Re: WEEK #7 CFB (40-19)
Thanks MC. I was asking some questions on Zero's thread about these games too. He doesn't like either play (neither the OVER in the VT/BC game, nor the COL St play). But here's what I said in response to justify my reasoning:
The reason I am liking the over in the VT/BC game is because VT is averaging 33 a game and BC is averaging 26 a game. Average that against the opposing defenses (giving up 19.5 and 12 per game against a lot of really weak competition) and you get 45 points scored. I know "averaging" points scored versus points allowed is not reliable, but look at what happens when these two teams actually play opponents who can score: VT lost 27-38 to GT and BC won 34-33 versus Clem and BC won 30-23 versus BYU. I really think this one is going OVER.
And the reason I am liking COL ST over AF so much is due to the fact that AF is so reliant upon the run and COL St is holding opponents to 75 yds per game. Yeah, I'm sure AF will still roll for 150+ rushing yards, but I'm capping this one to be a 2 or 3 point victory for COL St.
Thanks for the input MC!
GL this week & weekend!