"Watch me beat the closing line every day and usually by a lot"

"I'm going to start posting games on Betstamp under Sportswagers starting immediately.

My goal is to beat the closing line (CLV).

When I post a wager, it is not a game I'm betting, it's a game where I trust the efficient market will move it in my favor.

If your strategy is CLV, watch me beat the closing line every day and usually by a lot.

Again, these are not bets I'm making.

These are wagers to beat the closing line value. It's not my strategy and never will be. My official picks will always be on my website."




 
Related thread:

"...putting together all the data that disproves that the “market is efficient”... "

 
What a silly premise by Sherwood. I'm going to beat the closing line by a lot and lose? What's the point? If he's "proven" right, what's his prize?
 
What a silly premise by Sherwood. I'm going to beat the closing line by a lot and lose? What's the point? If he's "proven" right, what's his prize?


Why do people do anything they do?

Did you even read the thread (cf post #2)?

Did you ask him? Off the top of my head i can think of several conceivable reasons.

Post his reply here when you get it. Then we can bring back the jury for a determination of who's really "silly" here,

WillBill is silly: -200
Sherwood is silly: +200
 
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From the reference in the OP of the aforementioned related thread:

"The efficient market got a hold of the #1 seeded Jazz this morning and pounded them until they couldn’t pound anymore. We’re like a broken record with that but we won’t be backing off our position that the efficient market is not efficient at all, despite what the “experts” are trying to preach. We are in the process of putting together all the data that disproves that the “market is efficient” and we’ll be sharing it with everyone at some point over the next year."

 
From the related thread, post #12, is this author implying that trying to beat the closing lines was a winning strategy for him:

Well for now I will jsut keep doing my part to beat the closing lines since that has worked for me for the last 15 years.
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Sherwood is an amazing hockey handicapper and he plays openers.

with the volume of NHL plays he has over the years maybe he does have some database of larger numbers where his results and style of picking are not different if he beats the move, moves goes against or stays about the same.

he has some reason to claim what he has here, not sure the motivation but he would have enough of his style of plays to analyze, he does like NHL underdog plays.
 

Ray Luca

EOG Master
Who cares. The only embarrassment here is your idiotic off topic post & your losing record.

You are preaching about a brokester who you are holding up on a pedestal daily about long term winners...in the same sentence as Heim. An insult to Heim I might add. Btw how does Heim do against the Closing line???

You and Sherwood both have too much time on ur hands
 
You are preaching about a brokester who you are holding up on a pedestal daily about long term winners...in the same sentence as Heim. An insult to Heim I might add. Btw how does Heim do against the Closing line???

You and Sherwood both have too much time on ur hands




Are you just trolling, or that ignorant, or both.

Good comedy, anyway. Perhaps you should seek a career in that. You wouldn't have to prepare. Just be yourself.

OTOH maybe it's meds or a shrink that is needed.
 

Ray Luca

EOG Master


Are you just trolling, or that ignorant, or both.

Good comedy, anyway. Perhaps you should seek a career in that. You wouldn't have to prepare. Just be yourself.

OTOH maybe it's meds or a shrink that is needed.

No I'm serious...your idol is saying beating the close is easy so its BS....but ur guy Heim beats the close consistently....and nobody can bang Heim in the ass cause you'd get in the way...so which is it?? Take a position
 
No I'm serious...

Your post #'s 13 & 18 were ridiculous, ludicrous, laughable.

your idol is saying beating the close is easy so its BS....

All i see you doing here is running your mouth with no evidence, no proof, nothing, nada, zilch.


but ur guy Heim beats the close consistently....

So what if he does?

All i see you doing here is running your mouth with no evidence, no proof, nothing, nada, zilch.



and nobody can bang Heim in the ass cause you'd get in the way...so which is it?? Take a position

WTF is this disgusting nonsense.
 
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Fezzik

EOG Veteran
Beating the close is meh.....

You have to beat the NOVIG closing line.

Getting -110 on a -114/+106 mlb game is flipping coins (at best).
 

railbird

EOG Master
You are preaching about a brokester who you are holding up on a pedestal daily about long term winners...in the same sentence as Heim. An insult to Heim I might add. Btw how does Heim do against the Closing line???

You and Sherwood both have too much time on ur hands
heim is a clown
 

railbird

EOG Master
i agree with the utep and bills sides, dont know who sherwood is, but agree clv is overrated. you never here people use the phrase CLV who really know the handicapping subject matter, it is a phrase used by salesman, and used by non handicappers.
 

Ray Luca

EOG Master
i agree with the utep and bills sides, dont know who sherwood is, but agree clv is overrated. you never here people use the phrase CLV who really know the handicapping subject matter, it is a phrase used by salesman, and used by non handicappers.

The long term winning players...do u think they beat the close or not?
 

Fezzik

EOG Veteran
THIS IS DUMBO.

Post the Tuesday lines.

Record EVERY line that moved 1.5 points or more.

TRACK THAT record vs. the closers on the weekend.

You will win.

OF COURSE you can post select huge moves that lose every day..........

NO MORE DUMBO!!!




Now if you bet -1.5 and it closes -2, that isn't enough. You beat the closer, but you didn't beat it by enough to overcome -110.
 
THIS IS DUMBO.

Post the Tuesday lines.

Record EVERY line that moved 1.5 points or more.

TRACK THAT record vs. the closers on the weekend.

You will win.

OF COURSE you can post select huge moves that lose every day..........

NO MORE DUMBO!!!




Now if you bet -1.5 and it closes -2, that isn't enough. You beat the closer, but you didn't beat it by enough to overcome -110.


Many times line moves are not a result of the so-called alleged "efficient market" of punters' bets, but due to the books adjusting their numbers because of info (e.g. injuries, weather reports, covid news, etc) they've received. So if anyone wants to prove whether or not such a market is efficient, they would have to know what, or who, is causing lines to move and exclude any lines moves that are based on such bookmaker adjustments. After that is done i suppose you will still be left with many significant moves that are caused by the opinions of the "dumbo public".
 
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Agree w never pay anyone...but ask him? Lol

Sherwood minus 46 units MLB this season

That's 4600 for the $100 bettor
" " 2300 for the $500 bettor
" " 460 for the $10 bettor

How myopic, misleading, deceitful and retarded is that? Show me anyone who has been better than Sherwood, if you can. I'll be waiting.

X-Files;13563556 said:
"S"'s Golf picks record is only since 2016. His MMA since 2006. CFL since 2005. All his other sports records are since 2004.

In Golf he's + 30 units overall.

MLB: about +50 units.

NFL around +50 units won.

CFL - Canadian Football League - about +20 units.

NHL +100 units.

NBA around -140 units.

MMA about +15 units.

In NCAAF approximately +150 units.

In NCAAB nearly +170 units.

College sports are his best.

Picks are generally 2 units apiece.

And all of them have always been absolutely free!

Overall up roughly 450 units when that was posted.

"Yeah, tell me something i didn't already know...But here's the big picture, the bottom line, for the myopic:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years."


Long term, not short term, winner:

 
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Ray Luca

EOG Master
How myopic, misleading, deceitful and retarded is that? Show me anyone who has been better than Sherwood, if you can. I'll be waiting.



Overall up roughly 450 units when that was posted.

"Yeah, tell me something i didn't already know...But here's the big picture, the bottom line, for the myopic:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years."


Long term, not short term, winner:



Sherwood was 0-3 in bases yesterday minus 6 units and about to go down w the chalk in NFL Thursday night play where he uses vulgar language in his write up.

X-files....Are you Sherwood (?)
 
Agree w never pay anyone...but ask him? Lol

Sherwood minus 46 units MLB this season

That's 4600 for the $100 bettor
" " 2300 for the $500 bettor
" " 460 for the $10 bettor

How myopic, misleading, deceitful and retarded is that? Show me anyone who has been better than Sherwood, if you can. I'll be waiting.

X-Files;13563556 said:
"S"'s Golf picks record is only since 2016. His MMA since 2006. CFL since 2005. All his other sports records are since 2004.

In Golf he's + 30 units overall.

MLB: about +50 units.

NFL around +50 units won.

CFL - Canadian Football League - about +20 units.

NHL +100 units.

NBA around -140 units.

MMA about +15 units.

In NCAAF approximately +150 units.

In NCAAB nearly +170 units.

College sports are his best.

Picks are generally 2 units apiece.

And all of them have always been absolutely free!

Overall up roughly 450 units when that was posted.

"Yeah, tell me something i didn't already know...But here's the big picture, the bottom line, for the myopic:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years."


Long term, not short term, winner:

Sherwood was 0-3 in bases yesterday minus 6 units and about to go down w the chalk in NFL Thursday night play where he uses vulgar language in his write up.

X-files....Are you Sherwood (?)


Are you an idiot, a troll or both. Rhetorical question.
 
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Ray Luca

EOG Master
Are you an idiot, a troll or both. Rhetorical question.

Maybe I'm an idiot
But
Sherwood laid 3 with Tulsa and they lost 45-10
And
Maryland on the moneyline +140
Final score Maryland 14 Iowa 51

Outscored 96-24 in one night

That has to be a record
Way to go Wood !!

Have a great weekend X-files .....
 

Jammer

EOG Dedicated
Maybe I'm an idiot
But
Sherwood laid 3 with Tulsa and they lost 45-10
And
Maryland on the moneyline +140
Final score Maryland 14 Iowa 51

Outscored 96-24 in one night

That has to be a record
Way to go Wood !!

Have a great weekend X-files .....

MLB- -52 Units
NCAAF- -20
NFL- +7- Didn't update Thurs loss, lol
MMA- -15
CFL- +10

His response to Tulsa game on Twitter- Brutal!

No gimmicks, no hassles!
 
Your boy shit himself again yesterday.


Yeah, tell me something i didn't already know. He's been cursed on Saturdays for months now. But here's the big picture, the bottom line, for the myopic:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years."

https://www.sportswagers.ca/

NCAAF records by year:



[TABLE]
2016
65-52-0 (+33.00)
2017
68-72-0 (-5.00)
2018
71-69-0 (+14.00)
2019
71-68-0 (+14.00)
2020
63-51-0 (+25.00)
2021
13-17-0 (-9.00)
[/TABLE]




==================================================================


Info FYI & consideration.
Someone's opinion, FYI & consideration.
Fade or follow or neither. Your choice, your responsibility. BOL.

"Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results"
"Past success is no guarantee of future success"
"Wagering on sports can be a roller coaster ride."

"Passing is not winning, but passing is always better than losing!"
“Show me someone who has never failed, and I will show you a coward.”
"I don't advise to fade or follow anything. I report & track to let you decide."

“…it ain't how hard you hit; it's about how hard you can get hit, and keep moving forward. How much you can take, and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!”

"Be cautious of regression after such a strong run..."
Been a great run, caution advised given recent luck.
Been a great run, caution advised.

"Gambling can be addictive. Please know your limits and gamble responsibly."

"I would suggest to always bet small in terms of Roll % (no more than 1% of Roll).*
* this advice is not for professional punters, they don't need my advice."

"We guarantee integrity & education into becoming a smarter sports bettor. FREE PICKS w/ANALYSIS on all college
& pro sports. No gimmicks or no signups required"

Follow long term proven winners, e.g.:
 
X-Files said:
S"'s Golf picks record is only since 2016. His MMA since 2006. CFL since 2005. All his other sports records are since 2004.

In Golf he's + 30 units overall.

MLB: about +50 units.

NFL around +50 units won.

CFL - Canadian Football League - about +20 units.

NHL +100 units.

NBA around -140 units.

MMA about +15 units.

In NCAAF approximately +150 units.

In NCAAB nearly +170 units.

College sports are his best.

Picks are generally 2 units apiece.

And all of them have always been absolutely free!


===========================


Long term, not short term, winner:


Yeah, tell me something i didn't already know. He's been cursed on Saturdays for months now.
But here's the big picture, the bottom line, for the myopic:

"In 2020, we ended +117 units for our 9th winning season in past 11 years."


 
" "S"'s Golf picks record is only since 2016. His MMA since 2006. CFL since 2005. All his other sports records are since 2004.

In Golf he's + 30 units overall.

MLB: about +50 units.

NFL around +50 units won.

CFL - Canadian Football League - about +20 units.

NHL +100 units.

NBA around -140 units.

MMA about +15 units.

In NCAAF approximately +150 units.

In NCAAB nearly +170 units.

College sports are his best.

Picks are generally 2 units apiece.

And all of them have always been absolutely free!"


---------------------


Overall up about 450 units as of the time of the above quoted post.

Show me anyone who has ever been better, if you can. I'll be waiting.



---------------------



"Post your picks so we can criticize you"

---

"Each Day we get to tap that reset button."
 
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But had a huge year back in 86!


Ray Luca 11-33 -9.13 UNITS

Jammer 23-28 -12.55 UNITS





Maybe I'm an idiot
 
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