oakparkguy
EOG Dedicated
All bets are on small favs laying -1/2 a point for a quarter. Payout must be at least +125 to qualify for posting. Thesis is these small favs will cover close to half of these bets and generate $$$ b/c of the + payouts.
At +125, favs need to cover 48% of the plays to break even. If they do that, you win $$$ as many are more than +125.
9-26-10
NYG +135 3rd q
Pitt + 135, 125, 140, 140
Cincy +125, 125 3rd and 4th
SF +135, 125, 140, 130
Hou +125, 135, 125 1st, 3d, 4th
Phil +130, 130 140, 135
Mia +135, 130, 140, 140
Here's another version on the same theme. You take the small favs at any +100 or better line for the 1st and 3rd quarters only. Thesis here is that the favorite team will get the ball first in either the 1st or 3rd quarter and will have an advantage in that quarter beyond the factors making the team a small fav for the game. Of course, it will be at a disadvantage in the other quarter. But, since the payout is usually greater than +100, a split will generate $$$. You pick up a few more heavily favored teams doing this. Here are the plays for the first and third quarters system:
NYG +115, 135
Pitt +135, 140
Cincy +120, 125
SF +135, 140
Hou +125, 135
Phil +130, 140
Mia +135, 140
Wash + 110, 115
NO +100, 120
Indy +100, 100
At +125, favs need to cover 48% of the plays to break even. If they do that, you win $$$ as many are more than +125.
9-26-10
NYG +135 3rd q
Pitt + 135, 125, 140, 140
Cincy +125, 125 3rd and 4th
SF +135, 125, 140, 130
Hou +125, 135, 125 1st, 3d, 4th
Phil +130, 130 140, 135
Mia +135, 130, 140, 140
Here's another version on the same theme. You take the small favs at any +100 or better line for the 1st and 3rd quarters only. Thesis here is that the favorite team will get the ball first in either the 1st or 3rd quarter and will have an advantage in that quarter beyond the factors making the team a small fav for the game. Of course, it will be at a disadvantage in the other quarter. But, since the payout is usually greater than +100, a split will generate $$$. You pick up a few more heavily favored teams doing this. Here are the plays for the first and third quarters system:
NYG +115, 135
Pitt +135, 140
Cincy +120, 125
SF +135, 140
Hou +125, 135
Phil +130, 140
Mia +135, 140
Wash + 110, 115
NO +100, 120
Indy +100, 100