MLB Team Totals System

Been playing these for almost a month now and they've been very successful, so I've decided to give them the kiss of death and start post them here :hung



Arizona UNDER 4 -103 (1 unit)
ChicagoCubs UNDER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
Cincinatti GM1 UNDER 3 -110 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 3.5 +103 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -104 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4.5 -106 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 3.5 +100 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -115 (4 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 +105 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 -104 (2 units)
NYMets GM1 UNDER 4.5 +108 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 5 -115 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 5 -140 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 4 -116 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 -111 (2 units)
TampaBay OVER 4 -111 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" width="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">GL brother! :cheers
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Re: MLB Team Totals System

5/11:

Arizona UNDER 3.5 -120 (1 unit)
ChicagoCubs UNDER 4 -114 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -105 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 3.5 -110 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -108 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4 -102 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -115 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -110 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 +105 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 5 -113 (2 units)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4 -110 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 4 -113 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 +100 (2 units)
Tampa Bay OVER 3.5 -112 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

ChicagoCubs UNDER 4 -108 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4.5 +101 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4 +103 (1 unit)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 -110 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 -110 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh GM1 UNDER 4 -121 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3 -110 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 3.5 -115 (2 units)
Tampa Bay OVER 4.5 +102 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Baltimore OVER 3.5 +108 (1 unit)
Chicago Cubs UNDER 7 -115 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4.5 +106 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 4 +101 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4 -103 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 3.5 +107 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4 -116 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -114 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
Minnesota UNDER 4 -110 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 -115 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -101 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 4 -106 (2 units)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4 -110 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 5.5 +100 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 -102 (2 units)
St.Louis OVER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
Tampa Bay OVER 3.5 -112 (1 unit)
Texas UNDER 4.5 -113 (1 unit)
Washington UNDER 3.5 -118 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

ChicagoCubs UNDER 4 -115 (2 units)
Cincinatit UNDER 4.5 +105 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 4.5 -121 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -108 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4 +112 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -110 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 3.5 -102 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -108 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -115 (2 units)
Pittsburgh UNDER 3.5 +103 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 +100 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 -116 (2 units)
St. Louis OVER 4.5 +100 (1 unit)
Tampa Bay OVER 4 -117 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4.5 -104 (1 unit)
Washington UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

I need to check - I've been playing them for a month now so my record/units I keep is from that, but obviously can't claim that here.


For today:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 4.5 -114 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4.5 +111 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 3.5 -120 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -115 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4.5 +101 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 3.5 -101 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 3.5 -108 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 -109 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 3.5 +106 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 5 -115 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -121 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4 -115 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 4 -115 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 +100 (2 units)
StLouis OVER 4 -118 (1 unit)
Tampa Bay OVER 4.5 +105 (2 units)
Washington UNDER 4 -110 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Just the early game for now, will be back with the rest later:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5.5 -115 (2 units)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4.5 +102 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Rest of card:
Cincinatti UNDER 4.5 -106 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 5 -108 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -120 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4.5 -118 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 5.5 -117 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4 -118 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 3.5 -110 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 4 -135 (1 unit)
San Diego UNDER 4 -103 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 +103 (2 units)
St. Louis OVER 4 -115 (1 unit)
TampaBay OVER 4 -123 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 5.5 -120 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

I'll take the time to do the record here tomorrow... Since the beginning up around 43 units, since posting here up around 10 or so I believe.

05/17's card:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5 +104 (2 units)
ChicagoWhiteSox OVER 4.5 -108 (1 unit)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -120 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 5 -105 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -112 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4 -116 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 5 -110 (1 unit)
LA Angels OVER 5 +106 (1 unit)
LA Dodgers UNDER 4 -108 (3 units)
Milwaukee GM 1 UNDER 3.5 -103 (1 unit)
Milwaukee GM2 UNDER 4 +106 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 3.5 -114 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -115 (1 unit)
Pitt UNDER 3.5 -111 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 -110 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 3.5 +104 (2 units)
StLouis OVER 4 -101 (1 unit)
Tampa Bay OVER 3.5 -110 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4.5 -106 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5 -119 (2 units)
ChicagoWhiteSox OVER 3.5 -110 (1 unit)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -121 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 5 -115 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 +101 (1 unit)
Florida UNDER 4 -111 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 5 -111 (1 unit)
LAAngels OVER 4.5 +101 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4 +106 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 3.5 +104 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 -106 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4 -120 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 4 -102 (1 unit)
Pittsburhg UNDER 4 -110 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 -103 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 3.5 -103 (2 units)
StLouis OVER 4 -111 (1 unit)
Tampa Bay OVER 4.5 -110 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 5 +111 (1 unit)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

If i may ask, whats the basis for choosing what you chose? Thanks in advance. FG

Actually not even looking at the pitching matchups -- I just have numbers crunched for each team that compare what they have actually done with what I think a book quickly putting a team total up on the fly will think they have done. If the difference between these two numbers if a half a run or more, then I bet it.
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

05/19:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5 -110 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -115 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 5.5 -120 (3 units)
Houston UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -115 (3 units)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -106 (1 unit)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 -111 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4.5 -102 (2 units)
St. Louis OVER 4 +101 (1 unit)
TampaBay OVER 3.5 -115 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
 

Finance

EOG Veteran
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Thanks SOS - played all of these small all weekend - made a little bit of coin, liked all of the action - please keep the posts coming!!
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

5/20:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5 -120 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -120 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 4 -102 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 +105 (1 unit)
Florida UNDER 4 +100 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4 -103 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -103 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 +106 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 -115 (2 units)
NYMets GM 1 UNDER 4.5 -108 (1 unit)
NYMets GM 2 UNDER 4.5 -103 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -126 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4 -106 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 4 -105 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 -120 (2 units)
Tampa Bay OVER 4 +109 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4 +103 (1 unit)
 

Finance

EOG Veteran
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Thanks again SOS - one quick question - what do you use to determine the unit size? Dodgers and Colorado have consistently been 3 units, others 2 and the rest 1 - is it because they are farther off from your analysis?

Thanks again for posting - small profit again last night...
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Thanks again SOS - one quick question - what do you use to determine the unit size? Dodgers and Colorado have consistently been 3 units, others 2 and the rest 1 - is it because they are farther off from your analysis?

Yeah, just a bigger discrepancy between my predicted runs scored and the total... In the 1 unit plays, I feel the totals are a half-run off, 2 unit plays are a full run off, 3 unit plays are 1.5 runs off.

As the season goes on, those change... You'll notice that San Fran and San Diego were consistently 3 unit plays for a couple of weeks (may not have been posted here yet, but they were), but since then the oddsmakers have adjusted and they are now 2 unit plays.
 

Finance

EOG Veteran
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Awesome night with these last night - up 7-8 units depending on what lines were out there - thanks for posting!!
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" width="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">:cheers :cheers :cheers
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Re: MLB Team Totals System

Thanks for the support guys, but lots of plays each day means a lot of volatility, so this could go south quick ya never know.

One of the two outs I was playing these at was getting 90% of my action, and today all of a sudden the other out is getting 90% of my action, which worries me that they are shading me on the UNDER a bit since thats the majority of my plays, we'll see.


5/21:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5 -115 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -115 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 5 -115 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 5 +100 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 3.5 -115 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 5 -120 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4.5 -115 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 -103 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4.5 -110 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 4 -105 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 3.5 -105 (2 units)
SanDiego UNDER 3.5 +105 (2 units)
SanFran UNDER 4.5 -125 (2 units)
TampaBay OVER 4 -106 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
 

Sal Manella

EOG Member
Re: MLB Team Totals System

You playing most of these on The Greek? Its almost noon and Bookmaker hasn't posted team totals yet.

Mexican Baseball lines? Yup... But not team totals. :+clueless
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

05/22:

Cincinatti UNDER 3.5 +101 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 3.5 -101 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4.5 +100 (1 unit)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 5 -115 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4 -108 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4.5 -115 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 -130 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

102-88-10, +21.23 units

---

ChicagoCubs UNDER 5 -108 (2 units)
Cinciatti UNDER 4 -116 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 4.5 +101 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 +106 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4.5 +101 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 5 -116 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4 -107 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 +100 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 4 -101 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 +106 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 4 -108 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 3.5 -105 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3 +108 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 3.5 +104 (2 units)
TampaBay OVER 4 -122 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 3.5 -102 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

Rest of 05/24 card:
Baltimore OVER 4 -108 (1 unit)
ChicagoCubs UNDER 4.5 +107 (2 units)
Cincinatti UNDER 4 -112 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 5 -103 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 5 -108 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4 +100 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4.5 -111 (1 unit)
LA Angels OVER 4 +104 (1 unit)
LA Dodgers UNDER 4 +100 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
Minnesota UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -110 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -121 (2 units)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4 -106 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 +107 (2 units)
San Fran UNDER 4 -115 (3 units)
Tampa Bay OVER 5 -105 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 3.5 +100 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

05/25:

Baltimore OVER 3.5 -105 (1 unit)
ChicagoCubs UNDER 4.5 -115 (2 units)
ChicagoWhiteox OVER 3.5 -108 (1 unit)
Cinciatti UNDER 3.5 -108 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 4.5 -120 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 5.5 -114 (3 units)
Florida GM1 UNDER 4.5 -102 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 3.5 +101 (1 unit)
LAAngels OVER 4 -101 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 4 -115 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -117 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 5 -105 (2 units)
NYmets UNDER 4.5 -114 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 4 -116 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 3.5 +102 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 4 -114 (2 units)
San Fran GM1 UNDER 3.5 +106 (3 units)
TampaBay OVER 4 -110 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4 -115 (2 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

What has been the system's record so far?

+26.29 units going into today documented here. Was posting these elsewhere a few weeks before I started posting them here and overall they are up 62.40 units.
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

5/26 early games:

Yankees UNDER 5 +105 (2 units)
Baltimore OVER 4 -114 (1 unit)
Milwaukee UNDER 4.5 -116 (1 unit)
ChicagoCubs UNDER 4.5 -119 (2 units)
LADodgers UNDER 4 -103 (3 units)
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

05/26 rest of card:

ChicagoWhiteSox OVER 4 -110 (1 unit)
Colorado UNDER 4 +103 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4.5 -113 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 4.5 -115 (1 unit)
LAAngels OVER 5 +100 (1 unit)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -105 (1 unit)
Tampa Bay OVER 5 -105 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 3.5 -106 (2 units)
 

Finance

EOG Veteran
Re: MLB Team Totals System

:cheers

Thanks for continuing to post these - the bad days so far haven't been too bad and yesterday was awesome - swept the early card - just a meaningless Colorado run in the 9th of a 20-5 game kept it from really smokin'....

Keep up the good work!
 
Re: MLB Team Totals System

05/27 full card:

ChicagoCubs UNDER 3.5 +101 (2 units)
ChicagoWhiteSox OVER 3.5 -111 (1 unit)
Cincinatti UNDER 4.5 -115 (2 units)
Colorado UNDER 4 +103 (3 units)
Detroit UNDER 4 -110 (2 units)
Florida UNDER 3 +101 (1 unit)
Houston UNDER 4 -104 (1 unit)
LAAngels OVER 4 -114 (1 unit)
LADodgers UNDER 3.5 +101 (3 units)
Milwaukee UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
Minnesota UNDER 4 -115 (1 unit)
NYYankees UNDER 5 -120 (2 units)
NYMets UNDER 4.5 -120 (1 unit)
Oakland UNDER 3.5 -114 (2 units)
Philadelphia UNDER 5 +100 (1 unit)
Pittsburgh UNDER 4 -110 (2 units)
San Diego UNDER 3.5 +100 (2 units)
SanFran UNDER 3.5 -115 (3 units)
Tampa Bay OVER 4.5 -120 (2 units)
Texas UNDER 4 +101 (2 units)
 
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