Bridge jumper alerts

keep the current "price plays" or use the adjusted one?

  • current 11% 23% 36% 0.93

    Votes: 3 75.0%
  • adjusted 16% 31% 46% 0.99

    Votes: 1 25.0%

  • Total voters
    4
  • Poll closed .
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Here's a bridgejumper if I've ever seen one

@vegashorsepools: OFF Prairie Meadows Race 8 Horse 5 SHOW POOL $12020 of $12727 94%
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Here's a bridgejumper if I've ever seen one

@vegashorsepools: OFF Prairie Meadows Race 8 Horse 5 SHOW POOL $12020 of $12727 94%
W SHW #6 Weast Hill

got some free scraps there on the $2.20 minimum track. and I can leave the bridge area as well, some people were looking strange at me....
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

may 31

13:32 WO-04 #9 Pohdi P *1/1 7.0A STK
13:34 PIM-04 #1 Duffle *4/5 4.5D MSW
13:34 PIM-04 #1A Shoot C *4/5 4.5D MSW
13:53 BEL-04 #6 Possili *4/5 6.0D C40
14:30 PIM-06 #1 Captain *4/5 5.5D NW1
14:55 iBEL-06 #7 Lady El *3/5 9.0T STK
15:27 LS-05 #3 Ghost T *4/5 5.0D MSW
16:12 MTH-10 #1 More Th *4/5 6.0D STKs
19:44 LA-02 #4 Council *2/5 4.5D C05
20:12 MNR-07 #4 Feelin *3/5 6.0D NW2

anything for today?
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

too funny was just going to type same thing... yisman we have problems!
 

blueline

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

june 2

12:10 FL-01 #1 Imposin *1/1 1.7 8.0D NW1
12:15 DEL-01 #4 Budacom *1/1 1.8 8.0D C04
18:00 MNR-01 #1 Holster *3/5 2.2 8.3T MSW
18:00 MNR-01 #1A Smart F *3/5 3.4 8.3T MSW
20:12 MNR-07 #2 Slew Ci *4/5 1.9 5.5D C05
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

june 2

12:10 FL-01 #1 Imposin *1/1 1.7 8.0D NW1
12:15 DEL-01 #4 Budacom *1/1 1.8 8.0D C04
18:00 MNR-01 #1 Holster *3/5 2.2 8.3T MSW
18:00 MNR-01 #1A Smart F *3/5 3.4 8.3T MSW
20:12 MNR-07 #2 Slew Ci *4/5 1.9 5.5D C05
o great. I can sleep tonight!!! thanks...
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Delaware today

r5

#6 had a 3/2 M/L but went off at 2/5

got 21,418/25,168 show pool


Race 5

[TABLE]

[TH="class: pnum"]# [/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]Horse[/TH]
[TH="class: jock"]Jockey[/TH]
[TH="class: winx"]Win[/TH]
[TH="class: plac"]Place[/TH]
[TH="class: show"]Show[/TH]


[TD="class: pnum"]

1

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Tweet Sense [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Cruise G [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] $10.00 [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] $2.80 [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.10 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

6

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Alpha Dude [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] McCarthy T [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] $2.20 [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.10 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

4

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Fly Private [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Lopez J E [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.20 [/TD]


[/TABLE]
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

EOG contributor SKINNY claims horseplayers have to be clinically insane to bet big money to show on any horse at Mountaineer Park.
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

EOG contributor SKINNY claims horseplayers have to be clinically insane to bet big money to show on any horse at Mountaineer Park.

I don't agree

I'd say you shouldn't bet horses to show at Cal Expo and Hazel Park, though
 

blueline

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

off odds of 0.1-0.2 by track
this probably isnt going to format well

Unlisted 00012 00010 83% 92% 100 0.98 1.01 1.13
ALB 00008 00002 25% 75% 88% 0.28 0.82 0.92
AP 00002 00002 100 100 100 1.20 1.05 1.05
AQU 00007 00006 86% 100 100 0.98 1.04 1.04
ARP 00006 00006 100 100 100 1.13 1.12 1.10
ASD 00011 00007 64% 100 100 0.72 1.07 1.05
BEL 00006 00006 100 100 100 1.14 1.08 1.03
BTP 00024 00015 63% 88% 92% 0.73 0.95 0.96
CBY 00008 00004 50% 88% 88% 0.56 0.95 0.93
CD 00004 00001 25% 50% 75% 0.30 0.54 0.79
CRC/GPW 00006 00004 67% 100 100 0.80 1.07 1.05
CT 00019 00016 84% 89% 95% 0.99 0.99 1.03
DED 00014 00011 79% 100 100 0.91 1.09 1.05
DEL 00007 00005 71% 100 100 0.80 1.04 1.03
ELP 00004 00004 100 100 100 1.15 1.06 1.05
EMD 00010 00010 100 100 100 1.13 1.07 1.04
EVD 00007 00005 71% 86% 100 0.84 0.93 1.05
FE 00006 00006 100 100 100 1.20 1.06 1.05
FG 00007 00004 57% 71% 86% 0.67 0.75 0.90
FL 00038 00027 71% 92% 97% 0.82 1.00 1.02
FMT 00004 00003 75% 100 100 0.88 1.08 1.06
FP 00006 00005 83% 83% 83% 0.98 0.88 0.85
GG 00007 00004 57% 100 100 0.66 1.06 1.04
GP 00016 00013 81% 100 100 0.94 1.08 1.05
HAW 00006 00006 100 100 100 1.15 1.05 1.05
HOU 00003 00003 100 100 100 1.15 1.07 1.05
HST 00002 00002 100 100 100 1.18 1.05 1.05
IND 00017 00011 65% 88% 94% 0.76 0.93 0.99
KD 00001 00001 100 100 100 1.20 1.05 1.05
KEE 00003 00002 67% 67% 67% 0.77 0.72 0.68
LA 00001 00001 100 100 100 1.20 1.10 1.05
LAD 00012 00010 83% 92% 92% 0.97 0.98 0.96
LRC 00004 00001 25% 75% 100 0.30 0.80 1.04
LRL 00005 00005 100 100 100 1.18 1.07 1.04
LS 00005 00003 60% 100 100 0.70 1.05 1.05
MED 00001 00000 00% 100 100 0.00 1.05 1.05
MNR 00030 00019 63% 83% 90% 0.73 0.91 0.95
MTH 00001 00001 100 100 100 1.20 1.05 1.05
MVR 00003 00002 67% 100 100 0.77 1.07 1.05
NP 00006 00005 83% 83% 83% 0.97 0.88 0.85
OP 00003 00002 67% 100 100 0.77 1.08 1.03
PEN 00013 00009 69% 92% 100 0.78 0.99 1.05
PHA/PRX 00031 00020 65% 90% 97% 0.75 0.97 1.01
PID 00003 00002 67% 67% 67% 0.77 0.68 0.67
PIM 00003 00002 67% 100 100 0.77 1.08 1.03
PM 00008 00007 88% 100 100 1.03 1.04 1.03
PRM 00011 00011 100 100 100 1.16 1.10 1.10
RET 00004 00002 50% 100 100 0.60 1.10 1.04
RP 00015 00010 67% 87% 93% 0.77 0.92 0.98
RUI 00003 00002 67% 100 100 0.75 1.07 1.05
SA 00005 00004 80% 80% 100 0.96 0.86 1.03
SAC 00001 00000 00% 00% 00% 0.00 0.00 0.00
SAR 00001 00001 100 100 100 1.20 1.05 1.05
SUF 00008 00006 75% 88% 88% 0.88 0.94 0.92
SUN 00011 00008 73% 91% 91% 0.84 0.95 0.95
TAM 00004 00003 75% 75% 100 0.90 0.81 1.05
TDN 00030 00018 60% 80% 90% 0.69 0.85 0.94
TP 00004 00002 50% 100 100 0.58 1.06 1.05
TUP 00015 00011 73% 87% 100 0.84 0.97 1.05
WRD 00011 00008 73% 82% 100 0.82 0.87 1.05

WO 00005 00003 60% 80% 100 0.67 0.81 1.01
ZIA 00013 00010 77% 92% 100 0.88 0.98 1.04
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

So betting a 1/5 shot to show is probably one of the best bets in horses.
if the track is a $2.20 minimum it is...but that is only because all other horse racing bets are just tremendously horrible wagers race after race. not saying that an expert with expert info cant pick and choose soft spots and have a small positive long term ROI (Not many but there are some especially if you have a rebate ADW).. but just for what is the best general horse race bet you can make for ROI. its show on 1/2 horses or lower odds with 7 entries or less or lower at tracks that have a 2.20 minimum payout. not that you find that many each week of those. but eeeking out abreak even or a tiny ROI or eeek out a break even situation with that much risk is not for everyone and not really much fun either. the second best bet is actually going against huge minus show pools and not playing the $2.10 and go with an anti shared belief where the show payouts might reach $25 or higher....that in a rebate shop also can be nice but again not that many per week!
 

blueline

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

same parameters

Fld Sz < 5 00049 00032 65% 90% 98% 0.75 0.94 0.99
Fld Sz 5 00104 00078 75% 93% 97% 0.86 1.00 1.01
Fld Sz 6 00175 00120 69% 89% 94% 0.79 0.95 0.99
Fld Sz 7 00113 00080 71% 91% 96% 0.83 0.99 1.01
 

mr.inpak

EOG Enthusiast
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

good point try try try however there is no offshore sports book that will give you a rebate on a payout of 2.10 or 2.20
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

good point try try try however there is no offshore sports book that will give you a rebate on a payout of 2.10 or 2.20

This is false.


Anyway, the main reason for bridge jumper alerts on twitter these days is for people who fade the big favorite and chase the big show payout.

When the track pays 2.1 and the show pool has 80+% on one horse, you have to think the big favorite will fail to hit the board enough times to make a show bet on other horses worthwhile.
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

This is false.


Anyway, the main reason for bridge jumper alerts on twitter these days is for people who fade the big favorite and chase the big show payout.

When the track pays 2.1 and the show pool has 80+% on one horse, you have to think the big favorite will fail to hit the board enough times to make a show bet on other horses worthwhile.

agree with all of this.
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

good point try try try however there is no offshore sports book that will give you a rebate on a payout of 2.10 or 2.20
well there are rebates for net losses per week at some shops, some shops have a rebate of an amount net win or net losses (im not in that book but Ive heard about it)

but you need to decide do you want the risk of being limited, or racebook turned off, or cut off from a book by only doing that to eeekkk out perhaps a small profit . ADWs will kick you out if you play rebates into those pools as they have to eat the losses...
 
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Was looking through old pictures on my phone and this has to be one of the biggest show payouts ever:



Looks from my pictures that it happened on August 30th if someone wants to look up the pools for that day
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Odds WIN $ % PLC $ % SHW $ %
1 66 550 1% 271 2% 334 0%
2 13 2,572 6% 978 6% 1,608 2%
3 1/4 27,012 60% 8,501 55% 78,675 86%
4 7 4,173 9% 1,371 9% 1,711 2%
5 87 423 1% 291 2% 284 0%
6 16 2,182 5% 738 5% 1,017 1%
7 6 4,722 11% 1,541 10% 4,246 5%
8 14 2,415 5% 1,130 7% 2,564 3%
9 64 573 1% 327 2% 497 1%
10 99 322 1% 244 2% 424 0%
11 - 0 0% - - - -
Totals 44,942 15,392 91,360
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

june 2

12:10 FL-01 #1 Imposin *1/1 1.7 8.0D NW1
12:15 DEL-01 #4 Budacom *1/1 1.8 8.0D C04
18:00 MNR-01 #1 Holster *3/5 2.2 8.3T MSW
18:00 MNR-01 #1A Smart F *3/5 3.4 8.3T MSW
20:12 MNR-07 #2 Slew Ci *4/5 1.9 5.5D C05

did not get bet down (went off 9/5) and finished 5th or 6th in a 6 horse field

Race 1

[TABLE]

[TH="class: pnum"]# [/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]Horse[/TH]
[TH="class: jock"]Jockey[/TH]
[TH="class: winx"]Win[/TH]
[TH="class: plac"]Place[/TH]
[TH="class: show"]Show[/TH]


[TD="class: pnum"]

6

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Wokeuponhomeplate [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Spieth S [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] $21.00 [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] $5.20 [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.80 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

2

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] My Man Dan [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Conner T [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] $4.40 [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.80 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

3

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] D K Edge [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Pedroza B [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.60 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

5

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Imperial Force [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Gutierrez C L [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] - [/TD]


[/TABLE]


The Finger Lakes horse got bet to 1/9 and finished second

big time bridge jumping on that one. About 93% of the show pool. The horse that won paid nicely to win but not much to show due to all the show bets on the 1 getting paid


Race 1


[TABLE]

[TH="class: pnum"]# [/TH]
[TH="class: runn"]Horse[/TH]
[TH="class: jock"]Jockey[/TH]
[TH="class: winx"]Win[/TH]
[TH="class: plac"]Place[/TH]
[TH="class: show"]Show[/TH]


[TD="class: pnum"]

3

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Schifty's Stardust [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Davila, Jr. M A [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] $21.60 [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] $3.50 [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.60 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

1

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Imposing Figure [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Rohena J M [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] $2.10 [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.10 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

2

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Cat Tune [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Rivera J M [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] $2.60 [/TD]


[TD="class: pnum"]

4

[/TD]
[TD="class: runn"] Party On [/TD]
[TD="class: jock"] Frates D J [/TD]
[TD="class: winx"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: plac"] - [/TD]
[TD="class: show"] - [/TD]


[/TABLE]
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

Delaware Park...Race 4...Summer Cocktail, a 1/5 shot, goes from last-to-first in the slop to win going away in a field of five.

WPS mutuels: 2.60 2.10. 2.10.

I did not see a breakdown of the WPS shows.
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

that was race 4 JK



Odds WIN $ % PLC $ % SHW $ %
1 29 615 3% 349 3% 276 1%
2 17 1,023 5% 536 4% 534 2%
3 - 0 0% - - - -
4 - 0 0% - - - -
5 1/5 14,225 64% 9,592 72% 28,918 89%
6 5/2 5,214 23% 2,137 16% 1,990 6%
7 - 0 0% - - - -
8 13 1,306 6% 628 5% 621 2%
Totals 22,383 13,240 32,339
 

blueline

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

june 3

19:00 ASD-01 #2 Jet Aga *3/5 5.5D C05
19:06 MNR-04 #1 Get It *1/1 6.0D M10
19:06 MNR-04 #1A Safari *1/1 6.0D M10
19:50 ASD-03 #4 Sly Gol *1/1 5.5D STK
20:12 MNR-07 #3 Induce *1/1 8.0D C05
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

june 2

12:10 FL-01 #1 Imposin *1/1 1.7 8.0D NW1
12:15 DEL-01 #4 Budacom *1/1 1.8 8.0D C04
18:00 MNR-01 #1 Holster *3/5 2.2 8.3T MSW
18:00 MNR-01 #1A Smart F *3/5 3.4 8.3T MSW

20:12 MNR-07 #2 Slew Ci *4/5 1.9 5.5D C05

59,330/67,966 in the show pool

ran second and third

paid the minimum show price anyway due to all the bridge jumping

the winner was a huge 23/1 longshot, the #4
 

yisman

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

wow just turned on mountaineer

5 got bet to 1/9

finished 2nd :(

I tailed the double
 

blueline

EOG Master
Re: Bridge jumper alerts

when I bet the double a couple of minutes to post it was at $32 closed at $15 welcome to MNR
 
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