EOG's Grand Challenge presented by BetDSI (WINKYDUCK is our May contestant)

John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Rules:

  1. Contestant will post 30 plays in 30 days (one play per day) starting the first of the month.
  2. Games must be played by month's end.
  3. Major North American team sports only: NFL, CFL, NCAAF, NBA, WNBA, NCAAB, NHL, MLB, MLS and NWSL.
  4. Full-game sides, run lines and totals -110 or LOWER.
  5. Contestants are graded against Pinnacle numbers at the time of post.
  6. Must hit 60% or better to be declared a winner of the $1,000 prize.
  7. Cannot play a game more than once or both sides of the same game.
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
Best of luck to WINKYDUCK.

About five weeks ago, WINKY suffered a severe personal loss when his mother, the most influential person in his life, passed away.

Here's what WINKY wrote about his brilliant mother 37 days ago:

www.facebook.com

Erik Schuman

It is with the truly utmost of sadness that I have to make this post. At 10:19 PM (Meaning less than an hour ago) on Tuesday, March 25, Louise Schuman passed away at the age of...29 :-) I appreciate...
www.facebook.com www.facebook.com
 
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Wade

Wade

EOG Master
Mr Kelly, if you need a substitute contestant I’d be glad to be one. A Grand would change my life.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
I normally don't see DD's posts but since I did not log in - I did.

My laughing emoji was because I said she was 29 - something we all laughed at - even her.

I posted it the same day she died because: Her passing was unexpected - but not shocking. She went to the ER the day before, then put in a room. When I left her on Monday, March 24, they moved her to CCU. March 25 we were notified by doctors things were not going well. Family rushed to see her that night but I had to stay home since I am my father's full-time caregiver and since I had already put him to bed, I had to stay home and look after him. We kinda knew Mom was going to pass away that night, so I started working on what to say, so that when she passed, I could post it, as opposed to thinking of what to say later. My family was OK with me doing so. I wouldn't change what I did at all.


The game starts in about 10 minutes - I do have Nottingham Forest +120 in the game airing on USA Network soon. I LOOOOOOOVE a ton of plays in England this week and will post them since I cannot play them here.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Play 1: Toronto Maple Leaves +101..............asking these choking dogs to win a closeout game is asking for trouble. But I think Craig Berube kicks their ass and gets them to play here and win - knowing the LAST THING they want is a G7.


I also have plays in my account on:

Wild +138
Kings/Oilers Ov5.5 -125.........current line is 6 with Over around -112ish..........I think this game will be more like the first 4. I think we see a TON of goals. Won't shock me if we get to 6 in 2P. Over 7 getting almost $2 is something I like, too.
 
E$

E$

EOG Dedicated
Welcome back Winky and good luck 👍

Sorry to hear about your mom too, I am dreading that day for me but know it will come at some point.
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
winkyduck said:
Play 1: Toronto Maple Leaves +101..............asking these choking dogs to win a closeout game is asking for trouble. But I think Craig Berube kicks their ass and gets them to play here and win - knowing the LAST THING they want is a G7.


I also have plays in my account on:

Wild +138
Kings/Oilers Ov5.5 -125.........current line is 6 with Over around -112ish..........I think this game will be more like the first 4. I think we see a TON of goals. Won't shock me if we get to 6 in 2P. Over 7 getting almost $2 is something I like, too.
Click to expand...

Final score: 4-2, Toronto.

One for the good guys.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
FWIW.....I have already told JK if I win the $1k it is all going to charity. Causes that mean a lot to me and the family - including ones that meant a lot to Mom.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
1-0............Play 2

Tiggers RL -102.....Skubal should shut down the Angels........and always best to take the road team on the RL in case it goes extras

FWIW: This play WAS going to be the Blues, but they were -110 and now -115ish so can't pay them

I looooooooooooove English soccer this weekend - will post those plays here later today
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Weekend in England plays I like/love: Blackburn PICK might be my fave play. Think Leicester/Southampton easily gets to 3 and might be closer to 5. Leyton Orient will get it done. Cambridge game will be ugly - but can't see them losing by 2+. I would take a shot at +304 which I like more than 3-way line of $5 because a DRAW is a PUSH not a loss. I just don't see how Wrexham gives a "darn" against Lincoln.

Premier League:

Leicester/Southampton OVER 2.75 -106: Neither team can score, Leicester has 27 goals for the season while Southampton has 25. But look at the other end of the field where Leicester has given up 76 which is only topped by Southampton's 80! These 2 met on October 19 and Leicester won 3-2. Both teams are relegated so no reason to hold back. Just go out and have fun and attack, attack and attack. I can see one ending up 3-2, too.

League Championship:

Blackburn Rovers +0.25 -112 OR Pick +131 OR 3-way +216 & QPR +1 -125 OR +0.5 +139: I put them together for a reason. Blackburn plays at Sheffield United while QPR visits Sunderland. The key here is: Sheffield is locked into 3rd place and Sunderland is locked into 4th place. No matter what happens here, their spot in the table will not change at all. I fully expect Sheffield and Sunderland to play NO ONE! I say that because the "Promotion Playoffs" start soon after. Sheffield plays May 8 and 12 while Sunderland plays May 9 & 13. Sheffield last played April 25 and Sunderland on April 26. Why would either side playing in the Playoffs play anyone of importance here, tire them out and risk getting them hurt? They won't. It would be stupid to do so. I expect a far weakened side for both home teams here, knowing what lays ahead for both of them. Blackburn actually has something to play for. Right now they are 8th in the table with 65 points. Coventry City and Milwall are tied for 6th with 66 points. Milwall plays Burnley, so a loss here would not be unexpected. Coventry plays Boro - and if Boro wins they could still finish in 6th place. So, the opportunity is really there for Blackburn to win - against a Sheffield side who will be sitting people. Taking Blackburn +131 or +216 is where I will be.........As for QPR I will take them +0.5 goals


League One:

Cambridge United +1.0 -114 OR +0.5 +144 OR Pick +304: This is not a play ON Cambridge, as much as it is fading Birmingham City. This is City's 3rd game in 6 days. They played at home on April 27 and won 4-0. They played Wednesday at Blackpool and won 2-0. This gave allowed City to set the League One record for most points in a season at 108 and they made sure to let everyone on Twitter know about it. Now comes their 3rd game in 6 days. There is no need to care about this game, the record was set. As for Cambridge - they suck. They are relegated - finishing 23 (out of 24). These 2 met on March 11 and City won 4-0. That score was misleading. City could have won 40-0 if they wanted. City's stats domination was scary: Possession 76-24%. SOG 12-0. Shot attempts 24-2. Corners 11-3. You get the point. If City cares - they will kill Cambridge. But 3 games in a week and just wanting to get this game over with so they can prepare of the League Championship against an opponent playing their last game before dropping to League 2..........I'll take my chance with Cambridge. Taking them +1 means Coty have to win by 2 in a game I'm not sure they win at all. Taking 1/2 goal and almost +150 is very appealing.

Lincoln City +0.5 -129 OR Pick +109: Somewhat of the same as above. A 100% meaningless game for Wrexham. After this game they will move up to the League Championship - 1 step away from the unthinkable - THE PREMIER LEAGUE! As much partying and celebrating as they have done, I just find it hard to believe they will care about this game. If Wrexham lose 3-0 - so what.

Leyton Orient -125ish: Right now, Orient sit in 6th in the league. Finish 6th and they make the "Promotion Playoffs" and have a chance of moving up. They are tied with Reading for that 6th, and final, playoff spot, but hold an 8 goal advantage. So unless Reading wins by 10+ goals (not gonna happen) a Leyton win gets them the Playoff spot. Huddersfield Town is safe. Not going anywhere next season. Gimme the side playing for something against the side just wanting the season to end.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
sharky99 said:
That's tough to hear Erik. May the wonderful memories of your mom, Louise, bring you and those close to you to a good place during a difficult time.
Click to expand...

While we all miss her, I choose to look at it this way: I got 60 years with her. I got a lifetime's worth of memories. Some people do not have that. I have a friend whose mother died when she was 18 MONTHS old. I have another whose mother died when he was 5 and then when his dad married a few years later, his stepmom died in less than a month (Dad had nothing to do with both passings).

I was BLOWN AWAY by all of the replies from people saying how much she impacted their lives. People who were strangers - then became friends. People who said they were down and needed help and she was there for them and helped them turn around their lives. I had many people tell me when they started in their industry they went to Mom for help and she mentored them and without her help they would not be where they are now.

I was happy to see the woman I knew and the woman everyone else knew was the same.

I feel worst for the dog: This dog followed her EVERYWHERE! We knew where Mom was because the dog was there. Velvet is lost and still looking/waiting for her Mommy to come home. We treat her like the diva/princess she is and it has helped.

Saturday, May 3 I am going to a CoL of the father of a long-time friend, and someone I knew forever and then May 31 another one - this one for long-time LA Sportscaster Ed Arnold. In both of these cases - their passings were not all that unexpected - although they hurt just as much.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Patkeats said:
Free rolling Jimmythefake and Railturd could learn something from you, but probably not.
Click to expand...

Thank you for the kind words.

I have known Rail for decades. He and my siblings are not only the same age but graduated from the same HS at the same year.

I have said this before: I am friends with Matt Hatfield. I cannot stand Railbird. Matt might not like me saying this - but when you are with him - he is far different than here. Or, at least he is to me.
 
John Kelly

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
winkyduck said:
1-0............Play 2

Tiggers RL -102.....Skubal should shut down the Angels........and always best to take the road team on the RL in case it goes extras

FWIW: This play WAS going to be the Blues, but they were -110 and now -115ish so can't pay them

I looooooooooooove English soccer this weekend - will post those plays here later today
Click to expand...

Final score: 9-1, Tigers.

WINKY improves to 2-0.
 
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winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
UGH! Passed on both NBA and NHL games - and winners. UGH!

Sunday MLB: Cubs -108


As for Sunday in the Prem, played:

West Ham +122 (Now +104....OK with anything that is a (Plus-number)
Tottenham TT Un0.5 +269 (Pinny)
ManU TT Un 0.5 +193

ManU and Tottenham have the 2nd leg of their Europa League final on Thursday. Both are in great shape to advance to the Final - where the winner gets an automatic Champions League spot. I expect both of them to rest people for Thursday. I am fairly certain at least 1 fails to score. Won't shock me if both but since both are decent size prices to not score 1-1 makes a nice chunk of change.
 
winkyduck

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
2-1

Play 4: Monday NBA.....OKC -9.5 -107.................This has the makings of a 20+ point blowout. Nuggets off the tough, 7-game series win over the Clippers, now have to travel to play a rested - and much better - OKC team. If OKC can't win by 2B figures - shame on them. It might take until 2h but this one has UGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLY written all over it.
 
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