EOG's Best Bet thread for Sunday, July 5

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

Sunday at 8:30A on NBCSN

Liverpool -1 goal in 1h +175

This pushes at worst


Lots of BBs going today. I stated earlier why I LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOVE Liverpool to just pound the crap out of Aston Villa. Took some time but everyone else finally caught on to what I saw last week. This one will be a MASSACRE!

Liverpool -1.5 +102 (Now -119)
Liverpool -2 +158 (Now +143)
Aston Villa TT Un0.5 +127 (Now +111)

Liverpool lost 4-0 last time out and 5-0 last time they played Villa on Dec. 17. The loss was a 5-0 thrashing in the FA Cup when Liverpool was forced to play kids because the actually team was elsewhere playing the next day. Villa players ran up the score and rubbed it in and the Liverpool manager HAS NOT FORGOTTEN THAT! Payback comes in this game and I think the Liverpool Manager wants to win by that same 5-0 score.

Southampton +1.5 -104 (Same Price)

For the record other plays I really like today:

4A: Burnley PICK +108
6:15A: Newcastle PICK -110
8:30A: Liverpool in 1h: TT Ov1.0 -101 and..........TT Ov2.5 +107
11A: Southampton/Man City Ov3 -118 AND Southampton +814 to win outright (Not sure they win SU but +813 says they win a tad over 10% or 1/10 times. I think the chances are a tad greater. This is a massive letdown spot for City off the Chelsea loss, Newcastle win in the FA Cup and trashing Liverpool on Thursday. Think we see a flat City side.


Updated: Counted Brighton to be Relegated as a loss since they now almost certainly will stay up
Winkyduck 645-871-44 +1.61 UNITS (Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Next MLB Game to be Played August 1st or Sooner: YES -110 AND NO +125; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 

ejd_5277

EOG Dedicated
Pinny

Sunday at 8:30A on NBCSN

Liverpool -1 goal in 1h +175

This pushes at worst


Lots of BBs going today. I stated earlier why I LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOVE Liverpool to just pound the crap out of Aston Villa. Took some time but everyone else finally caught on to what I saw last week. This one will be a MASSACRE!

Liverpool -1.5 +102 (Now -119)
Liverpool -2 +158 (Now +143)
Aston Villa TT Un0.5 +127 (Now +111)

Liverpool lost 4-0 last time out and 5-0 last time they played Villa on Dec. 17. The loss was a 5-0 thrashing in the FA Cup when Liverpool was forced to play kids because the actually team was elsewhere playing the next day. Villa players ran up the score and rubbed it in and the Liverpool manager HAS NOT FORGOTTEN THAT! Payback comes in this game and I think the Liverpool Manager wants to win by that same 5-0 score.

Southampton +1.5 -104 (Same Price)

For the record other plays I really like today:

4A: Burnley PICK +108
6:15A: Newcastle PICK -110
8:30A: Liverpool in 1h: TT Ov1.0 -101 and..........TT Ov2.5 +107
11A: Southampton/Man City Ov3 -118 AND Southampton +814 to win outright (Not sure they win SU but +813 says they win a tad over 10% or 1/10 times. I think the chances are a tad greater. This is a massive letdown spot for City off the Chelsea loss, Newcastle win in the FA Cup and trashing Liverpool on Thursday. Think we see a flat City side.


Updated: Counted Brighton to be Relegated as a loss since they now almost certainly will stay up
Winkyduck 645-871-44 +1.61 UNITS (Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Next MLB Game to be Played August 1st or Sooner: YES -110 AND NO +125; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)

Or not.

You really ought to stop speaking in absolutes. Might as well go tout with your "locks."
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Or not.

You really ought to stop speaking in absolutes. Might as well go tout with your "locks."

Care to see how my other 3 plays in the game went: 2-0-1 for +2.29 or 2-1-1 for +1.29 units

Find me anyone who would object to that! If a Tout did this he would be lauded for it

BTW - let's talk about the lines I got:

Liverpool -1 goal in 1h +175...........................Closed +135 meaning I got this 40-cents better
Liverpool -1.5 +102 (Now -119).....................Closed -159 meaning I got this 61-cents better
Liverpool -2 +158 (Now +143).......................Closed +104 meaning I got this 54-cents better
Aston Villa TT Un0.5 +127 (Now +111) .....Closed +100 meaning I got this 27-cents better

I got every line better by at least 27-cents and a combined $1.82 better

You do this long run you will be a massive winner
 

ejd_5277

EOG Dedicated
I understand that and you're very knowledgeable about the PL Wink... no question. I just hate it when bettors speak in terms of "locks, 100%, guarantee," etc.

Obviously no such thing exists.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
I understand that and you're very knowledgeable about the PL Wink... no question. I just hate it when bettors speak in terms of "locks, 100%, guarantee," etc.

Obviously no such thing exists.

100% agree which is why I almost never do it. The fact the line went bonkers for that Prop shows many others felt the same. And I have a feeling if you asked the books if they would cancel 1h and just give Liverpool a 1-goal lead or let it play out I sense close to 100% of the books would have taken a PUSH on -1 knowing that Liverpool against the worst defense in the PL was very capable of putting up 2+ very easily

As for the game starting soon.............history is ALL Man City in this matchup. This is "Hammer vs. Nail" but I think history could be re-written today. Southampton was well over $9 to win outright and this close to game time they are +763. It will not shock me at all if the Saints go marching into the locker room after the game victors here. The total was 3 pretty evenly priced both ways but now it is 3.25 and the money looks to be going to the right way. I am damn near certain we get at least 3 goals since City can score but so can Southampton. Those watching on NBC might see a very entertaining game with 4+ goals in it
 

trytrytry

All I do is trytrytry
Gulfstream - Race 11 - Matchups - Hallandale, FL - Sunday, July 5, 2020 5:00 PM
14101 Lady Boss -130
14102 Princess Coro +100

play lady boss -130 head to head
 

KevinStott11

EOG Veteran
>Posting Sunday for Monday spot for Monday match...
Monday, July 6, 2020—English Premier League Soccer⚽
101050 Everton PK, +½ +107 (BetOnline)

3 pm EDT/12 pm PDT [NBCSN,NBCSports.com, NBC Sports App, Telemundo Deportes En Vivo, SiriusXM FC (USA); SuperSport Maximo, SuperSport 1 Africa, SuperSport 3 Africa, DStv Now (ZIMBABWE)]Six O’Clock already I was just in the middle of a Dream, of banging Martha Stewart and mainlining Hydroxychloroquine. On Monday, Matchweek 33 of the English Premier League will wrap up with 7th-place Everton (12-8-12, 40 GF-47 GA) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (Desso GrassMaster) in North London, England to face Harry Kane and Tottenham Hotspur (12-9-11, 51 GF-44 GA). The new stadium opened up on April 3, 2019, replacing White Hart Lane as the club’s new Home venue.

Oddsmakers at BetOnline have 11th-place Everton (WWDLD) as big +240 Road Underdogs—and that may be enough to get me to bite on a number with a plus before it for a change. I always lose those (here) when I do that—with Spurs -114 and a Draw at +225 with the Total at 2½o -1211 In the Goal Line market, Spurs PK, -½ at -123 with Everton PK, +½ -103 ($5 to win $5.35 {at +107}, BetOnline). Graham Scott is scheduled to be the Referee is this lone Monday affair which will surely be overbet.
When these two met in Liverpool, back on March 11—the fateful night we really knew that our World’s were destined to be crushed by COVID-19—the host Toffees and Tosun Cenk broke Spurs’ backers hearts with with an equalizer at 90+7’ after Dele Alli gave the visitors a 1-0 lead at 63’. Tottenham (LWDDL) have been playing some pretty crappy Soccer under Manager José Mourinho, going 1-3-5 their L9 overall after losing 3-1 at Sheffield United on Thursday and falling out of UEFA tourney qualification territory and into 9th place with 45 points—44 less than newly crowned champions Liverpool (89 points). Waah. Please keep your Penis out of the Pudding, Pablo P.

Looking at the series Trends from WorldFootball.net, we see that Tottenham is 61-54-48 in 163 EPL meetings with Everton (254 GF-210 GA) and 41-24-16 at Home against them (160 GF-98 GA) with a massive 62 GD in 81 fixtures. Spurs are 67-55-54 vs the Toffees in all competitions (273 GF-228 GA).
The L9 EPL meetings in this series have had a Haiku-like rhythm. After three straight Under-y Draws (0-0, 1-1- 1-1), Tottenham beat Everton 4 straight and outscored them 16-4 before 2 more consecutive Draws the L2 meetings (EVE 1-1 TOT, TOT 2-2 EVE). So, who the fuck knows, right? Everton is a team that seems to play well for Manager Carlo Ancelotti for a month or two before reverting back to a club desperately seeking Offense and scorers on its Roster.

The best Goal-scorers for the Toffees this 2019/20 EPL season have been Dominic Calvert-Lewin (13 goals) and Richarlison (11 goals) with nobody else scoring more than 3, so shopping will have to be done in Merseyside, and not in the Red half. Same as it ever was. Same as it ever was. Same as it ever was. I think Richarlison may get this game's only Goal.
Jordan Pickford has been brilliant in GK, allowing just 1 Goal in the L4 matches for Everton and just 2 over the L5, a perceived handicapping edge here along with Spurs’ current shat smell. Whiskey bottles and brand new cars Oak Tree you’re in my way...

Since back-to-back 1-0 Losses to heavyweights Liverpool and Manchester City way back in January before we feared Death every minute of every fucking Day, the Toffees have gone an impressive 5-4-1 (W-D-L) to earn a very welcome 19 points which happily kept Everton’s name out of EPL Relegation conversations despite not being able to put the ball in the net as much as they would like. Hey you: Spread some Love Today, brother. It is Free and also has no Vigorish. You will feel much better about yourself as well as Tomorrow. Peace.

Tottenham Hotspur ½ ✺ Everton FC 1
 
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winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Nice to get Southampton home but kicking myself for not taking them to win outright getting over $8 since I posted here a few times they were a very live dog that could win SU

................and having +500 on the POTUS not to be the Repb Nominee suddenly looks a lot better than it did many months ago. Still a long shot to cash but now it cashing is not as far=fetched as it seemed

Winkyduck 648-872-45 +3.90 UNITS (Mauricio Pochettino to be next Permanent Newcastle Manager +110; Bournemouth +125 to be Relegated; Man City to win the Champions League +410; Vegas Knights to win the West +550; Gretchen Whitmer to be Democratic Veep Nominee: +1500 AND Val Demings +400; #IQ45 to NOT be the 2020 RepubliCON POTUS Nominee +500; 2 Units on Will Jacoby Brissett be Colts starter for Week 1 - NO +100; Next MLB Game to be Played August 1st or Sooner: YES -110 AND NO +125; Dodgers +200 to win the NL; Patriots RSW Ov8.5 -110 AND RSW Un9.5 -110; Jets RSW U6.5 +105; Bills to win the AFC East +275 AND Patriots +175; Will George W Bush endorse Joe Biden for POTUS: YES +350; Will Condoleezza Rice endorse Joe Biden +185; Joe Biden to be elected POTUS +120; Democrat wins Michigan in 2020 POTUS Election -180 & Wisconsin -130 & Florida +135 AND Georgia +200; #IQ45 to lose EC and Popular Vote +110..........#IQ45 to WIN EC but lose Popular Vote +200; Dems control the House/Repubs the Senate +150 AND Dems control the House AND the Senate +130; Next Justice to leave the SCOTUS: Clarence Thomas +400; Tua's 2020 Passing Yards: UNDER 3200 -120)
 
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