MrOverUnder86
EOG Enthusiast
Final Regular Season Record: 121-59-3, 67.2%
Final Regular Season Amount: +$1,259
*Historic, country-leading 29-2 run in Weeks 14-17 (Still looking to see if that?s ever been accomplished in NFL gambling history)
Over/Unders???. 20-9 (69%! Best in America this season for over/unders?)
Spreads?????... 15-9-1 (62.5%)
Teasers?????.... 38-16 (70.4%)
Props??????.... 16-15-2 (51.6%)
ML???????...... 2-0 (100%)
2nd Half????...? 4-4 (50%)
Live?????....?.. 26-6 (81.2%! Probably best in America this season for live bets)
(Parlays: 1-1, not reflected in my overall $$ amount or record)
Postseason: 7-5, 58.3%, +$6 (Over/Unders: 0-3, Teasers: 1-0, Props: 3-1, Live: 3-1)
Strange 7-5 start to my 2015 playoffs, as that ?lost? Arizona/Carolina under -- which was one of the best calls in recent postseason memory, considering the Cardinals set an NFL record for fewest total yards in a postseason contest -- is ultimately what led to me basically being even, resulting in a very undeserving $150ish swing against me. As people pointed out across the country, it was one of the biggest bad beats in NFL playoff history, but you just can?t dwell on it. We?ve now arrived to the Divisional Round, as hard as that is to believe, so let?s see what we can work with:
4-Game Teaser
Spurs -1 (NBA)
SEA +1?
DAL +18?
IND/DEN O40? - $65 to win $50
Analysis: I very rarely will combine an NBA game in one of my football teasers, but playing the struggling Timberwolves (Potentially missing Shabazz Muhammad as well) makes them a very safe option when they just have to win, so that secures one spot. As for the other three inhabited by playoff football, one, you have to take Seattle just to win at home against an unspectacular Panthers team that didn?t even look impressive in beating a very banged up Cardinals squad. The Seahawks have been amongst the hottest teams in football over the past couple of months, and it especially stayed that way down the stretch, so you have to expect them to win at least one playoff game, let alone at home where they never lose. Dallas getting 18? at Green Bay is normally a strategy I don?t go for in teasers (Betting on a team on the road against Packers, Saints, Patriots, and Broncos has probably burned more teasers than any other scenario over the past few years) but with Aaron Rodgers not at 100%, this is a game they actually have the potential to win outright. And as for the last leg of this teaser, it?s Peyton Manning against Andrew Luck in what has become a haven for overs throughout the former?s tenure in Denver. Looks like a very nice teaser to me, and remember, I haven?t lost a teaser bet since Week 13 (15-0 over the past five weeks, which is the best active streak in the country right now for teasers, obviously) so hopefully this legendary streak will continue.
Cole Beasley O3 Receptions - $39 to win $30
Analysis: You just knew I was going after this one again. Last week, I had about twice as much on the Cole Beasley over receptions prop (Which was only 2?, remember!), and it won fairly easily. This Dallas game should have more scoring than last week?s affair, and thus more going on with the passing game led by Tony Romo, who has made it pretty clear that Beasley has developed into one of his favorite targets out of all his weapons. In fact, Beasley has drawn a whopping 17 targets over the past two games combined! Beasley?s emergence actually reminds me of the path taken last postseason by Griff Whalen, who rewarded me big-time when I successfully cashed my biggest bet in the entire playoffs on Whalen Over 3 Catches, which, ironically, took place in the Divisional Round against the Colts. I don?t like going to the well too often, as the saying goes, which is why this isn?t a big bet -- at least not yet, it isn?t -- but given how the Cowboys offense has performed over the past several weeks with Beasley?s activity, needing only three catches on what should be six or more targets makes this a very solid bet.
Yes, not much of a Divisional Round betting card thus far, but of course, I?ll most likely add more action. But in terms of spreads and over/unders, it?s tougher than your average slate.
Final Regular Season Amount: +$1,259
*Historic, country-leading 29-2 run in Weeks 14-17 (Still looking to see if that?s ever been accomplished in NFL gambling history)
Over/Unders???. 20-9 (69%! Best in America this season for over/unders?)
Spreads?????... 15-9-1 (62.5%)
Teasers?????.... 38-16 (70.4%)
Props??????.... 16-15-2 (51.6%)
ML???????...... 2-0 (100%)
2nd Half????...? 4-4 (50%)
Live?????....?.. 26-6 (81.2%! Probably best in America this season for live bets)
(Parlays: 1-1, not reflected in my overall $$ amount or record)
Postseason: 7-5, 58.3%, +$6 (Over/Unders: 0-3, Teasers: 1-0, Props: 3-1, Live: 3-1)
Strange 7-5 start to my 2015 playoffs, as that ?lost? Arizona/Carolina under -- which was one of the best calls in recent postseason memory, considering the Cardinals set an NFL record for fewest total yards in a postseason contest -- is ultimately what led to me basically being even, resulting in a very undeserving $150ish swing against me. As people pointed out across the country, it was one of the biggest bad beats in NFL playoff history, but you just can?t dwell on it. We?ve now arrived to the Divisional Round, as hard as that is to believe, so let?s see what we can work with:
4-Game Teaser
Spurs -1 (NBA)
SEA +1?
DAL +18?
IND/DEN O40? - $65 to win $50
Analysis: I very rarely will combine an NBA game in one of my football teasers, but playing the struggling Timberwolves (Potentially missing Shabazz Muhammad as well) makes them a very safe option when they just have to win, so that secures one spot. As for the other three inhabited by playoff football, one, you have to take Seattle just to win at home against an unspectacular Panthers team that didn?t even look impressive in beating a very banged up Cardinals squad. The Seahawks have been amongst the hottest teams in football over the past couple of months, and it especially stayed that way down the stretch, so you have to expect them to win at least one playoff game, let alone at home where they never lose. Dallas getting 18? at Green Bay is normally a strategy I don?t go for in teasers (Betting on a team on the road against Packers, Saints, Patriots, and Broncos has probably burned more teasers than any other scenario over the past few years) but with Aaron Rodgers not at 100%, this is a game they actually have the potential to win outright. And as for the last leg of this teaser, it?s Peyton Manning against Andrew Luck in what has become a haven for overs throughout the former?s tenure in Denver. Looks like a very nice teaser to me, and remember, I haven?t lost a teaser bet since Week 13 (15-0 over the past five weeks, which is the best active streak in the country right now for teasers, obviously) so hopefully this legendary streak will continue.
Cole Beasley O3 Receptions - $39 to win $30
Analysis: You just knew I was going after this one again. Last week, I had about twice as much on the Cole Beasley over receptions prop (Which was only 2?, remember!), and it won fairly easily. This Dallas game should have more scoring than last week?s affair, and thus more going on with the passing game led by Tony Romo, who has made it pretty clear that Beasley has developed into one of his favorite targets out of all his weapons. In fact, Beasley has drawn a whopping 17 targets over the past two games combined! Beasley?s emergence actually reminds me of the path taken last postseason by Griff Whalen, who rewarded me big-time when I successfully cashed my biggest bet in the entire playoffs on Whalen Over 3 Catches, which, ironically, took place in the Divisional Round against the Colts. I don?t like going to the well too often, as the saying goes, which is why this isn?t a big bet -- at least not yet, it isn?t -- but given how the Cowboys offense has performed over the past several weeks with Beasley?s activity, needing only three catches on what should be six or more targets makes this a very solid bet.
Yes, not much of a Divisional Round betting card thus far, but of course, I?ll most likely add more action. But in terms of spreads and over/unders, it?s tougher than your average slate.
