Re: 30 Days of Buskie's Plays begin now
I really do mean to come on here and talk about why I like some play's but I either run out of time or I just don't feel like typing, I could talk for hours about this stuff but I hate putting my thoughts on paper so I do apologize. Lets talk about the hockey first.
Flyers series
When I made this play I thought I was getting a deal on Philadelphia, the Flyers were playing out of their minds for most of the season then over the last month and a half struggled into the post season. Buffalo is/was a team I liked, I love their coach Lindy Ruff and they have one of the better goaltenders in the game. Now some smart guy's out their would be playing Buffalo or atleast would be getting rid of part of their bet, I won't. I have thought besides the first half of game five that Philadelphia has been the better team. Game one and four Buffalo goalie Ryan Miller stole and in game five the Flyers let in some bad goals by goaltender Brian Boucher. Boucher was pulled in game five with Flyers down 3-0, Philly battles back ties the game in overtime and lost. The Flyers then start their third goalie of the playoffs in game six with Leighton who was aweful putting the Flyers behind 3-1 before again they comeback and win the game in overtime. This is a Philadelphia team that was down 3 love vs Boston in last year playoffs and cameback and won this series and while it is bad to keep falling behind it show true grit to keep coming back. Buffalo has a young defense, there not as good with the offense as Philadelphia and this Buffalo team has twenty more giveaways in this series then Philadelphia, Buffalo holds the edge in goal but I do like Flyers goalie Boucher and I did think he should have started the playoffs. I thought -1.55 was cheap at the start of the playoffs and I guess you can argue that with a game seven tonight but I still like my position.
Montreal
Life looked so much better with Montreal a +80 cent dog headed home with a 2-0 series lead, they lost and played horrible in game three, came back and looked much better in game four before losing in overtime and then go to Boston fall behind 1-0 then tie the game 1-1 and lose in overtime. It looks tough to win this series bet but I don't think plus 80 was/is the right number. I think these two are a lot closer then that number. This was a Montreal team that beat them four of the six games in the regular season and every game for the most part has been close. With that said I'm playing more on Montreal, I wil be on Montreal in game six I do think they force a game seven, If Montreal loses tonight then it is a complete disater lossing game six, losing the series and losing the game four play I made after being up 2-0 in the series which I will forget about by the time I roll out of bed, if Montreal wins tonight I mostly likely be looking to limit risk tomorrow.
Phils/Dback over
Some places opened with 8 over minus money while some opened 8.5 under minus money. Roy Oswalt one of the Phils big four will start after beating the Padres, I think Oswalt is the weakest link of Halladay, Lee, Hamels and himself. Oswalt had to skip the start before the Padres with a back issue, comes back and puts up six shutout innings throwing 109 pitches at Petco Park (very pitcher friendly park) and against a very light hitting Padres team. Oswalt has good career numbers vs the D-backs but has a 4.15 era in this park,in my mind he won't give you more then seven innings and the Phillies bullpen is on the mend right now. Arizona who has the highest era in baseball will send Daniel Hudson who has giving up a combined 9 runs in the first inning of his last three starts. I know the Phillies havent been hitting but their a veteran lineup and I think they can handle Hudson. I think we have two guys that will allow us to get into those bullpens. I like over pretty good here