For Moneyline Parlay Bettors

[Heim]

The home team has won 10 straight NFL Championship Round games. If you think this trend continues
you can get the Chiefs + Saints on ML parlay at around +170.

Gabe are you listening?

 

[E$]

The spread usually has little impact on this round. Either the dog wins outright or the fav wins and covers. Don’t know the exact %, but it’s very high and I would expect it to continue this year especially with the low spreads.

 

[SlipperyPete]

A while ago the trend was 1-1 split... home team/road team

Haha

 

[Heim]

The spread usually has little impact on this round. Either the dog wins outright or the fav wins and covers. Don’t know the exact %, but it’s very high and I would expect it to continue this year especially with the low spreads.

True. Also the above trend, despite small sample, shows a little stronger home field in playoffs than reg season.

 

[SlipperyPete]

I think the cold weather will help the Pats.

The angle seems to favor the home teams, which I think is misleading in this case.

The core of the Pats team, played in a lot more cold weather games than the Chiefs.

Pats have been running a power running game for the last few weeks, with a ton of success

I dont think the Chiefs will be able to slow it down all that much.

 

[MrTop]

been a while since 2 dogs outright have won on championship sunday. Will it happen again?

 

[Heim]

Market is saying NE/KC a pick on neutral w/ -3 for HFA!? Has to be greater than that this time of year especially if you add in PATS dismal road numbers this year.

 

[John Kelly]

Brady is human on the road in the postseason.

His career mark is only 8-7 in postseason road games.

 

[SlipperyPete]

I am sure its true.

But when he goes on the road it was to the top 1 or 2 teams in the conference, with generally a top 3 defense.

In that case its not that bad.

I remember him going on the road to Pit, to Denver 3x and to Colts with Manning, to SD in 2006 (when they were the top seed) I would imagine those teams in those seasons were something like 7-1 at home in the regular season
So against those teams batting .500 is pretty good.

So it kinda means that the Pats are 50-50 against KC.

Show me another team in the AFC that you would give 50 percent chance against the Chiefs at Arrowhead