Looks like another $2,000,000+ overlay with Circa Million IV and Survivor contests 2022-2023

[Murphy’s Best]

I have 1 entry left & am on the Patriots tomorrow night

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa survivor Week 7: Survive: 125 (Bengals, Ravens, Cowboys, Cardinals, Raiders, Dolphins), Eliminated: 80 (21.5%), 175 pending (Pats), no ticket: 2.

Equity: $20,443.33

 

[railbird]

notable records today

computer bob 4-1
zzyzk road 2-3
right angle sports 0-5 X2

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa survivor Final Week 7: Survive: 125 (Bengals, Ravens, Cowboys, Cardinals, Raiders, Dolphins), Eliminated: 255 (67.3%), no ticket: 2.

One entrant has all 6 alive.

Equity: $49,064.00

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Million IV Official leaders
Place Points #Entries
1 27.5 1
T2 27 2
T4 26 4
T8 25.5 7
T15 25 14
T29 24.5 20
T49 24 30
T79 23.5 38
T117 23 85

 

[railbird]

Circa Million IV Official leaders
Place Points #Entries
1 27.5 1
T2 27 2
T4 26 4
T8 25.5 7
T15 25 14
T29 24.5 20
T49 24 30
T79 23.5 38
T117 23 85

Big blind is 27 8 in eog contest. hope he entered circa, would be a shame if he wins 2700 instead of 1,000,000.

 

[ComptrBob]

Big blind is 27 8 in eog contest. hope he entered circa, would be a shame if he wins 2700 instead of 1,000,000.

Yep, if in the Circa, he would be tied for 2nd place.

Leaders:
1 MERCILESS916-1
2T TAIL PARTY-2
2T GAMBLING RATS-1

There's one guy I know (me) who's tied for 8th.

 

[winkyduck]

Yep, if in the Circa, he would be tied for 2nd place.

Leaders:
1 MERCILESS916-1
2T TAIL PARTY-2
2T GAMBLING RATS-1

There's one guy I know (me) who's tied for 8th.

WAY TO GO!!

Hope you continue to KICK ASS!

 

[mrbowling300]

Interesting interview with the guy who still has 6 circa survival entries remaining, after using them on the same game 7 times in a row.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1585325384400134145

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa survivor Final Week 8: Survive: 123, Eliminated: 2 (1.6%), no ticket: 0.

One entrant has still has all 6 alive.

Equity: $49,861.79

 

[choslamshe]

For those that are still alive, there are some clear paths to get through to week 13-14 at least.

Will be interesting to see percentages on the Ravens (week 11 vs. Carolina) and the Dolphins (week 12 vs. Houston).

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa survivor Week 9: Survive: 24 (Eagles), Eliminated: 0 (0.0%), 99 pending, no ticket: 0.

One entrant has still has all 6 alive (CrushemSports.com has all tickets on the Bills).

Equity: $49,861.79

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa survivor Week 9: Survive: 68 (Eagles, Dolphins, Bengals, Pats), Eliminated: 7 (Bills) (5.7%), 48 pending, no ticket: 0.

CrushemSports.com lost all 6 tickets on the Bills. Only 6 have two entries left, none with more than 2.

Equity: $52,870.69

 

[mrbowling300]

Circa survivor Week 9: Survive: 68 (Eagles, Dolphins, Bengals, Pats), Eliminated: 7 (Bills) (5.7%), 48 pending, no ticket: 0.

CrushemSports.com lost all 6 tickets on the Bills. Only 6 have two entries left, none with more than 2.

Equity: $52,870.69

His cuteness finally caught up to him. Why wouldn't he have saved this pick until Thanksgiving?

 

[blueline]

His cuteness finally caught up to him. Why wouldn't he have saved this pick until Thanksgiving?

Heard an interview with him a few daya ago.

Said he was going all in today...narrowed it down to 4 teams......said he wasn't saving Buffalo for Thanksgiving.....said he was interested in the Patriot game that day....I guess we can surmise he was scared of Detroit and was going to use both sides of the Patriot game...at least thars what I'm guessing the plan was

 

[pro analyser]

Circa survivor Week 9: Survive: 24 (Eagles), Eliminated: 0 (0.0%), 99 pending, no ticket: 0.

One entrant has still has all 6 alive (CrushemSports.com has all tickets on the Bills).

Equity: $49,861.79

Crushem got crushed. I'd be in bed for a week as $299,170.74 down the drain.

 

[choslamshe]

Its the Bills, but picking a road team anytime and regardless of the spread in Survivor is just begging to get fvcked. Road team and divisional game. Hindsight 20/20 but kind of a ding-a-ling approach.

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Survivor Week 9 Final: Survive: 115 (Eagles, Dolphins, Bengals, Pats, Chiefs), Eliminated: 8 (Bills, Cardinals) (6.5%), no ticket: 0.

Equity: $53,330.43

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Million IV, Week 9

Points Entries Place Pct Indiv. Equity
33.5 1 1 0.02% $1,000,000.00
33 0 2 0.00% $0.00
32.5 5 2 0.11% $360,000.00
32 4 7 0.09% $135,000.00
31.5 6 11 0.13% $55,333.33
31 9 17 0.19% $26,666.67
30.5 20 26 0.43% $19,250.00
30 27 46 0.58% $9,444.44
29.5 49 73 1.04% $2,000.00

 

[mrbowling300]

Interview with the guy who placed all 6 entries on Buffalo: Interview

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Survivor Week 10 going into MNF: Survive: 86 (Titans, Dolphins, Giants, Steelers, Chiefs, 49ers), Eliminated: 19 (Bears, Saints, Raiders) (16.5%), 10 pending (Eagles), no ticket: 0.

Equity: $63,885.42

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Million IV Week 10 going into MNF:
Pts Place #entries
36.5 1 1
35.5 2 1
35 3 1
34.5 4 7
34 11 8
33.5 19 13
33 32 18
32.5 50 21
32 71 37
31.5 108 64

 

[mrbowling300]

Circa Million IV Week 10 going into MNF:
Pts Place #entries
36.5 1 1
35.5 2 1
35 3 1
34.5 4 7
34 11 8
33.5 19 14
33 33 18
32.5 51 21
32 72 37
31.5 109 61

We have a 34 and a 32.5 in the EOG contest.

 

[ComptrBob]

FWIW, I'm at 32.5 tied for 50th place with 20 others.

 

[mrbowling300]

FWIW, I'm at 32.5 tied for 51th place with 20 others.

keep up the great work! I'm always rooting for you!

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Million IV Week 10 going into MNF:
Place Entry Pts
1 TAIL PARTY-2 36.5
2 Enut34-1 35.5
3 DIRTY SOUTH-1 35.0

4 GAMBLING RATS-1 34.5
4 MIAMILACHICAGO-1 34.5
4 ON MY WAY-3 34.5
4 GAMBLORDS-2 34.5
4 John Rambo III-1 34.5
4 LIMITLE-1 34.5
4 SOCO 19-1 34.5

11 CT TRIGG-2 34.0
11 POSITANO FUND-2 34.0
11 ESKIMOS-1 34.0
11 FHBC-1 34.0
11 VB-1 34.0
11 ROADHOUSE-2 34.0
11 smo-1 34.0
11 MSN 2 LAS-2 34.0

 

[ComptrBob]

Interesting breakdown of MNF pending picks of Top 172 in current standings:

Commanders +11: 23
Eagles -11: 3

 

[Woodrow Wilson]

His cuteness finally caught up to him. Why wouldn't he have saved this pick until Thanksgiving?

It doesn't make a lot of sense, but he survived much longer than I did this season.

 

[mrbowling300]

It doesn't make a lot of sense, but he survived much longer than I did this season.

Me too!!!

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Survivor Week 10 Final: Survive: 86 (Titans, Dolphins, Giants, Steelers, Chiefs, 49ers), Eliminated: 29 (Bears, Saints, Raiders, Eagles) (25.2%), no ticket: 0.

Equity: $71,313.95

 

[railbird]

FWIW, I'm at 32.5 tied for 50th place with 20 others.

Don't choke like I did

 

[railbird]

His cuteness finally caught up to him. Why wouldn't he have saved this pick until Thanksgiving?

It was good strategy imo.

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Million IV Week 10 Final:
Pts Place #Entries
36.5 1 2
36 3 0
35.5 3 0
35 3 1
34.5 4 12
34 16 10
33.5 26 12
33 38 20
32.5 58 24
32 82 41
31.5 123 68

 

[ComptrBob]

Circa Million IV, Week 10 leaders;

Pl Entrant points
1 TAIL PARTY-2 36.5
1T Enut34-1 36.5
3 DIRTY SOUTH-1 35.0
4T GAMBLING RATS-1 34.5
4 MERCILESS916-1 34.5
4 MIAMILACHICAGO-1 34.5
4 ON MY WAY-3 34.5
4 ARGENT FARMS-2 34.5
4 Diamond Dave-1 34.5
4 GAMBLORDS-2 34.5
4 John Rambo III-1 34.5
4 LIMITLE-1 34.5
4 PEPPERS PICKS-1 34.5
4 SOCO 19-1 34.5
4 TY RACING-2 34.5

 

[Woodrow Wilson]

Despite a very disappointing Circa Survivor performance this season, I did tie for first place in the WH college pick 'em contest.

$162,500 plus I was able to earn an additional 28k hedging/fading all my picks the final week. This is my second shared title in that contest since 2018.

 

[Murphy’s Best]

Wow very nice WW!!!

 

[railbird]

Despite a very disappointing Circa Survivor performance this season, I did tie for first place in the WH college pick 'em contest.

$162,500 plus I was able to earn an additional 28k hedging/fading all my picks the final week. This is my second shared title in that contest since 2018.

watching follow the money, i guess you tied with Doug Kezerian

 

[Woodrow Wilson]

He had two entries in the top 5 heading into the final week. I feel fortunate with holding on for a tie with my lousy 3-5 showing the final week. My hedges were 5-2-1. That push netted an extra 10k. That'll be helpful covering the taxes owed.

Thankfully his entry that only was trailing me by one game was 2-6 and his lower entry was 6-2. I haven't looked at his selections but in assuming he used 100% or at least partially opposite cards to protect his positioning.

i can only imagine the level of nervousness durbify had last season with a million dollars on the line.

It felt strange sitting in the sports book all day Saturday and flying home not knowing until Monday at 5pm how the chips fell.

 

[bomzee]

A Tremendous Result Woodrow Wilson ! Smile and Enjoy ! never mind you already are.
AWESOME!

 

[mrbowling300]

He had two entries in the top 5 heading into the final week. I feel fortunate with holding on for a tie with my lousy 3-5 showing the final week. My hedges were 5-2-1. That push netted an extra 10k. That'll be helpful covering the taxes owed.

Thankfully his entry that only was trailing me by one game was 2-6 and his lower entry was 6-2. I haven't looked at his selections but in assuming he used 100% or at least partially opposite cards to protect his positioning.

i can only imagine the level of nervousness durbify had last season with a million dollars on the line.

It felt strange sitting in the sports book all day Saturday and flying home not knowing until Monday at 5pm how the chips fell.

Congrats WW!!!!!!!