Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Cano heats up, Igawa stinks up

Rookie and Veteran struggles, the ugly return of Igawa, and ruminations from Schultz in this week's Week That Was.

Kei Igawa: In what has to be the most predictable event of the baseball season this year, Kei Igawa was chewed up and spit out by the Detroit Tigers last night. I told a friend before the game that Yankee fans should be happy if they get 4 innings and 4 runs (imagine, happy with a 9.00 ERA?). Well, "Not even close to O" Kei could not even meet that miniscule standard, allowing 6 runs and 11 hits in only three innings. That Mike Mussina has turned it around and put his miserable 2007 in the rear view mirror and there is no reason to Razz Rasner just highlights what a disappointment Igawa continues to be. The "Kei that opens no locks" continues to leave the Yankees and their fans out in the cold. Please tell me there is no one in fantasy land crazy enough to invest in Igawa. Please!

Jim Edmonds: In a surprising move (at least to this author), the Padres released Jim Edmonds. Sure, Edmonds is a mere shadow of his former self. However, one would think the Padres would have had more patience after spending $6 Million to lure Edmonds in the off season. From a fantasy perspective, there are two things to do. First, hold onto Edmonds if your league has a reserve list. He will land somewhere, and if it is a ballpark with a short right field porch, he may yet hit some dingers. Second, wait for the arrival of Chase Headley. While Jody Gerut got the first call, it is Headley who is heating up in AAA and will be up to stay before too long. (Footnote: I figure that Headley must be good because Doug Dennis tried very hard to convince Rick and me to include Headley in a LABR deal. We held Headley and, if you own him, you should too.)

Bill Bray: The Reds recalled Bill Bray from AAA just days after he was sent down. Those in NL-only leagues should jump on Bray (Rick and I grabbed him in both LABR and Tout). Bray looked good before being sent down and has been absolutely lights out in AAA. Thus far, Bray has blown down 15 hitters in just 9 AAA innings. Another reason to grab Bray now is that his value will go up as the year goes along. Keep in mind that Francisco Cordero faded badly down the stretch last year. Bray could very well steal a bunch of saves before the year is out. Either way, the K's will be there big time.

Freddie Bynum: According to reports, Dave Trembley anointed Freddie Bynum the O's starting shortstop. Tough call on what to do here. Luis Hernandez did nothing to keep the job, however, Bynum is a good bet to hit under .250 in regular duty and is not a great fielder. Bottom line, grab Bynum in AL-only leagues or if you are just bone desperate for speed. If you own or are thinking of acquiring a Baltimore hurler, you might want to consider the effect of the downgrade in infield defense taking the field at Camden Yards.

Evan Longoria: Evan Longoria hit a walk off dinger to beat the Angels yesterday. Despite the dramatic blast, Longoria is struggling mightily with a batting average under .230. The uber-hype notwithstanding, Longoria's subpar average is hardly a surprise. Longoria has never managed to hit even .270 at the highest level at which he played in any year. If you own Longoria in a keeper league, you have to keep him. However, if you own him in a one year league, market him now. Take advantage of the walk-off and the hype and get a quality player for one who is a couple of years away from producing top flight roto stats.

Ben Broussard: The Rangers cut bait on Ben Broussard, designating him for assignment. This seems to be a bit quick to me. Broussard is just 31 and can hit. He is just two years removed from a .289/21 HR season. Look for Frank Catalanotto and Chris Shelton to platoon at first base. Both could have value once the ball starts flying out in the heat of the Texas summer. If you own Broussard and can reserve him, do it. He could very well land in a platoon situation and get quality AB's.

Mariano Rivera: In something that hardly seems like news, Mariano Rivera pitched a scoreless ninth Thursday to notch his 9th save of the year. Those who thought he was done or had fallen out of the top echelon of relievers were just plain wrong. Thus far, Mo has given up only 5 baserunners in 14 scoreless innings. Very rarely does one get to go to the ballpark or turn on the TV and know one is watching the best there's ever been. However, that is exactly what you get when you have the privilege of watching Mo take the hill. If there is a Mo owner in your league who is ready to move Rivera, pounce. Not only is Mo sharp as ever, the Yankees will come alive when ARod returns, Igawa leaves and the weather finally stays warm. Mo should finish with 35+ saves and great stats.

Wilson Betemit: Wilson Betemit is swinging a hot bat since coming off the shelf earlier this week. Perhaps he really was having trouble with his eyes early on. Wilson homered Thursday and followed that up with two hits on Friday. Betemit is a quality major league hitter just waiting for a chance to play (he has spent his career backing up Chipper, Furcal and now Jeter and ARod). Yes, ARod will reclaim his 3B slot immediately upon returning from the DL. However, Betemit is a far better choice than Jason Giambi or Shelly Duncan to play 1B. Giambi will hit the occasional homer, but is a weak fielder who will struggle to summit the Mendoza line all year. Duncan, while he is a feel good story, is nothing more than a pinch hitter from baseball family. Joe Girardi is very smart and will see that Betemit deserves to play often. Once he does, Betemit will produce double digit roto value for a much smaller price tag. Add in the fact that Betemit will likely qualify at SS and maybe even 2B by the end of the year, and you have a BUY situation.

Robinson Cano: Robinson Cano is starting to hit. Robbie, who has been mired in one of the ugliest slumps imaginable, is 7-22 with 4 runs and 4 RBI in his last 5 games. The opportunity to buy low is quickly fading. Do it now. By years' end, Cano will have Cano numbers ? 290+ average with 20 dingers and 80-90 runs and RBI. If you buy now, you get most of that on your stat sheet. Bottom line, Cano is only 25 and has already posted three top quality seasons in the big leagues. He is a special talent. BUY.

Barry Zito: Barry Zito returned to the rotation Wednesday and posted a decent start, giving up two earned runs in five innings while striking out five. What to do? Well, if you own Zito, you have to hold. Never sell at the bottom of the market. If someone in your NL-only league cut Zito (as happened in LABR), he makes a very interesting free agent acquisition. Full disclosure here ? Rick Wolf and I were the ones who gambled and grabbed Zito in LABR. Here are our reasons. First, in a deep league, there is precious little pitching that comes available and we needed another starter. Second, while Zito has hardly been worth 126 Million, he did post a 1.35 WHIP last year while striking out 131. If he makes a few more adjustments, he could post the same WHIP from here on out this year while adding 100+ strikeouts. If so, you have added a decent starter when those are just so hard to find. Also, there is the possibility that a contending team will need pitching come summertime and be willing to take some of that absurd contract off the Giants hands.

And finally, more wisdom from that Indian fan who still hopes they make a Major League IV and there is room for him to be one of the thousand of extras crooning Wild Thing. Schultz Says: "It was easy to write off Gavin Floyd's first no-hit bid against Detroit as it came on a frigidly cold day but after taking another no-hitter into the ninth against the Twins, it may be time to start taking him seriously. Many moons ago, Floyd was the pride of the Phillies farm system and just as quickly became one of their biggest disappointments. Nothing but his reputation suggests that his current 2.50 ERA and .96 WHIP are sustainable numbers. However, right now, he's pitching better than most and if you wanted to believe that he's a late bloomer, he wouldn't be the first highly touted pitcher to bloom later than everyone expected.

The real star of Moneyball, Kevin Youkilis, is off to a momentous start and with 7 HR, 27 RBI and a .313 average, seems poised for a career year. His owners have to be salivating as given the depth at the 1B position, Yuke probably came pretty cheap. Before you dislocate a shoulder congratulating yourself, keep this in mind: he traditionally starts off hot and usually tapers off near the end of the year - at least from a roto-perspective. While a homer a day is probably too much to expect for the rest of the season (duh), I think he may be headed for a 25 HR, 100+ RBI season and keep the average comfortably above .300. He will at least pick up the considerable slack being caused by David Ortiz' lousy start.

Excited about Edinson Volquez' hot start and Johnny Cueto's impressive ratios? Just look at how many pitches Dusty Baker is letting them throw this early in the season. Somewhere Mark Prior and Kerry Wood must be cringing with deja vu. Homer Bailey may be lucky to still be in the minors.

Can't help myself here: I for one enjoyed Kei Igawa's return last night. Mostly because I imagined the slow burn his performance was causing in Colton. Almost as much fun as watching my prediction of Joba giving up a 8th inning, 3-run home run to the Indians come true . . . just 7 months later than I thought."

Response: First, what slow burn? Igawa's conflagration was so quick and so complete that any arsonist would have been proud of his work. As to Joba, the kid is something truly special and everyone knows it ? even Schultz.

Enjoy the weekend and be good to your Mothers on Sunday.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

A Mother of a Week
Interleague play starts this week, so remember that some of your shakier National League pitchers are going to be facing a DH, and some of your more borderline American Leaguers are going to have the pleasure of facing a pitcher. That should be a nice boost, unless you're Armando Galarraga. Galarraga is stuck facing Micah Owings, who would probably improve the DH spot for half of the teams in the American League.

Here's what else is happening in the week ahead:

[SIZE=+1]Two-Start Pitchers[/SIZE]

American League

Must Starts
Cliff Lee ? TOR (Shaun Marcum), @CIN (Johnny Cueto)
Erik Bedard - @TEX (Vicente Padilla), SD (Shawn Estes)
Shaun Marcum - @CLE (Cliff Lee), @PHI (Adam Eaton)
Chien-Ming Wang - @TB (Matt Garza), NYM (Oliver Perez) newyorkmets.com

Other Options
Clay Buchholz - @MIN (Felix Hernandez), MIL (Carlos Villanueva)
Mark Buehrle ? @LAA (Nick Adenhart), @SF (Barry Zito)
John Danks - @LAA (Jered Weaver), @SF (Matt Cain)
Paul Byrd ? OAK (Justin Duchscherer), @CIN (Aaron Harang)
Armando Galarraga - @KC (Zack Greinke), @ARI (Micah Owings)
Jered Weaver ? CHW (John Danks), LAD (Brad Penny)
Livan Hernandez ? BOS (Clay Buchholz), @COL (Undecided)
Kevin Slowey ? TOR (Jesse Litsch), @COL (Jeff Francis)
Mike Mussina - @TB (Edwin Jackson), NYM (Nelson Figueroa) newyorkmets.com
Justin Duchscherer - @CLE (Paul Byrd), @ATL (Jo-Jo Reyes) atlantabraves.com
Matt Garza ? NYY (Chien-Ming Wang), @STL (Adam Wainwright)
Edwin Jackson ? NYY (Mike Mussina), @STL (Kyle Lohse)
Vicente Padilla ? SEA (Erik Bedard), HOU (Brandon Backe)
Shaun Marcum - @CLE (Cliff Lee), @PHI (Adam Eaton)
Jesse Litsch - @MIN (Kevin Slowey), @PHI (Kyle Kendrick)

National League

Must Starts
Micah Owings ? COL (Jeff Francis), DET (Armando Galarraga)
Tim Hudson - @PIT (Phil Dumatrait), OAK (Rich Harden)
Aaron Harang ? FLA (Burke Badenhop), CLE (Paul Byrd)
Roy Oswalt - @SF (Barry Zito), @TEX (Sidney Ponson)
Brad Penny - @MIL (Carlos Villanueva), @LAA (Jered Weaver)
Randy Wolf - @CHC (Jon Lieber), @SEA (Miguel Batista)
Adam Wainwright - @MIL (Dave Bush), TB (Matt Garza)

Other Options
Jo-Jo Reyes* - @PHI (Kyle Kendrick), OAK (Justin Duchscherer)
Jon Lieber ? SD (Randy Wolf), PIT (Phil Dumatrait)
Jason Marquis ? SD (Shawn Estes), PIT (Paul Maholm)
Jeff Francis - @ARI (Micah Owings), MIN (Kevin Slowey)
Burke Badenhop - @CIN (Aaron Harang), KC (Brian Bannister)
Mark Hendrickson - @CIN (Edinson Volquez), KC (Zack Greinke)
Brandon Backe - @SF (Matt Cain), @TEX (Vicente Padilla)
Dave Bush ? STL (Adam Wainwright), @BOS (Tim Wakefield)
Carlos Villanueva ? LAD (Brad Penny), @BOS (Clay Buchholz)
Nelson Figueroa ? WAS (Odalis Perez), @NYY (Mike Mussina)
Kyle Kendrick ? ATL (Jo-Jo Reyes), TOR (Jesse Litsch)
Phil Dumatrait ? ATL (Tim Hudson), @CHC (Jon Lieber)
Paul Maholm - @STL (Kyle Lohse), @CHC (Jason Marquis)
Shawn Estes - @CHC (Jason Marquis), @SEA (Erik Bedard)
Barry Zito ? HOU (Roy Oswalt), CHW (Mark Buehrle)
Matt Cain ? HOU (Brandon Backe), CHW (John Danks)
Kyle Lohse ? PIT (Paul Maholm), TB (Edwin Jackson)
Odalis Perez - @NYM (Nelson Figueroa), @BAL (Scott Olsen)
John Lannan - @NYM (John Maine), @BAL (Brian Burres)

*Jo-Jo Reyes might need a stint on the DL

[SIZE=+1]Possible Streamers[/SIZE]

American League
Tuesday, 5/13 ? Armando Galarraga @KC (Zack Greinke) ? This might not be the best spot starter to use if you're looking for a win, but he should bounce back from a tough start in Boston against the Royals.

Friday, 5/16 ? Gavin Floyd - @SF (Jonathan Sanchez) - Floyd's impressive outings have him owned in just about half of all leagues, and an outing against one of the worst offenses in baseball should only add to his popularity.

Saturday, 5/17 ? John Danks @SF (Matt Cain) ? Another promising young starter for the Sox faces the challenged Giants offense.

Saturday, 5/17 ? Garrett Olson vs. WAS (Odalis Perez) ? In two games this season, Olson has allowed 3 runs in 13 innings. He's a better streaming option than full-time member of fantasy squads, and a start against Washington is a good time to use him.

Sunday, 5/18 ? Brian Burres vs. WAS (John Lannan) ? Not to pick on the Nationals, but they've scored the fifth fewest runs in baseball this season. Burres has been effective, and can be used.

National League

Tuesday, 5/13 ? Jason Marquis vs. SD (Shawn Estes) ? This should be a solid outing for Marquis, who has a ton on the line and is facing the worst offense in the major leagues to this point. Marquis was 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 1.15 WHIP against the Padres last year.

Friday, 5/16 ? Scott Olsen vs. KC (Brett Tomko) ? Olsen is owned in almost two-thirds of all leagues, but what do you want from me? It's a slow week for NL streamers. A match-up against the Royals makes a great opportunity to start Olsen.
<!--RW-->
[SIZE=+1]Total Games[/SIZE]

American League
7: CHW, CLE, LAA, MIN, NYY, TB, TOR
6: BOS, DET, KC, OAK, SEA, TEX
5: BAL

National League
7: ATL, CHC, CIN, FLA, HOU, MIL, NYM, PIT, SD, SF, STL, WAS
6: ARI, COL, LAD, PHI

[SIZE=+1]Righty vs. Lefty match-ups[/SIZE]

American League
Baltimore - 2 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Boston - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Chicago White Sox - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Cleveland - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Detroit - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Kansas City - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Angels - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Minnesota - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
New York Yankees - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Oakland - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Seattle - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Tampa Bay - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Texas - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Toronto - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Orioles face three lefties, and Ramon Hernandez (.353 vs. LHP) and Adam Jones (.318 vs. LHP) should both get a slight boost.

The Royals face three lefties, which should be good for Billy Butler (.333 vs. LHP) and David DeJesus (.357 vs. LHP). Joey Gathright (.176 vs. LHP) could see his playing time limited.

The Athletics face three lefties, and Emil Brown (.370 vs. LHP), Bobby Crosby (.282 vs. LHP) and Mike Sweeney (.316 vs. LHP) could all benefit, while Mark Ellis (.149 vs. LHP) and Frank Thomas (.156 vs. LHP) could struggle.

The Mariners also face three lefties, meaning Jose Lopez (.400 vs. LHP) should fare well, as should Richie Sexson (.364 vs. LHP), and Jose Vidro (.320 vs. LHP).

National League:
Arizona - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Atlanta - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Chicago Cubs - 2 vs. Righties, 5 vs. Lefties
Cincinnati - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Colorado - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Florida - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Houston - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Dodgers ? 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Milwaukee - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
New York Mets - 3 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
Philadelphia - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Pittsburgh - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
San Diego - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
San Francisco - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
St. Louis - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Washington - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Cubs have five games against lefties this week, which could mean a couple extra games for Henry Blanco (.571 vs. LHP), and fewer for Felix Pie (.100 vs. LHP). Ryan Theriot (.333 vs. LHP) should also have a solid week.

The Reds face three lefties, which is good news for Edwin Encarnacion (.267 vs. LHP), Brandon Phillips (.296 vs. LHP) and Jeff Keppinger (.338 vs. LHP). It's could hurt Ryan Freel (.250 vs. LHP) and Scott Hatteberg (.235 vs. LHP).

Washington also has three games against lefties next week, which is good news for Ryan Zimmerman (.330 career vs. LHP) and Austin Kearns (.293 career vs. LHP). Christian Guzman (.210 vs. LHP) could struggle.

[SIZE=+1]The Injury Bug[/SIZE]

For the latest on injuries, check out Rotoworld's handy Injury Page.

Alex Rodriguez ? 3B ? Could return on Thursday
Chone Figgins ? 3B ? Day-to-Day
Rich Harden ? SP ? Should be back by this week
Vernon Wells ? OF ? Day-to-day
Troy Glaus ? 3B ? Day-to-Day
Orlando Hudson ? 2B ? Day-to-Day
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] ? 3B ? Could return at end of week
Rafael Furcal ? SS- Day-to-Day with back tightness
Ray Durham ? 2B ? Could go on DL with hamstring injury
Omar Vizquel ? SS ? Could return this weekend

[SIZE=+1]Waiver Wired[/SIZE]

For this week's top waiver adds, read my opinion in this week's Waiver Wired.

AL

1. Garrett Olson
2. Santiago Casilla
3. David DeJesus
4. Darrell Rasner
5. Jack Cust

NL

1. Chris Iannetta
2. Jo-Jo Reyes
3. Ryan Ludwick
4. Homer Bailey
5. Manny Parra
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Notes From the Weekend

There's a ton of stuff to get to from this weekend's action, so let's get right to the notes from around baseball ...

* Manager Ned Yost announced Sunday morning that the Brewers had taken closing duties away from Eric Gagne, but declined to name a replacement. Faced with a save opportunity just a few hours later, Yost surprisingly turned to Salomon Torres rather than Guillermo Mota to begin the ninth inning. However, when Torres allowed a double and a walk while recording two outs, Yost brought in southpaw Brian Shouse to get the final out versus lefty Skip Schumaker.

Schumaker beat the odds by getting a hit off Shouse, who then remained in to face righty Yadier Molina. Molina delivered an RBI single that brought the winning run to the plate in the form of lefty Adam Kennedy, but Shouse induced a game-ending ground ball to pick up his first save since June 15 of last year. Mota seemed somewhat likely to take over for Gagne, but for one game at least he wasn't even in the picture as Yost mixed and matched Torres and Shouse.

Whether or not Mota can overtake Torres on the depth chart, if Yost continues to bring in Shouse to face lefty-heavy portions of lineups saves will be frustratingly hard to predict. For now at least you'll want to have Torres on your roster first, followed by Mota and Shouse, but the closing situation in Milwaukee is definitely worth keeping a close eye on. Given the $10 million they've invested in him and lack of other options, don't be shocked if Gagne gets back in the mix too.

* Hiroki Kuroda held the Astros to one over 6.2 innings Sunday afternoon and continues to make me look somewhat smart for tabbing him as one of my favorite sleepers heading into the season. Signed to a three-year, $35.3 million deal by the Dodgers this offseason after a lengthy and very successful career in Japan, the 33-year-old right-hander now has five Quality Starts in eight tries and sports a solid 3.59 ERA through 47.2 innings.

Unfortunately, Kuroda picked up his first victory on Opening Day and hasn't won since, leaving him with a 1-2 record despite solid numbers across the board. Jonathan Broxton is to blame for Kuroda's latest no-decision after he imploded in the eighth inning, coughing up six runs on six singles while recording just one out. He came into the game with a sparkling 1.00 WHIP and 21-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 15 innings, but watched his ERA balloon from 1.80 to 5.28.

Six runs are the most that Broxton has allowed in 180 career appearances with the Dodgers. His second-worst outing came on June 7 of last season, when he allowed five runs (four earned) and also recorded just one out. Broxton followed that horrible game by going six weeks and 21 straight appearances without giving up an earned run, lowering his ERA from 4.15 to 2.44 in the process. In other words, he should be just fine and you'd be smart to target him in most leagues.

* Ichiro Suzuki still has a sub-.300 batting average despite notching three hits Sunday, but he's made up for hitting "only" .292 by swiping an AL-leading 16 bases. With 272 career steals at an 80-percent clip heading into this season Ichiro has always been a tremendously effective base stealer, but he's cut down on his attempts since going 56-for-70 as a rookie. From 2002-2007 he averaged 45 steal attempts per season and never attempted more than 47 in a single year.

However, after stealing a base Sunday for the third straight game he's now 16-for-18 through 39 games, which puts him on pace for around 65 steals on 75 attempts. Toss in 26 runs that put him on pace to score 100-plus times for the eighth straight year and he's maintained excellent fantasy value despite what are for him at least some struggles at the plate. Once he gets back to hitting .330 or so?and with Ichiro it's really only a matter of time?he'll be on track for a huge season.

* Rich Harden came off the disabled list Sunday and struggled against the Rangers, allowing five runs on eight hits over 3.1 innings while handing out four walks. While certainly not a positive thing, a rough outing following more than a month on the shelf isn't hugely concerning and so far at least Harden has yet to cease performing like an elite pitcher when healthy enough to play. In other words, he's not in Mark Prior territory yet, although that only helps if he stays off the DL.

AL Quick Hits: Gavin Floyd followed up his near no-hitter by getting chased from Sunday's game in the fourth inning after allowing five runs on nine hits ? Francisco Liriano had a positive outing Saturday at Triple-A, allowing two runs over six innings ? Scratched from the lineup Sunday with a sore hamstring, Manny Ramirez had the game-ending ground out off the bench ? Emil Brown had a homer and four RBIs Sunday, amazingly giving him 33 RBIs on the year despite a modest .721 OPS ? Brian Bannister came into Sunday's game 0-4 with an 8.02 ERA over his last four starts, but tossed eight shutout innings against the Orioles ? With Chone Figgins (hamstring) heading to the disabled list Saturday, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1351"]Brandon Wood[/URL] has a chance to claim regular starts at third base ? Craig Monroe homered twice Sunday and figures to begin taking more playing time away from Jason Kubel ? According to manager Joe Girardi, the Yankees plan to stick with Kei Igawa as their starter Wednesday despite his ugly outing Friday ? Curt Schilling (biceps) threw from flat ground Saturday, but there's still no timetable for his return ? Unfortunately for the Twins and their fans, it looks like Pat Neshek is done for the season.
atlantabraves.com
NL Quick Hits: Greg Maddux's victory Saturday made him just the ninth pitcher in MLB history to win 350 career games and puts him four wins from Roger Clemens ? Meanwhile, pitching for the first time this month Trevor Hoffman closed out Maddux's win for his 530th career save ? Hunter Pence hit just .161 through 15 games, but after going 3-for-4 with two RBIs Sunday he's 27-for-76 (.355) with four homers and 19 RBIs over the past 21 games ? Out since April 8, Dmitri Young (back) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday ? Dan Uggla went deep twice Sunday and already has seven homers this month ? Jose Reyes went 3-for-5 with two steals Sunday and now has 10 multi-hit games despite a .259 batting average ? Former No. 2 overall pick Greg Reynolds made his big-league debut Sunday, taking the loss while allowing four runs over 5.2 innings versus the Padres ? Manager John Russell said Sunday that Freddy Sanchez will remain in the leadoff spot indefinitely ? Luis Castillo left Sunday's game with a strained quadriceps and is considered day-to-day, but that's nothing new for him. newyorkmets.com
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Another Gem For Lee

Toronto failed to score for the first 18 innings of Monday's doubleheader against Cleveland, as Fausto Carmona tossed a complete-game shutout in Game 1 and Cliff Lee extended his deal with the devil by turning in nine scoreless innings in Game 2. Lee couldn't match Carmona's complete-game effort thanks to the fact that Blue Jays starter Shaun Marcum also kept the Indians off the board through eight innings, so he had to settle for slicing his ERA to 0.67 in a no-decision.

Lee has said that the combination of relying more on his fastball and commanding it far more effectively is behind his amazing start, but within that are clear signs of his changing as a pitcher. He now has a 44-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 53.2 innings after coming into this season with just 2.1 strikeouts for every walk and has turned himself into a ground-ball pitcher after being one of the most fly ball-heavy starters in baseball previously.

Lee got 13 ground-ball outs Monday and has induced a grounder on half of his balls in play this season, whereas his ground-ball percentages during the previous four seasons were 33.8, 35.5, 32.7, and 35.3. He's obviously not going to maintain a sub-1.00 ERA, but writing Lee off as a fluke is a mistake. He's legitimately changed his approach while significantly altering his results, and even when breaking his performance down beyond ERA has been baseball's best pitcher.

While Lee incredibly allows zero earned runs for the fifth time in seven starts, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* John Smoltz threw Sunday for the first time since being shut down with shoulder problems two weeks ago and said afterward that he hopes to come off the disabled list by the end of the month. "I know how the ball felt coming out of my hand and I felt like I could pitch tomorrow," Smoltz said. Once Smoltz does return it'll be as a reliever and it seems all but certain that he'll take over as the Braves' closer after averaging 48 saves per season from 2002-2004. atlantabraves.com

Smoltz has gone 47-26 with a 3.18 ERA in 105 starts since rejoining the rotation in 2005, but has said that he believes relieving again will be easier on his arm. Meanwhile, Rafael Soriano threw a 10-minute bullpen session Sunday and still has an outside shot at beating Smoltz back from the DL. He'll have to avoid a setback and complete a brief minor-league rehab assignment first, and even then won't have long with ninth-inning duties before becoming Smoltz's top setup man.

* [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1351"]Brandon Wood[/URL] was considered one of the elite prospects in baseball after hitting .321 with 43 homers and 101 total extra-base hits as a 20-year-old in 2005, but his stock has dropped quite a bit since then and he's looked completely lost in the majors thus far. Called up from Triple-A late last month, Wood went 4-for-26 (.153) with 11 strikeouts and one walk before being optioned back to the minors Monday.

He's still just 23 years old, so there's plenty of time for Wood to avoid being a bust, but he's now 9-for-59 (.153) with a hideous 23-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 62 plate appearances in the big leagues. His raw numbers in the minors are far more encouraging, but his .274/.337/.517 line in 136 games at Triple-A is somewhat deceiving because of how favorably the Pacific Coast League is for hitters. Wood's .854 OPS there is "only" eight percent above the league average.

He also sports a 155-to-50 strikeout-to-walk ratio at Triple-A, which certainly makes his complete inability to control the strike zone in the majors thus far less than shocking. Wood has shown big power wherever he's gone, averaging 28 homers per 600 plate appearances in the minors, but has hit just .268 while striking out in 28 percent of his 1,187 trips to the plate since advancing past Single-A. At this point, Wood's upside looks more like Joe Crede than Troy Glaus.

* Alex Rodriguez had hoped to come off the disabled list when eligible Thursday, but will now be sidelined through at least the weekend after an MRI taken Monday showed that his strained right quadriceps hasn't healed enough for him to begin a minor-league rehab assignment. "We can't afford to have him come back for two days and then lose him for six weeks," manager Joe Girardi said. "We want to have him fully healed." He'll miss the interleague series versus the Mets.

* Rafael Furcal hit .381 with 17 extra-base hits, seven steals, and 26 runs in April and began May with two homers and eight runs through five games, but the best start of his career has been put on hold by a strained back. He's headed to the disabled list, making Chin-Lung Hu the Dodgers' shortstop for at least a couple weeks. Hu hasn't hit in the majors yet, but with a .325/.364/.507 line between Double-A and Triple-A last year he's well worth grabbing in NL-only leagues.

AL Quick Hits: While Lee's peripheral numbers nearly match his miniscule ERA, Carmona has a 2.40 ERA despite a horrendous 18-to-35 strikeout-to-walk ratio ? Rather than turn to Kei Igawa again, the Yankees are expected to recall Ian Kennedy from Triple-A to start Thursday versus the Rays and let Darrell Rasner face the Mets on Friday ? Eric Chavez (back) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Thursday at Triple-A, but said Sunday that coming off the shelf when eligible on May 27 is no longer an option ? Asdrubal Cabrera turned the 14th unassisted triple play in MLB history Monday, turning a Lyle Overbay line drive into three outs ? Manager Ron Gardenhire said Monday that Scott Baker (groin) won't be cleared to throw off a mound for at least another 10-12 days, giving Glen Perkins several more starts ? If not for a rainout, Derek Jeter would have batted cleanup Sunday for just the second time in his career and first time since 1999 ? Despite working with the league's slowest fastball among non-knuckleballers, Livan Hernandez improved to 6-1 with a 3.90 ERA following Monday's victory over the Red Sox.

NL Quick Hits: [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] hit a pair of homers Monday for the second straight day after totaling five homers through 35 games ? Mark Teixeira left Game 1 of Monday's doubleheader with back spasms and sat out Game 2 ? Alfonso Soriano went 2-for-5 with two RBIs and two runs Monday, making him 13-for-42 (.310) in 11 games since coming off the shelf ? Starting in center field Monday for the fourth straight game since replacing Jim Edmonds, Jody Gerut went 3-for-4 while homering for the first time since May 24, 2005 ? Meanwhile, Edmonds is said to be drawing interest from the Cubs, who apparently will do just about anything to avoid simply playing Felix Pie ? After undergoing an MRI exam Monday, Luis Castillo has been diagnosed with a strained quadriceps and could be headed to the disabled list ? Mike Jacobs (quadriceps) sat out his fifth straight game Monday, with Wes Helms once again replacing him at first base ? In what has become an annual tradition, reports out of Seattle speculate that the Mariners are interested in reacquiring Ken Griffey Jr. newyorkmets.com
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Breakouts On Hold

Manager Ned Yost stripped Eric Gagne of ninth-inning duties Sunday and said Monday that he wouldn't be getting the closer job back for a while, yet there he was Tuesday night being asked to close out a two-run lead. Gagne gave up a leadoff single and then walked a batter after recording two outs, at which point Yost had southpaw Brian Shouse warming up in the bullpen. He stuck with Gagne, who got left-hander Juan Pierre to pop out on the first pitch he saw for save No. 10.

Earlier this week my guess was that Gagne would resume closing eventually, but Yost rethinking his decision 48 hours later is still a surprise. Gagne has struggled dating back to the middle of last year and is merely a shell of the guy who electrified Dodger Stadium with each appearance from 2002-2004, but still has plenty of fantasy value if only because Guillermo Mota, Salomon Torres, and Shouse aren't exactly inspiring as ninth-inning options.

While everyone remembers to be very skeptical of any Yost proclamations in the future, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Jeff Keppinger's outstanding minor-league track record convinced me to select him as one of my NL-only hitting sleepers heading into this season despite the fact that he didn't have a clear spot in the Reds' lineup. That all changed when [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2653"]Alex Gonzalez[/URL] went down with a knee injury and Keppinger has taken full advantage, hitting .324 while leading the team with 21 RBIs. Sadly, his breakout season is now on hold after Keppinger suffered a knee injury of his own Tuesday.

After singling in the first inning, Keppinger fouled a ball off his leg in the second inning. He stayed in the game and actually coaxed a walk out of the plate appearance, but eventually exited two innings later. He's been diagnosed with a fractured kneecap and has an MRI scheduled for Wednesday, with a trip to the disabled list almost certainly in his future. With both Keppinger and Gonzalez out the Reds figure to turn to Jerry Hairston Jr. as their unlikely regular shortstop.

Not only did Hairston begin this year at Triple-A after hitting just .206 and .189 in the majors over the past two seasons, he was primarily an outfielder during that time. In fact, prior to this year he played a grand total of 17 innings at shortstop during a decade in the majors. Another option is calling up 25-year-old prospect Paul Janish, who has actually played shortstop regularly and is hitting .294/.341/.445 in 33 games at Triple-A. For now at least, Hairston is the NL-only pickup.

* Perhaps even more so than Keppinger, Ryan Doumit has been one of the breakout fantasy stars of the young season. After beating out Ronny Paulino for the bulk of the playing time behind the plate in Pittsburgh, Doumit has hit .350 with five homers, 15 RBIs, and 21 runs. Sadly, like Keppinger he's now headed to the sidelines. Doumit fractured the tip of his left thumb Tuesday and manager John Russell suggested afterward that he's likely to miss 2-3 weeks.

Paulino has fallen out of favor with the Pirates after logging nearly 1,000 plate appearances and over 2,100 innings behind the plate over the past two years, starting just 14 of the team's first 39 games. He has plenty of faults, including shaky defense and little power, but is a .282/.336/.385 career hitter. That may not look like much, but the average MLB catcher has hit .268/.337/.397 this season, giving Paulino solid value in NL-only leagues as long as Doumit is out.

* With his comeback from a strained left calf apparently hitting a snag, Nomar Garciaparra said Tuesday that he's not yet ready to begin a minor-league rehab assignment. "I did push it to the ceiling, but I still need some time," Garciaparra said. "There's no need to go backward." While Mr. Hamm tries to make it back, Andy LaRoche is doing his best to beat him to the third-base job. Rehabbing from a thumb injury of his own, LaRoche is feasting on minor-league pitching.

LaRoche went 2-for-2 with a homer and four walks Sunday and then drew three more free passes Monday, giving him a .316/.480/.544 hitting line in 19 games. He batted .309/.399/.589 with 18 homers in 73 games at Triple-A last season and was in line for a shot at the starting gig prior to the injury, so the 24-year-old LaRoche deserves a chance to claim the job before Garciaparra returns. Of course, given the Dodgers' preference for veterans, that's probably wishful thinking.

AL Quick Hits: After working out at the Yankees' minor-league complex Tuesday, Alex Rodriguez (quadriceps) said that he's aiming to come back early next week ? Hank Blalock (hamstring) fielded ground balls and ran the bases Tuesday, signaling that he could return as soon as this weekend ? J.D. Drew left Tuesday's game with an ugly looking wrist injury, but is considered day-to-day after X-rays came back negative ? Coco Crisp exited Tuesday's game with an upset stomach, and with Drew already out the Red Sox moved Kevin Youkilis to right field ? Jose Vidro was scratched from Tuesday's lineup with back spasms, giving Miguel Cairo another undeserved start at first base ? Maicer Izturis (back) returned from the disabled list Tuesday and will start at second base until Howie Kendrick (hamstring) comes off the shelf ? Rocco Baldelli (leg) took batting practice Tuesday and said afterward that he's still hoping to play this season, but there's no timetable for his return ? Jason Kubel delivered a pinch-hit homer off the bench Tuesday and is trying to avoid a "Brooks Was Here" moment in Minnesota.
newyorkmets.com
NL Quick Hits: After giving some thought to calling up Clayton Kershaw, the Dodgers have opted against the 20-year-old southpaw making his big-league debut Saturday ? Brad Lidge allowed an earned run Tuesday for the first time this year, but still converted his 10th save ? Barry Zito's streak of consecutive starts with a loss ended at seven Monday, as he picked up a no-decision by allowing three runs over six innings versus the Astros ? As expected, the Dodgers placed Rafael Furcal (back) on the disabled list Tuesday and handed Chin-Lung Hu the starting job ? Reports out of Chicago suggest that the Cubs will go after Jim Edmonds as soon as he clears waivers Wednesday, meaning that Felix Pie's days in the majors are numbered ? Jay Bruce went 5-for-7 with a homer and two doubles in a doubleheader Monday at Triple-A and is hitting .348/.375/.609 on the year ? Ray Durham (hamstring) was in the starting lineup Tuesday for the first time in 11 days ? Mark Prior underwent an MRI on his surgically repaired right shoulder Monday and is scheduled to be examined by Dr. James Andrews
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Rockie Reynolds
The MLB draft is less than a month away, and you can practically taste the excitement! Okay, not really. Baseball's draft is still very much for the hardcore fan, and a large percentage of those that do follow it do so as much for fantasy reasons as team fandom. That said, the work milb.com and ESPN are doing is a big plus for us diehards, and its surely going to continue gaining steam. It'll never be the NFL or NBA drafts, but someday we'll get coverage from more than a few, albeit very good, sources. Maybe we'll eventually get it moved to a weekend too.

In the two weeks following the draft I'll be posting my usual Top 30 picks for fantasy leaguers. It will be the third season I've done so, and the previous editions can be found in the archives. In a draft heavy with college hitters, fantasy leaguers should be paying extra attention in that the 2008 draft should, as a whole, lead to teams getting help more quickly. For example, there are at least six players from the college ranks who project to be selected in the first round and end up at first base in the majors. Throw in premium position players like Gordan Beckham, Buster Posey, and Jemile Weeks, and it's a good draft to help rebuild quickly on the hitting side.

The pitching side of the equation isn't as strong, but the two clear standouts are Brian Matusz and Aaron Crow. There are a handful of interesting second tier pitchers, but all have question marks and that makes this a clear hitting draft. The high school class is also less intriguing than last year as there is a large drop-off in talent after the top three of Tim Beckham, Eric Hosmer, and Kyle Skipworth. Last season I ranked nine high school players in the Top 15 for fantasy leagues, but this year I doubt there will be more than four.

Looking at this week's callups, with a small and unexciting group of prospects getting promoted I'm adding a new section. At the bottom of the page you'll see a look at players who could be getting promoted in the next month or two. I'll list the player, provide a brief blurb, and then a recommendation. I'll update the list from time to time as the space required for callups permits.

[SIZE=+1]Major League Callups[/SIZE]

Matt Brown ? 3B Angels ? Brown was up in the majors for a few days earlier in the year, but it was in-between columns and I didn't get a chance to write him up. A 10th round pick by the Angels in 2001, Brown has had a slow but steady approach to the majors. He started his career by hanging around in Rookie ball for the significant majority of his first three professional seasons, then moved up a level per year from 2004 to 2007. Brown struggled to hit for both average and power at the same time in the low levels of the minors, in part because he struck out about once per game.

Moved up to Double-A Arkansas in 2006, Brown had his best season to date with a .289/.359/.491 line that included an unexciting but solid 108/47 K/BB in 515 at-bats. The 6'0", 180-pound right-hander was already 23, so he would have to capitalize on his success immediately to get taken seriously as a prospect. Brown did post a nearly identical campaign the next year in 2007, but that it came with a regression to his previous strikeout levels was disappointing. With poor plate discipline, modest power for a corner player, and no speed or defensive value to speak of, Brown projects as a bench player if things break right.

Back again while replacing the struggling [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1351"]Brandon Wood[/URL], Brown figures to get some action at third base until Chone Figgins or Howie Kendrick returns. He was off to a very fast start with Triple-A Salt Lake, batting .381 with 22 extra-base hits in just 126 at-bats. Brown getting hot and earning a few starts wouldn't be all that surprising, but the better bet is that his strike zone judgment impedes his ability to succeed, much like the player he replaced. That he's 1-for-9 with seven strikeouts to start his major league career adds more certainty to this projection.

Recommendation: Ignore in all formats.

Luis Maza ? SS Dodgers ? The 27-year-old Maza isn't a prospect by any standards, but he'll get a few looks when owners see that he was the player recalled when Rafael Furcal was sent to the disabled list. Chin-Lung Hu will certainly start at shortstop while Furcal is out, but Maza will be the backup behind Hu and the ever-brittle Jeff Kent. That means he may actually get a couple of starts per week while Furcal is out, which sounds like it will be for the minimum of two weeks.

Despite the opportunity, Maza doesn't figure to have any value in fantasy leagues. He was hitting .402 for Triple-A Las Vegas before being recalled and hit .330 there after being promoted from Double-A last season. However, Maza has no speed or secondary skills to offer, and it's hard to get by just on batting average. Further, Maza is a career .280 hitter, and an inconsistent one at that, and would hardly be the first player to see a huge performance inflation once reaching Las Vegas and the PCL.

Recommendation: Ignore in all formats.

Greg Reynolds ? RHP Rockies ? Easily the biggest name and only true prospect called up this week, Reynolds was the second overall pick in the 2006 draft. The big, 6'7" right-hander had a strong junior season for Stanford, posting a 3.31 ERA and 108/32 K/BB ratio. However, those stats aren't worthy of a second overall selection, and Reynolds wasn't thought to have much projection left either. He was polished with good command and the advanced approach that is typical of Stanford pitchers, but it was still an overdraft. It's always going to be tough for a pitcher in Coors Field to make the Top 30 for fantasy leagues when I compile it each year, but Reynolds was hardly considered despite his lofty selection number. Throw in that the Rockies passed on obviously superior talents like Andrew Miller and Tim Lincecum, and it's already looking like a poor selection.

All of that said, Reynolds still looked like he could be a No. 3 starter or, worst-case, an innings eater who kept the team in games most times out. His debut with High-A Modesto went well enough, as Reynolds posted a 3.33 ERA and 29/14 K/BB in 48 2/3 innings. The right-hander got off to an even better start with Double-A Tulsa the following season, posting a 1.42 ERA and 35/9 K/BB in 50 2/3 innings. Though he wasn't overpowering the league, Reynolds was getting good movement on his low-90s fastball and Double-A hitters failed to hit him when he was nailing his spots. His curve also looked like an average offering and his changeup wasn't far behind, so there was hope.

Unfortunately, a sore shoulder sidelined him shortly thereafter, and Reynolds underwent exploratory surgery on the shoulder in August. The surgery was considered minor and Reynolds felt better afterwards, so when he came to Spring Training in good shape it wasn't all that surprising. The Rockies continued to be aggressive with Reynolds, assigning him to Triple-A after his stint with the big club in March. Reynolds has been rather mediocre so far with a 4.86 ERA and 16/9 K/BB, but that he had only given up three homers while pitching half his games at Colorado Springs was a plus.

Reynolds was called up to take the rotation spot of Mark Redman, so he'll have every opportunity to run with his new gig. However, the early returns in Triple-A say that Reynolds isn't ready yet despite his polish, and that he struggled in his first career big league start didn't do anything to change that opinion. He'll have his uses in NL-only leagues during his peak, which could be as early as 2009, but Reynolds can be safely ignored for the short-term.

Recommendation: Ignore in all formats.

[SIZE=+1]Callup Watch[/SIZE]

American League
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1390"]Nelson Cruz[/URL], OF, Rangers -- Don't look now, but the 27-year-old Cruz is at it again in Triple-A. The former prospect is batting .336 and slugging .700 with more walks than strikeouts. He's done this before and still struggled in the majors, but maybe he'll get another opportunity. There's little blocking him in the major leagues, so watch and see if he's called up.

Chris Davis, 1B, Rangers -- Davis wasn't likely to make this list two months ago, but he just keeps on hitting. Strikeouts are supposed to limit your batting average potential, but nobody told Davis as he's hitting .319 despite 37 strikeouts in 35 games. Since he also has nine homers and a 917 OPS, the Rangers could be aggressive with him if he keeps hitting. The big club has very few major leaguers who can't be displaced right now, so they can find room for Davis whenever they please.

Jeff Larish/Mike Hessman, 1B/3B, Tigers -- Larish is still relatively young and a prospect, but both are callup candidates in the short-term. Larish is striking out way too often with 46 in 40 games, but he does have 11 homers and a 956 OPS. Hessman has the more impressive line with a whopping 17 homers to go with a .308 average and 1135 OPS. Hessman also strikes out and is 30 years old, but the production is hard to deny. With Gary Sheffield in the outfield, one of these two will be called up to battle Brandon Inge for playing time if Matt Joyce struggles. Either would be worth an AL-only claim at that time.

James Simmons, RHP, Athletics -- Simmons is only in Double-A and was drafted just last June, but he's still already very close to the majors. The Texas League hasn't proven an issue for Simmons, as his 2.02 ERA and 31/8 K/BB highlight, and he was considered the most polished pitcher in the 2007 draft, so talent-wise Simmons should be ready for the majors in a month or two. Opportunity will be an issue, but Rich Harden surely won't stay healthy and Gio Gonzalez, the only true prospect in Triple-A, is struggling, so Simmons could find himself in the Oakland rotation if a second starter goes down. He'd be worth claiming in AL-only leagues once that happened.

National League
Homer Bailey, RHP, Reds -- Bailey had a poor last outing that saw him serve up six runs in just 4 1/3 innings. However, unlike in recent past, Bailey's command remained intact and he walked just two batters during the start. It's a good sign that Bailey could keep his composure while not having his best stuff, and his 3.55 ERA and 40/14 K/BB ratio overall don't hurt either. Matt Belisle shouldn't be keeping Bailey in the minors much longer, so stash him away in NL-only leagues.<!--RW-->Jay Bruce, OF, Reds -- That he's striking out almost once per game is a concern, but the Reds still have their best center fielder in Triple-A. Corey Patterson struggles to keep his OPS over 700, and while he plays superior defense, it's not enough to offset Bruce's hitting advantage. And now that Bruce has gotten hot and has his batting line up to .352/.378/.613 there's little reason to continue going with Patterson. Management will have to convince Dusty Baker that it's the right thing to do, but expect them to do so sooner or later. A Ken Griffey Jr. trade would make things even easier. Bruce should be stashed away in NL-only leagues.

Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Dodgers -- The minor's top pitching prospect, Kershaw is off to a fantastic start for Double-A Jacksonville with a 2.21 ERA and 40/11 K/BB in 36 2/3 innings. The Dodgers gave some thought to promoting the 20-year-old for a start this weekend, but he struggled in his last outing and the club is intent on monitoring his innings, so they thought better of it. However, the Dodgers won't sit on their hands if they aren't in better shape in a month, so Kershaw could still get the call rather quickly. He's worth stashing away.

Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates -- One of the biggest gainers in terms of prospect status in the early going, McCutchen has begun to turn his immense tools into production. Despite starting the year in Triple-A at the young age of 21, McCutchen has posted an impressive .290/.383/.483 line that includes a 25/20 K/BB and six homers. Considering that McCutchen hit all of 11 homers last season with a modest 94/48 K/BB, it's clear he's made big strides. I'd keep him down in the minors all year to ensure he continues with the improved approach, but the Pirates will probably promote him some time in the next month or two. A trade of Xavier Nady is all that stands in the way, so watch the rumor mill very closely and grab McCutchen as soon as there's hint of a Pirate deal.

Chris Volstad, RHP, Marlins -- A 2005 first-rounder, Volstad is off to a great start with a 2.58 ERA, 37/17 K/BB, and 3.03 GB/FB as a 21-year-old for Double-A Carolina. The right-hander could use more time in the minors, but the Marlins are typically aggressive with prospects and they could use the rotation help sooner rather than later. Once the club gets sick of Burke Badenhop or Ricky Nolasco, expect Volstad to get the call. He'll be of some use when he does get a call, but his upside isn't that big.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Some stats still anomalies

Another week gone and Chipper Jones is still batting around .400. Cliff Lee's ERA is still less than 1.00. Ryan Howard and Robinson Cano are still batting less than .200 WWW.ATLANTABRAVES.WS

These would not be notable observations except that at the one-quarter mark of the 2008 season, this is a point at which we'd expect most statistical anomalies to have washed out. Could the numbers being posted by Jones, Lee, Howard and Cano be for real?

The answer is yes, and no.

For years, we have used a rough rule of thumb that pointed to May 15 as the date to begin taking the stats seriously. However, the question of when sample size becomes meaningful can be answered with calculations of statistical reliability. As it turns out, the date is different for each statistical category.

A study done at the "Statistically Speaking" blog at mvn.com determined that a batter's contact rate (at-bats minus strikeouts, divided by at-bats) becomes meaningful at 150 plate appearances. This is fairly close to the May 15 date. It is also the only batting stat that becomes meaningful that early. Home run rates take twice as long. Batting averages never reach a level at which we can consider them statistically meaningful, at least not within 650 plate appearances.

However, contact rates can give us a good sense of batting average potential. Both Howard (61%) and Cano (89%) are within a reasonable variance from their history, which means they should be able to put .200 in their rearview mirror soon.

On the pitching side, strikeout rate takes only 150 batters faced, or about five or six starts to become a statistically reliable measure of performance. That means Chien-Ming Wang's rate of 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings probably needs to be taken seriously, even though his previous seasonal high was only 4.7. Lee's 7.4 rate, a strikeout higher than he posted during his 2005 breakout season, is probably for real at some level as well.

Conversely, Fausto Carmona's 3.3 strikeout rate has to be of concern after he posted a 5.7 in 2007. Warning flags must be up for Justin Verlander (5.5 this year, 8.2 in 2007) and Ian Snell (5.7, 7.7) too.

One other issue about this time of year is that there are now enough stats in the books for these players' full season totals to be colored by their early numbers.

For instance, if Jones finishes the season batting .300, everyone will view 2008 as another productive campaign for the Braves third baseman. What won't be apparent is that he will have batted .400 over the first six weeks but .270 over the final 4? months.

Similarly, Cano and Howard could suddenly become .300 hitters for the remainder of the season, but their 2008 line will only present them with final batting averages in the low .270s. The question, of course, is whether either player can put up a .300 batting average for 20 weeks.

And Lee, with his 0.67 ERA? If he finishes with the 3.79 ERA he posted in 2005, that means he would have pitched with a 4.70 ERA from this point forward.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Back and Bigger Than Ever
If you've ever wondered what it would be like to watch me talk about this season's rookie class while sitting in front of a bookcase in my living room?and really, who hasn't dreamed of that?then this week's NBCSports.com "Fantasy Fix" show is your big chance. While you try to figure out the identities of the odd mix of bobble-head dolls perched behind me in the video, here are some notes from around baseball ?

* C.C. Sabathia coughed up five, four, nine, and nine runs in his first four outings, making him 0-3 with a hideous 13.50 ERA and 14-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 18 innings. It was a brutal start for a reigning Cy Young winner and understandably had his fantasy owners very worried, but Sabathia has done an amazing job easing those concerns with a dominant five-start stretch that includes a complete-game shutout Wednesday night versus Oakland.

Sabathia overpowered the A's, racking up 11 strikeouts while handing out two walks and allowing five hits. His overall ERA remains ugly at 5.47, but Sabathia has somewhat quietly posted a 1.49 ERA, 43-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and 1.02 WHIP over his last 36.1 innings. Tossing a shutout makes it tough to continue calling him a buy-low target, but the high ERA means that he's still likely undervalued by owners who haven't been tracking him start-by-start.

* After initially indicating that Clay Buchholz's broken fingernail wasn't a big deal, the Red Sox opted to place him on the disabled list Wednesday. Buchholz was knocked around by the Twins in his last start and the Red Sox may have decided that giving the 23-year-old some time off was smart even if he could have pitched through the injury. Bartolo Colon isn't ready to be called up from Triple-A yet, so Justin Masterson looks like the favorite to start in Buchholz's place Sunday.

As for Buchholz, a couple weeks off may ultimately be a positive thing by keeping his workload in check after he threw just 148 innings between Double-A, Triple-A, and the majors last year. His performance this season has been very uneven, but a 5.53 ERA overstates his struggles quite a bit. Buchholz has had three ugly outings in eight starts and sports a 43-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 42.1 innings that's more befitting someone with a 4.00 ERA. Buy low if you can.

* A lot of money could have been made this offseason by betting Yankees fans that Mike Mussina would be the team's second-best starter through mid-May, but that's indeed the case. He held the Rays to one run over six innings Wednesday, winning his fifth straight start while improving to 6-3 with a 3.99 ERA overall. His velocity fell into the high-80s a few years ago, but what's amazing about Mussina's success this season is that he's now averaging just 85 MPH with his fastball.

A further decline in velocity has predictably led to fewer missed bats and Mussina is on pace for a career-low 4.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Mussina has always had good control, but has been a strike-throwing machine this season, making up for the increased contact by handing out just six walks through 49.1 innings. That works out to 1.1 walks per nine innings, which means that he's slashed his already strong career walk rate of 2.0 per nine innings in half

The days of Mussina being an elite starter are long gone and working with an 85-MPH fastball will lead to some ugly outings, but guys like Greg Maddux and Brad Radke have shown that smart, veteran pitchers with very hittable stuff can still get the job done by pounding the strike zone. His secondary numbers last year suggested that he was better than a 5.15 ERA and Mussina looks capable of maintaining an ERA around 4.25-4.50, which on the Yankees means plenty of wins.

* Sitting pretty in first place, the Rays announced Wednesday that they've agreed to terms with Scott Kazmir on a three-year contract extension that includes a team option for 2012. Kazmir was already under the team's control through 2010, so the new deal allows the Rays to buy out his first two seasons of free agency. In return Kazmir receives $28.5 million in guarantees, which is a smart, conservative move for a 24-year-old who's already had plenty of injury concerns.

Kazmir is the franchise leader in wins, strikeouts, ERA, starts, and innings, and if healthy has clearly shown that he's capable of being one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball, posting a 3.63 ERA while striking out 628 batters in 580.2 career innings. Thanks to a long string of high draft picks the Rays have a tremendous assortment of young talent, both in the majors and in the minors, and locking up Kazmir for the next four seasons is a big step in the right direction.

* C.J. Wilson struggled on Saturday and Monday, so the Rangers turned to Eddie Guardado with a three-run lead Tuesday. Guardado got the job done, converting his first save since August of 2006, but manager Ron Washington said afterward that Wilson remains the team's closer and watched him throw a scoreless inning in a tie game Wednesday. His ERA remains ugly at 5.09, but Wilson has held opponents to a .224 average while allowing zero hits in 11 of 19 outings.

AL Quick Hits: Ramon Hernandez was originally expected to return to the lineup Wednesday, but was scratched late with continued soreness in his wrist ? Joe Borowski (triceps) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Monday at Single-A ? Justin Verlander turned in just his second Quality Start of the season Wednesday, holding the Royals to two runs over six innings, but still fell to 1-7 ? Hank Blalock (hamstring) is expected to begin a brief rehab stint Thursday at Double-A and could return from the disabled list this weekend ? Jeff Clement made his third start at catcher Wednesday and delivered a pair of extra-base hits ? Batting just .167 this month, Kurt Suzuki was dropped from the leadoff spot to eighth in the order Wednesday, losing quite a bit of fantasy value in the process ? Because playing defense bothers his surgically repaired shoulder, the Tigers announced Wednesday that Gary Sheffield will resume starting primarily at designated hitter ? Robinson Cano hit just .151/.211/.236 in April, but after collecting four hits Wednesday he's now 14-for-40 (.350) with two homers this month.

NL Quick Hits: After missing a week with flu-like symptoms, Takashi Saito pitched a perfect ninth inning Wednesday for his sixth save ? Chase Utley homered Wednesday for the first time since May 3, tying Lance Berkman for the MLB lead with 14 long balls ? Scott Olsen said Tuesday that his arm "feels fine" despite decreased velocity in his last start ? Pedro Martinez (hamstring) threw a 55-pitch simulated game Wednesday and could be close to starting a minor-league rehab assignment ? After undergoing an MRI exam Wednesday, Jeff Keppinger (knee) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks, giving Jerry Hairston Jr. and Paul Janish some NL-only value ? Rather than call up 20-year-old phenom Clayton Kershaw, the Dodgers will give Chan Ho Park the start Saturday versus the Angels ? Manager Lou Piniella said Tuesday that Rich Hill will remain at Triple-A for several more starts ? With Manny Acosta having worked on three straight days, Blaine Boyer picked up his first save Wednesday ? Jason Hirsh (shoulder) threw a two-inning simulated game Tuesday and remains on track for a mid-June return.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Revved up like a Duch
In writing this column, there was a point where I had printed out the lyrics to the Mannfred Mann's Earth Band's version of "Blinded by the Light" and was attempting to write a parody song referencing other members of the Athletics ("With Rob Bowen on my shoulder/feeling kinda older", etc). Fortunately for everyone, my wife mercilessly mocked me, and so I'll leave the title as the only reference to the song.

Here are this week's waiver wire options:

[SIZE=+1]American League[/SIZE]

Justin Duchscherer ? SP ? OAK ? You can't count on him to stay healthy, but Duchscherer is 3-2 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.08 after five starts this season. He's struck out 24 batters in 28 2/3 innings, and there's no reason this guy should be owned in fewer than half of all fantasy leagues. He hasn't allowed more than two runs in any start, and has taken nicely to a starting role. Double check to make sure he's not available.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

Kenji Johjima ? C ? SEA ? Johjima was drafted in most mixed formats, but after a tough start to the season, he's only owned in a third of all fantasy leagues. He has eight hits in his last 16 at-bats and is showing legitimate signs of breaking out of his funk. Kenji has shown that he's a worthy starting catcher in most standard-sized leagues, and he makes a fine replacement for mixed leaguers looking to replace Ryan Doumit.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

Eddie Guardado ? RP ? TEX ? C.J. Wilson has struggled lately, but in the seven appearances in which Wilson has allowed a hit, only two have been save situations. He could be suffering from the inability to get into the right mentality when a save isn't on the line. Manager Ron Washington says Wilson will remain the closer, but those dying for saves might want to take a chance on Eddie Guardado, who would seemingly take over if Wilson loses the job.
Recommendation: Worth a flier in mixed leagues.

Mike Mussina ? SP ? NYY ? After shutting out the Rays for 6 1/3 innings on Wednesday night, Mussina has allowed just eight runs in his last 29 1/3 innings. He now has a 23/5 K/BB ratio on the season, and should eventually pick up plenty of wins while throwing for the Yankees. Don't get attached to Mussina, but he might be worth adding and then trying to trade after his next starts against Baltimore and Seattle.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in mixed leagues.

Matt Garza ? SP ? TB ? Garza was a popular sleeper choice before the season started, but he gave up eight runs in eight innings before going on the disabled list with an irritated radial nerve. Since returning, he's allowed just six runs in 24 2/3 innings. Garza's K/BB ratio is still a highly suspect 14/14 (I realize that's a ratio of 1, but that's less informative, brainiac), but he's shown the ability to improve upon that. He'll probably hurt a team's WHIP, but he could win 15 games if the Rays continue to play even moderately well.
Recommendation: Flier in mixed leagues, should be owned in AL-only leagues

Brad Wilkerson ? OF ? TOR ? With Vernon Wells going on the disabled list, Wilkerson figures to see plenty of time as half of a platoon in right field. He's hitting .224 on the season, so he'll hurt there, but Toronto is a great place for left-handed power hitters to play. He should hit a fair number of home runs, making him a decent add in AL-only leagues.
Recommendation: Worth owning in AL-only leagues.

Freddie Bynum ? SS- BAL ? Bynum was named the Orioles' starting shortstop last week, and since getting the job, he's gone 6-for-19 and scored five runs. He's yet to attempt a stolen base, but those will come with time. He's a career .259 hitter, but he's never gotten the chance to start regularly so that could improve. Having Alex Cintron breathing down his neck (pastrami breath) isn't great for his job security, but he could have value if he can hold onto the job.
Recommendation: Worth watching in AL-only leagues.

Cliff Floyd ? OF/DH ? TB ? Floyd came off the disabled list last weekend, and while he'll be part of a platoon, he should get the majority of starts against right-handed pitchers. Floyd could end up hitting around 15 home runs and driving in 60 if he can stay healthy.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in AL-only leagues.

<!--RW-->[SIZE=+1]National League[/SIZE]

Bronson Arroyo ? SP ? CIN - Arroyo's 4.23 ERA last season wasn't pretty, but most of the damage can be traced to a six-game stretch starting in the end of May that saw Arroyo give up six runs in five of six starts. After a similarly brutal start to this season, Arroyo is now available in two-thirds of all leagues. In his last two starts he's given up just one run over 15 innings. He makes a solid back-of-the-rotation starter, and can be counted on for an ERA around 4.00 over the rest of the season.
Recommendation: Worth owning in mixed leagues.

Jay Bruce ? OF ? Reds ? In 145 at-bats at Triple-A, Jay Bruce is hitting .366 with eight home runs, nine doubles and five triples. His 34/11 K/BB ratio leaves a bit to be desired, but Bruce is ready for an extended look in the major leagues. There's no shortage of trade rumors surrounding Ken Griffey Jr., and local papers think that Bruce could be up in early June. Teams with deep benches should stash Bruce now for when he gets called up.
Recommendation: Worth owning in NL-only leagues

Chase Headley ? OF- SD ? The whispers that the Padres will soon call up Chase Headley are beginning to get louder. Scott Hairston's .229 average, Jody Gerut's .192 mark and Paul McAnulty's .217 total are providing little reason to keep the prospect in the minor leagues. After a mediocre April, Headley has posted a .358 mark so far this May, and the switch hitter is now batting .285/.356/.444 with four home runs on the season. Headley hit 20 dingers in 433 minor league at-bats last season, but playing at Petco will limit his power output once he's finally called up.
Recommendation: Stash in NL-only leagues, monitor in mixed ones

Mark Kotsay ? OF ? ATL ? After a 2007 lost largely to back injuries, Kotsay has gotten off to a quick start in Atlanta. He's currently hitting .306 and has knocked in 18 runs while scoring 20. The Braves have responded by moving Kotsay up in the order, which should result in the continued scoring of runs for the centerfielder. Still, he lacks power and speed, which limits his fantasy upside. He's also struggled against lefties this season, and like anyone with a history of back issues, he's a major injury risk.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in mixed leagues.

Ryan Franklin ? RP ? STL ? On Saturday Tony LaRussa said that Jason Isringhausen was being removed from the closers role "for now." Izzy pitched a scoreless non-save inning following the news, and was poised to enter Wednesday's game in a save situation before the Cardinals scored two runs in the top of the ninth. He still pitched a perfect ninth, and odds are he'll reclaim his job soon if he keeps up the good work. Franklin is the favorite if Isringhausen continues to struggle, which makes him worth consideration until Izzy gets a tighter grasp on the job.Note: This was posted before Isringhausen was completely dominated on Thursday afternoon. Franklin is now worth owning in mixed leagues.
Recommendation: Worth considering in mixed leagues

Guillermo Mota ? RP ? MIL ? On Sunday, Brewers manager Ned Yost confirmed that the Brewers had removed Eric Gagne from the closer's role. By Tuesday Gagne was right back in during a save situation, which he converted. Guillermo Mota converted one save in between, but he blew a save Wednesday night when Gagne was unavailable. Mota's stint as a closer seems to be over, but the situation in Milwaukee is worth monitoring.
Recommendation: Should be monitored in all leagues.

Jerry Hairston/Paul Janishhttp://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4620 ? SS ? CIN ? With Jeff Keppinger headed to the disabled list, Hairston and Janish will share time at shortstop for the Reds. It's unclear exactly how things will shake out, but Hairston seems like the best bet in the short term. Hairston has shown little at the plate in recent years, but he could respond to regular playing time. [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2653"]Alex Gonzalez[/URL] should reclaim the job at some point in June, but until then Hairston has a shot at being a serviceable shortstop in NL-only leagues.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in NL-only leagues

Omar Vizquel ? SS - SF - Well, Omar is back, and he's gotten off to a hot start, going 5-for-13 and even stealing a base. Vizquel was truly one of the worst hitters in the game last season, though, and while he could bounce back it's unlikely that the 41-year-old will make a drastic improvement. Still, he's certainly worth monitoring at a scarce position.
Recommendation: Worth watching in NL-only leagues

Jim Edmonds ? OF ? CHI - Edmonds and his .178 average have landed in Chicago, where he'll face righties as part of a platoon in center field. Edmonds should benefit from playing at Wrigley, but his struggles this season haven't been a result of the ballpark in San Diego: he's struck out 24 times in 90 at-bats. He's not going to hit for average, and his power numbers have declined sharply in recent years.
Recommendation: Worth a look in NL-only leagues
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Izzy Finished?

There's plenty of good stuff that needs covering to finish up a busy week, let's skip the usual chatter and get right to the notes from around baseball ?

* Jim Edmonds signed with the Cubs late Wednesday night and started in center field Thursday against the team that released him last week, going 1-for-4 versus the Padres while leaving seven runners on base and grounding into a double play. Edmonds is 37 years old and hit .178 in 26 games with San Diego after batting just .252/.325/.403 last season in St. Louis, yet Chicago was quick to once again push Felix Pie aside in order to make room for him on the roster.

Pie won the starting job in center field following a strong spring training and collected a hit in each of the Cubs' first three games, but went 0-for-4 in Game 4 and amazingly hasn't seen more than three straight starts since. He's 23 years old and has hit .306/.361/.484 in 196 games at Triple-A, yet manager Lou Piniella wasn't even willing to consistently play him against right-handers, often going with 31-year-old Reed Johnson and his .267/.328/.381 career mark versus righties.

Now Piniella will likely put Edmonds into the role that Pie should have been allowed to fill, starting him against most righties while Johnson takes over against most southpaws. Moving from Petco Park to Wrigley Field while being protected against lefties is just about the best-case scenario for Edmonds, but it won't matter much if he's as done as he looked in San Diego. He has a chance to be a moderate asset in NL-only leagues, but that's it at this point and Pie deserved better.

* Jason Isringhausen was stripped of ninth-inning duties last weekend, but made back-to-back scoreless appearances this week and found himself being asked to pitch the eighth inning of a one-run game Thursday night. He served up a three-run homer to Jason Bay and coughed up a total of four runs while being charged with another blown save, and the Cardinals announced shortly after the game that they plan to place him on the disabled list.

Even if he returns following the minimum 15-day stay on the shelf, Isringhausen is highly unlikely to resume closing before the All-Star break, if at all. He began the year by converting his first five save chances, but has blown six saves while giving up 16 earned runs in a dozen innings since then. That works out to an ugly 12.00 ERA and he has an 8-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio to match. Unlikely as it may sound, Ryan Franklin has a chance to keep the job for quite a while.

* Nick Johnson's career-long struggles with injuries have again relegated him to the disabled list, this time with a torn tendon in his right wrist that's expected to sideline him for 4-6 weeks. He's never been a fast healer, so it certainly wouldn't be shocking to see Johnson miss the bulk of the remaining season, which is unfortunate given that he was getting on base at his usual 40-percent clip even after missing all of last year with a broken leg.

There's zero good news to be had for Johnson at this stage, but the nice thing for the Nationals is that Dmitri Young is expected to return from the DL at some point this weekend and can step right in as the new starting first baseman. Young has just two at-bats this season because he began the year backing up Johnson and then suffered a back injury, but did a fantastic job filling in for Johnson in 2007, hitting .320/.378/.491 with 13 homers and 74 RBIs in 136 games.

* [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] became the latest young player to choose stability over the potential for a bigger payday down the road Thursday, signing an eight-year, $45 million contract that will keep him in Milwaukee through 2015. The deal includes his $455,000 salary for this season, so it's really a seven-year extension worth $44.5 million. That overtakes the deal that Jeff Suppan signed last winter as the largest contract in team history and buys out Braun's first two years of free agency.

Braun was already under the team's control through 2012 and wouldn't even have been eligible for arbitration until 2011, so there's plenty of risk involved in committing $45 million to player with less than one full season's worth of time in the majors under his belt. With that said, if he remains healthy and productive the Brewers will end up saving a significant amount of money over the life of the contract while delaying free agency, and for mid-payroll teams that's worth the risk.

AL Quick Hits: Alex Rodriguez (quadriceps) ran the bases prior to Thursday's game and is on track to return from the disabled list Tuesday ? After signing a three-year, $28.5 million contract extension Wednesday, Scott Kazmir tossed six shutout innings Thursday to beat the Yankees and keep the Rays in first place ? B.J. Ryan recorded his seventh save Thursday and has now thrown a dozen scoreless innings since returning from Tommy John elbow surgery ? John Lackey came off the shelf Wednesday to make his season debut, tossing seven innings of one-run ball versus the White Sox ? Despite Travis Hafner's struggles at the plate and past health problems due to playing first base, the Indians are expected to give him some time there over Ryan Garko during interleague play ? Ian Kennedy rejoined to the rotation Thursday after a one-start demotion to Triple-A, coughing up five runs over five innings in a loss to the Rays ? Both the Rockies and Brewers are rumored to be interested in Julian Tavarez, who was designated for assignment earlier this week.
newyorkmets.com
NL Quick Hits: Tim Lincecum struck out 10 batters Thursday and has yet to allow more than three runs in a start this season, but got stuck with a no-decision when the bullpen imploded ? Chipper Jones and his MLB-leading .418 batting average were scratched from Thursday's lineup because a groin injury ? Manager John Russell said Wednesday that Ryan Doumit (thumb) will miss at least a month, giving Ronny Paulino more time than expected to be an NL-only asset ? Ben Sheets took a shutout into the seventh inning Thursday before allowing six runs on three homers while recording just one out ? Manager Joe Torre said Wednesday that Nomar Garciaparra (calf) could see time at shortstop if he comes off the disabled list before Rafael Furcal (back) ? Mike Pelfrey lost his fourth straight start Thursday despite taking a no-hitter into the seventh inning and allowing one run over 7.1 frames ? Lance Berkman delivered a game-winning homer Thursday and now ranks second in the majors in both batting average (.391) and RBIs (43) ? Initially expected to land on the DL, Luis Castillo (quadriceps) instead started Thursday and went 2-for-2 with a walk.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Key players getting healthy


If it seems to you as though there have been more headlines about injuries than about wins and losses, you are probably correct. According to Baseball-Injury-Report.com, Major League Baseball is on pace to set a record for number of players who spend time on the disabled list.

From 2003 to 2006, an average of 136 players landed on the DL from spring training through April 30 each year. Last season, that number jumped to 168, a 24% increase. As of April 30, there were 181 players who spent time on the disabled list, another 8% jump.

Over the full season, a record 404 players hit the DL in 2007, 6% more than the previous high, 382 in 2004. This year's current pace would put 417 players on the shelf, another record.

For fantasy leaguers, injuries were just an annoyance 10 years ago. We knew they were coming, but only a few of them made any real difference each year.

Today, every fantasy team should expect to weather about a dozen DL stays during the season. That means if your team only has eight or 10 injured players over the course of the season, you are lucky.

Injury analysis is no longer a luxury. Without the insight into every player's health history, knowledge of how each injury affects future performance and even team proficiency at keeping their players healthy, you are essentially leaving the success of your fantasy team to chance.

Here is some of that insight for a group of key players currently on the shelf:

Prognosis positive

* Hank Blalock, 3B, Rangers: Blalock is recovering from a left hamstring injury and is expected to be ready for activation later in May. This injury should not affect his hitting. Blalock's power stroke was expected to bounce back this season after he had surgery to repair a blood-circulation problem early in 2007.

While it is overly optimistic to expect him to return to his 30-homer levels, he could hit 15 to 18 once he returns.

* Chris Carpenter, RHP, Cardinals: Carpenter is coming off Tommy John surgery in July 2007. The Cardinals believe he will be back in the second half of the 2008 season. That should be enough time for him to regain confidence and touch with his pitches.

Heading into 2009, Carpenter will be ready to return to his pre-elbow injury form.

* Phil Hughes, RHP, Yankees: The combination of Hughes' early-season struggles and his strained side will cause many fantasy owners to write him off in 2008. However, he is still a talented starter, and he will have the opportunity to step up the last four months of the season.

While Hughes can help contending teams in 2008, he might be better suited as an acquisition for next year.

* John Lackey, RHP, Angels: He is recovering from a strained triceps in his pitching arm. His recovery has been rock solid, and he should hit the ground running once he returns. The Angels expect to activate him May 14 or May 15. Reports say Lackey's arm strength is good, and he is looking in midseason form. Because he is starting his season later, he should be at the top of his game and be fresh the rest of the 2008 season.

* Pedro Martinez, RHP, Mets: Is it time to officially label Martinez injury prone? This year's strained left hamstring comes on the heels of rotator cuff surgery the offseason before. Martinez and the Mets are being deliberate with his recovery plan. When he returns in late in May or early June, the odds are good his hamstring will be 100%, and his arm strength should be close to normal. He will probably have four to six starts before the All-Star break and could contribute a solid 3.50-level ERA in the second half. newyorkmets.com

* Alex Rodriguez, 3B, Yankees: Rodriguez's strained thigh muscle has improved enough that he has been taking part in some baseball activities. Because he will have missed almost two weeks by the time he faces live pitching in batting practice, it is still possible that the Yankees will send him out on a short rehab assignment. He is scheduled to return to action later this week and should rebound to previous productivity levels without a hitch.

Prognosis questionable

* Eric Chavez, 3B, Athletics: Chances are pretty good Chavez's back woes will hinder him periodically even after he returns from the DL in the coming weeks. Players with back problems struggle with their power numbers because the core strength of their body is less than 100%. His back woes, plus the fact he had surgery on both shoulders in the fall means Chavez has his work cut out for him. There are much better targets than Chavez to improve your team in 2008.

* Andy LaRoche, 3B, Dodgers: The Dodgers could use a boost to their offense, but LaRoche is not going to be the man this season. He is currently at Class AAA, recovering from a torn ligament in his right thumb. Thumb injuries can affect a player's power just as wrist injuries do. It takes time to regain all the strength in the thumb and hand. Do not be tempted to acquire him for a second-half offensive run. The odds are against it happening in 2008.

* Mark Mulder, LHP, Cardinals: Mulder has had surgery on his left rotator cuff the past two Septembers. Now he has suffered a setback that will delay his 2008 return. Lots of fantasy owners took a flier on him on draft day. The percentage play tells us the odds of Mulder returning this season and pitching effectively are prohibitive. They also do not improve much in 2009 because of the nature of the multiple shoulder surgeries.

* Vernon Wells, OF, Blue Jays: Wells suffered a fractured left wrist making a diving catch during a May 9 game. The good news is he will not need surgery, but he is still expected to miss up to two months. Once he returns, it will take him awhile to regain his hitting eye. Wells will not produce much power once he returns, either. Hitters who suffer wrist injuries similar to Wells' usually do not regain all their power for at least a year after the injury. You can use Derrek Lee's recovery from a similar injury as a benchmark.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Izzy Done? Igawa Certainly Is

Closers lose their jobs, Werth shows his worth and Igawa disappears again. All that and more in this week's Week That Was.

Rafael Betancourt: In a move that should surprise few, Rafael Betancourt was removed from the closer role in Cleveland. While reports indicate that Betancourt will be part of a committee, I doubt it. In his last seven appearances, Betancourt has given up earned runs five times. That is simply not getting the job done. Betancourt is effective as a set up guy and should be returned to that role. One can only hope that the Indians learned their lesson when they tried to shoehorn Fausto Carmona into the closer role a couple of years back. Look for Masa Kobayashi to get the lion's share of the saves with Rafael Perez stealing a couple in situations that call for a lefty.

Jason Isringhausen: The Redbirds placed closer Jason Isringhausen on the DL this week (but only after dropping him from the closer role). From both a baseball and fantasy perspective, this poses quite a puzzle. First, has Izzy lost it? Frankly, I think the odds are that he will recover with some rest and return to the role. However, what will the Cards do in the interim? They have announced that Ryan Franklin will get the majority of the save chances with Russ Springer getting a few shots. Neither has closer stuff or is likely to be a long term solution. Franklin, for example, has only 9 strikeouts in 20 innings (and that goes with 8 walks). Perhaps they will convert a starter to that role as they did with Adam Wainwright a couple of years ago. I have no info here, but perhaps Anthony Reyes could surprise. Call it a hunch but it could not hurt to stash away Reyes.

Dimitri Young: Just in time for the annual Nick Johnson trip to the disabled list, the Nats got Dmitri Young back from the DL. Well, that worked out nicely. Perhaps that was the plan all along ? take two injury prone players and make sure they take turns getting hurt and you get one solid 1B. Nicely done! Ok, seriously, if Young is available in your league, go get him. In a pitcher friendly home park last year, Young smacked 13 dingers and drove in 74. If you drafted Nick Johnson and expected him to play a full season, here are two pieces of advice you apparently need ? no, the Brooklyn Bridge is not for sale and yes gullible IS in the dictionary.

Ian Kennedy: Ian Kennedy returned from a short minor league tune up, losing Thursday to the Rays 5-2. Kennedy was not nearly as bad as the media and the Yankee fans want to believe. He gave up only 6 baserunners in 5 innings while striking out 3. This kid has the stuff to win in the big leagues right now. Three things are going to happen in NY. First, ARod will return. Second, the Yankees will start to score like the Yankees should. Third, the media will stop with the moronic comparisons of Kennedy to Johann Santana. By the end of the year, Kennedy will prove that his quality pitching at all levels of baseball last year was real. If you can grab Kennedy now, do it. No, he will not be Johann this year, but yes, he will be a quality starter for the Yankees and fantasy teams for years to come.

Jhonny Peralta: Jhonny Peralta is coming alive. In his last 11 at bats, Peralta has 5 hits, two of them, dingers. Yes, Peralta is a streaky hitter. However, he hits in a lineup that is going to improve as the year marches on. Last year, at age 25, he hit 21 dingers and knocked in 72. This year, in his 26 growth year, look for Peralta to best those numbers while posting a solid enough average and manning a MI spot in your fantasy lineup. If there is a Peralta owner in your league fixating on the .222 average, swindle the fool. Peralta will be a solid producer for the last ? of the season.

Ryan Doumit: The Ryan Doumit magical run is over ? at least for a month. Doumit and his gaudy average landed on the DL this week with an injured thumb. Now, Ronny Paulino gets his starting gig back. Here is buying opportunity to improve your catching situation. Paulino hit .310 in 2006 and .262 in 2007. There is no reason to believe he will stay down at his current .225 pace. No, he is not going to remind anyone of Russell Martin or Brian McCann, but Paulino will be a better than average producer at a position where any production is hard to find.

Felix Pie: The Cubbies sent Felix Pie back to AAA this week. Frankly, while Pie has shown the ability to hit in AAA in the past, it seemed to me that the Cubs were putting too much pressure on the 23 year old to play CF everyday while the team contends. If they are looking to win this year, the plan of platooning Edmonds and Reed Johnson makes a lot of sense to me. From a fantasy perspective, Edmonds has found a perfect home. He will not be counted on to be a big bat, so he can relax. He should hit with power in Wrigley. If you can afford a .250ish average the rest of the way, solid power should be there. Johnson, on the other hand, is going to be on the short side of the platoon and should be started only in the deepest of NL leagues. Pie ?well, he should be stashed in the minors, but I do not see the Cubs using him a lot this year unless they unexpectedly drop from contention.

Claudio Vargas: Claudio Vargas had a quality Mets debut this week, giving up just two runs in 6 1/3 innings, while striking out six. Vargas is an interesting puzzle. On the one hand, he has never posted a quality fantasy ERA or WHIP while starting in Milwaukee. However, he has had a K/BB ratio of over 2.0 each year. What does that tell me? I don't know. However, here are a couple of thoughts. First, Vargas is just 30 and many pitchers hit their stride later than hitters. Second, he is now pitching in a much better pitchers' park. Third, while the Mets are not the best fielding team in the league, their infield (even with Delgado at first) is worlds ahead of the cast iron glove crew the Brewers put behind Claudio last year. Bottom line ? there are soft data reasons to believe Vargas will be successful in New York. newyorkmets.com

Jayson Werth: In a game he will remember for a very long time, Jayson Werth smacked 3 HR and drove in 8 in the Phillies big win Friday night. So far this year, Werth has 9 HR and 26 RBI ? not too shabby for a part time player. While Werth will not soon challenge Bonds' 73 HR mark, he is a quality hitter who will continue to enjoy success in a half to three quarter role in Philly. Last year, in just 255 AB, Werth hit .298 with 8 HR and 49 RBI. He will easily best those figures this year. Bottom line: after losing almost two full years to injury, Werth is healthy and hitting. BUY.

Kei Igawa: In the best news Yankee fans could hear other than ARod and Posada are healthy again, the Yankees engaged in classic "addition by subtraction" when they sent Kei Igawa back to AAA (you could almost hear the cheers of AAA hitters from here). Hopefully, I will have no cause to write about Igawa again this season.

And finally, the part of the article you love to hate -- Schultz Says: "It's never a good thing when one of your up-and-coming youngsters (or pseudo-youngsters) goes down with an injury. In the case of Ryan Doumit, his stint on the DL is going to sting a little bit more than normal. Unlike other hitting positions, the drop off between an above-average catcher and the replacement player you can pick up on waivers is pretty vast. Said another way, Doumit was hitting so well - .350, 5 HR, 21 R - there's little chance of finding a suitable replacement on the free agent wire. To borrow Colton's overused phrase from last year: if you don't want to miss a beat while Doumit recovers you need to look for lightning in a bottle. (Note: that phrase isn't hackneyed when I use it). If you've got a decent backup catcher, apply the screws to the Doumit owner in your league, he's in worse shape than he may imagine.

Speaking of former phenoms, it's worth noting that Dallas McPherson is simply tearing it up in AAA. The former Angels 3B-of-the-future is now a reclamation project in Marlins minor league system and reclaiming himself quite nicely. With Florida being the surprise leader in the NL East, they have every incentive to get the best team out there and Jorge Cantu and Wes Helms may not quite fit that role. Pay attention to when the Marlins call up McPherson; the Angels also gave up on Bobby Jenks and bad personnel decisions tend not to happen in a vacuum. Big D might be an undervalued commodity when he takes the field in South Florida. Be ready to invest low.

Toot toot! Anyone notice who's picked up a couple saves in Cleveland lately with Betancourt struggling in the closer role? Who could've ever seen that coming. Hope you listened to me here. I shall put my own horn away now and let Glenn sing my praises

Response: Good stuff this week! However, on McPherson, but I am not at all convinced he can hit much above the Mendoza line in the show. Finally, as to tooting, I figure whatever Schultz does on his own time is best left unexplored (I couldn't resist!).
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

The Moose is loose!

The first round of interleague play will be over by the start of the week, so baseball purists can go back to debating other modern features of the game, such as the designated hitter and <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/playerbreakingnews.asp?sport=MLB&id=2062&line=237835&spln=1"">Jason Giambi in a thong.

Here's what's happening this week:

[SIZE=+1]Two-Start Pitchers[/SIZE]

American League

Must Starts
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4355">James Shields - @OAK (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3991">Joe Blanton), BAL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3864">Daniel Cabrera)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2708">Roy Halladay ? LAA (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3492">John Lackey), KC (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2833">Gil Meche)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3492">John Lackey - @TOR (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2708">Roy Halladay), @CHW (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3582">Jose Contreras)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3991">Joe Blanton ? TB (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4355">James Shields), BOS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2363">Bartolo Colon)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1061">Jon Lester ? KC (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4039">Luke Hochevar), @OAK (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3308">Justin Duchscherer)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=464">Justin Verlander ? SEA (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3419">Carlos Silva), MIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4178">Glen Perkins)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3492">John Lackey - @TOR (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2708">Roy Halladay), @CHW (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3582">Jose Contreras)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1677">Mike Mussina ? BAL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3864">Daniel Cabrera), SEA (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3419">Carlos Silva)

Other Options
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3864">Daniel Cabrera - @NY (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1677">Mike Mussina), @TB (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4355">James Shields)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3582">Jose Contreras ? CLE (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2121">Paul Byrd), LAA (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3492">John Lackey)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2121">Paul Byrd - @CHW (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3582">Jose Contreras), TEX (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=5550">Doug Mathis*)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4039">Luke Hochevar - @BOS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1061">Jon Lester), @TOR (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4287">Shaun Marcum)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2833">Gil Meche - @BOS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2363">Bartolo Colon), @TOR (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2708">Roy Halladay)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1342">Boof Bonser ? TEX (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4280">Scott Feldman), @DET (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3553">Nate Robertson)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4178">Glen Perkins ? TEX (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=5550">Doug Mathis), @DET (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=464">Justin Verlander)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3419">Carlos Silva - @DET (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=464">Justin Verlander), @NYY (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3419">Carlos Silva)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4280">Scott Feldman - @MIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1342">Boof Bonser), @CLE (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3565">Cliff Lee)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=5550">Doug Mathis* - @MIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4178">Glen Perkins), @CLE (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2121">Paul Byrd)

*Notes: Dough Mathis will start for the Rangers on Tuesday, but it's not guaranteed that he'll make a second start later this week.


National League

Must Start
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3412">Jake Peavy ? STL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3675">Todd Wellemeyer), CIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3049">Bronson Arroyo)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1262">Micah Owings - @FLA (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3517">Mark Hendrickson), @ATL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1488">Tom Glavine) <A href="http://www.atlantabraves.ws">atlantabraves.com
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1172">Cole Hamels - @WAS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=559">Jason Bergmann), @HOU (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4587">Chris Sampson)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2791">Ted Lilly - @HOU (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2344">Brian Moehler), @PIT (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1322">Paul Maholm)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2395">Derek Lowe ? CIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3049">Bronson Arroyo), STL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3293">Kyle Lohse)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3675">Todd Wellemeyer - @SD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3412">Jake Peavy), @LAD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1352">Chad Billingsley)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1352">Chad Billingsley ? CIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3779">Matt Belisle), STL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3675">Todd Wellemeyer)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1452">Greg Maddux ? STL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3096">Joel Pineiro), CIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3779">Matt Belisle)

Other Options
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1488">Tom Glavine ? NYM (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3664">Claudio Vargas), ARI (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1262">Micah Owings)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3049">Bronson Arroyo - @LAD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2395">Derek Lowe), @SD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3412">Jake Peavy)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3779">Matt Belisle - @LAD (Chad Billingsly), @SD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1452">Greg Maddux)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3820">Jorge De La Rosa ? SF (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4077">Pat Misch), NYM (Undecided) <A href="http://www.newyorkmets.ws">newyorkmets.com
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3517">Mark Hendrickson ? ARI (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1262">Micah Owings), SF (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4077">Pat Misch)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2344">Brian Moehler ? CHC (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2791">Ted Lilly), PHI (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3404">Brett Myers)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4587">Chris Sampson ? CHC (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2584">Ryan Dempster), PHI (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1172">Cole Hamels)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=360">Manny Parra - @PIT (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1322">Paul Maholm), @WAS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3296">Tim Redding)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3404">Brett Myers - @WAS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3296">Tim Redding), @HOU (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2344">Brian Moehler)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1172">Cole Hamels - @WAS (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=559">Jason Bergmann), @HOU (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4587">Chris Sampson)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1322">Paul Maholm ? MIL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=360">Manny Parra), CHC (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2791">Ted Lilly)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3412">Jake Peavy ? STL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3675">Todd Wellemeyer), CIN (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3049">Bronson Arroyo)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4077">Pat Misch - @COL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3820">Jorge De La Rosa), @FLA (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3517">Mark Hendrickson)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3675">Todd Wellemeyer - @SD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3412">Jake Peavy), @LAD (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1352">Chad Billingsley)
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3296">Tim Redding ? PHI (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3404">Brett Myers), MIL (<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=360">Manny Parra)

*Notes: <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3664">Claudio Vargas and <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3924">John Maine are pitching a double header on Tuesday. It's unclear in what order they'll pitch after that, but one will face <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3820">Jorge De La Rosa on Sunday.

[SIZE=+1]Possible Streamers[/SIZE]

American League

Tuesday, 5/20 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1061">Jon Lester vs. KC ? Lester is worth using in the right circumstance, and a visit by the worst offense in the American League should suffice. Lester is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in his two starts against the Royals.

Tuesday, 5/20 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1677">Mike Mussina vs. BAL ? Mussina has gotten off to an impressive start so far this season, and has won five straight contests while lowering his ERA to 3.99 and his WHIP to 1.17. He'll face the sixth-worst offense in the league on Tuesday, and the eighth-worst on Sunday, making him a solid add this week.

Friday, 5/23 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4214">Matt Garza vs. BAL ? As we said in our blurb for Garza, he's allowed just three runs in 19 2/3 innings since returning from the disabled list. See how he does against the Cards on Saturday, but against the Orioles, he's worth consideration regardless.

Saturday, 5/24 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3780">Edwin Jackson vs. BAL ? Like his teammate <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4214">Matt Garza, Jackson has been hot of late, shutting out the Blue Jays for eight innings and the Yankees for seven in his last two starts. A match-up with the Orioles should provide favorable results.

National League

Tuesday, 5/20 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1452">Greg Maddux vs. STL ? Maddux is pitching at home against the Cardinals, a team he's gone 3-2 against with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in the past two seasons. Should be a nice start as far as averages are concerned, and he pitches against <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3779">Matt Belisle and the Reds at home in his second start, which should be good for a win.

Tuesday, 5/20 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3096">Joel Pineiro @ SD ? Pineiro will square off against Maddux in San Diego. He'll have Petco working to his advantage, and has also gone 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.85 WHIP against the Padres over the past two seasons. Start him and Maddux and you'll probably get a win.

Wednesday, 5/21 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4809">Hiroki Kuroda vs. CIN ? Kuroda's bullpen has cost him a couple times, but he's been solid, posting a 3.67 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He should have another nice game against the Reds in Los Angeles.

Saturday 5/24 ? <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3049">Bronson Arroyo @ SD ? Arroyo has given up just one run in his last fifteen starts, and after a start against the potentially dangerous Dodgers, he'll face the Padres. The Padres have scored the fewest runs in major league baseball, so he should do fine.
<!--RW-->
[SIZE=+1]Total Games[/SIZE]

American League
7: BAL, KC, MIN, TEX
6: BOS, CHW, CLE, DET, LAA, NYY, OAK, SEA, TB, TOR

National League
7: ATL, CIN, HOU, NYM, PHI, SD
6: ARI, CHC, COL, FLA, LAD, MIL, PIT, SF, STL, WAS


[SIZE=+1]Righty vs. Lefty match-ups[/SIZE]

American League
Baltimore - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Boston - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Chicago White Sox - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Cleveland - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Detroit - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Kansas City - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Angels - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Minnesota - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
New York Yankees - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Oakland - 3 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties, 1 Undecided
Seattle - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Tampa Bay - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Texas - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Toronto - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Rays will face three left-handed pitchers this week, which could be nice for <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3926">Jason Bartlett (.368 vs. LHP). It might hurt <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3190">Eric Hinske, who is just a .173 hitter against lefties over the past three seasons. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4412">Evan Longoria could also struggle ? he's hit .107 against lefties so far this season.

National League:
Arizona - 2 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
Atlanta - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Chicago Cubs - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Cincinnati - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Colorado - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Florida - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Houston - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Dodgers ? 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Milwaukee - 2 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
New York Mets - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Philadelphia - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Pittsburgh - 3 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties, 1 Undecided
San Diego - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
San Francisco - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
St. Louis - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Washington - 2 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties, 1 Undecided

Notes:

The Diamondbacks face four lefties next week, which should help <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3105">Eric Byrnes bust out of his slump: he's hit lefties 22 points better than righties in the last 2+ years. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1341">Conor Jackson should also benefit as he's hit .302 against lefties in the past three years. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3947">Chris Snyder is hitting .294 off lefties this season, and <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3950"><A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194">Chris Young is hitting .327 off them, making both a solid play.

The Cubs will face three lefties, which means that <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3657">Reed Johnson should a few starts. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2375">Derrek Lee is hitting .349 off lefties this season, and <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2727">Alfonso Soriano is hitting .375. That's important information for those of you in three team leagues. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4295">Ryan Theriot is hitting .378 off lefties this season, so he makes a solid start.

Milwaukee has four starts against lefties, and while <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2138">Mike Cameron hasn't gotten a hit of a lefty yet this season, he's hit 32 points better off them over the past three seasons. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3531">Bill Hall has hit .300 off lefties over the last three years. Corey hart is hitting .314 off them in that same period.

The Mets face three lefties, and <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1605">Moises Alou has hit an impressive .361 against lefties over the past three years. With <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2286">Luis Castillo out, <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1760">Damion Easley should see significant playing time, and he's hit .309 off lefties in the past three years.

Washington also has three games against lefties next week, which is good news for <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4155">Ryan Zimmerman (.330 career vs. LHP) and <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3391">Austin Kearns (.293 vs. LHP last 3 years). Christian Guzman has hit just .210 versus lefties in the past three years, but he's hitting .367 in 60 at-bats against them this season.

[SIZE=+1]The Injury Bug[/SIZE]

For the latest on injuries, check out Rotoworld's handy <A href="http://rotoworld.com/content/injuries.asp?sport=MLB">Injury Page.

<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3525">Chone Figgins ? 3B ? Could return by end of week
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1510">John Smoltz ? SP/RP ? Could return by end of week
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2108">Jason Isringhausen ? RP ? Went on 15-day disabled list
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3293">Kyle Lohse ? SP ? Day-to-day with sore shoulder
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2865">Doug Davis ? SP ? Should return on Friday
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2960">Rafael Furcal ? SS ? Could return on Wednesday, more likely Friday
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2107">Joe Borowski ? RP ? Should return on Friday
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3237">Jack Wilson ? SS ? Could return by end of week
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1981">Alex Rodriguez ? SS ? Should return Tuesday
<A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2363">Bartolo Colon ? SP ? Should start on Tuesday


[SIZE=+1]Waiver Wired[/SIZE]

For this week's top waiver adds, read my opinion in this week's <A href="http://rotoworld.com/content/column.asp?sport=MLB&columnid=9&article=30373">Waiver Wired.

AL

1. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3308">Justin Duchscherer
2. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4368">Kenji Johjima
3. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1838">Eddie Guardado
4. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1677">Mike Mussina
5. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4214">Matt Garza

NL

1. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2793">Ryan Franklin
2. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3049">Bronson Arroyo
3. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4196">Jay Bruce
4. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4415">Chase Headley
5. <A href="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2435">Mark Kotsay
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

AL Potential Callups

Sorry about the lack of a column last week. I was on the road, and though I still planned to get something done, it didn't work out. This weekend's columns will look at potential in-season callups. It's the usual drill: AL today, NL on Monday.

American League Potential Callups

Baltimore - The Orioles have added Freddie Bynum (from the DL) and Alex Cintron in an attempt to shore up their infield. Bynum is clearly the better short-term bet of the two, though if he fails defensively at shortstop, he could find himself replaced by Cintron within a month. At the moment, Bynum is the one worth grabbing in AL-only leagues. ? Scott Moore is struggling mightily with a .172 average in 87 at-bats in Triple, but he still has a real shot at taking over at first, third or DH later this year when the Orioles look to move veterans. With his 20-homer power, he's a fine bet to have value in the second half. ? Both Hayden Penn and Radhames Liz have ERAs right around 5.00 in Triple-A. The two figure to get looks later on, but Single-A Frederick left-hander Jake Arrieta is at least as much of a sleeper as either for this year. ? The Orioles may need a closer in the second half if George Sherrill is traded, but Jim Hoey is done due to a shoulder injury and Bob McCrory just flopped in his first major league trial. Liz would be interesting if moved to the pen, but it doesn't currently look like any of Baltimore's minor league relievers will have fantasy value this year. ? 2007 first-rounder Matt Wieters could be up for the first time in September, but probably not before. One of the game's best prospects, he should be ready to take over for Ramon Hernandez next spring.

Boston - Jed Lowrie was returned to Triple-A last week, but recent events suggest that he has a very realistic chance of overtaking Julio Lugo for the starting job at shortstop in the second half. He hit .310/.340/.476 in 42 at-bats during his time in the majors, and he was looking like a far more reliable defender than Lugo. He'd be nice to have on reserve in AL-only leagues. ? Bartolo Colon is hardly a prospect, but he probably will be up to join the rotation before he can opt out of his deal on June 1. Clay Buchholz's DL assignment has already opened up a spot. Colon is back throwing in the mid-90s on occasion, so he might be an option in mixed leagues once he gets his shot. ? The Red Sox will also have both Justin Masterson and Michael Bowden available if needed. Ideally, they wouldn't have to put either in the rotation with Colon and maybe Curt Schilling on the way back. However, Masterson could make a real impact as a reliever come August. His hard sinker has the potential to make him a force once through a lineup.

Chicago - The White Sox haven't needed any replacement starters so far, but Lance Broadway will surely be called on at some point. The 2005 first-round pick is 5-1 with a 1.67 ERA, 40 H and 29/16 K/BB in 54 IP for Triple-A Charlotte. His stuff is underwhelming, but he's made enough progress against left-handers that he should be able to hold his own as a fourth or fifth starter. ? Off to less impressive starts are Jack Egbert (6.33 ERA in 21 1/3 IP) and knuckleballer Charlie Haeger (6.04 ERA in 50 2/3 IP). I had Egbert as a better sleeper than Broadway for this year, but it might be 2009 before he's ready to contribute. ? Josh Fields is on the DL with a knee injury, but he's certainly not to be forgotten about. Should his break come, his power would make him an option in mixed leagues in the second half. ? The White Sox also figure to go back to Jerry Owens at some point, though it will probably be as a fourth outfielder. His speed would give him a little value if he starts twice per week. ? Chris Getz is available in Triple-A if Juan Uribe is released, but he can't offer much speed or power. Danny Richar will be the more intriguing option for fantasy purposes once he returns from a fractured rib.

Cleveland - The Indians have already reached down to Triple-A for two of the team's three minor leaguers that seemed likely to have some fantasy value this year. Ben Francisco replaced Jason Michaels and should prove to be worth using in AL-only leagues while playing over David Dellucci versus lefties and sharing time against right-handers with Franklin Gutierrez. Aaron Laffey is filling in for the injured Jake Westbrook and doing a great job. Too bad he's due to lose the spot at the end of the month anyway. ? Also at Buffalo is Josh Barfield, but he's hitting just .250/.290/.384 while attempting to bounce back from an ugly 2007. A good start would have put him in position to capitalize on Asdrubal Cabrera's struggles, but it doesn't look like he'll be a factor anytime soon. ? The Indians called up Jeremy Sowers to make a spot start last week after their doubleheader Monday, but he's seventh on the SP depth chart right now. Adam Miller is eighth, making him a long shot to contribute.

Detroit - While it looked like the farm system was empty after the Miguel Cabrera and Edgar Renteria trades, the Tigers have already gotten contributions from Armando Galarraga, Clete Thomas and Matt Joyce, plus they still have sluggers Mike Hessman, Jeff Larish and Brent Clevlen at Triple-A. Hessman is no prospect, but the 30-year-old is hitting .299 and leading the minor leagues in homers with 18. Larish is batting .287/380/.586 with 12 bombs. Clevlen is hitting .293/.373/.531. All three do whiff a lot, but there's still the potential for fantasy value from each. Larish is the most interesting. The Tigers should give him a shot at DH if they ever lose Gary Sheffield to the DL. He wouldn't hit for average, but his power is for real and he'd draw a fair number of walks. ? Mike Hollimon has nice power for a middle infielder and could be called up to occupy a utility role if someone gets hurt. Realistically, it'll probably be 2009 before he's a candidate for fantasy value. ? There's less of interest on Toledo's pitching staff. Blaine Neal and Ian Ostlund could be serviceable relievers, but that's it. Virgil Vasquez is the most promising of the team's starters, but he has a 7.08 ERA this year. Yorman Bazardo may get another chance at some point.

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Kansas City - The Royals haven't seen many of their position prospects step up this year. One exception is infielder Mike Aviles, who has been straddling the borderline between prospect and non-prospect for years. The 27-year-old is batting .350/.378/.644 in 143 at-bats for Triple-A Omaha. He's not more than a stopgap at short, but since he can hold his own at second and third, he could still make it as a utilityman. It will take an injury to give him a chance. ? The opportunity was there for Ryan Shealy because of Ross Gload's poor start, but he's hitting .222/.300/.470 in Triple-A and is currently hurt. Until he gets his OBP up, there will be no reason to give him a chance. ? Shane Costa and Mitch Maier both have OPSs over 900, but they'll be nothing more than mediocre reserves. ? On the pitching side, the Royals still have Kyle Davies (4-2, 2.43 ERA) looking for an opening. He deserves a chance to overtake Brett Tomko, but he'd be a poor bet in AL-only leagues. ? Carlos Rosa and the injured Daniel Cortes are candidates to move from Double-A to the majors this year. Rosa has a 1.20 ERA in eight starts for Northwest Arkansas. Cortes just returned from a strained quad. Both will be better sleepers for 2009.

Los Angeles - Salt Lake has been the most successful club in the PCL by a wide margin, and the Angels have been shuffling players up and down all year. The team's most interesting players are up now or were recently: RHP Nick Adenhart, SS/3B [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1351"]Brandon Wood[/URL], 2B Sean Rodriguez, 1B Kendry Morales, RHP Jose Arredondo, 3B Matt Brown and C Bobby Wilson. No one in the group is all that likely to have fantasy value this season unless traded. Wood and Morales would seem to have the best chance of starting for another team during the final two months. Wood isn't ready yet, but as a regular, he'd probably have some fantasy value. ? Yet to receive a look is [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3427"]Nick Green[/URL]. He's a long shot to make it as a long-term starter, but he probably would have been a better short-term option than Adenhart as a replacement for John Lackey. ? Outfielder Terry Evans has speed and power, but little on-base ability. The Angels have no need for him, but he's another player who could be traded. He's likely to end up as a fourth or fifth outfielder, but there is the chance that he'll get a starting gig elsewhere in the second half. ? While many thought he'd end up there eventually, it was still a surprise to see Stephen Marek moved to the pen this spring. He has a 2.81 ERA in 16 innings for Double-A Arkansas. It's possible he'll debut as a middle reliever later on.

Minnesota - Even beyond Francisco Liriano, the Twins are loaded with potential rotation alternatives. They've already turned to Glen Perkins, yet they still have Philip Humber, Kevin Mulvey and Brian Duensing at Triple-A and Anthony Swarzak at Double-A. Humber looked like the first alternate for the rotation at the end of the spring, but he has posted a 5.09 ERA and struck out just 22 in 40 2/3 innings this season. Mulvey has better numbers and looks like the more intriguing option at this point. Swarzak has the most upside of the group, but he's the least likely to get a chance this year. ? Potential offensive help is harder to find. Alexi Casilla is already up, but he had a 600 OPS at Triple-A and was caught stealing three times in seven attempts. Brian Buscher is essentially the same player as Mike Lamb, right down to the subpar defense at third. Jason Pridie has disappointed with a .236/.289/.327 line for Rochester. The one player at Rochester seemingly likely to have value later on is Denard Span, who has taken a huge step forward with his .364/.462/.523 start. He's also 14-for-17 as a basestealer. The 2002 first-round pick still doesn't project as a starter, but he appeared very unlikely to have any career in the majors at all as recently as a year ago. He'll be a candidate to start in the outfield if someone gets hurt.

New York - The pool of hitters for the Yankees to choose from is shallow. Speedy outfielder Brett Gardner will come in handy as a pinch-runner and defensive replacement in September and should be a strong candidate for the postseason roster if the Yankees advance, but he'd likely struggle if pressed into regular duty. Jason Lane is available if needed, but he's hitting just .236/.331/.444 in Triple-A. First baseman Juan Miranda is at .267/.398/.410 in 105 AB at the same level. That he's walking more than he's striking out is a good sign, but he's still probably a year away from being a realistic option at first. If the Bombers need a bat in July, they'll probably have to trade for it. ? Fortunately, the Yankees have plenty of young pitching both to try this year and to trade if necessary. They have two starters in Triple-A (Steven White and veteran Dan Giese) and three in Double-A (Daniel McCutchen, Chase Wright and Jason Jones) with ERAs under 3.00. That doesn't even count Alan Horne, who is making his way back from a biceps strain. McCutchen is probably the best sleeper for this year, with Horne right behind. ? I'm not even going to try to list all of the probably major league relievers the Yankees have at their top two affiliates, but do watch for David Robertson. I don't think the much-hyped Mark Melancon will be of any use this year.

Oakland - The A's may have the game's deepest farm system after their moves last winter, but there isn't all that much short-term help available. Carlos Gonzalez, who nearly made the team out of spring training before the A's smartly reconsidered, is hitting .290/.345/.411 in between injuries at Sacramento. There's still a good chance he'll get a shot this year, but it probably won't happen before August. Travis Buck will likely receive another opportunity first. ? Second baseman Kevin Melillo is batting .294/.368/.480 in his second year in Triple-A. As long as he keeps hitting, he'll be the probable choice to take over at second if Mark Ellis is traded. A left-handed hitter with modest power, he might be a platoon player. ? One of the biggest surprises in the minors this year has been third baseman Jesus Guzman. A refugee from the Mariners system, he's hitting .353/.399/.555 in 173 at-bats at Double-A Midland. There's a slight chance he'd be a look at third in the second half if Eric Chavez ends up having a lost year. ? The pitchers to watch for are Gio Gonzalez and James Simmons. Gonzalez has a 4.85 ERA and a 30/22 K/BB ratio in 39 IP in Triple-A, so he's not ready yet. However, he'll likely step it up sometime soon. Simmons, a polished 2007 first-rounder, has a 2.93 ERA and a 31/8 K/BB ratio in 40 IP at Midland. He lacks Gonzalez's upside, but in such a favorable ballpark, he'd be interesting in AL-only leagues if he gets his shot. ? High-upside righties [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1739"]Henry Rodriguez[/URL] and Trevor Cahill are still a year away.

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Seattle - Seattle has already called up its two potential impact players in Jeff Clement and Wladimir Balentien. Balentien is off to the better start, but Clement still should prove to be the better hitter in the end. He should be looked at as a No. 2 catcher in mixed leagues once he qualifies at the position. ? The cupboard is pretty much bare after those two. Former major leaguers Jeremy Reed and Victor Diaz are producing in Triple-A and might be candidates for callups if they can stay hot. Reed, though, doesn't figure to have any fantasy value unless traded. Bryan LaHair could put up Richie Sexson-type numbers if needed, but we're talking 2007-08 Sexson. Middle infielder Oswaldo Navarro has a nice glove, but no power or speed at all. ? On the pitching side, there's Ryan Feierabend and R.A. Dickey. Feierabend has been a big flop as a major leaguer, but he's sporting a 1.67 ERA in seven starts at Triple-A Tacoma right now. The Mariners could consider shaking things up by sending Miguel Batista to the pen and adding Feierabend to the rotation. They'd have Dickey as a fallback if it didn't work out. Dickey, a conventional pitcher turned knuckleballer, could serve as an innings-eating fifth starter.

Tampa Bay - It figured that at least one of the Rays' pitching phenoms would contribute this season, but David Price is just now getting ready to return from a strained elbow suffered in spring training and neither Wade Davis nor Jake McGee has dominated in Double-A. Also, their No. 4 pitching prospect, Jeff Niemann, is having more shoulder troubles. As a result, Jason Hammel and J.P. Howell would seem to be the next two starters on the depth chart. Price and Davis may yet become options in September. ? It's also been a rough year for the team's position prospects beyond Evan Longoria. Reid Brignac and Joel Guzman have OPSs in the low-700s in Triple-A, and a frustrated John Jaso is at 722 after being asked to repeat Double-A. Outfielder Desmond Jennings has yet to play because of a back injury. If the Rays need offensive help, they'll have to turn to more veteran players. Justin Ruggiano appears ready to contribute as a part-timer. The outfielder is hitting .338/.424/.620 in 71 at-bats for Triple-A Durham. Dan Johnson is looking like nice insurance with an 1119 OPS in his 73 at-bats. The Rays would have to make a trade should they lose a middle infielder. Second baseman Elliot Johnson had a strong spring, but he's not a major leaguer.

Texas - The Rangers have already called on Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Brandon Boggs, Chris Shelton, German Duran, Doug Mathis and A.J. Murray. Still, they're not lacking for more choices. Chris Davis, who is currently hitting .331/.379/.591, seems likely to end the season as the Rangers' first baseman, though there's no reason to call him up yet. By Aug. 1, he should prove worthy of an extended opportunity. His potential 35-homer power makes him one of the AL's top fantasy prospects. ? [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1390"]Nelson Cruz[/URL] has been an awesome force in Triple-A, hitting .347/.477/.694, so he could get one more shot before the Rangers count him out for good. Former first-rounder John Mayberry Jr. never put up great numbers in Double-A, but he's hitting .328/.366/.657 since replacing Boggs in Triple-A. I doubt he'll help this year, but the opportunity could be there if Marlon Byrd gets traded and/or Josh Hamilton lands on the DL. ? Taylor Teagarden is probably the game's No. 2 catching prospect behind Wieters, but he's a long shot to contribute unless the Rangers give up on Salty as a catcher (very unlikely). ? Top pitching prospect Eric Hurley has a 6.80 ERA despite a 52/19 K/BB ratio in 47 2/3 IP at Triple-A. That's because he's allowed 11 homers. He'll probably debut in July or August, but he shouldn't have any fantasy value at first. ? Warner Madrigal, a gift from the Angels over the winter, is showing closer potential out of the pen. He's not going to have any fantasy value this year, but he could be worst stashing away anyway.

Toronto - Adam Lind found himself back in Triple-A after going 1-for-19 for the Jays, but he still figures to be an upgrade over Shannon Stewart versus right-handers once he gets a real opportunity. He's going to have value in AL-only leagues at some point. ? One would never know how much progress David Purcey has made this year by looking at his major league results. After getting lit up in his spot start Friday and sent back down, he might be bypassed next time the Jays need an additional starter. If that's the case, perhaps converted reliever John Parrish would get a look. Parrish has a 3.32 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings for Triple-A Syracuse. ? Catcher-infielder Curtis Thigpen is hitting just .195/.223/.285 in 123 at-bats in Triple-A. Singles hitter Robinzon Diaz has surpassed Thigpen as a catching prospect, though he's just a future backup. ? 2007 first-rounder Brett Cecil is being groomed as a starter, but he could be of use to the Jays as a reliever if the team is in contention in the second half. ? 2006 first-rounder Travis Snider is rising awfully quickly and could get a September callup. However, fantasy value probably won't come right away.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Cliff Lee is Human

Cliff Lee and Edinson Volquez faced off Sunday in an interleague matchup pitting the AL's best against the NL's best. Lee came into the game 6-0 with an absurd 0.67 ERA, allowing zero runs in five of his seven starts to qualify as the single biggest surprise in all of baseball. Unfortunately, the Reds got to him for six runs?five earned?and handed Lee his first defeat of the season, more than doubling his ERA to a still-spectacular 1.37.

Volquez also struggled a bit, walking four batters, throwing just 66 of his 111 pitches for strikes, and allowing more than one earned run for the first time all year, but still picked up his seventh win and moved past Lee for the MLB-leading ERA at 1.33. ERAs below 1.50 both pitchers will obviously be coming back down to earth soon enough and selling high is never an especially bad idea, but Lee and Volquez have each pitched well enough that they're far from flukes.

Interestingly, both Lee and Volquez have found tremendous success this season in large part because they've gone from being fly-ball pitchers to ground-ball pitchers. Lee has induced nearly 50 percent ground balls while posting a 46-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 59.1 innings, while Volquez has induced 55 percent ground balls while compiling a 62-to-30 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 54.1 innings. Selling high makes sense, but neither pitcher is likely to truly implode.

While Lee allows more runs Sunday afternoon than he had in his first seven starts of the season combined, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Jake Peavy hasn't been quite himself this month, going 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA despite a still-solid 22-to-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio in three starts. He explained those struggles Sunday, revealing that he's been pitching through elbow soreness for several weeks. Peavy has been scratched from his scheduled start Monday and will instead spend the day being examined by team doctors. Further details about his injury should emerge Monday night, but for now it certainly doesn't sound good.

"It's not like a normal soreness," Peavy said. "Your arm is sore all the time, but I do feel some of it in the elbow and that's always a cause for concern. We don't know how big, but it's always better to be safe than sorry." At minimum a trip to the disabled list seems likely, but hopefully Peavy didn't cause further damage by pitching through the soreness. Wilfredo Ledezma will face the Cardinals in Peavy's place Monday, at Petco Park.

* [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] ended April on an 18-game homerless streak, but May has been a much different story for the reigning NL Rookie of the Year. Braun took Josh Beckett deep twice Sunday, giving him 10 homers and a ridiculous .833 slugging percentage in 17 games so far this month. Sunday marked Braun's 156th career game and he's hit .314/.356/.622 with 47 homers, 40 doubles, 132 RBIs, 115 runs, and 16 steals, although the 148/37 K/BB ratio leaves something to be desired.

* Remember when people were concerned about David Ortiz's slow start? Ortiz went 3-for-5 with a double and two homers Sunday, making him 35-for-105 (.333) with nine homers, 33 RBIs, and 21 runs over 26 games dating back to mid-April. Despite beginning the year in a brutal 7-for-63 (.111) slump, he's now tied for the league lead with 10 homers and is on pace to drive in 140 runs. Ortiz's OPS is on the rise, but even at "only" .836 ranks 14th among AL hitters.

* Like Ortiz, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2353"]Jose Guillen[/URL] has recovered nicely from a season-opening funk. Just 13-for-80 (.163) with one homer after 21 games, Guillen has gone 26-for-79 (.329) with four homers and 21 RBIs over a 20-game span beginning on April 24. He went 2-for-4 with a homer while driving in four runs Sunday, giving him a 10-game hitting streak during which he's batted an even .500 with 10 extra-base hits and 15 RBIs.

AL Quick Hits: Alex Rodriguez went 5-for-15 with a homer and five walks in a simulated game Sunday and remains on track to come off the shelf when eligible Tuesday ? Josh Hamilton left Saturday's game because of exhaustion and was out of the starting lineup Sunday, but felt strong enough to ground out as a pinch-hitter ? Chone Figgins (hamstring) looks likely to skip a minor-league rehab assignment and return from the disabled list when eligible Tuesday, but manager Mike Scioscia said Saturday that Howie Kendrick (hamstring) "isn't quite ready" ? Thanks to run support, Josh Beckett picked up his fifth victory Sunday despite serving up four homers while allowing six runs ? Jason Bartlett collected two hits Friday and four more Saturday, but was scratched from the lineup Sunday with flu-like symptoms ? Starting behind the plate Sunday for the eighth time in 11 games, Mike Napoli went 3-for-4 with two homers and five RBIs ? With their rotation in flux, the Red Sox are expected to give Tuesday's start to Justin Masterson and then go with Bartolo Colon on Wednesday ... For all Delmon Young's supposed power potential, he still hasn't homered for the Twins.

NL Quick Hits: Roy Oswalt left Saturday's game with a hip injury and said Sunday that his status for this week's start is uncertain ? Matt Cain came into Sunday having allowed six homers in nine starts, but served up a career-high four long balls versus the White Sox ? Released by the Tigers, Jacque Jones is reportedly close to signing with the Marlins as their new starting center fielder ? After beginning the year 18-for-18 swiping bases, Michael Bourn was caught on three straight steal attempts over the weekend ? Pitching on three days' rest Sunday, Derek Lowe was rocked by the Angels for seven runs and hasn't turned in a Quality Start since April 12 ? Brian Wilson remains 12-for-14 closing games, but his ERA ballooned to 5.09 after allowing four runs in a non-save situation Sunday ? Jeff Francis picked up his first win of the season Sunday, holding the Twins to a pair of runs over 6.1 innings at Coors Field ? After notching a walk-off single in his big-league debut, Paul Janish made his first start Sunday and went 3-for-3 with a walk.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

NL Potential Callups

We're looking at potential NL in-season callups this week. I'll go back to the usual notes next week in advance of the June rankings the following Monday.

National League Notes

Arizona - The Diamondbacks have already turned to No. 1 prospect Max Scherzer, though he could return to the minors this week if Doug Davis is activated. Scherzer would likely get another chance next time an injury strikes, so NL-only leaguers will definitely want to hold on to him. ? Beyond Scherzer, Arizona doesn't have many players with upside in the high minors. While catcher-infielder Jamie D'Antona might be an upgrade over Robby Hammock, he's just a potential bench player. Trot Nixon is hitting .321/.461/.571 at Tucson, but it's been nearly two years since he last produced in the majors. Singles hitter Alex Romero would be an adequate fifth outfielder. Second baseman Emilio Bonifacio is a possible replacement for Orlando Hudson next year, but he needs to do quite a bit better than his current .286/.331/.438 line. Fortunately, the Diamondbacks shouldn't need any additional offensive help after [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] returns. ? Yusmeiro Petit is seventh or eighth on the SP depth chart, depending on where one puts [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=5551"]Edgar Gonzalez[/URL]. He'd probably have a solid WHIP if needed, but the home run balls would take a toll on his ERA. ? Esmerling Vasquez had a big setback last fall when he suffered a torn labrum diving for a ball in the AFL. He's pitching in Triple-A now, but it's doubtful that he'll contribute this year.

Atlanta - It was hoped that Brandon Jones would open the season as Matt Diaz's platoon partner, but he struggled in spring training and isn't impressing while hitting .276/.354/.400 for Triple-A Richmond. If his bat comes alive, Atlanta still might try to take advantage of his 15-20 homer power. However, his chances of making an impact this year have declined. ? Brent Lillibridge would gladly trade stats with Jones. He's hitting .183/.244/.248 in 109 AB in Triple-A. The speedster doesn't appear to have a future at shortstop with the Braves, but he's still playing the position in the minors. A shift to center field would make sense. ? Scott Thorman is hitting .258/.288/.388, so even if Mark Teixeira landed on the DL, the Braves probably wouldn't call him up. ? John Anderson is batting .275/.318/.323. The team made the right call by picking Gregor Blanco over him. ? Jordan Schafer was supposed to be a fallback in center field this year, but he's still serving his 50-game hGH ban. ? The Braves' top remaining pitching prospect, Tommy Hanson, just made his first Double-A start after posting a 0.90 ERA in seven starts in the Carolina League. He's still a long shot for this year, but an August or September promotion can't be completely ruled out. ? Charlie Morton is more advanced and is currently sporting a 1.69 ERA in 48 innings for Richmond. He's probably going to be a long-term reliever, but some short-term success would be a possibility if he's needed in the rotation. atlantabraves.com

Chicago - Rich Hill will be back to join the Cubs' rotation once his command problems are ironed out and should have considerable value once it happens. Sean Marshall might not be so lucky. If the Cubs hadn't moved him to the pen, he could be occupying the rotation spot that Sean Gallagher is currently filling. However, be the time there was an opening, he wasn't stretched out enough to be a realistic option. He's back starting games now, but he's no higher than seventh or eighth on the depth chart. ? The Cubs just called up first baseman Micah Hoffpauir to fill in for Daryle Ward, but pinch-hitting is the only role they have for him. Hoffpauir established himself as a top Triple-A slugger last year and was the Cubs' best hitter during spring training, but he's not much of an option in the outfield and there's little opportunity for him there anyway. ? Matt Murton obviously needs a trade. The Cubs wouldn't even use him when Alfonso Soriano got hurt. ? Eric Patterson could also use one. The Cubs don't see him as a second baseman, and Felix Pie is still the better prospect in center. Patterson has on-base ability plus very good speed, and he'd likely be an asset in fantasy leagues if given an opportunity elsewhere in the second half. ? Neal Cotts (2.31 ERA, 26/9 K/BB in 21 1/3 IP for Iowa), Kevin Hart (2.53 ERA in 10 2/3 IP since demotion) and Jose Ascanio (2.08 ERA, 23/8 K/BB in 21 2/3 IP) are bullpen possibilities.

Cincinnati - Jay Bruce and Homer Bailey are still awaiting their opportunities. Had Ryan Freel not stepped up, Bruce might have gotten the call already. He's hitting .359/.390/.654 with nine homers and eight steals for Triple-A Louisville. He still figures to be a long-term right fielder, but he's fast enough to handle center field for now and he probably would be an upgrade right away, though I doubt he'll excel right from the start. He does swing at a lot of bad pitches. Of course, once he gets the call, he'll be worth playing in all formats. Even if he doesn't hit for average, the power and speed will give him plenty of value. ? Bailey has struggled recently after an outstanding April. Still, he should be two strong outings away from joining the Reds' rotation. If his command holds up, as it has in Triple-A for most of the year, he'll be of use in NL-only leagues. ? Paul Janish, who was called up after Jeff Keppinger got hurt, had a nice game in his first start Sunday and should be worth using in NL-only leagues this week. ? Outfielder Chris Dickerson will probably be up in September as a defensive replacement and pinch-runner. ? Double-A Chattanooga's Daryl Thompson has broken through with a 1.63 ERA in nine starts. He's unlikely to be ready to help this year, but he's turned into a legitimate prospect. ? Josh Roenicke is a potential setup man and should see time with the Reds as a middle reliever in the second half.

Colorado - If the Rockies had any additional starting pitchers in the minors, they'd call them up. Josh Towers will probably get a look at some point, but he has a 6.06 ERA right now. That's still better than Victor Zambrano's 9.62 mark. Brandon Hynick, the best pitching prospect left at the higher levels following Greg Reynolds' promotion, is at 5.33 in Double-A. The Rockies are going to have to bring in outside help at some point. ? The Rockies do have advanced hitting in Triple-A. Ian Stewart is hitting .282/.376/.638 with 12 homers. Seth Smith would be a fine reserve if a spot opened up. He's batting .333/.454/.543. Long-time first base prospect Joe Koshansky is hitting .269/.358/.510. Center fielder Chris Sullivan is at .312/.373/.475. Even Jayson Nix is hitting .271/.379/.500 since being sent down. Still, no one from the group is a particularly good bet in NL-only leagurs. Stewart would hit for power if traded or if Garrett Atkins landed on the DL, but batting average could be a problem. Nix might get one more chance at second base, but he's probably never going to hit in the majors. ? 2007 first-round pick Casey Weathers has a 1.62 ERA and a 14/8 K/BB ratio in 16 2/3 innings as a setup man in Double-A. If the team remains in contention, there's a good chance he'll debut in the bullpen in August or September.

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Florida - The Marlins have plenty of hitters with quality numbers at Triple-A Albuqerque, but their most promising talents are in Double-A. Right-handers Chris Volstad and Ryan Tucker are about to become rotation options with the super-two "deadline" about to pass. Volstad is 3-1 with a 2.79 ERA, 47 H and 40/22 K/BB in 58 IP. Tucker is 2-2 with a 1.03 ERA, 35 H and 47/19 K/BB in 52 1/3 IP. Volstad remains the better prospect of the two despite weaker numbers. That's because he generates so many grounders with his sinker. Tucker is also very talented, but he's not quite as much of a sleeper for this year. Volstad will be worth trying in NL-only leagues as soon as he's called up. ? Rick VandenHurk also likely will get another chance to start if he can overcome his arm troubles. ? Cameron Maybin is hitting .243/.377/.403 with a 56/29 K/BB ratio in 144 at-bats. He remains a monster talent, but the Marlins clearly had the right idea when they sent him down before the end of the spring. That Jacque Jones is set to arrive further decreases the chances that Maybin will be of use in fantasy leagues this year. ? Former Angel Dallas McPherson is the most interesting player at Albuquerque. He's hitting .283/.388/.591 with 12 homers in an environment very favorable for hitters. OBP would be a big problem in the majors -- he's fanned 56 times in 37 minor league games -- but he would hit a homer per week if the Marlins went to him. He'd also play better defense at third than Jorge Cantu.

Houston - The Astros left themselves with little in the way of insurance with their offseason moves. J.R. House is the best of the veteran bats at Triple-A Round Rock. He could serve as a backup at first base and a third catcher if called up to act primarily as a pinch-hitter. Reggie Abercrombie and Nick Gorneault would be uninspired choices as fifth outfielders. In Double-A are middle infielders Tommy Manzella and Drew Sutton. Manzella would serve as a poor man's Adam Everett in the event of a Miguel Tejada injury. Sutton has stepped up with a .326/.429/.517 line, making him look like a legitimate fallback at second base. ? Jack Cassel and Josh Muecke are the starters at Round Rock. The 28-year-old Cassel could get a callup this week if Roy Oswalt (hip) can't go Thursday, but his stuff is below average. Muecke, a 26-year-old lefty, is a little more interesting. He has a 3.06 ERA in 53 innings. It's doubtful he'll be a long-term starter, but he'd probably have a better chance of surprising for a month or two than Cassel. ? Sinkerballer Brad James has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in Double-A. It's hard to imagine him being an asset this year. ? Fernando Nieve was called up last week to act as a reliever. With allergies, asthma and a deviated septum affecting his stamina, he's set to spend the rest of the year in the pen.

Los Angeles - Besides Bruce, Clayton Kershaw is the prospect fantasy leaguers are waiting for. However, the 20-year-old has averaged right around five innings per start in the minors and still has well below average command. He might be as tough to hit as any pitcher in the league once his chance comes, but his debut could look a lot like Chad Billingsley's in 2006 (3.80 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 58 walks in 90 IP). ? Andy LaRoche is the Dodgers' best third baseman and is still likely to get a chance to prove it at some point. He's hitting .319/.515/.596 with a 5/20 K/BB ratio in 47 AB in Triple-A. ? Jonathan Meloan has been tried as a starter at Las Vegas with positive results (3.73 ERA, 40/23 K/BB ratio in 41 IP). However, he still projects as a major league setup man. ? Eric Stults is a capable lefty swingman, but there's been no mention of going to him despite the Dodgers' fifth-starter woes. ? James McDonald, the Dodgers' No. 2 SP prospect, has a 4.26 ERA and a 45/11 K/BB in 44 1/3 IP in Double-A. He's behind Kershaw on the depth chart at this time. ? Jason Repko remains a legitimate reserve outfielder if the Dodgers ever find they need one of those.

Milwaukee - When the Brewers weighed calling up someone to help in the DH role over the weekend, they looked at Mat Gamel over Matt LaPorta. Both have 1000+ OPSs in Double-A, but Gamel has been the better of the two. He's hitting .372/.432/.657. Unfortunately, he's such a butcher at third base that he probably wouldn't get a look there no matter how badly Bill Hall slumps. ? LaPorta would probably join Gamel on the roster in September if the Brewers are in contention. However, neither top prospect figures to have fantasy value this year. ? At .368/.449/.706, Russell Branyan has dominated PCL pitching for Nashville. Still, there's been little demand for services for years and that may not change anytime soon. ? The Brewers have three struggling starters, but they lack any great choices to replace them. Jeff Weaver has a 6.35 ERA in his four starts since joining Nashville. Soft-tosser Mark DiFelice was just called up as a middle reliever. He'll fool some hitters, but he's probably not going to work out as a starter. Lefty Chris Narveson might be the best hope among Nashville's starters, but he's nothing more than a fringe guy. For that reason, the Brewers could go down to Double-A to get Steve Hammond. The lefty has bounced back from a poor 2007 to strike out 58 in 51 2/3 innings this season. He's probably not ready yet, but he does qualify as a deep sleeper. ? Following an awful start, Luis Pena has a 0.90 ERA in his last 10 appearances for Nashville. He has a closer-type fastball, and while the rest of his game doesn't measure up, he still could help the Brewers as a short reliever.

New York - The Mets would prefer to simply get Pedro Martinez and Orlando Hernandez back and not have to go back to the minors for more pitching help, but Tony Armas Jr. is performing very well of late and could be a part of some team's rotation beginning next month. He has a 2.63 ERA and a 41/12 K/BB ratio in 54 2/3 innings for Triple-A New Orleans. Still, it'd be a reach to believe that he'll have any fantasy value. ? Left-hander Jon Niese is likely a year away. He has a 4.19 ERA in Double-A. ? It's unlikely that the Mets will call up any hitters with the intention of giving them significant roles. They do have Val Pascucci knocking the stuffing out of the ball in Triple-A (.297, seven homers in 64 at-bats), but putting up overwhelming minor league numbers hasn't done Pascucci any good in the past. In Double-A are first basemen Mike Carp (.328/.378/.534) and Nick Evans (.293/.353/.547). Both are interesting -- Carp especially -- but neither would be an ideal replacement for Carlos Delgado in the middle of a pennant race. ? No. 1 prospect Fernando Martinez was hitting .280/.314/.408 in Double-A before going down last week with a hamstring injury. newyorkmets.com

Philadelphia - Not much to see here. The Phillies don't have any top prospects at Triple-A Lehigh Valley. Lefty J.A. Happ is the best of the bunch. He has a 3.16 ERA and a 61/25 K/BB ratio in 51 1/3 IP, but the Phillies have still soured on him somewhat. As a flyball pitcher with poor command, he'd be a poor bet at Citizens Bank Park. ? Both J.D. Durbin and Travis Blackley have gotten lit up in Triple-A, and Blackley is currently on the DL with a groin strain. ? The Phillies are a little better off in Double-A. Right-handers Carlos Carrasco and Antonio Bastardo are fine pitching prospects. Carrasco hasn't moved as quickly as hoped, but that's because expectations were too high. He has a 3.94 ERA and a 50/20 K/BB ratio in 48 IP at the moment. Bastardo moved up from Single-A Clearwater earlier this month. Between the two levels, he has a 1.86 ERA and a 62/15 K/BB ratio in 48 1/3 IP. He's a definite candidate to jump to the majors in the second half, though he's not such a good bet that NL-only leaguers should stash him away just yet. ? Shortstop Jason Donald would make more sense than second baseman Brad Harman as a callup if the Phillies ever lose another outfielder. He's hitting .291/.405/.400 in Double-A, and he projects as either a decent starter at second of a very good utilityman. ? Lefties Josh Outman and Fabio Castro recently moved to the pen in Double-A. The Phillies will likely give one of the two an opportunity before long.

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Pittsburgh - The Pirates figure to move either Jason Bay or Xavier Nady, if not both, at the deadline to make room for someone from the group of Andrew McCutchen, Steve Pearce and Nyjer Morgan. Pearce appeared to be first in line, but the slugger is hitting just .253/.303/.401 for Triple-A Indianapolis. With a .285/.382/.455 line, McCutchen has displayed the greater power of the two. If the Pirates traded both veterans, the could go to McCutchen in center, with Nate McLouth moving to left, and Pearce in right. I still think Pearce has the better chance of amassing fantasy value this year, but the gap has closed. ? Third baseman Neil Walker hasn't capitalized on [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3803"]Jose Bautista[/URL]'s struggles. He's hitting .205/.252/.411 and is 0-for-5 stealing bases. Still, if he does heat up, he could finish the season as a starter for the Pirates. ? Veteran outfielder Kevin Thompson should have had the spot that went to Morgan at the start of the year. However, he remains buried following the acquisition of Jason Michaels. ? The Pirates are without any decent rotation alternatives. For that reason, John Van Benschoten will probably get one more chance this season. Cuban defector Yosman Herrera is also a possibility. He has a 2.57 ERA in eight starts in Double-A, but his 26/15 K/BB ratio in 42 innings is unimpressive. The Pirates will keep a close eye on the waiver wire in the hunt for more options.

St. Louis - Colby Rasmus is hitting just .182 in 165 at-bats at Triple-A Memphis, leaving him in no position to capitalize on Rick Ankiel's injury. As well as the Cardinals' other outfielders are playing, they probably wouldn't have wanted to call him up anyway. Joe Mather, who is hitting .304/.413/.630, will be called up if Ankiel lands on the DL. The 25-year-old doesn't contribute with the glove and he entered the season with a lifetime .254 average, so even though he has major league power, he's a long shot to have a career. Still, it's worth trying him while he's hot. As for Rasmus, it's too early now to count him out for the second half. He's typically been a slow starter anyway. He remains one of the game's top five prospects. ? David Freese and veteran Brian Barden are options at third base for St. Louis if Troy Glaus goes down. Barden has the edge now, but Freese, who was picked up from the Padres for Jim Edmonds, is well worth following. He skipped Double-A, so his .269/.319/.431 line at Memphis isn't too disappointing. ? The Cardinals might not need any minor league starters with Mark Mulder and Chris Carpenter potentially on the way back, but Jaime Garcia is a sleeper. He has a 0.69 ERA in two starts since being promoted to Triple-A. I'd take my chances with him over Mulder for the rest of the season. ? Chris Perez got the nod over fellow relievers Jason Motte and Mark Worrell as the replacement for Jason Isringhausen. All three were deserving, but Perez has the most upside of the group. He's extremely difficult to hit, so if he throws strikes, the Cards will be tempted to try him as a closer at some point. He'd be nice to have stashed away.

San Diego - Chase Headley played well enough this spring to make the Padres, but after being sent down to Triple-A Portland, he hit just .242/.317/.396 in April. Fortunately, he's up to .352/.410/.634 so far this month. With Scott Hairston, Paul McAnulty and Justin Huber all slumping, it'd be no surprise to see him soon installed as the Padres' left fielder. He should be owned in all NL-only leagues in which he's available to be picked up. ? The Padres could also eventually trade Tadahito Iguchi and turn to Matt Antonelli at second base. However, since Antonelli is hitting just .195/.329/.338 in Triple-A, they'll be in no hurry to make that switch. ? Wade LeBlanc, supposedly a sleeper candidate to become the Padres' fifth starter this spring, has a 9.35 ERA in eight starts for Triple-A Portland. But he was never likely to experience success in the majors this year. The Padres will probably go back to guys like Justin Germano and Wilfredo Ledezma when they need extra starters. Clay Hensley, if he can overcome his shoulder troubles, would be another possibility. Right-hander Will Inman could enter the mix by the end of the year, but it'd be for the best if he got to spend the full season in the minors. He has a 2.45 ERA and a 50/19 K/BB ratio in 47 2/3 IP for Double-A San Antonio.

San Francisco - The Giants are short of elite prospects, but they have plenty of interchangeable parts to mix in, something they've already done. The most interesting player at Triple-A Fresno is outfielder Nate Schierholtz, who is currently hitting .304/.352/.511 in 135 AB. He'll be an option if John Bowker goes into a deep slump or if Randy Winn gets traded. As is, the outfield is too crowded to make him worth calling up. However, he'll likely have fantasy value in the second half. ? Veteran Justin Leone could get the call once the Giants decide there aren't enough at-bats available for one of Eugenio Velez or Manny Burriss. He has better power than the team's current corner options, and he can play second base once in a while. He'd be interesting if his opportunity comes. ? With a .333 average, seven doubles and a homer in 42 at-bats, Travis Denker has been hot since moving up to Triple-A. He's no legitimate second baseman, but he's young enough that the Giants might want to give him a long look either there or at third. If he has a long-term future in the majors, it's as a bench player. ? Matt Palmer and Nick Pereira will be rotation possibilities if more injuries strike, but neither is very interesting. Top pitching prospect Henry Sosa has yet to pitch this season after knee surgery. He's due back soon, but the late start makes it unlikely that he'll be een in the majors before September.

Washington - Jesus Flores was about all the Nationals had for position prospects in Triple-A. First baseman Larry Broadway was pretty much given up on after last year, and he's done nothing to redeem himself by hitting .236/.308/.386 at Columbus. The Nats do have outfielders Alex Escobar (.333/.363/.520 in 75 AB) and Ryan Langerhans (.314/.424/.450 in 140 AB) producing in the International League, but there's no need there. ... If a starting spot eventually opens up in the outfield, it could go to Justin Maxwell, who is hitting .248/.388/.489 in Double-A. He's probably never going to hit for average in the majors, but his power, speed and defense could make him a worthwhile regular anyway. ? Tyler Clippard, Collin Balester and Garrett Mock are all going to be candidates for rotation spots later on. Clippard has the worst ERA of the group in Triple-A (4.79), but also the best strikeout rate and batting-average against. I still like him as a sleeper. Balester, the top long-term property, has a 3.79 ERA after eight starts. He'll be more interesting on draft day next year. Mock is too hittable to be more than a bottom-of-the-rotation guy. ? 21-year-old Jordan Zimmerman may not be a factor this year, but he could be considered the Nats' No. 1 right-handed prospect over Balester. He has a 2.04 ERA between Single-A Potomac and Double-A Harrisburg.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Lester No-Hits Royals

Jon Lester was in danger of losing his spot in the Red Sox's rotation after beginning the season with a 5.40 ERA and ugly 16-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio through six starts, but saved his job by posting a 2.13 ERA over his next four outings and made history Monday night at Fenway Park. Facing the AL's worst lineup, Lester threw the 18th no-hitter in Red Sox history, allowing just two walks while racking up nine strikeouts in a 7-0 victory over the Royals.

Between beating cancer, winning the World Series-clinching Game 4 against the Rockies last October, and no-hitting the Royals, it's been quite a run for Lester. He allowed just one near-hit, which center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury turned into an out with an outstanding diving grab, and was permitted to begin the ninth inning despite already being at 113 pitches. He walked the leadoff man, but recovered to finish off the no-hitter while throwing a total of 130 pitches.

That's an alarming total for any 24-year-old and particularly one who previously had never thrown even 115 pitches and had gone over the 100-pitch mark in just three of his 21 starts dating back to last season. The heavy workload means that Lester will be worth monitoring over his next few outings, but his 26-to-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last five starts is encouraging given his sub par 126-to-93 mark prior to that stretch. If Lester can consistently throw strikes, he'll be special.

While Lester and Clay Buchholz make the Red Sox the first team to account for MLB's past two no-hitters since Nolan Ryan threw back-to-back no-hitters himself for the Angels in the mid-70s, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* In an effort to keep him in the lineup after being healthy enough to play in just 80 of the team's 208 games dating back to last season, the Rangers announced Sunday that Hank Blalock will move to first base once he returns from the disabled list. Keeping him healthy and in the lineup is obviously crucial, but moving across the diamond will cause Blalock to lose a sizable chunk of his value both offensively and defensively.

Compared to the MLB average at each position last season, a .799 career OPS puts Blalock five percent above average at third base (.758) and almost exactly average at first base (.797). That may not seem like an especially big deal, but the position shift will essentially cause Blalock to lose five percent of his offensive value immediately (assuming that the new position doesn't lead to increased production, of course).

For fantasy purposes it's a non-issue for now because Blalock is third-base eligible, but with only 22 starts at the position he's in danger of losing eligibility there next year in many leagues. If that happens his .274/.337/.462 career line with 22 homers and 83 RBIs per 600 plate appearances become considerably less impressive given the many solid bats available at first base. Another result of the decision is Ramon Vazquez and German Duran continuing to platoon at third base.

* One of the hallmarks of a poorly run organization is abandoning a plan because it fails to work immediately and the Mariners sending Jeff Clement back to the minors Monday falls under that heading. There's no doubt that Clement struggled since being called up last month and installed as the team's regular designated hitter versus right-handers, but normally the idea is to actually give 24-year-old prospects an extended chance after handing them a starting job midseason.

Instead, Clement heads back to Triple-A after all of 56 trips to the plate spread over three weeks in Seattle. With a .281/.374/.469 hitting line in 215 games at Triple-A he has little left to prove in the minors and even his ugly .536 OPS in three weeks with the Mariners is comparable to the .558 mark posted by Jose Vidro this year, yet he'll resume starting at DH. Apparently Clement's only chance to stick was to thrive immediately, which wasn't really much of a plan at all.

* John Smoltz had hoped to return from the disabled list as soon as this week, but those plans have been put on hold after he experienced a setback during a weekend bullpen session. He took two weeks off after receiving a cortisone shot, yet still had discomfort after throwing Saturday and said Sunday that he may now be out "a lot longer" than initially expected. Smoltz returning by the end of the month seems highly unlikely, but still hasn't been officially ruled out yet. atlantabraves.com

AL Quick Hits: With Rafael Betancourt and Masa Kobayashi struggling, Joe Borowski (triceps) may return from the disabled list this week following just one or two rehab outings ? Alex Rodriguez (quadriceps) went 2-for-6 in an extended spring training game Monday and remains on track to come off the shelf Tuesday ? Eric Chavez (back) went 2-for-4 with a homer in a minor-league rehab game Sunday at Triple-A, but has yet to play third base ? Jake Westbrook (ribs) made his first rehab start Sunday at Single-A, allowing one run over 3.1 innings ? With Donnie Murphy (elbow) heading to the DL and Mark Ellis (hamstring) hobbled, Gregorio Petit got another start at second base Monday ? Thanks to Carlos Gomez's wrist injury, Michael Cuddyer made his first and perhaps last career start in center field Monday ? Carlos Triunfel has been suspended indefinitely by the Mariners, with the 18-year-old being removed from the roster at Single-A for an undisclosed reason ? Matt Wieters went 3-for-5 with two homers Sunday and the former first-round pick is hitting .328/.419/.618 with 11 homers through 40 games at Single-A.

NL Quick Hits: Doug Davis (thyroid cancer) made his second minor-league rehab start Sunday at Triple-A, allowing two runs over five innings, and could be close to bumping Max Scherzer from the rotation ? Manager Joe Torre indicated Sunday that Rafael Furcal (back) could return from the disabled list as soon as Friday, but added that Nomar Garciaparra's strained calf "just won't go away" ? As expected, the Marlins signed Jacque Jones to a minor-league contract Monday and he'll head to extended spring training after not playing since May 4 ? Randy Johnson held the Tigers scoreless for seven innings Sunday, combining with two relievers on a shutout while improving to 4-1 with a 4.42 ERA ? According to manager Manny Acta, Shawn Hill may have his scheduled start Wednesday skipped because of elbow soreness ? Lance Berkman went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts Monday, snapping a 17-game hitting streak and pushing his average down to .389 ? Another setback in his recovery from shoulder surgery means Mark Mulder will be shut down for 10-14 days ? Andruw Jones was scratched from Monday's lineup with a sore knee. atlantabraves.com
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Padres Lose Peavy to DL

On this week's NBCSports.com "Fantasy Fix" show Gregg Rosenthal chats with me about the hot starts from Chipper Jones, Lance Berkman, Josh Hamilton, Edinson Volquez, and Cliff Lee, so please check that out. Once you're done reading these notes from around baseball, of course ?

* Jake Peavy admitted Monday that he's been pitching through elbow soreness for several weeks and was placed on the disabled list Tuesday, but manager Bud Black indicated that the Padres don't expect him to miss significant time. "The ligament looks fine, so that's good," Black said. "Hopefully in two weeks the edema of the joint will subside and the swelling will subside, and he'll be able to resume throwing."

For now at least there's no need for Peavy owners to panic, but with a 17-30 record putting them 9.5 games out of a playoff spot the Padres would be smart to play it very safe with his recovery. It's possible that they'll hold Peavy out for longer than the minimum 15 days even if he's healthy enough to resume pitching by then, likely giving Wilfredo Ledezma first crack at replacing him in the rotation. Ledezma started in Peavy's place Monday and could have some NL-only value.

* Each season Daniel Cabrera puts together a good stretch that has his fantasy owners thinking that he's finally going to put everything together to become a consistently dominant starter. And then each season he ends up with 100 walks and a 5.00 ERA. With that disclaimer out of the way, it should be noted that after holding the Yankees to two runs over seven innings Tuesday he's now turned in eight straight Quality Starts.

Best of all, he's walked just 15 batters over 57.1 innings during that stretch, including zero walks in back-to-back starts and a total of three free passes in his last four outings. Along with improved control Cabrera has seen his strikeout rate decline significantly for the second straight year while his average fastball velocity loses about two miles per hour, but he's still clocking in at 93 MPH while throwing his heater about 20 percent more often and is inducing far more ground balls.

Trying to throw a 95-MPH fastball by everyone produced the occasional overpowering outing, but for the most part just made Cabrera one of baseball's biggest enigmas. His current strong stretch may simply prove to be another tease, but giving up some velocity to better control his fastball is looking like an excellent plan right now and continuing to get grounders on 60 percent of his balls in play would make up for the lack of missed bats. In other words, maybe this is the year. Maybe.

* Andruw Jones was scratched from Monday's lineup with a sore right knee and an MRI revealed torn cartilage, meaning that he could be headed for arthroscopic surgery. "I'm going to give it two days, and if it doesn't get better we'll go ahead and scope it," Jones said. "Hopefully I can just get treatment on it and then probably get it done during the offseason." Jones playing through a knee injury that will eventually require surgery likely doesn't sound very appealing to the Dodgers. atlantabraves.com

On the other hand, it might be interesting to see how much worse a guy hitting .167/.275/.273 can really get. Also "interesting" is Jones revealing Tuesday that he has a "golf-ball sized" wart behind his knee, which may also require surgery. Giving manager Joe Torre more excuse to put Juan Pierre into the lineup every day is likely about as appealing to Dodgers fans as Jones' Titleist-style wart, but the good news is that it'll be tough to avoid playing Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp.

* Remember last month when general manager J.P. Ricciardi explained his decision to cut Frank Thomas by saying that the Blue Jays couldn't afford to wait around for his bat to heat up? My take at the time pointed out that the Blue Jays didn't have many great options to replace him and Thomas recovered from horrible starts to put together very good overall numbers in both 2006 and 2007. Much to Ricciardi's chagrin it looks like he's doing the same thing again this year.

Thomas went 3-for-4 with a pair of homers Monday and then went deep again Tuesday, making him 22-for-75 (.293) with three homers, seven total extra-base hits, 13 walks, and 14 RBIs in 23 games since returning to Oakland. That works out to a .293/.400/.480 hitting line that's very close to the .277/.377/.480 that Thomas hit for the Blue Jays last season, and predictably makes Ricciardi cutting him loose based on less than a month's worth of struggles look plenty foolish.

AL Quick Hits: Derek Jeter left Tuesday's game after being hit on the hand by a Daniel Cabrera pitch, but X-rays were negative and he's considered day-to-day ? Justin Verlander showed signs of life Tuesday, holding the Mariners to one run over six innings while racking up a season-high seven strikeouts ? With Matt Tolbert undergoing thumb surgery and manager Ron Gardenhire unhappy with Brendan Harris' defense, speedster Alexi Casilla figures to see extended action at second base ? Alex Rodriguez returned from the disabled list Tuesday after missing three weeks and homered ? C.C. Sabathia was a tough-luck loser Tuesday despite tossing seven innings of two-run ball versus the White Sox ? Erick Aybar exited Tuesday's game after dislocating his right pinkie finger, with Maicer Izturis replacing him at shortstop ? Mike Mussina was rocked for seven runs while recording just two outs Tuesday, but the good news is that only one run was earned thanks to a Jeter error ? Carlos Silva went 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA through six starts, but after allowing seven runs in Tuesday's loss he's now 0-3 with an 8.85 ERA since.

NL Quick Hits: Mike Piazza announced his retirement Tuesday, ending his Hall of Fame career at .308/.377/.545 with 427 homers and a dozen All-Star appearances in 16 seasons ? Mopping up in a seven-run game Tuesday, Eric Gagne was yanked after serving up a two-run homer and complained of shoulder soreness afterward ? Doug Davis (thyroid cancer) is scheduled to come off the disabled list to start Friday versus the Braves, likely pushing Max Scherzer back to the bullpen ? Rich Hill has been placed on DL at Triple-A with back spasms, further delaying his return to the Cubs' rotation ? Mike Cameron went 3-for-4 with a homer Tuesday, giving him five long balls and 14 RBIs in 18 games since returning from suspension ? Less than one week after saying that he'd be "shocked" if he's not "back by the All-Star break" Mark Mulder (shoulder) was scratched from his scheduled minor-league rehab start Tuesday at Triple-A and will be shut down for 10-14 days ? Dallas McPherson hit three homers Monday at Triple-A, giving him 15 long balls and a 1.055 OPS on the year.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Planning for the long haul
One of the frequently cited drawbacks of playing fantasy baseball is that the season is so long, it's difficult to actively manage a team (or more than one) effectively for six months.

Generally, the owners who win their leagues aren't the ones who had the best draft (though a good draft doesn't hurt), but the ones who did the best job of picking up players and making trades during the season.

So while it may seem like a long time until September, the upkeep of a fantasy baseball team ? just like spring cleaning around the house ? isn't as daunting if it can be broken down into smaller segments.

Thankfully, the fantasy baseball season usually follows a similar path every year. There's an assessment stage, a tweaking stage, a big decision stage and an auto-pilot stage.

Assessment

The first stage lasts for about the first six weeks of the season when fantasy owners take stock of their teams and try not to overreact to the early developments. It's also when some major bargains routinely appear on the free-agent wire.

I'm in a 12-team KFFL.com experts mixed league with 28-man rosters. With nearly two months in the books, it's interesting to look back at some of the players who went undrafted ? after 336 players were taken.

Among the pitchers: Cliff Lee, Joe Saunders, Edinson Volquez, Micah Owings, Nick Blackburn, Todd Wellemeyer, Dana Eveland, Gavin Floyd and Aaron Cook.

Among the hitters: Carlos Quentin, Joey Votto, David Murphy, Xavier Nady, Jose Lopez, Erick Aybar and Jayson Werth.

Of course, the owners who picked up these players missed out on some of their impressive early-season stats, but will still be rewarded if the waiver-wire gems continue to produce anywhere close to their present level over the course of the season.

Even ignoring the first few weeks of the season, Lee has been the No. 6 overall player in the league over the past month, while Quentin is No. 7 and Volquez is No. 9.

Those kinds of players can make a tremendous difference in a league's final standings. The encouraging thing is ? there's still plenty of time left this season to find another one.

Tweaking time

The second stage of the fantasy season is one we're entering right about now. It's when owners are forced to take a realistic look at their teams and see them for what they are ? a serious title contender, a team bound to improve, a team in need of retooling or a team that's already looking toward next season.

Hopefully, there aren't too many teams out there in the last category. But all too often, owners are quick to pull the plug on a season because of a couple bad breaks.

While battling injuries, Alex Rodriguez has been a shell of the team-carrying hero he was last season. But that doesn't mean he can't return to form once he returns from the disabled list.

Several big-time pitchers have recently returned ? or will soon return ? from the disabled list. With anywhere up to 20 starts possible over the rest of the season, John Lackey, Scott Kazmir, Randy Johnson, Jason Schmidt, Francisco Liriano, Pedro Martinez and Chris Carpenter could be difference-makers.

Meanwhile, a little reshuffling can be the best medicine for an ailing fantasy team.

The type of league makes a big difference in how much tweaking can and should be done. For instance, in redraft leagues there's no harm in making wholesale changes since you don't have to worry about what your team will look like next season.

In keeper leagues, look for players with significant upside. For example, Houston's J.R. Towles has struggled all season but he's a solid young catcher who usually makes contact, yet hasn't seen a lot of those balls fall in for hits. (His hit rate on balls in play is one of the lowest in the majors.)

Similarly, Cincinnati's Johnny Cueto had an outstanding first start, but since then he's had trouble just about every time out. In his last outing against the Indians, he tossed five no-hit innings, then gave up three home runs in a span of four batters and didn't figure in the decision. Cueto's season ERA of 5.75 is unremarkable, but his talent could start blossoming at any time.

If you can stash players like Towles and Cueto on your bench for now, it can pay off handsomely down the road.

In Roto leagues, it's also a good time to reassess your team's strategy in certain categories. Did you punt saves on draft day? Not a bad idea, considering how much turmoil has taken place among closers so far this season. The acquisition of a reliable closer now could pay off in a gain of several standings points fairly quickly.

In both the KFFL mixed league and the AL League of Alternative Baseball Reality, I made deals recently to get Trevor Hoffman and Huston Street because there was an opportunity to gain ground in saves.

Although saves are probably the easiest category to target and the easiest commodity to acquire, don't discount an opportunity to improve in other areas as well.

The road ahead

The tweaking stage can last for several months before the next major point in the fantasy season arrives ? the big decision. It's when an owner must determine if winning a championship is realistically possible.

Especially in keeper leagues, the point of no return coincides with the trade deadline. A title contender may be able to give up future returns for one or two missing pieces, while a team that's out of the running will be looking to rebuild for next year.

Hopefully, you haven't made the big decision yet in your league. There's still plenty of time left to build a championship-caliber roster. Just keep tweaking.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Joba The Starter
Joba Chamberlain entered an 8-0 game Wednesday and worked two innings for just the second time this season, with manager Joe Girardi explaining why afterward by saying that the Yankees are now prepping him for a shift to the rotation. Coming into the season most speculation had the Yankees aiming to have Chamberlain in the rotation after the All-Star break, but Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy struggling and the team fighting just to stay above .500 likely hurried those plans.

Chamberlain has posted a 1.42 ERA and 59-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio while holding opponents to a .178 batting average over 44.1 relief innings, but being a setup man limited his fantasy value. It'll be nearly impossible for Chamberlain to approach that level of dominance as a starter, but he can significantly boost his value anyway. He hasn't started a game since last July, but has an impressive track record as a starter in both college and the minors.

He had a 2.45 ERA and 135-to-27 strikeout-to-walk ratio between three levels of the minors prior to being called up and has an arsenal of pitches that makes him well suited to start after working almost exclusively with his fastball and slider as a reliever. Assuming that it takes Chamberlain a couple weeks to build up arm strength, he's very capable of winning double-digit games with an ERA in the mid-3.00s and 125-150 strikeouts going forward while making 18-20 starts.

While Hank Steinbrenner finally gets his wish, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Dontrelle Willis returned from the disabled list Wednesday, but the Tigers opted against sticking him back into the rotation after he posted a 4.41 ERA and 11-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio in three minor-league rehab starts. Armando Galarraga has pitched well filling in for Willis, but the Tigers' other starters have ERAs of 6.65, 6.08, 5.61, and 4.76 overall, so it's somewhat telling that Willis will be working out of the bullpen for now.

Willis figures to resume starting again soon enough, but he was a poor fantasy bet coming into the season and remains a poor bet now. Even at just 26 years old he now longer has the stuff to overpower hitters and continues to struggle with command. Some low-pressure appearances as a reliever will give him a chance to start throwing strikes again, but he hasn't walked fewer than 3.3 batters per nine innings since 2005 and doesn't figure to start now.

* Albert Pujols went 1-for-5 with a single in a modest night at the plate Wednesday, but knocked both members of the Padres' battery out of the game. In the third inning Pujols smacked a line drive back up the middle that nailed [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] on the bridge of his nose, leaving the 6-foot-10 starter a bloody mess and fortunate that he's not a few inches shorter (or unlucky that he's not a foot shorter). Later that inning Pujols slid into Josh Bard on a clean play at the plate, leaving the catcher with an ankle injury.

As ugly as Young taking Pujols' liner off his face looked, Bard's injury may actually prove more significant. Young never lost consciousness, walked off the field largely under his own power, and didn't appear to be in a huge amount of pain, although the latter is easy to say from the comfort of my couch. He's been diagnosed with a fractured nose and was taken to the hospital to be examined for a concussion, among other things, but for now appears to have averted disaster.

* Called up from Triple-A, Bartolo Colon made his Red Sox debut Wednesday, giving up two runs over five innings against the Royals. Colon allowed six singles, issued two walks, and struck out four, working with a fastball that frequently clocked in at 93-94 miles per hour. He's certainly not a safe option in mixed leagues yet, but should definitely be owned in AL-only leagues and makes for a solid play next week with starts against the Mariners and Orioles.

* After sharing the job with Maicer Izturis early in the season, Aybar started 39 straight games at shortstop despite batting just .273/.287/.374 with a horrible 18-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio during that stretch. His streak came to an end Wednesday, as the Angels placed Aybar on the disabled list with a dislocated right pinkie finger suffered the previous night. Chone Figgins came off the DL to fill Aybar's spot on the roster, which means that Izturis is free to shift back to shortstop again.

AL Quick Hits: Jorge Posada tested his injured shoulder by throwing from 75-90 feet Tuesday, with manager Joe Girardi saying afterward that he could begin a minor-league rehab assignment next week ? After complaining publicly about Kenji Johjima's pitch-calling, Jarrod Washburn got Jamie Burke as his catcher Wednesday and allowed nine runs to push his ERA to 6.99 ? Alex Rodriguez went 3-for-4 with a homer and two doubles Wednesday, but would've had a second long ball if not for a blown call ? Nick Blackburn had held the Rangers scoreless for five frames Wednesday before being rocked from seven runs in the sixth inning, but thanks to Alexi Casilla's error only one run was earned ? Manager Eric Wedge said Tuesday that Joe Borowski (triceps) could come off the DL and resume closing by the end of the week ? Daric Barton batted seventh Wednesday and went 0-for-3, leaving him 7-for-55 (.127) this month ? Despite a strained right calf, Chien-Ming Wang is expected to make his scheduled start Saturday ? David Eckstein (hip) suffered a setback while rehabbing and won't be activated from the DL when eligible Thursday.

NL Quick Hits: Rick Ankiel (shoulder) was out of the lineup Wednesday for the fifth straight game, but was healthy enough to deliver a pinch-hit homer ? Chipper Jones left Wednesday's game with a bruised shin, but as usual figures to be day-to-day ? General manager Jim Bowden said Wednesday that he's "concerned" about Austin Kearns' sore elbow and the Nationals have sent him for a second opinion ? Ubaldo Jimenez shut out the Giants for seven innings Wednesday, but got stuck with a no-decision when Brian Fuentes blew his third save ? Ben Sheets scattered 11 hits in a complete-game win Wednesday, with Xavier Nady's solo homer serving as the only damage ? Moises Alou is scheduled to undergo an MRI on his strained left calf, which he said Wednesday "has been bothering me for three or four days" ? After going 0-for-4 on Wednesday, Jeff Kent is just 8-for-55 (.145) this month ? According to the New York Daily News, "the buzz among scouts is that the Mets are shopping Aaron Heilman" ? Dizziness knocked Jerry Hairston from Wednesday's game, with Paul Janish likely to start at shortstop Thursday.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

The quest for consistency


Few things are as valuable in head-to-head fantasy leagues as filling your roster with players who can produce a solid baseline of stats, week after week. This consistency is far more important than in traditional rotisserie-style leagues where poor weeks can often be absorbed by the year-long numbers.

In identifying players who are consistent, several typical measures come to mind, such as good plate discipline and on-base percentage. If a player has good strike zone judgment, consistently putting the ball into play, he's also more likely to contribute to that solid weekly baseline.

Probably the most accurate leading indicator of a successful head-to-head player is on-base average plus slugging (OPS). The ability to get on base and drive the ball increases the control the hitter has on the outcome of each at bat. Hitters with an OPS of at least .850 tend to be the most consistent, week in and week out.

The other part of consistency is risk mitigation of poor performance. The idea is to avoid negative weekly output or negative weekly scoring. It can be more valuable to your team to have a player produce consistent, but league-average stats than one who has wide swings of weekly scoring. An inconsistent player can carry your team for a week but will end up hurting your team more times than not.

The incorporation of risk has the effect of reducing the value of some stats that are traditionally viewed as purely positive skills. For instance, in most leagues, stolen bases have equal value to home runs and batting average. In most head-to-head points formats, steals will also carry negative points when a runner is caught stealing. As such, it is always best to first seek the players who can produce consistently and then view steals as a bonus to their value.

Now that we are nearly two months into the season, we are able to better identify trends in player consistency. Here are two groups of players that exemplify either end of the consistency spectrum.

Most consistent

OF Josh Hamilton, Rangers: Hamilton has been the most consistent offensive producer in the American League thus far. His league-leading 49 RBI have been spread evenly over the seven weeks. He has knocked in at least five runs per week. He hit a home run in six of seven weeks, with three multi-homer weeks. The 26-year old is worthy of being labeled an elite player in mixed leagues.

OF Carlos Quentin, White Sox: Quentin is putting together quite a breakout season. His shoulder surgery last season has showed no signs of slowing him down as he has performed consistently in four categories every week. He has homered in all but one week, and has five weeks with a .300 batting average and more than four RBI. Quentin has also had one stolen base in each of the past four weeks. His production has been evenly spread across the first two months of the season.

1B Albert Pujols, Cardinals: Pujols has been the model of consistency year-to-year. Early season stories about his elbow pain have not slowed him as he continues to have another 1.000-plus OPS season. Through seven weeks, he has hit more than .300 during four weeks, and has driven in at least four RBI while hitting a home run in at least five of the seven weeks. He has produced better than a .900 OPS every week this season with 41 walks and only 16 strikeouts.

C Geovany Soto, Cubs: Soto came into the season with high expectations and has delivered. After a slow first week, he has strung together six consecutive weeks of .900-plus OPS. The 25-year old rookie slugger has spread his eight home runs over that time, with two of those weeks having multiple homers. He has also posted at least a .300 average and four RBI in five out of the seven weeks this season. Soto has racked up 34 strikeouts, but has he been able to draw 24 walks to partially cancel out the negatives.

Least consistent

C Kenji Johjima, Mariners: Johjima's playing time has decreased partially because of his lack of consistency. He didn't hit a home run until week seven and only has two weeks where he posted a .300-plus batting average. His poor on-base percentage has been fueled by a lack of plate patience. While he only has struck out eight times all year, he has only six walks.

SS Edgar Renteria, Tigers: Many Tigers have been off to bad starts, but none more so than Renteria. His .332 batting average in 2007 seems to be a distant memory. It took three weeks for him to hit a home run and produce a weekly batting average above .300. Only weeks three and four have been bright spots, when he has posted a .300-plus batting average. The past three weeks have seen him dip down to his worst levels of the season. During weeks five, six and seven, he is hitting less than .200 with no home runs and three total RBI.

SS Jose Reyes, Mets: Reyes is off to a slow start and has not been able to put together back-to-back productive weeks. He has as many weeks hitting below a .300 batting average as he does above. In weeks two, four and six, he posted a .136 or lower average. In weeks three, five, and seven, he batted more than .333. His power has been limited to one week in which he hit two home runs. The only part of Reyes' game that has been consistent is his ability to steal bases. He has swiped at least two bases a week in five weeks. newyorkmets.com

OF Alex Rios, Blue Jays: Rios has not been able to piece together a full season of consistency over the past two years. In each of 2006 and 2007, he has gotten off to a hot start and cooled in the second half. So far this year, he has remained cool with a meager .260 batting average, .328 on-base and .718 OPS stat line. In looking at his weekly production, he has only hit home runs in two weeks, and had a .300-plus average in three weekly scoring periods.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Miller's Time
As a huge fan of ground-ball pitchers who miss bats Andrew Miller is right up my alley, so it's nice to see him turning things around this month after a brutal April. Traded to the Marlins this winter as part of the big Miguel Cabrera-Dontrelle Willis deal, Miller posted an ugly 9.12 ERA and 18-to-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 25.2 innings spread over six April outings. Florida showed some patience with the 23-year-old southpaw and he's been excellent in May.

After holding Arizona scoreless for seven innings Thursday while racking up nine strikeouts, Miller is now 3-1 with a 1.44 ERA and 26-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio this month. He's always worked with overpowering raw stuff that produces lots of strikeouts and ground balls, but consistently throwing strikes used to be a problem. However, Miller hasn't walked more than three batters in a start since April 12 and has a solid 44-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 50.2 innings overall.

As a 6-foot-6 lefty with a heavy low-90s fastball and high-70s slider combination, Miller is perhaps one of the most overlooked young pitchers in baseball despite being the No. 6 overall pick in the 2006 draft. If he can continue to show decent control, he's capable of becoming the Marlins' ace and can reel off a string of 175-strikeout seasons with ERAs in the mid-3.00s. He's not quite there yet, but it looks like the transition is beginning to take place.

While Miller makes Marlins fans forget all about Willis, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* With Adam Everett, Nick Punto, and Matt Tolbert all on the disabled list, Alexi Casilla suddenly has a chance for regular playing time in Minnesota. Casilla hasn't hit much since advancing past Double-A, batting just .257/.344/.316 in 129 games at Triple-A and a measly .227/.270/.280 in 72 games with the Twins. However, he's looked good at the plate since being called back up last week and has enough speed to be a fantasy asset regardless of his bat.

A 5-foot-9, 160-pound bundle of raw energy who resembles Rafael Furcal with the glove and Luis Castillo on amphetamines with the bat, Casilla swiped 54 bases per 600 plate appearances in the minors, including 29 steals in 532 trips to the plate at Triple-A. He hasn't run quite as often in the majors, in large part because he's only been on base 27 percent of the time, but is 11-for-12 when he does take off and the Twins will no doubt encourage him to run plenty.

* Clayton Kershaw was pulled from his Thursday start at Double-A after just one inning, leading to speculation that the 20-year-old southpaw may be on the verge of joining the Dodgers. MLB.com reported Thursday night that Kershaw could be a rotation option as soon as Saturday, which is somewhat surprising given that the Dodgers opted against calling him up when they needed a spot starter less than two weeks ago.

Kershaw is without question one of the elite pitching prospects in baseball and has dominated at Double-A despite turning 20 in March, posting a 2.28 ERA, 47-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and .202 opponent's batting average over 43.1 innings. However, he'd be far from a sure thing to thrive in the majors immediately. Along with an amazing 264 strikeouts he's also handed out 87 walks over 203 career innings, and has recorded more than 18 outs in just one start this season.

* After experiencing shoulder soreness in a mop-up outing Tuesday, the Brewers announced Thursday that Eric Gagne has been shut down indefinitely with rotator-cuff tendinitis. He received a cortisone shot and has been told to cease throwing for at least three days, seemingly making it likely that he'll land on the disabled list. With Gagne out Salomon Torres is once again the favorite for saves, although manager Ned Yost's bullpen management has been unpredictable.

* It took a while, but Ryan Howard finally got his batting average above .200 by going 3-for-5 with a homer Thursday. Howard's batting average had been below the Mendoza Line following all but 10 of his first 48 games this season, including every day since April 21. Now he's all the way up to .207 and has quietly put together a big two-week stretch, going 17-for-56 (.304) with seven homers and 15 RBIs over the past 14 games.

* Eric Byrnes was highly unlikely to repeat last season's career-high 50 steals to begin with, but lingering hamstring problems have made it impossible. Manager Bob Melvin said Wednesday that Byrnes is at significantly less than full strength right now and his lack of action on the bases agrees with that assessment. Byrnes hasn't stolen a base since May 7, has just one steal since April 20, and sat out Thursday's game altogether.

* Just when it looked like Nate McLouth was slowing down by going just 9-for-46 (.198) over the past dozen games, he came up with a 4-for-4 night Thursday, scoring three runs, stealing his fifth base of the season, and raising his batting average back above .300. McLouth is now hitting .314 with 12 homers, 29 total extra-base hits, five steals, 36 RBIs, 41 runs, and a 25-to-21 strikeout-to-walk ratio through 46 games, putting him on pace for a monstrous .300-40-120-140 season.

AL Quick Hits: As expected, Joe Borowski (triceps) is scheduled to come off the disabled list and resume closing Friday ? Ian Kennedy may have held onto his rotation spot by limiting the Orioles to one run over six innings in a no-decision Thursday ? C.J. Wilson shook off recent struggles to pick up his ninth save of the season with a perfect 10th inning Thursday ? Clay Buchholz (fingernail) is scheduled to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Sunday at Triple-A, but with Bartolo Colon now in the rotation the Red Sox don't figure to rush him back ? Gary Sheffield collected three hits Thursday to push his batting average above .200, but hasn't homered since April 29 or driven in a run since May 10 ? Victor Martinez left Thursday's game with a finger injury, but manager Eric Wedge said afterward that he may be able to play Friday ? Daily Dose favorite Aaron Laffey turned in another strong start Thursday, tossing seven innings of two-run ball, but took a tough-luck loss versus Mark Buehrle ? Due to a strained calf, Chien-Ming Wang's next start has been pushed back from Saturday to Sunday.

NL Quick Hits: Clarifying his statements about retirement from earlier this week, Pedro Martinez said Thursday that he plans to play "at least two or three more seasons" ? Ken Griffey Jr. had been stuck on 597 career homers since April 23, but went deep Thursday for the first time in 90 at-bats ? While throwing to live hitters Thursday, John Smoltz experimented with a lower arm slot that he hopes will alleviate some pressure from his sore shoulder ? General manager Jim Bowden indicated Wednesday that Jesus Flores may continue to start after Paul Lo Duca (hand) returns from the disabled list next month ? After hitting just .268/.386/.357 in 16 games as a No. 3 hitter, Hanley Ramirez moved back to the leadoff spot Thursday ? Ryan Doumit (thumb) said Wednesday that he's hoping to return within two weeks and "will be back sooner than anyone thinks" ? Jacque Jones is expected to join the Marlins prior to Friday's game and should see regular playing time against right-handers ? Roy Oswalt made his scheduled start Thursday despite leaving his last outing with a hip injury, but allowed five runs on 11 hits versus the Phillies.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

A good story, but not the best

In almost every write-up of Jon Lester's no-hitter, it mentions that the stellar performance would make the perfect ending to a movie about his recovery from cancer. That sounds fine and all, if sappy movies are your thing, but I'd prefer to see a movie centered on Bartolo Colon's return to the major leagues. Imagine the excitement of a movie about a hefty Dominican forced to battle the evil forces of cheeseburgers and pizzas. The movie would deal with the heart-breaking struggles the pitcher faces, such as trying to force his gut into a snug baseball uniform, and being taunted in the showers by his evil nemesis, the svelte Julio Lugo.

While I contact screenwriter-turned-fantasy-expert Matthew Berry to help me get started on my idea, here are some waiver options:

[SIZE=+1]American League[/SIZE]

Jon Lester ? SP ? BOS - In the first 41 2/3 innings Lester pitched this season, he issued 23 walks. In his last 20 1/3, he's issued just five. Granted, one of those outings was his no-hitter, but it's still an encouraging trend. Control has been the young pitcher's biggest problem (besides, uh, cancer) in the majors, and maybe his stellar outing on Monday will give him the confidence to attack the plate with more regularity. He's predictably seen a spike in ownership lately, and while he's worth owning, it's probably best to make sure he's used only in the right match-ups until he proves he's figured out how to hit his spots for good.
Recommendation: Should be owned in AL leagues, streamed in mixed

Bartolo Colon ? SP ? BOS He's back! Again! In his first start of the season, Colon limited the Royals to two runs in just five innings. Colon was working in the low nineties, and figures to improve on that as he continues get back in shape. Of course, being "in shape" for Colon probably has a different meaning than for the rest of us. Colon was solid in Triple-A rehab appearances, going 14 innings with a 0.64 ERA and striking out 11, but durability issues will almost certainly hamper him this season. In 2007, five of his first six starts were quality, but he was pretty terrible after that and had to go back on the disabled list twice. In the early part of the season, he should contribute to fantasy teams, just don't expect it to last.
Recommendation: Should be owned in AL leagues, streamed in mixed leagues

Hank Blalock ? 3B/1B ? TEX Based on last year's September, in which he hit .313 with five homers in just 64 at-bats, experts everywhere were predicting that Blalock could return to his 30-homer ways. His April numbers weren't incredibly inspiring, but he did hit three homers while struggling with a bad back. Blalock will return to first base, which should help him stay healthy in the short term, and he'll join an offense that has scored the third most runs in baseball this season. The upside makes him a worthwhile gamble in leagues of most sizes.
Recommendation: Should be owned in AL leagues, considered in mixed

Joey Devine ? RP ? OAK - Both Andrew Brown and Santiago Casilla have been knocked out due to injury, so Devine figures to see plenty of work late in close games. Devine's biggest problem in his brief stints in the majors has always been walks. In 19 2/3 innings prior to this season, he had issued 22 free passes. In his first 16 1/3 innings this season, he issued just 3 bases on balls, although he's given up four in three innings since assuming a larger role. Still, Devine has struck out 26 hitters in 19 1/3 innings, compiling a 1.40 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. With Santiago Casilla sidelined for the next month, Devine is also a top candidate to replace Huston Street if something happens to him. Even if that doesn't happen, he should post solid numbers with plenty of strikeouts in Oakland.
Recommendation: Should be owned in AL-only leagues, watched in mixed

Eric Chavez ? 3B ? OAK - Eric Chavez could be back as soon as next week, and he could be just what's needed for teams starved for help at third base. His last two years have been zapped by injuries, but as we mentioned in our draft guide, he's only 30 years old and could return to his old form if he can stay healthy. He's been able to hit all season, but the team has been cautious with him due to fielding concerns. He's currently hitting .421/.450/.737 in 19 minor league at bats, and while expectations should be tempered, he's available in almost every league.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in AL and mixed leagues.

[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2353"]Jose Guillen[/URL] ? OF ? KC - Guillen has been covered here before, but he's raised his average almost 100 points this month after a dismal April. He's already hit six home runs, tempering fears raised by offseason steroid allegations, and he's shown in the past that he can maintain a batting average right around .290. As the cleanup hitter in Kansas City, he has value as a third or fourth outfielder.
Recommendation: Should be owned in AL leagues, considered in mixed leagues

Jeremy Reed ? OF ? SEA - Reed was once one of the better prospects in the game, but disappointing 2005 in the majors has been followed by injuries and he now projects to be little more than a fourth outfielder. He did manage to hit .300 at Triple-A last season, and had hit an impressive .349 there this year before getting called up on Monday. He had just 19 homers in over 700 at-bats during that span, but don't be surprised if he starts seeing more playing time in Seattle's anemic offense. He's 2-for-6 since getting recalled, and the Mariners really have nothing to lose by giving the 26-year-old one more shot with the team.
Recommendation: Watch in AL, mixed leagues

Alexei Ramirez ? 2B/OF ? CHW First off, and perhaps most importantly, this guy looks exactly like Starvin' Marvin from South Park. It's uncanny. He's one of the skinniest ballplayers I've ever seen, but he displayed plenty of power in Cuba and has an absolute cannon of an arm. What he doesn't have is consistent playing time in Chicago. Over the last week he's been filling in for Juan Uribe, and he's gone 7-for-22, raising his average to .203. The only other time he's gotten regular playing time was in spring training, when he hit .358/.375/.582 with just 12 strikeouts in 67 at-bats. Still, both Juan Uribe and Danny Richar figure to challenge him for playing time, giving Alexei little long-term job security.
Recommendation: Watch in AL leagues, mixed leagues
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[SIZE=+1]National League[/SIZE]

Salomon Torres ? RP ? MIL - Eric Gagne is suffering from rotator-cuff tendonitis, and while it's possible he'll be able to avoid a trip to the disabled list, he's going to miss at least a week and quite possibly more. The Brewers say they'll close by committee, but Torres is the favorite to get most save opportunities in the meantime.
Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues for now.

Wandy Rodriguez ? SP ? HOU Rodriguez could return to Houston's rotation as soon as next week, and once he does return he should slip right back into his familiar role as "guy who you only start when he's at home." He had a 2.94 ERA at home last season, compared to 6.37 on the road. This year he's tallied a 0.98 mark at home, limiting batters to a .188 average against him in Houston.
Recommendation: Stream in both NL and mixed leagues.

Dmitri Young ? 1B ? WAS - It's almost as if Nick Johnson would rather watch Da Meat Hook play than trot out there himself. Just as Young was nearing a return from the sprained back that has sidelined him for most of the season, Johnson went and messed up his wrist, handing Young the starting job for the second year in a row. Young's fantasy value seemed to be zapped before he tallied a .320-13-74 line in 136 games last season. His new stadium is a better hitter's park, and he has at least a month at first base, possibly longer depending on Johnson's recovery.
Recommendation: Grab in NL-Only leagues, watch in mixed leagues

Mark Kotsay ? OF ? ATL - Kotsay has been moved up to the second spot in Atlanta's order, and although he's hitting just .256 in that slot this season, he's scored nine runs in just 39 at-bats in the two-hole. Kotsay is hitting .296 on the season, and has little speed or power, but he should continue to score plenty at the top of Atlanta's lineup. Just be aware that his back injury could flare up at any time. atlantabraves.com
Recommendation: Should be owned in NL leagues, considered in AL leagues.

Chris Perez ? RP ? STL - Chris Perez is the closer of the future in St. Louis, and with Jason Isringhausen expected to be out for the next four-to-six weeks, he could get a chance soon. He had posted a 2.04 ERA with 22 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings in Triple-A this season, and since getting called up he's pitched three scoreless innings without allowing a single hit. On Sunday, he was trusted to pitch in the top of the ninth in a tie game. He could get a look if Ryan Franklin falters, and should get plenty of holds and strikeouts in the meantime.
Recommendation: Worth grabbing in deep NL leagues, watch in mixed leagues.

Jacque Jones ? OF ? FLA - November 12 was a devastating day for NL-only leagues in France, as national hero Jacque Jones was traded from the Cubs to the Tigers. Rest easy, Francois! He's back! Jones is currently on a minor league rehab assignment, but he figures to start against righties when he makes it back to the majors. Jones is hitting just .165, but it's in only 79 at-bats. Also, he didn't really heat up until the second half of last season, hitting .332 after the All Star game.
Recommendation: Grab in NL-Only leagues, monitor in deep mixed leages

Michael Barrett ? C- MIL - Wednesday night in San Diego was quite a roller coaster. At first, it was pure excitement as Albert Pujols smacked a liner right into [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL]'s face, breaking his nose. That was followed by the uncomfortable embrace of Pujols and Adrian Gonzalez, who apparently decided to start praying for Young while locked in a side hug. Thankfully, Pujols again livened things up by giving Josh Bard a high ankle sprain as he slid into home. Michael Barrett is currently finishing up a rehab assignment in Triple-A, but he should be back within a week. Big things were expected of him last season, but a fight with Carlos Zambrano, a trade to San Diego and an injury were all parts of a disappointing season. Barrett had three straight seasons with 16 homers and an OPS over 820 before last year, though, and while playing in Petco will clearly hurt, he could end up making a case to be the Padres' full-time catcher.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in NL leagues, watch in mixed leagues

Ubaldo Jimenez ? SP ? COL - Jimenez has pitched well in his last three outings, surrendering six runs in 20 2/3 innings while compiling a 17/6 K/BB ratio. One thing to consider is that the outings came against San Diego, Minnesota and San Francisco, who are hardly offensive juggernauts. Still, it's encouraging for his odds at success this season that he seems to have found his control in his most recent starts. He's still going to need to improve if he's ever going to become an icon in America, and finally make the name "Ubaldo" popular, but the three performances are at least a step in the right direction.
Recommendation: Worth owning in NL leagues, watch in mixed leagues

Tim Redding ? SP ? WAS - After shutting out the Phillies for 6 1/3 innings on Monday, Tim Redding now has a 3.16 ERA, but that masks a very mediocre 36/22 K/BB ratio. So far Redding's shown that he can't get through the order more than three times without getting hit hard, and his .234 BABIP is bound to rise. Still, he could be worth using in the right match-up this season, but with Milwaukee and Arizona next on the schedule, now's not the time to start counting on him.
Recommendation: Worth owning in NL leagues, stream in mixed leagues.

Jack Wilson ? SS- PIT - Wilson is nearing the end of a rehab assignment and could be back with the Pirates in the next couple of days. He posted a solid .293 batting last season, but his peripheral numbers were pretty weak. When he returns this season, though, he'll be a part of an offense that is in the top 10 in terms of runs scored, compared to an offense that was in the bottom ten last season. It's unlikely he'll maintain the solid numbers from last season, but the better surrounding cast could boost his fantasy relevance.
Recommendation: Should be owned in NL leagues, watch in mixed leagues

Jesus Flores ? C ? WAS - Through 14 games, Jesus Flores is hitting .357, and the Nationals staff has taken notice, with GM Jim Bowden saying that Flores might remain the primary catcher once Paul Lo Duca returns from the disabled list. Of course, for that to remain true, Flores' unsustainable .467 BABIP can't come down before then. Flores has a bright future as a power-hitting catcher, but the 23-year-old still needs time to refine his game. Even if the last-place Nats let him develop in the majors, don't expect this level of success to continue. That being said, he's worth using in NL leagues, even though he will suffer a drop from his current lofty production.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in NL leagues, watch in mixed leagues
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Oft-Injured return to the DL
Injuries galore, Joba foolishness, and more in this week's Week That Was.

Clint Barmes . Clint Barmes sprained his right knee in the Rockies 13 inning win over the Mets Friday night. This is a tough break for Barmes and his owners. Clint has been raking at a .343 clip since taking over for the injured Troy Tulowitzki. Time will tell here, but a DL stint could easily derail Barmes' season as reports indicate Tulo will be back in 4-6 weeks. If you own Barmes, you have no choice but to hold and hope. Hey, look at the bright side, it nothing to do with lugging deer meat.

Grady Sizemore: Grady Sizemore had a long-awaited monster night on Friday, slamming a three-run dinger to go with a triple and two walks. What does this mean? It means that any buy low window on this star is closing fast. Yes, Sizemore has been a good teammate to his Indian buddies by not hitting and therefore, not showing them up for their complete abandonment of the offensive side of the game. However, he will hit and hit a lot from here on in. Grady is in his "26 year" with three 20/20 seasons under his belt. To quote Styx, the "future looks quite bright to me". Buy while you still can.

Dontrelle Willis: Dontrelle Willis made his first relief appearance since returning from the DL, unfortunately with continued bad results ? one inning, two walks, one run. The only thing surprising about Dontrelle this year is that people are surprised he is struggling. His strikeouts have declined for three straight years and he posted a ghastly whip of 1.60 last year in the NL (where there is a weak hitting pitcher not a DH to face). If you invested heavily to ride the D Train this year, you have no right to complain about the "unavoidable delay" (NY Subway humor). Seriously, Dontrelle is a classic example of why you should forget past playoff glory when making fantasy investment decisions.

Shelley Duncan: Shelley Duncan went yard for the first time last night as Yankee bats came alive against Seattle. SELL. Yes, Duncan was a nice story last year. Yes, he comes from a good baseball family. Yes, he would be a good pinch hitter, sparkplug type of guy. However, he cannot hit or field enough to play regularly as the Yankees ramp up for their post Memorial Day run. Look for Shelley to play little once Wilson Betemit returns from the DL. If you can get a productive player for Shelley now, do it. Just call around and harp about how he hit a homer every 11 AB's last year (just hold your nose while you do it).

Eric Gagne: In an announcement that should shock only those brand new to the game, the Brewers placed Eric Gagne on the DL. I know I am sometimes a broken record, but I will repeat myself anyway ? do not invest heavily in injury prone players ? they get . . . wait for it . . . INJURED. Ok, enough ranting. While Gagne is on the shelf, Salomon Torres should resume the role he held in Pittsburgh ? closer. Torres was pretty bad last year, but pretty effective from 04-06. Those in need of saves should take a flyer here. Just beware that he will have to control that walk rate in order to be effective.

Juan Uribe: In what is probably good news for fantasy owners (though you never want someone to get hurt), the Chisox put Juan Uribe on DL. Bottom line ? if you had Uribe in your lineup, you needed this wakeup call. Uribe has been consistent over the last two years ? consistently weak. He it .234 and .235 in 06-07 and is below the Mendoza line this year. Cut bait now.

Joba Chamberlain: Ok, my turn to rant and rave (hey, its my column, I can do that). The Yankees announced that they have started the voyage toward converting all-world set up man Joba Chamberlain into a starter. It sort of seems to me like I am watching Titanic and cannot warn Kate Winslet to stay off the ship. Seriously, think about it this way ? when Joe Girardi was a Yankee catcher in 1996 and they had an incredibly dominant set up man (Mariano Rivera), was Joe harping about making Rivera a starter? No, of course not. Why? Because it makes no sense. Remember, the Yankees did not fall into the pit of temptation with Mo in 1996 even though David Cone had aneurysm surgery and missed a good part of the season and Kenny Rogers was just plain bad. To make this move even more foolish, consider that Darrel Rasner has been great, the three veterans have been pretty solid, Ian Kennedy pitched very well this week and Phil Hughes is coming back. The Yankee problems have not been with starting pitching. The problems have been injuries and lack of consistent offense ? neither of which can be solved by giving up baseball's best set up man. Final note ? Joba's transformation is terrible news for fantasy owners of Andy Pettitte, Mike Mussina and the rest of the Yankee starters. How many wins will they lose when Kyle Farnsworth and Latroy Hawkins come in to pour kerosene, gasoline and lighter fluid on the fires late in games?

Moises Alou: In another announcement that should shock only the most unread of fantasy players, the Mets placed Moises Alou back on the DL. Ok, repeat after me ? injury prone players get . . . INJURED! At this point, the Mets have to seriously consider getting a LF who can hit. If you own any Met (even David Wright), you should seriously think about whether they will produce the offensive numbers you expected. Full disclosure ? Rick and I invested heavily in Wright and Reyes. With Beltran hitting his usual .265, Delgado flirting with the Mendoza line, Schneider set to come back down to earth, etc, they desperately need a consistent bat in the OF. Though a power hitter would be better, do we think Kenny Lofton hitting in the two hole would be an offensive upgrade to Tatis, Anderson, Chavez et al?

Adam Everett: In a move that should hurt their defense, but help the offense, the Twins placed Adam Everett on the 15-day disabled list. Brendan Harris will slide to SS with rookie Alexi Casilla playing 2B. Casilla represents a buying opportunity. In the last 5 days, Alexei is 6-19 with 7 RBI and 5 runs. Ride the wave. Plus, he should add some swipes too.

Hiroki Kuroda: Hiroki Kuroda pitched eight strong innings to beat the Reds on Wednesday. At this point, Hiroki is 2-3 with a 3.48 ERA. Time to sell high. He will struggle more as hitters get their second and third looks at him. Also, Japanese pitchers are accustomed to a much shorter season. It is very common for them to struggle in the second half ? see Dice K, 2007. SELL.

And finally, this week's Schultz Says: "Memorial Day always marks a significant point in the rotisserie baseball season. For the first few weeks of the season, it's difficult to get a real hold as to whether your runaway success is sustainable or if you will be hopelessly mired in the miserable depths to which your team has sunk. The season is now 1/3 gone and with the long weekend that most everyone should be enjoying it might be prudent to take a few minutes and make some hard, honest decisions as to where your team is heading. It's not always the easiest task.

Being a strong believer in my Cleveland Indians (which in case Glenn and everyone forgot knocked of the big bad terrible Yankees with little difficulty in last years playoffs), I invested heavily in Travis Hafner, Victor Martinez, C.C. Sabathia and Grady Sizemore. While cherry-picking Cliff Lee has worked out well, let's just say that even with C.C.'s revival the other hometown investments aren't working out too well. If, like me, you are being weighed down by underperforming superstars or not getting the stats you were expecting, this is the time to decide whether you trust your pre-season evaluations and expect your guys to rebound. I am a strong believer in the Tony Gwynn theory: if Gwynn was hitting .240 at the end of May that was the time to pounce on him - he's going to hit .350 by the end of the season so you want to be in on for the fun ride upward. Barring injuries, Ichiro's .294 average, Victor Martinez' 15 RBIs, Miguel Cabrera's all-around miserable season are statistical aberrations. If you own them, you might not want to write them or others like them off too quickly. The fixes you need might be right on your roster.

That all being said, Bill Simmons might be right: Travis Hafner might have been unredeemably injured in that car crash at the end of "No Country For Old Men." Decide wisely and enjoy the weekend.

Response: Cutting to it ? Schultz is right ? keep your stars IF they are in their prime and not injury prone. That said, I am not that unredeemably is a word or sure that Pronk will rebound. As to the Indians winning a playoff series last year, I am left to wonder why they could not even win a world series in any of the three Major League movies.

Have a great holiday weekend, enjoy time with friends and family, watch some baseball, but most importantly, take a moment to reflect on the real reason for Memorial Day and remember in your thoughts those who made the ultimate sacrifice.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Hungry like a Wolf
Tough week in San Diego. Jake Peavy landed on the disabled list with a strained muscle in his elbow, Albert Pujols managed to take out both [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] and Josh Bard in one trip around the bases, and the team has lost five of their last seven. The Padres have scored the fewest runs in baseball, and now that Barry Zito has a win, they're making a case to be the new "so disastrous it's hard to look away." With nice match-ups against the Nationals and the Giants, the good news for Padres fans is that this week can't possibly get worst than last.

Can it?

[SIZE=+1]Two-start Pitchers[/SIZE]

American League

Must-Start Options
Javier Vazquez - @CLE (Paul Byrd), @TB (Scott Kazmir)
Greg Smith ? TOR (A.J. Burnett), @TEX (Vicente Padilla)
Felix Hernandez ? BOS (Bartolo Colon), DET (Kenny Rogers)
Scott Kazmir ? TEX (Sidney Ponson), CHW (Javier Vazquez))
Shaun Marcum ? KC (Brett Tomko), @LAA (John Lackey)
A.J. Burnett - @OAK (Greg Smith), @LAA (Jon Garland)

Other Options
Garrett Olson ? NYY (Darrell Rasner), BOS (Jon Lester)
Brian Burres ? NYY (Ian Kennedy), BOS (Bartolo Colon)
Bartolo Colon - @SEA (Felix Hernandez), @BAL (Brian Burres)
Mark Buehrle - @CLE (Aaron Laffey), @TB (Andy Sonnanstine)
Paul Byrd ? CHW (Javier Vazquez), @KC (Brian Bannister)
Kenny Rogers - @LAA (Jon Garland), @SEA (Felix Hernandez)
Brett Tomko - @TOR (Shaun Marcum), CLE (C.C. Sabathia)
Brian Bannister ? MIN (Nick Blackburn), CLE (Paul Byrd)
Jon Garland ? DET (Kenny Rogers), TOR (A.J. Burnett)
Nick Blackburn - @KC (Brian Bannister), NYY (Darrell Rasner)
Darrell Rasner - @BAL (Garrett Olson), @MIN (Nick Blackburn)
Andy Sonnanstine ? TEX (Vicente Padilla), CHW (Mark Buehrle)
Sidney Ponson - @TB (Scott Kazmir), OAK (Joe Blanton)
Vicente Padilla - @TB (Andy Sonnanstine), OAK (Greg Smith)

National League

Must Start Options
Brandon Webb - @ATL (Jair Jurrjens), WAS (Jason Bergmann)
Dan Haren ? SF (Tim Lincecum), WAS (Shawn Hill)
Jair Jurrjens ? ARI (Brandon Webb), @CIN (Matt Belisle)
Tim Hudson - @MIL (Dave Bush), @CIN (Johnny Cueto)
Ryan Dempster ? LAD (Chad Billingsley), COL (Aaron Cook)
Johan Santana ? FLA (Andrew Miller), LAD (Hiroki Kuroda)
Tim Lincecum - @ARI (Dan Haren), SD (Randy Wolf)

Other Options
Sean Gallagher ? LAD (Hiroki Kuroda), COL (Ubaldo Jimenez)
Johnny Cueto ? PIT (Ian Snell), ATL (Tim Hudson)
Aaron Cook - @PHI (Jamie Moyer), @CHC (Ryan Dempster)
Ubaldo Jimenez - @PHI (Kyle Kendrick), @CHC (Sean Gallagher)
Ricky Nolasco - @NYM (Mike Pelfrey), @PHI (Jamie Moyer)
Shawn Chacon - @STL (Joel Pineiro), @MIL (Dave Bush)
Chad Billingsley - @CHC (Ryan Dempster), @NYM (Mike Pelfrey)
Hiroki Kuroda - @CHC (Sean Gallagher), @NYM (Johan Santana)
Ben Sheets - @WAS (Jason Bergmann), HOU (Chris Sampson)
Dave Bush ? ATL (Tim Hudson), HOU (Shawn Chacon)
Mike Pelfrey ? FLA (Ricky Nolasco), LAD (Chad Billingsley)
Jamie Moyer ? COL (Aaron Cook), FLA (Ricky Nolasco)
Ian Snell - @CIN (Johnny Cueto), @STL (Joel Pineiro)
Randy Wolf ? WAS (Shawn Hill), @SF (Tim Lincecum)
Joel Pineiro ? HOU (Shawn Chacon), PIT (Ian Snell)
Jason Bergmann ? MIL (Ben Sheets), @ARI (Brandon Webb)
Shawn Hill - @SD (Randy Wolf), @ARI (Dan Haren)

[SIZE=+1]Possible Streamers[/SIZE]

The following are pitchers who are available in most mixed leagues and have at least one solid match-up this week.

American League

Monday 5/26 ? Darrell Rasner @BAL ? Rasner's off to a hot start, allowing just four runs and striking out 11 in his first 19 innings, and he should continue to fare well this week, with match-ups against the Orioles and Twins. He's already faced the Orioles once this season, and held them to just five hits in seen innings of shutout ball.

Monday, 5/26 ? Bartolo Colon @ SEA ? Last year when Colon came back, five of his first six starts were quality. He pitched well in his first outing, and this week faces Seattle and Baltimore, two of the worst offenses in the major leagues. With just one game to go off it's risky, but worth considering.

Tuesday 5/27 - Brian Bannister vs. MIN ? Bannister has already faced the Twins at home once this season, throwing a three-hit complete game. In his career against Minnesota, Bannister is 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP. His second start is against the Indians, making him a better daily league candidate.

Sunday, 6/1 ? Paul Byrd @ KC ? Byrd has been up and down this season: he has five games where his ERA is over 6.00, and four games where it's under 1.50, and nothing in between. Sunday's game against Kansas City, one of the more brutal offenses in baseball, should be an "up."

National League

It's an admittedly slow week in the National League?

Tuesday 5/27 ? Randy Wolf vs. WAS ? Wolf went through a brief rough patch as the month changed over, but that was largely due to facing four of the better offenses in the National League. In his two most recent starts, he's compiled a 14/2 K/BB ratio in 13.1 innings. Wolf faces the Nats and the Giants, two of the worst offenses in the National League, so he's a fine weekly start.

Thursday 5/29 ? John Lannan @ SD ? Lannan has allowed one run or less in five of his last seven starts. The Padres have scored the fewest runs in baseball, and pitching in Petco should help Lannan limit the damage done against him.

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[SIZE=+1]Total Games[/SIZE]

American League
7: CHW, KC, TB, TOR
6: BAL, BOS, CLE, DET, LAA, MIN, NYY, OAK, SEA, TEX

National League
7: ARI, ATL, CHC, COL, LAD, MIL, NYM, WAS
6: CIN, FLA, HOU, PHI, PIT, SD, SF, STL,


[SIZE=+1]Righty vs. Lefty match-ups[/SIZE]

American League
Baltimore - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Boston - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Chicago White Sox - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Cleveland - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Detroit - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Kansas City - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Angels - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Minnesota - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
New York Yankees - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Oakland - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Seattle - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Tampa Bay - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Texas - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Toronto - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Red Sox face three lefties this week, and while J.D. Drew has hit lefties at just a .234 clip over the past three seasons, he's hitting .333 off them this year, although in just 21 at-bats.

The Yanks face three lefties as well, which could help Robinson Cano, who is hitting lefties 43 points better than he is righties. Johnny Damon has hit .305 off lefties over the past three years. Jason Giambi has hit just .238, though, so he might be worth sitting if you have better options.

The Rays will once again face three left-handed pitchers this week, which could be nice for Jason Bartlett (.311 vs. LHP). It might hurt Eric Hinske, who is just a .173 hitter against lefties over the past three seasons and has a .129 average against them this season. Evan Longoria could also struggle ? he's hit .118 against lefties so far this season.

National League:
Arizona - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Atlanta - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Chicago Cubs - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Cincinnati - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Colorado - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Florida - 2 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
Houston - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Dodgers ? 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Milwaukee - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
New York Mets - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Philadelphia - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Pittsburgh - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
San Diego - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
San Francisco - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
St. Louis - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Washington - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Cubs will face three lefties, which means that Reed Johnson should get at least a few starts. Derrek Lee is hitting .308 off lefties this season, and Alfonso Soriano is hitting .429. Ryan Theriot is hitting .372 off lefties this season.

The Reds face three southpaws, which isn't great news for Paul Bako, who has hit just .205 off them this season. Adam Dunn is hitting just .227 off them and only 3 of his 12 homers have come against lefties. Ken Griffey Jr. Is hitting just .173 off lefties thus far. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .288 off them meanwhile, making him a solid option, just like Ryan Freel, who is hitting .375 in 56 at-bats against lefties. Jerry Hairston is hitting .381 off lefties so far this season, so he can be considered. Joey Votto is hitting .292 off southpaws.

The Marlins have four starts against left-handed pitchers, which isn't great news for Jacque Jones in his first week with the team. Jorge Cantu is hitting .306 off lefties thus far. Be aware that Mike Jacobs is hitting just .175 off them.

The Padres face three lefties, which isn't great news for Adrian Gonzalez, who is hitting just .196 off them, but he should obviously be played anyway. Scott Hairston has hit just .205 off lefties this season, and Tadahito Iguchi is hitting just .175 off them. Kevin Kouzmanoff should have a nice week, as he's hit .326 off lefties thus far this season.

The Giants also face three lefties, which is bad news for Fred Lewis, who's hit just .154 off them. Bengie Molina has hit just .256 off them, so he could have a down week. Daniel Ortmeier is hitting .270 off lefties, so those of you in the deepest of deep leagues could try using him. Aaron Rowand should have a solid week, as he's hit .386 off southpaws this season.

Washington also has three games against lefties next week, which is good news for Ryan Zimmerman (.330 career vs. LHP). Christian Guzman has hit just .210 versus lefties in the past three years, but he's hitting .367 in 60 at-bats against them this season.

[SIZE=+1]The Injury Bug[/SIZE]

For the latest on injuries, check out Rotoworld's handy Injury Page.

Wandy Rodriguez ? SP ? groin - Could return this week
Eric Chavez - 3B ? back - Could return this week
David Eckstein ? SS ? hip ? Should return Monday
John Smoltz ? SP/RP ? shoulder ? Should be back this week
Rafael Soriano ? RP ? elbow ? Should return this week
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] ? 3B ? knee ? Will join the team on Monday
Rafael Furcal ? SS ? back ? return delayed, could be back this week
Fausto Carmona ? SP ? hip ? Day-to-day
Jake Westbrook ? SP ? ribs ? Could be back this week
Felix Hernandez ? SP ? calf ? Might pitch Monday, could be pushed
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] ? SP ? head ? Was Pujolsed
Josh Bard ? C ? ankle ? Also was Pujolsed
Jake Peavy ? SP ? elbow ? Return late June
Michael Barrett ? C ? elbow ? Could be back this week
Jayson Werth ? OF ? abdomen ? Return mid-June
Ryan Doumit ? C ? thumb ? Might return on Thursday
Jack Wilson ? SS ? calf ? Should return by Tuesday
Kevin Millwood ? SP ? groin ? Could return on Friday
Hank Blalock ? 3B/1B ? carpal tunnel ? Out indefinitely
Paul Konerko ? 1B ? hand ? Day-to-day

[SIZE=+1]Waiver Wired[/SIZE]

For this week's top waiver adds, read my opinion in this week's Waiver Wired.

AL

1. Jon Lester
2. Bartolo Colon
3. Hank Blalock (Return now delayed)
4. Joey Devine
5. Eric Chavez

NL

1. Salomon Torres
2. Wandy Rodriguez
3. Dmitri Young
4. Andrew Miller
5. Mark Kotsay
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

AL Team-by-Team Notes
I had serious doubts the Yankees were telling the truth about their intentions to move Joba Chamberlain to the rotation during the season, but they are following through with the switch. While they've tried to temper enthusiasm by saying his first start won't come as quickly as some are speculating, I doubt he'll spend all that much more time in the bullpen. As soon as he's ready to throw five innings, it would make sense to have those innings come at the beginning of the game, not in the middle. Chamberlain stands to take Ian Kennedy's spot in the rotation. Assuming good health, he'll have time to make 17-18 starts and pitch 100-110 innings. I see him amassing an ERA in the mid-3.00s as a starter and averaging just over a strikeout an inning.

American League Notes

Baltimore - Jim Johnson spent two years as one of the least distinguished players on the Orioles' 40-man roster -- he spent eight days in the majors and gave up 10 runs in five innings -- but a switch from the rotation to the pen has done him a world of good and he'd now likely be the choice to close if George Sherrill goes down to injury or gets traded. He's throwing 93-95 mph, which is harder than he ever did as a starter, and the increase in velocity has made his curve a lot more effective. He's more likely to be a setup man than a closer for the long-term, but he's a definite sleeper for the second half of this year. ? With 10 of the team's next 13 games against the Yankees and Red Sox, this isn't a good time to be relying on Orioles pitchers. Brian Burres is due to turn back into a pumpkin at any moment anyway. ? If Saturday's massacre was the end for Steve Trachsel in Baltimore, then Matt Albers will probably take over as the team's fifth starter.

Boston - Jon Lester's no-no just adds to an already great story. Unusual about the outing -- besides the fact that he didn't allow any hits -- was that he was throwing his hardest in the seventh and eighth innings. He's jamming more hitters with his four-seamer inside and still using his cutter generously. The result is that he's getting more grounders than ever before during his string of fine outings over the last month. It looks like a real breakthrough. However, it'd be no surprise to see a hangover effect from the 130-pitch outing in his next couple of starts. ? Bartolo Colon also impressed in his Red Sox debut on Wednesday. He threw almost nothing but fastballs, but that's typical for him. He was able to top out at 95 mph, and he was still throwing right around 90 mph when he went to the two-seamer. There's a good chance he'll get to keep his rotation spot after Clay Buchholz (finger) is ready to return from the DL. Unless Tim Wakefield needs a break, Buchholz will probably be sent down to Triple-A before the end of the month. Colon is worth using in AL-only leagues now and could be an option in mixed leagues if he fares well versus Seattle and Baltimore this week.

Chicago - It'd sure be nice to know what's really going on inside Paul Konerko's sore right hand. The usually reliable first baseman is batting .212 with five homers, the last of which came on April 27. His isolated power, which has been running right around .250 for four years now, is at .134. Obviously, the problem is no simple bruise that's going to fade away. If there's ligament damage -- and the Chicago Tribune has provided some indication that that's the case -- then Konerko could spend the rest of the season playing at less than 100 percent. Maybe the cortisone shot he received will take away the pain and let him swing normally, but if there's real weakness in the hand, that won't help. This is one case in which it wouldn't be a bad idea to sell low. He shouldn't be active in shallow mixed leagues right now. ? Alexei Ramirez hasn't been particularly impressive offensively or defensively while filling in for Juan Uribe (hamstring). The job will be his for at least another week after Uribe was placed on the DL on Friday, but he might ultimately be sent down and replaced by Danny Richar, who just began a rehab assignment after missing the first 7 ? weeks with a stress fracture in his rib cage. Since Uribe was still slumping before going down, the opportunity will be there for Richar to claim a starting job. He's not a great bet, but he'd be nice to have stashed away in AL-only leagues.

Cleveland - What's left for the Indians to try to get their offense going? They could sit Ryan Garko for Michael Aubrey, but that's not at all likely to prove to be an upgrade. Garko has the third-best OBP and slugging percentage of the team's regulars anyway. Adding Josh Barfield to the middle-infield mix won't be an option unless he starts hitting in Triple-A. Sitting Casey Blake for Andy Marte would be a worthwhile experiment, but it's not going to happen with Blake leading the team in RBI. Odds are that we'll see more of the same this week. It looks like the Indians will create a spot for Shin-Soo Choo soon. Sending down Aubrey is the likeliest choice, but it's not beyond the realm of possibility that they'll designate either Marte or David Dellucci for assignment. ? There's never a good time to lose someone as talented as Fausto Carmona (hip), but it won't hurt as much with Jake Westbrook (ribs) set to return Wednesday. Aaron Laffey will get to keep his rotation spot for at least a couple of more weeks. Since the White Sox are struggling, Westbrook should be worth using in all formats immediately. ? Victor Martinez missed a second game Saturday after an errant attempt to remove a hangnail Wednesday left him with a torn cuticle. It'd be nice if he started using some of that strength to knock the ball out of the park once in a while.

Detroit - There was no way Detroit was taking Armando Galarraga out of the rotation, so Dontrelle Willis, who had made just two starts since signing a three-year, $29 million contract, was sent to the bullpen after being activated from the DL last week. What the Tigers really need is for Kenny Rogers to strain one of his ancient hamstrings. Willis is still having major difficulties finding the strike zone, but he's more likely to work through the problem in the rotation than in the pen. He'll probably regain a spot within the next couple of weeks. I don't see Galarraga remaining a useful starter, but he is pitching better than anyone else in the rotation right now. Justin Verlander remains the Tigers' only starter worth using in mixed leagues. ? Matt Joyce is already fourth on the Tigers with five homers in just 43 at-bats since being called up. He's not hitting for average, but he's also not striking out, which could be taken as an indication that he'll have some staying power. Still, he's not to be grabbed in mixed leagues. He projects as a long-term reserve.

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Kansas City - Billy Butler's sophomore season started nicely, but his average has been dropping steadily since the middle of April and he's been stuck on one homer for nearly six weeks. Right-handers are still eating him alive. He's hit .331 with a 960 OPS against lefties and .262 with a 672 OPS versus righties in nearly a full season in the majors. There's still no doubt in my mind that he'll develop into a top-flight hitter, but until his eventual 25- or 30-homer power comes, it looks like he'll remain a liability two-thirds of the time. The Royals could consider sending him down, but it'd likely take a few more bad weeks before they'd go there. I don't think it will get that bad. ? Mark Teahen has practically the same line as Butler and just 12 RBI in 47 games despite hitting in the middle of the order. The Royals should at least be looking to replace him against lefties. He's not going to lose his job entirely, but if he doesn't get a whole lot better, GM Dayton Moore and manager Trey Hillman would be foolish to pencil him in as a regular again next year. ? The Royals are going to have to keep playing Miguel Olivo over John Buck most of the time while the catcher remains hot. They don't face particularly good pitching over the next couple of weeks, so Olivo is a short-term option as a No. 2 catcher in mixed leagues.

Los Angeles - From the moment Torii Hunter was signed, Gary Matthews Jr. was no longer part of the Angels' best starting nine. Still, his contract made him a mainstay and nothing has changed even though he's been quite a bit worse than expected. It hasn't hurt that Juan Rivera has been an even bigger disappointment in his limited chances to play. Matthews is sure to improve, and since the Angels have stuck with him at the top of the order all through his slump, he still has some value in mixed leagues. He's on pace for 75 runs and RBI even though he hasn't done much of anything yet. ? Chone Figgins sat out a third straight game with his sore leg on Saturday, but barring some bad news on Sunday, he'll have to be active in mixed leagues this week. ? The Angels are hopeful that Howie Kendrick (hamstring) will be back by the weekend, but it's too risky to activate him.

Minnesota - Alexi Casilla had no homers and two RBI in 96 at-bats for Triple-A Rochester. He has two homers and nine RBI in 26 at-bats since being called up. This after he hit .222/.256/.259 with no homers and nine RBI in 189 at-bats for the Twins last season. It seems doubtful that he's suddenly discovered the key to hitting major league pitching, but he is hot at the moment and that gives him value in AL-only leagues. He'll be the everyday second baseman until Adam Everett returns. ? What happens once Everett comes back remains to be seen. The Twins are obviously down on Brendan Harris as a second baseman because of his struggles making the turn on double-play balls. If Casilla can stay hot, it's possible he'll retain the position for the rest of the year. That'd likely turn Harris into a utilityman. Mike Lamb has been awful, but the Twins won't be quick to replace him after giving him a two-year deal over the winter. Everett's glove makes enough of a difference that it's not worth using Harris at shortstop over him. The subject could be moot if Everett's shoulder problems are here to stay, but it is possible Harris will become a reserve next month. ? Also at risk of a demotion is Boof Bonser. If Glen Perkins is still throwing well when Scott Baker returns early next month, it'd make sense to try Bonser as a reliever. It might be the best thing for the right-hander anyway.

New York - Joba's move to the rotation leaves the Yankees with no obvious alternative in the closer's role in the event of an injury to Mariano Rivera. If Rivera went down today, then it's a pretty good guess that the plan to move Chamberlain would be abandoned. However, once Chamberlain is in the rotation, it's doubtful he'd be moved back unless he was really struggling. Kyle Farnsworth has been farily effective this year and probably would be next in line because of his experience. However, it'd be a good idea to keep a close eye on Edwar Ramirez. The changeup specialist has pitched 11 scoreless innings so far this season. ? Wilson Betemit (hamstring) is expected to return Monday, and Alberto Gonzalez will probably be sent down to make room. The Yankees could instead release Morgan Ensberg, but as little as they use their infield backups, it would make sense to let Gonzalez play regularly in Triple-A.

Oakland - The A's have already sent down two players who entered spring training as likely regulars in Travis Buck and Chris Denorfia. They may contemplate demoting another if Daric Barton doesn't snap out of it soon. The 22-year-old is hitting .213/.332/.319 in 160 at-bats this season. If Eric Chavez (back) comes off the DL this week, the A's will have to do something with their infield. Optioning out Barton and going with Jack Hannahan and Mike Sweeney at first base is a possibility. Sending down Gregorio Petit is another, but that would just push back the decision until Donnie Murphy (elbow) returns and leave the A's without a true backup at short. If Barton would just pick up his play, then the A's could consider releasing Sweeney. However, it's not looking good for the rookie right now. ? Justin Duchscherer's terrific performance Saturday against the Red Sox lowered his ERA to 2.16 and will get him picked up in a lot of mixed leagues in which he remains unowned. AL-only leaguers should think about selling high. He is proving he can go through lineups three times per night, which is something I was skeptical about. However, he remains a poor bet to hold up physically. He's already missed time this season with a biceps strain, and he has a history of back troubles.

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Seattle - The changes in Seattle need to start at the top. If one thing is for certain, it's that current GM Bill Bavasi shouldn't have anything to do with the much-needed retooling that has to happen over the next seven months. Unfortunately, the Mariners' bad contracts will be impossible to move. No one from the group of Carlos Silva, Miguel Batista, Jarrod Washburn, Jose Vidro, Richie Sexson and Kenji Johjima has any trade value at all. Free-agent-to-be Raul Ibanez is the one player the Mariners must use to acquire a couple of quality prospects. Adrian Beltre is owed $11.5 million next year and doesn't have big numbers, so he probably wouldn't bring back what he's worth. The Mariners don't even have any veteran setup men likely to be prized by other terams. They could attempt to completely blow it up and move both Ichiro Suzuki (limited no-trade clause) and Erik Bedard, but that seems highly unlikely. More than anything else, what they need is a quality GM. There's no excuse at all for them to spare any expense in replacing Bavasi. ? Further immediate changes to the lineup might not come after the foolish move to send down Jeff Clement and give Vidro his job back. However, the Mariners need to do something different in the rotation. Sending Batista to the pen makes the most sense. Jarrod Washburn has been just as bad, but Batista is the one of the two more likely to be of use as a reliever. Ryan Feierabend has been about as effective as anyone in the PCL and could get a chance to take over.

Tampa Bay - Willy Aybar is nearing a return from a strained hamstring he suffered on April 9, but it doesn't look like there will be any room on the roster for the player who began the season as the Rays' starting third baseman. It's not beyond the realm of possibility that they could drop either Gabe Gross or Jonny Gomes, but Gross is their backup in center and Gomes is still needed against lefties, even if manager Joe Maddon doesn't trust him versus righties. Aybar is out of options, so he could soon become available on waivers. He'd make a lot of sense for the Giants.

Texas - The move of Hank Blalock from third to first opened up one hole to fill another, but if it helps keep Blalock healthy, it might work for the short term. Chris Davis still should get a chance to finish the season as the starter at first base. In the meantime, Ramon Vazquez will get most of the playing time at third base over German Duran. Duran could be sent down if the Rangers have a chance to pick up someone like Aybar in waivers. Blalock, who was set to return from a hamstring strain Friday before coming down with a sore wrist, could come off the DL as soon as Monday or Tuesday. Still, it will take a favorable report on Sunday to make him worth activating for this week. ? In what was probably his last chance to hang on to his job, C.J. Wilson successfully closed out a one-run lead on Thursday. He's still not going to have any margin for error over the next couple of weeks. If it didn't matter on the field, the Rangers would be better off with Eddie Guardado closing. It would help his chances of being flipped for a quality prospect at the deadline, and putting Wilson back into a setup role would make him cheaper once he eventually becomes arbitration eligible. Wilson's batting-average against and his walk rate are right where they were last year, but his ERA has increased from 3.03 to 4.79. He is likely to bounce back. It's just not necessarily going to happen as a closer. ? Kevin Millwood's return from a groin strain on Friday figures to knock Doug Mathis out of the rotation.

Toronto - Jesse Litsch very possibly would have found himself on the outside looking in on the Jays' rotation if not for Casey Janssen going down with a torn labrum in spring training. Now he's 6-1 with a 3.57 ERA. The one walk he issued in his shutout Saturday was his first in six starts since April 22. Litsch showed a varied arsenal last year, but he's pretty much focusing on his cutter and sinker this year. Neither pitch overwhelms with movement, but with the outstanding command he's had all year, he still hasn't given up a lot of well-hit balls. He is pitching above his head -- he gives up a fair amount of homers and doesn't induce quite as many grounders as one would hope given his pedestrian strikeout rate -- but if he's the new Carlos Silva, he'll eventually be a very rich man. ? Alex Rios is in the midst of quite a slump, but that just makes him a buy-low candidate. He's on pace for more than 30 steals, so when his power does come back -- and there's no reason to believe it won't -- he could be more valuable than ever. ? David Eckstein's expected return Monday from a hip injury will send Marco Scutaro to the bench.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

NL Team-by-Team Notes

June rankings next week.


It didn't seem likely that Clayton Kershaw would last six innings in his major league debut Sunday after a 32-pitch first, but he bounced back nicely and the Cardinals had a very difficult time laying off his pitches outside the strike zone. The walk he issued to the second batter he faced (Brian Barton) was his only one of the day, and he ended up striking out seven in a no-decision. Kershaw is due to make two more starts before the Dodgers consider additional revisions to their rotation. Jason Schmidt (shoulder) is sure to get a look if healthy, and because of the innings restrictions on his arm, Kershaw could be sent back down even if he continues to impress. It's surely worth trying him in mixed leagues anyway. Just don't be too disappointed if he heads back to the minors in June.

National League Notes

Arizona - If [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL]'s knee holds up, he should find himself at third base against most righties after returning Monday. The streaky Mark Reynolds is hitting .197 with just one homer in 71 at-bats this month. For the season, he's batting .211/.285/.368 in 114 at-bats against righties. Tracy is a career .308/.371/.508 hitter versus righties. He's also a modest upgrade over Reynolds defensively when healthy. Mixed leaguers should be looking to replace Reynolds, at least for the short-term. ? The Diamondbacks elected to keep Max Scherzer as a reliever after Doug Davis rejoined the rotation on Friday. While he could help as a setup man, it seems unlikely that he'll be turned into a one-inning guy when he might be needed as a starter again. He'll probably get a lot of work when the Diamondbacks are one or two runs down, giving him a chance to vulture wins.

Atlanta - John Smoltz (shoulder) and Rafael Soriano (elbow) are expected to return this week, with Mike Gonzalez (elbow) likely to follow in early June. Smoltz's shoulder didn't feel quite as good as hoped Sunday after his minor league appearance Saturday, so it's still not a lock that he'll be activated. However, the threat of Smoltz rejoining the team on Wednesday makes Soriano look like a weaker play in fantasy leagues. After more than a month and a half off, Soriano would probably be behind Manny Acosta in line for saves in his first week or two back anyway. ? This is usually about the time that Mark Teixeira really heats up. Entering the season, his career homer totals by month were 15, 23, 27, 31, 35 and 38. This could be the last good opportunity to pull off a trade for him. ? Blister problems have Jorge Campillo questionable to make his start Thursday. He's really impressed so far, but he'd be a tough play in fantasy leagues while pitching at less than 100 percent. If he's scratched, Jeff Bennett would probably start in his place, assuming he's not needed in relief before then. atlantabraves.com

Chicago - Jim Edmonds hasn't appeared any less done in Chicago than he did in San Diego, and since the Cubs aren't known for their patience, it wouldn't come as a big surprise to see him get released after another bad week. That would give the Cubs a couple of options. One would be to call up Eric Patterson to platoon with Reed Johnson in center. They're not going to go back to Felix Pie, who is hitting .086 in 35 at-bats since his demotion, and Patterson has the range to play center, though he lacks a lot of experience there. Another possibility would be a move of Kosuke Fukudome to center. Micah Hoffpauir would likely get a trial in right, with Matt Murton called up to start versus southpaws. If they went back to Johnson, they'd be settling for a stopgap. They may need to trade for a center fielder later anyway, so they might as well experiment for now. Hoffpauir is worth considering in NL-only leagues because of the possibility for playing time. He's not the stud he appeared to be in spring training, but he has major league power. ? With both Rich Hill and Sean Marshall on the DL at Triple-A Iowa, it looks like Sean Gallagher's rotation spot is safe for a couple of weeks. He'll get the Dodgers and Rockies at home this week, making him a fine short-term choice in NL-only leagues.

Cincinnati - Perhaps Corey Patterson's 0-for-8 in Sunday's loss was the final straw. Monday being the 58th day of the season, it's highly unlikely that Jay Bruce would be a super-two player after 2010 if called up now. It definitely seems like the right time to make him the center fielder against right-handers anyway. He's actually been even better versus lefties in Triple-A (1071 OPS vs. 1004), but he does have a 17/1 K/BB ratio in 54 at-bats against them, suggesting that he might not be ready to be a full-timer just yet. Ryan Freel has been terrific against lefties and could keep platooning. ? The Reds may need an extra starter this week after using both Aaron Harang and Edinson Volquez in relief in Sunday's marathon. If so, it seems unlikely that the struggling Homer Bailey would be the choice. Justin Lehr would have made sense for a spot start, but he was just sold to Korea. Lefty Matt Maloney might be tried instead. I'm not a fan, but the opportunity is definitely there for someone to overtake Matt Belisle. Maloney would have a reasonable chance if called up. Very good command of slightly below average stuff could make him a fourth or fifth starter.

Colorado - The Rockies lost Brad Hawpe (hamstring) and Clint Barmes (knee) to the DL on Saturday, Matt Holliday (hamstring) on Sunday and played without Garrett Atkins (neck) and Willy Taveras (knee) the last two days, yet still managed to take two out of three from the disappointing Mets. They'll be going with Ryan Spilborghs, Scott Podsednik and Seth Smith in the outfield corners for the next couple of weeks. Spilborghs will be worth trying in deeper mixed leagues, and the other two will be fine to use in NL-only leagues. Omar Quintanilla, Jeff Baker and Jonathan Herrera are fighting for time at short and second. No one in the group has more than a little value in NL-only leagues. Atkins and Taveras are expected to avoid the disabled list, so they should be OK to play this week. ? Jeff Francis was roughed up in the Rockies' lone loss to the Mets, and he's currently 1-5 with a 6.18 ERA. His velocity is down from last year, and he's been more frequently behind in the count, giving him fewer opportunities to use his curve. It looks like the 232 innings he threw between the regular season and October last year have taken a toll. He's barely worth playing in NL-only leagues right now, and it wouldn't be a great idea to use him against the Cubs this week.

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Florida - It's unlikely that Burke Badenhop will last, but the rest of the Marlins' rotation is looking a whole lot more solid because of the recent showings of Andrew Miller and Ricky Nolasco. Those two have combined to allow six earned runs in six starts over the last three weeks. With Miller's command coming around, he seems like the better bet to keep it up. Much of Nolasco's recent success is due to some luck at keeping the ball in the park. He shouldn't fall apart, but neither is likely to remain a particularly reliable fantasy starter. ? Something that must have the Marlins concerned is the recent drop off in Scott Olsen's stuff. He's not supposed to be hurt, but he is pitching like it. Mixed leaguers should have him reserved for now. The time to sell high has likely passed, but it's still worth trying. ? Jacque Jones was kept in extended spring training for just four days before joining the Marlins on Friday. He'll get a lot of time in center against righties as the Marlins try to figure out whether he'll be an upgrade over Alfredo Amezaga. That should give him modest value in NL-only leagues.

Houston - Lance Berkman is on pace for career highs in practically every category. He's already there in steals, swiping his 10th base on Sunday. One of my major complaints is that he's never been driven in as often as he should be, but he's scored 53 runs this year. Subtracting his homers, he's been driven in 37 times in 51 games. Despite OBPs right around .400, he was driven in 50 times in 152 games in 2006 and 61 times in 153 games last year. Obviously, Carlos Lee deserves much of the credit. Lee has been driven in 14 times all year, so it's not the guys behind him producing. Berkman is going to fade, of course, and he's not going to keep stealing bases like this with pitchers likely to start taking notice of him. He'll get a new high in runs and drive in 110-120 runs. However, now is the time to see if he'd bring back a couple of stars in return. ? Wandy Rodriguez will return from a strained groin on Wednesday, but he'll be pitching in St. Louis. As awful as he's been on the road since the start of last season (3-10, 6.41 ERA in 17 starts), fantasy leaguers may want to wait the extra week to activate him. ? Brian Moehler has outpitched Chris Sampson lately, but indications are that he's still the likely candidate to head to the pen to make room for Rodriguez.

Los Angeles - I don't think Andruw Jones is done, but the Dodgers should benefit from a regular outfield of Juan Pierre, Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier. That's how it will shape up for the next 4-6 weeks after Andruw opted for knee surgery. Pierre was likely to keep playing anyway, but this means the Dodgers' top two outfielders will be in the lineup every day. ? The Dodgers still desperately need Rafael Furcal back at the top of their lineup. Unfortunately, it doesn't seem all that likely to happen this week. Chin-Lung Hu and Luis Maza will keep filling in for Furcal, who has been out since May 6 with a lower back strain. ? The move of Nomar Garciaparra (calf) to the 60-day DL would seem to secure Blake DeWitt's job for another month. Andy LaRoche still deserves a chance, but it's not going to come until DeWitt's average tumbles. He's hitting .306/.372/.470.

Milwaukee - With Bill Hall in a year-long slump against righties and making errors in bunches, it was time to try something different at third base. Enter Russell Branyan. The slugger will never remind anyone of Scott Rolen at third base, but he's always tended to get the job done defensively, and he's a perfectly useful hitter against right-handers despite all of the strikeouts. With Hall amassing an 1195 OPS against lefties this year (versus a 546 mark against righties), a platoon could be surprisingly productive. I'm not all that optimistic it will really shape up that way -- Ned Yost will have to fight the urge to go back to Hall the first time Branyan fans four times in a game -- but Branyan is worth grabbing in NL-only leagues. ? Salomon Torres will be Yost's preferred choice in the closer's role until Eric Gagne returns from rotator-cuff tendinitis. Guillermo Mota has choked away a couple of games recently, and David Riske doesn't appear to be all that close to returning from his elbow injury. Brian Shouse could get the odd opportunity when there are lefties due up in the ninth, but Torres is the one worth using in mixed leagues. ? Seth McClung won in his rotation debut for the Brewers on Saturday, but that was against the Nationals. He has a 6.11 ERA in 38 career starts, making him a poor pickup in NL-only leagues.

New York - Firing Willie Randolph is really the only thing the Mets can do as a way to shake up the team. There's very, very little flexibility with the roster. The only guys in the lineup who could potentially be replaced are Carlos Delgado and Brian Schneider, and Delgado has showed clear signs of progress lately. As for Schneider, no one seems the calling for his head. The pitchers enjoy throwing to him and [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3901"]Ramon Castro[/URL] probably wouldn't hold up as a regular anyway, so that's settled. The rotation is set until Pedro Martinez (hamstring) returns next month, and neither Mike Pelfrey nor Claudio Vargas has been a real problem anyway. Trading Oliver Perez for a more reliable pitcher would be an interesting idea, but because he's a free agent at season's end, he probably wouldn't bring back what he's worth. What the Mets need is for a couple of their hitters to catch fire. It will surely happen, but perhaps not in time to save Randolph. ? With Moises Alou (calf) and Marlon Anderson (hamstring) on the DL, the Mets are down to Endy Chavez, Nick Evans and Fernando Tatis in left field. Evans, a right-handed hitter, would be on the wrong side of a strict platoon, but he still looks like the best short-term choice in NL-only leagues. newyorkmets.com

Philadelphia - Jayson Werth has more RBI than Shane Victorino and Geoff Jenkins combined, even though he has fewer at-bats than either player, making his loss to the DL with an abdominal strain a big one. Victorino will be an everyday player while Werth is out, so he's worth grabbing in any mixed leagues in which he was dropped. So Taguchi figures to take over as the platoon partner for Jenkins. ? While they've been bit by the injury bug on offense, the Phillies have used the same 12 pitchers all year. They've even given all of the starts to the same five pitchers, though Chad Durbin has made a legitimate case for replacing either Adam Eaton or Kyle Kendrick. Brett Myers has the highest ERA on the staff, but he's staying put. If his fastball isn't what it was a couple of years ago, it's still above average. He's not worth using in mixed leagues right now, but I think he will be again soon enough.

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Pittsburgh - Doug Mientkiewicz has no future in Pittsburgh beyond this year, but the Pirates have started using a true platoon at third base anyway. Until that changes, [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3803"]Jose Bautista[/URL] will be looking at two starts per week on average. It suggests that he's another player with little chance of still being around in 2009. ? The Pirates are expected to activate Jack Wilson (calf) on Tuesday and send down Brian Bixler. That the team has been rotating players in and out of the two hole lately can be taken as an indication that the spot will be Wilson's to lose. He's a much better bet in NL-only leagues hitting second than he would be seventh or eighth.

St. Louis - Ryan Franklin has a 2.68 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in 104 innings since the beginning of last year, so there's certainly going to be no rush to replace him in the closer's role. However, Chris Perez is the long-term answer for St. Louis there and he's been dominant since being called up, allowing one hit in 4 2/3 innings. The only flaw in Perez's game is that his command will come and go. He's about as tough to hit as anyone in the NL, and he's plenty used to closing out ninth-inning leads. He needs to be owned in all NL-only leagues, and he'll be worth speculating on in mixed leagues if Franklin ever starts to stumble. ? Joel Pineiro is hoping to start Saturday after being pushed back by a groin strain. Since it's doubtful that he'll go on the DL, we won't see Jaime Garcia just yet. If Pineiro can't go on Saturday, then Mike Parisi would likely come out of the pen to start. ? The Cardinals dodged a bullet Saturday night when Troy Glaus checked out fine. An appendectomy likely would have cost him about three weeks. However, he was right back at third base for Sunday's game.

San Diego - They decided against making the move last week, but the Padres still figure to call up Chase Headley soon. Like the Reds with Jay Bruce, they were certainly concerned about the possibility of super-two eligibility. Since that's about to ne longer be an issue, it's time to try him in left field. ? With Jake Peavy (elbow) and [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] (nose) out indefinitely, the Padres are left with a rotation of Greg Maddux, Randy Wolf, Shawn Estes, Wilfredo Ledezma and probably Josh Banks. An attempt to stretch out Clay Hensley at Triple-A as he returns from shoulder surgery doesn't seem to be going very well, and the Pads have no one else pitching all that well in the rotation at Portland. They'll likely be quick to grab any interesting pitchers that become available on the waiver wire, and they might move to pick up the recently released Julian Tavarez. Even with Petco helping out, Maddux and Wolf are the only current rotation members worth using in fantasy leagues. The walks will catch up to Estes soon enough, and they already have to Ledezma. Banks is the type of pitcher Petco Park was built for, but he's still essentially a lesser version of Josh Towers.

San Francisco - The Giants sent down Eugenio Velez only to put a younger player on their bench. They currently have a 23-year-old Emmanuel Burriss and a 22-year-old Travis Denker playing behind 41-year-old Omar Vizquel and 36-year-old Ray Durham. It's a bizarre setup for a rebuilding team, but if this is the way GM Brian Sabean and manager Bruce Bochy want it now, who's to say they'll feel any differently in a month or two? Denker is the better bet than Burriss to eventually emerge with some fantasy value. Still, he doesn't have major league power yet and he's not a speed guy. It's doubtful that he's ready for the majors. ? Having given up no more than three earned runs in any of his last four starts, Barry Zito is on the road to respectability. He should settle back in as the pitcher he was last year, when he finished with a 4.53 ERA. Too bad that's unlikely to give him every-week value on a team scoring so few runs. He's not going to be worth using with the Diamondbacks on the schedule for this week.

Washington - In resisting the temptation to call up Justin Maxwell to replace Austin Kearns, who will miss 3-4 weeks after elbow surgery, the Nationals committed to using both Wily Mo Pena and Elijah Dukes as regulars for now. It was the right plan, and not just because Maxwell was limited by a wrist injury anyway. The Nats need to decide whether either Pena or Dukes will be worth going forward with in 2009. Pena especially should benefit from being an everyday player, as he seemed to after being traded to Washington last year. Dukes, who is still just 23, might be in need of additional minor league time. It's something he'd likely get if he's still struggling after Kearns is ready to play. ? That the other outfielders have been even worse has helped obscure how disappointing Lastings Milledge has been, at least to those who don't own him. He went seven weeks between homers before hitting one Saturday. Especially surprising is that he's had an extremely tough time against left-handers after handling them so well last year (956 OPS in 60 at-bats). He's definitely guilty of overswinging and trying to pull outside pitches. I think his talent will win out eventually, but I feel bad now about recommending him in mixed leagues.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Colorado's Crowded DL
It was a rough weekend for the Rockies, who lost Matt Holliday, Brad Hawpe, and Clint Barmes to the disabled list in the span of 48 hours. With both corner-outfield spots open, Ryan Spilborghs figures to play nearly every day, leaving Seth Smith and Scott Podsednik to essentially fight over one job. Spilborghs has hit .298/.364/.460 with 16 homers and 12 steals in 590 career plate appearances, making him a solid asset in NL-only leagues with borderline mixed-league value.

Smith has just 16 plate appearances in the majors, but smacked his first MLB homer Sunday and has hit .318/.398/.523 with 23 homers and 18 steals in 174 games at Triple-A. He'll be a fine NL-only pickup if the Rockies decide to make him a quasi-starter, but the team figures to give a big chunk of the playing time Podsednik despite the fact that he hasn't slugged above .370 since 2003. Of course, even if Podsednik can't hit he still has enough speed to be a major fantasy plus.

Meanwhile, with both Troy Tulowitzki and Barmes out, Omar Quintanilla is suddenly the Rockies' starting shortstop. Minimal power limits his fantasy value, but any middle infielder playing every day for the Rockies is worth grabbing in NL-only leagues and he's hit .305 in 213 career games at Triple-A. With Quintanilla needed at shortstop, Jeff Baker figures to see plenty of action at second base is also worth grabbing despite a measly .527 OPS in 72 plate appearances so far.

In terms of waiver-wire priority, Spilborghs is the best bet among Rockies outfielders, followed by Podsednik and then Smith. Baker is a better pickup than Quintanilla, but both are definitely worth considering if you need middle-infield help. Also keep an eye on Ian Stewart, who could see time at second base if the Rockies get creative defensively. His prospect stock has declined some over the past couple years, but he's still hit .297 with 27 homers in 158 games at Triple-A.

While the banged-up Rockies try to avoid last place with a lineup that looks nothing like the group that took the field during the World Series or even on Opening Day, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Clayton Kershaw lived up to the hype in his big-league debut Sunday, holding the Cardinals to two runs over six innings while racking up seven strikeouts. As a 20-year-old with just 14 career starts above Single-A and nearly four walks per nine innings in the minors, Kershaw will struggle with his control at times. However, he threw 69 of 102 pitches for strikes Sunday and handed out just a single walk to a lineup that leads the NL in free passes.

Kershaw worked with an overpowering mid-90s fastball and knee-buckling high-70s curveball that combined to hold the Cardinals to just five hits. My guess is that sporadic command will keep him from being an immediate asset in mixed leagues, but there's no doubt that Kershaw has a chance to have sizable value in NL-only leagues right away and is a must-grab. He'll get at least two more starts to show that he should be in the majors to stay, with the Mets next up this week.

* Evan Longoria has struggled to make consistent contact in his first taste of the big leagues, striking out 42 times through 40 major-league games. That works out to 155 strikeouts per 600 plate appearances, which helps explain his lowly .246 batting average. However, Longoria has provided more than enough power and plate discipline to make up for the measly batting average and rule out a return to the minors.

He notched his first career two-homer game and drove in six runs Saturday, and then delivered a walk-off double in the bottom of the ninth inning Sunday. Longoria has seven homers, 17 total extra-base hits, and 16 walks in 163 plate appearances, which is good for a .791 OPS that ranks seventh among all MLB third basemen. He'll always be a high-strikeout hitter, but should be able to make 10-20 percent more contact eventually, so expect the batting average to gradually rise.

* Fausto Carmona coughed up a season-high six runs Friday before exiting his start after two innings with a strained left hip and the Indians placed him on the disabled list Saturday. He's expected to miss a month, but the good news is that Jake Westbrook is healthy enough to take his rotation spot Wednesday. Swapping Carmona for Westbrook also means that Daily Dose favorite Aaron Laffey remains in the rotation after pitching very well subbing for Westbrook.

* As expected, Andruw Jones headed to the disabled list Sunday with torn cartilage in his knee and will be out 4-6 weeks following surgery. Jones won't be missed much after hitting .165 in 43 games, but his absence means that Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, and Juan Pierre will all play nearly every day. Jones has hit just .211/.304/.386 in 197 games since last season, essentially falling off a cliff once he turned 30 years old, yet the Dodgers will be paying him $18 million in 2009.

AL Quick Hits: Jon Lester followed up last week's no-hitter by allowing four runs (three earned) over five innings Sunday versus the A's ? Initially scheduled to return from a hamstring injury Friday, Hank Blalock is now expected to out until at least next week thanks to recently diagnosed carpal tunnel syndrome ? Sunday's outing was Justin Verlander's third straight Quality Start and his velocity is back in the mid-90s after lagging behind last month ? Howie Kendrick (hamstring) is slated to begin a minor-league rehab assignment by the middle of this week, but given previous setbacks there's no clear timetable for his return ? With a second-inning walk Sunday, Lyle Overbay set a new Blue Jays record by reaching safely in 12 straight plate appearances ? Victor Martinez rejoined the lineup Sunday after sitting out two games with a cut on his finger ? Glen Perkins held the Tigers to one run over 7.1 innings Sunday and figures to remain in the rotation once Scott Baker (groin) returns ? Starting Sunday for the first time since being talked up in this space last week, Daniel Cabrera struggled versus the Rays while walking more than two batters for the first time this month.

NL Quick Hits: John Smoltz reported tightness in his shoulder after making his first minor-league rehab appearance Saturday, but the Braves said afterward that it wasn't a setback ? Jake Peavy (elbow) is set to undergo an MRI exam Tuesday and could be cleared to begin throwing as soon as Wednesday ? Called up from Triple-A after hitting .359 with 12 homers and a 1.146 OPS in 45 games, Russell Branyan could steal at-bats from Bill Hall at third base ? Chipper Jones was scratched from Sunday's lineup with back spasms, but as usual figures to be day-to-day ? Troy Glaus exited Saturday's game with what the Cardinals feared was appendicitis, but returned to the lineup Sunday ? Aaron Cook tossed his seventh career complete game Sunday, holding the Mets to one run while inducing 16 ground-ball outs ? Barring a setback Jack Wilson (calf) is set to come off the disabled list Tuesday ? Corey Patterson went 0-for-8 in Sunday's marathon loss, adding fuel to the Jay Bruce fire ? After starting both ends of Sunday's doubleheader, Omar Vizquel moved past Luis Aparicio to become the all-time leader in games at shortstop with 2,584.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Bruce Now, Headley Soon?

Most prospect rankings had either Evan Longoria or Jay Bruce in the top spot heading into the season and both players began the year at Triple-A. Longoria's stay there lasted all of seven games and he's likely ruled out a return to the minors by hitting .246/.319/.472 through 40 games with the Rays. A more cautious timetable made some sense for Bruce because he's 18 months younger than Longoria, but the Reds have apparently decided that they can't wait any longer.

Bruce is expected to be called up Tuesday after hitting .364/.393/.640 with 10 homers and 24 total extra-base hits in 49 games at Triple-A, which is amazing production for a 21-year-old. He's a special prospect who's been dominating at Triple-A and Corey Patterson is a mediocre veteran who's been hitting .201 in Cincinnati, so with the Reds in last place it makes plenty of sense to call up Bruce assuming that manager Dusty Baker gives him most of the starts in center field.

Bruce spent the final two months of last season and the first two months of this season at Triple-A, hitting .334/.375/.598 with 21 homers, 49 total extra-base hits, and 10 steals in 99 total games. There's really no way to look at those numbers from a 21-year-old center fielder and avoid seeing future stardom, but Bruce's sub par strikeout-to-walk ratio over that same stretch does suggest that he may not be ready to immediately thrive against big-league pitching.

He's struck out 93 times in 405 trips to the plate at Triple-A. That works out to 23 percent, which while certainly not an alarming strikeout rate is about 30 percent higher than the NL average and would make it tough for Bruce to continue posting huge batting averages in the majors. His poor walk rate is also a concern, particularly in tandem with the lack of contact. Bruce has just 27 walks in 405 plate appearances at Triple-A and even that number is misleading.

Five of his free passes were intentional, which means that he's drawn a non-intentional walk in just 5.4 percent of his plate appearances for a walk rate that would be 35 percent worse than the NL average. There's no doubting Bruce's immense talent and huge long-term potential, but a 21-year-old who has 30 percent more strikeouts and 35 percent fewer walks than the NL average while playing at Triple-A is far from a sure thing to take the league by storm right away.

While Bruce tries to make my prediction of good power and a sub-.275 batting average look bad, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* He's not quite in Bruce's league as an all-around prospect, but with the Padres also in last place Chase Headley could be on the verge of taking over in left field. A full-time third baseman until this spring, Headley has made the switch to the outfield at Triple-A while hitting .304/.364/.536 with nine homers and 26 total extra-base hits in 47 games. He also batted .330/.437/.580 with 20 homers and 63 total extra-base hits in 121 games at Double-A last year.

Headley's been particularly hot this month, going 4-for-5 with a homer Sunday to give him a .359 batting average and 1.067 OPS in May. Meanwhile, Padres left fielders have combined to hit just .227/.327/.389 with six homers and 15 RBIs through 52 games, which works out to a .716 OPS that ranks 21st at the position among MLB teams. A 24-year-old switch-hitter with power, plate discipline, and a .303 career batting average in the minors, Headley could be up by week's end.

* [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] returned from the disabled list Monday and made his season debut at first base, but the Diamondbacks may give him a chance to reclaim the starting job at third base if his surgically repaired knee proves capable of handling the position. Mark Reynolds did an excellent job filling in for Tracy last season, but has hit just .225/.308/.399 in 47 games this year, striking out in 31 percent of his plate appearances while making some ugly plays defensively.

Tracy started at first base Monday, but Conor Jackson clearly has that job locked up. That leaves Reynolds and Tracy fighting for playing time at third base, and a strict platoon would make plenty of sense. Tracy is a left-handed batter who has an .879 career OPS versus righties, compared to a .608 OPS versus lefties. Reynolds hasn't shown much of a split yet, but he's only 158 games into his career and most right-handed batters prove to be significantly better against southpaws.

AL Quick Hits: Melky Cabrera showed surprising power by homering six times through 31 games, but has gone 12-for-66 (.182) with zero homers in 18 games since ? Joba Chamberlain is expected to throw around 55 pitches in his next outing, which is slated for Wednesday ? Clay Buchholz (fingernail) made his first minor-league rehab start Sunday at Triple-A, allowing one run over four innings ? Mark Grudzielanek ranked second in the league with a .331 batting average through May 18, but after going 0-for-5 with three strikeouts Monday he's now 2-for-25 since then and amazingly has gone 21 straight games without driving in a run ? Jorge Posada (shoulder) went 0-for-5 in an extended spring training game Monday, but logged five innings behind the plate and is hoping to return from the disabled list next Tuesday ? Kevin Youkilis was scratched from the lineup Monday with a sore hand, giving Sean Casey a start at first base ? Travis Buck went 4-for-5 with a double Sunday at Triple-A and has reached base 15 times over the past five games ? Paul Konerko returned to the lineup Monday after sitting out three games with a hand injury, going 0-for-6 while his teammates collected 17 hits.

NL Quick Hits: Brandon Webb failed to last at least five innings Monday for the first time since 2006, allowing seven runs (four earned) versus the Braves to give him back-to-back losses after beginning the season 9-0 ? Chipper Jones (back) returned to the lineup Monday and went 1-for-3 with two walks atlantabraves.com ? Jason Bergmann held the Brewers scoreless for 5.2 innings Monday, giving him 19.2 straight shutout innings since being recalled from Triple-A two weeks ago ? Rafael Furcal (back) isn't expected to travel with the Dodgers on their upcoming road trip, making it unlikely that he'll return from the disabled list for at least another week ? Derrick Turnbow has walked 15 batters over 4.2 innings since being demoted to Triple-A earlier this month, posting a 14.54 ERA and 4.62 WHIP ? With the Reds' pitching staff a mess after Sunday's marathon 18-inning game, Bronson Arroyo will start Wednesday on short rest ? Russell Branyan started at third base Monday for the second straight game, but went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts ? Kosuke Fukudome hit .348 with 14 extra-base hits through 30 games, but after going 0-for-4 Monday he's 14-for-68 (.206) with two extra-base hits over the past 20 games.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Sheffield Finally Lands on DL
Lots of good stuff to get to today, so let's skip the usual minutiae and get to the notes from around baseball ?

* As expected, the Reds called up top prospect Jay Bruce from Triple-A and he debuted Tuesday night versus the Pirates. Bruce going 3-for-3 with a double perhaps shouldn't be shocking given his amazing production at Triple-A, but the fact that he drew a pair of walks after coaxing a total of eight non-intentional free passes in 49 games at Louisville is certainly surprising. Of course, Pirates starter Ian Snell uncharacteristically handing out seven walks had a lot to do with it.

My "good power, mediocre batting average" prediction for Bruce still stands, but obviously his debut was very impressive across the board. Interestingly, rather than cutting Corey Patterson to make room for Bruce on the roster the Reds instead designated Scott Hatteberg for assignment. Hatteberg lost his starting job to Joey Votto early on and spoke publicly about not wanting to be a pinch-hitter, but can still help plenty of teams in a part-time role and may still have fantasy value.

* With Garrett Atkins returning to the lineup at third base Tuesday and the middle infield in flux thanks to multiple injuries, the Rockies decided to get creative by starting Ian Stewart at second base. There was some talk this spring about Stewart getting a chance at second base, but those plans were quickly abandoned when Jayson Nix claimed the starting job. Nix predictably flamed out, but the Rockies continued to play Stewart at third base full time at Triple-A.

Stewart figures to be very stretched defensively at second base and his seeing zero action there in the minors suggests that the Rockies are improvising on the fly now. With that said, Jeff Baker is also no great shakes as a middle infielder and Stewart does have enough offensive potential to make a positive impact even if he's giving away runs with his glove. He's hit .297/.377/.518 with 27 homers and 17 steals in 158 games at Triple-A, making him a must-grab in NL-only leagues.

* Gary Sheffield has batted just .192 with five homers in 80 games since injuring his shoulder last July, including .213 with three homers in 39 games this season while dealing with an assortment of injuries. He finally headed to the disabled list Tuesday with a strained oblique and will miss at least two weeks, but could easily be sidelined for most of June given all the physical problems that he's had since beginning last season by hitting .306/.410/.563 through 91 games.

Jeff Larish was called up from Triple-A to replace Sheffield on the roster and should get a chance to play regularly at designated hitter versus right-handed pitching. Larish is 25 years old and has hit .265/.385/.508 in over 1,400 plate appearances in the minors, including .274/.369/.589 with 16 homers in 52 games at Triple-A. He strikes out a lot and won't hit for a good batting average, but should provide enough pop to be a worthwhile option in AL-only leagues.

* Because of lingering hamstring problems Eric Byrnes has clearly been playing at far less than full strength for a while now, hitting .143 while attempting just two steals over the past month. He showed some signs of life Sunday, smacking a grand slam off Tom Glavine and walking twice, but the Diamondbacks decided to place him on the disabled list Tuesday. Jeff Salazar and Chris Burke figure to platoon in left field until Byrnes comes back, making Salazar a nice NL-only grab.

* Josh Hamilton drove in five runs Tuesday versus the Rays, extending his MLB-leading RBI total to 58 with an eighth-inning grand slam against the team that drafted him No. 1 overall in 1999. Hamilton now has 582 career plate appearances spread over 143 games, hitting .308/.369/.574 with 32 homers, 69 total extra-base hits, and 105 RBIs. This season he ranks either first, second, or third among AL hitters in batting average, homers, RBIs, slugging percentage, and OPS.

AL Quick Hits: Manager Terry Francona indicated Monday that Clay Buchholz (fingernail) might remain at Triple-A for a while, but Daisuke Matsuzaka leaving Tuesday's start with a shoulder problem could change that ? Travis Hafner (shoulder) was scratched from Tuesday's lineup and is expected to sit out Wednesday, so a trip to the disabled list could be coming ? Hank Blalock got a cortisone shot Tuesday, but doesn't appear on the verge of returning from carpal tunnel syndrome ? Ian Kennedy left Tuesday's start with a strained lat, which may speed Joba Chamberlain's transition to the rotation ? Playing on his 40th birthday, Frank Thomas exited Tuesday's game with a strained quadriceps ? David Eckstein (hip) came off the shelf Tuesday, but is expected to sit out Wednesday's game as part of the Blue Jays' plan to give him regular rest ? Carlos Quentin left Tuesday's game after fouling a ball off his protective cup, but appears to have avoided disaster ? Manny Ramirez took Miguel Batista deep Tuesday for his 499th career homer ? Daily Dose favorite Aaron Laffey turned in another strong outing Tuesday, beating the White Sox while slicing his ERA to 1.59.

NL Quick Hits: Hunter Pence hit just .250 with one homer in April, but after five hits Tuesday he's batting .378 with six homers this month ? Adrian Gonzalez smacked his 15th homer Tuesday, while the rest of the Padres have combined for 30 long balls ? Asked about [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL]'s return from the disabled list, manager Bob Melvin called Mark Reynolds "our third baseman" and said that Tracy provides "thunder off the bench" ? Bengie Molina went 2-for-5 with a three-run homer Tuesday, giving him 14 hits and 12 RBIs over the past six games ? Shawn Chacon had zero decisions through his first nine starts, but won Tuesday for the second straight outing ? Justin Upton went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts Tuesday, making him 0-for-24 with 17 strikeouts over his last seven games ? Despite missing his last start with elbow soreness, Shawn Hill was allowed to throw 112 pitches while struggling through five innings Tuesday ? Jeff Kent was scratched from Tuesday's lineup with back spasms, giving Chin-Lung Hu a start at second base ? Albert Pujols had a season-high four hits Tuesday and is hitting .360 with a .483 on-base percentage.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Prospects: Terrific Twosome
The class of callups won't ever get much better than what we see this week, so rather than me ranting about a poor big league decision or giddily raving about the upcoming MLB draft, let's get right into the column.

[SIZE=+1]Major League Callups[/SIZE]

Josh Banks ? RHP Padres ? A second round pick by the Blue Jays out of Florida International in 2003, Banks got off to a great start in his professional career by posting a 2.13 ERA and an incredible 141/18 K/BB in 126 2/3 innings split between the New York-Penn League and the High-A Florida State League. That he gave up 107 hits, including just five homers, was also a plus for Banks, especially considering scouts questioned how his stuff would play at higher levels. Unfortunately for the Jays, those concerns have proven true as Banks has typically struggled since reaching Double-A.

Banks was hit hard at Double-A New Hampshire his first time around in 2004, but he bounced back with a solid season in 2005 by posting a 3.83 ERA and 145/11 K/BB. That wasn't nearly as good as in the lower minors, largely because he gave up almost a hit per inning, including 18 homers. Still, Banks was just 22 and had some promise. However, Banks was quite poor in Triple-A in both 2006 and 2007, posting a combined 4.90 ERA while yielding 57 homers. His command is still excellent, but Banks has had trouble striking out more advanced hitters. His splitter is a nice pitch he'll use to get hitters to chase, but his high-80s fastball and three uninspiring secondary offerings are all quite hittable. And since he's always around the plate with them, hitters can pick a pitch and look to tee-off, especially in counts that favor hitters.

While it's fun to root for a control artist like Banks, the odds are against him succeeding. He'll replace [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] in the Padres' rotation for now, and playing half his games at Petco Park will be as good a fit as he'll ever find. Maybe he'll be a player NL-only leaguers can use when he's at home against non-elite offenses, but Banks was getting knocked around in Triple-A before his callup and he's always going to be a very risky option.

Recommendation: Monitor in NL-only leagues.

Jay Bruce ? OF Reds ? It's not often the game's best prospect gets called to the majors, and that rumbling sound you hear is every fantasy owner stampeding to their waiver wire to see if he's available. In most leagues he's going to have been stashed away since this spring, but he's also been dropped in some leagues while others don't allow for minor league pickups. Throw in the fact that I'm already receiving e-mails asking what his trade value is, and Bruce's callup is still worth a deep look.

The 12th pick in the 2005 draft, Bruce showed excellent power potential in Rookie ball immediately after signing. He predictably opened the 2006 campaign at Single-A Dayton, and the Reds decided to play it conservative and keep him there all season despite good production. Bruce hit an impressive .291/.355/.516 with a solid 106/44 K/BB, but what was most impressive was that he hit a whopping 63 extra-base hits in 444 at-bats. Only 15 of them were homers, but Bruce was so young and had such a quick, powerful stroke that he oozed the potential to drive more over the fence as he filled out.

The 6'3", 210-pound left-hander seemed poised for an excellent 2007 campaign, yet he still managed to exceed expectations. Bruce started the season at High-A for 67 games, spent just 16 games in Double-A, and finished the season with 50 games for Triple-A Louisville. The quick advancement was made possible by his excellent productivity, as Bruce posted a .319/.375/.587 line overall with an OPS no less than 925 at each level. Included in that excellent season was 26 homers, 8 triples, and 46 doubles in 511 at-bats, giving him a fantastic extra-base hit percentage of greater than 15%. Still just 20 years old, it wasn't hard to fathom Bruce continuing to add power and delivering even more balls over the fence.

The Reds gave Bruce a chance to earn the center field job this spring, but he was sent to the minors with Corey Patterson on the roster. Bruce did struggle some early in April, and since the Reds aren't contenders anyway there was little harm in delaying his arbitration clock. The left-hander eventually turned things around in April and is now on fire in May, giving him a .364/.393/.630 line overall. The only chink in Bruce's armor is his strikeouts. He was punched out 135 times last season, and was already at 45 in 49 games this season. While he's not a .360 hitter, Bruce squares the bat on the ball so well and with such force that he should be forecasted to beat his expected batting average based on those strikeouts. In fact, he's always managed such high BABIPs that I wouldn't be surprised if he hit .300 as a rookie even while striking out so often, much like how [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL] and Hunter Pence did last season.

With super-two concerns behind them, Bruce should be up in the major leagues for good. He'll take Corey Patterson's job in center field, and since he's adept at handling left-handed pitching there shouldn't be any reason to platoon him. Maybe he'll hit .260 with good power and a handful of steals, but Bruce may well be the best player in the majors at some point during his career and the absolute elite level players sometimes translate right away. As a result, a .300-20-60 type of debut can't be ruled out. With a talent this good, I frankly wouldn't be looking to deal him, even if I was set at outfield. If he blows up, you'll get more by waiting. If he doesn't, you were already set at outfield. Give him a month or two and re-evaluate. Either way, he needs to be owned in all leagues.

Recommendation: Unless it's a fantasy golf league, he needs to be bid on aggressively.

Nick Evans ? 1B Mets ? The 5th ranked prospect in a weak Mets' farm system entering the season, Evans was drafted in the fifth round out of a Phoenix High School in 2004. The 6'3", 210-pound right-hander showed flashes of power potential in the low minors, but he struggled with strikeouts and keeping his batting average respectable. That changed in the Florida State League last season when Evans hit .286/.374/.476 at the age of 21. His 15 homers and 25 doubles in just 103 games boded well for power potential, and his discipline improved all the way to a nifty 64/53 K/BB. At this point Evans projected to be a platoon player versus left-handers, but if he could keep his plate discipline in tact and add more power in Double-A a role as a solid everyday player was possible. newyorkmets.com

Up to Double-A Binghamton to begin 2008, Evans got off to an excellent start with a .296/.359/.556 line that included eight doubles, five triples, and eight homers in 162 at-bats. His strikeout and walk ratios are more in line with his pre-2007 performance than last season's, but they're still improved considering he's at a higher level. With Moises Alou on the disabled list for at least a couple of weeks and Angel Pagan not close to returning, Evans will get some time in the outfield. He'll start primarily against left-handers, but he has enough power to maintain value while starting three or four times per week. Once the two outfielders return, Evans could settle in as Carlos Delgado's platoon partner at first. He's not a good enough prospect to stash away in keeper leagues, but he's worth watching for now.

Recommendation: Claim in NL-only leagues.

Clayton Kershaw ? LHP Dodgers ? What are the odds that Bruce, the number one prospect in baseball, and Kershaw, the number two prospect, would be called up in the same week? And in both cases, the player earned the promotion with dominant minor league performances and pushed a non-injured player to the side. Neither Chan Ho Park nor Corey Patterson justified stopping the respective minor league studs, but it's still an interesting parallel.

The Dodgers and now Assistant General Manager of Scouting Logan White have always favored high school players they could mold, and they were ecstatic to get Kershaw with the seventh pick in the 2006 draft. Though he had command issues in high school and was mostly a two-pitch pitcher, Kershaw's upside was unlimited with a fastball that routinely hit the mid-90s from the left side to go with a tremendous curve. He absolutely dominated Rookie ball after signing, with a whopping 54/5 K/BB in just 37 innings. Moved up to Single-A Great Lakes to start 2007, Kershaw continued his excellence with a 2.27 ERA and 134 strikeouts in 97 1/3 innings. That he walked 50 batters was concerning, but he was just 19 and his stuff was superb.

The Dodgers decided to challenge Kershaw after his Single-A success, and promoted him up to Double-A Jacksonville for five starts at the end of the year. Kershaw continued to strike out batters in bunches, but more advanced hitters were able to lay off Kershaw's sometimes inconsistent offerings. Back at Jacksonville to begin 2008, Kershaw looked better with a 2.28 ERA and 47/15 K/BB in 43 1/3 innings. He was particularly strong against left-handers, allowing no extra-base hits and striking out 19 in 44 at-bats before his callup.

Kershaw is a big, 6'3", 220-pound left-hander, and with good mechanics he can consistently hit the mid-90s. His arm absolutely explodes in his delivery, which helps him generate such impressive heat. He'll probably sit more at 92-94 while trying to work deeper into games, but the 96 MPH heat is there when he needs it. His curveball is the best in the minors and is an absolute knee-buckler while sitting 20 MPH or more slower than his fastball. Kershaw's changeup has also made progress, and he uses it well of his fastball. That his delivery and thus command aren't exactly as consistent as you'd like them is a concern, but his pitches are so filthy it hardly matters in terms of succeeding. Whether that will lead to injury concerns is another matter, however.

Kershaw held the Cardinals to two runs while striking out seven in six innings in his debut on Sunday. He'll remain in the rotation at least until Jason Schmidt returns in mid-June. If there's no other opening, Kershaw could be sent back to the minors to help converse his arm and limit his innings. Since he's no lock to remain in the majors for the rest of the season and he's not yet efficient enough to pitch deep into games, there's some downside here. However, while pitching, there's every reason to believe Kershaw will be very successful, even at the age of 20. That means he needs to be pursued aggressively in all leagues. It wouldn't be shocking to see him post a 3.00 ERA and more than a strikeout per inning. Bruce is the better target because he's a hitter and has more job security, but Kershaw isn't all that far behind.

Recommendation: Hardcore fans wouldn't disparage you for giving up your first born child, and Kershaw could be worth it. Pursue aggressively in all leagues.

Seth Smith ? OF Rockies ? A second round pick out of Mississippi in 2004, Smith has been an underrated prospect while continually hitting in the minor leagues. The 6'3", 220-pound left-hander has a career .312/.378/.504 line in the minors, and he's never posted an OPS below 812 at any level. More of a doubles hitter than a pure home run threat, Smith is a professional hitter and has 20-homer, 35-double potential if he were ever given 500 at-bats. That he's already 25 and isn't a strong defender limits his upside, but he's still capable of helping plenty of big league clubs. Throw in Coors Field and he's a very intriguing fantasy bet.

Smith was off to an even better start than normal in Triple-A, recording similar batting average and power numbers but also a career-best 31/34 K/BB ratio. He also had 11 steals, though he isn't more than an average runner for a corner outfielder. With Brad Hawpe and Matt Holliday on the disabled list, Smith will battle Scott Podsednik and Ryan Spilborghs for playing time. Smith has struggled against left-handers in the past, so expect him to start almost all games against right-handers. That's been the case so far, as he's started all four of the club's games since being promoted. He's someone the club could look to trade later in the year or this winter, but he'll have a good deal of value in NL-only leagues for at least the next two weeks. An opportunity with a club that wasn't loaded with outfielders would make him more intriguing for the long-term.

Recommendation: Claim in NL-only leagues.

Ian Stewart ? 3B Rockies ? I wrote about Stewart in last week's column, ranking him the 8th biggest riser among minor leaguers in the early season. In short, Stewart has rehabilitated his stock as an elite prospect by performing like one. While he was merely good in the hitter-friendly Colorado Springs environment last season, Stewart was off to an excellent start with a .281/.374/.614 mark that included 12 homers. He hit just 15 homers in 66 additional games in 2007, so the improvement is dramatic. That Stewart is striking out a bit more than normal is concerning, but it's a healthy increase given that he's trying, and succeeding, to drive the ball more. With his groundball percentage decreasing from 51 percent last year to 33 percent this season, it's pretty clear he's making a conscious tradeoff.

Still just 23 years old, the 6'3", left-handed hitting Stewart can still be regarded as a very good prospect. He probably won't be a true All-Star as it looked like he would after his 2004 season, but he can still be an above average regular. Now in the majors replacing Clint Barmes, Stewart was surprisingly given a start at second base tonight. Normally a third basemen, the Rockies experimented with Stewart at second this spring and decided against it. He was back to playing third base for Colorado Springs, but now the Rockies are suddenly reversing course again. They might as well, since the club is going to have to repeat last season's magic just to sniff the post-season.

Stewart probably isn't a long-term option there, but the Rockies could stick him there for a year and see how his defense progresses. The move would boost his fantasy stock considerably, and though it's unlikely to remain for too long, it makes him more attractive in keeper leagues for the moment. With 25-homer power, Stewart is a must claim in NL-only one-year and keeper leagues. He'd even be worth putting in a substantial bid in mixed one-year and keeper formats if the move to second sticks, so feel free to speculate here.

Recommendation: Claim in all NL-only leagues; speculate on in mixed leagues.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

The need for speed
Memorial Day weekend is the time when millions of Americans celebrate the need for speed on the racetrack. So what better time for fantasy baseball owners to celebrate the need for speed on the basepaths?

Stolen bases account for about 25% of a team's offensive output (less in points leagues), but reliable speed merchants are an important component of any successful fantasy team, especially if they can contribute in other areas.

That's why many baseball experts owe an apology to Juan Pierre of the Los Angeles Dodgers. With the signing of free agent Andruw Jones, it was almost a foregone conclusion that Pierre would end up being little more than a fourth outfielder because he has no power and isn't a great defender.

But one thing Pierre does have is speed. It's helped him steal 35 or more bases and score 85 or more runs in each of the last seven seasons. Despite losing playing time to youngsters Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp, Pierre is stealing bases with even more regularity this season. His 19 thefts (through Monday) are tied for second in the National League and put him on pace for a career-high 68.

With a career batting average above .300 and an uncanny ability to stay healthy (until this season he had played in 434 consecutive games), Pierre is still a fantasy asset ? and, most likely, a fantasy bargain this season.

If your team is lagging in steals, is Pierre a good trade target? Possibly, but it depends on what else your team needs.

Quick pickups

In Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster, he uses a statistic called stolen-base opportunity percentage (SBO), which is a rough approximation of how often a baserunner attempts to steal when he has the chance.

In 2007, the SBO leaders were Jose Reyes (47%), Carlos Gomez (45%), Carl Crawford (43%), Rajai Davis (43%) and Corey Patterson (41%).

This season, Pierre and several other players are running even more frequently. Houston's Michael Bourn leads the majors in SBO at 54%, followed closely by Colorado's Willy Taveras at 51% and Pierre at 48%. Not surprisingly, they're also 1-2-3 in the National League in steals.

But there are some others who could contribute at a bargain price.

Jerry Hairston is getting extended playing time in Cincinnati while Jeff Keppinger is out. Hairston's 53% SBO indicates he could be a solid short-term addition. With Corey Patterson's anemic .242 on-base percentage, Hairston could be frequently hitting at the top of the order.

If Rajai Davis could only get more playing time for Oakland, he could make a huge difference in its offense. Davis has eight steals and the highest SBO in the majors this season at 75%, but a .200 average and .222 OBP keep him glued to the bench. If you can stash him on yours, it could pay off later.

Meanwhile, Scott Podsednik could see more action in the Colorado outfield with Brad Hawpe on the disabled list. Injuries slowed him last season, but Podsednik had between 40 and 70 steals from 2003 to 2006.

Trade targets

If you're simply looking to race your way into contention and add to your steals numbers without giving up a roster spot, here are some speedy guys who can possibly help you in other categories:

* Checkered flag

Jose Reyes, Mets: After racking up 78 steals a year ago, he has 15 in 2008. One reason is his 75% success rate. Another is his 38% SBO ? down considerably from 48% last season. Expect both to increase.

Ian Kinsler, Rangers: He is 14-for-14 in steals this season and leads the American League in runs. Dustin Pedroia, Robinson Cano and Brian Roberts might get more attention, but there's no better second baseman in AL-only leagues ? including 2B-eligible B.J. Upton.

Lance Berkman, Astros: The leading candidate for National League MVP has done everything well, but what's helped make him so valuable in fantasy leagues is his career-high 10 stolen bases. For someone with that many combined over the last two seasons, Berkman is the man. If he's on your roster, count your blessings.

* Green flag

Juan Pierre, Dodgers: The injury to Jones will guarantee Pierre full-time status for at least the next month. There's no reason to think he won't continue to run and run some more. Look for an uptick in batting average and runs too.

[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL], Diamondbacks: Where did all his steals go? After swiping 27 last season, he has four in 2008. With a much-improved offense, Arizona hasn't needed to rely on the running game as much as it did last season. Young still has the speed, and he's improved his batting average and on-base percentage from last season.

* Yellow flag

Ryan Theriot, Cubs: In leagues where net steals are counted, he's not much of an asset because he has been successful nine times but has been caught eight others.

Joey Gathright, Royals: One of the fastest players in the majors, his SBO of 43% is one of the AL's best. However, he isn't getting on base often enough to make a major difference (just seven walks), and he rarely drives in any runs.

* Red flag

Eugenio Velez, Giants: He stole nearly 100 bases over the last two minor league seasons but hasn't been anywhere near as successful in the majors (eight steals in 13 attempts). San Francisco sent him to Class AAA last week but still thinks he can help the team later in the year.

Yorvit Torrealba, Rockies: (I couldn't resist.) Perhaps the worst baserunner in the game, he's 0-for-4 in steal attempts. In more than 100 at-bats, he's scored only five runs ? and two of those were when he was able to trot leisurely around the bases on a home run.

Too often on draft day, securing stolen bases is an all-or-nothing proposition ? fantasy owners either pay top dollar for a pure speed guy or forget about the category altogether. However, it's much more efficient to target guys such as Grady Sizemore, Brandon Phillips and Corey Hart, who will number double-digit steals and contribute in other categories.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

On a powerful pace
Carlos Quentin leads the American League with 14 home runs.

Coming into the 2008 season, BaseballHQ.com projected Quentin to hit 14 home runs for the entire year. It's not often that a projection is completely invalidated before the end of May.

The expectation was in part due to the uncertainty after his offseason shoulder surgery. It was also due to his lack of a track record and questions about playing time in the White Sox outfield. There are fewer questions now that he's put himself on a 40-plus homer pace. But is it real?

The power is real, but the pace is probably not sustainable. As a "rookie" in the American League, most opposing pitchers have not had a second shot at him. BaseballHQ.com's projection update has him now hitting 28 for the year.

Quentin is not the only unfamiliar name among each league's power leaders.

Ryan Ludwick hit 14 homers in only 303 at-bats for the Cardinals last year but has already hit 13 in 2008. Once considered a top prospect, he is now a journeyman at 29. Still, batting power tends to peak around age 30, and he has secured playing time in the St. Louis outfield. He could hit 30 this year.

Nate McLouth had to battle to win the centerfield job in Pittsburgh. His 12 homers currently put him in the top 10 of NL power hitters, an odd place given his value had always been as a stolen-base threat. He is more likely to see a drop in his home run pace and is more of a threat to see 20-20 than his current pace of 35-15.

Perhaps more interesting than the new names on the leaderboard are the old names nowhere near the top.

For the past four years, Victor Martinez has been among the elite catchers and could be counted on for about 20 or more home runs. Having yet to homer eight weeks into 2008 is troubling, but his peripherals hold a clue. Martinez's ground ball rate is up to 50%, about 8% more than last year; his fly ball rate is down to 22%, 16% less than last year. It is nearly unheard of, but he has also been hitting more line drives (28%) than fly balls, which explains his no-power, high average output. We still expect him to hit at least a dozen.

J.J. Hardy hit 26 homers last year, but his decline this season should not have been unforeseen. In 2007, his first full season exposure, he hit 18 of his home runs in the first half but only eight in the second half. That is called being overexposed.

B.J. Upton hit 24 homers last year but is currently on pace for fewer than 10. Part of the reason is his near-50% ground ball rate. Upton hit 15 of his 24 in the second half last year, so he could still warm up. We project him for 14 homers and 30 steals.

Alex Rios usually gets off to fast starts and fades, which makes his three homers thus far of more concern. Here, too, he is hitting far more ground balls than fly balls in 2008, an 8% swing from last year. We are only projecting 15 homers this year.

This shift is prevalent in several power strugglers, including Paul Konerko, Mark Teixeira and Prince Fielder.

And finally, there are all the current DL denizens and active hobblers, whose meager power numbers may or may not be the result of their injuries. It remains to be seen whether players such as Andruw Jones or Brad Hawpe can return to former power levels once they come off the DL, or whether Carlos Beltran will ever get healthy. atlantabraves.com
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Guillen's pain in the ...
Sure, Carlos Guillen will make $10 million this year and gets to play baseball for a living, but he also has a job that encourages his boss to literally alert the media when "he's got hemorrhoids so bad." That was my favorite part of manager Jim Leyland's quote Tuesday when explaining why Guillen was limited to designated hitter duties, and he added that the Tigers' third baseman "has been playing with hemorrhoids that probably need to be lanced" and "can hardly move."

Guillen was a popular topic across all forms of media Wednesday and was then absent from the Tigers' lineup against the Angels, guaranteeing another batch of hemorrhoid-related updates from the local newspaper scribes. Aside from professional athlete, is there another job where having medical problems like hemorrhoids (Guillen) or anal fissures (Kaz Matsui) more or less requires a person's boss to give daily updates to reporters? If so, hopefully they're making $10 million too.

While the world learns far more than it wanted to know about Guillen, here are some other notes from around baseball ?

* Pedro Martinez had a successful minor-league rehab start Wednesday at Single-A, allowing two runs over six innings while striking out six, walking none, and giving up four hits. Martinez threw 82 pitches, so barring a setback he appears to be on track to rejoin the Mets' rotation with a start Tuesday against the Giants. "I'm really excited," Martinez said. "I know the team really needs a little bit of a pat on the back and I hope my presence will make a difference for them."

* With Paul Lo Duca and Johnny Estrada on the disabled list Jesus Flores has made the most of his first real chance at regular playing time behind the plate in Washington. After holding his own while playing sparingly as a Rule 5 pickup last season, Flores is now staking claim to the starting job even once Lo Duca returns next month. He went 2-for-4 with a grand slam Wednesday and is hitting .344/.420/.590 with 11 extra-base hits and 14 RBIs through 20 games.

General manager Jim Bowden hinted earlier this month that Flores may keep the gig regardless of Lo Duca's health status, and by going 9-for-23 (.391) with a homer, three doubles, and seven RBIs over the past week he's improved his stock even further. Flores hit .266/.335/.487 with 21 homers at high Single-A as a 21-year-old in 2006 before his timetable was rushed by the Rule 5 selection and a 23-year-old catcher with a .757 OPS in 98 big-league games has a nice future.

* Travis Hafner saw his OPS drop 260 points last season and has hit just .217/.326/.360 this year, so Wednesday's news that he's received two cortisone shots for a sore shoulder made plenty of sense. Hafner revealed that he's been playing through soreness and weakness in the shoulder all season, which helps explain his lack of power and overall struggles. He hasn't played since Sunday, so a trip to the disabled list seems likely and would open up at-bats for Michael Aubrey.

* Left for dead after hitting just .236/.356/.433 last season while being limited to 83 games, Jason Giambi is quietly putting together a strong comeback. He smacked his 11th homer of the season Wednesday and is now hitting .244/.393/.556 through 44 games. A .244 batting average limits Giambi's fantasy value, but his .949 OPS ranks fourth in the league behind only Milton Bradley, Carlos Quentin, and Josh Hamilton, and he's on pace for 40 homers, 100 RBIs, and 85 runs.

* One thing that has separated Rich Harden from Mark Prior throughout their similarly lengthy injury histories is that Harden has always pitched well whenever he's healthy enough to take the mound. Prior went 1-6 with a 7.21 ERA in 2006, but Harden has never ceased being a dominant pitcher between trips to the disabled list. He held the Blue Jays to one run over seven innings in a tough-luck no-decision Wednesday, giving him a 2.60 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 34.2 innings.

* Adam Miller emerged as an elite prospect in 2006, posting a 2.75 ERA and 157-to-43 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 154 innings at Double-A as a 21-year-old. Unfortunately, he was limited to 65.1 innings last year because of finger and elbow injuries, and recently underwent surgery to reattach the flexor tendon in the middle finger of his right hand. The bad news is that Miller will likely miss the remainder of the season. The good news is that he'll still be just 24 years old next season.

AL Quick Hits: Daisuke Matsuzaka (shoulder) has avoided the disabled list so far, but will almost surely miss at least one start and is scheduled to undergo an MRI ? Manager John McLaren said Wednesday that Brandon Morrow is unlikely to move into the rotation this season ? Boof Bonser is 6-17 with a 6.02 ERA over his last 30 starts and looks bullpen bound once Scott Baker (groin) comes back next week ? With Gregg Zaun (elbow) heading to the DL, Rod Barajas will get most of Toronto's starts behind the plate for at least two weeks ? Jake Westbrook (ribs) started Wednesday against the White Sox after sitting out more than a month, allowing three runs over five innings ? Rocco Baldelli (leg) worked out prior to Tuesday's game and said afterward that he's still hoping to play this season ? Erik Bedard shut out the Red Sox for seven innings Wednesday in his best start since joining the Mariners ? Andy Marte is receiving increased playing time so that the Indians can evaluate him in preparation for the roster crunch created by Shin-Soo Choo's (shoulder) impending return.

NL Quick Hits: Rafael Soriano (shoulder) returned from the disabled list Wednesday, potentially giving him a brief window for saves until John Smoltz (shoulder) comes off the shelf ? Jake Peavy (elbow) said Tuesday that he hopes to rejoin the Padres' rotation this weekend, but that looks unlikely given that he hasn't even thrown off a mound yet ? Jay Bruce followed up his huge debut with another impressive effort Wednesday and has four walks in two games after coaxing a total of eight non-intentional walks in 49 games at Triple-A ? Meanwhile, perhaps fearing that manager Dusty Baker would be tempted to start him over Bruce, the Reds sent Corey Patterson to the minors Wednesday ? Matt Holliday (hamstring) said Tuesday that he's hoping to return from the DL when eligible on June 10 ? Carlos Zambrano tossed eight innings of one-run ball Wednesday versus the Dodgers, but threw 130 pitches ? Tom Gorzelanny couldn't make it out of the first inning Wednesday, coughing up six runs to the Reds while his ERA ballooned to 7.38.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Bye Bye Billy
If you haven't yet seen the footage Mariah Carey throwing out the first pitch at a game in Japan this week, do yourself a big favor and check out the video. Seriously, it'll make your day for about a dozen different reasons. While you consider how tough it must be to throw a strike in gigantic high heels and short shorts, here are some notes from around baseball ?

* Billy Butler was one of my favorite breakout candidates heading into the season, but his inability to show any power convinced the Royals that he needs more time at Triple-A. It's an odd move on a number of levels, because Kansas City is in last place, Butler hit .263 with a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio despite the lack of pop, and the 22-year-old seemingly has nothing left to prove in the minors after hitting .336/.416/.561 in 369 career games down on the farm.

Last season Alex Gordon got off to a much worse start than Butler, hitting just .185 through the end of May, but the Royals showed patience and he hit .275/.320/.461 over the final four months. Butler would have been capable of a similar turnaround, but instead he'll go beat up on Triple-A pitchers while mediocre bats like Ross Gload and Joey Gathright pick up additional playing time. Butler remains an excellent long-term bet, so keeper leaguers should be looking to buy low.

* While Butler managing just one homer got him sent back to Triple-A, Delmon Young failing to homer even once through 52 games merely got him benched Thursday. Young has been a mess both offensively and defensively, making several huge mistakes in left field this week while in the midst of a 1-for-23 slump at the plate. Not only is his .258/.319/.328 hitting line slightly worse than Butler's .263/.330/.339 mark, Butler beat him by 70 points of OPS last season.

Minnesota traded Matt Garza and Jason Bartlett to get Young from the Rays and spent the winter talking him up as the replacement for Torii Hunter's power in the middle of the lineup, so they likely have too much invested in him quickly turning things around to even consider a return to the minors. Meanwhile, Garza is 4-1 with a 3.78 ERA in Tampa Bay after striking out 10 batters over eight innings of two-run ball Wednesday against the Rangers.

* Frank Thomas has hit .319/.417/.516 in 28 games since signing with the A's, but making the Blue Jays look foolish for cutting him loose will now be put on hold by a strained quadriceps that sent him to the disabled list Thursday. To replace Thomas on the roster, the A's activated Eric Chavez from the DL earlier than expected, apparently feeling that he's healthy enough after going 11-for-30 (.367) with two homers during a nine-game minor-league rehab assignment.

Chavez is slated to be worked back into the defensive mix gradually, starting two games at third base and then shifting to designated hitter for one game. Along with Chavez, Mike Sweeney also figures to see action at DH while Thomas is out. For now Travis Buck will remain in the minors, but he'll be a natural call-up if Chavez stays healthy enough to consistently man the hot corner and Thomas looks likely to miss significant time. Buck is hitting .345 in 23 games at Triple-A.

* Troy Percival appeared to have suffered a severe injury Wednesday when he collapsed on the mound after throwing a pitch, but an MRI revealed no more than a strained hamstring. He's been placed on the disabled list, but team president Andrew Friedman indicated Thursday that Percival will be able to return after the minimum 15 days. Dan Wheeler is now the favorite for saves in Tampa Bay, although Al Reyes could also work his way into the ninth-inning mix.

* Jarrod Washburn whined publicly about Kenji Johjima's pitch-calling, so Jamie Burke caught him last week against Detroit and Washburn coughed up nine runs. He was so bad that the Mariners are now skipping Washburn's scheduled start against the Tigers this weekend, instead pushing him back to face the Angels next week. Even that reportedly didn't sit well with him, because Washburn apparently isn't comfortable pitching after another left-hander in the rotation.

To recap: Washburn talked the team into replacing Johjima with Burke as his catcher, the rotation is being juggled to provide him with more favorable matchups, and he's not pleased with having to follow fellow southpaw Erik Bedard. Meanwhile, Washburn sports a 6.54 ERA and has gone 20-35 since signing a four-year, $37.5 million deal with the Mariners. His average fastball velocity is down to 86.9 miles per hour and he's thrown nearly 50 percent non-fastballs so far this season.

AL Quick Hits: Jorge Posada (shoulder) wasn't able to make throws during Thursday's extended spring training game, likely pushing his expected return next week back a couple days ? Carlos Gomez was caught stealing twice Thursday, but went 4-for-5 at the plate ? Jesse Litsch tossed a complete-game shutout Saturday versus the Royals and turned in seven more scoreless frames Thursday against the A's, finishing May at 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA ? Seattle is said to be interested in Scott Hatteberg, who could format a natural platoon at first base with Richie Sexson ? Willy Aybar returned from the disabled list Thursday, but lost the starting job at third base to Evan Longoria a long time ago ? Aaron Hill left Thursday's game in the seventh inning following a collision with David Eckstein ? Jason Bartlett swiped three bases Thursday after totaling seven steals through 49 games ? Manager Jim Leyland said Wednesday that Curtis Granderson will be in the lineup against left-handers more often going forward despite an ugly .203/.264/.362 career line against them.

NL Quick Hits: An MRI exam Thursday revealed that Matt Diaz has a partially torn PCL in his left knee, which likely means 4-6 weeks on the sidelines ? Manager Bud Black said Thursday that Jake Peavy (elbow) could return from the disabled list without a minor-league rehab assignment, but first he'll have to avoid a setback during Sunday's scheduled mound session ? Brad Penny went 4-2 with a 2.89 ERA in April, but after Thursday's loss to the Mets he ends May at 1-4 with an 8.82 ERA ? Ryan Zimmerman (shoulder) sat out a fourth straight game Thursday and his return timetable remains unclear ? Starting Thursday for the first time since racking up nine strikeouts in four shutout innings of relief last week, Aaron Harang lasted just four innings against the Pirates while allowing six runs on 10 hits ? David Wright went deep twice Thursday, putting him on a 35-homer, 125-RBI pace through 52 games ? According to the Miami Herald, Josh Willingham (back) "is still a long way from returning" ? Manager Joe Torre indicated Wednesday that Andy LaRoche could be on the verge of being called up from Triple-A. newyorkmets.com
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Baseball's creepy Uncle Jason

Jason Giambi has become major league baseball's creepy
uncle. He moved in with the Yankees seven seasons ago, and the team hasn't been able to get rid of him since. He's overcome his drug problem, but his penchant for cross-dressing makes him someone to keep the kids away from. He sweats profusely, and now that he's growing a mustache, the transformation is into sleazy uncle is complete.

The Yankees are forced to support Giambi, giving him an undeserved $23 million this season. It's clear that his 2009 option won't be picked up, so Uncle Jason knows that the end of this gravy train is close. In recent weeks he's shown that he might be pulling himself together. Giambi and other options are all discussed in this week's Waiver Wired.

[SIZE=+1]American League[/SIZE]

1. Dan Wheeler/Al Reyes ? RP ? TB - Old man Percival is on the disabled list for at least two weeks, and Dan Wheeler and Al Reyes are the two candidates to assume closing duties in the meantime. Wheeler has been used in more high-pressure situations so far this year, so he's the favorite to see more save opportunities while Percival is out. Even though the current stint as closer will likely be short, the 38-year-old Percival is a prime injury candidate, so Wheeler makes a solid investment, even in mixed leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

2. Jesse Litsch ? SP ? TOR - Litsch has been discussed in this space before, but it's worth mentioning that a guy available in almost 2/3rds of fantasy leagues has gone 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in the month of May. He's already tallied seven wins, and while his strikeout totals won't inspire, he shouldn't be languishing on the waiver wire.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

3. Aaron Laffey ? SP ? CLE - Laffey has also been mentioned in this space, but with Fausto Carmona going on the disabled list, he'll get another month to prove he belongs in the majors. Laffey seems to have harnessed his control, and with a 1.59 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, he's clearly worth using in the right situation. Unfortunately, his next two starts come against Texas and Detroit, two of the top three offenses in terms of runs scored. His ERA has been helped by a lucky BABIP against him, but he should be a solid contributor for as long as he's in the Indians' rotation.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

4. Jose Contreras ? SP ? CHW - Contreras has certainly out-pitched expectations early this season, and his 3.06 ERA and 1.05 WHIP are key reasons that the White Sox are currently sitting in first place in their division. Contreras says he's healthy after dealing with nagging injuries all last season, and his 10-strikeout performance against the Angels on Sunday has gotten him plenty of attention in fantasy leagues. He's worth grabbing and using for as long as the resurgence lasts. That could be all season.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues

5. Jason Giambi ? 1B ? NYY - After a dismal April, Giambi has hit .339 with six homers so far in May. His BABIP is actually still below average, but it's still unlikely that he'll manage to keep hitting at this pace. Between 1999 and 2002, Giambi hit over .300 each season, but he hasn't bested .271 since. Still, even when Giambi hit just .164 in April he hit five homers, thus showing his immense power ability. Don't expect him to stay healthy, but if you're looking for power this is a good place to start.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in mixed leagues.

6. Ben Francisco ? OF ? CLE - Ben Francisco has been a regular member of the Indians' lineup for about three weeks, and he's hitting .321/.352/.513 over that period. In his first 81 at-bats, he has two homers, 10 runs, 12 RBI and two stolen bases. He hit .318 in his second season at Triple-A last year, and has shown plenty of speed in the minors. If he continues to see regular at-bats he could hit around ten more homers and steal 15 more bases, making him a solid outfielder in AL-only leagues.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in mixed leagues.

7. Rod Barajas ? C ? TOR - With Gregg Zaun headed to the disabled list, Rod Barajas will be Toronto's primary catcher for at least a couple weeks. He's hit .301 with three homers and 14 RBI in 83 at-bats this season. He's displayed plenty of power in the past, and while his average should fall dramatically, he's a fine add short-term add at catcher for teams that need a power hitter.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in mixed leagues.

8. Marcus Thames ? OF- DET - The Tigers optioned Matt Joyce to Triple-A Toledo and plan on giving Marcus Thames an extended look as their left fielder. Thames has hit .308 against left-handed pitchers, but he's managed just .233 against righties. All five of his homers have come against lefties, in a scant 26 at-bats. Thames is 31-years-old and he's never been able to hit righties, and that's not likely to change, despite the increased playing time. Seeing more at-bats against right-handed pitchers should result in more runs and RBI, but it will hurt his average. Still, his power potential makes him worth grabbing.
Recommendation: Worth owning in AL-only leagues.

9. Jeff Larish ? 1B/DH ? DET - With Gary Sheffield headed to the disabled list, the Tigers have called up Jeff Larish and are easing him into DH duties. He's expected to get his first start on Friday in the bottom third of Detroit's order in order to alleviate pressure in his major league debut. Larish hit .277 at Triple-A Toledo, with an impressive 16 homers and 43 RBI in 191 at-bats. He did strike out 58 times in that span, which should be his biggest problem in the majors. His power makes him a worthy flier in AL-only leagues, though, and mixed leaguers should keep an eye on him.
Recommendation: Worth a flier in AL-only leagues.

10. Ryan Sweeney ? OF ? OAK - Sweeney is currently dealing with a toe issue, but it looks like he'll avoid a trip to the disabled list. He has become a regular in Oakland's offense, hitting .293/.353/.407 in 123 at-bats. He's managed 22 RBI and 15 runs in that time, and he's making a case to move into the top half of the order. His power is still a couple years away, limiting his fantasy value, but he's certainly someone to watch in AL-only leagues.
Recommendation: Worth watching in AL-only leagues.
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[SIZE=+1]National League[/SIZE]

1. Pedro Martinez ? SP ? NYM - Pedro is scheduled to return to the Mets on Tuesday, and his velocity is reportedly better than it was before he was placed on the disabled list at the start of the season. He's available in almost half the leagues out there, and while his perpetual injury concerns limit his value, he's worth grabbing if he can be had for free.
Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues. newyorkmets.com

2. Jorge Campillo - Campillo has made three starts for the Braves, allowing just one run in 15 innings. Over that time, he's allowed just nine hits and compiled a 16/0 K/BB ratio. The run was just the fourth he's allowed in 36 1/3 innings so far this year, giving him a 0.99 ERA. Campillo's been a bit lucky, but underlying skills suggest that he's capable of posting a sub-3.50 ERA. He's already dealing with blisters, though, and he's had Tommy John surgery in the past, so injuries are a concern.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

3. Wandy Rodriguez ? SP ? HOU - Rodriguez returned to the Houston rotation on Wednesday and posted a poor start against the Cardinals on Wednesday. Still, it was his first start in over a month, so please cut the guy a little slack. As he continues to distance himself from his groin injury, he should return to the form that made him so effective in the three starts before he hit the disabled list. Grab him and stash him until he's back at full speed.
Recommendation: Should be owned in mixed leagues.

4. Jack Wilson ? SS- PIT - Wilson was activated off the disabled list this week, and has gone 5-for-13 since rejoining the Pittsburgh lineup. The Pirates' offense has actually been very solid this season, and the insertion of Wilson into the No. 2 spot should only improve things. Wilson finished 2007 strong, hitting .356 with eight home runs and 31 RBI after the All Star game. Don't expect much power or speed, but he should still contribute to fantasy teams.
Recommendation: Should be owned in NL-only leagues.

5. Ryan Spilborghs ? OF ? COL - With Matt Holliday on the disabled list, Spilborghs has gotten a chance to be a regular part of the Rockies lineup. He's responded by going 8-for-21 with 4 runs, 6 RBI and a stolen base in five games. Holliday hopes to be back on June 10, but until then Spilborghs should have solid value in NL-only leagues.
Recommendation: Worth grabbing in NL-only leagues for now.

6. Elijah Dukes ? OF ? WAS - If your fantasy team has become complacent, and you want to freak your players out by adding a wild card to the mix, Dukes is just the guy for you. With Austin Kearns on the disabled list, Dukes has a few weeks to prove that he deserves to be a regular in Washington's lineup. So far he's gone 5-for-19 with four runs scored and just one RBI, but Dukes has tremendous talent so it's worth gambling on him.
Recommendation: Worth a flier in NL-only leagues

7. Russell Branyan ? 3B ? MIL - Russell Branyan was called up to counteract Bill Hall's immense struggles against right-handed pitchers. Hall was very vocal in his objection to a potential platoon situation, and Milwaukee has said Branyan won't start against every left-handed opponent. Still, if Branyan excels, he figures to play at least a few times a week. He'll strike out every other time he's up, and his average leaves plenty to be desired, but Branyan should be a nice source of NL-only power for as long as he's playing.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in NL-only leagues.

8. Nick Evans ? OF ? NYM - Angel Pagan isn't close to coming of the disabled list, and Ryan Church is limited with head issues, so newly promoted Nick Evans figures to stick with the team. He got off to a hot start, hitting three doubles in his major league debut, but has since gone 0-for-13. With Fernando Tatis and Endy Chavez also capable of contributing in the outfield, he's not assured of playing time. He did hit .292/.356/.538 with 8 home runs in 171 minor league at-bats before getting called up, so the talent is there. He'll have to start showing it to keep his major league window open.
Recommendation: Worth consideration in NL-only leagues. newyorkmets.com

9. Gregor Blanco ? OF ? ATL - Blanco had been seeing plenty of action in the outfield over the past few weeks, and with Matt Diaz landing on the disabled list, Blanco figures to remain a regular part of the Braves lineup for at least the next few weeks. He'll likely be stuck in the bottom half of the lineup, and his current .290 average should drop. With 1 homer, 8 RBI and 13 runs in 107 plate appearances, his fantasy value is limited. He's shown speed in the minors, but was thrown out in 18 of 41 steal attempts last year, so it's unlikely the Braves will give him a ton of green lights. Still, he could steal a base a week or so while playing regularly.
Recommendation: Worth considering in NL-only leagues. atlantabraves.com

10. Homer Bailey ? SP ? CIN - If Bailey had shown anything in the last month, odds are he'd be a part of the Cincinnati rotation by now. Matt Belisle was sent to Triple-A on Thursday, with Josh Fogg taking his spot in the rotation, but Fogg has hardly shown he belongs in that spot. Bailey has a 4.05 ERA, but he's simply issuing too many walks to sustain success. Still, the Reds are running out of options, and if Bailey can string together a halfway decent stretch of games he should join the team. His ERA and WHIP will be mediocre, but his huge strikeout potential would make him fantasy-worthy in NL-only leagues.
Recommendation: Worth watching in NL-only leagues.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Edmonds the new Wade Boggs?
Edmonds sparks the Cubs, the Sweeneys go DL together and the Dontrelle mystery persists. That and much more in this week's Week That Was.

Jim Edmonds: Jim Edmonds looked like the Edmonds of old Friday, notching three hits including a dinger in the Cubs dramatic comeback win on Friday. From a fantasy perspective, I think Edmonds can be a useful player in NL-only leagues. He is hardly the superstar he was a few years back, but even with injuries and age, Edmonds has hit over .250 with double digit homers in under 400 ABs in each of the last two years. In the friendly confines, he should at least equal those totals. A digression here ? a close friend and long-suffering Cubs fan said to me last night that he just has trouble thinking of Edmonds outside of his Cardinal uniform. My retort ? Yankee fans said that about Wade Boggs and his Red Sox uniform back in 1996. Now all the Yankee fans remember is Boggs riding the horse around Yankee Stadium after the Yankees' improbable comeback World Series victory over the then mighty Braves. Perhaps Jim Edmonds holds the power to break the unluckiest streak in sports, overcome the ghosts of Bartman and lead the Cubbies to their first title in 100 years. We shall see.

Dontrelle Willis: The Tigers announced that Dontrelle Willis and Armando Galarraga will each pitch half a game next week against the A's. Yes, you read that correctly, a little league type pitching strategy will be employed in the motor city. In my mind, this has the aura of giving up. Galarraga has posted a very strong 3.44 ERA and a WHIP under 1.10 this year, while the D-Train has continued moving along like a broken down garbage scow with square wheels. Bottom line ? you should seriously consider moving Armando now while his value is at its zenith.

Bobby Abreu:: Bobby Abreu scored four times in the Yankees win in the homer dome Friday night. Another interesting fact is that Abreu hit in the two hole. What does all this mean from a fantasy perspective? Well, I see a buying opportunity. Those waiting for Abreu to hit like a 30 HR hitter are bound to be disappointed and bound to be getting frustrated. That is foolish on their part. Abreu will score 100+, knock in around 100, steal 20 bases and hit for a solid average. Harp about his lack of power and fleece the Abreu owner who still sees visions of the home run derby.

Travis Hafner: In what is almost a mercy move for fantasy owners who placed their faith in Travis Hafner, the Indians placed Pronk on the DL. If you own Hafner, you can do nothing but suffer and hope. Though, frankly, Pronk has shown very little in the last year and a half that would lead one to believe he will rebound. On the other hand, if your team is way behind and needs to come up with a number of miracles, grabbing Pronk cheap and hoping is not crazy ? but just remember it is what it is ? a hail mary and Pronk is no Roger Staubach, Drew Pearson, Joe Montana or Dwight Clark.

Travis Buck: With the Sweeney's showing solidarity and hitting the DL together, the A's called up Travis Buck. At AAA , Buck was raking at a .330 pace. Look for Buck to get substantial playing time with the chance to stick long-term if he continues to produce. This is a real buying opportunity. Buck hit over .300 at every level in 2005-2006 and then, without any real time at AAA, posted a .280+ average in the bigs last year. Buy!

Carlos Gonzalez: Because the A's lost two Sweeneys, in addition to Buck, they called up Carlos Gonzalez. Like Buck, Gonzalez was hitting at AAA, posting a very respectable .293 average. Given Buck's success in the bigs last year, he is the better buy, but the A's will fall of the pace and both Buck and Gonzalez could see real time over the last half of the season.
Robinson Tejeda: Texas called up Robinson Tejeda from Oklahoma this week. Though they are talking about starting him out the pen, there is no way that will last. He has been lights out as a starter in AAA (1.11 ERA) and the Texas rotation hardly reminds anyone of Palmer, McNally, Dobson and Cuellar. Tejeda is a good low risk/high reward investment. He is only 26 now, but made his major league debut at the ripe old age of 23. The talent is there and the opportunity will be there. Buy.

Eric Byrnes: According to reports, an MRI of Eric Byrnes' legs showed tears in not one, but both hamstrings. Byrnes will clearly remain on the shelf for the foreseeable future. For those who paid big money for EB thinking he will repeat his 50 steals of 2007, shame on you. Byrnes had never stolen more than 25 bags in one year (and he did that only once). Players rarely become big time base stealers AFTER they turn 30. If you expected that of Byrnes, well, lesson learned I hope.

Chris Duncan: In what can only be described as an odd move, the Cardinals sent Chris Duncan to AAA. What makes this move even more odd is that his brother Shelley, who is not nearly the player Chris is, stays in the majors and steals at-bats from better players ? but I digress. If you own Chris Duncan, hold. He will be back very soon. CD has 43 dingers in just 625 big league at bats over the last two years. That is pretty darn good. Look for new Cardinal Joe Mather, Skip Schumaker, Rick Ankiel, Brian Barton and Ryan Ludwick to shuffle around in the outfield according to Tony LaRussa's moods.

Pedro Martinez: The Mets announced that Pedro Martinez will come off the DL and start against the Giants on Tuesday. Look for Mike Pelfrey to lose his rotation spot, not Claudio Vargas. As to Pedro, do not get too excited. In 2006, he had a 4.50 ERA, he barely pitched in 2007 and has thrown just 3+ innings in the first two months of 2008. If you own Pedro, wait for one or two good starts and sell high. If you don't own Pedro, keep it that way. newyorkmets.com

And of course, the moment that I hope at least someone has been waiting for ? Schultz says: "When the free agent pickings are slim, sometimes it's best to stop looking for the salivated over prospects and kiddie-phenoms which will blow your free agent budget and look for the solid players who are simply putting up better numbers than the average. In Bill James speak this might be another way of saying grab players who have a decent Value Over Replacement Player but in my personal belief, anyone who discourses excessively about VORP should truly be taken out back, beaten and left for carrion.

Looking at that proposition in the converse, you might want to stay away from the Colorado Rockies right about now. The clock has struck midnight on last year's Cinderella team and even though the future definitely looks bright for Ian Stewart, especially if he plays at second base long enough to earn eligibility, this team is a mess. Injuries have sidelined fantasy stud Matt Holliday, supposed breakout star Troy Tulowitzki and the super-surprising Clint Barmes and doesn't it seem like years not weeks since people drooled over Manny Corpas as a valuable closer. Losing tends to diminish desire and since the advent of the humidor much of the fantasy appeal to the Rockies has been tied in with that desire. Tread circumspectly.

Another team to avoid unless you are playing for 2009 (or possibly 2010) is the Kansas City Royals. The only thing to get excited about these days with the Royals is the fact that this weekend will feature a John Mayberry bobblehead giveaway. Alex Gordon, Billy Butler and Zack Grienke have all the makings of solid fantasy contributors but a chronically crummy team isn't going to spur any of them on to immediate greatness.

This week's first and likely last Schultz Says poll: who hits their first home run first 1) Victor Martinez; 2) Delmon Young or 3) Joe Mauer. If you don't own any of them, laugh and send your votes to Glenn Colton. If you do own one of them, step away from the cutlery, it's only rotisserie baseball. If you own all three of them, dude, they're laughing at you, not with you.

Response: I think Schultz swallowed a dictionary. Ok seriously, what he says makes a lot of sense and is directly in line with the SMART line of systems. T in SMART stands for Team. The better the team, the better the player is likely to produce. Good stuff.

Finally, and reverting to my day job, from what I understand, the United States Supreme Court Justices met in private conference Thursday to consider, among other things, whether to hear Major League Baseball's appeal of the decision that the First Amendment trumps the limited right of publicity baseball players may have in the way in which fantasy sports companies use their names. A rejection of the appeal means that fantasy players can rest easy that new and innovative products from entrepreneurs around the country will continue to hit the market as those business people will feel more confident they will be free from the players belated attempt to cash in on a game they once ridiculed. On the other hand, if the High Court takes the case, it will be a legal battle royale in which the very fate of the fantasy sports industry will be determined. Stay tuned.
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

Oliver twists and shouts

Nothing says "fantasy baseball" like referencing a Charles Dickens novel from 1838, so on that note let's just jump right in. Here's what's happening in baseball this week:
[SIZE=+1]Two-start Pitchers[/SIZE]

American League

Must Starts
Roy Halladay - @NYY (Joba Chamberlain), BAL (Steve Trachsel)
Andy Pettitte - @MIN (Livan Hernandez), KC (Brian Bannister)
Tim Wakefield - @BAL (Jeremy Guthrie), SEA (Miguel Batista)
Gavin Floyd ? KC (Zack Greinke), MIN (Kevin Slowey)
Aaron Laffey - @TEX (Vicente Padilla), @DET (Kenny Rogers)
Jake Westbrook ? @TEX (Doug Mathis), @DET (Jeremy Bonderman)
Zack Greinke - @CHW (Gavin Floyd), @NYY (Joba Chamberlain)
Ervin Santana - @SEA (Jarrod Washburn), @OAK (Rich Harden)
Joba Chamberlain ? TOR (Roy Halladay), KC (Zach Greinke)
Rich Harden ? DET (Jeremy Bonderman), LAA (Ervin Santana)
Jeremy Bonderman - @OAK (Rich Harden), CLE (Jake Westbrook)
Kevin Slowey ? BAL (Steve Trachsel), @CHW (Gavin Floyd)
Matt Garza - @BOS (Justin Masterson), @TEX (Doug Mathis)

Other Options
Jeremy Guthrie ? BOS (Tim Wakefield), @TOR (A.J. Burnett)
Steve Trachsel - @MIN (Kevin Slowey), @TOR (Roy Halladay)
Livan Hernandez ? NYY (Andy Pettitte), @CHW (Mark Buehrle)
Jarrod Washburn ? LAA (Ervin Santana), @BOS (Clay Buchholz*)
Vicente Padilla ? CLE (Aaron Laffey), TB (Andy Sonnanstine)
Doug Mathis ? CLE (Jake Westbrook), TB (Matt Garza)

*Buchholz could be back to start for the Red Sox on Saturday.

National League

Must Starts
Jo-Jo Reyes ? FLA (Scott Olsen), PHI (Kyle Kendrick)
Jorge Campillo ? FLA (Burke Badenhop), PHI (Adam Eaton)
Carlos Zambrano - @SD (Shawn Estes), @LAD (Derek Lowe)
Jason Marquis - @SD (Wilfredo Ledezma), @LAD (Brad Penny)
Bronson Arroyo - @PHI (Kyle Kendrick), @FLA (Scott Olsen)
Aaron Harang - @PHI (Adam Eaton), @FLA (Burke Badenhop)
Scott Olsen - @ATL (Jo-Jo Reyes), CIN (Bronson Arroyo)
Wandy Rodriguez - @PIT (Phil Dumatrait), STL (Kyle Lohse)
Derek Lowe ? COL (Greg Reynolds), CHC (Carlos Zambrano)
Brad Penny ? COL (Jeff Francis), CHC (Jason Marquis)
Oliver Perez - @SF (Freddy Sanchez), @SD (Shawn Estes)
Pedro Martinez - @SF (Barry Zito), @SD (Wilfredo Ledezma)
Adam Wainwright ? PIT (Tom Gorzelanny), @HOU (Shawn Chacon)

Other Options
Doug Davis - @MIL (Jeff Suppan), @PIT (Phil Dumatrait)
Greg Reynolds - @LAD (Derek Lowe), MIL (Jeff Suppan)
Burke Badenhop - @ATL (Jorge Campillo), CIN (Aaron Harang)
Jeff Suppan ? ARI (Doug Davis), @COL (Greg Reynolds)
Kyle Kendrick ? CIN (Bronson Arroyo), @ATL (Jo-Jo Reyes) atlantabraves.com
Adam Eaton ? CIN (Aaron Harang), @ATL (Jorge Campillo)
Tom Gorzelanny - @STL (Adam Wainwright), ARI (Dan Haren)
Phil Dumatrait ? HOU (Wandy Rodriguez), ARI (Doug Davis)
Shawn Estes ? CHC (Carlos Zambrano), NYM (Oliver Perez)
Wilfredo Ledezma ? CHC (Jason Marquis), NYM (Pedro Martinez)
Jonathan Sanchez ? NYM (Oliver Perez), @WAS (Odalis Perez)
Kyle Lohse - @WAS (Odalis Perez), @HOU (Wandy Rodriguez)
Odalis Perez ? STL (Kyle Lohse), SF (Jonathan Sanchez)


[SIZE=+1]Possible Streamers[/SIZE]

The following pitchers are available in a majority of mixed leagues and might be worth using in one or both of their starts this week.

American League

Tuesday, 6/3 ? Kevin Slowey vs. BAL ? After allowing just one run in nine innings against the Royals this week, Slowey now has a 3.38 ERA to go along with his 1.04 WHIP. He's still giving up an inordinate number of home runs, but he can be used in the right situation. The Orioles have scored the second-fewest runs in the American League, making Tuesday the right situation.

Tuesday, 6/3 ? Gavin Floyd vs. KC ? Floyd is owned in more than half of all fantasy leagues, but make sure he's not available in yours. Match-ups against Kansas City and Minnesota should produce quality stats worth using in weekly leagues.

Wednesday 6/4 ? John Danks vs. KC ? Danks is also unavailable in most fantasy leagues, but if you can grab him and start him against the league's worst offense, then please do it.

Wednesday, 6/4 - Daniel Cabrera @ MIN ? Cabrera has been pitching well this season, but he may have burned fantasy owners one too many times because he's owned in just a quarter of all leagues. Still, he's only walked more than two batters once since the first week of the season, and a match-up against the Twins at their pitcher-friendly ballpark should prove advantageous.

Thursday, 6/5 ? Jose Contreras vs. KC ? Like the two White Sox pitchers above, Contreras is owned in about half of all mixed leagues. Also like them, he's scheduled to pitch against the worst offense in major league baseball. If he's available, use him.

National League

Monday, 6/2 - Derek Lowe vs. COL ? Colorado is incredibly banged up, and their offense has been uninspiring for much of the season. Lowe has thrown consecutive quality starts, and might be reversing an ugly start to the season. He's also pitched significantly better at home this year. This is a risky option, but worth considering.

Monday, 6/2 ? Oliver Perez @ SF ? Perez has disappointed early, but pitching in San Francisco against the Giants should lead to a productive outing. The Giants have scored the second-fewest runs in the National League, with only the Padres scoring fewer. It just so happens that Perez makes his second start against San Diego this week. That both stadiums are pitcher-friendly should help.

Tuesday, 6/3 ? Kyle Lohse @ WAS ? Lohse has faced the punchless Nationals offense once so far this season, and he shut them out for seven innings, allowing just four hits. He's allowed just three runs in his last 18 innings, and seems poised to make another quality start on Tuesday.

Friday, 6/6 ? Jason Bergmann vs. SF ? As mentioned above, the Giants are one of the worst offenses in the major leagues. Bergmann hasn't allowed a run in 19 2/3 innings since getting recalled in the middle of May.


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[SIZE=+1]Total Games[/SIZE]

American League
7: BAL, BOS, CLE, MIN, NYY, TEX
6: CHW, DET, KC, LAA, OAK, SEA, TB, TOR

National League
7: ATL, CHC, CIN, FLA, LAD, NYM, PHI, PIT, SD, STL
6: ARI, COL, HOU, MIL, SF, WAS


[SIZE=+1]Righty vs. Lefty match-ups[/SIZE]

American League
Baltimore - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Boston - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Chicago White Sox - 6 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Cleveland - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Detroit - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Kansas City - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Angels - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Minnesota - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
New York Yankees - 7 vs. Righties, 0 vs. Lefties
Oakland - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Seattle - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Tampa Bay ? 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Texas - 3 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
Toronto - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Angels face three left-handed pitchers this week, so Erick Aybar (.382 vs LHP) should have a solid week. Casey Kotchman (.395 vs. LHP) should also benefit. By hitting .262 against them, Gary Matthews Jr. is hitting lefties over 50 points better than righties. Mike Napoli (.176 vs. LHP) might get an extra day off.

The Twins also face three lefties, which could be good news for Carlos Gomez, who is hitting .362 off them this year. Brandon Harris (.209 vs. LHP) and Jason Kubel (.171 vs. LHP) and Mike Lamb (.091 vs. LHP) have all disappointed against lefties this year. Craig Monroe (.118 vs. LHP) and Delmon Young (.222 vs. LHP) also have struggled.

The Athletics have three games against lefties, so Travis Buck (.120 vs. LHP) could see reduced playing time. Emil Brown (.313 vs. LHP) is worth using, while Mark Ellis (.148 vs. LHP) could struggle. Kurt Suzuki (.226 vs. LHP) could also get an extra day off.

The Rangers are matched-up with four left-handed pitchers, which should benefit Brandon Boggs (.269 vs. LHP) and lead to fewer at-bats for Frank Catalanotto. Ian Kinsler (.224 vs. LHP) could suffer, as could David Murphy (.232 vs. LHP) and Jarrod Saltalamacchia (.167 vs. LHP).

National League:
Arizona - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Atlanta - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Chicago Cubs - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Cincinnati - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Colorado - 5 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Florida - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
Houston - 3 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
Los Angeles Dodgers ? 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Milwaukee - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
New York Mets - 3 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
Philadelphia - 6 vs. Righties, 1 vs. Lefties
Pittsburgh - 5 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
San Diego - 4 vs. Righties, 3 vs. Lefties
San Francisco - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties
St. Louis - 4 vs. Righties, 4 vs. Lefties
Washington - 4 vs. Righties, 2 vs. Lefties

Notes:

The Diamondbacks face three lefties, which is good news for Orlando Hudson (.358 vs. LHP), Conor Jackson (.396 vs. LHP), Justin Upton (.306 vs. LHP) and Mark Reynolds (.271 vs. LHP).

The Braves face three lefties, which is bad news for Yunel Escobar (.247 vs. LHP). It should help Kelly Johnson (.339 vs. LHP) and Brian McCann (.382 vs. LHP). Greg Norton (.333 vs. LHP) could also be worth consideration in Atlanta's banged-up outfield.

The Reds face three southpaws, which isn't great news for Paul Bako, who has hit just .188 off them this season. Adam Dunn is hitting just .231 off them and only 3 of his 14 homers have come against lefties. Ken Griffey Jr. is hitting just .188 off lefties thus far. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .271 off them meanwhile, making him a solid option, just like Ryan Freel, who is hitting .339 in 62 at-bats against lefties. Jerry Hairston is hitting .433 off lefties so far this season, so he can be considered. Joey Votto is hitting .322 off southpaws.

The Astros will go against three lefties, so Michael Bourn (.149 vs. LHP) could have a tough time, while Kaz Matsui (.316 vs. LHP), Ty Wigginton (.348 vs. LHP), and J.R. Towles (.294) could have good weeks.

The Mets have three games against lefties, which is bad news for Luis Castillo (.217 vs. LHP). It's great news for David Wright, who is hitting .444 off lefties so far this season. Brian Schneider is hitting just .238 off of them.

The Padres face three lefties, which isn't great news for Adrian Gonzalez (.229 vs. LHP), but he should obviously be played anyway. Scott Hairston has hit just .175 off lefties this season, and Tadahito Iguchi is hitting just .184 off them. Kevin Kouzmanoff should have a nice week, as he's hit .333 off lefties thus far this season.

The Cardinals face four lefties this week, which could have contributed to the demotion of Chris Duncan, who is hitting just .111 off them. Cesar Izturis is hitting .281 off lefties, and Adam Kennedy is hitting .292 off them. Ryan Ludwick, meanwhile, is hitting just .230 off lefties. Yadier Molina could be worth starting, as he's hitting .392 off lefties.

[SIZE=+1]The Injury Bug[/SIZE]

For the latest on injuries, check out Rotoworld's handy Injury Page.

Chone Figgins ? 3B ? Hamstring ? Return mid-June
Kelvim Escobar ? SP ? Shoulder ? Return around All Star break
Frank Thomas ? DH ? Quadriceps ? Return mid-June
Gregg Zaun ? C ? Elbow ? Return mid-June
Vernon Wells ? OF ? Wrist ? Return early July
Mark Kotsay ? OF ? Back ? Out indefinitely
John Smoltz ? P ? Shoulder ? Return June 2
Eric Gagne ? RP ? Shoulder ? Return early June
Jason Isringhausen ? Hand ? Return late June
Chris Carpenter ? SP ? Elbow ? Return late July
Eric Byrnes ? OF ? Hamstring ? Return mid-June
Rafael Furcal ? SS- Back ? Return early June
Travis Hafner ? DH ? Shoulder- Return mid-June
Fausto Carmona ? SP ? Hip ? Return late June
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=194"]Chris Young[/URL] ? SP ? Face ? Out indefinitely
Jake Peavy ? SP ? Elbow ? Return early June
Jayson Werth ? OF ? Abdomen ? Return mid-June
Ryan Doumit ? C ? Thumb ? Return early June
Troy Percival ? RP ? Leg ? Return mid-June
Daisuke Matsuzaka ? SP ? shoulder ? Out indefinitely
Matt Holliday ? OF ? Hamstring ? Return mid-June
Troy Tulowitzki ? SS ? Quadriceps ? Return July
Jorge Posada ? C ? Shoulder- Return early June

[SIZE=+1]Waiver Wired[/SIZE]

For this week's top waiver adds, read my opinion in this week's Waiver Wired.

AL

1. Dan Wheeler
2. Jesse Litsch
3. Aaron Laffey
4. Jose Contreras
5. Jason Giambi

NL

1. Pedro Martinez
2. Jorge Campillo
3. Wandy Rodriguez
4. Jack Wilson
5. Ryan Spilborghs
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

June Shortstop Rankings

Up this week are the June rankings. Players are ranked based on how I believe they will perform in 5x5 leagues over the remainder of the season. Included with the position rankings is a new overall top-250 list.



Click to see other June Rankings:
Relief Pitcher Rankings
Starting Pitcher Rankings
Outfielder Rankings
Catcher Rankings
First Basemen Rankings
DH Rankings
Second Basemen Rankings
Shortstop Rankings
Third basemen Rankings
Top 250 Overall Rankings



Shortstop


<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Team</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Hanley Ramirez</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>Jose Reyes</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Jimmy Rollins</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Michael Young</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Miguel Tejada</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Derek Jeter</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Carlos Guillen</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Rafael Furcal</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Yunel Escobar</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Orlando Cabrera</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Stephen Drew</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>Ryan Theriot</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Edgar Renteria</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Jhonny Peralta</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Cristian Guzman</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Julio Lugo</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Troy Tulowitzki</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Bobby Crosby</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Yuniesky Betancourt</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>J.J. Hardy</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Khalil ******</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>Jack Wilson</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Erick Aybar</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>Felipe Lopez</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Jason Bartlett</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>David Eckstein</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Brendan Harris</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>Jeff Keppinger</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Omar Vizquel</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>Clint Barmes</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=2653"]Alex Gonzalez[/URL]</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>Juan Uribe</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Ronny Cedeno</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>34</TD><TD>Brendan Ryan</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Omar Quintanilla</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>36</TD><TD>Nick Punto</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Jerry Hairston</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>38</TD><TD>Cesar Izturis</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Jed Lowrie</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>40</TD><TD>Tony Pena Jr.</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Freddie Bynum</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>42</TD><TD>Adam Everett</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>Mark Loretta</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>44</TD><TD>Alberto Callaspo</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Mike Aviles</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Rising: Miguel Tejada (7 to 5), Ryan Theriot (16 to 12), Cristian Guzman (25 to 15), Jack Wilson (28 to 22), Omar Vizquel (36 to 29), Ronny Cedeno (37 to 33), Omar Quintanilla (NR to 35), Jerry Hairston Jr. (109 OF to 37)

Falling: Derek Jeter (4 to 6), Troy Tulowitzki (5 to 17), Erick Aybar (19 to 23), Tony Pena Jr. (34 to 40), Adam Everett (33 to 42), Mark Loretta (35 to 43), Donnie Murphy (40 to NR)
 

Hache Man

"Seven Days Without Gambling Makes One Weak"
Re: Fantasy Baseball News 2008

June Third Basemen Rankings

Up this week are the June rankings. Players are ranked based on how I believe they will perform in 5x5 leagues over the remainder of the season. Included with the position rankings is a new overall top-250 list.


Click to see other June Rankings:
Relief Pitcher Rankings
Starting Pitcher Rankings
Outfielder Rankings
Catcher Rankings
First Basemen Rankings
DH Rankings
Second Basemen Rankings
Shortstop Rankings
Third basemen Rankings
Top 250 Overall Rankings



Third basemen


<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Team</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Alex Rodriguez</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>David Wright</TD><TD>NYM</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=4048"]Ryan Braun[/URL]</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Miguel Cabrera</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Aramis Ramirez</TD><TD>CHC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Chipper Jones</TD><TD>ATL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Chone Figgins</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Garrett Atkins</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Ryan Zimmerman</TD><TD>WAS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Alex Gordon</TD><TD>KC</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Adrian Beltre</TD><TD>SEA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>Edwin Encarnacion</TD><TD>CIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Mike Lowell</TD><TD>BOS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Evan Longoria</TD><TD>TB</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Joe Crede</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Kevin Kouzmanoff</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Troy Glaus</TD><TD>STL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Jorge Cantu</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Mark Reynolds</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>Scott Rolen</TD><TD>TOR</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Melvin Mora</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>Hank Blalock</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Bill Hall</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL]</TD><TD>ARZ</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Pedro Feliz</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>Casey Blake</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Ty Wigginton</TD><TD>HOU</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>Eric Chavez</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Blake DeWitt</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>Chase Headley</TD><TD>SD</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3803"]Jose Bautista[/URL]</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>Mike Lamb</TD><TD>MIN</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Russell Branyan</TD><TD>MLW</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>34</TD><TD>Josh Fields</TD><TD>CWS</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Andy LaRoche</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>36</TD><TD>Ramon Vazquez</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Brandon Inge</TD><TD>DET</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>38</TD><TD>Nomar Garciaparra</TD><TD>LA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Jack Hannahan</TD><TD>OAK</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>40</TD><TD>Dallas McPherson</TD><TD>FLA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Rich Aurilia</TD><TD>SF</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>42</TD><TD>Wilson Betemit</TD><TD>NYY</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>Andy Marte</TD><TD>CLE</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>44</TD><TD>Ian Stewart</TD><TD>COL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Greg Dobbs</TD><TD>PHI</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>46</TD><TD>Doug Mientkiewicz</TD><TD>PIT</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>47</TD><TD>Alex Cintron</TD><TD>BAL</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>48</TD><TD>[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=1351"]Brandon Wood[/URL]</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>49</TD><TD>Travis Metcalf</TD><TD>TEX</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>50</TD><TD>Robb Quinlan</TD><TD>ANA</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Rising: Chipper Jones (8 to 6), Evan Longoria (20 to 14), Jorge Cantu (27 to 18), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3586"]Chad Tracy[/URL] (28 to 24), Eric Chavez (32 to 28), Blake DeWitt (40 to 29), Chase Headley (43 to 30), Russell Branyan (NR to 33), Ramon Vazquez (NR to 36)

Falling: Chone Figgins (5 to 7), Hank Blalock (13 to 22), Bill Hall (15 to 23), [URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&id=3803"]Jose Bautista[/URL] (26 to 31), Andy LaRoche (29 to 35), Nomar Garciaparra (34 to 38), Scott Moore (39 to NR), Morgan Ensberg (42 to NR)

- I figured Cantu's poor glove would eventually cost him his job, but the Marlins are so used to putting up with lousy infield defense that they hardly seem to care at this point. Cantu is definitely worth using in mixed leagues while hitting third in Florida's lineup.

- Tracy should be the Diamondbacks' primary third baseman against right-handers, but I'm not holding my breath on that one. Mark Reynolds is still ranked higher at the moment.

- If Blalock had returned Friday as expected, he would come in at No. 14. Now that he's had wrist surgery, costing him at least another 2-4 weeks, he drops to 22nd.
 
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