Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Apple

Banned
Greinke tomorrow

Then two LHP's in game 6 and 7, one is named Kershaw.

11 teams have come back from a 3-1 deficit..


Dodgers still have a chance, don't give up on them.
 
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

No chance in hell they win 3 in a row...ZERO

Especially with the last 2 being in St Louis
 

Right Move

EOG Dedicated
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Three game win streak in MLB is nothing. Can't celebrate until you win 4 games.
 

tripp

EOG Master
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Gonna be really tough, especially since im assuming Wainwright is going game 7 at home for st louis against Ryu?

I think we will get a St Louis/Detroit world series. Should be good, but im sure MLB would prefer LA vs Boston (even if Detroit has the stars to sell, nobody still sells like New york, la, chicago and boston)
 

cheapseats

EOG Master
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

not this year gyno.......their epic run looks to be just another oddity in sports ...
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Fuck it I'm going to buy tickets to this game 5 on stubhub right now.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Its safe to say the dodgers will be favored in the next two, right?

game 7 Wain vs Ryu again.. Ryu outpitched him once, why not twice?
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Hanley's injury is a major problem for the Dodgers.
 
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

You can't speak in absolutes without naming a price. I give the Dodgers about a 10% chance of the sweep.
 
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Actually 10% was after I threw vig in there trying to calculate an actual line. Fair line is around 12%, assuming no Hanley.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

true of false, dodgers will be favored tomorrow and in game 6?
 

ERBtheGREAT

EOG Dedicated
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

I'm sure it will go under for the 5th time in a row..guessing the line will be 7 again.
 
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

The way people are talking you'd think it was 1%...

People confuse improbable with impossible. In the top of the 9th in g4 of the 2004 ALCS, the Red Sox were probably around a 120/1 dog to win the ALCS (they'd be a 60/1 dog even vs an average pitcher but they'd be facing Rivera in the b9), and their chances of winning 8 in a row probably around 1700/1 (850/1 dog even vs an average pitcher). Anything can happen, the question is what are the chances it will happen.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

People confuse improbable with impossible. In the top of the 9th in g4 of the 2004 ALCS, the Red Sox were probably around a 120/1 dog to win the ALCS (they'd be a 60/1 dog even vs an average pitcher but they'd be facing Rivera in the b9), and their chances of winning 8 in a row probably around 1700/1 (850/1 dog even vs an average pitcher). Anything can happen, the question is what are the chances it will happen.


I remember whomever was on sportscenter that night saying that series was over.. Wonder if they learned their lesson from that.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

groovin let's say the Dodgers win game 5..

12% will increase to what ??%
 

cheapseats

EOG Master
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

st. Louis won't go through the pen to win tomorrow, the dodgers will go deep, starters included.....
 
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Tough to say how the market will react to Ramirez's likely absence, but I guess LAD is around -140 or -150 tomorrow. Game 5 they should be a small favorite, but probably not by too much since Wacha threw two gems in a row, and I suspect that lots of people will reflexively bet Wacha as a dog. I'd be about 95% sure that someone like Sherwood would bet Wacha saying "I'm getting Wacha as a pooch, seriously?"
 

Right Move

EOG Dedicated
Re: Don't give up on the Dodgers quite yet..

Well if you figure Dodgers are 55% to win game 5 and 6 and 45% to win game 7 they are 13.6% chance so the 12% number isn't too far off.
 
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