Enfuego
EOG Dedicated
The next system is a system that uses underdogs. This system is expecially designed for betting on baseball. In other words, you will bet on baseball dawgs.
One very important thing that you should remember is that sports gamblers love favorites. Oddsmakers know this and they know that the tendency of almost every sports gambler is to think that the spreads, set by the oddsmakers, represents how much a team is favored to win the game.
Well, the fact is that oddsmakers set the spreads based on public perception with the goal of getting 50% of bettors to bet on each team (each side). By doing this, sportsbooks come out ahead no matter who wins the game.
Now, let's keep this chapter short and to the point.
Fact: In baseball, there is a law of average showing that over an entire season, underdogs will beat favorites about 4 games out of 9 (44%). Even with money lines of 2.25, 2.35 or 2.50.
Example:
If you bet $25 on 9 dogs with odds of 2.35 (+135), you will make 4 X $25 X 2.35 = $235 - 9 X $25 = $225. So you end with a profit of $10.
So, in order to help you select the best underdogs and this way, make more money, you will have to follow 3 simple rules in your selection of underdogs.
3 Rules to follow:
1) You must eliminate the game where the dawg has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Remember that every baseball team faces some long losing streaks as well as long winning streaks.
2) Eliminate games where the money line for the dawg is higher thn 2.50 (+150). If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games.
3) Eliminate games where the underdog is facing a very good pitcher. If they're facing a pitcher who's in the top 20 of the MLB, move on to another selection. You can use any newspaper as well as a log of web sites to have access to this information. www.tsn.com is a good site. The pitchers standing must be according to the ERA.
So, everyday, if you follow these 3 rules on a day with as many as 15 games, you should be left with between 3 and 9 underdog teams to bet on.
Amount to bet:
It is really up to you. Betting around 1.25% to 2.5% of your bankroll is ok. So, if you have a $1000 bankroll, 2.5% meenas that you will bet $25 a game.
Now everyday, all you have to do is check the MLB schedule and eliminate the games following the 3 rules.
After that, you're ready to bet.
I looked at a week last year and using the system, it ended the week going 13-11 (54.1%). And all for underdogs. During that week there was a profit of $140.75.
Good luck if you use it and now you can all tell me why it won't work.
One very important thing that you should remember is that sports gamblers love favorites. Oddsmakers know this and they know that the tendency of almost every sports gambler is to think that the spreads, set by the oddsmakers, represents how much a team is favored to win the game.
Well, the fact is that oddsmakers set the spreads based on public perception with the goal of getting 50% of bettors to bet on each team (each side). By doing this, sportsbooks come out ahead no matter who wins the game.
Now, let's keep this chapter short and to the point.
Fact: In baseball, there is a law of average showing that over an entire season, underdogs will beat favorites about 4 games out of 9 (44%). Even with money lines of 2.25, 2.35 or 2.50.
Example:
If you bet $25 on 9 dogs with odds of 2.35 (+135), you will make 4 X $25 X 2.35 = $235 - 9 X $25 = $225. So you end with a profit of $10.
So, in order to help you select the best underdogs and this way, make more money, you will have to follow 3 simple rules in your selection of underdogs.
3 Rules to follow:
1) You must eliminate the game where the dawg has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Remember that every baseball team faces some long losing streaks as well as long winning streaks.
2) Eliminate games where the money line for the dawg is higher thn 2.50 (+150). If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games.
3) Eliminate games where the underdog is facing a very good pitcher. If they're facing a pitcher who's in the top 20 of the MLB, move on to another selection. You can use any newspaper as well as a log of web sites to have access to this information. www.tsn.com is a good site. The pitchers standing must be according to the ERA.
So, everyday, if you follow these 3 rules on a day with as many as 15 games, you should be left with between 3 and 9 underdog teams to bet on.
Amount to bet:
It is really up to you. Betting around 1.25% to 2.5% of your bankroll is ok. So, if you have a $1000 bankroll, 2.5% meenas that you will bet $25 a game.
Now everyday, all you have to do is check the MLB schedule and eliminate the games following the 3 rules.
After that, you're ready to bet.
I looked at a week last year and using the system, it ended the week going 13-11 (54.1%). And all for underdogs. During that week there was a profit of $140.75.
Good luck if you use it and now you can all tell me why it won't work.
