Fezzik For November...

Heim

EOG Master
#81
Seeing Robbie Hummel tonight reminds me of the time Fezzik said his absence from the Purdue lineup was worth 7.5 points. About the same time Fezzik believed concentrating on one conference was the way to beat CBB. Good times...
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
#82
Dink had a classic line after Fezzik boldly proclaimed one season he was only going to follow four MLB teams.

Fezz was going to concentrate on the New York Yankees, Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners.

To which Dink responded, "I'm only going to follow National League Central shortstops."

Gotta love Dinks humor.
 
#83
These things are great for forums but unless you have a mythical bankroll putting out a dozen 2 and 3 unit plays (which if bet for REAL money would be 25-50K) and youre down 25K (so in for 50-75K) and those 12 go 10-2 and get you close to 'even', then its still all make believe.

If you have an actual bankroll and are down 25-30% of it most guys would adjust their bet size (they would have to). I remember when all the 'professional' gamblers would talk that shit out of their asses trying to sound smart. "Money Management'' was the end all be all. Shrink was the king and his minions all parroted everything he said. Funny how so many of these guys that everyone thinks are so sharp killed themselves (allegedly) or went broke and disappeared owing everyone under the sun money.

Fezzik is a lifelong loser no matter what people want to say. I watched this guy for over 20 years, and other than having his name claim a couple Hilton Contests (which have zero to do with actually being able to make money betting sports) he hasnt done shit. But I guess thats more than most. Except he has been sold as the best 'tout' in the business or the most 'honest'. Which is sort of like being the smartest kid in the retard class I guess.

Sports betting is for suckers anyway. There are multitudes of ways to get action down on other things that are more sick and twisted than begging for a guy to make or miss a FG as time expires. And theyre easier and safer to make money at. You dont have to send money to some shithole place with little to no chance of ever getting paid. Guess thats why its a good thing just about everyone loses.

But like I said it makes for good forum discussions
 

GameBred

I Trade Therefore I Am
#84
But like I said it makes for good forum discussions
That's all it is.

What was it last year Fezz ended in the black or something yet he was down like ~120 units at one point by June. I've never actually heard of anyone losing 120% of their Bankroll, I didn't think it was even possible, much less ending the year in the black.

It's just silly forum discussion that has nothing at all to do w/ day-to-day reality.
 

Flipper

EOG Enthusiast
#85
2004 Fezzik vs present day Fezzik? hahaha yes a significant difference. I worked with the older (winning) fezzik. He used to squeeze me because sometimes I was not available (I had wife and kids before him) but when he joined my club (wife & kids club), he eventually had to defer what he called "Plan Z", becoming a tout.

With that said, I still root for the guy at the end.
 

Heim

EOG Master
#86
2004 Fezzik vs present day Fezzik? hahaha yes a significant difference. I worked with the older (winning) fezzik. He used to squeeze me because sometimes I was not available (I had wife and kids before him) but when he joined my club (wife & kids club), he eventually had to defer what he called "Plan Z", becoming a tout.

With that said, I still root for the guy at the end.

Those were probably the best and funniest times to be in Vegas. Now with William Hill taking over Jerry's Nugget too it
feels like the opportunity/advantage chapter has completely closed.
 

Heim

EOG Master
#88
Funny....you see plus 2 units on NE....however have to dig deep to see the minus 5.5 units on the props. Maybe Steve can explain why you lay the number with PATS but like under for Brady passing yards. A little anti-correlated....no? Or is that the idea to stick save some units?
 
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Heim

EOG Master
#89
Questions for ComptrBob re above Sunday props:

1) I see you graded the three losing two unit props at -110 but I didn't see any vig attached from Fezzik's DM.

2) Why did Fezzik give you the under 1.5 yard TD vig at -135 when it's archived on Pregame at -145?
 
#90
I use the BLAP texts to my phone to determine and grade bets.

1. A line of -110 is implied on any bet that has no attached line. Pregame picks other than BLAP do not directly include derivatives and PROPS so PROP 30 cent lines are usually ignored when entered in the description.

2. You would have to ask Fezzik about sending -135 on the shortest TD UNDER 1.5 yds prop. You might notice that the BLAP PROP text was sent more than a day later than the Pats -4 pick. The PROP descriptions on the Pregame page could well have been appended at a much later date to the Pats pick page. Overall, PROP betting lines are very sportsbook and time dependent and really do not justify two unit bets. Overall around 78% of 2018 BLAP plays were 2 or 3 unit weight.
 
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Heim

EOG Master
#91
Fezzik gives Tulsa under today at 145 (loser). He waits until it hit 138 to tell customers to pass. Wow I didn't realize Fezzik's hit rate was still +EV in CBB totals with a 7 point window.
 

Heim

EOG Master
#94
The 1999 version of Fezzik would be extremely disappointed in the 2019 version.
However...some things never change:

DATE
SPORT/TYPE
PICK
SCORE
ODDS
SIZE
W/L
$


Today
NFL Money Lines
Saints 23-26 -180 L-360

ANALYSIS
Write up to follow........

Bet this now, line likely goes UP.
 

Heim

EOG Master
#96
Just maybe the dog ML is not just squares anymore. How many of these 'big game' value MLs does he have to lose before he gets that?
 
Another epic fail for Fezzik on Sunday. The average $100 bettor usually goes into cardiac arrest when they lose over $1,000 in one day. It's been a tough decade for Fezz man. I'm surprised he hasn't ventured into giving out UFC picks. Shit, the three new spring & summer football leagues start up in a few weeks. Go for it Fezz. He claims to be also be a WNBA specialist and that hasn't turned out too well. Just keep throwing slop against the wall. He'll eventually have a winning season in something.
 

Heim

EOG Master
1/20/19 Sunday (1/15/19 9:54am) Saints ML -180 [23-26] NFL 2 L -3.6
1/20/19 Sunday (1/15/19 9:54am) NE/KC UNDER 55.5 [31-37] NFL 2 L -2.2
1/20/19 Sunday (1/17/19 9:37pm) Chiefs ML -160 [31-37] NFL 1 L -1.6
1/20/19 Sunday (1/17/19 9:37pm) Chiefs -3 [31-37] NFL 1 L -1.1
1/20/19 Sunday (1/20/19 8:14am) T. Gurley UNDER 71 rush yds [10] NFL 2 W 2
1/20/19 Sunday (1/20/19 8:14am) NO No score 1st 6 min [Yes] NFL 2 L -2.2

Sunday tally: -8.70
 
When a capper hits 55.62%, tracked over 800+ plays, mostly sides and totals, over a calendar year by the best tracker in the business, believe me that people ARE going to be paying attention. It's a great performance by any standard particularly when many of the sides and totals are in the NFL where offshore books have enormous betting limits. I'll also cite that Fez has never been more influential. He has a colossal and real Twitter following, and is on national radio.
Paid radio spots are widely available to anybody willing to pay,
 

Heim

EOG Master
535 Minnesota T'wolves
vs.
536 Phoenix Suns


DATE
SPORT/TYPE
PICK
SCORE
ODDS
SIZE
W/L
$


Yesterday
NBA Sides
Suns
91-118
+4½
2L -220
ANALYSIS
Great bounce back spot for Phx who just got crushed vs. this same team last game at Min.


Bad enough Fezzik fell for the B2B home & home trend but PHO got crushed!? They led the whole game until Rose hit a last second jumper.
 
535 Minnesota T'wolves
vs.
536 Phoenix Suns


DATE
SPORT/TYPE
PICK
SCORE
ODDS
SIZE
W/L
$


Yesterday
NBA Sides
Suns
91-118
+4½
2L -220
ANALYSIS
Great bounce back spot for Phx who just got crushed vs. this same team last game at Min.


Bad enough Fezzik fell for the B2B home & home trend but PHO got crushed!? They led the whole game until Rose hit a last second jumper.
Wtf am I reading? I thought fezzik originates? This is such a horrible write up. A 12 pt dog lead into the 4q. Where is the "crushed" part? Unless he was forecasting what this play was going to be. Down 15 at the half.....down 22 at the end of 3q. Wire to wire loser. Minnesota covered from the 5:59 mark of the 2q. Easy peasy.
 

John Kelly

Born Gambler
Staff member
535 Minnesota T'wolves
vs.
536 Phoenix Suns


DATE
SPORT/TYPE
PICK
SCORE
ODDS
SIZE
W/L
$


Yesterday
NBA Sides
Suns
91-118
+4½
2L -220
ANALYSIS
Great bounce back spot for Phx who just got crushed vs. this same team last game at Min.


Bad enough Fezzik fell for the B2B home & home trend but PHO got crushed!? They led the whole game until Rose hit a last second jumper.
Don't let the facts get in the way of a good story.
 

Heim

EOG Master
From ComptrBob 1/25 :

"Note I received the Wash NBA pick after the game had started at 5:05 PST."

Lol but still graded a 2 unit winner.
 
Yeah, Pregame seems to occasionally have real problems with their texting system.

This pick was released to the "system log" for regular customers at 4:46PM, the BLAP text itself notes "5:05 pst gm". My BLAP text timestamp was 5:18, yet no other BLAP subscriber notices or posts an earlier timestamp.
 
Note to Bob: There hasn't been a BLAP member in close to two years. It's now only a made up club to try make people think there are people betting more and winning. Fezzik is down money the last 25 months. The only people winning are the bookies and people fading his picks.
 
Yeah, Pregame seems to occasionally have real problems with their texting system.

This pick was released to the "system log" for regular customers at 4:46PM, the BLAP text itself notes "5:05 pst gm". My BLAP text timestamp was 5:18, yet no other BLAP subscriber notices or posts an earlier timestamp.
WTF

How is a person given a window of 13 minutes to get money down on a game? I would imagine the sales are very very low as this type of stuff would quickly result in a post by someone bitching about this type of release.

Radio silence = no customers?
 

Heim

EOG Master
I'm not surprised Fezzik lost 3 units laying the points with Lakers yesterday. A former actuary would never grasp the 'be the team' concept....
 
I'm not surprised Fezzik lost 3 units laying the points with Lakers yesterday. A former actuary would never grasp the 'be the team' concept....
He lost with the Lakers. Lebron suffers worst loss in his career.

Fezzik says he leans the celtics last night....says turmoil will come since everyone is trade bait. Lakers win at boston.

Rj bell claims fezzik originates in the NBA but bets a line last night where he got 1.5 the worst of it and loses outright.

We fire!
 
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