All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

ChiTownJoe

EOG Dedicated
#1
Guess had outstanding work/gallop out this morning....all thats left is if he handles BIG SANDY !!!

Per Welsch - DRF

[h=2]American Pharoah... WOW!![/h] Hard to find any better description for AMERICAN PHAROAH's performance this morning. Breezing five furlongs with Martin Garcia up, his final Belmont work couldn't have been any more perfect, five furlongs in 1:00.08 as easy as he pleased with a tremendous gallop out, six furlongs in 1:12.82, seven eighths in 1:25.94, up a mile in n 1:39.59, AP seemingly getting stronger the further he went while giving the appearance that he was just galloping the entire way. All he seems to need now in New York is a clean trip to complete his Triple Crown sweep in the Belmont.
more details later on drf.com
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
#2
Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

ok thinking 1/2 will be the closing number,
I think only 2 of the pletchers will run.

history in the waiting for 5 days....
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#3
Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

We've been here before and that's the only reason I'm hesitant.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#4
Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Big Brown closed at odds of 3/10 in 2008 and Smarty Jones was 2/5 in 2004.
 

blueline

EOG Dedicated
#8
Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

some guys are still able to stay one step ahead
 

ChiTownJoe

EOG Dedicated
#9
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

Still unknowns, track and distance.

Major plus is extended forecast calls for 50% chance of rain on Thurs, Fri, Sat....might be a slop fest and we've seen the Rebel and Preakness.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#10
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

Pilot error is another way to lose the mile-and-a-half Belmont Stakes.

See Desormeaux and Elliot.
 
#13
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

Pilot error is another way to lose the mile-and-a-half Belmont Stakes.

See Desormeaux and Elliot.
I'm in the minority but i disagree with this. Desormeaux on Real Quiet and Elliot on Smarty Jones both put their horses is good positions and both had leads midway down the stretch. Their horses had every chance to win. It would be a different story if they got their horses blocked or impeded.
 

gravy

EOG Addicted
#14
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

Still unknowns, track and distance.

Major plus is extended forecast calls for 50% chance of rain on Thurs, Fri, Sat....might be a slop fest and we've seen the Rebel and Preakness.

Don't forget that American Pharoah's daddy Empire Maker won a Sloppy Belmont Stakes in 2003
 
#15
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

I'm in the minority but i disagree with this. Desormeaux on Real Quiet and Elliot on Smarty Jones both put their horses is good positions and both had leads midway down the stretch. Their horses had every chance to win. It would be a different story if they got their horses blocked or impeded.
agree 100%
 
#17
Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

ok thinking 1/2 will be the closing number,
I think only 2 of the pletchers will run.

history in the waiting for 5 days....
yes carpe is out(had zero chance)but would've took mid range money.....1/2 looks right
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#18
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

I felt Desormeaux panicked inside the final eighth of a mile.

The more he asked, the less Real Quiet gave.

Real Quiet looked home-free at the head of the stretch.

Why not sit still?

As for Stewart Elliot, he found the one thing, a pace confrontation, he had to avoid.
 
#21
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

Of all the recent close calls to win the triple crown, I thought Big Brown was the surest to do it. The horse was special, raced twice after being pulled up that day and won them both.
 

blueline

EOG Dedicated
#23
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

if karma is going to be involved then I would imagine the Belmont chalk is in trouble
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
#26
Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

Re: All Systems Go for AP 's Triple Crown Bid

ok thinking 1/2 will be the closing number,
I think only 2 of the pletchers will run.

history in the waiting for 5 days....
sometimes I can see the future

Carpe Diem has been scratched from the Belmont.
 
#27
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

I'll Have Another mysteriously got hurt the night before the Belmont Stakes... :+clueless New York, NY!!! a hellof a town..
 
#29
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

all you have to know about this horses chance is that Brock says he's a lock with no competition

American pharaoh is going down. Mile and a half will get him.. He's not gonna be allowed to have harness-like middle of the race fractions like he did in the Preakness.

Right now the field is at +103 on 5dimes. I'm gonna wait and hope I can get +125 or so--- it'll be a bargain
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
#30
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

all you have to know about this horses chance is that Brock says he's a lock with no competition

American pharaoh is going down. Mile and a half will get him.. He's not gonna be allowed to have harness-like middle of the race fractions like he did in the Preakness.

Right now the fie close to the best you will get (I really think +125 at 5dimes is a for sure no chance price) unless of course materiality declares out for some reason which is a tiny whisper rumor right now..
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
#31
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

not sure what happened last post

should read more like

Right now the best price offshore is +110 at hollywoodsportsbook and that family on the NO.... I think that will be or remain super close to the best you will get off shore, (I really think +125 at 5dimes is a for sure no chance price) unless of course materiality declares out for some reason which is a tiny whisper rumor right now..
 
#32
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

all you have to know about this horses chance is that Brock says he's a lock with no competition

American pharaoh is going down. Mile and a half will get him.. He's not gonna be allowed to have harness-like middle of the race fractions like he did in the Preakness.

Right now the field is at +103 on 5dimes. I'm gonna wait and hope I can get +125 or so--- it'll be a bargain
Fuck you mental case

Don't mention me again you Motherfucker
 

2W2P2S

EOG Dedicated
#33
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

Today, 03:02 PM
#21

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Join DateOct 02, 2009Posts47,015

Re: EOG's Best Bet thread for Monday, June 1

Great group of guys here at EOG.​



 
#34
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

2w2p2s, do u see the Belmont as a good betting opportunity? Or u just gonna watch for fun?

Also, thx to u, I do have a 10/1 AP TripCrown ticket in my pocket. Grazie.
 

2W2P2S

EOG Dedicated
#36
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

2w2p2s, do u see the Belmont as a good betting opportunity? Or u just gonna watch for fun?

Also, thx to u, I do have a 10/1 AP TripCrown ticket in my pocket. Grazie.
I won't know until the field is drawn. I do think there will be correlated vertical wagers available, but again I have to see the draw 1st.
 
#40
Re: All Systems Go for American Pharoah's Triple Crown Bid

2 more horses declared out of Belmont....

Looks like a 2 horse race....AP and Frosted
Carpe diem and truth or else didn't have much of a chance. Doesn't affect anything.

Materiality makes it a 3 horse race, and I think the distance is good for mubtaahij
 
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