Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

A

Apple

Banned
Tampa Bay has been playing well don't get me wrong but how long is that going to last? They are going to be tested BIG time on this nine game road trip. Rays are 11-12 on the road


Look at their next 9 games:
<TABLE class="calBorderBg cal" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=581 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calPageBg width=83> </TD><TD class=calPageBg width=83></TD><TD class=calPageBg width=83> Thursday</TD><TD class=calPageBg width=83> Friday</TD><TD class=calPageBg width=83> Saturday</TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calPastBg><TABLE class=calPastBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15></TD><TD class=calR width=66>
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</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calInactiveBg><TABLE class=calInactiveBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>3

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ BOS
7:05 PM
ION
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>4

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ BOS
7:05 PM
ION/ESPN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>5

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ BOS
6:05 PM
FSN-HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>6

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ TEX
8:05 PM
ION
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>7

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ TEX
8:05 PM
FSN-HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>8

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ TEX
5:05 PM
ION
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>9

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ LAA
10:05 PM
ION
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>10

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ LAA
10:05 PM
ION
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>11

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ LAA
3:35 PM
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Looks like a pretty tough schedule to me.. Red Sox at Fenway, improving Rangers and always dangerous Angels and all on the road. If the Rays win more than half of these games then God Bless em.

In case you haven't looked at the active Reds thread I have going here is a record of how I've performed doing this:


Last Season: Dodgers 9-4 +7.02
Last Season: Giants 12-6 +7.91
Last Season: Red Sox 4-2 +0.00
Last Season: Mets 1-1 -0.46
This Season: Giants 7-6 +2.00
This Season: Red Sox 6-2 +3.65 Units


ACTIVE: http://forums.eog.com/baseball-betting/fading-reds-every-game-between-5-a-136306.html



Hoping to go at least 6-3 with this..



GL everyone.:cheers
 
crazyl

crazyl

2
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Their Cinderella run is bound to stop some time.
 
OSUCOWBOYS

OSUCOWBOYS

2
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

With Shields and Kazmir this team can always win a series.

I would just like to see you pick on a team with a worse rotation. Good luck though!!
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Thanks for the feedback..


For Tuesday:

1* Boston -120


GL everyone
 
T

tar_baby

2
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

are you using the same "system" to pick the teams to fade as you have the past few years?
 
kayvebear

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

I like the idea but I personally would wait for a single TB loss as they are on a 3 game win streak before beginning the fade. Especially when Boston broke a 3 game win streak today.. just my 2 cents and wish you the best of luck on going 6 and 3. knock em dead.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

tuesday was like "stealing" - a team that almost never loses at home against a team with a losing road record and the line was near "Pick"? damn glad i pounced on it
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Thanks guys still a long ways to go but it's always wonderful to win the first game..

1-0 +1.00
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Lots of juice, but should be a winner I think.. If TB defeats Beckett at Fenway then God Bless them.

For Wednesday..

1* Boston -175
 
diogee

diogee

Verly isnt going anywhere
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Good luck today Gyno.
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

dio!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

My nig, good to see you here..
 
ballwonder

ballwonder

EOG Master
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

G, good luck tonight on the plays. Took Boston as well, not thrilled about the juice but thought it is the play.
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

2-0 +2.00 Units :)

Great start, in position to win with this one no doubt..
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

This third game scares me a bit.. Half unit on Bos max tomorrow.
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

A lot of sharp guys on here are on Boston so I'm going to raise up the unit size just a little.

For Thursday:

0.75* Boston -112
 
kayvebear

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Working effing great so far Gyne! Keep it up.

p.s ... I wish I was a doctor of pussy
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

3-1 +2.25 Units

For Sat:

1* Texas -104
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

3-2 +1.21 Units

For Sun:

1* Texas +127
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Thanks man, the O's are killin it tho :(
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

For Monday:

1* Angels -136
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

4-3 +1.12 Units

For Tues:
1* Angels -107
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

5-3 +2.12 Units

Profit is locked up!!!
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

Last play

Wed:

1* Angels -114
 
munson15

munson15

I want winners...
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

2 out of 3 ain't bad, the saying goes, but the Baltimore thread is shocking. How a lousy team that was 10-18 on the road when you started has killed it like they have is beyond me.
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

But I've learned from that Baltimore debacle.. Baltimore was dogs and quite BIG dogs in most of the games which means I had to give a lot of juice. Thats whats really killed me.

Making mistakes can be positive in the long run.. Thanks for your support sir.
 
munson15

munson15

I want winners...
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

gynecologist said:
But I've learned from that Baltimore debacle.. Baltimore was dogs and quite BIG dogs in most of the games which means I had to give a lot of juice. Thats whats really killed me.

Making mistakes can be positive in the long run.. Thanks for your support sir.
Click to expand...
There's the old rule about not laying more than -150. Maybe that can be a help in future threads, since you are valuing each play differently, anyway. I know the fades have not been mechanical in the sense of putting the same bet out every night, so I humbly suggest a filter of some sort.
 
S

SSI

EOG Dedicated
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

i say (-1.30) and not (-1.50)... you just cant lay this juice, in every day baseball, where the single game, means very little... 1 of 162 pales in comparison to (1 of 16)...

good luck with todays play gyno..
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

munson15 said:
There's the old rule about not laying more than -150. Maybe that can be a help in future threads, since you are valuing each play differently, anyway. I know the fades have not been mechanical in the sense of putting the same bet out every night, so I humbly suggest a filter of some sort.
Click to expand...

Definitely should consider it.. I have successful with this 7 out of 9 times so I also shouldn't change what I'm doing too much because of a bad apple..

But filtering odds is a definite filter, maybe go -1 if odds are more than -150.. Thanks for the advice guys this is what the forums are for.. :cheers
 
A

Apple

Banned
Re: Fading Tampa Bay in every game for a 9 game road stretch.. 6/3 to 6/11

FINAL RECORD:

6-3 +3.12 Units
 
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