Re: FLA opens -8.5 against Purdue at Pinny
You guys are delusional about Florida. They shouldn't even be the Number 1 overall seed. From Mike Greenfield:
<TABLE bgColor=#f3f3f3><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cebdb3><TD>
Team
</TD><TD>
Rating
</TD><TD>
v. Top 25
</TD><TD>
v. 26-50
</TD><TD>
v. 51-100
</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD width=170>
1. Ohio St (31-3)</TD><TD>96.3</TD><TD>5-3</TD><TD>5-0</TD><TD>6-0</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
2. North Carolina (29-6)</TD><TD>93.7</TD><TD>7-1</TD><TD>7-3</TD><TD>5-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
3. Wisconsin (29-5)</TD><TD>93.2</TD><TD>5-3</TD><TD>6-1</TD><TD>4-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
4. Florida (29-5)</TD><TD>93.1</TD><TD>4-2</TD><TD>7-2</TD><TD>7-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
5. Kansas (30-4)</TD><TD>92.6</TD><TD>3-1</TD><TD>5-0</TD><TD>8-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
6. Georgetown (27-6)</TD><TD>92.1</TD><TD>5-3</TD><TD>5-1</TD><TD>4-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
7. UCLA (26-5)</TD><TD>92.0</TD><TD>7-1</TD><TD>4-1</TD><TD>6-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
8. Memphis (30-3)</TD><TD>91.6</TD><TD>1-2</TD><TD>0-1</TD><TD>3-0</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
9. Pittsburgh (28-7)</TD><TD>90.3</TD><TD>2-4</TD><TD>5-2</TD><TD>8-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
10. Texas AM (26-6)</TD><TD>90.1</TD><TD>3-2</TD><TD>1-0</TD><TD>8-4</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE bgColor=#f3f3f3><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cebdb3><TD>
Team
</TD><TD>
Rating
</TD><TD>
v. Top 25
</TD><TD>
v. 26-50
</TD><TD>
v. 51-100
</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD width=170>
11. Maryland (25-8)</TD><TD>89.5</TD><TD>5-1</TD><TD>6-5</TD><TD>4-0</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
12. Oregon (26-7)</TD><TD>89.4</TD><TD>6-2</TD><TD>1-2</TD><TD>5-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
13. Southern Ill (26-6)</TD><TD>89.3</TD><TD>0-0</TD><TD>4-3</TD><TD>11-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
14. Washington St (26-7)</TD><TD>88.8</TD><TD>2-4</TD><TD>2-1</TD><TD>9-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
15. Arizona (20-10)</TD><TD>88.3</TD><TD>4-7</TD><TD>1-3</TD><TD>8-0</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
16. Kentucky (21-11)</TD><TD>88.1</TD><TD>2-6</TD><TD>4-4</TD><TD>9-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
17. Notre Dame (24-7)</TD><TD>88.0</TD><TD>2-2</TD><TD>3-2</TD><TD>5-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
18. UNLV (27-6)</TD><TD>87.9</TD><TD>1-1</TD><TD>3-2</TD><TD>5-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
19. Michigan St (23-11)</TD><TD>87.9</TD><TD>2-5</TD><TD>4-4</TD><TD>4-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
20. Winthrop (24-4)</TD><TD>87.9</TD><TD>0-4</TD><TD>1-0</TD><TD>2-0</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE bgColor=#f3f3f3><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cebdb3><TD>
Team
</TD><TD>
Rating
</TD><TD>
v. Top 25
</TD><TD>
v. 26-50
</TD><TD>
v. 51-100
</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD width=170>
21. Texas (24-9)</TD><TD>87.6</TD><TD>1-5</TD><TD>1-2</TD><TD>9-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
22. Tennessee (22-10)</TD><TD>87.6</TD><TD>4-4</TD><TD>5-2</TD><TD>4-4</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
23. Duke (22-11)</TD><TD>87.6</TD><TD>1-4</TD><TD>8-6</TD><TD>5-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
24. Louisville (23-9)</TD><TD>87.6</TD><TD>1-5</TD><TD>2-2</TD><TD>6-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
25. Nevada (27-4)</TD><TD>87.5</TD><TD>0-1</TD><TD>0-0</TD><TD>11-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
26. Indiana (21-10)</TD><TD>87.3</TD><TD>3-4</TD><TD>2-4</TD><TD>4-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
27. Villanova (21-10)</TD><TD>87.1</TD><TD>4-4</TD><TD>0-3</TD><TD>6-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
28. Georgia Tech (20-11)</TD><TD>86.9</TD><TD>3-4</TD><TD>6-4</TD><TD>3-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
29. Florida St (22-12)</TD><TD>86.7</TD><TD>3-5</TD><TD>2-7</TD><TD>4-0</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
30. USC (23-11)</TD><TD>86.7</TD><TD>5-6</TD><TD>0-1</TD><TD>8-3</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE bgColor=#f3f3f3><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cebdb3><TD>
Team
</TD><TD>
Rating
</TD><TD>
v. Top 25
</TD><TD>
v. 26-50
</TD><TD>
v. 51-100
</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD width=170>
31. Clemson (22-10)</TD><TD>86.4</TD><TD>0-5</TD><TD>7-4</TD><TD>4-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
32. Boston College (21-11)</TD><TD>86.3</TD><TD>2-5</TD><TD>5-3</TD><TD>4-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
33. Virginia Tech (20-11)</TD><TD>86.2</TD><TD>4-1</TD><TD>3-4</TD><TD>5-4</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
34. Creighton (22-10)</TD><TD>86.2</TD><TD>1-2</TD><TD>1-0</TD><TD>10-5</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
35. Marquette (23-10)</TD><TD>86.2</TD><TD>4-6</TD><TD>2-0</TD><TD>3-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
36. Butler (26-6)</TD><TD>85.9</TD><TD>2-1</TD><TD>2-0</TD><TD>6-3</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
37. BYU (24-9)</TD><TD>85.9</TD><TD>1-4</TD><TD>2-1</TD><TD>3-1</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
38. Illinois (23-11)</TD><TD>85.9</TD><TD>1-6</TD><TD>2-3</TD><TD>4-2</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD>
39. Virginia (19-10)</TD><TD>85.8</TD><TD>4-1</TD><TD>4-3</TD><TD>4-4</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#f3f3f3><TD>
40. Vanderbilt (20-11)</TD><TD>85.8</TD><TD>4-3</TD><TD>2-4</TD><TD>6-3</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE bgColor=#f3f3f3><TBODY><TR bgColor=#cebdb3><TD>
Team
</TD><TD>
Rating
</TD><TD>
v. Top 25
</TD><TD>
v. 26-50
</TD><TD>
v. 51-100
</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d8e9fd><TD width=170>
41. Purdue (21-11)</TD><TD>85.7</TD><TD>1-4</TD><TD>3-3</TD><TD>7-2</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
From Jeff Sagarin:
College Basketball 2006-2007 Div I games only through 2007 March 16 Friday
HOME ADVANTAGE= 4.13 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 25 | VS top 50 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
1 North Carolina $=
93.88 29 6 79.64( 5) 8 2 | 14 4 |
91.99 3 |
96.95 1
2 Florida $=
92.88 30 5 76.28( 72) 4 2 | 11 4 |
91.59 4 |
94.22 3
3 Ohio State $=
92.45 31 3 77.98( 33) 6 3 | 10 3 |
96.30 1 |
90.34 6
4 Kansas $=
92.14 31 4 76.19( 73) 3 1 | 8 1 |
90.51 6 |
94.23 2
5 Wisconsin $=
91.00 30 5 77.46( 46) 5 4 | 11 5 |
92.77 2 |
89.48 9
6 UCLA $=
90.89 26 5 78.94( 13) 8 1 | 11 2 |
91.24 5 |
90.23 8
7 Georgetown $=
90.51 27 6 77.73( 40) 4 3 | 10 4 |
89.22 9 |
91.80 4
8 Memphis $=
90.29 31 3 74.11( 117) 1 3 | 1 3 |
89.89 7 |
90.33 7
9 Texas A&M $=
89.49 26 6 75.75( 82) 3 2 | 4 2 |
87.73 17 |
91.69 5
10 Pittsburgh $=
88.82 28 7 78.60( 21) 1 3 | 7 6 |
88.74 11 |
88.52 11
College Basketball 2006-2007 Div I games only through 2007 March 16 Friday
HOME ADVANTAGE= 4.13 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 25 | VS top 50 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
11 Maryland $=
88.75 25 8 77.86( 37) 6 1 | 10 6 |
88.06 15 |
89.11 10
12 Kentucky $=
87.23 22 11 81.45( 1) 2 6 | 7 10 |
86.86 18 |
87.24 17
13 Texas $=
86.72 25 9 77.11( 56) 1 5 | 2 7 |
85.97 20 |
87.17 19
14 Michigan State $=
86.72 23 11 78.42( 27) 3 6 | 7 9 |
85.96 21 |
87.17 18
15 Butler $=
86.71 26 6 75.16( 96) 3 1 | 4 1 |
85.55 23 |
87.69 13
16 Duke $=
86.57 22 11 80.41( 3) 3 5 | 8 9 |
85.16 28 |
87.94 12
17 Southern Illinois $=
86.45 27 6 79.10( 11) 1 1 | 8 4 |
88.79 10 |
84.54 35
18 Oregon $=
86.44 27 7 76.55( 68) 6 2 | 7 4 |
88.71 12 |
84.56 34
19 Tennessee $=
86.42 23 10 79.53( 7) 4 5 | 9 6 |
86.56 19 |
85.93 24
20 Arizona $=
86.38 20 11 81.16( 2) 2 7 | 5 11 |
85.86 22 |
86.55 21
College Basketball 2006-2007 Div I games only through 2007 March 16 Friday
HOME ADVANTAGE= 4.13 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 25 | VS top 50 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR
21 Washington State $=
86.17 26 7 76.99( 61) 2 4 | 4 5 |
87.95 16 |
84.53 36
22 Indiana $=
85.96 21 10 78.51( 25) 3 5 | 5 8 |
85.35 25 |
86.22 23
23 Winthrop $=
85.93 25 4 70.64( 209) 1 4 | 3 4 |
89.38 8 |
83.56 44
24 Notre Dame $=
85.88 24 8 74.71( 106) 1 4 | 5 5 |
84.24 34 |
87.63 14
25 Georgia Tech $=
85.75 20 12 78.66( 17) 3 4 | 9 9 |
84.18 35 |
87.37 15
26 Purdue $=
85.70 22 11 77.91( 36) 3 7 | 5 7 |
84.65 32 |
86.53 22
From Ken Pomeroy:
Through games of Friday, March 16 STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE NON-CONF SOSRnk Team Conf W-L Pyth AdjO/Rnk AdjD/Rnk Cons/Rnk Luck/Rnk Pyth/Rnk OppO/Rnk OppD/Rnk Pyth/Rnk 1
North Carolina ACC 29-6 .9873 123.3/3 84.4/2 20.9/183 -.055/282 .8207/6 110.3/5 96.7/27 .6216/95 2
Kansas B12 31-4 .9868 117.8/16 81.0/1 23.7/281 +.023/105 .7290/64 107.1/58 98.2/70 .5133/175 3
Florida SEC 30-5 .9829 123.3/2 86.7/12 26.1/324 +.003/158 .7124/75 106.8/65 98.7/83 .3357/308 4
Ohio St. B10 31-3 .9809 121.6/5 86.4/11 19.4/112 +.045/54 .7959/23 107.5/49 95.5/7 .5670/133 5
Georgetown BE 27-6 .9798 124.0/1 88.5/18 22.5/245 -.007/174 .7939/26 107.9/38 96.0/10 .5309/158 6
Texas A&M B12 26-6 .9794 120.0/6 85.8/7 24.1/290 -.045/269 .6915/81 105.7/86 98.6/77 .3898/272 7
Wisconsin B10 30-5 .9754 116.9/23 84.9/4 22.9/257 +.041/67 .7697/40 107.4/51 96.7/31 .5128/176 8
UCLA P10 27-5 .9732 117.4/19 85.9/9 19.7/122 +.009/140 .8079/16 109.8/10 96.9/39 .6932/47 9
Memphis CUSA 31-3 .9678 115.7/27 86.0/10 19.6/121 +.015/123 .6013/117 103.1/142 99.5/101 .6437/76 10
Maryland ACC 25-8 .9676 114.9/33 85.5/5 21.7/218 -.019/207 .7755/38 107.9/39 96.9/38 .4846/199 11
Duke ACC 22-11 .9648 114.2/37 85.6/6 20.3/151 -.080/313 .8531/3 111.0/2 95.2/4 .6896/50 12
Pittsburgh BE 28-7 .9605 118.9/11 90.1/24 19.7/123 +.026/95 .8151/11 109.4/12 96.2/13 .5961/112 13
Michigan St. B10 23-11 .9581 113.9/39 86.7/13 25.1/310 -.039/259 .7942/25 108.7/23 96.6/26 .5466/149 14
Louisville BE 24-9 .9576 115.5/29 88.1/16 18.5/85 -.039/260 .7664/44 107.3/53 96.7/35 .4896/195 15
Kentucky SEC 22-11 .9567 118.0/15 90.2/25 18.1/72 -.037/255 .8737/1 111.2/1 94.0/1 .8084/16 16
Indiana B10 21-10 .9532 119.1/10 91.6/37 22.9/256 -.053/279 .8117/14 107.6/44 94.8/3 .6378/80 17
Texas B12 25-9 .9520 121.8/4 93.9/56 21.8/220 -.017/202 .7588/51 107.4/50 97.2/49 .4945/190 18
Georgia Tech ACC 20-12 .9517 118.3/14 91.3/34 25.1/313 -.072/308 .8002/19 108.9/17 96.5/23 .5215/169 19
Villanova BE 22-11 .9462 114.5/35 89.2/20 20.0/139 -.044/266 .8452/4 110.4/4 95.3/5 .6725/61 20
Notre Dame BE 24-8 .9453 119.3/9 93.1/50 24.7/304 -.023/216 .6722/87 104.9/101 98.5/76 .2682/324 21
Purdue B10 22-11 .9416 111.3/66 87.4/15 25.5/321 +.007/145 .7970/21 109.0/16 96.8/37 .6061/104
</PRE>Yes, the numbers are hard to sort out when they are compressed into this post but all you have to see is that Florida may be from the South, but they ain't THAT great. And Purdue is a potential "live dog".
Of course, since Purdue is from the Big 10, they won't get any credit. The Big 10 sucks, right? At least that's what a lot of people who post on the internet would lead you to believe. Those people have no clue. Basketball games are won and lost with defense and no conference plays better defense than the Big 10. Look at the average scores so far in the tourney--Big 10 teams are holding their opponents to the mid-50's and that's including a lot of run-and-gun teams like Texas A&M CC, Arizona and Gonzaga. You want to say those opponents aren't any good? Then what do you call Georgia, Mississippi, Arkansas and Jackson State, Florida's last four opponents? Florida didn't play any tougher schedule this year than UNLV.
I don't know if I will play this game, but I do know thinking "the Big 10 sucks" is about as uneducated a strategy as a person can come up with.
You do know which conference has won the most NCAA tourney games since 2001 don't you?