2020-2025 Summary:
2020: +63.70
2021: +31.5
2022: +99.8
2023: +42
2024: +19.1
2025: -94.9
2020-2025, +161.2 units
Clear Conclusions:
I had a big edge during this period in general.
That edge has likely decreased significantly.
However, 2025 was very likely a very substandard vs. expectation year.
It would be easy to say the markets just get harder every year. However, I only won +43.7 units 2016-2020, so hard to argue that the markets get more difficult to beat every year given the general UPWARD average year avg. trend.
obviously, if you are betting $200 a game and spending $15 per pick you are going to get ANHILATED on net result. Don't buy any daily picks. Buy an annual package that with discounts would be like $1,500 ish I think
Given this, I would need to win +10 units on average a year to break even with a $300 average bet and some missed bets/some bets with higher vig.....
Will I win +10 units on average? You have the data. I list MULTIPLE books that have the line with EVERY release. Example, DK FD S Point. YES you might not have access to ANY of them and if you don't have those books it is going to be very tough to win........ then again if you have Exchanges/prediction books you will get many plays at better better vig