EOG's Best Bet thread for Sunday, July 26

winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
I have a boatload of PL plays today that are BB already posted (Current Pinny price next to it). The game with the most on the line is the last one: Leicester/Man U. All games starting at 8A and I will be up by 6:30A to watch all of the pre-game stuff leading up to what will be 2 hours of reality TV at its finest

JK - I will total this up after all 6 results are in. As usual

Man City/Norwich City Ov4 -111.......(-129 although now most have this 4.25)................Norwich won this game 3-2 the first time. City will seek revenge. This is Norwich's last PL game for at least a season. Probably longer. City will want to get a good run in for the guys to prepare for the CL. City should get to at least 4 by themselves)
Newcastle +1.5 -121............................(-124 although now most have this +1.25)..............Liverpool came to play on Wednesday in their last home game and then getting the PL trophy. Not sure Liverpool comes to play with much energy here. Newcastle will hang in there)
Burnley/Brighton Un2.5 -106.............(-101)..................2 teams playing for nothing since both are safe. That usually leads to more goals than usual. But if Burnley shut out Brighton their goalie will get the most shutouts this season. Burnley will play solid D and maybe we see 2 goals here)
(NBC) Leicester City/Man U Un2.5 +105......(+106)..............Winner is guaranteed a CL spot. If Chelsea loses and Leicester wins/draws - both get a CL spot. Don't understand they movement on Ov2.5 here. Leicester will want to keep it close and hope to steal 3 points late. This has 1-1 written all over it)

Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated
Bournemouth +450 To Stay Up.................This is easily one of the dumbest 5 bets I ave ever made in my life. Not even close. In order for Bournemouth to stay UP it was going to be at the expense of Watford. I could have taken Watford +450 to be relegated at the same time I made this play and in doing so would have also gotten Aston Villa included and that is important since Villa seems most likely to stay up. I deserve to lose this play for being so freaking stupid in doing this and not Watford to be relegated which would have allowed me to cash both tickets and not just one. This will end up being a 5.5-unit difference. OUCH!)


Winkyduck 657-881-45 +5.94 UNITS (Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

Scoreless at Half

West Ham/Aston Villa Un1.0 +142

Villa now knows a Draw keeps them up. I think they massively "Park the Bus" to try and get out 0-0 and stay up. Don't see how 2 goals are scored
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
winkyduck said:
I have a boatload of PL plays today that are BB already posted (Current Pinny price next to it). The game with the most on the line is the last one: Leicester/Man U. All games starting at 8A and I will be up by 6:30A to watch all of the pre-game stuff leading up to what will be 2 hours of reality TV at its finest

JK - I will total this up after all 6 results are in. As usual

Man City/Norwich City Ov4 -111.......(-129 although now most have this 4.25)................Norwich won this game 3-2 the first time. City will seek revenge. This is Norwich's last PL game for at least a season. Probably longer. City will want to get a good run in for the guys to prepare for the CL. City should get to at least 4 by themselves)
Newcastle +1.5 -121............................(-124 although now most have this +1.25)..............Liverpool came to play on Wednesday in their last home game and then getting the PL trophy. Not sure Liverpool comes to play with much energy here. Newcastle will hang in there)
Burnley/Brighton Un2.5 -106.............(-101)..................2 teams playing for nothing since both are safe. That usually leads to more goals than usual. But if Burnley shut out Brighton their goalie will get the most shutouts this season. Burnley will play solid D and maybe we see 2 goals here)
(NBC) Leicester City/Man U Un2.5 +105......(+106)..............Winner is guaranteed a CL spot. If Chelsea loses and Leicester wins/draws - both get a CL spot. Don't understand they movement on Ov2.5 here. Leicester will want to keep it close and hope to steal 3 points late. This has 1-1 written all over it)

Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated
Bournemouth +450 To Stay Up.................This is easily one of the dumbest 5 bets I ave ever made in my life. Not even close. In order for Bournemouth to stay UP it was going to be at the expense of Watford. I could have taken Watford +450 to be relegated at the same time I made this play and in doing so would have also gotten Aston Villa included and that is important since Villa seems most likely to stay up. I deserve to lose this play for being so freaking stupid in doing this and not Watford to be relegated which would have allowed me to cash both tickets and not just one. This will end up being a 5.5-unit difference. OUCH!)


Winkyduck 657-881-45 +5.94 UNITS (Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
Click to expand...

In order:

+100
-121
-106
+105
+125
-100
-100
*******
3-4 -0.93

Winkyduck 660-885-45 +5.01 UNITS (Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 
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