58-55-1 Overall. (+14.05 units)
Nice start to the year. Hope to keep it steady and possibly improve on April. I know I had a lot of bad beats, and in all fairness a handfull of lucky wins too. Just have to avoid hitting that bad streak most of all. Things change quick in baseball and we have to adapt our strategies as the season progresses. Lets hope I can zig and zag at the right times and make the right corrections quickly if I make a wrong turn.
Monday action:
924 - Detroit -125 vs Minnesota (1 unit)
924 - Detroit RL +160 (0.5 units)
I know this may be a small stretch but Jackson reminds me a little of Liriano when he was a hot young breakout pitcher. Liriano has come back to show nothing but decent servicability up to this point. He may work his way back to acedom, but its not there yet. I also like to play home teams in mid home stand situations on Mondays after a day game. The Tigers also have a very good bullpen and potentially explosive offense. Minnesota is very cool with the bats a majority of the time and Detroit has some very good SLG. numbers against leftys so far this year. Liriano is a fairly hittable lefty so far this year.
918 - Toronto -111 vs Cleveland
This is basically an underdog price on the much better team at this point in the season. I know the pitching matchup favors Cleveland but every other aspect of this game vastly favors the Blue Jays in my opinion. Carmona is pretty wicked when he is in the zone, but that is usually a pretty big crapshoot. He often gives too many free bases and struggles with control. Tallet is pretty servicable and Im gambling on him to go 5 innings and holding the Indians to two or three runs. The Jays have a great shot to win if he can just do that. He had a rough one last time out, but he has been a pretty consistant cat in his first two starts and most of his relief appearances. Cleveland also hits the road off a tough emotionally draining loss to KC while Toronto continues at home off a sweep over the Orioles.
916 - LA Dodgers -133 vs Arizona
Its pretty tough to sweep a four game series, so I think its safe to say the Dodgers are pretty hot right now. They also stay home and host Arizona who travel in from a four game series with Milwaukee. Although they managed to split the series, Arizona posted some poor SLG numbers and I fear the adjustments to hitting in Dodger stadium after Miller Park might be a bit dramatic. Not sure, just a hunch. Anyway the Dodgers are beginning to appear very tough at home. We may get a chance to see the eldest Weaver brother who looked pretty good in his first long relief role vs SD. Stultz is probably not feeling too secure in his rotation spot with Weaver in the wings to mop up should he struggle early on. Its seems pretty obvious that Joe Torrey has saved Weaver for this possibility. Weaver is on three days rest after 54 pitches in his '09 homecoming debut. Lets hope Doug Davis has a tough time with the pinpoint location he usually needs to dominate his opponants.
I also have strong leans on the Yankees and STL. No overnight lines here in Vegas on these games. Hopefully the lines wont be .... out of line. May have to play the run line on STL. I think it will be a safe bet with Pujols well rested along with the suprisingly effective LaRussa bullpen. The day off rain out and the fact that they dont have to travel is a great advantage. STL is 8-2 vs the run line in home wins while Phillys' two road losses thus far have been by a combined 13 runs. Hoping to get a decent line on the Yankees but I wont lay more than -120 or -125.
Good luck all.
Peace. :thumbsup
Nice start to the year. Hope to keep it steady and possibly improve on April. I know I had a lot of bad beats, and in all fairness a handfull of lucky wins too. Just have to avoid hitting that bad streak most of all. Things change quick in baseball and we have to adapt our strategies as the season progresses. Lets hope I can zig and zag at the right times and make the right corrections quickly if I make a wrong turn.
Monday action:
924 - Detroit -125 vs Minnesota (1 unit)
924 - Detroit RL +160 (0.5 units)
I know this may be a small stretch but Jackson reminds me a little of Liriano when he was a hot young breakout pitcher. Liriano has come back to show nothing but decent servicability up to this point. He may work his way back to acedom, but its not there yet. I also like to play home teams in mid home stand situations on Mondays after a day game. The Tigers also have a very good bullpen and potentially explosive offense. Minnesota is very cool with the bats a majority of the time and Detroit has some very good SLG. numbers against leftys so far this year. Liriano is a fairly hittable lefty so far this year.
918 - Toronto -111 vs Cleveland
This is basically an underdog price on the much better team at this point in the season. I know the pitching matchup favors Cleveland but every other aspect of this game vastly favors the Blue Jays in my opinion. Carmona is pretty wicked when he is in the zone, but that is usually a pretty big crapshoot. He often gives too many free bases and struggles with control. Tallet is pretty servicable and Im gambling on him to go 5 innings and holding the Indians to two or three runs. The Jays have a great shot to win if he can just do that. He had a rough one last time out, but he has been a pretty consistant cat in his first two starts and most of his relief appearances. Cleveland also hits the road off a tough emotionally draining loss to KC while Toronto continues at home off a sweep over the Orioles.
916 - LA Dodgers -133 vs Arizona
Its pretty tough to sweep a four game series, so I think its safe to say the Dodgers are pretty hot right now. They also stay home and host Arizona who travel in from a four game series with Milwaukee. Although they managed to split the series, Arizona posted some poor SLG numbers and I fear the adjustments to hitting in Dodger stadium after Miller Park might be a bit dramatic. Not sure, just a hunch. Anyway the Dodgers are beginning to appear very tough at home. We may get a chance to see the eldest Weaver brother who looked pretty good in his first long relief role vs SD. Stultz is probably not feeling too secure in his rotation spot with Weaver in the wings to mop up should he struggle early on. Its seems pretty obvious that Joe Torrey has saved Weaver for this possibility. Weaver is on three days rest after 54 pitches in his '09 homecoming debut. Lets hope Doug Davis has a tough time with the pinpoint location he usually needs to dominate his opponants.
I also have strong leans on the Yankees and STL. No overnight lines here in Vegas on these games. Hopefully the lines wont be .... out of line. May have to play the run line on STL. I think it will be a safe bet with Pujols well rested along with the suprisingly effective LaRussa bullpen. The day off rain out and the fact that they dont have to travel is a great advantage. STL is 8-2 vs the run line in home wins while Phillys' two road losses thus far have been by a combined 13 runs. Hoping to get a decent line on the Yankees but I wont lay more than -120 or -125.
Good luck all.
Peace. :thumbsup
