I don't like the vibe on the Red Sox team. To quote a line from Seinfeld, they know "it isn't going to happen for them" this year. The XFIP worshippers can tell you Sale is as good as ever. I would be skeptical. We have two teams going in opposite directions; BoSox 12-18 since the ASB, Indians a red hot 22-9.
Arizona/Colorado is interesting as well. Gallen makes his first career start at Coors, which often is fade material, but the Rockies are so bad now, I can't jump on board. You really have to wonder about the Rockie organization. We've known for years that breaking pitches do not break well in elevation. You need to throw mostly fastballs and changeups. So Gray comes up and has an ideal mix in 2015: 81% fastballs and changeups, 19% sliders. Fast forward to 2019: he's junked the change up, and added a curve. The mix now? Only 55.5% fastballs/changeups and 44.5% breaking pitches. I want no part of Colorado today.