100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
- Thread starter tool21
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Unassail08
EOG Veteran
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
I'll play it tonight.
I'll play it tonight.
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Nice call on Bama Tool, good job bro! Clemson2938u4ji23
Nice call on Bama Tool, good job bro! Clemson2938u4ji23
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Good Luck Tool and great call on Bama
Good Luck Tool and great call on Bama
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Sportsrmylife
EOG Master
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Good work man!
Good work man!
August West
Rambler
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
tool refresh our memory as to what the criteria are. thanks
tool refresh our memory as to what the criteria are. thanks
Sportsrmylife
EOG Master
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
If I remember from last year I believe that he looks for road favorites that have better than 70% of the betting on them and the line moves opposite. He then evalutes the home dog (doesn't always have to be a dog but that's where this makes the most money).
If I am incorrect please correct me as last year is a while back. It is a very solid way of capping though and look forward to your week 3 breakdown.
If I remember from last year I believe that he looks for road favorites that have better than 70% of the betting on them and the line moves opposite. He then evalutes the home dog (doesn't always have to be a dog but that's where this makes the most money).
If I am incorrect please correct me as last year is a while back. It is a very solid way of capping though and look forward to your week 3 breakdown.
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
wrong but the concepts are pretty close. the plays will come when i bet them.
wrong but the concepts are pretty close. the plays will come when i bet them.
fadethepublic1
EOG Senior Member
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
tool's plays are probably gonna be one of the following...
south carolina
tulane
north carolina
fresno
or rice
Am I right or am I right Tool? Hate to toot my own horn but that is what I'm feeling this weekend! Good luck Guys.
tool's plays are probably gonna be one of the following...
south carolina
tulane
north carolina
fresno
or rice
Am I right or am I right Tool? Hate to toot my own horn but that is what I'm feeling this weekend! Good luck Guys.
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
ML's aren't available to me yet but here's the spreads I played.
South Florida -3 *2 not playing the moneyline on this one because i don't like juice.
Purdue +8.5
South Carolina +7.5
Fresno +3
Also bet these ML I will post my odds when i get them. Spreads are to win 1 unit and ML's I bet 1 unit.
Suck em in books!!
YTD
ML's 2-1 +1.95
Spreads 2-1 +.9
Total 4-2 +2.85
ML's aren't available to me yet but here's the spreads I played.
South Florida -3 *2 not playing the moneyline on this one because i don't like juice.
Purdue +8.5
South Carolina +7.5
Fresno +3
Also bet these ML I will post my odds when i get them. Spreads are to win 1 unit and ML's I bet 1 unit.
Suck em in books!!
YTD
ML's 2-1 +1.95
Spreads 2-1 +.9
Total 4-2 +2.85
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
GL this year bud, I'm leaning to So Fla as well but have'nt pulled the trigger yet
GL this year bud, I'm leaning to So Fla as well but have'nt pulled the trigger yet
tool21
EOG Dedicated
fadethepublic1
EOG Senior Member
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Tool,
My sentiments exactly! Some people just don't use their brains. Vegas aint gonna just give away freebies. I notice that in the NFL they may allow favorites to get away w/it, but w/college it seems more "right in your face" kinda of deal. If it's too good to be true, the squares will bite.
Tool,
My sentiments exactly! Some people just don't use their brains. Vegas aint gonna just give away freebies. I notice that in the NFL they may allow favorites to get away w/it, but w/college it seems more "right in your face" kinda of deal. If it's too good to be true, the squares will bite.
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Just got on here at EOG. Think I may like it.
First ques...what is 100% about your system? Has it never actually lost ATS or is it just a stat thing that the system says a particular game has a 100% chance of covering?
Thanks and GL
Just got on here at EOG. Think I may like it.
First ques...what is 100% about your system? Has it never actually lost ATS or is it just a stat thing that the system says a particular game has a 100% chance of covering?
Thanks and GL
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Good question. 100% means that there is absolutely no handicapping of any sort going into these bets. They are 100% mechanical, systematic plays I don't look at injuries, points per game, weather, situations, nothing. I have criteria that I look at not pertaining to the game itself and if a game passes I bet it against the spread and the moneyline. Basically Vegas tells me who the 'upsets' are going to be and usually you get them with free points and great moneyline odds.
Good question. 100% means that there is absolutely no handicapping of any sort going into these bets. They are 100% mechanical, systematic plays I don't look at injuries, points per game, weather, situations, nothing. I have criteria that I look at not pertaining to the game itself and if a game passes I bet it against the spread and the moneyline. Basically Vegas tells me who the 'upsets' are going to be and usually you get them with free points and great moneyline odds.
fadethepublic1
EOG Senior Member
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Tool,
It's funny how everyone and their mother seems to be on certain plays (rutgers last nite for example), but they don't realize what they're getting into until the finally see the light, which is after the game's done and they lost their money. I guess it's hard to tell an alcoholic that he's an alcoholic, huh? I like the way your system goes, cause I think I have the same strategy down as you. That's why I think we're always on the same plays. Are you on the RxForum under another name or do you just post here? Anyways, GL buddy and just for shits sake, this is what I plan to play think wkend.
South Carolina +7
Rice +8
Tulane +14 (b+1)
Maybe Fresno +2
I love when the dawgs bark, especially when they're on their own porch (at home)!
Tool,
It's funny how everyone and their mother seems to be on certain plays (rutgers last nite for example), but they don't realize what they're getting into until the finally see the light, which is after the game's done and they lost their money. I guess it's hard to tell an alcoholic that he's an alcoholic, huh? I like the way your system goes, cause I think I have the same strategy down as you. That's why I think we're always on the same plays. Are you on the RxForum under another name or do you just post here? Anyways, GL buddy and just for shits sake, this is what I plan to play think wkend.
South Carolina +7
Rice +8
Tulane +14 (b+1)
Maybe Fresno +2
I love when the dawgs bark, especially when they're on their own porch (at home)!
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
GL Tool, nice job on NC lastnight.....How easy was that for you guys?:doh1
GL Tool, nice job on NC lastnight.....How easy was that for you guys?:doh1
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
:smokesmaldont think sc or usf can pullit off this week
:smokesmaldont think sc or usf can pullit off this week
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
I have the same name over at the RX but I don't post over there.
I have the same name over at the RX but I don't post over there.
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
I have NOOO idea. It was 16-9 with just ML dogs so I'll take a guess and say over 9 units with just ML and 9 units with spreads, so 18 units.
I have NOOO idea. It was 16-9 with just ML dogs so I'll take a guess and say over 9 units with just ML and 9 units with spreads, so 18 units.
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
That's why this works so well. Nobody ever likes these plays. Nobody liked UNC last night and i was chastised buy many people for playing UNC. They laughed when i took them ML.
That's why this works so well. Nobody ever likes these plays. Nobody liked UNC last night and i was chastised buy many people for playing UNC. They laughed when i took them ML.
fadethepublic1
EOG Senior Member
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
LIKE I SAID... PEOPLE ARE BLIND. AND THEY WANNA STAY BLIND. AN ALCOHOLIC WILL NEVER ADMIT HE'S AN ALCOHOLIC. SOME PEOPLE JUST DON'T UNDERSTAND, RIGHT TOOL?
LIKE I SAID... PEOPLE ARE BLIND. AND THEY WANNA STAY BLIND. AN ALCOHOLIC WILL NEVER ADMIT HE'S AN ALCOHOLIC. SOME PEOPLE JUST DON'T UNDERSTAND, RIGHT TOOL?
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
Exactly! Good luck on your plays! :cheers
Exactly! Good luck on your plays! :cheers
tool21
EOG Dedicated
Re: 100% System plays. 16-9 on dog ML's last year
From now on I'm going to wait till close to game time to post the plays. I got an early jump on this weeks games but the public opinion has changed halfway through the week on some of the games. South Florida opinion changed and ended up with a push and the opinions on Purdue and Fresno aren't as hot as earlier in the week although still popular. South Carolina over Georgia seems to be the favorable upset this week.
From now on I'm going to wait till close to game time to post the plays. I got an early jump on this weeks games but the public opinion has changed halfway through the week on some of the games. South Florida opinion changed and ended up with a push and the opinions on Purdue and Fresno aren't as hot as earlier in the week although still popular. South Carolina over Georgia seems to be the favorable upset this week.