Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Apple

Banned
Who else thinks Nova is too strong for a very beatable and overrated Duke squad?

Duke always gets overbet, we're getting value here..


Thoughts?
 

diogee

Verly isnt going anywhere
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

I like it...have Nova beating Duke in my bracket. Helps to have a nice number to go along with it...Duke looks overvalued to me.
 

Almost Allright

GO Bucks!!!
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

i am in. have nova in my bracket as well. I don't get the plus three at all. i will take both points and ml.
 

mariah

EOG Dedicated
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

I think if you wait you may get Villanova +4.5 or +5 on game day.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

I think if you wait you may get Villanova +4.5 or +5 on game day.

Disagree - think the line goes the OTHER way and if you like Nova grab them now - it wont get any better than this

and i like Nova SU here - this jumped out at me ASAP
 

diogee

Verly isnt going anywhere
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Agree with Winky and if by some chance it does move that way it wouldn't be there for long.
 

cheapseats

EOG Master
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

What, you think the Duke Darlings are going to get pissed on by the public, don't know, but I'd be surprised. Duke is Duke, their reruns are on TV more than Leave-it-to-Beaver.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Duke hasn't beat a good team in the tournament in years..
 
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Duke hasn't beat a good team in the tournament in years..
I pick Duke to lose every game. I never at any point this year thought they were good. They've beat me often this year as well.

Still, I like Nova to get them for sure. I still think Duke stinks. I've done the same thing with Oklahoma this year as well. Blake Griffin has been kicking my butt.
 
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Vegas has already built in the Duke luv with this line as it is. Ive noticed this with a couple of other games so far with the early lines. Especially the UCLA/Nova game. Thats why we get such a good line on Nova in both of these games. This could easily be a pk or Nova -1 but this line is anticipating late Duke action to even out the early Nova handle in my opinion. This way they wont need to move the line more than 1/2 a point either way. This is just my assumption I have no inside knowledge. It makes a lot of sense to me. New Hotel/Casino just went up down the street, guess these guys have a clue. Last thing they want to do is move any of these lines more than 1 point and sharp dudes are getting paid to make sure that dont happen.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Remember there a lot of Duke dick riders around this world.
 

smoke1399

EOG Senior Member
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

I'm on Nova here as well but also with a bit of homer bias. Nova is playing well right now but I have to admit that so is Duke. I don't think they are as over rated right now as they have been most of the season, but agree there is still value in Nova. Duke is gonna have to shoot well throughout this game to knock them out. Game should be a pick em or nova -1 in my opinion.
 

WINBET

EOG Dedicated
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Whatever your feelings are on the game dont get sucked into theories on what the Public thinks. Thats fine for the regular season but the books cannot afford to be complacent in the tourny.

Leaving aside the 1st round Bing whatever Team, The Books believe that Duke are a solid Number 2 seed by virtue of their spread in the Texas game. Conversely, The Books have seen Villanova not as 3 seed in both their Games and now are opposing them again.

Of course one could argue that the extra -0.5-1 pt on Duke is to cater for the public but I will tell you that in a game this highlighted, its because the Books lean is against Villanova. Once again, I'm not saying Villanova cannot beat this Spread but please have bone-fide reasons and not guesses or cliches on the number.

Best of Luck in your Bets.:cheers
 
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Villanova is the better team. I think they will win. Thats why I bet the money line. I could give a fiddlers fart what the public or anyone else thinks. It could be a close game and Nova may lose, but I feel they have the better chance of coming out on top. The books have to cater a little to public perception in these marquee type games or risk having to make big ...... aaaah fuck it ....
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

should of fucking hammered them.. Well 1.14 units is better than nothing.

Whoever bet ML, props.
 
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

:houraWeve been doing good for a change lately when were on the same side. Thats two in a row. Hammered Syracuse tomorrow. Are you in?
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

I like Michigan St and Zaga tomorrow.. We're good together Natty, I think that Oklahoma Syr game is a coin toss.. GL ill root for ya
 
Re: Villanova +3 and ML over Duke.. Who else likes this?

Im on the Zags too. Might have to double up on that one also. I think the same about the MSU game as you do about my Syracuse game so Ill be rootin for you also. Good luck.
 
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