoff hitter is runs scored. NL: $14, Mixed: $2.

Joel Pineiro, SP, STL ? Is this one of those AL to NL things? Pineiro has toiled in the AL his entire career, with a couple of solid seasons mixed in. So far he's logged one marginal start and two fine seven-inning efforts for the Cards. It's too early to analyze the stats, but Pineiro's home run tendencies probably won't disappear. His control might improve, though I'm not sure about his strikeout rate. I don't like him long-term but he's an OK gamble against the Cubs Monday. Only Jacque Jones has really gotten an extended look at him so Pineiro might have an advantage. NL: $3, Mixed: No.

Jim Edmonds, OF, STL ? Edmonds has been on fire with a .996 OPS this month. He's a solid mixed league pickup, but hasn't touched lefties since 2005. With Rich Hill and Sean Marshall as his opponents on Friday and Saturday, you might want to keep him inactive until Sunday against the newly-signed Carlos Zambrano. NL: $12, Mixed: $1.

Adam Wainwright, SP, STL ? Maybe Wainwright is starting to figure out this starting thing again. In 14 starts since the beginning of June, he has a 3.06 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. However his 2.1 K/BB over that span isn't anything special. I'd rather see him excelling in that stat than relying on low hit and home run rates. He gets the Marlins on Tuesday, his first start against the Fish this year. The Marlins actually have some power this season. Wainwright is an OK play but I would hesitate in shallow mixed leagues. NL: $15, Mixed: $4.

Joel Hanrahan, SP, WAS ? Hanrahan, a 25-year-old minor league lifer, has a 2.95 ERA in four starts for Washington. He's a flyball pitcher with a control problem, and his numbers show that even in the early going. League unfamiliarity has gotten him this far but it's all downhill from here. NL: No, Mixed: No.

Shawn Hill, SP, WAS ? Hill missed several months with right elbow and left shoulder injuries (he's right-handed). He picked up right where he left off; he hasn't had a bad start in nine tries this year. His 58.5% groundball rate is on par with Chien-Ming Wang's. That compensates somewhat for strikeout and walk rates that are good but not elite. There's zero chance he maintains his .228 BABIP, but his peripherals should still remain strong enough to justify mixed league ownership. He remains a health risk though. NL: $15, Mixed: $4.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Cubs, Zambrano Agree to Deal
Initially rumored to be on the verge of signing a long-term deal way back in spring training, Carlos Zambrano and the Cubs have reportedly finally agreed to a contract extension. The deal is said to be for five seasons and $91.5 million, with a sixth-year player option for $19.25 million that essentially makes it a $111 million extension. Zambrano will obviously never regret taking a guaranteed $111 million, but the deal is relative a bargain compared to Barry Zito's contract.

At the time Zito signed his seven-year, $126 million contract with the Giants this offseason, he was a 28-year-old pitcher coming off a season in which he went 16-10 with a 3.83 ERA in 221 innings and had a career mark of 102-63 (.618) with a 3.55 ERA. Zambrano is a 26-year-old pitcher putting the finishing touches on a season in which he's on pace to go 19-12 with a 3.86 ERA in 223 innings and has a career record of 78-51 (.605) with a 3.37 ERA.

In other words, Zambrano is two years younger and every bit as good as Zito, yet Chicago's total commitment is a season shorter and $15 million less than San Francisco's. You'd assume that the Cubs had to pay a premium on a per-year basis in order to get a six-year deal done when seven-year contracts have seemingly become the standard for top-tier starting pitchers. Instead, Zambrano will make just $500,000 more per season than Zito.

Handing $111 million to a pitcher is a huge risk regardless of contract length or how it compares to other deals. With that said, the Cubs have done as well as could have been expected in this situation, signing a premiere starter to a below-market deal that puts them on the hook through his age-32 season. Zambrano's signing is also good news for the Twins, because locking Johan Santana up may be slightly easier now that Zito's isn't the last major deal signed by a starter.

While various big-payroll teams cross Zambrano off their winter shopping list, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* When the Tigers promoted 20-year-old top prospect Cameron Maybin from Single-A to Double-A last week, general manager Dave Dombrowski said that the team would not be calling him up to the majors this season. Those plans have apparently changed in a hurry, because multiple sources report that Maybin is on his way to the big leagues and is expected to join the Tigers in time for Friday's game against the Yankees.

Cameron has emerged as an elite prospect since being drafted 10th overall in 2005 and went 8-for-20 (.400) with four homers in six games at Double-A after hitting .304 with 10 homers, 25 steals, and an .879 OPS in 83 games at Single-A. With that said, calling him up this quickly comes as a major shock and it's unclear where he fits into the Tigers' outfield. A right-handed hitter, it's possible that Maybin will be asked to platoon with Curtis Granderson in center field.

While Maybin's value down the stretch may be limited, there's little question that he has a chance to be a huge fantasy asset long term. At 6-foot-4 with tremendous athleticism, Maybin has hit .309 with 23 homers, 69 total extra-base hits, and 52 steals in 192 professional games. As is the case with many premiere prospects, he's shown no difficulty adjusting to and thriving against new, more advanced competition despite being extremely young for each level. He's a stud.

* NBCSPORTS.COM VIDEO: Fantasy Fix ? Ankiel's Long Road Back

* Jason Kendall has surprisingly thrived since being traded from the A's to the Cubs last month, batting .311 with a .420 on-base percentage and .866 OPS in 23 games after hitting just .226 with a .261 OBP and .542 OPS in 80 games with Oakland. Despite Kendall's sudden resurgence, the A's are likely still happy with the trade given 23-year-old rookie Kurt Suzuki's performance as Kendall's replacement behind the plate.

Called up from the minors mid-June and handed the starting job when Kendall left in mid-July, Suzuki has hit .255 with four homers, 17 RBIs, and a .780 OPS in 119 plate appearances. He's a good prospect, but the power comes as a surprise after Suzuki went deep just three times in 55 games at Triple-A to begin this year and seven times in 93 games at Double-A last season. Suzuki's latest homer was a three-run walk-off shot in the 10th inning Thursday.

* When Nick Johnson suffered a broken leg in an ugly collision last September, the Nationals initially hoped to have him back at some point during the first half. After multiple setbacks in his recovery and ongoing hip problems, the team announced Thursday that Johnson will miss the entire season. Johnson is expected to undergo another surgery at some point and his status for 2008 remains unclear, which likely played a part in Dmitri Young's two-year contract extension.

AL Quick Hits: If his third minor-league rehab appearance goes well Saturday, Joel Zumaya (finger) is on track to come off the disabled list Tuesday ? Ervin Santana is expected to head back to Triple-A following Friday's start, with Howie Kendrick (finger) taking his roster spot over the weekend ? Six weeks removed from knee surgery, Mike Sweeney could be close to beginning a rehab stint ? Carlos Guillen's first-inning grand slam Thursday was his first homer since the day before the All-Star break ? Mike Napoli (hamstring) is likely still at least a week from returning ? Andrew Miller (hamstring) is scheduled to make another rehab start Monday, leaving Jair Jurrjens in the rotation for a second shot at Fausto Carmona and the Indians next week ? Hank Blalock (ribs) said Thursday that he hopes to return by August 31, although early September seems more likely ? Facing the Yankees with flu-like symptoms Thursday, Justin Verlander saw his streak of 14 straight starts with five-plus strikeouts end ? After going 0-for-4 Thursday, Aaron Hill is hitting .211 with zero walks and a .507 OPS over the past 17 games.

NL Quick Hits: Not only is Daily Dose favorite Rajai Davis hitting .391 with eight steals since joining the Giants, he robbed Andruw Jones of a homer Thursday ? Mark Mulder (shoulder) made his first minor-league rehab start Thursday at Single-A, allowing four runs in 1.1 innings ? With a perfect ninth inning Thursday, Trevor Hoffman added to his record with a dozen straight 30-save seasons ? As expected, the Rockies placed Aaron Cook (oblique) on the disabled list Thursday, with Elmer Dessens stepping into his rotation spot Friday ? Derek Lowe tossed seven shutout innings Thursday to win for the first time since June 22, improving to just 9-11 despite a 3.43 ERA ? After going 3-for-5 with a homer Thursday, Adam LaRoche is batting .321 with eight long balls since July 1 ? David Wells cleared waivers and became a free agent Thursday, with the Dodgers and Rockies reportedly interested ? Mark DeRosa had five of the Cubs' 20 hits Thursday, driving in four runs ? How pitcher-friendly is Petco Park? Thursday's 11-9 game featured the second-most runs in the ballpark's four-year history.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

August Top 250 Player Rankings
Sorry about the delay, but here are the August player rankings. Players are ranked based on how much I believe they'll be worth in 5x5 leagues over the rest of the year.

Talk about this month's Rankings on the Rotoworld forums.</I>

Click the links below to see the other positional and overall rankings for August.

Outfielders
Third Basemen
Shortstops
Second Basemen
First Basemen & DH
Catchers
Starting Pitchers
Relief Pitchers

<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Team</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Alex Rodriguez</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>Albert Pujols</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Jose Reyes</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Johan Santana</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Ryan Howard</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Jake Peavy</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Vladimir Guerrero</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Carl Crawford</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Hanley Ramirez</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Carlos Zambrano</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Miguel Cabrera</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>Matt Holliday</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>David Wright</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Grady Sizemore</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Jimmy Rollins</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Brandon Webb</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Ichiro Suzuki</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Mark Teixeira</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Derek Jeter</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>Manny Ramirez</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Prince Fielder</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>Erik Bedard</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>David Ortiz</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>Bobby Abreu</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Daisuke Matsuzaka</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>Carlos Lee</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Roy Oswalt</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>Chone Figgins</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Francisco Rodriguez</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>Justin Morneau</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>C.C. Sabathia</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>Victor Martinez</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Billy Wagner</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>34</TD><TD>Adam Dunn</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Joe Mauer</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>36</TD><TD>Derrek Lee</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Miguel Tejada</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>38</TD><TD>Josh Beckett</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Joe Nathan</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>40</TD><TD>Lance Berkman</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Jonathan Papelbon</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>42</TD><TD>Alex Rios</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>John Smoltz</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>44</TD><TD>Chipper Jones</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Curtis Granderson</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>46</TD><TD>J.J. Putz</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>47</TD><TD>Roy Halladay</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>48</TD><TD>Magglio Ordo?ez</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>49</TD><TD>Mariano Rivera</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>50</TD><TD>Carlos Beltran</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>51</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL]</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>52</TD><TD>Brian Roberts</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>53</TD><TD>Travis Hafner</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>54</TD><TD>Dan Haren</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>55</TD><TD>Michael Young</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>56</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL]</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>57</TD><TD>Russell Martin</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>58</TD><TD>Juan Pierre</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>59</TD><TD>Rafael Furcal</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>60</TD><TD>Jason Bay</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>61</TD><TD>Francisco Cordero</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>62</TD><TD>Brandon Phillips</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>63</TD><TD>Gary Sheffield</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>64</TD><TD>Trevor Hoffman</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>65</TD><TD>Jim Thome</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>66</TD><TD>Jorge Posada</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>67</TD><TD>Garrett Atkins</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>68</TD><TD>Paul Konerko</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>69</TD><TD>John Lackey</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>70</TD><TD>Takashi Saito</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>71</TD><TD>Aramis Ramirez</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>72</TD><TD>Felix Hernandez</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>73</TD><TD>Bobby Jenks</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>74</TD><TD>Chase Utley</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>75</TD><TD>Andruw Jones</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>76</TD><TD>Jose Valverde</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>77</TD><TD>Jeff Francoeur</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>78</TD><TD>Carlos Delgado</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>79</TD><TD>Dan Uggla</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>80</TD><TD>Hideki Matsui</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>81</TD><TD>Tim Hudson</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>82</TD><TD>Robinson Cano</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>83</TD><TD>Vernon Wells</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>84</TD><TD>Brian McCann</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>85</TD><TD>Cole Hamels</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>86</TD><TD>Jason Isringhausen</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>87</TD><TD>Eric Byrnes</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>88</TD><TD>Torii Hunter</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>89</TD><TD>Todd Helton</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>90</TD><TD>Jeff Kent</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>91</TD><TD>Justin Verlander</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>92</TD><TD>B.J. Upton</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>93</TD><TD>Brad Penny</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>94</TD><TD>Nick Markakis</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>95</TD><TD>Orlando Cabrera</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>96</TD><TD>Curt Schilling</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>97</TD><TD>Chad Cordero</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>98</TD><TD>Ryan Zimmerman</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>99</TD><TD>Aaron Rowand</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>100</TD><TD>Jered Weaver</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>101</TD><TD>Edgar Renteria</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>102</TD><TD>Aaron Harang</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>103</TD><TD>Carlos Guillen</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>104</TD><TD>Michael Cuddyer</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>105</TD><TD>Jeremy Bonderman</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>106</TD><TD>Adrian Gonzalez</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>107</TD><TD>Brad Hawpe</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>108</TD><TD>John Maine</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>109</TD><TD>Julio Lugo</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>110</TD><TD>Kelvim Escobar</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>111</TD><TD>Joe Borowski</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>112</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL]</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>113</TD><TD>Adrian Beltre</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>114</TD><TD>Mark Buehrle</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>115</TD><TD>Carlos Pe?a</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>116</TD><TD>Jermaine Dye</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>117</TD><TD>Roger Clemens</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>118</TD><TD>Nick Swisher</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>119</TD><TD>Huston Street</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>120</TD><TD>Corey Patterson</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>121</TD><TD>Tim Lincecum</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>122</TD><TD>Corey Hart</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>123</TD><TD>Jhonny Peralta</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>124</TD><TD>Adam LaRoche</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>125</TD><TD>Gary Matthews Jr.</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>126</TD><TD>Al Reyes</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>127</TD><TD>Kevin Youkilis</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>128</TD><TD>Willy Taveras</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>129</TD><TD>Ted Lilly</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>130</TD><TD>Troy Glaus</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>131</TD><TD>Derek Lowe</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>132</TD><TD>Jeremy Accardo</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>133</TD><TD>Ken Griffey Jr.</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>134</TD><TD>Orlando Hudson</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>135</TD><TD>Scott Kazmir</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>136</TD><TD>Troy Tulowitzki</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>137</TD><TD>Rich Hill</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>138</TD><TD>Coco Crisp</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>139</TD><TD>Ramon Hernandez</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>140</TD><TD>Brett Myers</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>141</TD><TD>Johnny Damon</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>142</TD><TD>Placido Polanco</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>143</TD><TD>Ivan Rodriguez</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>144</TD><TD>Delmon Young</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>145</TD><TD>Fausto Carmona</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>146</TD><TD>Felipe Lopez</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>147</TD><TD>Andy Pettitte</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>148</TD><TD>Ian Snell</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>149</TD><TD>Kelly Johnson</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>150</TD><TD>Kevin Gregg</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>151</TD><TD>Mike Lowell</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>152</TD><TD>Chris Duncan</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>153</TD><TD>Yovani Gallardo</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>154</TD><TD>Josh Willingham</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>155</TD><TD>J.J. Hardy</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>156</TD><TD>Matt Capps</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>157</TD><TD>Chien-Ming Wang</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>158</TD><TD>Alex Gordon</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>159</TD><TD>Matt Cain</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>160</TD><TD>Javier Vazquez</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>161</TD><TD>J.D. Drew</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>162</TD><TD>Barry Bonds</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>163</TD><TD>Ian Kinsler</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>164</TD><TD>Todd Jones</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>165</TD><TD>Alfonso Soriano</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>166</TD><TD>Scott Rolen</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>167</TD><TD>Oliver Perez</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>168</TD><TD>Pat Burrell</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>169</TD><TD>Bronson Arroyo</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>170</TD><TD>Howie Kendrick</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>171</TD><TD>Frank Thomas</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>172</TD><TD>Jason Giambi</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>173</TD><TD>Joakim Soria</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>174</TD><TD>Barry Zito</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>175</TD><TD>Mike Cameron</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>176</TD><TD>Brian Giles</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>177</TD><TD>Lyle Overbay</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>178</TD><TD>Noah Lowry</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>179</TD><TD>Josh Fields</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>180</TD><TD>Ryan Dempster</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>181</TD><TD>Melvin Mora</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>182</TD><TD>Jeremy Guthrie</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>183</TD><TD>Brad Lidge</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>184</TD><TD>Ty Wigginton</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>185</TD><TD>Randy Winn</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>186</TD><TD>Phil Hughes</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>187</TD><TD>Mark Teahen</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>188</TD><TD>Bob Wickman</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>189</TD><TD>Richie Sexson</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>190</TD><TD>Jason Varitek</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>191</TD><TD>Greg Maddux</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>192</TD><TD>Billy Butler</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>193</TD><TD>Kenji Johjima</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>194</TD><TD>David Weathers</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>195</TD><TD>Chuck James</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>196</TD><TD>Moises Alou</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>197</TD><TD>Aaron Hill</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>198</TD><TD>Shane Victorino</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>199</TD><TD>Ben Sheets</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>200</TD><TD>A.J. Pierzynski</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>201</TD><TD>Bill Hall</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>202</TD><TD>Manny Corpas</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>203</TD><TD>Mike Mussina</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>204</TD><TD>Dontrelle Willis</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>205</TD><TD>Raul Ibanez</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>206</TD><TD>Mike Piazza</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>207</TD><TD>Freddy Sanchez</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>208</TD><TD>Brad Hennessey</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>209</TD><TD>A.J. Burnett</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>210</TD><TD>Kenny Lofton</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>211</TD><TD>Orlando Hernandez</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>212</TD><TD>Johnny Estrada</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>213</TD><TD>Scott Podsednik</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>214</TD><TD>Chad Billingsley</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>215</TD><TD>Danys Baez</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>216</TD><TD>Ryan Garko</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>217</TD><TD>Garret Anderson</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>218</TD><TD>Tom Glavine</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>219</TD><TD>Tom Gorzelanny</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>220</TD><TD>Yorvit Torrealba</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>221</TD><TD>C.J. Wilson</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>222</TD><TD>Geoff Jenkins</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>223</TD><TD>Matt Garza</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>224</TD><TD>Casey Kotchman</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>225</TD><TD>James Shields</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>226</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2353"]Jose Guillen[/URL]</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>227</TD><TD>Bengie Molina</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>228</TD><TD>Rafael Betancourt</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>229</TD><TD>Joaquin Benoit</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>230</TD><TD>Conor Jackson</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>231</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3797"][URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4378"]Luis Gonzalez[/URL][/URL]</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>232</TD><TD>Edwin Encarnacion</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>233</TD><TD>Jeff Francis</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>234</TD><TD>Austin Kearns</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>235</TD><TD>Scot Shields</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>236</TD><TD>Casey Blake</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>237</TD><TD>James Loney</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>238</TD><TD>Pedro Martinez</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>239</TD><TD>Jonathan Broxton</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>240</TD><TD>Nomar Garciaparra</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>241</TD><TD>Milton Bradley</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>242</TD><TD>Bob Howry</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>243</TD><TD>Jack Cust</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>244</TD><TD>Hank Blalock</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>245</TD><TD>Joe Blanton</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>246</TD><TD>Khalil Greene</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>247</TD><TD>Jim Edmonds</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>248</TD><TD>Aubrey Huff</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>249</TD><TD>Jonny Gomes</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>250</TD><TD>David DeJesus</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Week That Was
Rookie callups, veterans heating up, players to avoid and more in this week's Week That Was.

Cameron Maybin: Cameron Maybin took the collar in his major league debut, striking out twice. Maybin, just 20 years old, looked more like a little leaguer than a big leaguer against Andy Pettitte. Sure, Maybin is a great prospect. However, hitting .300 in Single A is not an indicator of immediate success in the bigs. Look for Maybin to struggle big time in the heat of the pennant race. He belongs in AA, not even AAA at this point. The only reason to pick him up is if you are out of it, in a deep keeper league, and can keep him until at least 2009 ? the first year he should provide serious fantasy value.

Lance Berkman: Lance Berkman jacked two dingers last night against the Padres, with the first of those coming off of ace Jake Peavy. Right now, Berkman represents a major buying opportunity for teams in the hunt. He is a star in his prime who has not produced his typical stud numbers ? yet. Call the Berkman owner in your league and carp about his middling .267 average. Just make sure you conveniently omit mentioning that over the last three years, Berkman has averaged over 33 HR and over a .300 average. He will be fun to watch and own over the last 6 weeks.

Wily Mo Pena: The Nats acquired Wily Mo from the Red Sox this week. According to reports, the Nats plan to platoon Pena with Ryan Church. Of course, this does not make much sense. Why not run Pena out there everyday and see what you have? I figure Pena gets a lot of time down the stretch. If you are in a keeper league, grab this 25 year old who hit over .300 last year. If you are in the race, but need to catch lightning in a bottle to make your move, Pena is a good gamble. If however, you are on top, stay away from Pena as the Nats do little on offense and you do not need to take the risk.

Craig Monroe: As part of the rushing of 20 year old Cameron Maybin to the majors, the Tigers cut Craig Monroe. I have to say that I am scratching my head over this one. Monroe is a 30 year old in the prime of his career who has average 24 HR and 90 RBI in the last two years (before 2007). Yes, he has had a poor year this year, with only 11 HR and a woeful .222 average. But cutting him? Odd. Not many free agents will hit the wires before September 1. If you need power, keep on eye on Monroe ? if he lands on a team with an opening due to injury, he could help. If you are in a keeper league, store him on reserve ? who knows.

Russ Adams: Toronto called up Russ Adams to replace the recently picked up then cut Hector Luna. Do not get too excited. In fact, do not get excited at all. Yes, Adams started at shortstop for two years. However, he was hitting a paltry .262 at AAA. So, unless you need a .230 hitting middle infielder who will see limited time, Adams is not your man.

Andy Phillips: Phillips went 3-4 with two RBI last night. Overall, Phillips has overcome the odds and posted a solid season, hitting .285 with 22 RBI in just 50 games (a bunch of those as a fielding sub). Ok, here is where I rant a little bit. Phillips (and co-defensive whiz Melky Cabrera) should play everyday. His offense is good enough and the Yankees need his defense. So, for those of you who think that Joe Torre and the Yankees will be able to avoid making the absurd mistakes of last year (playing Sheffield at first base, ruining team chemistry and team defense and helping the ugly slide into oblivion), Phillips is your man. I mean really ? why would a team that is out hitting everyone else in the second half ever consider sitting the slick fielding Phillips or Melky Cabrera except for the rare day off? On the other hand, if you think that the Yankees will be dumb enough to sacrifice fielding and fundamentals for the quick high of an additional big name bat, ignore or trade Phillips. Let's see if intelligence and rationality prevail.

Yusmeiro Petit: According to reports, the Diamondbacks will bring up Yusmeiro Petit to start on Sunday. Fortunately for all of you out there that appreciate the game, Petit will be taking the place of Byung-Hyun Kim ? a pitcher who should never have been picked up and should never have been used over Petit in the first place. Petit showed he belonged in the show earlier this season, posting an ERA around 4.20 in almost 40 innings. At just 22, Petit is still a bit young, but makes a good gamble for a back of the rotation starter this year. For those in keeper leagues, this is a no-brainer ? BUY.

Yovani Gallardo: Yovani Gallardo got spanked again this week, yielding 7 runs in under 6 innings on Wednesday. Rookies, no matter how talented, can be unpredictable. If you can reserve him, think long and hard about it. Cutting him, on the other hand, is an overreact. Don't. Finally, if you are in a keeper league, call the Gallardo owner, talk about his recent troubles and snag a pitcher who will be a rotation fixture for a long time to come.

Ryan Spilsborghs: With the most recent injury to CF Willy Taveras, Ryan Spilborghs makes a solid play. Spils has flown under the radar all year. First, the Rockies tried to retrofit 42 year old Steve Finley as the backup CF. Then, they toyed with former starter Corey Sullivan. However, they could not ignore Ryan's production -- .321 with 10 hr in just 162 AB. Playing everyday for at least the next two weeks, Spilsborghs should provide a spark for the Rockies and his fantasy owners alike.

Eric Stults: Dodger Eric Stults struck out nine, while giving up just 2 hits and walking just one Friday night in a very impressive performance. If there ever was a sell high candidate, Stults is it. His AAA stats show no indication of this kind of major league success. None. In fact, this year at AAA, Stults has posted an ERA of around 7 and a bloated WHIP of around 1.90. SELL. SELL

Last but not least, wisdom from a gloating bottom dweller in this week's Schultz Says: "It should not surprise our loyal fan and reader, wherever he may be, that I never get to see Colton's comment to my little section of The Week That Was until Saturday morning, when the column posts. Imagine my surprise last week when I wake up to read my overlord's bold proclamation that were the season to end on that Friday past, my Cleveland Indians would not be in the playoffs. As the first place Tribe held a 1.5 game lead over the Tigers in the Central Division, I was perplexed; as only those who have had the pleasure of meeting Mr. Colton may know, he is never wrong. So I did some research. It may interest you to know - and by you I am referring solely to Glenn, as he seems to be the only person in the dark on this subject - the winner of the Central Division customarily makes the playoffs and has been one of the four American League contenders in every post-season since the division was formed in 1994 (well, but for that strike season when nobody made the playoffs). It appears that in trying to craft a poorly conceived taunt, Yankee boy forgot that the Central Division, which contains the AL's last two World Series representatives, gets the same rights and privileges as his beloved team, even if our payrolls are only half the size.

Now if the Yankees are as good as Glenn believes, they will have placed the Indians back into first place by the time you read this leaving him nothing to say but, "Oops, I was mistaken."

I'll get back to our customary roto-baseball subject matter next week. For now, someone cue the Ian Hunter music and alert Drew Carey cause there should be an apology forthcoming.

Response: Ok, my bad. How was that? However, I must say that I very much enjoyed watching Schultz root for the Yankees last night and being forced to rely on the Yankees to put him team back in first place. What would he do without us?
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

AL Team-by-Team Notes
The timing was a surprise, as the Orioles made no mention of a setback, but it was less than shocking that Chris Ray needed Tommy John surgery. It's possible that Ray will make it back for the final two months of next season if his rehab goes perfectly, but he probably won't resume getting saves before 2009. Ideally, Danys Baez would step up and claim the job until then. He'll get to audition over the next six weeks, with the Orioles likely to enter the market for a one-year replacement if he fails to step up. Jim Hoey becomes a definite sleeper for 2008. I think he's more of a long-term setup man, but he does have the best stuff in the Baltimore pen right now. Also to be watched closely is hard-throwing prospect Radhames Liz. He has the potential to remain a starter, but since he still lacks command and an above average third pitch, it's likely that he'll end up in the pen. He has definite closer potential.

American League Notes

Baltimore - Even though the Orioles didn't move a starter at the deadline, they did squeeze Garrett Olson into the rotation by sending Brian Burres to the pen. Burres could get his spot back if Steve Trachsel is dealt later this month. Olson projects as a solid third or fourth starter for the Orioles, possibly as soon as next year, but because the team's final-month schedule is so difficult, he's not recommended in AL-only leagues. ? With Jay Gibbons deciding to undergo season-ending shoulder surgery, Jay Payton, Kevin Millar and Aubrey Huff can all count on regular playing time the rest of the way. Huff has finally heated up and again is an option in mixed leagues. J.R. House, who took Gibbons' roster spot, seemingly won't have much of a role unless another injury strikes.

Boston - Must every North American pitcher the Red Sox acquire immediately disappoint? Not only has Eric Gagne looked horrible in a Boston uniform, but his arrival has caused manager Terry Francona to forgo the common sense approach and plug everyone into strict roles in the pen. The Red Sox benefited from some very good bullpen management over the first four months of the season. Now the game's most effective reliever to date this year, Hideki Okajima, is working in lower leverage situations for no good reason. It's a mess. ? Tim Wakefield has been very good in three of his last four starts, but with personal catcher Doug Mirabelli out for at least two weeks, his numbers could suffer. He does have to be played against Tampa Bay on Monday -- he's 18-2 lifetime against the Rays -- but he could be benched after that. ? I think Wily Mo Pena will make the Red Sox look bad for giving him away, but he wasn't going to contribute in the role the team set aside for him. Bobby Kielty is a better fit for Boston as is. Still, the Red Sox could miss Pena if J.D. Drew gets hurt. They'd probably go to Brandon Moss in right field in that case. Drew, by the way, finally seems poises to start making a big contribution in fantasy leagues, based on the way he's swinging lately.

Chicago - With the Dodgers among the teams scouting him, Jose Contreras turned in a fair performance Friday against the Mariners, giving up four earned runs in seven innings and striking out five. He's definitely throwing better now than he was a month ago, though he's not nearly where he was in the first half of last year. It'd make a lot more sense for a contender to take a chance on him if he wasn't owed $20 million over the next two years. The White Sox will probably have to throw in $8 million-$10 million in order to move him. ? That Ryan Sweeney is hitting just .218 in Triple-A since the All-Star break played at least a minor role in the decision to sign Jermaine Dye to a contract extension Saturday. Better play could have allowed Sweeney to replace Jerry Owens by now, but at this point, he has to be in danger of missing out on a September callup. Since [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1893"]Brian Anderson[/URL] remains sidelined with a wrist injury, it looks like Owens will remain the White Sox's primary center fielder the rest of the way. ? If the White Sox stick to the current plan to keep Gavin Floyd in the pen, there's a good chance lefty Gio Gonzalez will make some starts in September. With 163 strikeouts and just 106 hits allowed in 131 innings in Double-A, he's a candidate for immediate success in the majors, assuming that he brings his command with him.

Cleveland - The Indians are souring on Josh Barfield, a player they expected to be their long-term answer at second base after acquiring him from the Padres. Barfield was adequate from the beginning of May through mid-July, but he's been a disaster the rest of the way, hitting just .185/.224/.272 since the All-Star break. And it's not like he makes up for it with his glove. It might be that Barfield will be traded again this winter. In the meantime, the Indians are giving Asdrubal Cabrera a chance to take over the job. Cabrera is a big upgrade on defense, and while he's probably not ready to hit in the majors, the Indians could get by with him in the ninth spot in the order. AL-only leaguers in need of an infielder should consider picking him up. ? Unfortunately, while the Indians have come up with an alternative at second base, they don't have anyone to complement Casey Blake at third, not with Andy Marte still struggling in the minors. Blake has had more of a career than anyone could have predicted five years ago, but he'd be better utilized as a part-time player. He's as unclutch as any player in baseball (.157 average with RISP this year, .215 in his career), and he's never done a lot of damage versus righties. The Indians will keep playing him regularly for the rest of the season, but they should look to do better next year. It doesn't look like Marte will have much of a chance to compete for the job in spring training. ? Cliff Lee will make one more start Monday before the Indians decide whether to put him back into the rotation. He currently has a 3.60 ERA and a 31/15 K/BB ratio in 26 innings at Buffalo. If not Lee, then Aaron Laffey or Jeremy Sowers will be the choice when the team needs a fifth starter.

Detroit - Calling up Cameron Maybin after just six games in Double-A was gutsy. Calling him up and using him in left field without ever playing him there in the minors was stupid. Seriously, if they were having any thoughts at all of calling him up and not moving Curtis Granderson to make room for him, doesn't it make all of the sense in the world to give him a few games to begin to adapt to a corner? The lack of experience really showed in his first two games. ? I don't think the strikeout-prone Maybin is ready to hit in the majors, but he has to be picked up in AL-only leagues. Craig Monroe, who was designated for assignment, should be held on to in AL-only leagues, as he could land a significant role elsewhere. Monroe is overrated, but he can hit lefties and play pretty good defense in a corner, making him worthy of a roster spot. ? Andrew Miller (hamstring) struggled in his first rehab start, so Jair Jurrjens will get another turn this week. Jurrjens, who was heavily sought after in trade talks last month, doesn't have the same kind of upside of some of the team's other young arms, but he projects as a No. 3 starter. Should Kenny Rogerts (elbow) suffer a setback, keeping Jurrjens in the rotation beyond this week, the 21-year-old would be an option in AL-only leagues.

Kansas City - As pleased as the Royals have to be with Leo Nunez's recent showing as a starter, his success makes GM Dayton Moore look bad. Nunez was all but gone to Oakland in a pointless Milton Bradley rental before the news about Bradley's strained oblique came to light. I still believe Nunez's future is in the pen, but he's always had plenty of potential. He could develop into a top setup man or a closer. ? Mike Sweeney (knee) is set to return for the final four or five weeks of the season, but that shouldn't cut into Billy Butler's playing time very much. With Ryan Shealy out of the Royals' plans at the moment, Butler can start over Ross Gload at first base when Sweeney DHs. Sweeney may not be a regular anyway. ? As of Saturday, there were 19 players in the majors with at least 100 strikeouts. 17 of them have at least a dozen homers. The only two that don't are Mark Teahen (six) and Alex Gordon (11). Gordon already has four homers this month, and there's no reason anyone should be down on him yet. Teahen, though, has been a real disappointment, even if he is hitting .286. The Royals figure to go with him in right field again next year, but he may not be a long-term regular.

Los Angeles - The Angels were expected to activate Howie Kendrick and return Ervin Santana to Triple-A prior to Saturday's game, but it didn't happen. Kendrick still figures to come off the DL this week and should be activated in AL-only leagues at least. Santana, though, could be kept in the rotation after his impressive showing against the Red Sox. If it happens, Dustin Moseley would head back to the pen. AL-only leaguers should wait and see if Santana can do it again before activating him. ? Robb Quinlan isn't hitting and Maicer Izturis is, so perhaps the Angels will mix it up a bit with Kendrick back. They could use Kendrick at first base against left-handers, making room for Izturis. Quinlan has typically been Casey Kotchman's platoon partner at first.

Minnesota - Boof Bonser still has the nifty strikeout rate, but he hasn't won since June 10 and his ERA currently stands at 4.93. At this rate, he'll have to fight for a rotation spot next spring. Unfortunately, Bonser's fastball will never again be what it was in the lower minors. I wonder if he wouldn't be better off in the pen. Both his curve and slider are strikeout pitches, and he might pick up a couple of MPH while working an inning or two at a time. If he's going to survive as a starter, he'll have to come up with a better changeup to use against lefties. ? Brian Buscher, who is sidelined with an infected leg, is eligible to return Tuesday and should be activated then. Nick Punto, whose last RBI came on July 20, figures to head back to the bench, assuming that Jason Bartlett is fine to play. Bartlett has missed the last two games with a hamstring strain.

New York - Jason Giambi wasted no time in regaining his power stroke off the DL, so Johnny Damon is suddenly finding himself on the bench more often than not. It's probably the right way for the Yankees to play it. Damon hasn't been a liability at all lately with a .283/.385/.389 line since the All-Star break, but he's a weaker defender than Melky Cabrera in center. Unfortunately, the idea of giving him a long look at first base never really got off the ground. Giambi will see occasional duty at first base, but the Yankees are better off with Wilson Betemit and Andy Phillips there. Playing Damon about three times per week seems the right way to do it. ? Bobby Abreu doesn't have much chance of getting to 100 walks for the ninth straight season, but he will drive in 100 runs in a fifth straight year and score at least 98 runs for the ninth year in a row. If he comes close to maintaining the 1000 OPS he's amassed in the second half, the Yankees will have to pick up his $16 million option for 2008. There aren't going to be a lot of quality alternatives out there.

Oakland - Mark Kotsay's return to the disabled list strengthens Oakland's lineup. It does come at the expense of the defense, but Kotsay isn't nearly what he once was with the glove, either. If healthy, Travis Buck is expected to get most of the starts in center, with Nick Swisher continuing to see time at first base and in right field. Jack Cust, who had a key misplay Friday, will continue to log a lot of time in right field, allowing the A's to keep both his and Mike Piazza's bats in the lineup. Piazza has started seven straight games, so he's again looking like a top-10 fantasy catcher. ? Buck is day-to-day with a hamstring injury, the latest in a long list of relatively minor physical problems for the rookie this year. He's excelled when he's been in the lineup, but the A's have to be at least a little nervous about penciling him in as a regular next year. Even with Chris Denorfia and Chris Snelling potentially coming back, acquiring an outfielder could be a priority for GM Billy Beane this winter. It'd be great if they could land someone to start over Kotsay in center field. ? Esteban Loaiza is expected back this week to take over as the fifth starter, but he's a long shot to contribute in AL-only leagues. ? Huston Street is officially back in the closer's role, making it fine to drop Alan Embree in mixed leagues.

Seattle - At .405 since the All-Star break, Jose Vidro has been one of the game's hottest hitters. However, it's practically all singles. Vidro has 16 doubles and four homers in 411 at-bats this season. In his five-year prime from 1999-2003, he averaged 32 doubles and 13 homers per 411 at-bats. Unless some of the extra-base power comes back, I don't think this is going to last. However, if it does, my OPS projection for him would look awfully good. I had him at .290/.350/.427 for a 777 OPS. He's currently at .318/.382/.386 (768). ? If the Mariners had anyone they thought would be an adequate replacement, Horacio Ramirez would probably be out of the rotation by now. Should Ramirez struggle again this week, there's a good chance they'll pick up one of the mediocre veterans available. They may not want Contreras' contract, but they could take on Trachsel, Josh Towers or Odalis Perez. If Towers makes sense for any AL team, it's Seattle, as Safeco Field would work to his advantage.

Tampa Bay - The Rays are aiming to bring Rocco Baldelli (hamstring) back on Sept. 1. If it happens, he'd be the primary DH, cutting into Jonny Gomes' playing time. With B.J. Upton starting to adjust well to playing center field, Baldelli could remain a fixture in the DH spot in 2008. ? Edwin Jackson has really turned it around with a 1.71 ERA in three starts this month, but even so, he's walked 10 in 21 innings. For the year, he has a 96/62 K/BB ratio in 117 innings. What might disappoint some AL-only leaguers is that this late surge increases the chances that Jackson will be back in the rotation next year. I think the Rays are handling him correctly, but he still qualifies as the closest thing in the organization to a closer of the future. ? The Rays did promote Evan Longoria to Triple-A, but indications are that he won't be one of the club's September callups. The team has already reserved him a spot in the Arizona Fall League and probably would prefer to give him a couple of weeks off before he heads there. ? Joel Guzman apparently will be joining Tampa Bay on Sunday as a result of Ben Zobrist's oblique injury, but he's not nearly ready to contribute. He shouldn't be picked up in AL-only leagues.

Texas - Passing on him probably was the smart strategy, but it's still surprising that not one team though Sammy Sosa was worth claiming off waivers. It wasn't really about money, as he's making $500,000 with modest incentives. Also, he's hitting an impressive .318/.413/.568 against lefties. Sosa is barely playing for the Rangers now and that doesn't figure to change. If no one wanted him when he was performing well, it hardly seems likely that anyone will be interested after he's collected rust for a month. ? Edinson Volquez is likely to be called up to start Tuesday against the Orioles. Although he's just 24 and he still has great stuff, he may already be running out of chances in the organization. The Rangers don't need to see a sub-4.00 ERA from him, but they will want to see decent command, something that's largely been absent in his previous major league stints. AL-only leaguers should avoid him. ? Hank Blalock appears on track for a Sept. 1 return from shoulder surgery. Throwing is supposed to be more of a problem than hitting for him, but he still won't be an option in mixed leagues right away.

Toronto - After four months of foot troubles, Troy Glaus was finally diagnosed with plantar fasciitis. It's just another one of those things that makes me wonder about the qualifications of Toronto's medical staff. Glaus says he'll forgo surgery and use the winter to rest up. That might work out fine for him, but it's also possible the problem will linger into 2008. Expect him to get at least a day off per week for the rest of this season. Unfortunately, the Jays can't use him as a DH when he needs a break, not unless they want to sit Frank Thomas. ? It's time to see whether A.J. Burnett can generate any trade value with a strong finish. GM J.P. Ricciardi seems to have little interest in keeping him around, and if Burnett can end the season healthy, he'd be at least as attractive as all but a couple of free agent starting pitchers. The big negative with Burnett is the fact that he'd opt out of his contract if he has a strong 2008. And if he instead gets hurt again, the team that acquires him would be stuck with him at $12 million per season for two more years. Still, in this market, there'd be takers. ? Still looking for a backup at third and second capable of hitting even a little, the Jays gave former first-round pick Russ Adams another chance last week. Adams' .262/.330/.408 line from Triple-A doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that he's the solution. He's probably not going to be in Toronto's plans going forward.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

NL Team-by-Team Notes
As disappointing as this year has been, it looks like things may only get worse in the future for the Astros. Already without first- and second-round picks after signing Carlos Lee and Woody Williams and declining to offer arbitration to Roger Clemens, Andy Pettitte and Russ Springer, the team failed to sign its third- and fourth-round picks prior to Wednesday's deadline. Drayton McLane's club spent far less in the draft than any other team in baseball. The Astros already have one of the game's weakest farm systems, and they chose not to move veterans in order to bring in prospects at the deadline. Possessing one of the NL's highest payrolls may allow them to bounce back in 2008 if they spend wisely, but the long-term outlook is bleak. Roy Oswalt has easily the highest WHIP of his career, and his strikeout rate isn't what it once. Carlos Lee and Lance Berkman are both going to be 32 next year and should begin a slow decline. With just one premier young player in the organization in Hunter Pence, it's hard to see the Astros fielding a World Series contender again anytime soon.

National League Notes

Arizona - Three straight shutouts? Five straight starts without allowing a run? Brandon Webb has put together an incredible run to propel himself into the mix for a second straight Cy Young Award. It's still highly unlikely that he'll top Orel Hershiser's scoreless innings record, but the shutouts are impressive enough. Just nine other National League pitchers have thrown shutouts this season and none have more than one. ? Since jettisoning Johnny Estrada in the Doug Davis trade, the Diamondbacks have gotten 18 homers and 64 RBI out of their $800,000 catcher platoon. The thinking was at the start of the year that Miguel Montero would eventually claim the lion's share of the playing time, but Chris Snyder has been the better player of the two and is currently getting more at-bats than ever. Montero's future as a regular is in doubt, as he struggles to hit breaking balls and his defense is a little below average. He does offer enough room for improvement that the D'Backs should be comfortable pairing him with Snyder again next year. ? The Diamondbacks quickly jettisoned both Byung-Hyun Kim and Joe Kennedy, with Yusmeiro Petit returning to the rotation. Petit did solid work in his previous stint, but he's just too homer-prone to excel, especially with half of his starts coming at Chase Field. NL-only leaguers should pass. ? [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] will miss at least one more week after going on the DL, leaving Mark Reynolds as the team's everyday third baseman.

Atlanta - The Braves should have Edgar Renteria (ankle) back by Wednesday at the latest. Kelly Johnson has cooled off a bit, so he'll probably return to the bottom of the order with Renteria batting second. He'll also sit against lefties in favor of Yunel Escobar. ? Buddy Carlyle is fading fast and Lance Cormier has little business being in the majors, so the Braves are in obvious need of another starting pitcher. Jo-Jo Reyes has excelled in two starts since being demoted to Triple-A and could be worthy of another chance. Still, the Braves will also consider bringing in a veteran. Even Steve Trachsel or Josh Towers would probably be an upgrade. ? Brandon Jones should be up in September and could get some playing time in left field if Willie Harris fizzles. With 20-homer power and the ability to hit for average, he should be the Braves' starting left fielder by the middle of 2008.

Chicago - The Cubs put their money where their mouth was, signing Carlos Zambrano to a five-year extension after downplaying rumors of arm woes for the right-hander. Zambrano had been roughed up in back-to-back outings, but his velocity was OK. He looked fine against the Cardinals before Sunday's game was rained out, and a strong finish seems likely. ? Ryan Dempster never missed out on a save opportunity in his temporary exile from the closer's role. He has the job back now and should keep it the rest of the way, even if his fastball isn't quite where it should be after he missed time with a strained oblique. ? Henry Blanco (shoulder) could return before the end of the week and bump Koyie Hill from the roster, but Jason Kendall should remain the Cubs' primary catcher. Blanco will probably catch most of Carlos Zambrano's starts and play against the league's top basestealing clubs. Kendall's lack of an arm is a problem, but it's less of one in the NL Central, as not one of the six clubs in the division ranks among the top 10 in baseball in steals. The Astros, Pirates and Cardinals are in the bottom five.

Cincinnati - Jeff Keppinger has remained hot, hitting in nine straight to raise his average to .368 in 106 at-bats. Assuming that [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2653"]Alex Gonzalez[/URL] doesn't simply end up calling it a season because of his infant son's health problems, Edwin Encarnacion could lose a lot of playing time again later this month. Keppinger doesn't offer a lot besides the ability to hit for average, but worse players have turned hot starts into full-time gigs for a few months. ? It seems safe to say that Eddie Guardado and his 21.00 ERA won't be closing games for the Reds at any point before the end of the season. He'll have to get a whole lot better for the team to consider picking up his $3 million option for 2008. ? The Reds will have plenty of room in their rotation for Homer Bailey and Johnny Cueto next month, should they choose to go to them. Bailey is nearly ready to resume pitching in Triple-A a month after suffering a strained groin. Cueto, who took over as the Reds' top pitching prospect when Bailey was promoted to the majors, was considered for a callup over the weekend. Durability could be an issue for the short right-hander, but he has No. 2-starter potential. NL-only leaguers will want to stash him away if he gets the call.

Colorado - It looks like injuries will derail the Rockies' sleeper bid to win the NL West. Aaron Cook (oblique) and Willy Taveras (quad) were the latest members of the team to land on the DL. Franklin Morales made a very nice first impression Saturday against the Dodgers, but his command could come and go and his arrival still leaves the Rockies with either Elmer Dessens or Ramon Ortiz in the rotation. Dessens will make his second start this week. ? Ryan Spilborghs and Cory Sullivan are filling in for Taveras. Spilborghs has been an outstanding hitter for the Rockies since replacing Steve Finley, but he lacks range in center. As a result, manager Clint Hurdle has turned to Sullivan the last couple of days. Spilborghs is still a decent option in mixed leagues this week. He probably won't start more than five games, but he will be playing in Coors Field, where he's batting .355 this season. ? Brian Fuentes' return last week will have no short-term effect on Manny Corpas' status in the closer's role. Fuentes has fanned six in 2 1/3 innings since returning, but that's only going to serve to move him back into a setup role. He's at least a few weeks away from being a candidate for saves, and the odds are against him getting more than one or two over the rest of the year.

Florida - He's still falling well short of expectations when it comes to fantasy numbers, but Jeremy Hermida has showed he belongs in the majors with a .268/.365/.454 line so far this season. He's at .333 with 11 doubles and a 16/17 K/BB ratio in 96 at-bats since the All-Star break. Unfortunately, Hermida's success has come down in the order, leaving him with weak run and RBI numbers. He also hasn't been the stolen base threat that he was in the minors. It'd be nice to see what Hermida could do batting second, and he might get a look there if Alejandro De Aza falters. Hermida has made enough progress so that he'll be a big-time sleeper in mixed leagues next year. He'd have to be moved up in the order to be of any help over the rest of 2007. ? Miguel Olivo is expected back Monday after missing three starts with a strained left groin.

Houston - Oswalt could land on the disabled list because of the strained oblique he suffered Saturday. If it happens, the Astros could call on either Troy Patton or Juan Gutierrez to replace him in the rotation. Patton has a respectable 3.89 ERA since being moved up to Triple-A last month, but that comes with just 22 strikeouts in 44 innings. His stock is down a bit since the start of the year, and while he still has No. 3-starter potential, it's doubtful that he's ready to help now. Gutierrez was called up last week to work out of the bullpen, but he was a starter in Triple-A, going 5-9 with a 3.96 ERA. Like Patton, he wouldn't be an immediate option in NL-only leagues. ? Carlos Lee's strained hip flexor, sustained on the same night that Oswalt was hurt, isn't likely to be much of an issue going forward. He came off the bench Sunday and could start Monday.

Los Angeles - This is good: Ramon Martinez leads L.A. with seven RBI during August. Wilson Betemit has 12 in just 31 at-bats since being traded to the Yankees. ? The Dodgers could desperately use a healthy Andy LaRoche with Nomar Garciaparra on the DL -- they could regardless -- but LaRoche is sidelined with back troubles. If he can overcome them soon, he could get a shot before Sept. 1. When he's been able to play, he's hit .378/.442/.919 in 74 at-bats since the All-Star break for Triple-A Las Vegas. ? In the meantime, Shea Hillenbrand is filling in at third base. He had a fine game Saturday, and he does have a little short-term fantasy value. Still, he's a liability offensively and defensively. ? Eric Stults handled the Rockies well Friday, pitching seven innings of two-run ball for a victory. He'll remain in the rotation over Mark Hendrickson and could even stick in place of Brett Tomko if the Dodgers acquire a veteran starter (David Wells?). Still, NL-only leaguers should pass for now.

Milwaukee - And I was so pleased about having picked the Brewers for first place in the NL Central back in January. Monday will be a key factor in determining whether the team has a late run left in it, as Ben Sheets (finger) will get back on the mound for a simulated game. Should he impress, there's a slight chance he could be activated to face the Giants this weekend. As it stands now, Chris Capuano would likely be dropped from the rotation to make room for him. There were some encouraging signs from Capuano's showing Sunday against the Reds, but the Brewers have already been incredibly patient while losing his last 16 starts. ? The other reason Monday is so key is that Yovani Gallardo will be trying to bounce back from consecutive ugly outings. Should he struggle once again, it's possible that he'll be the one replaced by Sheets. I still think the 21-year-old will be an asset in mixed leagues the rest of the way, but he's not exactly a safe play right now. ? Putting Gabe Gross into the lineup against right-handers isn't a bad idea, but there's no good reason for him to be playing over Corey Hart three times in four days when Bill Hall has been a weak link against righties pretty much all year long. Unfortunately, Hart isn't going to be worth using in mixed leagues again until something changes.

New York - The Mets aren't getting nearly as much from John Maine or Oliver Perez lately. Carlos Beltran's injury really hurt Maine, who relies so much on his outfield defense. The right-hander's walk rate is also back up lately after he improved there in June and July. I think better times are ahead, as he gets to make his next two starts against teams without a lot of left-handed power (the Padres and Dodgers). He's definitely worth using in mixed leagues this week. ? Perez, on the other hand, just isn't displaying the same kind of stuff recently that he was six or eight weeks ago. It's nothing new for his velocity to come and go, but that doesn't mean he'll get it back right away, either. If he doesn't show something against the slumping Dodgers, it will be time to bench him in mixed leagues. ? Carlos Delgado (knee) appears probable to return to the lineup for Tuesday's game. Shawn Green, who has been filling in at first base, should resume losing at-bats to Lastings Milledge with Delgado's return. ? It's very disappointing that [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3901"]Ramon Castro[/URL] didn't make much of an attempt to play through back pain. With Paul Lo Duca (hamstring) out another week, the Mets will keep using Mike DiFelice and Sandy Alomar Jr. behind the plate.

Philadelphia - Adam Eaton's shoulder is going to be just fine, but it doesn't look like he'll have a rotation spot when he comes off the disabled list next month. J.D. Durbin has been surprisingly solid in his five starts, and while that's in no small part due to an easy schedule, he has the stuff to keep it up if only he can throw strikes. Also, the Phillies are guardedly optimistic that Freddy Garcia (shoulder) will make it back next month. Durbin's next start is against the Dodgers, a team he's already defeated once this year. He's at least a one-week option in NL-only leagues. ? Chase Utley (hand) hopes to be cleared to resume swinging Monday. If that happens, he could return within a week. ? Tadahito Iguchi is expected to log some time at third base after Utley comes back. However, the Phillies found another useful alternative at the hot corner when they picked up Russell Branyan. Since Branyan homered in his first start Sunday, he should be in line for more playing time this week, making him a possibility as a short-term pickup. ? Shane Victorino (calf) could return this week, but it's not going to be worth gambling on in fantasy leagues. He's already suffered one setback.

Pittsburgh - Ian Snell finally picked up his first win since the break Sunday and has turned in three straight solid starts. Still, his ERA is up a full run per game since the end of June. The home run ball has been a big problem for him lately. PNC Park helps a lot with his biggest weakness, as it's one of the tougher home run parks for left-handed hitters in the game. However, Snell still has to pitch on the road half the time, and he's 1-6 with a 4.38 ERA outside of Coors Field. My guess is that he'll finish the season with an ERA a little higher than his current mark of 3.93. However, his solid WHIP and strong strikeout rate make him worth retaining in mixed leagues. ? Chris Duffy's return later this week will likely send Nate McLouth back to the bench. McLouth is easily the better hitter of the two, but he hasn't done quite enough with his opportunity to convince manager Jim Tracy that he's the superior player overall.

St. Louis - Rick Ankiel rejoined the starting lineup Sunday after sitting out back-to-back contests, but he'll probably return to the bench Monday against Ted Lilly. With Juan Encarnacion over his knee troubles, the Cardinals suddenly have a very crowded outfield. Ankiel is very much in the mix, but he can't afford any bad weeks. As things stand now, Chris Duncan is the only Cardinals outfielder worth using in mixed leagues, and he's been slumping of late. ? The Miguel Cairo signing gives the Cardinals another option at second base with Adam Kennedy recovering from knee surgery. However, he'll probably be left in the minors until Sept. 1 as he seeks to regain his swing. It's nice to see Brendan Ryan getting most of the playing time over Aaron Miles. He's worth starting in NL-only leagues. ? Joel Pineiro lost his best stuff years ago due to arm problems, but what he has left has been enough to result in a 2.84 ERA in three starts for the Cardinals. With no additional interleague play on the horizon, it's possible he'll remain effective enough to amass a little fantasy value. Still, since he has the Cubs and Braves on the schedule, he'd be a dangerous play this week.

San Diego - If the Padres had it to do over again, they would have put Milton Bradley on the DL after he strained his hamstring on Aug. 3. He's ready to play again now, so expect him to start in left field on Tuesday. He's fine to use in mixed leagues with the Padres on the road all week long. ? After back-to-back days off, Kevin Kouzmanoff went 0-for-3 and committed his 15th error on Sunday. It looks like we could see a lot more of Morgan Ensberg at third base for the Padres down the stretch. At the very least, he's the steadier defender of the two. Kouz hasn't been a bad hitter since his horrible April, but his glove has always been a problem and he might be facing a move to left field next year if Chase Headley shows he's ready. ? I still think releasing David Wells without a reliable replacement on hand was a bad idea. Clay Hensley has talent, but he's been a total disaster this year, and Wilfredo Ledezma's command isn't getting any better with age. Even in Petco, neither seems worth taking a chance on right now.

San Francisco - Rajai Davis has been on quite a streak since being picked up for Matt Morris, but it's very hasty for the Giants to be looking at him as a potential regular next year. The former 38th-round pick was always old for his leagues in the minors and still never put up exceptional numbers until hitting .318/.384/.469 in 211 at-bats for Triple-A Indianapolis this season. He is a quality basestealer and a fine defender in center, but he's not going to hit righties well enough to be a starter. If the Giants want to fill an outfield spot for little more than the minimum, a platoon of Fred Lewis and Davis would make more sense. Both are likely to be long-term reserves, though. ? Omar Vizquel has cleared waivers, but there's been little talk of him finishing the season elsewhere. The Tigers are seeking help at shortstop, but Vizquel doesn't want to be a part-time player and Detroit seems more interested in Jack Wilson anyway. No other contenders have a need at the position.

Washington - Nationals GM Jim Bowden was finally able to reacquire Wily Mo Pena, and it didn't cost him either Chad Cordero or Jon Rauch. The price reportedly will be Diamondbacks prospect [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=778"]Chris Carter[/URL] in some sort of three-way deal. After making the move, Bowden said Pena would be used as a platoon left fielder initially. However, he started in right and homered Sunday, with Austin Kearns moving to center to make room for him. Ideally, it's an arrangement the Nationals would keep using. Pena isn't a great fit in RFK Stadium, but the team is moving next year to a park that won't punish power hitters so much. If he turns in a decent finish, Pena should be a part of the team in 2008. He's going to have 35-homer seasons in the majors. ? Nook Logan will lose most of what little value he possesses if Kearns stays in center most of the time. He will continue to play versus lefties, likely at Ryan Church's expense. ? Matt Chico, who had been the Nationals' one mainstay in the rotation (he's the only one on the team with more than 100 IP) will get to make his Triple-A debut after being sent down to make room for Pena. Mike Bacsik is rejoining the rotation to make a start this week, but he could be bumped after that, as Jason Bergmann (hamstring) is about ready to return. Chico's 75/65 K/BB ratio in 132 1/3 IP didn't inspire much confidence, but he'd been at least as good as the Nationals could have expected after he was rushed from Double-A to the majors. He'll likely be brought back in September, and assuming that he isn't sent to the Nationals for Carter, he should have a future as a long-term No. 4 starter for Washington.

One more note: up next week are the free agency preview columns. Hitters will be posted Sunday, following by pitchers on Monday.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK
Like Michael Jordan going off for 50 points or Jessica Alba looking fetching in a photo, Johan Santana shutting down a lineup has become almost expected at this point. That's probably the true sign of greatness, because you've reached rarefied air when you do something spectacular and no one is even the least bit surprised. Santana has been at that level for years already, which makes his performance Sunday afternoon so amazing.

He has a pair of Cy Young awards, two ERA titles, and three strikeout crowns over the past three seasons and no pitcher in the past 60 years owns a better career winning percentage, yet as Santana racked up back-to-back-to-back swinging third strikes in the eighth inning for his 15th, 16th, and 17th strikeouts he went even higher. It was the defining masterpiece of a virtuoso who's been responsible for a brilliant work of art nearly every fifth day for five years.

Only two hits off the bat of Sammy Sosa kept Santana from perfection, and only a relatively high pitch count and Ron Gardenhire's discretion kept him from challenging the all-time single-game strikeout record. And he did it all while clinging to a 1-0 lead, because as usual the Twins' lineup provided little support. Santana struck out every Rangers hitter at least once, getting Gerald Laird, Michael Young, and Marlon Byrd three times apiece.

Four of the 17 punch-outs came on just three pitches, all but two of them were of the swinging variety, including the final 10, and the Rangers swung and missed at more pitches (32) than they took for balls (29). Santana set a new career-high and broke the Twins' all-time record of 15, and in the entire history of baseball only Randy Johnson has racked up more strikeouts (18) without throwing at least nine innings.

Pitching coach Rick Anderson revealed that just four of Santana's 112 offerings were sliders, which means that he used a fastball or changeup 108 times. That might seem like an impossible combination, but only if you've never seen Santana pull the string. "He's got such great arm action with everything, so it's tough to lay off of it," Rangers manager Ron Washington said. "The only thing you can do is sit on the changeup, and if he throws you three straight fastballs, you're screwed."

Bill James invented the Game Score, which is a formula that attempts to quantify a pitcher's performance by looking at strikeouts, hits, walks, innings, and runs. Santana earned a Game Score of 95 Sunday, which is the highest in baseball history for someone who didn't throw at least nine innings, beating a 15-strikeout start from Nolan Ryan that totaled a 93 Game Score back in 1989. No other pitcher has topped even a 90 Game Score in fewer than nine innings since 2001.

While Santana improves his career mark to 48-13 with a 2.61 ERA in the second half, including 23-5 with a 2.27 ERA in August, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* The Brewers have spent 112 days in first place, but this weekend saw them give up the top spot in the NL Central for the first time since April 21. A big part of Milwaukee's downward spiral has been Chris Capuano, who's gone from No. 2 starter to potentially being yanked from the rotation. Capuano took a no-decision Sunday against the Reds, but allowed five runs in 6.1 innings as the Brewers fell to an astonishing 0-16 in his starts dating back to early May.

Capuano has gotten somewhat unlucky during that stretch, avoiding a win despite tossing four Quality Starts and posting a solid 82-to-35 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 86 innings. However, he's coughed up 110 hits over those 86 innings, which works out to an ugly .313 opponent's batting average, and has served up 13 homers. Add it all up and Capuano is 0-10 with a 6.70 ERA in his last 16 outings, which is made more amazing by the fact that he was once 5-0 with a 2.31 ERA.

Prior to Capuano taking the mound Sunday, manager Ned Yost indicated that he might be pitching for his spot in the rotation. If that was the case, it seems obvious that Capuano has pitched himself into the bullpen. The most likely candidate to replace him is 24-year-old left-hander Manny Parra, who has a 3.10 ERA and 21-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 20.1 innings, but Ben Sheets returning from the disabled list as soon as this weekend could halt those plans.

Parra has battled back from multiple arm problems to establish himself as one of the better left-handed pitching prospects in baseball this season, more than holding his own with the Brewers after going 10-4 with a 2.45 ERA, 106-to-33 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .220 opponent's batting average in 106.2 innings split between Double-A and Triple-A. While his value down the stretch is dependent upon Capuano and Sheets, he's someone to watch for next season.

* After sitting out two weeks with an oblique injury, Carlos Beltran returned from the disabled list on August 10 and homered in his first game back. That was a sign of things to come, because Beltran smacked a pair of homers Sunday and has now gone deep a total of five times in nine games since coming off the DL. He's hitting .294 with 13 RBIs, nine runs, and a 1.199 OPS over that span.

The one thing he hasn't done yet is resume running, with just one stolen base since returning, but in fairness it's difficult to rack up steals when you're trotting around the bases. Beltran won't come close to matching his monster 41-homer, 116-RBI, 127-run season from 2006, but with four more steals he'll reach 20-20 for the first time since going off for 38 homers and 42 steals while splitting the 2004 season between Kansas City and Houston.

* Early on this season [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2353"]Jose Guillen[/URL] was destroying left-handed pitchers and flailing away against right-handed pitchers, which led to his fantasy value being dependent on the pitching matchups facing the Mariners each week. Through the All-Star break, he batted .392 with a 1.159 OPS against lefties compared to .247 with a .672 OPS against righties. History tells us that a split that extreme simply won't last and sure enough the numbers have evened out in the second half.

Guillen has continued to knock southpaws around since the break, batting .324 with a .939 OPS against them, but after homering Sunday off Jon Garland he's also hit .297 with an .832 OPS against righties during the second half. Despite a 220-point drop in OPS against lefties, Guillen's overall OPS has risen from .795 in the first half to .860 in the second half, which shows the importance of right-handed hitters being able to handle right-handed pitchers.

AL Quick Hits: Howie Kendrick (finger) is scheduled to come off the disabled list Monday and figures to immediately resume starting at second base ? After missing over three months with a ruptured finger tendon, Joel Zumaya is set to rejoin the Tigers' bullpen Tuesday ? Jon Garland was rocked for 10 runs (five earned) Sunday, giving him a 7.34 ERA in eight starts since the All-Star break ? Manager Jim Leyland indicated Sunday that Brandon Inge will lose playing time at third base to Ryan Raburn beginning Tuesday ? Paul Konerko is expected to return from bereavement leave Monday after taking the weekend away from the team following the death of his grandmother ? Jeremy Bonderman avoided disaster Sunday against the Yankees, allowing four runs over six innings in a start that could have been worse, but he's now 1-5 with a 7.16 ERA in the second half and will face New York again this week ? Told Saturday that he won't be playing every day down the stretch because the A's want to get a look at Jack Hannahan, Marco Scutaro went 4-for-4 with a homer Sunday ? With four RBIs Sunday filling in for Derek Jeter, Wilson Betemit now has a dozen RBIs in a dozen games with the Yankees.

NL Quick Hits: Edgar Renteria (ankle) went through pre-game drills Sunday and is set to come off the disabled list Monday ? Carlos Zambrano threw three perfect innings Sunday night, but the game was washed away by rain ? Sunday's win was the 342nd of Greg Maddux's career, tying him for ninth all-time with Tim Keefe ? John Smoltz picked up his 12th win Sunday, holding Arizona to a pair of runs over eight innings while racking up a dozen strikeouts to take over the franchise lead from Phil Niekro with 2,920 ? After missing four starts, Carlos Delgado (knee) is expected to return to the lineup Tuesday ? With a homer Sunday, Lance Berkman has now gone deep nine times in 20 games after homering 15 times in his first 97 games ? Ian Snell struck out 10 batters in a victory Sunday, reaching double digits for the first time since his season debut on April 3 ? Mark Teixeira homered twice Sunday, giving him seven homers and 19 RBIs in 17 games with Atlanta ? Orlando Hernandez tossed seven innings of two-run ball Sunday against the Nationals, turning in his seventh Quality Start in nine outings ? Starting against the right-handed El Duque, Wily Mo Pena smacked his first homer for the Nationals.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Jenks' Streak Snapped
Bobby Jenks tied the all-time record by retiring his 41st straight batter on August 12, but an ankle injury kept him sidelined for the next eight days. Jenks returned to the mound Monday and needed just one out to set a new major-league record, but Joey Gathright led off the ninth inning with a single. Jenks was understandably a little off his game after missing over a week, but even still Gathright had to foul off a pair of two-strike curveballs just to extend the at-bat.

With the month-long streak snapped, Jenks shook it off and went on to close out a one-run game for his 34th save. Jenks now shares the all-time record with Jim Barr, who retired 41 straight batters back in 1972. While that streak is over, Jenks is still working on a 14-inning scoreless streak that has sliced his ERA from 3.89 to 2.87 ERA since July 19. He's 1-0 with nine saves over that stretch and has converted 34-of-39 (87 percent) save chances overall.

While Jenks starts up a new streak, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* An assortment of injuries kept Travis Buck from playing in 44 of the A's first 126 games and he headed back to the disabled list Monday with a strained left hamstring. A 23-year-old rookie, Buck has been sidelined by wrist, hamstring, thumb, forearm, and elbow injuries, which makes him fit right in on Oakland's injury riddled roster. Buck's inability to stay on the field is obviously a negative, but the fact that he's been able to hit so well despite all the maladies is impressive.

Despite essentially playing through an injury of some sort all season, Buck has hit .288 with an .851 OPS that would rank first among AL rookies (ahead of Dustin Pedroia's .843) if he had enough playing time to qualify for the batting title. Not known for his power in college or the minors, Buck has managed a .474 slugging percentage behind seven homers and 34 total extra-base hits, and has used 39 walks to support a lofty .377 on-base percentage.

Mark Kotsay being sidelined meant that Buck would have been in line for regular playing time in center field, but instead the A's will likely turn to Nick Swisher and the recently acquired Jeff DaVanon in that role. The latest injuries to Buck and Kotsay also mean that it'll be easier for the A's to fit Jack Cust, Mike Piazza, and Dan Johnson in the lineup together. Available to any team that wanted him after being cut by the Diamondbacks, DaVanon suddenly has AL-only value.

* Out since July 26 with a fractured right hand, Chase Utley has been cleared to begin swinging a bat after visiting a hand specialist Monday. It may take Utley some time to clear off the rust both offensively and defensively, but he could return from the disabled list as soon as next week if a setback is avoided. Utley was having a monster all-around season prior to the injury, batting .336 with 17 homers, 41 doubles, 82 RBIs, 79 runs, seven steals, and a .995 OPS in 100 games.

* After allowing 18 runs over his previous two starts, Yovani Gallardo bounced back in a big way Monday. Gallardo shut out Arizona for six innings and also collected a pair of hits, including his first career homer. Gallardo struck out six and walked just one, making him 5-1 with a 2.28 ERA and 53-to-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 59 innings if you're willing to ignore the back-to-back rough outings. Not only that, he's now hitting .269 with a .719 OPS in 28 plate appearances.

* While Gallardo's start was good news, the Brewers' rotation also got some bad news Monday. On the disabled list with a sprained finger, Ben Sheets developed a blister while throwing a simulated game. Originally on track to return from the DL as soon as this weekend, Sheets' status is now uncertain. Despite Sheets' setback, the Brewers moved Chris Capuano and his 16-start winless streak to the bullpen Monday, suggesting that Manny Parra might be starting soon.

* So much for the move away from Texas' hitter-friendly ballpark hurting Mark Teixeira's power numbers. Teixeira smacked a pair of three-run homers Monday, going deep twice in a game for the second straight day. After batting .297 with 13 homers and 49 RBIs in 78 games with the Rangers, Teixeira has now hit .294 with nine homers and 25 RBIs in 18 games with the Braves. Six of his nine NL homers have come at home, so it's to say that he likes Atlanta just fine.

* It's coming two seasons and multiple injuries after he was considered one of the elite prospects in baseball, but Jeremy Hermida might be showing signs of developing into a star. Hermida went 2-for-3 with a homer Monday and is now hitting .339 with a .995 OPS in 43 games since July 1. Despite being viewed by some as a bust, Hermida is still just 23 years old and has hit .263 with 20 homers, 79 RBIs, 74 runs, eight steals, and a .781 OPS in 208 career games.

AL Quick Hits: Howie Kendrick returned from the disabled list Monday by going 2-for-3 with a walk, scoring the game-winner among his three runs ? Raul Ibanez went 3-for-5 with a pair of homers Monday, giving him nine homers this month after totaling six homers in his first 94 games ? Meanwhile, after giving up just one homer through his first 44 innings, Matt Garza served up four long balls Monday ? Because of continued forearm soreness, Akinori Otsuka is scheduled to visit Dr. James Andrews ? With Kevin Cash filling in for Doug Mirabelli, Tim Wakefield tossed seven shutout innings Monday, improving to 19-2 lifetime against the Devil Rays and 15-10 overall this season ? Manager Ron Gardenhire said Monday that he expects to have both Jason Bartlett (hamstring) and Brian Buscher (leg) back Thursday ? Phil Hughes walked five batters while allowing five runs in 6.1 innings Monday, giving him a 5.73 ERA in four starts since coming off the DL ? Initially expected to be called up to start Tuesday, Edinson Volquez will remain at Triple-A after sleeping through his scheduled bullpen session Sunday.

NL Quick Hits: After going 1-for-4 in a minor-league rehab game Monday at Triple-A, Hunter Pence (wrist) is on the verge of coming off the disabled list ? Freddy Sanchez got off to a slow start, but after going 2-for-5 with two RBIs Monday he's now hitting .323 with 52 RBIs and an .833 OPS in 88 games since May 10 ? Roy Oswalt (oblique) threw from flat ground Monday, but may still miss his scheduled start Thursday ? Pedro Martinez (shoulder) allowed two runs over five innings in his third rehab start Monday at Single-A ? Sporting an 8.24 ERA over his last four outings, Chuck James has been scratched from his scheduled start Thursday due to shoulder soreness ? Starting Monday against left-hander Ted Lilly, Rick Ankiel smacked his fourth homer in nine games ? Jason Jennings allowed six runs over four innings Monday, making him 2-7 with a 7.75 ERA in a dozen starts since revealing his shoulder problems in mid-June ? Troy Tulowitzki continued his hot hitting Monday, going 4-for-5 with a homer ? With Brad Hennessey getting Monday off, Brian Wilson pitched a scoreless ninth inning for his second career save.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Prospects: Maybin and Manship
Just an hour before the signing deadline for 2007 draft picks it looked like the Orioles were about to pass on signing Matt Wieters. Not signing your club's first round pick for the second time in four years would have been downright embarrassing, and a testament to the lack of effective planning by the team. Though they would have gotten the sixth overall pick next season as compensation should that have happened, the club was lucky to get a player of Wieters' quality at the fifth spot in the draft this season. Next season's draft doesn't project to have a player of similar quality available at the same spot, so it was a no-brainer to sign Wieters from a strictly talent perspective.

Dealing with Wieters' agent, Scott Boras, is certainly tough, but the Orioles eventually found a way to make it work and ensured themselves a catcher of the future. Though it's concerning the two sides took until the last minute to iron out a deal, that the Orioles made the right pick and followed through by signing Wieters is a good sign for the future. It's going to take plenty more rational baseball decisions for Oriole fans to start having much faith in the club's management, but this week does qualify as a positive. For those looking to context just how good Wieters is, he debuted in our Season Pass Top 100 prospect listing at No. 20 overall. It's a lofty ranking for someone who's never played in the minors, but Wieters has the tools, statistical profile, and likelihood of success that combine to make him an elite prospect.

Callups

Juan Gutierrez ? RHP Astros ? Signed out of Venezuela in 2000, Gutierrez didn't debut in the U.S. until the 2003 season. The right-hander showed intriguing strikeout potential while in the Appalachian league that year, and he took another step forward while repeating the same level in 2004. Moved up to Single-A Lexington to begin the 2005 campaign, Gutierrez continued to show progress while posting a 3.21 ERA and 100/43 K/BB ratio in 120 2/3 innings of work. A couple of starts at High-A Salem late in the season went reasonably well, so it was another year of improvement for Gutierrez.

The Astros then decided to challenge the 6'3", 200-pound right-hander, moving him up to Double-A Corpus Christi for the 2006 season despite having made just three appearances in High-A. Some elbow problems mid-season depressed his innings totals, but he still looked like a future big league starter after recording a 3.04 ERA and 106/34 K/BB ratio in 103 2/3 innings. Now in his age-23 season, though having already turned 24, Gutierrez was doing a solid job for Triple-A Round Rock with a 3.96 ERA and 101/55 K/BB ratio in 145 1/3 innings before being promoted.

Now in the major leagues, the Astros are hoping Gutierrez can contribute in middle relief. With a sinking fastball that sits in the high-80s or low-90s and can touch 95 MPH to go with an average curve, Gutierrez has two pitches that profile well in a starting role. That his changeup hasn't made as much progress as hoped might mean his fastball-curveball combination profiles best in middle relief, but the Astros will likely give him another shot at starting in Triple-A next season. Though he hasn't put everything together yet, Gutierrez is someone to be watched. He's a good bet to improve in his second go-round in Triple-A, and his makeup and statistical profile say he can be a No. 3 starter if everything breaks right. A career as a setup man or innings eater seems more likely, but he's likely to have fantasy value at some point. Recommendation: Ignore in NL-only one-year leagues; monitor in NL-only keeper formats.

Joel Guzman ? 3B Devil Rays ? It's still too early to definitively label Guzman a bust, as he's young enough to be capable of carving out a useful big league career. However, it'd be surprising if he ever lived up to the potential that made him one of baseball's best prospects in 2004. A 6'4" shortstop signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2001, Guzman failed to impress in the Rookie leagues or Single-A during his first two seasons in professional baseball. That he reached High-A Vero Beach as an 18-year-old is worth noting, though he did nothing with the bat while at the level.

Back at Vero Beach to begin the following season, Guzman started to get noticed by hitting .307 with 44 extra-base hits in 87 games. A late season promotion to Double-A Jacksonville saw Guzman's raw numbers take a slight hit, but that he was moving to a more pitcher-friendly environment meant there was really little change in production. He posted a similar performance while back at Jacksonville in 2005. That he still hadn't developed much plate discipline was a concern, but Guzman was plenty young enough to fix that. Promoted to Triple-A Las Vegas in 2006, Guzman showed similar offensive numbers despite moving to a very hitter-friendly environment in the Pacific Coast League. He also hadn't improved his control of the strike zone, and the Dodgers sent to him to the Devil Rays in the Julio Lugo deal last trading deadline.

Guzman continued struggling after joining Triple-A Durham, and a lot of his luster as a prospect has warn off as a result. He was having his worst season to date while back at Durham this season, and it's been three seasons since he's made any improvements in his game. Now primarily a third basemen, Guzman still has the raw power that made him an elite prospect. That he has little clue at the plate continues to hamper his development, and he's shown no signs of improving in his most pressing area of need. Perhaps Guzman will figure it all out at some point and have a career filled with lofty home run totals and low on-base percentages. It seems more likely that he settles in as a borderline starter, and he's hardly worth rostering in all but the deepest keeper leagues at this point. The Devil Rays will use him as a bench player for a few months before sending him back to the minors in 2008. Recommendation: Ignore in AL-only formats.

Jack Hannahan ? 3B Athletics ? Acquired from the Tigers a week ago, Hannahan is a career minor leaguer who happens to play a position of need for the Athletics. With the club decimated by injuries, the Athletics are going to give Hannahan a shot at third base for a few weeks. A third round pick by the Tigers in 2001, Hannahan never showed much production at the plate until this season. Before being promoted, the left-handed hitting Hannahan was batting .295 with 20 doubles and 13 homers in 336 at-bats in Triple-A. That he drew 76 walks while at Toledo is certainly appealing to the Athletics' philosophy, but that patience was accompanied by 92 strikeouts.

Due to his high strikeout totals and unremarkable tools, Hannahan isn't likely to continue hitting for average at the major league level. His power also isn't terribly exciting and he's already 27 years old, so those in keeper leagues can safely ignore him. However, since the Athletics have pushed Marco Scutaro aside to give Hannahan a look, he could provide some value in deeper AL-only leagues. He's capable of batting .260 and smacking a few homers from now until the end of the season. Recommendation: Consider in one-year AL-only leagues.

Cameron Maybin ? OF Tigers ? One of the more surprising callups of the year, Maybin was promoted to the majors this week after just six games in Double-A. The 10th pick in the 2005 draft out of a North Carolina high school, Maybin certainly has the talent to be considered a top-notch prospect. Still, the decision to rush a 20-year-old who has problems striking out too much (89 punchouts in as many games) to the majors is a questionable move. The Tigers disagreed and felt Maybin earned the promotion by hitting .304/.393/.486 in 83 games for High-A Lakeland and .400 with four homers after a promotion to Double-A Erie. His defense also showed excellent potential and he's already fairly refined on the base paths, stealing 25 bases in 31 attempts this season.

Maybin is a legitimate five-tool prospect and easily ranked as one of the game's top 10 minor leaguers before his callup. He should be at least an above average defensive center fielder in his prime, and there's a good chance he'll be better than that. Maybin also figures to steal bases at a good clip and eventually smack 30 homers per season. That he does draw walks when he's not getting pitches he likes is a positive, though he still needs to work on recognizing pitches he shouldn't be chasing. While the strikeouts are always going to be a concern until they disappear from his profile, Maybin has talent and age on his side in conquering that weakness.

Called up to the majors to replace the cut Craig Monroe, the Tigers are going to play Maybin regularly for now. Manager Jim Leyland and the team's front office agree just how special Maybin is, and the team is likely to show patience even if he doesn't succeed right away. How he does for the final six weeks will ultimately determine if Maybin is sent back to the minors to start 2008 or not. I'd suspect the club would prefer he do so, but they also obviously view him as superior to any of their other fallback options right now. If he struggles a cheap stopgap could be signed, but if Maybin gets off to a fast start he may well be in the majors for good.

Since he still has problems recognizing quality breaking stuff, Maybin isn't likely to be more than a capable starter for the rest of the season. He's still worth pursuing in AL-only leagues as one of the last quality callups likely to get regular playing time, and there's always a chance his phenomenal raw talents will win out and allow him to succeed despite still needing refinement. Those in keeper leagues should be actively pursuing him as well, as his power-speed combination should allow him plenty of fantasy value almost immediately after debuting. However, since he's not as likely as most elite prospects to transition well right away, some restraint should be exercised. He went for $21 in a $260 three-year keeper league I'm in this past week, a number I think is reasonable but on the high side. Recommendation: Claim in AL-only leagues, monitor in mixed leagues, and pursue aggressively in all keeper leagues.

Franklin Morales ? LHP Rockies ? Despite some room for improvement in a few key areas, Morales is easily one of the more exciting prospects in the minors. A 6'3", 180-pound left-hander signed out of Venezuela in 2002, Morales has an electrifying fastball that sits in the low-to-mid-90s. Southpaws that throw that hard don't grow on trees, and opposing hitters have trouble making hard contact on a pitch that tops out at 97 MPH. It's a true plus pitch, and one of the best of all lefties in the minors. That he also has a quality curveball and solid changeup give Morales plenty of projectability, and it's easy to dream on a player with Morales' raw stuff.

The lone negative with respect to Morales is in regards to his command. He has trouble repeating his delivery and it leads to plenty of walks and high pitch counts. Indeed, despite a dominant 462 strikeouts in 428 minor league innings, Morales has also issued 234 free passes. He won't be able to succeed in the majors with ratios like that, but the southpaw is still just a 21-year-old and has already held his own in Triple-A. Before being promoted this past week, Morales had posted a 3.51 ERA and 93/58 K/BB ratio in 112 2/3 innings between Double-A Tulsa and Triple-A Colorado Springs.

Called up to start against the Dodgers this past weekend, Morales surrendered just one run in 5 1/3 innings while walking none and striking out four. That he dominated a struggling Dodgers' lineup means the performance needs to be discounted, but that his command looked pretty good is a positive. He'll remain in the majors for now, though that he's still wild in most outings and will be playing half his games at Coors Field limits his value tremendously. He's unlikely to provide much value in NL-only leagues down the stretch, but he is someone to watch. Despite his home park limiting him in the future, Morales is so talented that he could eventually be an above average fantasy option. Since he already has a solid changeup, Morales isn't likely to end up in the bullpen even though his impressive fastball and high walk totals might lead one to that conclusion. Recommendation: Monitor in NL-only leagues; claim in NL-only keeper formats.

Prospect Profiles

Brandon Jones ? OF Braves ? Jones will almost surely be discussed when I evaluate prospects for the 2008 season in a few weeks, but I've had a few requests on him and he is deserving of a full profile. A draft-and-follow in the 24th round of the 2003 draft, Jones signed with the Braves after a year at Tallahassee Community College. The 6'1", 190-pound Jones had originally spurned the Royals in the 2002 draft, and was set to go attend college as a multi-sport athlete before the Braves lured him away. Jones quickly debuted at Danville of the Appalachian league, showing a diverse set of tools that looked rather promising.

Moved up to Single-A Rome to begin the 2005 campaign, Jones broke his left hand just a few games into the season and didn't return until late June. He looked just fine after returning, however, putting up a .308/.423/.577 line in 156 at-bats. The club quickly moved Jones up to High-A Myrtle Beach and he acquitted himself nicely in 17 games before the season ended. The left-handed hitting Jones was showing all five tools in just his second big league season, and his 40/39 K/BB ratio was rather excellent. He still had work to do to succeed at higher levels, but everything was in place for Jones to continue performing well.

Unfortunately, Jones started striking out more after returning to Myrtle Beach the next season. His on-base and slugging percentages dropped as a result, but the Braves decided he was making enough progress to promote him to Double-A Mississippi at mid-season. Jones showed a little more power after the promotion, but he was striking out too often and his overall performance was disappointing. It turned out that Jones needed surgery on his right shoulder late in the season and he missed the final three weeks as a result. It's something that could have been affecting him earlier in the season, though if it was he wasn't complaining about it.

Back at Mississippi to start the 2007 campaign, Jones has looked more like the player who lit up Rome in 2005. He hit .293 with 42 extra-base hits in 94 games at the level, good for a .507 slugging percentage. That he added 44 walks was a positive as well, though it did come with a still troubling 84 strikeouts. Moved up to Triple-A Richmond, Jones has posted similar numbers across the board. In total between the two levels, Jones has 19 homers, seven triples, and 31 doubles to go with a .301 batting average.

Jones won't turn 24 until this off-season, so he's at an appropriate level given his skills and experience. With all the tools to serve as a well-rounded player, Jones' game should translate to the major leagues well. That he still strikes out too often is going to limit his upside, particularly in the short-term, but that he draws plenty of walks and is still young gives hope. Even if he strikes out 120 times per season, Jones could still hit a respectable .270 thanks to his above average speed and hard contact. Since he'll likely add 60 walks and 15-20 homers, he can be as asset in time even if he doesn't trim down on the punchouts.

Another area he'll have to work on is using his speed to his advantage on the bases and in the field. Despite rating as above average in the category, Jones is just 38-for-58 in 351 career minor league games and his defense currently projects better in a corner outfield spot rather than in center. If Jones can improve in those areas and limit his strikeouts while continuing to fill out his frame, he has legitimate All-Star potential. However, it's more likely that he doesn't develop in all of those areas, and simply ends up an average or slightly better regular. Jones could probably use another three-to-six months in the minors to refine his plate discipline some more, but he's likely to be solid enough in 2008 that the Braves will consider him for their left field opening.

Jeff Manship ? RHP Twins ? It hasn't been easy for Manship to get to where he is today. Considered one of the best high school arms entering the 2003 draft and a first-round talent, Manship had been scouted thoroughly for some time. The right-hander had a solid low-90s fastball that was improving to go with good command in high school, but his calling card was a curveball that rated as the draft's best. The pitch was so effective against high school batters that Manship relied on the pitch heavily. That over reliance on his curve combined with a heavy workload while pitching in supplemental competitions contributed to Manship breaking down and needing Tommy John surgery. That surgery didn't take place until the February after the draft, but a strong commitment to Notre Dame was also in play and Manship ended up slipping to the 50th round.

Electing to go to school instead of sign with the Diamondbacks, the 6'0", 170-pound right-hander didn't pitch during his freshman season at Notre Dame due to the ligament surgery. He returned to the mound as a sophomore, though he was eased back into games and ended up throwing just 22 2/3 innings. Fully healthy for the first time in two seasons, Manship had an excellent junior season that saw him post a 3.26 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 94 innings of work. That his curveball again looked promising was a plus, and Manship displayed his usual good command while issuing just 28 free passes. The Twins liked what they saw and drafted Manship in the 14th round that June amid concerns that he wanted to finish his senior season at Notre Dame.

Outsiders were somewhat surprised when Manship signed last summer, though the pitcher himself maintains it was his intention all along to sign. The right-hander made a few appearances in the Gulf Cost League after signing, then looked strong in four appears for High-A Fort Myers before the year was out. Despite his late season success in the Florida State League, the Twins elected to send Manship back to Single-A Benoit to begin the 2007 campaign. However, he was clearly not a match for Single-A batters, and Manship recorded a 1.51 ERA and 77/9 K/BB ratio in 77 2/3 innings at the level. Moved back up to Fort Myers this summer, Manship has gone 7-4 with a 2.94 ERA and 56/23 K/BB ratio in 64 1/3 innings.

Still just 22 years old, Manship already has at least average command for a big leaguer. As he continues to develop his command should turn into a plus. The right-hander's other big weapon is still his curveball. It's one of the best breaking balls in the low minors and he commands it well, so it should translate well to the major leagues. Manship also has a low-90s fastball that he'll spot on both sides of the plate, a developing changeup, and a passable slider. While moving up the professional ladder, Manship is going to need to rely more on his changeup and less on his curveball. Even though the curve is a plus pitch, he'll need a third offering to be effective as a starter and he'll have to trust his other pitches more in big situations.

The Twins have been cautious with Manship thus far, perhaps because it's only his second full season since returning to pitching. They'll want him to focus on improving his changeup and approach, so they don't figure to rush him until he shows the progress they're looking for. A move up to Double-A New Britain next season will be a good test, and he should arrive in the majors at some point in early 2009. Though he's already undergone Tommy John surgery, Manship doesn't seem much more of an injury risk than most pitching prospects. He could be a No. 2 option if everything breaks right and a lack of further development might turn him into an innings eater, but Manship looks destined to be a No. 3 starter.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Anderson Drives in 10
While unexpected, reigning NL Cy Young winner Brandon Webb tossing 42 straight scoreless innings certainly isn't shocking. Neither is Johan Santana striking out 17 batters in eight innings or Bobby Jenks retiring 41 consecutive hitters. Great players do great things, and similarly Garret Anderson driving in 10 runs in a game wouldn't have seemed outlandish five years ago, when he was finishing up a four-season run of 117, 123, 123, and 116 RBIs.

However, the 35-year-old Anderson hasn't topped 100 RBIs since 2004 and came into Tuesday night batting .273 with just six homers, 40 RBIs, and a modest .713 OPS in 75 games. He was hitting just .209 with runners in scoring position and was batting .227 with one homer, 12 RBIs, and a .583 OPS in 19 games this month. Yet by the sixth inning Anderson had abused the Yankees' pitching staff for two homers, two doubles, and a team record 10 RBIs.

He had a two-run double off Mike Mussina in the first inning, plated one run with another double off Mussina in the second inning, hit a three-run homer off Edwar Ramirez in the third inning, and then put an exclamation point on the evening with his eighth career grand slam off Sean Henn in the sixth inning. Anderson had a chance to add to his RBI total in the eighth inning, as the home crowd rose to their feet in an 18-5 game, but grounded out with runners on the corners.

While Anderson settles for increasing his season RBI total by 25 percent in about two hours and becoming just the sixth player since 1969 to drive in 10 or more runs in a game, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* One of this year's breakout pitchers with 14 wins, a 3.50 ERA, and 156 strikeouts as a 23-year-old, Cole Hamels' season is in doubt after he was diagnosed with a mild MCL strain in his elbow Tuesday. Hamels has been scratched from his scheduled start Wednesday and will undergo an MRI, at which point a clear timetable should emerge. It's possible that he'll return in a couple weeks, but Hamels has a long history of injuries and missed time with shoulder problems in 2006.

* Alfonso Soriano took batting practice Tuesday and said afterward that he feels capable of returning from a torn quadriceps, but manager Lou Piniella made it clear that the Cubs don't feel the same way. "No, he's not ready," Piniella said. "The fact that he's been taking batting practice has got his blood flowing a little bit, but we've got to careful. One more setback and the whole season's gone." At this point, the Cubs are planning to bring Soriano back on Labor Day.

* Odalis Perez threw five shutout innings Sunday against the A's, but his season could be over after being diagnosed with a strained knee ligament Tuesday. Perez is likely headed to the disabled list and the Royals announced that Zack Greinke will replace him in the rotation beginning Friday against the Indians. Greinke struggled a starter early this season, going 1-4 with a 5.71 ERA in seven outings, but thrived following a move to the bullpen.

In 38 appearances he went 4-1 with a 3.54 ERA, 55-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .226 opponent's batting average in 53.1 innings. Able to ramp up his fastball while working an inning or two at a time, Greinke looks very capable of developing into a late-inning stud. However, he made it clear Tuesday that he'd prefer to start and the Royals might as well use the final five weeks to see where he stands heading into 2008. Short term, his fantasy value is minimal.

* Frank Thomas isn't going to be in any MVP discussions this year, but his season has played out much like it did in 2006. Thomas failed to crack a .700 OPS until May 22 last year, but then hit .302 with 32 homers, 94 RBIs, and a 1.011 OPS over his final 103 games. He topped a .700 OPS in late April this season, but was sporting an ugly .705 OPS through May 23. With a pair of homers Tuesday, he's batting .281 with 16 homers, 58 RBIs, and a .916 OPS in 77 games since.

* Clearly struggling with some sort of arm problem while going 2-7 with a 7.75 ERA in his last dozen starts, Jason Jennings was diagnosed with a torn flexor tendon in his right elbow Tuesday. Jennings missed time earlier this season because of an elbow injury, but had been complaining mostly of shoulder problems recently. He'll miss the remainder of the season, but has a good chance to be fully recovered in time for spring training if no further problems are found.

A pending free agent who was traded from Colorado to Houston this offseason, Jennings cost himself a ton of money by not agreeing to a long-term contract extension prior to the season. Instead, he figures to land a one-year deal filled with incentives and an option for 2009. If Roy Oswalt's strained oblique allows him to rejoin the rotation after skipping his scheduled start Thursday, rookie Juan Gutierrez will officially take over Jennings' spot.

* Erik Bedard held the Rangers to a pair of runs over seven innings Tuesday, striking out 11 while winning his ninth straight decision. Bedard hasn't lost since June 15, going 9-0 with a 2.20 ERA, 106-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .168 opponent's batting average in 82 innings spread over a dozen starts since then. Following an Opening Day loss to the Twins, Bedard is 13-3 with a 2.73 ERA in 26 starts, racking up seven double-digit strikeout games.

* As the baseball season enters the stretch drive football is also right around the corner, and Rotoworld and NBCSports.com are teaming up to offer the $100,000 Fantasy Football Challenge. The game is free to play and involves plenty of interesting strategy that you won't find in a typical head-to-head league. Basically, you stack your lineup with whoever you want each week, with the caveat that you can only use a player once during the regular season.

In other words, you can start LaDainian Tomlinson, Peyton Manning, and Chad Johnson in Week 1, but then they're all off limits for the rest of the year. Not only is it fun and easy to sign up for, the whole thing is free. Plus, with $100,000 on the line I'm officially giving everyone permission to use the "sorry, I'm working" excuse when a family member tries to guilt you into not spending so much time on your fantasy teams.

AL Quick Hits: Scratched from Monday's game with back soreness, the same injury forced Michael Young from Tuesday's game ? Hoping to return in September, Mike Sweeney (knee) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Thursday at Triple-A ? Manager Mike Scioscia announced Tuesday that Ervin Santana will remain in the rotation, with Dustin Moseley sliding back into the bullpen ? Alex Rodriguez hit his MLB-leading 41st and 42nd homers in a losing effort Tuesday ? Scott Podsednik left Tuesday's game with a strained right rib cage ? Mark Teahen could be headed to the disabled list after aggravating an elbow injury while taking batting practice Tuesday ? After throwing a simulated game Tuesday, Bartolo Colon (elbow) is on track to begin a rehab assignment this weekend ? Akinori Iwamura homered Tuesday for the first time since June 23, a 50-game span in which he batted .258 with a .635 OPS ? Chone Figgins' left Tuesday's game with a sprained left wrist ? Rather than recall Cliff Lee or Jeremy Sowers, the Indians will turn to Aaron Laffey for Saturday's start ? Manny Ramirez is expected to get Wednesday off despite being healthy.

NL Quick Hits: Hunter Pence (wrist) returned from the disabled list Tuesday, going 1-for-6 with an RBI ? Carlos Beltran continues to crush the ball since coming off the DL, going 3-for-3 with a homer and five RBIs Tuesday ? Mark Reynolds struck out twice Tuesday, tying an MLB record by whiffing in nine straight at-bats, but is still hitting .396 this month ? Edgar Renteria (ankle) went through running drills Tuesday and is set to come off the shelf Wednesday ? Tim Lincecum took a shutout into the ninth inning on 88 pitches Tuesday, but lost when he and the Giants' bullpen fell apart against the Cubs ? Hoping to return yet this month, Zach Duke (elbow) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday ? After going 3-for-5 with a homer and four RBIs Tuesday, Ryan Zimmerman is now hitting .317 with a .914 OPS in 46 games since July 1 ? Gabe Gross' grand slam Tuesday makes him 8-for-20 (.400) with three homers since rejoining the Brewers last week ? Meanwhile, Corey Hart's sore elbow will keep him sidelined until at least Friday ? A .227 hitter in the first half, Nook Logan's five-hit game Tuesday makes him a .349 hitter with nine steals since the All-Star break.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Rangers 30, Orioles 3
The Rangers faced Johan Santana on Sunday and Erik Bedard on Tuesday, striking out a total of 28 times in 15 innings. Given a chance to face some mortal pitching in a doubleheader Wednesday against the Orioles, they exploded for 39 runs, including a record-setting 30 runs in Game 1. Thirty runs. A simple look at the Game 1 boxscore is good for a laugh and the game produced a seemingly endless supply of crazy numbers, stats, and records.

Among them is that the Rangers became the first team to score 30 runs in a game since 1897 and did so despite trailing 3-0 after three innings. In fact, they did all their scoring in four innings, scoring five in the fourth, nine in the sixth, 10 in the eighth, and six more in the ninth. You know, because the 24-3 lead probably wasn't safe. They became the first team in baseball history to score nine-plus runs in two different innings and forced the Orioles to throw 252 pitches.

Nine different Rangers scored at least twice and four hitters knocked in at least four runs, including seven RBIs apiece from the unlikely duo of Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Ramon Vazquez. Travis Metcalf, who was called up from Triple-A in the morning, came off the bench with a grand slam in Game 1 and then went 2-for-3 with four RBIs in Game 2. Metcalf managed just six RBIs in his first 98 career at-bats, but had eight RBIs in six at-bats Wednesday.

The most amazing stat from the game might just be that Wes Littleton picked up a save. Seriously. Littleton entered the game with a 14-3 lead in the seventh inning and pitched the final three frames while the Rangers tacked on 16 more runs. Apparently it doesn't take a "closer's mentality" to protect a 27-run lead. Between the two games, the Rangers collected 40 hits and 16 walks, and because all 39 runs were earned the Orioles' team ERA rose from 4.41 to 4.66.

While I avoid going on for another thousand words because you probably get the point, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Gary Sheffield began the season in a 17-for-89 (.191) slump, but then hit .346 with 21 homers, 57 RBIs, 63 runs, 12 steals, and a 1.086 OPS in his next 66 games. That dominant stretch ended on July 21, when Sheffield went 3-for-5 in a game that also saw him suffer a shoulder injury during an outfield collision with Placido Polanco. Since then, Sheffield has hit just .172 with one homer, six RBIs, and a .500 OPS in 23 games.

Sheffield took a week off earlier this month to rest the shoulder after receiving a cortisone shot, but went 10-for-51 (.196) after coming back and has once again shut things down. He's officially listed as day-to-day, but Sheffield made it clear Wednesday that the situation is more serious than that. "I'm doing myself and my team a disservice by trying to play hurt," Sheffield said. "It's one thing to be hurt and another to be injured. This is more on the side of injured."

He's complained of numbness in his arm previously and said Wednesday that his "right hand comes off the bat for some reason and it does it on its own." With Sheffield sidelined indefinitely and Craig Monroe cut loose earlier this week, Marcus Thames and Cameron Maybin figure to play nearly every day. Ryan Raburn could also see extended action in the outfield depending on whether or not manager Jim Leyland uses him to spell Brandon Inge at third base.

* The Phillies received good news Wednesday when an MRI showed that Cole Hamels doesn't have ligament damage in his injured left elbow, but he's been placed on the disabled list anyway. Hamels has been diagnosed with a strained elbow, which makes it possible that he could return fafter the minimum 15 days. However, given the 23-year-old's injury history the Phillies may choose to be extra cautious depending on how their playoff chances fare between now and then.

* [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] experienced back tightness in Tuesday's start, staying healthy for just three outings since returning from a strained oblique. The Padres reportedly think that the two injuries could be related, so Young is scheduled to see a specialist while missing at least one start. Young has been fantastic, leading all of baseball with a 2.12 ERA, but he's never thrown as many as even 180 innings in a season and still needs another 27 innings just to qualify for the ERA title.

* It didn't take long for Brandon Webb's 42-inning scoreless streak to end Wednesday thanks to Prince Fielder's first-inning RBI single. Webb recovered to hold Milwaukee to a pair of runs over seven innings to pick up his 14th victory, which ranks second in the league. He's won six straight starts since losing three straight games in July and leads the NL with 191.2 innings. Webb ranks "only" fourth in ERA, but his 2.63 mark gets more impressive given his hitter-friendly ballpark.

* Albert Pujols homered Wednesday for the fifth straight game and his mediocre early numbers are a distant memory. Pujols leads the league with 14 homers since the All-Star break and he's up to .322 with 30 homers, 83 RBIs, and a 1.003 OPS in 122 games overall. Pujols has seven straight 30-homer seasons to begin his career and he's on pace for a .320-40-110 campaign that will fit right in with his first six years, all despite batting .245 with a .750 OPS through mid-May.

AL Quick Hits: A CT scan and MRI showed that Chone Figgins (wrist) doesn't have a fracture or tear, but he's expected to miss several more games with a bone bruise ? Mark Teahen looks headed for the disabled list after being diagnosed with a strained muscle in his left elbow ? Bartolo Colon (elbow) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Saturday at Triple-A ? Dr. James Andrews didn't recommend surgery for Akinori Otsuka (forearm), but going under the knife remains an option ? Scott Podsednik (ribs) pinch-ran Wednesday, but manager Ozzie Guillen indicated that he may be shut down soon ? With Huston Street getting Wednesday off, Alan Embree converted a four-out save ? After allowing three runs in one-third of an inning Wednesday, Scot Shields has an 11.07 ERA in 13 innings since mid-July ? With seven innings of one-run ball Wednesday against the Angels, Andy Pettitte has won five straight starts ? Dustin Pedroia left Wednesday's game after being hit on the elbow by a pitch, but X-rays revealed merely a bone bruise ? Esteban Loaiza pitched well in his season debut Wednesday, holding the Blue Jays to one run over 7.1 innings.

NL Quick Hits: Edgar Renteria aggravated his ankle injury in his first at-bat back from the disabled list Wednesday and could be sidelined again ? With 11 strikeouts in Wednesday's win over the Mets, Jake Peavy reached double digits for the third time this month and seventh time this season ? Nate McLouth homered twice Wednesday, giving him seven long balls this month after hitting a total of 15 during his first 233 games ? Meanwhile, Freddy Sanchez's homer Wednesday was his seventh since the All-Star break after beginning his career with just 13 in 409 games ? Rich Hill held the Giants to a pair of runs over seven innings Wednesday, reaching double-digit strikeouts for the second time this season ? After hitting just .188 with Hunter Pence out, Jason Lane headed back to the minors Wednesday ? With 6.1 innings of two-run ball Wednesday, Woody Williams has gone 5-2 with a 3.70 ERA since beginning the season 3-10 with a 5.75 ERA ? Zach Duke (elbow) could begin a minor-league rehab assignment soon after throwing a pain-free simulated game Wednesday
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Bullpen Report: Week 21
Originally expected back from a sore forearm in early August, it was later revealed that Akinori Otsuka wouldn't be back until early September. There were rumors in late July that he may need Tommy John surgery, but the Rangers weren't hinting at the chance and the club went as far as scheduling a throwing program for the right-hander. However, the club decided to have Otsuka go see Dr. James Andrews this week because the soreness in his forearm hasn't gone away. Andrews recommended against any sort of surgery, saying there was no structural damage and only the normal wear and tear a 35-year-old pitcher would be expected to have. A cleanup procedure could help the problem and wouldn't affect Otsuka much for the 2008 season, so he may elect to undergo the surgery anyway.

The Rangers have Otsuka under control through 2009 and there's no need to rush him back with the team out of contention, so at the very least he's going to sit out awhile longer. Even if he doesn't need surgery, it'd make the most sense for the club to just shut him down for the remainder of the season. A return in mid-September is still possible, but even then it's unlikely he'd move right back into the closer's role. As a result, those in fantasy leagues shouldn't be counting on anything from Otsuka for the remainder of the season. His value in keeper leagues is also going to take a hit, though it doesn't look like it will be a major one.

All closers are rated in one of the following categories: Locked In, Secure, Shaky, In Danger, Filling-in, Co-Closer or DL.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Closer: Jose Valverde (Locked In)

Key setup men: Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Doug Slaten

Valverde tossed three more scoreless innings this week while picking up a pair of saves. He now leads the majors with 38 successfully converted save opportunities. Pena continued to struggle some this week, and I'm not necessarily expecting him to turn it around in September. He struggled late in the season in 2006 as well, and he has already topped 70 innings on the season. The club may try and rest him for the post-season if they have a big enough lead late in September.

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Bob Wickman (Secure)

Key setup men: Octavio Dotel (DL), Rafael Soriano, Peter Moylan, Oscar Villarreal

Wickman pitched just once this week, loading the bases in a four-run game before eventually pitching himself out of the jam. It's what we've come to expect of the veteran right-hander. Dotel's shoulder is feeling better and he could be activated as soon as this weekend. He should be fine to put back in NL-only lineups.

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Chris Ray (DL), Danys Baez (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Jamie Walker, Chad Bradford, James Hoey

The Orioles kept saying that Ray was supposed to return to the club in early September and eventually regain the closer's role from Baez. However, it turned out the right-hander needed Tommy John surgery, and now he's out for the remainder of the 2007 season and most of 2008. I was a big proponent of Ray in keeper leagues, figuring his strong ratios would allow him to bounce back next season. Unfortunately, now he's only a sleeper for 2009. The club could look at other long-term options this or next winter, though they'd certainly prefer Ray came back as strong as ever. That's not a given, though.

Baez will work as the team's closer for now, so he has to be active in all leagues despite being rather mediocre. Hoey has looked good in most of his outings with the Orioles, but he's still just a few innings removed from the minors. Perhaps he'll take ninth inning duties away from Baez at some point in 2008, but he's going to have to prove himself a little more first. A high-priced acquisition this winter also can't be ruled out, so not a lot of clear-cut assumptions can be made when looking into the future of the club's pen.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon (Locked In)

Key setup men: Eric Gagne, Hideki Okajima, Manny Delcarmen, Mike Timlin

Papelbon went longer than an inning for just the third time this season when he tossed 1 1/3 scoreless innings against the Angels this week. The outing was in the first game of a double-header, so manager Terry Francona was wisely trying to save innings for the second game. With Papelbon unavailable for the nightcap, Gagne was given a save chance and predictably blew it by giving up three runs in the ninth. The former Ranger and Dodger rebounded with two scoreless innings since, but he's going to need to do more than that to keep his owner's confidence up. He still figures to be next in line should Papelbon be unavailable, but Okajima remains a better fantasy option.

Chicago Cubs

Closer: Ryan Dempster (Secure)

Key setup men: Bob Howry, Carlos Marmol, Angel Guzman (DL), Mike Wuertz, Kerry Wood

Dempster was supposed to start losing save opportunities with a strained oblique injury that was still affecting his velocity. However, manager Lou Piniella called upon the right-hander five times this week. Dempster responded with five scoreless innings and three saves. It appears he's feeling better and Piniella will stick with him as long as he continues getting results, so his job security was bumped back up to 'Secure' this week.

Chicago White Sox

Closer: Bobby Jenks (Locked In)

Key setup men: Matt Thornton, Mike MacDougal, Boone Logan

Jenks tied a major league record last week by retiring 41 straight batters. It was one of the team's lone shining moments of the season, and everyone got behind the hefty right-hander as he tried to break the record this week. Unfortunately, Jenks gave up a single to the Royals' Joey Gathright to end the streak while still tied with the previous record holder, Jim Barr. Jenks bounced back to retire the next three batters for a save, then threw another perfect inning for a save later in the week. With an ERA under 3.00 and another year of good health under his belt, Jenks' value is on the rise in keeper formats.

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: David Weathers (Secure)

Key setup men: Bill Bray, Eddie Guardado, Mike Stanton

Weathers got back on track with four scoreless innings and three saves this week. Guardado has given up nine runs over his last three outings and isn't a consideration in fantasy leagues right now. Bray, who has pitched well in five innings since returning from the disabled list, could well be next in line already. He's worth grabbing in keeper leagues and there are worse options in NL-only leagues down the stretch.

Cleveland Indians

Closer: Joe Borowski (Secure)

Key setup men: Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Tom Mastny

Borowski started and finished the week with scoreless appearances to pick up saves. However, he also blew a save in the bottom of the 10th inning against the Devil Rays this week by allowing one run on two hits and a walk. The Indians ended up losing the game in 12 innings, and the decision to not acquire bullpen help at the trade deadline is looking more and more suspect. The club can't afford to be giving away many more wins while battling in a close race for the AL Central crown and dropping further back of the wild card-leading Mariners.

Colorado Rockies

Closer: Manny Corpas (Shaky)

Key setup men: Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Jorge Julio, Jeremy Affeldt

Corpas continues to plug along with two more scoreless innings and another save this week. Fuentes has given up two runs ? one earned ? in his last six outings, but he's put seven men on base during that stretch and hardly looks ready to return to his previous level of dominance. Corpas should remain at the helm for at least another two weeks. It's possible he'll hold on to the job for the remainder of the season, but I still think the club would prefer to get Fuentes back in there before October comes. Either way, Fuentes is going to be the favorite in 2008.

Detroit Tigers

Closer: Todd Jones (Secure)

Key setup men: Joel Zumaya, Fernando Rodney, Bobby Seay

The big news in Detroit this week was the return of Zumaya. The flame-throwing young right-hander was activated from the disabled list on Monday after missing over three months of action. The ruptured tendon in his finger is said to have healed just fine, and Zumaya retired the only batter he faced this week. The club isn't as desperate for Zumaya's services as they were a month ago, so he can be eased back into an eighth inning role. Still, he's worth activating right away in leagues where middle relievers have value.

Florida Marlins

Closer: Kevin Gregg (Locked In)

Key setup men: Armando Benitez, Matt Lindstrom, Taylor Tankersley, Lee Gardner

Gregg notched two more scoreless innings this week, though he didn't pick up a save in either outing. Benitez surrendered four runs in one relief appearance this week, though that they were unearned should help him remain an option in high leverage innings. He's not a strong play even with the Marlins consistently backing the right-hander.

Houston Astros

Closer: Brad Lidge (Secure)

Key setup men: Chad Qualls, David Borkowski, Trever Miller

Lidge bounced back from a shaky weak to throw three scoreless innings for saves. He gave up just one baserunner between the three outings while also striking out five. He remains a risky option with high upside and surprisingly strong job security.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Joakim Soria (Secure)

Key setup men: Zack Greinke, Joel Peralta, David Riske

Soria started the week with two scoreless innings, then surrendered a three-run homer with two outs in the ninth inning against the White Sox's Josh Fields. It was a non-save situation as Soria had entered in the eighth inning with the Royals ahead by four runs. Despite Greinke throwing well in a setup role, Soria remains comfortably atop the team's depth chart.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Francisco Rodriguez (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scot Shields, Justin Speier, Darren Oliver

Rodriguez had one of his rougher stretches of the season this week. He started by allowing two runs and putting the tying run on third base in a save situation against the Blue Jays, though he eventually finished the job. He then blew a save while giving up four runs to the Red Sox, though three of the runs were inherited and he ended up garnering a win in that outing. Despite the poor stretch, Rodriguez still has a fine 2.83 ERA to go with 31 saves.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Closer: Takashi Saito (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jonathan Broxton, Scott Proctor, Chin-Hui Tsao (DL), Rudy Seanez

Broxton had an excellent first full season in the majors in 2006, and he's someone we recommended highly both before and after the breakout. By improving his strikeout-to-walk ratio, ERA, and WHIP, he's remained one of the league's best setup men. That he's posted a full repeat means owners should be even more confident in his value in keeper formats.

Proctor continues to draw the short straw in terms of managers and how they use their bullpen. Grady Little is apparently just as infatuated with running Proctor into the ground as Joe Torre was. Despite having already thrown 13 1/3 innings in 20 days since joining the Dodgers, Little felt the need to use Proctor on Wednesday in a game the Dodgers were winning 13-3 at the time. Little must have seen that Proctor hadn't pitched in two days and worried that sitting a third straight day might result in the right-hander completely forgetting how to throw. There's no other explanation.

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Francisco Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Scott Linebrink, Derrick Turnbow, Matt Wise

Cordero hurled two innings and gave up one run to pick up a save this week. He remains one behind Jose Valverde for the major league lead in saves. Turnbow is a maddeningly inconsistent reliever to own, especially when he's not netting you any saves. However, his strikeout rate and solid WHIP make him a fine play in 5x5 NL-only leagues despite the occasional blowup. You'll just have to remain patient.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Joe Nathan (Locked In)

Key setup men: Pat Neshek, Matt Guerrier, Juan Rincon

With his usual excellent ratios and 27 saves in the bank, it's hard to complain about Nathan's performance this season. Despite a mediocre start, he's been one of the best relievers in the American League and he does it in the most high pressure inning. The Twins could hardly ask for anything better.

However, it is mildly concerning that Nathan's strikeout rate has gone from excellent in 2004-2006 to just very good this season. In the previous three seasons, Nathan posted strikeouts per nine innings of 11.07, 12.09, and ending with 12.51 last year. This campaign he's at "just" 9.32. It's probably nothing to worry about for a few years, but that Nathan has been more hittable this season could mean he's starting the decline phase of his career. Despite being a closer for just four seasons, he will turn 33 years old this winter and relievers having a short shelf-life is hardly a new concept. I highly doubt we'll discount him much in our rankings for 2008, but his keeper value may begin to erode if he can't reverse the trend.

New York Mets

Closer: Billy Wagner (Locked In)

Key setup men: Aaron Heilman, Pedro Feliciano, Guillermo Mota

Wagner notched a save and a win while allowing one run in two innings this week. Heilman remains next in line with solid yet unspectacular numbers, but his consistency gives him value in NL-only leagues.

New York Yankees

Closer: Mariano Rivera (Locked In)

Key setup men: Luis Vizcaino, Joba Chamberlain, Kyle Farnsworth

Rivera pitched two more scoreless innings this week while recording his 20th save. The future Hall of Famer also walked a batter in one of those outings, giving him a total of six on the season. If his current rate continues, it will be the best of his career. This continues a trend of Rivera trading strikeout opportunities for pitches in the strike zone as fewer batters are chasing his cutter. He's still very capable of being a quality option, but his days as an elite closer are likely over.

Oakland Athletics

Closer: Huston Street (Secure)

Key setup men: Alan Embree, Santiago Casilla, Kiko Calero

Street returned to the closer's role last week and has recorded three saves over four scoreless innings since. It's his job to lose. With Street having pitched on three straight days, Embree picked up a save while filling in on Wednesday. He's still next in line, in part because Casilla has struggled of late. Despite some rough outings, I'd stick with Casilla in AL-only and keeper leagues.

Philadelphia Phillies

Closer: Brett Myers (Secure)

Key setup men: Tom Gordon, Antonio Alfonseca, Ryan Madson (DL)

Myers threw two scoreless innings for saves this week, bringing his season total to 12. He's looked just fine since returning from a strained shoulder, so there's little concern that he'll be less than excellent over the final six weeks. Gordon continues to pitch well in a setup role despite a partially torn labrum. He looks fine to use in NL-only leagues despite the injury, though he has more risk than his recent performances indicate.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Closer: Matt Capps (Locked In)

Key setup men: Salomon Torres, Damaso Marte, Shawn Chacon

Capps added four more scoreless innings to pick up a pair of saves this week. His ERA is a stellar 2.27 and his WHIP is below 1.00, so he continues to outperform expectations. He's got plenty of job security in Pittsburgh right now.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Trevor Hoffman (Locked In)

Key setup men: Heath Bell, Kevin Cameron, Cla Meredith

Hoffman has given up six runs ? five earned ? over his last six outings, though he does have four saves during that span. We're not all that worried about him fading down the stretch. Meredith has earned back some of the faith the club lost in him early in the season thanks to yielding just two runs in his last 11 2/3 innings. However, he's still behind Bell and possibly Cameron in the club's plans.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Brad Hennessey (Secure)

Key setup men: Randy Messenger (DL), Brian Wilson, Kevin Correia

Hennessey started the week with three scoreless innings in three days to pick up a set of saves. He gave up two runs in two-thirds of an inning in a non-save situation in his final outing, but it was still a positive week. With Messenger out at least a few weeks with a fractured left hand, closing duties should be Hennessey's for the remainder of the season.

If Hennessey struggles or is injured, Wilson would likely take over. The young right-hander hasn't given up a run in five innings since being promoted two weeks ago and he also had a 2.11 ERA for Triple-A Fresno before being recalled. He also notched a save this past week on a day when Hennessey needed rest, so he's clearly next in line. That the club badly wants him to take the closing reigns for the future should also help.

However, some caution should still be exercised when evaluating the youngster. Despite his nice ERA, Wilson has walked 27 batters in 39 1/3 innings between Triple-A and the majors this season. Command like that will catch up to him eventually, and he's a risky option in NL-only formats as a result. He's still worth stashing away, particularly in keeper leagues, but he figures to be a frustrating player to own until his command issues are worked out. A job share with Hennessey down the stretch is possible, though I still think it's more likely the club looks for greater consistency from Wilson first.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: J.J. Putz (Locked In)

Key setup men: Brandon Morrow, George Sherrill, Eric O'Flaherty

Putz pitched in just one game this week, notching his 36th save to match his mark from all of last season. Morrow has shown better command of late, and it's helped him to record 15 2/3 consecutive scoreless innings. He's still not pitching with many small leads, but he's slowly regaining the team's trust.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Jason Isringhausen (Locked In)

Key setup men: Ryan Franklin, Troy Percival, Tyler Johnson, Russ Springer

Isringhausen hurled three more scoreless innings this week to pick up a pair of saves. He now has 24 on the season, leaving him six short of his seventh 30-save season. Percival did give up a run this week, but he's still looked excellent with a 2.70 ERA and 25/5 K/BB ratio in 23 1/3 innings. He remains a fine option in NL-only leagues, but I won't be expecting much if he continues his comeback in 2008.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays

Closer: Al Reyes (Shaky)

Key setup men: Dan Wheeler, Gary Glover, Brian Stokes, Juan Salas

Reyes started to be hampered by a rotator cuff strain in late June and eventually went on the disabled list after giving up four runs in just two-thirds of an inning on July 2. He missed just the minimum of 15 days, but he's given up nine runs in 13 2/3 innings since returning. It's quite possible a rough patch of games is coinciding with the injury, but it seems more likely that it's still of concern. If the Devil Rays get any further hint that he's still hurt, there's no reason to keep throwing him out there with the club out of contention. I suppose that same argument could be made in early April every season for the Devil Rays, but I digress.

Until an injury or continued struggles tell us otherwise, Reyes will enter next season as the club's top option. However, since he's a pretty significant injury risk, Wheeler is going to be a nice option in AL-only leagues from now through September 2008. He's worth using in most AL-only leagues even in an eighth inning role, but he's certainly worth stashing away right now.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Akinori Otsuka (DL), C.J. Wilson (Filling-In)

Key setup men: Joaquin Benoit, Frank Francisco, Wes Littleton

The Rangers didn't generate any save opportunities this week, so Wilson has still received all six opportunities since Eric Gagne was dealt. Until manager Ron Washington picks someone else in the ninth, it's safe to assume the job is Wilson's. Benoit, who has been pitching great with 10 straight scoreless innings, could pick up a save if Wilson is unavailable, but Washington clearly prefers the left-hander at the moment. He's worth using in all formats.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeremy Accardo (Secure)

Key setup men: Casey Janssen, Scott Downs, Jason Frasor

Accardo hurled two scoreless innings this week, picking up his 24th save of the season in the process. Janssen gets touted as a useful AL-only option since he's a quality pitcher and next in line, but not to be overlooked is Downs. Now being used as a late-inning reliever rather than a swingman, Downs has responded with a fine 2.27 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. More realistic numbers would probably be a 3.00 ERA and a WHIP just under 1.30, but even at that level he's going to be of some use. He's a worthy option in most AL-only formats.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Chad Cordero (Locked In)

Key setup men: Jon Rauch, Jesus Colome, Luis Ayala

Colome rejoined the Nationals' pen this week after missing two months with a buttocks injury (really, I'm not making that up). He's given up four hits, one walk, and one run in three innings since returning to action. Rauch has struggled some since a fast start, and if Colome can keep his ERA under 3.00 for the season's final six weeks he could become the club's eighth inning option next season.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Planning now for 2008
It's time to put on your thinking caps.

For those in keeper leagues, roster decisions made in the next couple of weeks will go a long way toward determining the composition of next year's roster.

Fantasy owners who are out of contention have a golden opportunity to get a jump on the competition for 2008 by making shrewd late-season acquisitions.

For example, last season in a National League-only keeper league, my team was hovering in the middle of the pack with little chance of making a late-season run. I had already begun stockpiling some nice $1 pitching prospects, such as John Maine, Chad Billingsley and Tom Gorzelanny, but I found myself in a roster squeeze when the Arizona Diamondbacks called up my top minor leaguer, Stephen Drew.

Suddenly I had to drop someone from my active roster. All season long, I had on my bench a young $1 outfielder who had produced good minor league power and speed numbers. I figured all he needed was a chance to play and he could put up similar numbers in the majors. But at the All-Star break he had only 48 at-bats and no homers.

Figuring no one else would claim him, I dropped Corey Hart and planned to pick him up once a roster spot opened. It never happened.

Another owner pounced on him a couple of weeks later when Hart finally started to play regularly. I not only missed out on Hart's eight homers and 25 RBI over the last two months of 2006, but I lost a $1 keeper whose performance has been worth probably 25 times that this season.

Who could be this year's Corey Hart? There are several categories of players who might fit the bill.

Diamondbacks third baseman Mark Reynolds (.404 average in August) and Colorado Rockies outfielder Ryan Spilborghs (10 homers, 43 RBI in 164 at-bats) have made good cases for increased playing time next year.

Third baseman Ian Stewart was a highly touted prospect who seemed to stall at Class AAA because of injuries, but he's rebounded this season. The Rockies called him up when Todd Helton's back started acting up, and even though his spot on the big club is only temporary, an investment now could pay off big time if Helton or Garrett Atkins leaves this offseason.

Outfielder Wily Mo Pena's trade to the Washington Nationals last week will get him more at-bats immediately, but an even greater payoff could come next season when the Nationals move into their new ballpark, which should be more hitter-friendly than RFK Stadium. Pena can hit for power, and he's only 25.

The Cleveland Indians might want to inject a little youth in their outfield after David Dellucci and Trot Nixon didn't exactly work out this season. Franklin Gutierrez should be at the top of their list. The 24-year-old had seven stolen bases and a higher slugging percentage than any of the Indians' regulars in just over 2? months with the big club.

With the uncertainty surrounding Alex Rodriguez's contract situation, there's a chance he won't remain with the New York Yankees. Wilson Betemit's value would increase considerably if he winds up as the Yankees' starting third baseman next season.

Finally, there are always a handful of closers-in-waiting who make good speculative picks at this time of year. Jonathan Broxton, Joel Zumaya and Carlos Marmol are among those top setup men with closer's stuff.

Awful early numbers

Getting off to a bad start can ruin a player's entire season ? at least in the mind of a fantasy owner. Remember when people were considering dropping the likes of Bobby Abreu, Garrett Atkins, Robinson Cano, Pat Burrell or Jermaine Dye? Well, they're all among their leagues' RBI leaders since the All-Star break, and Abreu was tops in the majors with 43.

Anthony Reyes started the season 0-10 and Edwin Jackson began 0-8, but both have shown signs of turning things around. Since the end of July, they had had nine starts between them through Sunday, and only once has one of them given up more than three runs.

In early June, Alex Gordon's batting average dropped to .172. But since then he has hit around .300 and is finally starting to show power.

Similarly, terrible starts for Adam LaRoche (.133 in April, .289 since) and Luke Scott (.226 before the All-Star break, .358 after) make them good candidates for bounce-back seasons in 2008.

Injury-depressed value

Sometimes a bad break can cost a promising player a chance at a breakout season. Howie Kendrick hit .327 in April before breaking a bone in his left hand. He came back to hit .333 in June before breaking a bone in his left index finger. The winter should give the hand a chance to heal completely.

Others who've been bitten by the injury bug: Ian Kinsler, Cody Ross, Jeremy Hermida, Rickie Weeks, Shawn Hill.

More call-ups are coming

Major league teams are allowed to expand their rosters to as many as 40 players Sept. 1. That provides fantasy owners with an opportunity to snag promising minor league call-ups who could blossom into keepers between now and next spring.

Keep an eye out for first baseman Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds), right-hander Ian Kennedy (Yankees), third baseman Evan Longoria (Tampa Bay Devil Rays) and a return to the majors of right-hander Clay Buchholz (Boston Red Sox).
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2007

Utley on Verge of Return
Chase Utley took batting practice Wednesday for the first time since breaking his right hand on July 26. After watching him take some cuts, manager Charlie Manuel remarked that Utley "was hitting bullets all over this field" and "swung very good." Utley has been cleared to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Friday at Double-A, where he'll make one start each at second base and designated hitter in a doubleheader.

If he avoids a setback, it's possible that Utley could come off the disabled list as soon as Sunday. "We'll let him get a couple of days and send him out and play a couple of days," Manuel said. "Then stick him in the lineup." Once Utley does return, it'll be interesting to see whether or not the Phillies shift fill-in second baseman Tadahito Iguchi over to third base. Iguchi has never played third base, but did see time at shortstop early on during his career in Japan.

Iguchi might be rough around the edges defensively at third base, but Manuel may be willing to sacrifice that to keep his bat in the lineup given that he's hit .303 with a .360 on-base percentage in 24 games with the Phillies. The alternatives are Greg Dobbs, Russell Branyan, Wes Helms, or Abraham Nunez, which despite Dobbs' solid hitting this season makes playing Iguchi out of position pretty appealing.

While the Phillies and Utley owners hope that getting one of fantasy baseball's most underrated stars back in the lineup can provide a huge boost for the stretch drive, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] visited a back specialist Thursday and came away hopeful that he'll miss just one start, which is good news given that the Padres were worried about his back problems being related to his previous oblique injury. "He has stiffness and soreness in his lower back," manager Bud Black said. "It probably won't resolve by Sunday, but we're hoping he'll be able to make his next start." Wilfredo Ledezma is the favorite to take Young's place Sunday against Phillies.

* After aggravating his ankle injury in his first at-bat back from the disabled list Wednesday, Edgar Renteria headed right back to the shelf Thursday. Renteria will sit out at least two weeks and could easily miss the bulk of the remaining schedule. Yunel Escobar will once again step into the starting lineup, this time at shortstop. Escobar has hit .320 (albeit with limited power and plate discipline) in 65 games while subbing for Renteria, Chipper Jones, and Kelly Johnson.

* Out since July 1 with forearm soreness, the Rangers announced Thursday that Akinori Otsuka will be shut down for the next three weeks, likely ending his season. Otsuka received opinions from multiple doctors, all agreeing that surgery isn't required at this point. However, general manager Jon Daniels said Thursday that surgery remains an option if time off doesn't fix the problem. With Otsuka all but done, C.J. Wilson's grip on the closer job gets even stronger.

* Rocco Baldelli has suffered another setback in his recovery from a hamstring injury that's kept him sidelined since May, although at this point it's little more than par for the course. After starting at designated hitter in back-to-back minor-league rehab games earlier this week, Baldelli took Wednesday off and was expected to play center field Thursday at Single-A. Instead, he sat out because of sore legs.

The Devil Rays indicated that the latest problems aren't related to Baldelli's hamstring, but they'll likely update his status following further examinations Friday. "There's really no absolute finish line in sight that we have to have him back by a certain date," manager Joe Maddon said. "The infamous 'err on the side of caution' right now is in effect." In other words, if for some reason you were under the impression that Baldelli would have an impact in September, change those plans.

* Carlos Zambrano struggled with his control Thursday against the Giants, allowing four runs over 5.1 innings for his third loss in a row. Opposing starter Matt Cain held the Cubs to one run over seven innings and also accounted for half the damage against Zambrano, helping his own cause with a two-run homer. Cain is a .110 career hitter with a ghastly 61-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 135 plate appearances, but Thursday's homer was his second of the season.

Cain was one of my picks to see his value rise in the second half, not because he was likely to pitch significantly better than he did in the first half, but because his luck was likely to even out at some point. Sure enough, after going 3-9 despite a 3.53 ERA in the first half, Cain has gone 3-4 with a 3.95 ERA since the All-Star break. He's been especially good this month, going 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 32-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 34.1 innings spread over five starts.

Meanwhile, Zambrano has turned in three straight clunkers. While that's obviously not nearly enough for the Cubs to regret handing him a massive long-term contract, the rough patch comes after he put together a two-month stretch during which he went 9-2 with a 1.43 ERA. Zambrano began the season by going 5-5 with a 5.62 ERA through June 1, which means that he's essentially surrounded a fantastic dozen-start stretch with a whole bunch of bad pitching.

AL Quick Hits: Vladimir Guerrero homered twice Thursday, giving him at least 20 homers in 10 straight seasons ? Chad Gaudin struck out a career-high 10 batters in seven innings of one-run ball Thursday after going 3-8 with a 6.08 ERA over his previous 13 starts ? Kevin Millar reached base for the 50th straight game Thursday, setting a new Orioles record ? Chone Figgins (wrist) is unlikely to play before Monday ? With Jon Lester temporarily demoted to the minors Thursday, Julian Tavarez will start in his place Sunday ? After looking strong in his first start back from Triple-A, Ervin Santana allowed five runs over six innings in a loss Thursday ? Making his second appearance since coming off the disabled list, Joel Zumaya coughed up three runs and took the loss Thursday ? Dustin Pedroia was scratched from Thursday's game because of the bruised elbow that knocked him out Wednesday ? With Casey Kotchman (fingers) hurting, the Angels demoted [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1351"]Brandon Wood[/URL] to Triple-A and recalled Kendry Morales ? After less than two weeks batting third, Grady Sizemore returned to the leadoff spot Thursday.

NL Quick Hits: Manager Lou Piniella said Thursday that Alfonso Soriano (quadriceps) is "10 days ahead of schedule," but his targeted return date likely remains Labor Day ? Piniella also said Thursday that Ryan Dempster is "our closer," with Carlos Marmol and Bob Howry taking "setup roles" ? Albert Pujols failed to homer in a sixth straight game Thursday, exiting early with a sore hamstring ? With a pair of homers and five RBIs Thursday, Carlos Lee became the NL's first 100-RBI man ? Pedro Martinez's (shoulder) next minor-league rehab start will come on six days' rest Monday at Single-A ? Before Adrian Gonzalez delivered a game-winning homer in the 10th inning Thursday, both Billy Wagner and Trevor Hoffman blew saves ? Troy Patton will be called up to start Saturday against the Pirates after posting a 3.51 ERA and mediocre 93-to-44 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 151.1 minor-league innings ? After holding the Phillies to one run over seven innings Thursday, Daily Dose favorite Chad Billingsley now has a 3.67 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 73.2 innings as a starter ?
 
Top