sherwood88
EOG Member
[TABLE="class: homeOdds, width: 497"]
<tbody>
</tbody>[/TABLE]
All plays are 2 units with the exception of Ole Miss, which is 2.16 units to win 2
#789 Georgia +117 over VANDERBILT
9:00 PM EST. The Commodores come in with an 11-4 record but have not beaten one good team all season. In fact, Vandy has played four quality teams in Rutgers, Baylor, Georgia Tech and Arkansas and against that quartet they went 0-4. Vanderbilt?s best win was against whom? Purdue? Norfolk? Yale? Western Carolina? Lipscomb? Pennsylvania? The Commodores have beaten up on a bevy of really bad teams but these Bulldogs do not qualify as such. Last season the Commodores went 7-11 in the SEC and finished 15-16 overall and we can assure you that they are worse this year than last. Vandy lost three of its top four scorers this year and what you are seeing now in their stats is a bunch of skewed numbers that have no merit. Take out the four quality clubs that the Commodores and played and lost to and their strength of schedule would rank 330th out of 351 teams.
The Bulldogs are coming off a heartbreaking loss at LSU that they had in the bag. Georgia had an eight-point lead in OT with 1:08 left on the clock but some bad decisions, missed free throws and panicking under full court pressure allowed the Tigers to tie it up and send it into another OT. With its best point guard fouling out, Georgia was unable to finish the deal and lost by three points. Georgia is now 0-2 in the conference (in second last) and just 9-5 overall but they are one of the top four teams in the conference. We can?t stress enough the importance of this game for the Bulldogs. They have their sights set on the NCAA tournament and another loss here and it?s pretty much game over before the end of January. They cannot lose to teams that are far worse than they are because if they happen to get on the bubble, losses to teams like Vanderbilt will prevent them from an invite. Mark Fox is a great coach with two outstanding guards in Charles Mann and Kenny Gaines. They Bulldogs are rock solid defensively too. Georgia has already played Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Minnesota, K-State, Arkansas, Georgia Tech, Colorado and LSU so comparing their schedule to Vandy?s is like comparing the weather in Florida to the weather in Winnipeg. There are no guarantees in any game and we can?t even be sure how the Bulldogs will react to that last game defeat. However, the Bulldogs rebounded from similar defeats a season ago and their coach will drill it in their heads that their season could be on the line here. Therefore, the MUCH better team getting a tag is the prudent choice.
#764 MISSISSIPPI -5 -108 over LSU
7:00 PM EST. This is a great spot to fade the Tigers, as they?re coming off that aforementioned game against Georgia in which they rose from the dead to win it. Down eight points with just over a minute left, a once in a lifetime rally propelled the Tigers to a highly improbable victory. LSU is coming off back-to-back OT games. The intensity and mental toll that takes figures to take effect here against a team that is below them in the standings but superior in talent. LSU is just not as good as their 12-3 record suggests. They have just two players on this year?s squad that averaged more than 10 minutes a game last season. They have little depth on their roster and while we like the direction of the team overall, we don?t like a team on the road with so little balance after two very intense games.
Ole Miss is just 10-5 overall and they do have a disturbing loss to Charleston Southern but that was the first game of the season for the Rebels and they were simply flat. The Rebels other four losses were against TCU, Western Kentucky, Dayton and Kentucky and none of those can be considered troublesome. The Rebels were a 5?-point pooch in Dayton and lost by four. They were a 22?-point pooch against Kentucky and took the #1 team in the country to OT before losing by three. As a 7?-point dog in Oregon, Ole Miss won outright and they did the same against the Bearcats as a 2-point pooch. Perhaps the Rebels should not have lost to WKU but that team can shoot lights out, which makes them a difficult out. Ole Miss lost one key player in leading scorer Marshall Henderson but they might be better off without him. Henderson would take 10 impossible shots every game. Dude thought he could score from anywhere at any time but he missed way more shots than he ever made and was not a team guy. All four of the Rebels other starters are back this season and combined were far more efficient than Henderson on his own (.486 combined FG % to Henderson?s .353). Something clicked for Ole Miss when they faced Kentucky and nearly pulled off the upset of the year. The Rebels followed that game up with a solid 16 point win over South Carolina while holding the Gamecocks to a mere 49 points. Soaring with confidence and being at home in a very favorable spot against LSU, the Rebels ascension up in the SEC standings is just getting underway and it figures to continue here.
#805 San Diego State +109 over WYOMING
11:00 PM EST. One of our favorite angles in college basketball is to fade a team that just cracked the AP top-25 poll. Wyoming was not ranked last week but after running its record to 15-2 overall and 4-0 in the conference, the Cowboys snuck in this week, ranking #25. Frankly, it?s ridiculous because this is not a top-60 team, let alone a top-25. There is a celebration of sorts among players when an obscure bunch cracks the top-25 and it is usually short-lived. We?ll now attempt to take advantage of that false ranking. The Cowboys have improved from last year and they also have a great player in Larry Nance Jr. but after him, production really starts to drop. Playing the 227th toughest schedule or cupcake after cupcake, the Cowboys rank 269th in the country in points per game and 333rd in the country in rebounding.
Meanwhile, the Aztecs strength of schedule (SOS) ranks 57th in the country which is 170 positions higher than Wyoming?s SOS. The Aztecs have already played then #25 Utah, BYU, Pitt, #3 Arizona, Cincinnati and Washington. SDSU lost to Arizona by 2 points and they lost to the Bearcats in OT. They have notable wins over BYU, Pitt and Utah while the Cowboys have zero notable wins. Nationally ranked for the bulk of the season a year ago, SDSU suffered a total of just five defeats and three of those came against top-20 foes. They Aztecs also advanced to the Sweet-16 last March and although they lost a couple of key players, they still return three starters and an outstanding defense. Coach Steve Fisher is an absolute master in preparation and motivation. He and the Aztecs figure to be extremely jacked up here to knock the Cowboys out of the rankings and to show them who is still boss in the Mountain West. Wyoming is ill-prepared to face opponents that are big enough to control the glass and prevent easy looks in the paint -- teams like San Diego State and so the Cowboys are on upset alert here.
<tbody>
[TD="class: label"]esterday[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.00[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.00[/TD]
[TD="class: label"]Last 30 Days[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.00[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-5.26[/TD]
[TD="class: label"]Season to Date[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.00[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+0.24[/TD]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
All plays are 2 units with the exception of Ole Miss, which is 2.16 units to win 2
#789 Georgia +117 over VANDERBILT
9:00 PM EST. The Commodores come in with an 11-4 record but have not beaten one good team all season. In fact, Vandy has played four quality teams in Rutgers, Baylor, Georgia Tech and Arkansas and against that quartet they went 0-4. Vanderbilt?s best win was against whom? Purdue? Norfolk? Yale? Western Carolina? Lipscomb? Pennsylvania? The Commodores have beaten up on a bevy of really bad teams but these Bulldogs do not qualify as such. Last season the Commodores went 7-11 in the SEC and finished 15-16 overall and we can assure you that they are worse this year than last. Vandy lost three of its top four scorers this year and what you are seeing now in their stats is a bunch of skewed numbers that have no merit. Take out the four quality clubs that the Commodores and played and lost to and their strength of schedule would rank 330th out of 351 teams.
The Bulldogs are coming off a heartbreaking loss at LSU that they had in the bag. Georgia had an eight-point lead in OT with 1:08 left on the clock but some bad decisions, missed free throws and panicking under full court pressure allowed the Tigers to tie it up and send it into another OT. With its best point guard fouling out, Georgia was unable to finish the deal and lost by three points. Georgia is now 0-2 in the conference (in second last) and just 9-5 overall but they are one of the top four teams in the conference. We can?t stress enough the importance of this game for the Bulldogs. They have their sights set on the NCAA tournament and another loss here and it?s pretty much game over before the end of January. They cannot lose to teams that are far worse than they are because if they happen to get on the bubble, losses to teams like Vanderbilt will prevent them from an invite. Mark Fox is a great coach with two outstanding guards in Charles Mann and Kenny Gaines. They Bulldogs are rock solid defensively too. Georgia has already played Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Minnesota, K-State, Arkansas, Georgia Tech, Colorado and LSU so comparing their schedule to Vandy?s is like comparing the weather in Florida to the weather in Winnipeg. There are no guarantees in any game and we can?t even be sure how the Bulldogs will react to that last game defeat. However, the Bulldogs rebounded from similar defeats a season ago and their coach will drill it in their heads that their season could be on the line here. Therefore, the MUCH better team getting a tag is the prudent choice.
#764 MISSISSIPPI -5 -108 over LSU
7:00 PM EST. This is a great spot to fade the Tigers, as they?re coming off that aforementioned game against Georgia in which they rose from the dead to win it. Down eight points with just over a minute left, a once in a lifetime rally propelled the Tigers to a highly improbable victory. LSU is coming off back-to-back OT games. The intensity and mental toll that takes figures to take effect here against a team that is below them in the standings but superior in talent. LSU is just not as good as their 12-3 record suggests. They have just two players on this year?s squad that averaged more than 10 minutes a game last season. They have little depth on their roster and while we like the direction of the team overall, we don?t like a team on the road with so little balance after two very intense games.
Ole Miss is just 10-5 overall and they do have a disturbing loss to Charleston Southern but that was the first game of the season for the Rebels and they were simply flat. The Rebels other four losses were against TCU, Western Kentucky, Dayton and Kentucky and none of those can be considered troublesome. The Rebels were a 5?-point pooch in Dayton and lost by four. They were a 22?-point pooch against Kentucky and took the #1 team in the country to OT before losing by three. As a 7?-point dog in Oregon, Ole Miss won outright and they did the same against the Bearcats as a 2-point pooch. Perhaps the Rebels should not have lost to WKU but that team can shoot lights out, which makes them a difficult out. Ole Miss lost one key player in leading scorer Marshall Henderson but they might be better off without him. Henderson would take 10 impossible shots every game. Dude thought he could score from anywhere at any time but he missed way more shots than he ever made and was not a team guy. All four of the Rebels other starters are back this season and combined were far more efficient than Henderson on his own (.486 combined FG % to Henderson?s .353). Something clicked for Ole Miss when they faced Kentucky and nearly pulled off the upset of the year. The Rebels followed that game up with a solid 16 point win over South Carolina while holding the Gamecocks to a mere 49 points. Soaring with confidence and being at home in a very favorable spot against LSU, the Rebels ascension up in the SEC standings is just getting underway and it figures to continue here.
#805 San Diego State +109 over WYOMING
11:00 PM EST. One of our favorite angles in college basketball is to fade a team that just cracked the AP top-25 poll. Wyoming was not ranked last week but after running its record to 15-2 overall and 4-0 in the conference, the Cowboys snuck in this week, ranking #25. Frankly, it?s ridiculous because this is not a top-60 team, let alone a top-25. There is a celebration of sorts among players when an obscure bunch cracks the top-25 and it is usually short-lived. We?ll now attempt to take advantage of that false ranking. The Cowboys have improved from last year and they also have a great player in Larry Nance Jr. but after him, production really starts to drop. Playing the 227th toughest schedule or cupcake after cupcake, the Cowboys rank 269th in the country in points per game and 333rd in the country in rebounding.
Meanwhile, the Aztecs strength of schedule (SOS) ranks 57th in the country which is 170 positions higher than Wyoming?s SOS. The Aztecs have already played then #25 Utah, BYU, Pitt, #3 Arizona, Cincinnati and Washington. SDSU lost to Arizona by 2 points and they lost to the Bearcats in OT. They have notable wins over BYU, Pitt and Utah while the Cowboys have zero notable wins. Nationally ranked for the bulk of the season a year ago, SDSU suffered a total of just five defeats and three of those came against top-20 foes. They Aztecs also advanced to the Sweet-16 last March and although they lost a couple of key players, they still return three starters and an outstanding defense. Coach Steve Fisher is an absolute master in preparation and motivation. He and the Aztecs figure to be extremely jacked up here to knock the Cowboys out of the rankings and to show them who is still boss in the Mountain West. Wyoming is ill-prepared to face opponents that are big enough to control the glass and prevent easy looks in the paint -- teams like San Diego State and so the Cowboys are on upset alert here.