Home Run Derby anyone?

Odds are from bookmaker.

5:00 PM
ODDS TO WIN THE 2011 HOME RUN DERBY
18225 JOSE BAUTISTA +205
18226 ROBINSON CANO +500
18227 PRINCE FIELDER +210
18228 ADRIAN GONZALEZ +385
18229 MATT HOLLIDAY +500
18230 MATT KEMP +470
18231 DAVID ORTIZ +420
18232 RICKIE WEEKS +1100
 

Chessman

EOG Dedicated
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

I'm chomping at the bit to bet this thing so I can watch it with some interest. Plus there's no MLB, no WNBA. Haven't researched it yet other than knowing that the field is nearly symmetrical (favors righthanded batters by a tiny bit: the foul pole is 7 feet closer in left).
 
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

Matchups as in who gets more homeruns? Bookmaker has some posted, should I post it here?
 

BigDaddy

EOG Master
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

Gammons calls Weeks the greatest BP hitter since Sheffield.


i heard him say that as well

trying to see if any matchups look good with him in it

i dont think he can win the contest though

lefty park and we have some damn good lefties in it
 

tripp

EOG Master
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

Weeks +135 vs A Gonz might be nice if you like him

+105 vs Cano also. Can't see Cano doing too well here
 

tripp

EOG Master
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

I don't like A gonz to win the derby but he IS a hr hitter really.

How many other guys in the league could hit 40 hrs playing for SD? Not many.
 
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

What does everyone think? Weeks make it to second round?

<small>5:00 PM</small> <table class="" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr> <td class="rotCell"> 7687 </td> <td class="teamCell">R WEEKS ADVANCES TO R2</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label> <input class="chkbox" name="game" value="1248905_12150_4_0_200_MU" type="checkbox"> +200 </label> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="rotCell"> 7688 </td> <td class="teamCell">R WEEKS ELIMINATED IN R1</td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> </td> <td class="selectCell"> <label> <input class="chkbox" name="game" value="1248905_12150_5_0_-250_MU" type="checkbox"> -250 </label></td></tr></tbody></table>
 

BigDaddy

EOG Master
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

dot that is not what vth is asking

he is asking if weeks will make the 2nd round
 
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

The 2011 Home Run Derby has a couple familiar faces this season, including two previous champions as “team captains.” 2010 winner David Ortiz will captain the American League, and 2009 winner Prince Fielder will head up the National League team. Of the eight 2011 participants, only four have previously appeared in the Derby before – Matt Holliday and Adrian Gonzalez are the other two.
Real quick side note: Ortiz has been in the contest four times before 2011 – not surprising. But can you believe Matt Holliday has been in the Home Run Derby twice before? I was surprised by that. That means after the derby this year that he will have been in as many derby’s as Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard, and Albert Pujols. No diss to Holliday, but that seems like a lot for the guy when compared to those three home run titans.
This year, Papi and Prince could pick players for their team without regard for whether or not the players are All-Stars. Both AL and NL homer totals will be added up to determine a winning team, captain, and charity. But don’t worry – there will still be an individual winner. Otherwise, the scoring format of the tournament will be the same.
The returning champs are well favored, but Blue Jays slugger Joey Bats is at the top of the list of favorites. Bautista has two home runs in 34 career ABs at Chase Field – but those dingers all came pre-2009 when he was a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates, so who knows what to really expect from him? Ortiz has only batted 7 times in Chase Field, and has never gone yard. Prince has 4 home runs in 66 plate appearances at the Chase.
Among the other participants, Adrian Gonzalez played in Chase Field for years before getting dealt to Boston, and he hit very well there – going yard 13 times in 169 ABs there. Matt Kemp has hit 5 bombs in 124, Holliday only hit 4 in 167, Rickie Weeks has hit 2 in 59… and Robinson Cano has gone 0 for 13 in Arizona.
2011 Home Run Derby Odds



So, after all of that, who’s gonna win this thing? Find out AFTER the jump…
Who we like in 2011: Adrian Gonzalez.
Why? The shortest porch is in left field (330 feet), but that’s only four feet shorter than right field. The center field distance of 407 feet also seem to favor right-handed hitters, which is probably a big reason why Vegas loves Joey Bats the most. We like him to compete – but win? Nah.
With his career performance at Chase Field, his tendency to avoid the gaps when he hit home runs, and his status as a non-first timer in the derby, A-Gonz looks like a great bet to take the title in 2011. Check out his 2011 home run landing spots below, plus get some more insight from us on who his top competition will be after the pic!

Based on their 2011 home run landing spots, look for Bautista, Ortiz, Cano and Holliday to be Gonzalez’s top contenders. Weeks also fits a similar home run profile, but I just can’t imagine him competing in this thing (seriously, say this out loud to yourself – “Rickie Weeks, Home Run Derby Champion” – can’t do it without laughing, can you? Me either).
Left center and right center are actually the deepest parts of Chase Field (413), and this seems to work at a disadvantage for Fielder and Kemp. They simply have too great of a frequency of hitting their homers in the gaps.
So, what do you think? Who’s going to win the 2011 HR Derby? Let us know in the comments below!
 

tripp

EOG Master
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

Gonzo looked like a huge threat to win this thing in his first round.

9 will pretty much guarantee him the 2nd round
 

BigDaddy

EOG Master
Re: Home Run Derby anyone?

those swings looked bad as well and both went out

or am i just biased

what did you think tripp?
 
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