Rich Allen
EOG Member
I want to speak to you about the occurrence of key numbers in the NBA. When we first started our study we were skeptical that we might find key numbers in the NBA the same as we did in football. With football, there are two main ways in which teams will score, by field goals or touchdowns. And barring missed extra points which happen very infrequently, this means points increase by margins of 3 or 7 in most cases. This provides a great occasion to hit upon statistical advantages.
But what about in the NBA? There's no big jump like 3 points to 7 points or 7 points to 7 more points like in the NFL. You can have free throws (1 point), regular baskets (2points), or three-pointers (3 points). Even more disturbing is the difference in the amount of scoring chances that occur in the two sports. In football games, each team generally scores between 3 and 6 times, with a combination of field goals and touchdowns. Opportunities abound for us to find noticeable patterns.
In the NBA teams typically average between 75-85 field goal attempts and the free throw attempts usually fall in the 20-30 range for each team. That's well over 200 opportunities between the two teams combined to put points on the board. It's enough to make your head spin!
However we surprised even ourselves when we found out that in fact there are key numbers in basketball. The first, and probably the most evident, is the number 2. This is the number by which point increases happen most often in basketball, and in that respect 2 is to basketball as 3 and 7 are to football. (That's just in case you ever have to take the S.A.T. exams again!)
But it may startle you to find out that the most common 'fall-on' number in the NBA (the number of the final margin of victory) is in fact ? 7! When you think about it, there is some logic in this. Seven constitutes a three possession game, which can put the actual won/loss outcome out of reach and teams will usually stop fouling in the finishing seconds if they can't tie it up with two possessions or less.
Not coincidentally, 7 is also one of the key numbers in my NBA system. There are other numbers that occur with high occurrence and there are also numbers that oddsmakers install that make it either easier or more complicated for favorites to cover. You don't need to do all the study yourself. Instead you can take a look at the my statistical system.
The key to winning basketball wagering is to figure out these key numbers and the reason behind them before anyone else does. This gives you a huge gain going into a slate of basketball games. This advantage can make the difference of a slight percentage point in your won-loss percentage, which is so vital when 52.7% is the percentage you must get to turn a profit when betting on football or basketball.
Good luck with all your wagers this season and don't forget the NBA has key numbers just like in football!
Best regards,
Rich Allen - aka Sports Betting Professor
But what about in the NBA? There's no big jump like 3 points to 7 points or 7 points to 7 more points like in the NFL. You can have free throws (1 point), regular baskets (2points), or three-pointers (3 points). Even more disturbing is the difference in the amount of scoring chances that occur in the two sports. In football games, each team generally scores between 3 and 6 times, with a combination of field goals and touchdowns. Opportunities abound for us to find noticeable patterns.
In the NBA teams typically average between 75-85 field goal attempts and the free throw attempts usually fall in the 20-30 range for each team. That's well over 200 opportunities between the two teams combined to put points on the board. It's enough to make your head spin!
However we surprised even ourselves when we found out that in fact there are key numbers in basketball. The first, and probably the most evident, is the number 2. This is the number by which point increases happen most often in basketball, and in that respect 2 is to basketball as 3 and 7 are to football. (That's just in case you ever have to take the S.A.T. exams again!)
But it may startle you to find out that the most common 'fall-on' number in the NBA (the number of the final margin of victory) is in fact ? 7! When you think about it, there is some logic in this. Seven constitutes a three possession game, which can put the actual won/loss outcome out of reach and teams will usually stop fouling in the finishing seconds if they can't tie it up with two possessions or less.
Not coincidentally, 7 is also one of the key numbers in my NBA system. There are other numbers that occur with high occurrence and there are also numbers that oddsmakers install that make it either easier or more complicated for favorites to cover. You don't need to do all the study yourself. Instead you can take a look at the my statistical system.
The key to winning basketball wagering is to figure out these key numbers and the reason behind them before anyone else does. This gives you a huge gain going into a slate of basketball games. This advantage can make the difference of a slight percentage point in your won-loss percentage, which is so vital when 52.7% is the percentage you must get to turn a profit when betting on football or basketball.
Good luck with all your wagers this season and don't forget the NBA has key numbers just like in football!
Best regards,
Rich Allen - aka Sports Betting Professor
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